Venomspread3r

Remember When you're Winning you're never as good as you think you are & when you're losing you're never as bad as you think you are! Novice Horse racing tipster that enjoys trying to crack the riddle that is Irish Handicap racing. Always on the Lookout for bigger priced outsiders. No odds on Favourites here.

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30 April 2025
14:30 2:30 Punchestown

Polemon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

A 25 runner Barn burner to sift through here & quite possibly moving into 'throw a dart & See' territory BUT I'm going to side with something less exposed here at the bottom of the weights in the shape of Denis Hogan's 6 year old Gelding POLEMON who was tried closer to this trip 13 days ago @Clonmel (20f Good/Yielding - 2nd) which is a decent test in itself. This Son of FRANKEL has the pedigree to stay this far & with good weather in the forecast I'd expect the current 'Yielding' going to atleast turn 'Good/Yielding' which wouldnt do this lad any harm. The return of Jockey Philip Donovan is a huge plus with jockey arriving here in Fine fettle with a 30% win strike rate the past fortnight with a 26.67% place strike rate here @Punchestown the past year. Trainer Denis Hogan has a modest 26.32% place strike rate the past 14 days & 31.58% place strike rate here the past year. This charge needs one to drop out to get off the substitutes bench but should he get in I wouldn't overly be surprised if this lad outruns his current 33/1 odds with 6 places on offer.
28 April 2025
20:10 8:10 Naas

Love Mocha

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

33/1 is too big for me to ignore John McConnell's 5 year old Mare LOVE MOCHA who in retrospect Ran a blinder 26 days ago @Gowran Park (8f Yielding) plugging away nicely in the dying embers up the hill to finish 4½ lengths off the winner considering this was coming off a 298 day sabbatical i'd say that wasn't half bad. This Daughter of AWTAAD is dropped 2lbs for that which should certainly help. Jockey James Ryan remains in the cockpit & sheds 3lbs. Cheekpieces were applied for the 1st last time out & are kept on here. There is no more rainfall due here in Kildare which 'could' see the ground return back to last time outs 'Yielding' but from a pedigree point of view the give in the ground 'should' see this charge handle the conditions. Pipe opener in the tank, 2lbs dropped with 5 places on offer at nice big odds, I know I'd kick myself if I didn't have a little skin in the game.
1 member found this comment useful
26 April 2025
13:40 1:40 Navan

Tawaazon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

John Kinsella's 7 year old Gelding TAWAAZON wouldn't be one to be leaping off the pages of your Racing post newspaper & for good reason, this Son of INVINCIBLE SPIRIT tailed off at the backend of 2024 in some deeper races & shown nothing in decent company on his Comeback 17 days ago however this was coming off a 197 day break so I'm happy to put a line through that SO why am I backing a charge that has if anything been regressive? The Going, the rain is currently falling in County Meath & 'Should' hopefully turn this already 'Yielding' going Soft which would certainly be appreciated by this lad with 3/4 wins coming on juice filled turf, 1 of those here @Navan where he has a decent record 7R/1W/2P with a 50% place strike rate over 5f (from 8 runs). This charge is now a whopping 19lbs lighter than his last run & gets 7lb claiming Jockey Darragh O'Sullivan in the plate who boasts a 100% place strike rate here (from 3 runs). 40/1 is the right price but should strip fitter, Drops in Class, Trip & 'Should' get ground he wants.
2 members found this comment useful
25 April 2025
17:55 5:55 Kilbeggan

Callmedusty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

With my long shot being withdrawn I'll go with my second choice in Cian Collin's 7 year old Gelding CALLMEDUSTY who for reasons unknown to Me is currently trading at 20/1, this Son of IMPERIAL MONARCH 'should' prefer the return to the smaller obstacles after a lacklustre run over the tall timber @Clonmel last time out but if we go off this lads 2nd @Punchestown (23f Heavy) on penultimate with some charges in behind who have run well again (Imperial Tune [2nd] & Westernersunrise [1st] next time out). This lad would want a bit more juice in the ground & with rain Expected here in County Westmeath it gives us hope (how much rain we get is a different subject all together). Jockey Danny Gilligan is in top form currently with a 31.03% win strike rate the past 14 days & has a very impressive 51.85% place strike rate here @Kilbeggan the past 5 years. Trainer also has a good strike rate here aswell with a 33.33% place strike rate the past 5 years. A return to Hurdles could see this charge there or there abouts. Hitting the Frame wouldn't be a forlorn hope.

Fortunate Outcome

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@51.00

Void

0

Perhaps I'm seeing things here but i thought Brian McMahon's 5 year old Mare FORTUNATE OUTCOME's run @Clonmel (19f Heavy) wasn't awful & before you ask No! I've not knocked my head. Ok yes she was 30 lengths behind in 9th (of 17) BUT she was still plugging away up the hill improving hugely on her penultimate @Naas (19f Soft/Heavy) where she was 155 lengths behind. This Daughter of SOLDIER OF FORTUNE has the pedigree to take this step up in trip with her bloodline also built for testing underfoot conditions. This Charge currently sits in Second Reserve spot but with the rainfall likely (hopefully) to see a few of these runners pull out we could see her in action on Handicap Bow. Huge 50/1 odds here & you know I could be totally wrong but he who dares. Now where did I put that ice pack?
16:35 4:35 Limerick

Mr Rango

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

I'm going to take a chance with John Harney's 7 year old Gelding MR RANGO here who I feel will want to put his hurdle stint behind him & get back on Turf & sure you'd be saying to yourself that this lad wants further but when last seen on turf (this time last year) was only 1f off CRYSTAL BLACK @the Curragh in a decent race (class 3) with another decent tilt at this trip again @the Curragh finishing 1¼ off the winner, those runs were off marks of 80 & 88 & arrives here 2lbs lighter & gets another big 7lbs shaved off thanks to Jockey Rory Mulligan who arrived here in fine fettle with a 44.44% place strike rate this past month. This Son of HALLOWED CROWN wont mind plenty of juice in the ground & has run well previously when returning from a break. The draw in Stall #19 would obviously be horrendous if we had fast ground but this potential testing ground would be welcome for any mudrunner's. Current 28/1 odds for trainers only entry here today.
15:27 3:27 Limerick

