Venomspread3r

Remember When you're Winning you're never as good as you think you are & when you're losing you're never as bad as you think you are! Novice Horse racing tipster that enjoys trying to crack the riddle that is Irish Handicap racing. Always on the Lookout for bigger priced outsiders. No odds on Favourites here.

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Venomspread3r's Tips History

16 September 2025

14:48 2:48 Punchestown

Facethepuckout

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@23.00

Win

At Current odds of 22/1 I think an Each way Punt would be the worst idea for Michael O'Callaghan's 9 year old Gelding FACETHEPUCKOUT who now drops 2lbs below his last winning mark, is very ground Versatile & more importantly gets the services of top pilot Colin Keane. This Son of EXCELEBTATION drops in class here today & certainly won't mind the galloping undulating nature of this track with all his best form coming over similar courses. It will be interesting to see if Returning Jockey runs this charge a big more prominently since all of this charges wins have come when doing so. Trainer has a 40% place strike rate here the past 5 years & 46.34% place strike rate the past year when teaming up with Champion Jockey. Wide draw (#16) isn't ideal but at these odds I'll roll the dice.

14 September 2025

13:30 1:30 Curragh

Greek Flower

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

John Feane's 6 year old Mare GREEK FLOWER will appreciate the forecast Rain headed to County Kildare & looks very well treated if you look at this Daughter of AUSTRALIA's runs here at the Curragh especially in some of those big prize contests last summer off marks of 84-87 & arrives here on a mark of 76 & with top Jockey Nicola Burns keeping this girl honest I'm quite keen to see how this charge runs. Trainer has a 29.75% place strike rate here the past 5 years. Consudering this charge was only 2½ lengths off the winner in this race last year & 1¼ off todays top weighted rival (BIG GOSSEY) both on ground she wouldn't have exactly been in love with then this rematch now on probable 'Soft' ground looks very interesting - I'd prefer to be drawn a bit further wide but we can't have it all can we.

1 member found this comment useful

13 September 2025

18:40 6:40 Leopardstown

Letherfly

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

I'm probably chasing smoke here but Noel Meade's 4 year old Filly LETHERFLY has my spider senses tingling but why? after all this Daughter of CHURCHILL hasn't shown too much In her stop/start short career so far BUT did put in some good performances in her first two runs, Firstly a 6f win In maiden company @The Curragh (Soft ground) this was then followed up with a 3rd place @Naas (Yielding) in listed company so with the ground looking to suit & Jockey Sam Coen's 7lb claim adding to the 4lbs already shaved off by the handicapper along with first time cheekpieces we might have something to hang our hats on. Jockey has a 41.94% place strike rate the past month. 5 places at big current odds (28/1) with a big chunk of Weight shed on testing ground & New head gear then possibly, either way I'll take an each way punt.

1 member found this comment useful

14:50 2:50 Leopardstown

I Am Superman

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

A real head scratcher especially trying to dig in to some potential value BUT with the ground drying a bit now (was soft last night) I couldn't totally discount Michael O' Callaghan's 9 year old Veteran I AM SUPERMAN. The handicapper continues to loosen the noose dropping this charge to a career low mark of 87 & if we look back at his attempt in this race last year we have this son of FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND 5 lengths off the winner 9lbs heavier & taking into account this old boys last two runs @the Curragh then I'd like to think he's still capable of making a nuisance of himself of course there are a few little niggles that are pecking at me 1. I think possibly the ground is still too soft (although has won on testing ground) & potentially (quite possibly) younger charges could put run him but as I mentioned earlier the handicapper is giving him a real chance. Jockey Jamie Powell remains in the cockpit & has a 34.94% place strike rate here the past 5 years & 32.50% place strike rate the past year whilst riding for this yard. Risks attached.

