The All WeatherMan
I provide a tip for races for UK and Ireland tracks for any type of race. Grateful for any followers, likes or comments!
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
The All WeatherMan's Tips History
18 March 2025
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Hala Joza
Daily Racing
25 EW
@51.00
Lose
-50
She hasn't shown anything on any previous start in maidens and novices. However, she could improve for her first handicap start off such a low mark. She is a half-sister to 5 winners, including Dora Penny, Charlie Mason, and Doctor Nuno, who were all all-weather winners, as was her dam Aubrietia, who was prolific on the all-weather, with a 33% win rate on the surface, and now an additional 2 lbs lower than last time out.
15:17 3:17 Exeter
Spyglass Hill
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
He may have been pulled up in his last 2 starts but they were both very competitive races in the Foxhunters at Aintree and the Greatwood Gold Cup last time out after an 11 month break. 3 starts ago he won, beating a horse who subsequently completed a hat trick, and he is back in a Class 3 for the first time since. He has been dropped an additional 3lbs for his run last time out and should remain competitive with Sean Bowen on board.
14:30 2:30 Wetherby
Bois Guillbert
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@2.50
Lose
-50
A comfortable 6.5-length success on his chase debut last time out. The 7 lbs rise could underestimate him now he has that under his belt. He will appreciate the faster surface now as well, having won over hurdles on good, and should remain very competitive.
Subtotal-150
16 March 2025
16:55 4:55 Curragh
Pandion Power
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
He really improved for the bigger fields, winning a 16 and 15 runner handicap consecutively at Roscommon and Gowran, respectively. He then finished 3rd in an 18 runner handicap at Galway last time out. He is unchanged off that mark, and with another big field again today, he has a great chance.
16:12 4:12 Chepstow
Alien Storm
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
His best form has come on good ground and he has been fairly consistent in his form this season with 2 wins and 3 3rds in his last 5 runs. He again gets good ground today and should run well as others in the field won't handle these conditions as well as him.
15:45 3:45 Curragh
Thunder Roar
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-50
He loves big fields, having finished 2nd in all 3 races with 16+ runners last season, including being beaten by just a nose. One of the 2nds came in the Spring Mile at Doncaster. He may have disappointed on his last start at Southwell, but that was his seasonal reappearance, and it came on the all-weather, which he is still a maiden over. That should have blown away the cobwebs, which can't be said for a lot of this field, and he should run well.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Curragh
Stag Night
Daily Racing
25 EW
@9.00
Lose
-50
He won on his seasonal reappearance in 2022 in a 22-runner handicap over course and distance, and then in 2023 finished a very good 2nd over course and distance on his seasonal reappearance. He is 3 lbs higher than both of those runs, but this is 2 lbs lower than his 2nd at Naas in April last year, so he has potential off this mark and should make his presence felt.
1 member found this comment useful
14:10 2:10 Curragh
Tai Tam Bay
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 16/03 at 02:220.20 deduction for Never Shout Never@4.50 withdrawn at 08:330.00 deduction for Tommy McJohn @34.000 withdrawn at 14:01R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.2) = 12.20
@12.20
Win
31
Despite just the 1 win, she was very consistent last year placing in 4 of her other 7 runs including over course and distance. Her 1 win came on her seasonal reappearance last year when winning by over 4 lengths and any repeat of that performance would stand her well today.
Subtotal-169
15 March 2025
18:45 6:45 Southwell
Blue Lakota
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
He struggled in 3 turf runs, but his all-weather form has been outstanding, winning 3 of his 6 starts so far. He can continue to improve as he still looks like he could be ahead of his mark. He was a half-brother to a couple of smart AW winners, so could improve further.
17:20 5:20 Uttoxeter
Rock Sensation
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@8.50
Void
0
She finished 4 lengths behind a Willie Mullins horse who won in her bumper debut by 9 lengths and then finished midfield in a Grade 2 when favourite so that looks a smart horse. The selection's debut was very poor but she was well supported so a lot is thought of her and she should run better today.
15:00 3:00 Uttoxeter
Fortunedefortunata
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
He won the Grand National trial with plenty in hand, and in turn beating Will Do who finished a close 3rd in the Royal Hunt Challenge Cup at Cheltenham earlier this week. He has been staying on well in the races he has been defeated in, so the significant step up in trip should suit well.
