tommym44
I'm a 4 time winner of the OLBG Top Horse Racing tipster competition (Aug '21 , Sep '22, Sep '23, Oct '23) . ; I fully expect to be prominent in the horse racing tipster contest in the months to come ; aiming for Edwinps spot!
0
Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
tommym44's Tips History
17 September 2024
08:00 Xinyu Wang vs Mayar Sherif
Mayar Sherif
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
07:00 Peyton Stearns vs Emma Raducanu
Peyton Stearns
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
05:30 Tatjana Maria vs Viktoriya Tomova
Tatjana Maria
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
04:00 Polina Kudermetova vs Priscilla Hon
Polina Kudermetova
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Win
65
Subtotal-85
14 September 2024
15:00 Crystal Palace v Leicester
Crystal Palace
50 WIN
@1.65
Lose
-50
Palace have been excellent under Glasner and I think Leicester will be going straight back where they came from ; should be comfortable for Palace.
15:00 Reading v Leyton Orient
Reading
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Leyton Orient have played five games and lost them all , Shrewsbury who arent very good scored 3 against them last time. Reading scored 2 against Charlton and easily beat Wigan.
Subtotal-100
13 September 2024
20:00 Camila Osorio vs Kamilla Rakhimova
Camila Osorio
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
16:00 Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Sonay Kartal
Yuliia Starodubtseva
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
02:30 Ashlyn Krueger vs Magdalena Frech
Magdalena Frech
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
01:00 Jelena Ostapenko vs Marina Stakusic
Marina Stakusic
Win Match
50 WIN
@4.50
Win
175
Subtotal266
12 September 2024
16:00 Lucia Bronzetti vs Ann Li
Ann Li
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
16:00 Yuriko Lily Miyazaki vs Antonia Ruzic
Yuriko Lily Miyazaki
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
Subtotal-100
10 September 2024
20:00 Kimberly Birrell vs Ena Shibahara
Ena Shibahara
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Shibahara's won 6 of her last 7 (all against players with a similar ranking or better to Birrell) with the only defeat to world number 1 Swiatek. Birrells not in bad form either but Shibahara ought to be the favourite in my view and isnt.
20:00 Tatjana Maria vs Ashlyn Krueger
Ashlyn Krueger to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Maria made the final last week and I think this veteran could be running on empty against her younger fitter opponent. Kruegers the higher ranked player anyway and should win in straight
18:00 Emina Bektas vs Magdalena Frech
Magdalena Frech
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.38
Win
19
Frech has had wins over Podoroska and Bouzkova lately who are both a fair bit better than Bektas ; Bektas hasn't beaten a top 150 rated opponent in her last 4 attempts and Frech is ranked 43.
18:00 Marina Stakusic vs Anna Karolina Schmiedlova
Anna Karolina Schmiedlova
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
Stakusic has lost 4 in a row now including a defeat to the world number 294 last time ; she lost to the number 177 in the match before and now takes on the number 98 who's had comfortable wins over the number 148 and 116 in her last 3 matches.
17:30 Maria Timofeeva vs Greet Minnen
Greet Minnen
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.65
Void
0
Timofeeva's won 3 of her last 4 but the last 2 times she faced players in the top 100 (Minnens at 88) she lost bothim times to players ranked 53 and 68 ; Minnens had wins over Cristian and Frech lately and so should be much too good for Timofeeva.
17:30 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Lea Boskovic
Lea Boskovic
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Boskovic had wins over higher ranked opponents Semenistaja and Janicjevic at the US Open when last seen ; Semenistaja beat Todoni who easily beat Kasintseva in Kasintseva's last match last week.
17:00 Alexei Popyrin vs Ugo Humbert
Alexei Popyrin
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Popyrins the most improved player on tour in the last 2 months and has beaten Shelton Dimitrov Rublev Korda and Djokovic lately , should follow up here
16:00 Antonia Ruzic vs Nadia Podoroska
Nadia Podoroska
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Ruzic is an emerging young player but this is a step up in grade for her here and I think the experienced Podoroska will have too much for her at this stage of her career.