1 member found this comment useful

12 September 2025

18:30 6:30 Ballinrobe

Eagle Terrace

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Should the rain continue to seep into the turf the more I like the chances of Noel Kelly's 7 year old British Gelding EAGLE TERRACE. This son of GLENEAGLES hasn't exactly set the world on fire since a win on Boxing Day 2023 @Down Royal (6 runs back) on testing ground BUT in saying that this charge hasn't had the ground he desires since that day with both his victories over the tall timber coming with cut in the ground. Now 2lbs lighter for his last win & Jockey Alex Harvey shedding another 3lbs & arriving here in blistering form with 12 wins the past month (37.50% win strike rate) along with good course form (38.46% place strike rate past 5 years) aswell as a very respectful 53.33% place strike rate whilst riding for this yard the past year we certainly have a few reasons to feel a little optimistic. Trainer Noel Kelly also has a 38.89% place strike rate here @Ballinrobe the past 5 years. 22/1 looks a good enough price to entice me in each way.

10 September 2025

18:10 6:10 Cork

Rising King

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@51.00

Void

This is a very low-grade affair, and it might pay to look towards an unexposed selection. Anthony Mullins' 3-year-old gelding, RISING KING, 'may' just be one of those unexposed types. He will, of course, have to wait his chance from second reserve, but should the rain come, we may see a few drop out. Now, why am I even considering this 50/1 shot? Pedigree - This son of SANDS OF MALI, from a pedigree standpoint, would absolutely love juice in the ground and hopefully gets these conditions for the first time. Another stat I stumbled across was the trainer's record with his second time out handicappers, with a very respectable 41.67% (2 wins, 3 places from 12 runs) and a 75% place strike rate this past fortnight. Jockey Yudish Geerdharry sheds 7lb and has a 40% place strike rate here at Cork the past 5 years. Drawn wide is a bit of a positive. With 6 places on offer and the heavens potentially opening, I'm happy to see what this charge can do on this going (should he get in).

1 member found this comment useful

17:10 5:10 Cork

Tai Tam Bay

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

I'll be honest Eddie & Patrick Harty's 4 year old Filly TAI TAM BAY has left me with egg on my face a few times BUT with the turf @Cork looking like it's going to get more juice I'm happy to have another swing here. It's not all doom & gloom there are a few positives here with the current 33/1 odds on offer being a real pull. This Daughter of NEW BAY has ran well here previously & has place form on softer ground over this trip & arrives here on s career low mark of 63. Top pilot Chris Hayes is booked & has a 34.29% place strike rate the past year. Drawn wide In stall #18 is another plus. This contest represents a decent drop in class & with 6 places available at 33/1 there is enough in the profile to have a very small dabble.

1 member found this comment useful

09 September 2025

18:05 6:05 Galway

Lady Arwen

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 09/09 at 07:520.20 deduction for Counterculture@4.50 withdrawn at 08:390.00 deduction for Alto Sax @19.000 withdrawn at 11:030.00 deduction for Alex Belardo @13.000 withdrawn at 11:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.2) = 17.00

@17.00

Win

I tipped up Charlie O'Dwyer's 6 year old Mare LADY ARWEN last time out & surprisingly she's dropped 4lbs & drops in class here today following a decent run 21 days ago @Roscommon. This Daughter of POSTPONED has a 60% place strike rate here @Galway with all of those coming on testing ground off marks of 68-77 (arrives here on 62) with last time outs pilot Jack Cleary's 5lb claim essentially bringing this girl down to 57. The draw in stall #13 wouldn't be top of my Christmas wishlist but this charge did place here from stall #14 on one of those aforementioned placed runs here. Now Sitting on a career low mark and currently trading at 20/1 I'm more than happy to partake here each way.