Saint Davy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
He has been racing in some competitive events based on the entries of the horses who've beaten him. All three of the horses who finished in front of him last time out all raced at Cheltenham this week, as did the two who finished ahead of him in a Grade 2 at the back end of last year. He should improve.
14:25 2:25 Uttoxeter
Chasingouttheblues
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
He has won 3 of his 6 starts over hurdles including a double before running well at Haydock in a Class 2 last time out. He finished 3rd and the 2nd placed horse won the Grade 3 Pertemps Network Final Handicap Hurdle on Thursday and so that form can improve again.
13:50 1:50 Uttoxeter
Monviel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
He finished 2nd over course and distance twice last year with cheekpieces that have been missing on his last 3 outings. He is now 10lbs lower than that C&D 2nd, and he was beaten by a subsequent Grade 2 runner up that day, so he could improve for the reapplication of those cheekpieces.
Subtotal-250
14 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Karafon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Karafon is my choice for the 17:20 at Cheltenham: 13 of the last 14 winners had run within the last 62 days. 14 of the last 16 had 8 or fewer hurdles starts. 13 of the last 16 had already partaken in a Graded hurdle run. 14 of the last 16 had won a hurdles race with at least 11 runners. 14 of the last 16 were either 5 or 6 years old. 12 of the last 15 had finished in the first 3 last time out. 16 of the last 16 had carried 11 stone or more. 16 of the last 16 were not beaten favourite last time out. Karafon matches all of these trends except for finishing in the first 3 last time out. However, that can be excused as it was in Grade 1 company and this is a significant drop in grade. So the fact that all of the other trends fit the narrative is why Karafon is my choice today.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Ontheropes
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@29.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Ontheropes is my choice for the 16:40 at Cheltenham:
9 of the last 10 winners were either 10 or 11 years old.
11 of the last 15 were rated 134+.
15 of the last 17 were in the first 3 last time out.
7 of the last 11 had run in at least 12 chases.
Ontheropes is the only horse in the field to have matched all of these trends, and so he should make his presence felt today at a big price and is my NAP for today’s meeting.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Banbridge
Daily Racing
25 EW
@7.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Banbridge is my choice for the 16:00 at Cheltenham: All bar two this century had the following trends: never to have raced further than 3m2f, less than chase starts, 1st or 2nd last time out, a win this season, a non-beaten favourite last time out. As well as this, all of the horses to have won it this century were either 9 or less in age and had a Grade 1 win already in their name. Banbridge fits all of these trends and, although he will be coming up against a solid rival in Galopin Des Champs, he should still run him close and potentially take advantage of any mistakes.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Jet Blue
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@8.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Jet Blue is my choice for the 15:20 at Cheltenham:
13 of the last 20 finished either 1st or 2nd last time out in Graded company.
18 of the last 20 placed in Graded company overall.
11 of the last 14 had placed over a minimum of 2m7f.
17 of the last 20 finished in the top 3 last time out.
17 of the last 20 had 3 or more runs.
17 of the last 17 had not previously run at Cheltenham or Aintree.
Jet Blue matches all of these trends similarly to Ballybow and Yellow Car. However, the form that Jet Blue is in at this moment in time tips the scales in their favor.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Dinoblue
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.20 takenBOG
@2.50
Win
75
Dinoblue matches all of the trends of the previous winners in this race: being Irish trained, won last time out after Christmas, won at least a Listed race, is 7 or 8 years old, has won or placed over 2m4f+, and is rated at least 140+. So, it should run very well today as no other horse matches all of these trends.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Absurde
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.50
Win
2
The stats behind why Absurde is my choice for the 14:00 at Cheltenham:
18 of the last 21 were novices or 2nd season hurdlers
All bar two this century had a rating not in the 150s
6 of the last 9 were ex flat horses
16 of the last 19 achieved their best RPR within the last 3 starts
11 of the last 11 were not beaten favourites last time out
17 of the last 17 were less than 9 years old
Absurde matches all of these trends and although a couple of other horses also match these trends, the form of his last hurdle win trumps both Pinot Gris and Ndaawi.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Hello Neighbour
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Hello Neighbour is my choice for the 13:20 at Cheltenham:
33 of the last 37 had more than one race
4 of the last 4 winners were placed in the Grade 1 at the Dublin Racing Festival
26 of the last 26 ran between 18-55 days before
10 of the last 12 have never finished outside the top 2
16 of the last 19 had their first hurdles run before 10th January
15 of the last 17 had 3 or less hurdle runs
Hello Neighbour is the only horse in the field that matches all of these trends so could spring an upset despite the two well fancied at the top of the market.