Starting Monday

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 24/04 at 23:450.00 deduction for Circles@17.00 withdrawn at 09:010.00 deduction for Counterculture @11.000 withdrawn at 09:530.00 deduction for Amavasya @34.000 withdrawn at 09:530.00 deduction for Amanirenas @21.000 withdrawn at 09:530.00 deduction for Roderick @26.000 withdrawn at 10:410.10 deduction for Fantazy Man @10.000 withdrawn at 11:15R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.1) = 13.60

@13.60

Win

38

Gillian Scott's 8 year old Gelding STARTING MONDAY returns back to action here after a 185 day sabbatical but don't let that put you off, This Son of RAVEN'S PASS tends to run his race when returning from his jollys but more importantly he tends to do it with plenty of underfoot sludge which if the rain keeps falling here @Limerick we should hopefully get. This charge drops to mark of 61 - 10lbs lower for his last win but all (bar one) of his better runs have come at this mile trip so there is reason for optimism which is boosted by the booking of Jockey Darragh O'Sullivan who sheds a very useful 7lbs off this lads back. Trainer has a 66.67% place strike rate here @Limerick the past year. 5 places, Double figure odds with Conditions looking (potentially) promising we just need some more rain.
24 April 2025
18:15 6:15 Kilbeggan

Jeu De Pic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Considering Thomas Cooper's French 6 year old Gelding JEU DE PIC was returning from a 196 day sabbatical I'd say he went out on his shield 18 days ago @Fairyhouse (20f Yielding) & on the evidence of that run id certainly say the drop in trip here would suit as this Son of RACINGER forced the running from flag fall only to be swallowed up 2 from home. The return back to a sharp track looks a positive with some decent runs coming @Bellewstown (17f Good) & Killarney (20f Good). This lad is dropped 2lbs for his last run with Jockey Tom Kelly's 7lb claim giving this French charge a Big pull at the weights on his 2nd Handicap. Trainer has a 42.86% place strike rate the past month & 43.75% place strike rate when booking Jockey. Should this charge be ready to go now he has had a pipe opener I wouldn't be shocked to see him contesting in the final scenes now dropping back in trip 9lbs lighter.
1 member found this comment useful
17:45 5:45 Kilbeggan

Lispendense

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

A tricky Affair here & although not the deepest of contests quality wise we have a few that have failed to shine that could possibly pop up here. One I'm drawn to is Aiden Melia's newest arrival, his 10 year old Gelding LISPENDENSE. Now im presuming that this Son of ARCANO is hard to get right & this lightly raced veteran failed to kick on from his bumper form, However we do have some hope with this charges best run coming over this trip @Cork on Handicap debut this was followed by further distances/Unfavorable ground and a quick spin on the all weather all to no avail. I can see why new trainer has pitched him in here & has called upon the services of top pilot Danny Gilligan who arrives here in Fine fettle with a whopping 34.62% Win 61.54% Place strike rate (past fortnight) & boasts a 60.87% place strike rate here @Kilbeggan the past 5 years. A first time visor is tried here & at current odds I'm happy to see how this old boy fares here over familiar conditions for new trainer.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Kilbeggan

Baltinglass Hill

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

I'm not overly sure why Phillip Rothwell's 8 year old Gelding BALTINGLASS HILL is currently trading at 18/1 I can only presume the 7 month layoff is the answer BUT switching back to Hurdles is a plus (in my unprofessional opinion) & should this Son of CABLE BAY resume where he left off then it would be foolhardy to totally discount him. This charges 3 wins over hurdles have come off 93,98 & 90 and with Top jockey Tiernan Power Roche's 5lb claim bringing this charge down to 92 it certainly gives us hope as does this jockeys 28.57% place strike rate here @Kilbeggan (5 years). Trainer & Jockey combination stats aren't too shabby either (29.57% place strike rate). It might put a few punters off but I personally like that this selection is returning back here to the smaller obstacles & should certainly prefer the drop back in trip. This might blow up in my face & if so I'll take my medicine but I'm more then happy for this charge to carry my each way shrapnel.
1 member found this comment useful
23 April 2025
17:05 5:05 Gowran Park

Chou Chou

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@34.00

Void

0

Currently sitting on the substitutes bench in second reserve there is a possibility that Eamonn O'Connell's doesn't get in here but whilst his 4 year old Gelding CHOU CHOU sits on 33/1 odds let me plead (and I will need to plead trust me) his case. This Son of BELARDO was no where near the action 4 days ago @Cork (8f Soft) BUT a return to preferred Galloping/Undulating tracks looks like it may be a step in the right direction more specifically here @Gowran Park where this Maiden has ran his 'better' races, a 5th place (3¾ lengths) on testing Ground here in October was a positive when he looked to be bang there but faded 1f out, we also had a half decent effort on penultimate here just missing the frame in 5th. I'll be honest I can't figure out if he wants this trip (his October run suggests so) or further (Penultimate suggested so). Trainer has a 66.67% place strike when returning his charges back to the trenches quickly (less than 7 days). I wouldn't be putting my mortgage on this lad but I like the price for a charge that hasn't been totally devoid of promise here.
1 member found this comment useful
16:30 4:30 Gowran Park

James The Second

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Win

100

Michael Mulvany's 3 year old Gelding JAMES THE SECOND wouldn't exactly inspire confidence & I'll be honest with you I wouldn't even give this a second glance if it was less than 20/1 BUT this Son of RIVER BOYNE looks potentially very well treated now 10lbs lower than when he first entered handicap company & yes whilst this charge is 0/10 on the turf he two glimpses or hope come on softer ground @Galway (7f Soft) in deeper company & @Sligo (6f Yielding/Soft) so the question isn't "can he get up a hill?" But more so "Is a sharp track preferred over a galloping track?" We do get the testing ground here & a huge pull in the weights thanks to 10lb Claiming Jockey Terry Casey who hit the frame here @Gowran Park last week. Trainer has a 50% place strike rate the past fortnight & 26.97% place strike rate here the past 5 years. I wouldn't be running down to the bookies in a rush but at these odds I'm happy enough to toss a coin into the well & hope the equine gods look favourably on me. Very small each way.
22 April 2025
17:05 5:05 Fairyhouse