1 member found this comment useful

17:05 5:05 Galway

William F Browne

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

If we ignore his last run then surely Paul Flynn's 3 year old Gelding WILLIAM F BROWNE should be entering the conversation right?. This Son of ARIZONA finished 2nd ½ on penultimate here @Galway In deeper company 3lbs lighter. This will be the lowest handicap contest this charge has experienced so far & gets the services of a highly skilled pilot in the shape of Dylan Browne McMonagle who certainly knows his way around here with a 42.48% place strike rate the past 5 years. We're currently getting 18s for this lad with obvious questions needing answers after finishing dead last @Roscommon 21 days ago perhaps the weight hike? The fast ground ? Either way I'm willing to give this charge another chance & see if the softer underfoot conditions (& return here) can bring about a quick turnaround.

1 member found this comment useful

08 September 2025

17:52 5:52 Galway

Tullyhogue Fort

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I'm going to play it a 'Little' safer here & back John O'Neill's 9 year old Gelding TULLYHOGUE FORT who in theory should prefer this return back to hurdles after a run on the level & penultimate run over the tall timber. This Son of SHOLOKHOV is now running back on his last winning Mark in this sphere which is obviously a big plus but perhaps a bigger pull is this lads experience running here with an impressive record of 1 win 2 places from 4 runs with 3 of those coming over today's trip & two of those with cut in the surface. Trainer has a 37.50% place strike rate here the past 5 years. There Is a lot to like but I can also see why we are getting 16/1 currently ignoring the flat run is fine but this charge was just not at the races on penultimate (@Roscommon). I'll roll the dice & take a chance that the return here ignites him.

1 member found this comment useful

17:22 5:22 Galway

Toor Moon

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 26.00 on 07/09 at 22:040.20 deduction for Lough Nigara@4.33 withdrawn at 09:590.00 deduction for Wild As Fire @21.000 withdrawn at 10:010.00 deduction for Arnacoeur @23.000 withdrawn at 15:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 25.00 x (1-0.2) = 21.00

@21.00

Win

Maggie Flynn's 8 year old Gelding TOOR MOON is still searching for his first win after 19 attemps & sits at last chance saloon here for me as I've been left with egg on my face with this son of GREEN MOON more than once but this charge does have a few potential things dropping in his favour here today. Firstly the potential Rainfall headed here Tommorow will suit this lad to the ground with 4/5 of his placed runs coming with cut in the ground, Secondly back up in trip to 22f echos a similar pattern with 3/5 of those runs coming over today's trip. This lad is dropped to a career low mark of 78 with Jockey Liam Quinlan remaining in the saddle (25% Strike rate past month / 26.67% place strike rate here at Galway past 5 years). 25/1 odds is certainly fair enough for me to give this lad another chance with the hope the ground softens more.

1 member found this comment useful

06 September 2025

14:45 2:45 Navan

Viamonte

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Willie Browne's 4 year old gelding VIAMONTE is my selection in this 5f head scratcher. This Son of BARRAQUERO 'Should' appreciate the drop back in class here when last seen finishing 6 lengths off the winner at the Curragh 14 days ago. This Charge was very close here at Navan back in July finishing 3rd ¼ off the winner 3lbs heavier. Jockey Adam Browne-Souza remains in the plate shedding 7lbs & has a 50% place strike rare here at Navan (Albeit from a very small sample) but his 45% place strike rate when riding for his Grandfather Willie Browne the past year is a respectable enough figure. 6 places on offer at double figure odds there is enough in the profile here for me for this young charge who looks to have a bit of potential scope against his older rivals.

2 members found this comment useful

05 September 2025

17:37 5:37 Kilbeggan

Glaoinn An Airgead

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@23.00

Win

James Barcoe's 7 year old Gelding GLAOINN AN AIRGEAD has been a little frustrating because I feel like we are making some headway the past few runs but in doing so he doesn't have the handicapper scrambling to help BUT the change to 25f (from 24f) looks a positive as this Son of RAJJ was plugging away to land a career best 5th 13 lengths (@Wexford 28 days ago). I do like Jockey Peter Smothers I think he's very good value for his 7lb Claim & arrives here in fine fettle with 2 wins/2 places from 7 runs the past fortnight with Trainer clocking a 42.86% PSR the past fortnight. 5 places on offer with the extra furlongs for trainers only entry.