Subtotal-173
13 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Johnnywho
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 8.50
@8.50
Win
12
The stats behind why Johnnywho is my choice for the 17:20 at Cheltenham:
All bar two this century did not win last time out
20 of the last 20 had raced at least twice this season
17 of the last 20 were aged between 7 and 9 years old
15 of the last 19 achieved their best RPR within their last 2 races
8 of the last 10 had a rating between 137-145
Johnnywho is the only horse in the field to match all of these trends and should run very well especially with the highly talented Derek O’Connor on board and is my NAP for today’s meeting.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Masaccio
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG
@12.00
Win
30
The stats behind why Masaccio is my choice for the 16:40 at Cheltenham: 6 of the last 6 winners had won at Cheltenham this season. 10 of the last 11 had run in 12 or fewer chases. 9 of the last 9 had raced in Graded chase or hurdles company. 11 of the last 11 were rated between 140-149. All bar one this century were not beaten favorites last time out. 19 of the last 21 had raced this season, with 10 of the last 10 winning this season. 10 of the last 13 were aged between 6 and 9 years old. Masaccio matches these trends the most of any horse in this field. Although he has not won at Cheltenham this season, he was a close 3rd at this track last time out and is now 6 lbs better off with Jagwar, who beat him just over 3 lengths.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Rockys Diamond
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 26.00 on 13/03 at 01:010.10 deduction for Langer Dan@10.00 withdrawn at 07:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 25.00 x (1-0.10) = 23.50Best Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 23.50 BOG
@29.00
Win
115
The stats behind why Rocky’s Diamond is my choice for the 16:00 at Cheltenham: 9 of the last 11 were aged 6 or 7 years old. 7 of the last 11 were second season hurdlers. 38 of the last 38 finished in the first 4 last time out. 3 of the last 4 have come from the Leopardstown Christmas Hurdle. 17 of the last 21 finished 1st or 2nd last time out. All bar one this century had been minimum placed at Grade 1 and all had won at least a Grade 2. Rocky’s Diamond is a horse that fits the trends the most of any in the field, with the only trend not being the fact that he is 5 years old. But 45 of the last 52 have been aged 8 and under, so it is not out of the question for a 5-year-old to win and he has a solid chance.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Fact To File
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.38 takenBOG
@2.50
Win
75
The stats behind why Fact To File is my choice for the 15:20 at Cheltenham:
12 of the last 12 were aged between 7 and 9 years old.
9 of the last 9 had run in two previous Cheltenham Festivals.
17 of the last 17 had 4 or fewer runs in 2025.
13 of the last 17 had won a Grade 1.
15 of the last 15 were rated 161+.
13 of the last 17 were previous winners at Cheltenham.
8 of the last 10 finished 1st or 2nd at a minimum Grade 2 level last time out.
Fact To File matches these trends the most of any horse in the field, and although he didn’t finish top 2 last time out, he did finish 3rd in a Grade 1, with that being the only trend not fitting his performances so far.
1 member found this comment useful
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Bugise Seagull
Daily Racing
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Bugise Choice is my choice for the 14:40 at Cheltenham:
10 of the last 13 winners had 10 or fewer hurdle runs. All but one this century had run in the calendar year. All of the winners this century had not run at Cheltenham last time out nor were beaten favorites last time out. 14 of the last 15 had won no more than once this season. 12 of the last 14 had a rating of 138+.
Bugise Choice and Thomas Mor both match these trends, but the lower weight for Bugise Seagull swings the pendulum in his favor.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Caldwell Potter
Daily Racing
25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
300
The stats behind why Caldwell Potter is my choice for the 14:00 at Cheltenham:
3 of the last 5 winners had contested a Graded Novice Chase
12 of the last 13 had either ran 3 or 4 times over fences
15 of the last 16 had no more than 2 wins over fences
13 of the last 16 had finished 1st or 2nd last time out
12 of the last 16 were 6 or 7 years old
16 of the last 16 had ran in the calendar year.