Le Grand Peinture

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

This is a deep contest I make no qualms about that but I can't help but think Lorna Fowler's 8 year old Gelding LE GRAND PEINTURE would be a shorter Price had we not had Willie Mullins French charge KALIX DELABARRIERE to contend with, BUT the price is too short so I'll focus on this Son of ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL who hacked up @Navan (16f Soft) 31 days ago winning by 14 lengths with 2nd (Zoffman) & 3rd (Krak) both going on to register victories next time out. Now entering handicaps there is every chance we may have found this lads ceiling but with 5lb claimer Jack Gilligan retaining the reins certainly a positive. Trainer arrives here in decent form & has a 34.62% psr here @Fairyhouse past 5 years. The ground didn't seem to stop this lad from romping home last time out so I've no worries going wise. Current 14/1 odds looks more than generous. It could be something it could be nothing but I'm willing to have a little faith with 5 places on offer to see if that win wasnt just a flash in the pan. Small stakes advised as we are in shark infested waters.
16:30 4:30 Fairyhouse

Ayiko

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@26.00

Win

100

With 5 places on offer here I like the price (currently 25/1) of Stuart Crawford's 6 year old British Gelding AYIKO, This Son of CHAMP ELYSEES has been very consistent in his Maiden outings picking up his second win 88 days ago @Ayr (24f Soft) prior to this was a 2nd here @Fairyhouse behind one of his rivals here today (INN AT THE PARK) on ground he probably wouldn't have been in love with (Yielding). The ground has plenty of give (Soft) which on past form looks to give this lad a better chance. One thing to note is Trainer Stuart Crawford's 35.71% place strike rate with his handicap debutants the past 2 years aswell as his 36.36% place strike rate here @Fairyhouse the past year. Jockey JJ Slevin also has a respectable recurs here 26.49% place strike rate (5 years). This charge does have a 88 day absence to overcome but has won twice (once in a bumper) when returning off longer breaks, I doubt there will be much love for this lad in the market but I'm happy to nail my colours to the mast with this one each way.
14:50 2:50 Fairyhouse

True Testimony

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 21/04 at 19:260.00 deduction for Shecouldbeanything@11.00 withdrawn at 08:450.15 deduction for Majestic Force @5.500 withdrawn at 09:19R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.15) = 12.90

@12.90

Win

34

I genuinely think Peter Fahy as a trainer goes under the radar at times (it could just be me) but it's foolhardy to ignore his runners, His 6 year old Mare TRUE TESTIMONY looks interesting here on Her Handicap bow & should certainly appreciate the juice filled turf underfoot after an under par run @Downpatrick 20 days ago but prior to that this Daughter of DOYEN has some respectable runs over fences going up against some good opposition including one of today's Rivals (and Market Favourite) ZENTA who is 20lbs heavier. Trainer's record with his 1st time out Handicappers is worth noting with a 40% place strike rate. Jockey Sean Flanagan takes the reins & has a 27.78% place strike rate the past month aswell as a 38.24% place strike rate here @Fairyhouse the past year (25.68% past 5 years). Trainers only entry here today with a return here on softer ground certainly looking a plus. Hitting the Frame here wouldn't be a forlorn hope.
21 April 2025
17:00 5:00 Fairyhouse

Will Do

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

I've been praying that Gordon Elliott's 8 year old Gelding WILL DO made the cut & he may just miss out here currently sitting on the substitutes bench (2nd Reserve) BUT 'should' this Son of WALK IN THE PARK find himself in this Contest I think with the 6 places on offer it would be folly to compleaty dismiss this lad hitting the Frame. This Charge was only 5½ lengths off HAITI COULEURS @Cheltenham (30f Good/Soft) 41 days ago who now has a 6lb burden to carry for that victory prior to this we have a 2nd place in the National Trial chase @Punchestown finishing well ahead (13 lengths) of stable mate FAVORI DE CHAMPDOU. This selection is dropped 1lb & would be racing off a featherlight weight (10-3). Yes we have yet to win over fences yet (but this could be said for a few much lower odds contestants) but has placed 5/7 (71.43% place strike rate) & won't mind Juice filled Turf & at this price (22/1 currently) there is plenty to like here so I'm more than happy to let this lad carry my each way money.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Fairyhouse

Glen Kiln

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 21/04 at 09:280.10 deduction for Hamsiyann@7.00 withdrawn at 09:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.10) = 17.20

@17.20

Win

486

Harry Kelly's newest yard arrival - 6 year old Gelding GLEN KILN Looks interesting here, This Son of FAMOUS NAME can put a line through his last ran when an endoscopy examination found mucus in this lads trachea which will certainly explain the stamina issues @Fairyhouse 58 days ago. Prior to that run was a decent enough effort when pitched in much deeper waters in listed company at the Leopardstown where he was running well & leading 2 from home before fading. This Assignment whilst trappy is certainly not as deep & the drop back in trip should/could certainly help. The Jockey booking of Cian Quirke certainly helps with jockey arriving here in high spirits with a 37.84% place strike rate the past month. Trainer likewise has his runners performing well (50% place strike rate past 30 days) & boasts a 44% place strike rate here in County Meath the past year. 'Should' we be clear of the Health issues that arose last time I could see this lad running his race under conditions that he wouldn't be put out by & with 5 places on offer here at current odds I'm happy to cast a line out & see.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Cork

Fernhill Fling

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

I've learnt the hard way over the years that it's Folly to discount Philip Rothwell's handicap runners & his 6 year old Gelding FERNHILL FLING looks interesting here at the foot of the weights. This Son of HIGHLAND REEL was last seen finishing a remote 3rd @Limerick (16f Heavy) in January & whilst he was 15l behind the winner (who won again since) he looked ok in himself BUT in my humble opinion I think the return back to a sharp track is a big plus with this charge running his best race to date @Wexford (16f Soft) in October finishing 3rd 6¼ off a mark of 80 in deeper company & now drops another 2lbs (to 78). Jockey Shane O'Callaghan takes the reins & sheds 5lbs & has a 26.09% place strike rate here @Cork (5 years). Trainer Philip Rothwell has a decent strike rate with his Runners returning from a 60+ day break with a 28.73% place strike rate & 25.71% place strike rate with his runners the past month. should this Lad be ready to roll after a break I wouldn't be totally shocked to see him upsetting the applecart in the final scenes of this contest.
1 member found this comment useful
20 April 2025
16:45 4:45 Fairyhouse