16:00 Rebecca Sramkova vs Elsa Jacquemot
Elsa Jacquemot
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Sramkova lost to a player ranked outside the top 800 last time and had been in poor form anyway ; until she's back in any kind of form has to be opposed against Jacquemot.
16:00 Sonay Kartal vs Jaqueline Cristian
Jaqueline Cristian
Win Match
100 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-100
Cristian may have won only 1 of her last 5 but apart from Kerber (who's been injured and is much better than her ranking) all those defeats were against better players than Kartal ; Kartal's won 14 of her last 15 but all of them against vastly inferior opponents to Cristian ; the highest ranked player she beat was ranked 208 and Cristian is ranked at 74. Bet of the day.
16:00 Yuliia Starodubtseva vs Suzan Lamens
Suzan Lamens
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Stardoudubtseva's won 5 of her last 6 but all against players ranked 160 or lower and 4 of the 5 wins went the full 3 sets ; Lamens is at a ranking of 138 and has done enough lately to suggest she can surprise the favourite here.
12:00 Chloe Paquet vs Francesca Jones
Chloe Paquet
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Paquet's been losing matches but at a much higher level than Jones has been winning at lately ; when facing a similar level opponent to Jones last time Paquet almost won. This is a 50/50 match so 13-10 has to be taken , she is ranked much higher after all.
11:00 Mayar Sherif vs Jana Fett
Mayar Sherif
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Fetts last 6 matches against players in the top 200 have yielded wins and sets won ; Sherif is ranked 92 and went very close to beating world number 44 Pliskova in her last match at the US Open.
01:00 Anhelina Kalinina vs Renata Zarazua
Renata Zarazua
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
Zarazua had a terrific win against world number 30 Caroline Garcia in the 1st round of the US Open ; her opponent here has lost 4 of her previous 5 and I fancy it to be 5 from 6 after this.
Subtotal-302
09 September 2024
20:00 Veronika Kudermetova vs Sachia Vickery
Veronika Kudermetova
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
Kudermetova has lost her last 4 in a row but all against much better opponents than Vickery (including Wimbledon champ Krejcikova in a match she should have won) ; Vickery is only playing here as a lucky loser and I reckon her lucks run out
17:30 Lesia Tsurenko vs Eva Lys
Eva Lys
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Lys did well to qualify for the 1st round of the US Open and nearly caused an upset to beat Bouzkova ; she should have too much for Tsurenko who's lost 6 of her previous 7
Subtotal46
06 September 2024
17:00 Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
I can see Fritz being favourite but the only reason for him to be so short as a favourite is the head to head ; he leads 6-1. Its worth pointing out though that only 2 of those matches took place in the USA and the 2 players shared those. In terms of current form I'd argue Tiafoes is better ; he's beaten 5 top 20 players in the last month alone plus Rublev at the end of July. Fritz had an impressive win against a curiously flat looking Zverev in the QF , and his win over Ruud in the round of 16 must be tempered because Ruud didn't look 100% fit. Both players are in form and it should be a cracker but at these price Tiafoe has to be the value call.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-50
05 September 2024
16:00 Jack Draper vs Alex De Minaur
Alex De Minaur
Win Match
100 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-100
De Minaur reached the QF of both the French and Wimbledon , losing to Zverev on the clay and unable to compete due to injury in a projected match with Novak Djokovic. He's got more experience of the big occasion than his opponent who's playing in his first ever Grand Slam QF.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
04 September 2024
01:30 Grigor Dimitrov vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Void
0
Tiafoes made this QF stage of the US Open in the last 2 years beating Rublev in '22 and losing to Shelton last year ; DImitrov last reached the QF here in '19 when he beat Federer. Tiafoe's probably playing at his best now (he's won 9 of his last 10) and I think its pretty much a toss up given the home crowd support Tiafoe will receive.
Subtotal0
03 September 2024
18:30 Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverev
Alexander Zverev
Win Match
100 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-100
Surprised to see Zverev at such a big price ; he's 73.3% on hardcourts this year compared to Fritzs 65.8% , Fritz is not a good mover and I don't think he'll cope with Zverev's big hitting game. Fritz has played in 4 GS QF matches and lost the lot....Zverevs played in 12 and won 8 including 6 of the last 7
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 Paula Badosa vs Emma Navarro
Emma Navarro
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Despite being the former world number 2 this will be only Badosa's 2nd Grand Slam QF (same for Navarro) ; Navarro was the WImbledon QF this summer where she lost to the eventual finalist Paolini.