Caldwell Potter is the only horse in the field that matches all of these trends and for a strong yard, should be able to make his presence felt again.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Maughreen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@10.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Maughreen is my choice for the 13:20 at Cheltenham:
6 of the last 9 had at least 4 starts over hurdles.
10 of the last 10 were 6 years old.
8 of the last 9 had placed at a minimum of 2m2f.
10 of the last 10 had finished in the top 3 last time out.
9 of the last 10 came from a non-Point-to-Point background.
10 of the last 10 were not beaten favourites last time out.
Maughreen matches most of these trends bar the 4 starts. However, she is held in very high regard by her trainer, and although Townend makes the switch, she should be able to run very well.
Subtotal432
12 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Bambino Fever
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionOdds taken at 7.00
@7.00
Win
300
The stats behind why Bambino Fever is my choice for the 17:20 at Cheltenham:
14 of the last 14 were not 4 years old.
7 of the last 9 were 5 years old.
10 of the last 12 were unbeaten since July.
10 of the last 10 were rated 120+.
8 of the last 9 had raced within the last 45 days.
17 of the last 19 were always in the top 2.
10 of the last 10 won a bumper with 11+ runners.
11 of the last 13 were Irish trained.
11 of the last 13 had run in more than one bumper.
Bambino Fever is the only horse in the field which fits all of these trends and so should be very difficult to beat, especially considering his most recent form has been franked with the runner-up winning next time out, and is why Bambino Fever is my NAP for today.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
My Mate Mozzie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why My Mate Mozzie is my win choice for the 16:40 at Cheltenham:
12 of the last 15 winners were aged 7, 8 or 9
14 of the last 14 were rated between 136-152
10 of the last 12 have had 4 or less runs this season
18 of the last 20 did not have a handicap win this season
16 of the last 20 have ran at a previous Cheltenham Festival
13 of the last 13 had been out for longer than 30 days
All bar 3 this century had ran at less than 2m3f.
My Mate Mozzie is the only horse in the field that fits the trends and should continue his upwards trajectory for his powerful yard.
1 member found this comment useful
So Scottish
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why So Scottish is my place choice for the 16:40 at Cheltenham:
12 of the last 15 winners were aged 7, 8 or 9
14 of the last 14 were rated between 136-152
10 of the last 12 have had 4 or less runs this season
18 of the last 20 did not have a handicap win this season
16 of the last 20 have ran at a previous Cheltenham Festival
13 of the last 13 had been out for longer than 30 days
All bar 3 this century had ran at less than 2m3f.
So Scottish meets all of these trends except for the run at less than 2m3f, however his form overall looks like he will be able to cope with this trip and should run well regardless.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Jonbon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Jonbon is my choice for the 16:00 at Cheltenham:
16 of the last 16 winners had run at Cheltenham previously.
15 of the last 16 had previously won a Grade 1.
18 of the last 20 had raced just 2 or 3 times this season.
All but 2 horses this century had a run in the calendar year and had won this season.
Although Jonbon and Energuneme both fit the trends, Jonbon’s class should see him through despite the query over how poor favorites have run in this race in the last decade.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Chemical Energy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Chemical Energy is my choice for the 15:20 at Cheltenham:
11 of the last 13 winners were aged 10 or younger.
15 of the last 19 had previously run over this course and distance.
12 of the last 14 had raced in Graded company.
11 of the last 14 had no more than 5 cross-country starts.
15 of the last 17 had won one or fewer starts this season.
6 of the last 7 winners have come from Gordon Elliott’s yard.
Chemical Energy and The Goffer are the only two horses to match all of these trends. However, Chemical Energy gets the nod because The Goffer is out of the weights, so that could be a slight detriment.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Al Gasparo
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@21.00
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Al Gasparo is my choice for the 14:40 at Cheltenham:
7 of the last 7 winners had won a Listed race
10 of the last 10 had won between 2m2f-2m6f
9 of the last 10 had no more than 1 handicap win
12 of the last 15 had previously ran at Cheltenham
13 of the last 15 had no more than 4 runs this season
15 of the last 16 were rated 138+
16 of the last 17 were aged 8 or younger
Al Gasparo is the only horse in the field to match all of these trends and so should run very well today and is my NB for today’s racing at Cheltenham.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Ballyburn
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
The stats behind why Ballyburn is my choice for the 14:00 at Cheltenham:
14 of the last 15 winners have had between 6 and 13 runs.
16 of the last 17 were aged 7 or 8.
