TipTom

Hi I target the biggest horse races of the week (both codes) using historical trends, comparing the stats of previous winners and narrowing the field finding the value bet. I also use my own personal notes and information from my tracker as I stat-profile thoroughbreds throughout the week for my own personal enjoyment. I recommend a 40 point betting bank, simple 1 point win bets or 0.5 point e/w bets and I try and get the earliest possible price on BOG often placing my bets at 8am in the morning or 2 days earlier if I want to grab the price. My process is a patient bank building method that builds profit steadily over the year and not to mention the fun involved. These are the biggest races of the week and provide hours of entertainment on a race day. I stake sensibly, all my tips are 1 point win or 0.5 point e/w bets. I’m not a high roller, I’m a family man who enjoys betting on racing and spend any extra cash I make on my young family although I do spend a lot of time and effort doing this and take my betting very seriously. Thank you for checking me out and I hope you all enjoy following my tips and more importantly bet responsibly.

1

Estimated Prizes
this month

£5

Estimated Prize money
this month

TipTom's Tips History

All tips
All sports
20 July 2024
15:55 3:55 Ripon

Fox Journey

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@9.00

Lose

-50

Being dutched alongside Mr Alan the selection drops back down 2 furlongs to his favoured 1 1/2 mile trip to a more achievable mark, he looks well handicapped judging by this 11 length win over the trip in May.

Mr Alan

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@9.50

Lose

-50

I'm dutching MrAlan with Fox Journey e/w as they were inseparable in the race trends, the selection still looks capable on this mark and he's won on the ground previously.
15:40 3:40 Curragh

Port Fairy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

I'd already selected this filly before Ryan Moore dropped her in favour of Content, the price has drifted making her a decent value e/w bet. She won the Ribbesdale lto and winners of that have a decent record In the Irish Oaks and I expect a big run despite the jockey booking.
13 July 2024
18:05 6:05 Chester

Witch Hunter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

I'm not concerned that this Richard Hannon runner has ran 6 times since April 26th, the yards horses are hard wearing and used to running frequently. This gelding has been running well in better quality races this season finishing enthusiastically in group 3 company lto, he ran well in this contest last year too finishing a length behind the winner from an even trickier draw than today. If he's not ran 1 race too many he'll be on the premises at the finish line.
16:35 4:35 Newmarket

Swingalong

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG

@23.00

Win

85

The filly finished her last race really strongly in the group 1 Jubilee Stakes at Ascot, she's finished in the top 4 in all her UK group 1 races. The yard have also hit good form recently and she's finished top 3 on her 3rd seasonal start every year so far. The current 20/1 available represents excellent value with a few bookies paying 4 places as shes finished top 4 on all but 1 start on the good ground.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 York

Epic Poet

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 9.50

@9.50

Win

17

Ran well at Ascot lto finishing his race strongly, he's also got some decent French form including a listed race win. He's on the same mark as lto and has a decent e/w chance.
13:45 1:45 Ascot

Fair Wind

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@10.00

Win

450

Ran well in a competitive class 2 handicap at Thirsk lto the grey gelding also ran well at Ascot 3 starts ago finishing 2nd. The track suits and the 4 year old is likely to improve again.

Haymaker

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

45

I've gone Dutch backing this gelding e/w alongside Fair Wind as they're both likely to place. He's never finished outside the top 5 on the ground, has a good record in handicaps and just missed out lto, he's likely to run well again today.
11 July 2024
16:45 4:45 Newmarket

Native American

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Wathnam Racing owned colts ran well in his only listed start so far getting beaten by a short head 2 starts ago. He's ran respectably in both his group starts too. This is an easier race than his 19 runner group 3 at Ascot 19 days ago and the 10/1 price available is too big to ignore.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket

Space Legend

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-50

Another decent chance for this owners group in the opening race, especially as Kinesiology (also shortlisted) became a non runner leaving the Haggas colt as the stand out option to challenge the favourite. He's not put a foot wrong this season and his 2nd place finish at Ascot lto stands out.
06 July 2024
15:15 3:15 Haydock

Chillingham

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Void

0

Dutching this gelding with La Yakel, backing both e/w, I couldn't separate them. The geldings wearing the cheekpieces alongside the hood for the second time, he's always at least placed previously on his 2nd start with equipment and he's finished top 4 on every start over the trip.
1 member found this comment useful

La Yakel

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Void

0

Gelding comes back after a 266 day break but it won't be an issue, he came back from a 281 day break last season and lost by a neck. He's 3,1,2 in the month of July and conditions are in his favour.
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Spiritual

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 17.00 takenBOG

@26.00

Win

750

Filly's shortened slightly in the betting this morning but she's still a huge price for a Gosden runner, I think the jockey booking may have put people off backing her but the filly's got a very shrewd owner who's sent quite a few winners to this track. She looks far better value than the stable first string and she ran well lto.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Dual Identity

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Geldings a course regular around here, hes 5,1,2,1,1,3 at the track and winning off a mark of 98 looks achievable, the yard are also in tremendous form and he looks decent value at the price still available.
14:05 2:05 Haydock