She accounted for Gauff for the 2nd time in Slams this Summer in the last round , Kostyuk the round before and also has notable wins over Keys and Shnaider in Slams this year.
Badosa's highest ranked opponent in reaching this far is Townsend at 48 ; she's had some decent enough wins on the hardcourts this Summer , particularly in Cincinnati , but no one I'd say is as good as Navarro.
I make Navarro favourite.
16:00 Qinwen Zheng vs Aryna Sabalenka
Aryna Sabalenka to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Sabalenka beat Zheng in straight sets in this event at the same stage last year , she beat her in straight in the Australian Open final and has won 15 of her last 18 hardcourt matches in straight sets.
Subtotal-2
02 September 2024
19:30 Caroline Wozniacki vs Beatriz Haddad Maia
Beatriz Haddad Maia
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Haddad Maia's won 7 of her last 8 including a win over the world number 15 in the last round , she was the beaten finalist in her last event in Cleveland.
Wozniacki has beaten nobody of note for 5 months (Vekic in Indian Wells) so recent wins need to be taken with a pinch of salt. She's lost to the world number 28 (Pavlyuchenkova) and the world number 36 (Kalinina) during that run on the hardcourts.
16:00 Alex De Minaur vs Jordan Thompson
Jordan Thompson
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
16:00 Jack Draper vs Tomas Machac
Tomas Machac
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Drapers 64% on HC in the last year to Machac's 62% ; Machac beat Djokovic on the clay in Geneva earlier this year to show he can handle the big occasion and this is probably his biggest ; its his first last 16 match at a Slam. Its only Drapers 2nd though having reached this stage in the US Open last year , losing to Rublev.
Drapers beaten nobody of note in reaching this stage (beating Alcaraz' conqueror who was always likely to struggle after that win) whereas Machac had a notable win over Korda in round 2 (straight sets). 8 matches on 3 different surfaces this summer hasn't helped Machacs rhythm but he seems to have settled with the HC bounce now and ought in my view to be no bigger than 5-4 for this.
16:00 Karolina Muchova vs Jasmine Paolini
Jasmine Paolini
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Muchova won convincingly last time but with her opponent making 29 unforced errors/ 8 double faults in the 18 games she was helped ; her win rate against top 100 players since her return from injury is just 55% (6-11) and she's up against the WImbledon/French Open finalist , world number 5 Jasmine Paolini. Paolini is 66% on HC this season ; its a mystery how Muchova is favourite for this in my view ; yes she was a semi finalist here last year but she beat no one to get there ranked above 30.
Paolini should be favourite and I expect her to win.
Subtotal-100
01 September 2024
16:00 Andrey Rublev vs Grigor Dimitrov
Andrey Rublev
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Rublevs a little bit of value here ; he's had a mach sharpener against Rinderknech when he came from 2 sets down whereas Dimitrov hasn't lost a set , as I said in the Ruud Fritz tip thats a negative at this point for Dimitrov. This is Dimitrovs least favourite Slam , he's made the QF only once here whereas its Rublev favourite according to win % plus he's made the QF 4 times. As far as recent form Rublev has the edge too with Dimitrov 4-2 this hardcourt season and he's not faced a top 32 player in that run. Rublev is 11-3 over the same period with the 3 defeats to Sinner , Tiafoe (playing some of the best tennis of his career this HC season) and Popyrin in the Toronto final. I'd make Rublev 5-6/8-11 so 17-20 offers a small bit of value.
16:00 Casper Ruud vs Taylor Fritz
Casper Ruud
Win Match
100 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-100
Perhaps I'm missing something (I've looked hard I promise) but for me 9-4 Ruud looks the bet of the tournament.
