GoatyMcBoaty

Handicapper for In The Money Media & assistant to Graham Motion. British.

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GoatyMcBoaty's Tips History

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28 July 2025
02:03 02:03 Del Mar

Formidable Man

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

2x G1 winner Formidable Man has so much going for him here: he's tactical enough to adopt a favorable forward position; is 3/3 at Del Mar; 3/3 going 1 1/8M in California and he's beaten most of these already before. 6/4 could be a very good price.
01:33 01:33 Del Mar

Usha

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Although Margarita Girl looks tough in here, we're beginning to find out where her level lies speed figure-wise, and it doesn't seem inconceivable that Baffert's USHA can't reach that level off the layoff. After breezing with Tenma, she held her own against some talented fillies last year before going to the sidelines and has breezed exceptionally well for her return. Lasix on first time and a tactician post, she may have more to offer as a 3YO.
27 July 2025
23:02 23:02 Del Mar

Dial A Friend

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

At what will hopefully be a decent price, Dial A Friend is interesting in here, especially considering how fast this turf course has been playing. He ran two nice races here going 5F against decent goers last year, then won well over the main track before trying some QH races and extending his winning streak. Back to turf with a clear pace edge, he might just nick it on the front.
21:02 21:02 Saratoga

Keepinitreal

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-200

Keepinitreal should really be even money or shorter here, having taken money in all three starts, hit the board in all three starts, and split two talented horses off the bench last time. He has speed to get out of the low draw, has proven himself on an off track, and looks mighty tough for the Prat/Brown duo.
18:44 18:44 Saratoga

Five To Two

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Five To Two was upwardly mobile last year when facing tougher foes than she meets today; reclaimed by Rice two back, she went to the sidelines before returning over 6 1/2F last time. She missed the board in that race, but ran sneakily well in defeat having been bumped out of the gates, then asked to make a big mid-race move. She should be tighter today as she now stretches out to two turns on the slop which she's proven to love. Rice excels stretching horses out second off the layoff.
18:10 18:10 Saratoga

Colonial Rose

Daily Racing

400 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-400

Colonial Rose looks to have been a shrewd claim by Norm Casse who picked her up at Keeneland earlier this year, instantly entered her in a starter allowance (crucially with blinkers off) and enjoyed watching her romp. Her 85 Beyer from that race is by far the best on offer in this moderate looking affair, and it came on a sloppy track, so she'll have no issue with track conditions today. With a likable pace setup too, she should be tough to beat.
01:33 01:33 Del Mar

Nysos

Daily Racing

71 WIN

@1.50

Win

36

Although Nysos will have to stretch out further than he's ever gone before, it's almost impossible to look past him here. An unbeaten 2YO, he returned with a winning effort in a red-hot G1 on the slop at Churchill in May, then blew away an overmatched group last time. Third off the layoff, he looks mighty tough in here following some serious morning drills.
01:03 01:03 Del Mar

Remember April

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

At what's likely to be a big price, I'll take a stab on Remembr April here. This Yakteen-trained filly debuted over 5F on the turf at Los Alamitos recently. She failed to hit the board; however, she did run home strongly and then gallop out in front. It was an encouraging debut, and with so much turf route form in her pedigree (good form too), one can expect her to take a notable step forward here in what looks like a weak race.
26 July 2025
22:41 22:41 Saratoga

Sovereignty

Daily Racing

400 WIN

@1.44

Win

176

While there's been plenty of discussion about whether Sovereignty will be fully fit for this race or not, seeing as it's no more than a prep for the Travers, and there's a lack of speed in here, one feels that he should simply overwhelm this field again. The KY Derby winner showed a new dimension in the Belmont, racing closer to the pace and then exploding last with a 23 and change final 1/4 mile. The cut back in trip should be no issue for him, he looks better than this group and Mott surely hasn't let him down so much that he can't win this?
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22:04 22:04 Saratoga