Drop The Anchor

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 34.00 on 19/04 at 19:310.00 deduction for Its Not Over Yet@29.00 withdrawn at 09:190.00 deduction for Sprinkles @21.000 withdrawn at 11:130.00 deduction for Catchabird @13.000 withdrawn at 11:130.10 deduction for Aurea Fortuna @7.500 withdrawn at 14:310.10 deduction for Magic Day @7.500 withdrawn at 14:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 33.00 x (1-0.2) = 27.40

@27.40

Win

792

Peter Fahey's 11 year old Gelding DROP THE ANCHOR is a shell of the horse he used to be & yes I made that sound very harrowing BUT it's not all doom & gloom. This Son of SHANTOU has been in my Tracker since his run @Gowran Park (24f Soft/Heavy) in January where this old boy looked like he had rolled back the years throwing down a challenge 4 from home before fading 2 out, Ok I thought a drop back in trip on similar conditions should/could see him closer, Fast Forward to March again @Gowran Park (20f Soft) this time we get some headway 3 from the finish keeping on. When I saw this lad declared @Limerick I thought no chance he's not a 2 miler anymore. The handicapper has relinquished another 3lbs bringing this lad a whopping 26lbs lighter for his last win & obviously fully exposed but the old romantic in me still thinks he could hit the frame now back up in trip again under Jockey Harry Sexton (who Sheds 7lbs). BIG deserving odds here but with 6 places on offer but I'll grip my lucky rabbits foot & prey for some Easter Luck.
1 member found this comment useful
15:22 3:22 Cork

Toor Khov

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

This is a solid price currently (22/1) for Maggie Flynn's 7 year old Gelding TOOR KHOV who takes a drop down in class by a big chunk. This Son of SHOLOKHOV would/should appreciate any give in the ground & the step back up in trip after a very promising 2nd behind BLAZE THE WAY who's ran well in deep company since, this charge also had recent winners (Crossing the Bar & Born Bright) in behind. The return to a sharp track looks a bonus with this lads sole win coming @Tipperary with place form here @Cork & @Sligo (both Sharp flat tracks) with both coming off yielding/Soft. Jockey Liam Quinlan is no stranger to this charge & has 1 win/2 places (from 5 runs) when In the pilot seat & sheds 3lbs. The 113 days is a slight concern BUT we do have a 3rd place finish when returning from a previous 150 day sabbatical on his CV to help make a case here. We are getting 5 places & I'm happy enough to cast a line out here for this potentially well treated Maiden Handicapper, Just prey for rain.
1 member found this comment useful
19 April 2025
16:30 4:30 Fairyhouse

Ayiko

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Void

0

With 6 places on offer here I like the price (currently 25/1) of Stuart Crawford's 6 year old British Gelding AYIKO, This Son of CHAMP ELYSEES has been very consistent in his Maiden outings picking up his second win 88 days ago @Ayr (24f Soft) prior to this was a 2nd here @Fairyhouse behind one of his rivals here today (INN AT THE PARK) on ground he probably wouldn't have been in love with (Yielding). The ground looks like it will get heavier with more rain due which on past form looks to give this lad a better chance. One thing to note is Trainer Stuart Crawford's 35.71% place strike rate with his handicap debutants the past 2 years aswell as his 36.36% place strike rate here @Fairyhouse the past year. Jockey JJ Slevin also has a respectable recurs here 26.49% place strike rate (5 years). This charge does have a 88 day absence to overcome but has won twice (once in a bumper) when returning off longer breaks, I doubt there will be much love for this lad in the market but I'm happy to nail my colours to the mast with this one each way.
15:20 3:20 Fairyhouse

True Testimony

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Void

0

I genuinely think Peter Fahy as a trainer goes under the radar at times (it could just be me) but it's foolhardy to ignore his runners, His 6 year old Mare TRUE TESTIMONY looks interesting here on Her Handicap bow & should certainly appreciate the juice filled turf underfoot after an under par run @Downpatrick 20 days ago but prior to that this Daughter of DOYEN has some respectable runs over fences going up against some good opposition including one of today's Rivals (and Market Favourite) ZENTA who is 20lbs heavier. Trainer's record with his 1st time out Handicappers is worth noting with a 40% place strike rate. Jockey Sean Flanagan takes the reins & has a 27.78% place strike rate the past month aswell as a 38.24% place strike rate here @Fairyhouse the past year (25.68% past 5 years). Trainers only entry here today with a return here on softer ground certainly looking a plus. Hitting the Frame here wouldn't be a forlorn hope.
14:35 2:35 Cork

Manhattan Dandy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

With the All night rain here @Cork set to turn the ground Soft (at least) support has come in for Thomas Coyle's 8 year old Gelding MANHATTAN DANDY who looks on a very workable mark of 52 (3lbs lower than his last win). This Son of DANDY MAN ran a very respectable 4th (of 14) 22 days ago @Dundalk returning after a 140 day sabbatical so has the benefit of that pipe opener in the tank & whilst I'm sure connections were obviously thinking the ground would be firm this versatile lad is no Slouch when it comes to running through the muck with 2/3 wins coming off juice filled ground. The draw in stall #3 adds more meat to the bones. Jockey James Ryan remains in the saddle after two decent rides on top of this charge & sheds 3lbs. It will be interesting to see how many of these potentially pull out due to the overnight downpour but I'd be very surprised if this selection is one of these & I wouldn't be surprised to see this selection shorter much more.
17 April 2025
19:00 7:00 Clonmel

Old Kenmare

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 17/04 at 00:020.10 deduction for Duke Otto@7.00 withdrawn at 10:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.90

@10.90

Win

24

I backed Eamon Courtney's 6 year old Gelding OLD KENMARE 21 days ago at big 28/1 odds here @Clonmel where I was lucky to hit the frame (3rd) with 2 fallers near the finish line but dropping back 2f & dropping 1lb could (in my opinion) see this Son of FROZEN FIRE get a bit closer & from a pedigree stand point this does look a more suitable trip. Clonmel isn't for the faint of heart so at least this lad knows what to expect coming up that stamina sapping uphill climb to the finish. Jockey Kevin Murphy remains in the plate & sheds 7lbs & has a 75% place strike rate this past month, A 60% place strike rate here @Clonmel the past year (37.50% the past 5 years). Trainer & Jockey Combo looks good too with a 66.67% place strike rate whilst forming this partnership the past year. Plenty of things to like here for this bottom weighted charge now dropping in trip.
18:30 6:30 Clonmel