17 of the last 18 had finished at least 1st or 2nd in a Grade 2.
10 of the last 10 were rated 150+ over fences.
9 of the last 13 were rated 143+ over hurdles.
14 of the last 18 had run a previous Cheltenham Festival.
Ballyburn matches all of these trends, and despite making some errors in jumping at times, his class should see him through this field today.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
The New Lion
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 2.88 takenBOG
@4.00
Win
150
The stats behind why The New Lion is my choice for the 13:20 at Cheltenham:
All but 4 winners this century won last time out
9 of the last 11 winners were 6 years old
10 of the last 10 had 3 or less runs over hurdles this season
9 out of the last 9 had won both of their previous 2 starts
13 of the last 16 had won a Graded race
15 of the last 15 had won a bumper
The New Lion is the only horse in the field to match all of these trends and although 9 of the last 10 winners have come from Irish yards, the strength of the selection today should make it 9 of the last 11.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal150
11 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Stuzzikini
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
These are the trends that fit Stuzzikini for my place selection today:
11 of the last 13 have had 4+ runs over fences
22 of the last 24 have been aged 7 or older
14 of the last 15 have had a run in Graded company.
11 of the last 15 have been chasing before November
26 of the last 28 were 1st or 2nd over 3m+
7 of the last 8 were Irish trained
Stuzzikini matches all of these similar to Will Do however the most recent piece of form was underwhelming but he should run well at a price for Gordon Elliott.
Will Do
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
These are the trends that fit Will Do for my win selection today:
11 of the last 13 have had 4+ over fences
22 of the last 24 have been aged 7 or older
14 of the last 15 have had a run in Graded company.
11 of the last 15 have been chasing before November
26 of the last 28 were 1st or 2nd over 3m+
7 of the last 8 were Irish trained
Will Do matches all of these and his recent form including over 3m3f bodes well for today’s longer trip and should run well for Gordon Elliott.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Holy See
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
These are the trends that fit Holy See for my place selection today:
4 of the last 6 have come from a Naas hurdle on February 8th.
24 of the last 24 have not previously run at Cheltenham.
12 of the last 12 had less than 2 hurdle wins.
10 of the last 11 were rated between 125-139.
12 of the last 12 have been a gelding.
Holy See matches all of these trends. However, his performance in the Naas hurdle tempers enthusiasm, but the fact he went off favourite that day does speak volumes. He could improve again based on how good the winner has been since.
Murcia
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@13.00
Lose
-50
These are the trends that fit Murcia for my win selection today: 4 of the last 6 have come from a Naas hurdle on February 8th. 24 of the last 24 have not previously run at Cheltenham. 12 of the last 12 had less than 2 hurdle wins. 10 of the last 11 were rated between 125-139. 12 of the last 12 have been a gelding. Murcia matches all of those trends except for being a gelding. However, her performance in the Naas hurdle, only being beaten a neck by a subsequent graded winner, is very good form and gets the deciding vote today.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Constitution Hill
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
These are the trends that fit Constitution Hill for my selection today: 15 of the last 17 have had a win in a Grade 1. 23 of the last 24 have previously run at a Festival. 21 of the last 24 won last time out. 10 of the last 10 were unbeaten that season. 15 of the last 16 have come from Nicky Henderson or were Irish trained. Constitution Hill matches all of those trends and is a worthy favourite, so should win today despite Brighterdaysahead also matching all of those trends. But the OR of Constitution Hill is what gets the deciding factor today.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Jade De Grugy
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
These are the trends that fit Jade De Grugy for my selection today:
22 of the last 24 have had a win at 2m4f+.
14 of the last 17 have at least placed in Graded company.
13 of the last 17 won last time out.
14 of the last 17 had a hurdles rating of 147+.
15 of the last 17 had won against males.
10 of the last 16 have come from Willie Mullins.
15 of the last 16 have come from the first 4 in the market.
Jade De Grugy matches all of those trends and should have a great chance today despite odds-on favourite Lossiemouth, who bucks the trends having not won last time out.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Broadway Boy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Broadway Boy meets the trends the most out of all of the horses in this field. Seven of the last ten winners have run at Cheltenham this season, just like Broadway Boy. Thirteen of the last fourteen were aged nine or less, and each of the horses since 2000 had a best RPR of 3m+, and his came in the 3m2f Coral Cup on his penultimate start. Ten of the last twelve were also rated between 139-151, and his rating of 150 suits that trend, so he should run well.