Classic Q

Daily Racing

60 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-60

It's a shame that this race has been plagued with scratches. However, it does mean that Classic Q becomes an even stronger selection. Having always shown ability, she dominated in a stake last time; that seemed to be her coming out party. She has to get another 1/16M today, which isn't a given, but she does look lone speed. The way she won at Churchill earlier this year would offer hope that'll be no issue.
21:28 21:28 Saratoga

Blamicker

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Blamicker didn't have to beat much when winning at Finger Lakes last time, but he ran fast (86 Beyer tops this field) and looked good doing it, lengthening powerfully away from his rivals at the line. That race was his first for 211 days, so there's a chance he'll strip fitter today, and although there's plenty of other pace in this race, he might just be the best of it.
20:52 20:52 Saratoga

Tommy Jo

Daily Racing

75 WIN

@5.00

Win

300

There are plenty of ways you can go in this open MSW, but Tommy Jo looks the pick. Out of the extremely talented GSW Mother Mother, this horse has looked exceptional in the morning, recently outworking Miwa (GB), who contested a G1 two starts back. Pletcher unleashes his best 2Yo's here (like the one he let run yesterday) and it's encouraging to see Johnny V up.
20:22 20:22 Monmouth Park

Fondly

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-250

It's hard to look past Fondly in this race following her romp in the Delaware Oaks last time. She beat the 1-2 finishers from the Black-Eyed Susan Stakes, including the reposing Paris Lily who, extraordinarily, is favored. Fondly looked in a different league to her rivals that day. Yes, she got an easy time of things on the lead, but Paris Lily was right upsides her and she certainly doesn't need the lead. With plenty of speed signed on, she should be able to stalk from the outside, and if she's anything like she was last time, she'll be tough to beat.
18:07 18:07 Saratoga

Further Ado

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

I'm going to take a stab on Further Ado in this spot. He's been working well for the Brad Cox barn, has a precocious pedigree, and is drawn favorably to sit in the clear while close. Taking money too.
24 July 2025
19:18 19:18 Saratoga

Waitinonasunnyday

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Waitinonasunnday has been training lights out for this debut and has a precocious pedigree to back up his chances. Kimmel is perfectly capable with debutants.
20 July 2025
22:44 22:44 Saratoga

R Disaster

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Scylla could overwhelm this field, but I'm not sure cutting back to 6F is what she wants and so I'll take a stab on R Disaster instead. This Saffie Joseph trainee is 9-for-9 in the exacta lifetime and 4-for-4 going a flat 6F. She could end up controlling things on the front end from gate two, certainly looks the best of the speed, and doesn't go down without a fight easily. With speed playing kindly at the Spa, she might just hold on.
19:18 19:18 Saratoga

Then

Daily Racing

200 WIN

@1.83

Win

166

Then has been running very well against tough company lately and now returns off a brief freshening to face easier competition. He worked well lately and is taking a ton of money.
18:44 18:44 Saratoga

Fast Market

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

5

Fast Market has run well in some tough MSW races to date and held her own against good fillies without getting the win. Assessing her form, turf sprinting looks as if it will bring out the best in her, which her pedigree would suggest too. Having shown good speed in all her races, she should adopt a comfortable position to go close at a fair price.
19 July 2025
23:46 23:46 Saratoga

Vekoma Rides

Daily Racing

75 EW

@8.50

Lose

-150

Vekoma has done little wrong in his career so far and ran a likable race again off the layoff in a stake last time. Yes, there are a couple of other notable runners in here, but this guy may have more to come with blinkers going on, and he's more than a fair price.
23:13 23:13 Saratoga

Mullikin

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

With Skelly expected to scratch from this race, the door could be left open for Mulikin to wire the field. Unlike Bookem Danno, he'll be suited by the cut back in trip.
22:45 22:45 Monmouth Park

Goal Oriented

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

With three places on offer, GOAL ORIENTED seems a more than fair price at 9/1. He was involved in some scrimmaging when beaten in the Preakness last time, but has worked well since, proven himself to be talented, and Baffert's confidence in him to send him here is noteworthy.
22:38 22:38 Saratoga