You Make Me Smile

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 17/04 at 00:200.00 deduction for Pepperpots@29.00 withdrawn at 09:190.20 deduction for Volez Vous @4.333 withdrawn at 09:230.00 deduction for Love Bite @23.000 withdrawn at 17:41R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.2) = 12.20

@12.20

Win

336

Peter Fahey's 7 year old Mare YOU MAKE ME SMILE would have been entitled to her run @Naas 14 days ago after a big 270 day layoff now I made that sound like she ambled around but this Daughter of ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL battled away a few times when it looked like she faded (aswell as being hampered on the run in) but showed plenty of grit to keep plugging away to eventually finish 5th keeping on. This charge gets the step up in trip that it looked like she wanted with last time outs jockey Harry Sexton remaining in the cockpit & sheds 7lbs. Trainer & Jockey have a 20.45% place strike rate the past year. Should last time outs Pipe opener have done the trick you couldn't totally write off this bottom weighted Mare to make a nuisance of herself in the dying embers of this contest.
1 member found this comment useful
16 April 2025
16:17 4:17 Gowran Park

Victoria Kesia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

With Rain Due to Fall overnight/Tommorow in County Kilkenny I like the Look of Joseph Murphy's 4 year old Filly VICTORIA KESIA who makes her Handicap Bow here @Gowran Park a track she has experienced 4 times placing 3 with 2/3 of those with plenty of juice in the turf I'm not sure we will get that much rainfall that it turns it Heavy BUT this Daughter of TERRITORIES wasn't that far behind here (1¼) 14 days ago after a 163 day absence on Ground she wouldn't have been in love with (Yielding) so should certainly be entitled to come on for that run. Jockey Gary Carroll has piloted this charge all but one of her runs & arrives here in good form (37.50% Place strike rate past 30 days) & very respectable 41.46% place strike rate when riding for trainer the past year. The Uphill finish here is no joke & I normally like to place my chips with a type that knows it's way around here.
14 April 2025
18:55 6:55 Tramore

Gold Haven

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 13/04 at 23:050.00 deduction for Well Loved@19.00 withdrawn at 11:090.10 deduction for Must Be Dreaming @10.000 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for Great Rainbow @12.000 withdrawn at 11:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.1) = 10.90

@10.90

Win

24

Paul Flynn's 7 year Mare GOLD HAVEN 'should' appreciate the run when returning from a 173 day break 44 days ago @Navan (20f Heavy) in deeper company. This Daughter of MOUNT NELSON drops back in Class & weight (4lbs) & should appreciate the step back up in trip where she has placed twice over the tall timber (over this 22f distance) BOTH here @Tramore (off marks of 92 & 95) with one those THIS very race last year. The booking of Jockey Danny Gilligan is a big positive as he arrives here in fine fettle (21.95% Win 48.78% strike rate the past month) & also has a 28.57% win strike rate here in County Waterford the past 5 years ASWELL as a 50% place strike rate when riding for Trainer Paul Flynn the past year which is the same place strike rate that trainer has with his runners the past year. There are lots of positives here & whilst this charge has yet to shed her Maiden tag I'd be very surprised if she wasn't in contention in the dying embers of this contest. Double figure odds looks more than fair here.
17:25 5:25 Tramore

Surviving Murmansk

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 13/04 at 22:050.10 deduction for Real Empire@8.00 withdrawn at 09:490.15 deduction for Hay Baby @5.500 withdrawn at 15:03R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.25) = 16.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 16.00 BOG

@19.00

Win

64

I like James Barcoe's 7 year old Gelding SURVIVING MURMANSK NOW before you start calling up the local Authorities to have me sectioned hear me out, This Son of CARBON UNIT is 0/9 over Hurdles, I know it doesn't make for good reading but considering this lad was returning from a 174 day sabbatical 18 days ago @Clonmel he didn't embarrass himself (in my opinion & was in touching distance 3 from home but faded (no shame in that) so the drop back in trip certainly helps, aswell as having a pipe opener however a return here to County Waterford where this Grey charge ran his best run to date over 16f off a mark of 87 (12lbs heavier than he arrives here today), Finally there is forecast rain overnight & early morning which 'Could' see this Current Yielding turf have enough juice in it to turn it soft which would certainly aide this lad. Trainer James Barcroe has a decent place strike rate here @Tramore the past 5 years (32.14%). Jockey Sean O'Keefe replaces conditional rider & has placed 6 times (23.08%) this past fortnight. If you're hopping on the crazy train with me I'd advise small stakes.
13 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Down Royal

Sir Carnegie

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 13/04 at 00:020.10 deduction for Jersey Des Brosses@10.00 withdrawn at 09:470.10 deduction for Kalsman @7.500 withdrawn at 13:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.2) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

I personally like to keep things simple when it comes to racing at a unique track like here @Down Royal (or Gowran Park/Clonmel) with its stamina draining up hill finish, I need to know "has my charge gotten up this hill prior?" Shark Hanlon's 5 year old Gelding SIR CARNEGIE caught my eye here 27 days ago when still plugging away galiantly up the hill finishing 9 lengths off the winner. This Son of ELUSIVE PIMPERNEL gets an extra 2f to navigate which on the back of his last run is a positive as is the drop of 1lb. Jockey Paddy 'Baby Shark' Hanlon gets the leg up & sheds 7lbs. The price looks right (it's all about the price after all) currently at 18/1 & this lad ticks enough of my boxes for me to take a punt that this lad can upset the applecart & get in & amongst the prize money.
15:00 3:00 Down Royal

Hangry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

I tipped up John McConnell's 5 year old Gelding HANGRY 7 days ago @Fairyhouse (20f Yielding) finishing 5th plugging away at the end this was coming off a 99 day break. Trainer obviously has no hesitation putting this charge back on the front line so quickly so we can only assume he's in rude health. This Son of GALILEO is dropped 1lb & gets the step up in trip it looks like he wants. Jockey Ben Harvey Jocks off his Brother Alex to sit in the cockpit & has a 29.27% place strike rate here @Down Royal (past 5 years). Trainer John McConnell hasn't had many positive statistics the past term but you would be in profit had you blindly backed his runners each way here in Northern Ireland the past year (26.67% place strike rate). Double figure odds on offer for a charge that 'should/could' strip fitter up in trip. This lad may need a little more time but the more exposed he is the shorter the odds, for me personally I'm happy enough with what I've seen thus far to have a little skin in the game.
12 April 2025
17:10 5:10 Curragh