He's the 2022 finalist , has a 16-7 record at the US Open compared to Fritz's 12-10 and although Fritz hasn;t lost a set yet , who has he played? Carabelli , who hasnt won a hardcourt match this year , Berrettini whose least favourite surface by far is the hardcourts and Comesana ranked 108. Ruud meanwhile will definitely be match sharp after coming from 2 sets down to beat the teenage prodigy Shang last time easily in the end for the loss of only 4 games in the last 3 sets. Not only should he be a shorter price , he should be favourite against an opponent who may well be coming in cold. Its important at this point of the event to have had a competitive game or you won't be matchsharp and he's not had one. Max bet.
16:00 Qinwen Zheng vs Donna Vekic
Qinwen Zheng
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
Zheng beat Vekic easily on the way to winning Olympic gold and has a 73% win rate on hardcourts this year , Vekic is down at 48%. Zheng scored an eyecatching first round win here beating Anisimova who had beaten 4 top 20 ranked players on the way to the Toronto final earlier this month. Zheng reached the QF here last year only losing to Sabalenka ; Vekic made the quarters too but that was 5 years ago and coming into this years US Open she was 2-4 here since that QF back in 2019. I'd have made Zheng about 4-9 so 8-15 seems generous.
Subtotal-126
31 August 2024
21:00 Nuno Borges vs Jakub Mensik
Jakub Mensik
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
Neither of these 2 have particularly compelling claims but what drew me to the match was the hardcourt win rate of both ; Mensik's is 68% (13-6) Borges 47% (16-18). Mensik had a very impressive win against Olympic semi finalist Auger Aliassime in round 1 , and although Borges has the higher win rate lately , he's not beaten anyone of significance aside from Humbert in Canada. Borges' stats don't include winning a Challenger on hardcourts in March but again he beat no one ranked in the top 80 there. Mensik's an emerging and improving player (still not yet 19) and there could well be more to come from him in this match.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 Ashlyn Krueger vs Liudmila Samsonova
Ashlyn Krueger
Win Match
100 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-100
Kruegers had wins over Fernandez Vekic and , in the last round , the prodigy Andreeva this month alone on the hardcourts and is an emerging and improving young player. Playing in front of her home crown may well spur her on and her opponent , while in solid form , has not beaten anyone of particular significance this hardcourt season. I'd make Krueger about 5-4/11-8 so at 7-4 she's a must bet.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 David Goffin vs Tomas Machac
David Goffin
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Goffin's now won 6 of his last 7 matches and this veteran can make it 7 from 8 against a player who can blow hot and cold ; after the excellent win over Korda its just as likely he could lose this ; he has after all only won 6 of his last 13 matches and tends to play better against better opponents (see the Korda match).
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Potapova
Anastasia Potapova
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Muchova was ranked 10 going into this event last year and went even further making the semis but she was the recipient of a favourable draw having met no one ranked above 30 to get there ; she was then duly beaten comfortably by eventual winner Gauff. She's a player we were on against Osaka last time but this time we oppose on the grounds that she's still beaten no one ranked in the top 32 since her return from wrist surgery and Potapova has done so twice this year with wins over Paolini (a much improved player since) and Fernandez here in round 1. She also reached the semis in Cleveland immediately before the US Open dispatching 3 solid opponents with ease.
Muchova is priced up as though she's at or near her best and I'm simply not convinced.
I had Potapova at about 5-4 for this so 2-1 looks very generousI had Potapova at about 5-4 for this so 2-1 looks very generous
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 Matteo Arnaldi vs Jordan Thompson
Jordan Thompson
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Thompsons had wins over Draper Humbert and Hurkacz (in the last round) this month on the hardcourts and has won 10 of 13 this hardcourt season , he's very much on the upgrade. Arnaldi might easily have lost to either Mac Donald or Fokina in the Canada Masters before reaching the semis where he was soundly beaten by Rublev. He then lost in round 1 in Cincinnati to Etcheverry who's better known for his clay court exploits. I'd make Thompson around 4-6/8-11 so 5-6 looks a bit of value.