Immersive

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-300

With La Cara scratched, this looks like an open goal for Immersive to get the money, having run well when short of work at Churchill last time.
22:09 22:09 Monmouth Park

Redistricting

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

With the second favorite, Corruption, now scratched, Redistricting looks like the best horse who will be forwardly placed in this modestly run affair, which will dent the chances of Rebel Red.
22:04 22:04 Saratoga

Zeitlos

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

The market leaders could dominate this race, but I'll take a shot on ZEITLOS to run well - a horse who's bred for the turf and done little wrong in her two turf starts to date. She'll get pace to run at and can make amends for a tough beat in this race last year.
21:37 21:37 Monmouth Park

Dorth Vader

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-150

But for a bad trip, Dorth Vader should have beaten the fav two back, just like she did last time. She's always shown promise, looks to be at her best right now and should get a good set up once again.
21:05 21:05 Monmouth Park

Nothing Better

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-150

There's a strong possibility that, like so many horses, Isivunguvungu won't be so good since venturing to Dubai. Therefore, Nothing Better seems attractive. He held his own against 'Isi' last year, won a race just as good as today's race, and ran consistently to a high level. As per usual, he wasn't at his best off the bench last time but should strip fitter today, and he looks dangerous back at Monmouth with Irad up.
20:30 20:30 Colonial Downs

Mystic Seaport

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-500

Mystic Seaport has won five of her last six starts on turf and was a good winner again on a soft turf course last time, crucially showing a new dimension by coming from off the pace. With that proven tactical versatility, she should have no issue handling this group that she simply looks much better than.
19:30 19:30 Colonial Downs

Disco Rules

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@2.00

Win

150

After just three career starts, Disco Rules has already proven himself to be better than today's second choice, DAZZY. It was a good field that he beat two back, then he lost nothing in defeat finishing second to MGSP Liam In The Dust last time. Third start of the form cycle, he can get the job done here.
19:24 19:24 Monmouth Park

Just A Touch

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-500

Just A Touch has always promised to be a good horse and has really developed well into his four-year-old year. He looks like the lone speed in here and is simply better than this group.
18:52 18:52 Monmouth Park

Sacred Wish

Daily Racing

150 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-150

Sacred Wish has typically been very consistent running in tough races; didn't fire last time on a boggy course at Churchill Downs but now drops in grade and gets back on a firm surface which should make her tough to beat.
00:00 00:00 Del Mar

Lannister

Daily Racing

400 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-400

Lannister has been working well upsides G1 calibre horses such as Gaming and Barnes in the morning. It's not insignificant that Baffert has decided to debut him here and if as good as he seems, he could take some stopping.
18 July 2025
23:30 23:30 Del Mar

Itzel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

ITZEL has shown on a few occasions that he has the ability to mix it with this group. He looks like the lone speed in this race, which will be run over a speed-favoring track.
23:25 23:25 Colonial Downs

Longhi

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.00 on 18/07 at 16:26 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 3 used instead of 2.00 taken BOG

@4.00

Win

150

This doesn't look an overly competitive maiden and LONGHI does really look to be a standout. By CARAVAGIO, he has precocity in his pedigree and although he's been a little slow out of the gate in his morning drills, he may simply be just better than these.
22:56 22:56 Colonial Downs

Determined Kingdom

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@1.30

Void

0

DETERMINED KINGDOM has won this race for the last few years and looks set to overwhelm his rivals again. He's taken a little time to find form since joining Trobetta's barn but looks to be rounding into form nicely now and should take some stopping.
17 July 2025
22:44 22:44 Saratoga

Enlighten

Daily Racing

450 WIN

@SP

Lose

-450

Enlighten takes a notable class drop here for Pletcher and Irad which makes him look very tough to beat here. He won well off the layoff at GP in the winter, proving he can fire fresh and also has tactical speed which seems essential on this track.
20:30 20:30 Colonial Downs