Mount Ruapehu

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Mark Fahey's 5 year old Gelding MOUNT RUAPEHU is turned around quickly here after running @Bellewstown (8f Good) 7 days ago over a trip that didn't look an obvious fit but that still didn't stop him being backed heavily. This Son of INVINCIBLE SPIRIT is dropped another 3lb to a mark of 63 now making him look well treated having previously placed here off marks of 69/73 and should appreciate the faster ground with 5 of his 8 places coming on good ground. Jockey Joseph Hartnett takes the reins and sheds a mammoth 10lbs off bringing this lad down in weight significantly. Trainer has a 38.46% place strike rate when quickly turning around his charges (1-7 days) & had you backed all of his runners blind here the past year you'd find yourself in profit. The price is spot on & I'm more than happy to chance it with the huge weight pull as this lad returns to a more preferable trip. Hitting the Frame here certainly wouldn't be a forlorn hope (in my humble opinion).
1 member found this comment useful
16:25 4:25 Bellewstown

Ar Aghaidh

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

You would think by the current big price that Hugh Finegan's lightly raced 8 year old Mare AR AGHAIDH ran the wrong way 23 days ago @Cork (25f Good) but considering this Daughter of OCOVANGO was returning from a 282 day sabbatical AND that fact she was badly hampered I thought she was running ok throwing down a challenge 3 from home before understandably fading & I also thought she wasnt doing too badly @Sligo (26f Good) on her penultimate before falling. This charge is dropped 2 furlongs & has 2lbs shaved off. Jockey Kevin Healy gets the leg up & sheds 7lbs (has won 2/8 rides this year). Trainer has a 66.67% place strike rate here @Bellewstown the oast year (28.57% the past 5 years). This charge would have been entitled to her last run & 'should/could' strip fitter now having a pipe opener in the tank. Happy to dip my toe in here at Gargantuan current odds.
15:15 3:15 Bellewstown

Zero Fighter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Eamon Delaney's 5 year old Gelding ZERO FIGHTER looks interesting enough each way here on handicap Debut, This Son of MUHAARAR's foray into hurdles might just be what this lad needs after a barren spell on the All weather but despite that this charge has always put in a decent effort here @Bellewstown including a 4th place in a maiden hurdle contest last April. Eamon Delaney has a 38% place strike rate here in County Meath the past 5 years. Jockey Jordan Gainford arrives here in decent form with a 46.15% place strike rate the past fortnight & also boasts a decent record here with a 29.63% place strike rate (5 years). If you'd have backed this Trainer/Jockey Combination blind the past year you'd find your self nicely in profit (33% win strike rate). This race has a few in-form types but with such a small field with 3 places up for grabs I'm happy to try & hit the frame here at decent odds.
11 April 2025
18:47 6:47 Ballinrobe

Winter Carnival

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Trainer John Neilan hasn't won since 2016 BUT his 10 year old Gelding WINTER CARNIVAL doesn't look too badly treated & could be just the ticket. This Son of ARCTIC COSMOS was last seen finishing 3rd @Limerick (21f Heavy) & sheds 1lb but perhaps more relevent is this charges run here @Ballinrobe (22f Good) where he certainly didn't look too bad making headway before fading 2 from the lollypop, That run was off a mark of 87, 9lbs heavier than he arrives here. Jockey Alan king sheds 7lbs & remains in the plate having hit the frame last time out which is a positive. This charge looks well weighted to make a nuisance of himself back on faster ground & with 5 places available I'm happy to Nail my colours to this small yards mast.
18:00 6:00 Dundalk

Pinmoney

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Daniel Murphy's sole entry, his 3 year old British Gelding PINMONEY has my spidey senses tingling here as he arrives here @Dundalk on his Handicap Bow. Yes I know what you're thinking - I've gone & lost the plot after all this Son of PINATUBO has shown absolutely nothing in 3 previous maiden runs but the pedigree certainly ticks the boxes so that's a plus but I'm attacking this more so from a trainer angle who has some very interesting stats firstly with a 38.46% place strike rate when sending his charging back into battle so soon (less than 7 days) aswell as a 33% place strike rate with his handicap debutants then we have a very respectable 45.45% place strike rate the past month with a great place strike here (41.67%) the past year (33% past 5 years) - certainly plenty of good stuff trainer wise. Jockey Killian Leonard takes the reins & was in the winners enclosure when last seen @Cork. This hunch isn't going to go away & I'm prepared for this to blow up in my face but I'd certainly expect this charge to shape better now entering handicap company for trainers only entry of the meeting.
10 April 2025
17:10 5:10 Limerick

Real Empire

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@26.00

Void

0

Should Shark Hanlon's 5 year old Gelding REAL EMPIRE be ready to fire just 7 days removed from his Run @Naas (16f Good) then I wouldn't want to rule him out on the back of that run. This Son of TEOFILO was starting to plot a course from off the pace when hampered by a faller 4 out which seemed to understandably take the wind out of his sails but still seemed to keep on despite pulling right. Jockey 'Baby shark' Paddy Hanlon arrives here in somewhat decent form (25% place strike rate past 30 days) & takes the reins giving this already bottom weighted lad a 7lb pull which is certainly a positive as is his 30% place strike rate here @Limerick. This ticks a few boxes here for me: Up in Trip, big weight pull, now running right handed and at a Working mans price (33/1). The obvious Elephant in the room is the quick turnaround BUT if this lad IS ready to get back in the trenches (which the trainer obviously has no qualms about) then we 'could' see a better run should he avoid any mishaps. Ive seen much worse 33/1 shots.
14:52 2:52 Limerick