Henrys Friend
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Lose
-50
He ran at the Cheltenham Festival last year but over the too far trip of 3m6f, and this trip will suit better. His only slight concern is the fact he has not run at Cheltenham this season, which 7 of the last 10 winners have, but he has won here previously. His best RPR has come over 3m+ like each of the winners since 2000 and should run well considering he rates within the 139-151 (off his mark of 145) as 10 of the last 12 have done in the same range.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Majborough
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@1.53
Lose
-50
Willie Mullins and Nicky Henderson have dominated this race, previously winning 10 of the last 13 between them. This is great news for Majborough. He has also had a course run previously, so he is used to this track, with which 16 of the last 18 have done so. Additionally, 16 of the last 18 were rated at least 142 over hurdles, with Majborough rated 147 over the smaller obstacles. L'Eau Du Sud was not, and Jango Baie did not win last time out, which would buck the trend as 14 of the last 15 winners won LTO. All this suits the trend for Majborough.
2 members found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Kopek Des Bordes
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@2.00
Win
50
He has won all 3 starts so far, including a 13 length win in a Grade 1 last time out. The introduction of headgear does temper enthusiasm with a lack of headgear wearing winners this century, however it should help calm him from the atmosphere. Horses rated 153+ have a good record in this race and he has an OR of 157 and to put that in comparison, 2nd favourite Romeo Coolio has an OR of 148.
1 member found this comment useful
Salvator Mundi
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
He has won his last 2 starts, including a Grade 2 at Punchestown, and a maiden win by 62 lengths. He finished behind the top-class Sir Gino on debut. With 85% of the winners in this race having won a Grade 2 at least, he is one of just four horses in this field to have done so and could place at decent odds for a strong yard.
Subtotal-450
09 March 2025
16:58 4:58 Warwick
Northern Poet
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG
@5.50
Win
225
He relishes good ground with all of his last 4 wins coming on the surface so the sunny weather will boost his chances further. He is yet to attempt a trip of this magnitude but is related to Grand National winner Amberleigh House so the trip should be no problem and he won his only start here by 5.5 lengths so has a great chance.
Subtotal225
08 March 2025
18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City
Oakley Boy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
He was a disappointing odds-on last time out when 3rd of 4, beaten by the re-opposing Just Like Magic. However, he is now 4 lbs better off with that rival for a 3-length defeat and should be able to turn the tables today.
17:40 5:40 Wolverhampton
Hala Joza
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
She hasn't shown anything on any previous start in maidens and novices. However, she could improve for her first handicap start off such a low mark. She is a half-sister to 5 winners, including Dora Penny, Charlie Mason, and Doctor Nuno, who were all all-weather winners, as was her dam Aubrietia, who was prolific on the all-weather, with a 33% win rate on the surface.
17:35 5:35 Gowran Park
Powerful Paddy
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@19.00
Lose
-50
He finished 3rd on bumper debut, finishing just 2.5 lengths behind the winner which was a very solid start. He can come on from that today based on his pedigree as he is a half brother to bumper winner Shanches, and his dam was a half sister to two more bumper winners in useful Prominent Profile and Back Me Up so has a solid chance.
16:55 4:55 Hereford
Uptown Lass
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
She was comfortably beaten in a Listed race on debut. However, she was eased down well before the end as she was 30 lengths behind the horse in front of her and 53 lengths off the winner. She should show more now, significantly down in grade, as she is related to smart bumper winner Puffin Billy and useful bumper winners Zuzka and Tycoon Prince. Great chance for a very strong yard.
15:00 3:00 Sandown
A Path To Ronda
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
She won well on debut, and although that form has not been well advertised since, she should improve based on her pedigree. She is a half-sister to 5 winners, including high-class bumper winner Simonsig and useful bumper winner Drumcliff. Her dam, Dusty Too, was also a useful bumper winner, so she is bred to do well in this discipline.
1 member found this comment useful
Roses All The Way
Daily Racing
25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@15.00
Void
0
She is still a maiden but she has placed in all 4 of her runs so far including a 2nd in a Listed contest and 3rd in a Class 2. She can improve being a half sister to bumper winners Sweet Auburn and Turbo and her dam Snug Bunch was also a bumper winner so could run well.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-250
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