Simply Stated

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Win

150

Simply Stated has run some races that give her a winning shot here and showed her ability remains when 4th in a slowly run stake quality allowance at BAQ last time. She now gets a little class relief and gets blinkers on for the first time, which, with plenty of speed to set things up for her, should see her go close for her in-form trainer.
20:10 20:10 Delaware Park

Mystic Lake

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@1.17

Win

85

With ST BENEDICT'S PREP scratched, this looks like a free square for MYSTIK LAKE, who towers above her rivals and should have no issue taking this group gate to wire.
18:28 18:28 Colonial Downs

Fair Trade

Daily Racing

400 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-400

With Feelin So Lucky scratched, Fair Trade looks something of a certainty here. Having previously held her own against tougher competition, she dropped in grade last time and romped. Today's field looks no tougher, and she can make it back-to-back wins with the rail draw in her favor.
17:59 17:59 Colonial Downs

Miss Authentic

Daily Racing

400 WIN

@1.50

Win

200

Miss Authentic has been knocking on the door in her recent races against tougher company and should now get the job done in this weak looking MSW.
11 July 2025
19:38 19:38 Delaware Park

Military Road

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

MILITARY ROAD has had many attempts at breaking the maiden but has come up short multiple times. However, this three-runner race is by far the easiest competition he's faced, and he should win easily.
19:06 19:06 Delaware Park

Bollo De Crema

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Both of Bollo De Crema's dirt tries have been good enough to win this modest-looking affair, and she should handle this group with the surface switch.
10 July 2025
19:38 19:38 Delaware Park

Cuz Ur Pretty

Daily Racing

300 WIN

@1.91

Win

273

Cuz Ur Pretty has done little wrong since being claimed out of Finger Lakes and simply looks too good for this group after drubbing a much stronger field last time. Can be tactical from the outside post too.
05 July 2025
23:13 23:13 Saratoga

Warming

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

If it weren't for bad luck two back, Warming should be unbeaten, and she was much better than the winning margin of her prior win suggests. Motion's confidence in sending her here is notable, and she should sit a good trip.
03 July 2025
23:48 23:48 Saratoga

Cliffs

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

Cliffs ran a super race sprinting on debut behind two nice horses. Now stretches out to two turns on the turf, which his pedigree suggests will move him up. Big run expected.
23:12 23:12 Saratoga

La Salvadorena

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

LA Salvadoreña returned off the layoff with a huge effort in defeat last time. This field is no tougher, and with Prat back aboard, he can go in.
22:03 22:03 Saratoga

Lavender Disaster

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Lavender Disaster has done nothing wrong in her career, except when she was carried out in her second start. She won well last time, should get a good setup, and can go in.
30 June 2025
21:20 21:20 Thistledown

Last Cookie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

LAST COOKIE has run well in both his last two starts, including when finishing behind two of today's rivals last time. He closed while wide into a pace that held up well that day. Barbaran now gets back aboard, he's drawn more favorably and should get a better setup.
20:50 20:50 Thistledown

Geaux Yoshka

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Geaux Yoshka beat two next-out winners when finishing 2nd to a talented rival off the layoff two back, then won well last time. Now makes his third start of the form cycle and looks to go well again for his in-form barn with a favorable setup.
20:20 20:20 Thistledown

Eagle Nest

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 0.83 on 30/06 at 15:54 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 1.5 used instead of 0.83 taken BOG

@2.50

Win

75

Eagles Nest was outclassed in a stakes race on a sloppy track last time but now drops back down in class with Lasix back on. If he returns to anything like the level of form he showed prior to his last start, he'll be tough to beat.
18:50 18:50 Thistledown

Bourbon On Fire

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Bourbon On Fire has returned from his layoff in fine form, finishing 2nd and 1st in his two starts. He now looks to have found a perfect opportunity to extend his winning run in this weak looking contest.

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