Midnight Eagle

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@21.00

Win

600

Aengus King's 5 year old Mare MIDNIGHT EAGLE is quickly turned around having raced here @Limerick 9 days ago & despite finishing 8th I feel this Daughter of WINGS OF EAGLES ran much better than the bare result, this charge was well still in with a chance 3 from home over the 19f trip but faded. The handicapper has deemed it fit to relinquish 4lbs off this Mares back as the yard decide to drop her back to 16f which in my humble opinion is certainly a positive. Jockey Cian Quirke remains in the plate shedding 3lbs & arrives here in fine fettle with a 25.81% place strike rate the past month (infact you'd be in profit if you backed this jockeys runs blindly the past month) aswell as a decent strike rate here @Limerick 34.78% (past 5 years) with trainer having a 21.21% 5 year place strike rate here also. Dropping back in weight & trip at decent odds (20/1 currently) I'm happy to have an each way pop with this Mare.
09 April 2025
16:18 4:18 Leopardstown

Desert Haven

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Win

75

I'm certainly not expert but I feel 20/1 is a tad high for Noel Mead's 5 year old Gelding DESERT HAVEN who arrives here just 2lbs higher when winning this contest last year. I'm going to go out on limb & say that this son of OASIS DREAM should appreciate the return back to the turf after a autumn/Winter stint over hurdles. I know that the win here @Leopardstown that day was bottomless BUT this lad has 2 does have a win on good ground aswell as a 2nd place finish @Naas on fast ground so it's not like trainer is asking him to work a miracle. Jockey Jamie Powell takes the reins shedding 3lbs bringing this charge below his winning mark & has a 40% place strike rate here the past 5 years when riding for trainer Noel Meade who has a very modest 47.37% place strike rate the past month. A few of these lack a recent run in the tank this lad 'should' be stripped fit & ready to go. As I mentioned the ground 'could' be a bit too quick but at 20/1 current odds im happy to cast a line out.
06 April 2025
16:47 4:47 Fairyhouse

Woodford Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

This is an interesting contest for the level but it's Patrick Foley's 5 year old Gelding WOODFORD WARRIOR who I'll put my faith in here. This Son of MAKE BELIEVE makes his handicap Bow here having raced through juice filled ground on his previous 3 hurdle starts finishing 44 lengths @Navan, 40 lengths @Naas & 49 lengths @Clonmel his Bumper @Naas (16f Good) however was much better in comparison finishing 7th 16½ lengths so I'm going to go out on a limb & suggest this lad 'Could' Prefer the quicker ground here. Trainer is coming into this on a bit of a purple patch with a 41.67% place strike rate the past month, has a 26.47% place strike rate here @Fairyhouse but more importantly a 36.36% place strike rate with his handicap Debutants. Jockey Connor Smithers gets the leg up & sheds a very useful 7lbs. There are a few interesting Handicap first timers in this that have a similar profile to this lad but we're currently getting 20/1, Market support would obviously be welcome but I'm happy enough to dip my toe in here now this lad gets better ground but I'd advise small stakes if following me in.
1 member found this comment useful
16:12 4:12 Fairyhouse

Now Where Or When

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Stuart Crawford's 10 year old Gelding NOW WHERE OR WHEN is interesting in that he is returned back over hurdles for the first time since 2021, this Son of WHERE OR WHEN has only had one bad race here @Fairyhouse over both disciplnes which was the Marathon slog in the 2023 Irish National, Yes I think we all agree this lad has turned out to be a good chaser but his hurdle form isn't too shabby either (1W/1P from 5 runs). This Charge won at the same odds (20/1) for me @Down Royal in January (over fences) off a mark of 121 & arrives here on a mark of 116. Ground won't be a problem for this turf versatile lad aswell as this 3 mile trip. Trainer has a 32.36% PSR the past month aswell as a 42.86% PSR here the past year. Jockey JJ Slevin is reunited with this mount & boasts a 41.67% PSR when in the plate. Very interesting that this shrewd trainer has opted for the faster obstacles after a long hiatus but I'm satisfied enough with the price to have a little skin in the game.
1 member found this comment useful
15:07 3:07 Fairyhouse

Hangry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

I'm willing to risk this blowing up in my face but I'm going to side with John McConnell's 5 year old Gelding HANGRY who looked to be mounting a challenge on his handicap debut here @Fairyhouse on his penultimate run, this Son of GALILEO Would have at least hit the frame in my opinion but the horse veered off in the wrong direction at a pivotal moment. The pedigree tells us that Better ground Should/could be appreciated it could also be that a flat track is preferable. This charge is down 5lbs for that penultimate run & returns here after a short hiatus/rest - which is possibly why this lad is currently trading at 33/1 it's also a slight worry BUT should the break have freshened him up a similar run (bar the mistake) back here @Fairyhouse would be most welcome. Alex Harvey remains in the saddle & whilst he hasn't been pulling up any trees he still has a modest 28.57% place strike rate the past fortnight & 27.27% place strike rate here @Fairyhouse. The price is correct which is what I'm after but proceed with caution. Very small each way punt.
1 member found this comment useful
05 April 2025
17:55 5:55 Bellewstown

Sams Xpress

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

I was going to leave this contest alone due to Kieran Cotter's 5 year old Gelding SAMS XPRESS's record on the turf currently being 0/11 BUT this Son of FULBRIGHT obviously has a liking for a tight sharp left handed track (his Dundalk form confirms this) & has ran well here @Bellewstown back in July 6lbs lighter so the Handicapper is starting to loosen the noose which is a positive as is this lads wide draw in stall #9 which certainly helps here. Jockey Paddy Harnett takes the reins & sheds a further 5lbs & has a decent strike rate whilst teaming up with trainer the past year (20% win strike rate). Trainer Kieran Cotter has a modest record here in County Meath with a 33.33% place strike rate the past 5 years. The current price 14/1 looks fair with regards to his turf stats but a big pull at the weights & return here on good ground could see this charge getting in the mix up with the pace.
17:20 5:20 Bellewstown

Dynamic Force

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I'm happy to side with Ton Mccourt's 6 year old Gelding DYNAMIC FORCE here who has been racing in deeper waters recently & certainly wouldn't have loved running through the sludge @The Curragh 20 days ago so I'm more than happy to put a line through that one. Prior to that run this Son of KODIAK certainly didn't disgrace himself in a class 3 contest (@The Curragh 6f Good) just a shoulder off hitting the Frame, but it's the return back up to 8f which has me interested with this lads last win coming over said trip @Killarney (also Left,Flat & Sharp). This charge bears the brunt of carrying top weight BUT is 3lbs lighter & gets another 7lbs from Jockey Sadhbh Tormey which certainly helps to dissipate the weight. The draw in stall #10 wouldn't be top of my wish list but this lad will look to try & get across early & has won from widest previously (@Killarney). Trainer has a 28.16% place strike rate here @Bellewstown the past 5 years. 16/1 looks more than fair.
16:50 4:50 Bellewstown