Too Bossy For Us

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

17

The colt finished 3rd lto over 1 mile 4 furlongs and looked like he's crying out for more. He's not finished outside the top 3 in his 3 year old season and conditions suit.
05 July 2024
16:50 4:50 Sandown

Roberto Escobarr

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

First start for his new yard, the gelding has previous decent form in group races, we know he can go the distance,he's won off similar length breaks andtnd jockey booking is a bonus, he could be overpriced here.
16:15 4:15 Sandown

Savvy Victory

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 6.50 on 05/07 at 08:200.10 deduction for Regal Reality@9.00 withdrawn at 15:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.95

@5.95

Lose

-1

Last years winner off 105, he's still only on 109, made a decent comeback at Ascot and looks like this race might be the target again.
02 July 2024
19:50 7:50 Roscommon

Deakin

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

4 year olds have dominated previous runnings of this race and the selection ran respectably at Ascot in a competitive handicap lto finishing in the top half of the field. His regular jockey prefers his ageing but more favoured stablemate Raise You but Declan McDonoghs won this race before and so has the trainer with a tongue tied runner and when running 2 In the race. The price isn't big enough to back e/w so I'm punting that he can finish in front of the entire field and the chestnut geldings been well backed since the opening prices became available and he'll be expected to be even shorter by 7.50 this evening.
1 member found this comment useful
29 June 2024
15:35 3:35 Chester

Golden Pharaoh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

French import has some half decent form for her previous trainer including a handicap win. Her British debut lto wasn't disasterous finishing 4 lengths behind the winner in a really hot race at York. Danny Tudhope climbs on board this time and the 66/1 is too massive to ignore, especially with certain bookies paying 3 places in a 7 runner field with most of the field having questions to answer.
15:30 3:30 Curragh

Bluestocking

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.88

Win

94

The filly's form really stands out in this field after her 6 length win at York lto, she gets her preferred ground and is the rightful favourite.
14:20 2:20 Curragh

Truly Enchanting

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@5.50

Win

225

I expected this filly's price to be shorter despite finishing 13th at Ascot lto, it wouldn't be the first time Aidan O Brien (whose won this race 7 times in the last 12 years) has won here with an Ascot failure. Ryan Moore's on board again, he's rode the winner 6 times in the last 9 runnings. The filly's also drawn in stall 7 which has drawn the previous 2 winners.
13:35 1:35 Newcastle

Wiltshire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

The Haggas yard do well at this meeting, the gelding is 2/2 on the a/w and there's just enough juice in the current price to squeeze an e/w bet on the current 2nd favourite whose 2/4 over the trip.
28 June 2024
17:25 5:25 Newcastle

Thunder Moor

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

Gelding ran well on turf at Windsor lto, finishing behind him already produced a subsequent winner. He ran at Windsor prior to his last success in Britain, that was his 1 winner on the a/w on his solitary a/w start. Trainer has a good record with 4+ yr olds at the track and he's still large enough to back e/w.
22 June 2024
18:25 6:25 Ayr

Graceful Thunder

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

Trainers only sent 1 runner here and he doesn't send many to this track, the filly's got decent form at listed level and previously placed in group level. Her price is too big to ignore as the doesn't look like a strong race at all.
18:15 6:15 Royal Ascot

Postileo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

Jockey Doyle is 1/1 on 4 + yr olds for the yard, gelding had a decent prep race in the Vintage Crop Stakes, Statum ran in that before winning in 2021, the Irish have done well in this race in recent years and he tops the shortlist.
16:05 4:05 Limerick

Dancing Tango

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Win

64

The yard have won this race before and the mares won at this level 2 starts ago. Shes won 3 times (twice in 8 runner fields) and the jockey is 4 1 3 on the mare. She's a huge price especially if no one drops out with the bookies still paying 3 places.
15:45 3:45 Royal Ascot

Mill Stream

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

The price could be bigger but I expect Mill Stream to succeed here ahead of the filly Believing whose over raced running twice already this month including 4 days ago plus filly's don't do very well in this race apart from Black Caviar 12 years ago but she was exceptional. This is a weak renewal and Buicks colt tops the shortlist.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Continuous

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-50

The colts form stands out by far in this renewal, he's won on the g/f ground before and the yard have been on fire this week. I'm expecting the selection and Derert Hero to finish first 2.
21 June 2024
15:45 3:45 Royal Ascot

Rouhiya

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@12.00

Lose

-50

Owned by Aga Khan who won the race last year with an Irish Guinness winner, this year he targets it with a French Guinness winner, he targets this race. The fillys unraced on the ground but previous winners have been too. He topped the shortlist a shade ahead of Porta Fortuna whose yet to win beyond 6 furlongs although both could place here.
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Jasour

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

The grey colts shortened in the betting, despite the price becoming skinny I've backed him, he won in a decent manner lto in the trial race. Jim Crowley back on board again, that's a bonus, hes 2/2 on the colt whose also 2/3 on the g/f ground. He'll be on the premises, possibly chased home by Evade who could run a big race at a bigger price but I'm all over Jasour for the win.

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