1 member found this comment useful
00:00 Madison Keys vs Elise Mertens
Elise Mertens
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Mertens has won 60% of her hardcourt matches this year (24-16) which is better than her opponent (10-7 , 58.8%)
Keys should be favourite ; she's won an event on clay and made the last 16 at Wimbledon before an unfortunate injury prevented her possibly beating eventual finalist Paolini but she retired again on her first hardcourt match with Stearns and with injury question marks remaining Mertens has a good chance. Mertens should have beaten Kostyuk in Cincinnati and has an impressive 69% win rate in Slams (only just behind Keys 71%). She's also 68% at the US Open to Keys 70% ; I'd make it 60-40 in Keys favour so 2-1 looks appealing.
Subtotal-109
30 August 2024
21:00 Casper Ruud vs Juncheng Shang
Juncheng Shang
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Shangs a teenager who's ascending the rankings at a rate of knots ; he's now won 8 of his last 11 main tour hardcourt matches with 2 of the 3 defeats a withdrawal defeat to Sonego and a retirement against Rinderknech in Washington before the first set was completed. He's won 60% of the hardcourt sets he's played this year compared to his opponents 64% and is more than capable of an upset win. Ruud conceded before a ball was hit to Korda in Canada before being well beaten by Auger Aliassime in Cincinnati in his most recent matches before 2 fairly bloodless victories against lower level opponents in this tournament.
1 member found this comment useful
19:00 Francisco Comesana vs Taylor Fritz
Francisco Comesana
Win Match
50 WIN
@18.00
Lose
-50
You don't need many reasons to tip/back a 17-1 shot in a 2 horse race so this will be brief. Clearly Fritz should win in straight but he's only 10-10/50% at the US Open (his lowest win % at all the Slams) perhaps not finding the added pressure to his liking. He's lost 3 times at the event to players with a similar ranking to Comesana. Comesana is at a ranking of 108 and although the evidence is limited it seems he enjoys the big occasion having beaten Rublev at Wimbledon and ko'd Humbert in the 2nd round here. Minimum stakes obviously.
1 member found this comment useful
17:00 Elina Svitolina vs Coco Gauff
Elina Svitolina
Win Match
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
Svitolina's won 12 of her last 17 matches since Wimbledon began (including wins over Jabeur at Wimbledon and Pegula at the French) and the lowest ranked player she lost to was ranked 35 (teenager Noskova , now ranked 25) ; it takes a very good player to beat her lately and I'm not sure Gauffs playing "very good". she's lost 5 of her last 13 matches which is not the form of a US Open Champ. The ranking of those to beat her were 5 , 17 , 21 , 24 , 33 which suggest if anything her form is regressing. She's won 2 easily at this event but both low ranked and she'll need a big improvement to beat the in form Svitolina. It could be that the return to this venue as defending champ signals an upturn in form but at the prices she has to be opposed against this level of opponent in her current form.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 Ben Shelton vs Frances Tiafoe
Frances Tiafoe
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
Sheltons lost his last 6 hardcourt matches against top 20 ranked players and only beat regressive veterans Bautista Agut and Thiem in rounds 1 and 2. Tiafoe has won 4 of his last 5 against top 20 ranked players on hardcourts with the only defeat to world number 1 Sinner in the Cincinnati Masters final. Sheltons also won only 5 of his last 9 against top 100 ranked players on the hardcourts and , although he beat Tiafoe in the US Open last year , I think theres a little bit of value in Tiafoe avenging the loss.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 Brandon Nakashima vs Lorenzo Musetti
Brandon Nakashima
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Nakashima;s won 6 of his last 9 on hardcourts against top 100 ranked opponents compared to Musetti who's won just 4 from 11 ; Musetti was lucky to get past out of form Kecmanovic in the last round and I genuinely think he's running on empty ; he's played 62 sets since the start of last month. He's also won less than 40% of his hardcourt matches this year compared to improving Nakashima;s 50%. Nakashima;s had wins over Paul Fritz Fils and Rune on hardcourts this month alone
1 member found this comment useful
00:00 Naomi Osaka vs Karolina Muchova
Karolina Muchova
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Muchova's lost 5 matches since her return from wrist surgery but all against top 32 players ; she took a set of Zheng Fernandez and Pegula in defeats in the last 2 months. Osaka meanwhile is still struggling to get back near her best with defeats to Kerber and Andresscu who themselves are not the players they were. She's only won back to back matches once in the last 3 months or so and for me ought to be the slight underdog here.
Subtotal-2
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