In The Minus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

It pays to be up with the pace here @Bellewstown & one I think will be up there is Sean Davis's 3 year old Gelding IN THE MINUS, this Son of BELARDO ran well @Dundalk on his Penultimate showing a liking for the sharp left handed track over this trip finishing 2 lengths off the winner (who went on to win again) & was sent off as favourite this lad was then dropped in trip in a deeper contest & again well backed but looked to find it too quick & too deep. Trainer opts to go back up in trip & drops this lad back down in class & arrives here 1lbs lighter & 8lbs lighter since his last run on the turf. Drawn in Stall #3 is certainly a plus aswell as trainers 20% win strike rate the past month. At 20/1 odds I'm happy to side with this lad who now a left handed sharp track on the turf.
16:00 4:00 Aintree

Duffle Coat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

I've convinced myself That Gordan Elliott's 8 year old Gelding DUFFLE COAT has a big run in him, This Son of ALHEBAYEB goes off here at huge 66/1 odds & I can't for the life of me understand why. This charge was throwing down a challenge last month @Cheltenham (30f Good/Soft) & looked to be atleast hitting the crossbar (in my humble opinion) before being brought down 2 out, This however isn't a flash In the pan, this charge put in some big game performances (again at big odds) finishing ½ a length in 2nd in the Galway Plate. All in all this charge has a 61.54% place strike rate over the tall timber with ground conditions looking to suit. Jockey Danny Gilligan remains in the pilot seat & has a 50% place strike rate whilst in the plate. Prior to last time outs run @Cheltenham I would have questioned this lads stamina but at these odds with 6 places on offer I'll let this Grey lad carry my Each way Pennies.
2 members found this comment useful

Three Card Brag

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

I've waxed lyrical to anybody that would listen for the past few months that should Gordan Elliott's 8 year old Gelding THREE CARD BRAG get into this race he could potentially be very dangerous. This lad didn't run awfully In the paddy power over Christmas @Leopardstown running on ground he wouldn't have been in love with yet still had some juggernauts in behind him. He has a ¾ length second behind CORBETT'S CROSS & 2nd place behind MONTYS STAR on his résumé. He looks a stayer (wether he can take on this marathon trek is another question) & is fairly unexposed on this type of going ( I would have preferred a bit of juice in the ground I won't lie) but being a Son of JETAWAY he has the pedigree for the ground. The booking of Jockey Sean Bowen is very promising who arrives here in fine fettle with 16 wins this past month. Ive got to live by the sword here & back this feather light lad.
2 members found this comment useful
04 April 2025
19:00 7:00 Wexford

Gustavo Goodway

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Considering Philip Rothwell's 7 year old Gelding GUSTAVO GOODWAY has two very unattractive U's in his recent formline he's still on pretty short odds, there is a reason for this. This Son of SAGEBURG can consider himself unfortunate (in my humble opinion) in those past two runs, Badly hampered 3 from home @Thurles (22f Good) then 18 days ago here @Wexford (19f Good) this charge was making some headway 2 out when the saddle slipped. The jockey booking of Tiernan Power Roche is very positive giving us a 5lb pull at the weights & has a 40% place strike rate the past fortnight & 29.71% place strike rate when riding for this Yard the past year. Trainer Philip Rothwell has the same 29.71% place strike rate here in Wexford (past 5 years). Should we get a bit of luck this time around I think it would be folly to totally write off this lad now 5lb lighter (thanks to Jockeys Claim) at decent current odds (14/1). A hope an a chance.
03 April 2025
16:55 4:55 Naas

Tango Theatre

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Considering that John McConnell's 10 year old Mare TANGO THEATRE hadn't raced on the turf for 497 days I thought she ran well all things considered finishing 7th @Clonmel (24f Heavy) 35 days ago keeping on over ground she certainly wouldn't have been in love with but was Still plugging away at the end through the slop uphill. This Daughter of SHIROCCO would certainly be entitled to come on from that run & should appreciate the faster underfoot conditions here. Prior to that big sabbatical this charge put in some decent shifts & was very unfortunate @Wexford when throwing down a challenge before falling 4 from home. Trainer John McConnell hasn't had much to cheer about recently but I feel like this Old Girl could make a nuisance of herself come the final scenes of this contest should she kick on from last time outs pipe opener. 20/1 odds with 5 places on offer looks more than fair to me.
16:20 4:20 Naas

Syracus Du Houx

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

I'm willing to give Oliver McKiernan's 7 year old French Grey SYRACUS DU HOUX another chance after being brought down 19 days ago @Thurles I could be seeing things I just want to see but I didn't think this Son of AL NAMIX was running too badly before catastrophe struck 3 from home. This represents a slight drop in class & has some ok results in deeper maidens (2nd @Punchestown 21f Good/Yielding, 5th @Navan 20f Good/Yielding) the latter against some decent opposition (WINGMEN, FORTY COATS & also finished ahead of DUKE OF LEGGAH). Trainer Oliver McKiernan has a respectable 25% Win 50% place strike rates with his 2nd time out Handicappers & his record here @Naas isn't awful with a 29.87% place strike rate the past 5 years. Jockey Phillip Enright remains in the Pilot seat which is a plus. Should this French Lad steer clear of trouble I feel he could trouble the judge here in the dying embers. Each way Claims.
02 April 2025
16:35 4:35 Gowran Park

Chou Chou

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

Gargantuan opening odds [Currently 66/1] for Eamonn O'Connell's 4 year old Gelding CHOU CHOU here @Gowran Park & I guess on form figures alone his 1 place from 15 runs on the turf warrants such a price BUT (and there has to be a 'But' at this price) I personally didn't think this Son of BELARDO ran too badly on her last turf run which happened to be here in October & to be fair to this lad he's ran ok here in April of last year keeping on over 7f likewise @Down Royal (Good 7f) so he knows how to get up a hill. Those Gowran Park runs were off marks of 56/50 & now arrives here on a mark of 49. What bothers me a little is this charge hasn't been seen since New Years Eve @Punchestown which could come back to bite me on the backside but on his back performances here, better ground & dropping 1lb since his last turf I'm happy to to chuck a penny into the well.

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