04 September 2025

19:10 7:10 Laytown

Fireworks

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

If there was very little love for my previous tip there surely has to be no love here for Shark Hanlon's 7 year old French Gelding FIREWORKS who has shown absolutely nothing over hurdles & whilst it may seem like a desperate move from the trainer (and possibly it is) I think the decision to send him back to the flat is the right descion after all this Son of KINGMAN's best snippets of form have come off level ground with a win over 7½ at Beverley & wasn't that far off in a deep contest at Newmarket off 86 at one point in his career & does have a 3rd place at Newcastle on his Résumé. I'd probably prefer this to be 1mile BUT I'm hoping this lad not having to jump hurdles will act like a stick of dynamite because to be honest he's not looked awful in some of his hurdle runs in the early parts of the races it's just looked like a stamina issue. Big odds & small chance here. Do not follow me in here.

17:40 5:40 Laytown

Gordon Bennett

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 04/09 at 07:530.10 deduction for Nammos@10.00 withdrawn at 11:310.00 deduction for Matt Connor @34.000 withdrawn at 11:310.00 deduction for Catherine Chroi @19.000 withdrawn at 11:31R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.1) = 17.20

@17.20

Win

Richard Brabrazon's 7 year old Gelding GORDON BENNETT probably won't be leaping off the pages of your morning Racing Post but I think bar this Son of PRINCE OF LIR's last run 5 days ago at the Curragh he's not ran badly in my opinion. This charge is quickly turned round something trainer has only done once this quick prior and placed. Another interesting nugget of info we have is this charge was only 3¾ in this race last year 6lbs lighter. I'm a little confused as to why this charge hasn't been dropped down the weights but I'll have a very small each way.

02 September 2025

17:02 5:02 Gowran Park

Edergoles Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

I'm a bit slow off the mark but 25's is still big enough of a price for me to take a chance on Wille McCreery's 3 year old Filly EDERGOLES ANGEL who wouldn't want anymore rain (hopefully that's it fur today) but there is enough in the tank for me to have a little punt. This Daughter of RIBCHESTER wasn't awful at Down Royal (5th 5¾ 10f) on penultimate. This charge has place form over this trip (1m Bellewstown 3rd 2l) & was 2nd 4 lengths at Fairyhouse in a race where lots in behind have ran consistently. Now dropped another 2lbs this charge gets his chance from the subs bench under Jockey Nathan Crosse who has a 30.10% place strike rate when riding for this inform yard (36.36% place strike rate past 30 days). Low drawn also a bonus, lots to like with 5 places on offer.

16:30 4:30 Gowran Park

Immortal Jock

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@51.00

Void

Andy Oliver's 3 year old Gelding IMMORTAL JOCK has my spider senses tingling & if his run at Down Royal on Penultimate is anything to go by you couldn't totally rule him out of the prize money (in my humble opinion). This Son of BELARDO rallied from off the pace up the stamina sapping incline finish north of the border which 'could' put him in good stead experience up a hill is always preferable when racing here. The drop back to 8f might be what this lad needs. Jockey Julian Pietropaolo is very good value for his 7lb claim & won for this yard here in June on top weight SIERRA DE GRADOS. The draw isn't ideal I'll be honest it's risky & tentative but at 50/1 that goes hand in hand. Very small stakes.

1 member found this comment useful

Rising King

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

I couldn't decide between this selection & my previous selection IMMORTAL JOCK & Anthony Mullins 3 year old Gelding RISING KING with former just getting the nod but now that's a non runner I'm back with this charge. This Son of SANDS OF MALI has experience running here which is always a bonus & returns here freshly gelded. Jockey Yudish Geerdharry is know to pop up with a big priced winner from time to time & arrives here in somewhat decent form with a 50% place strike rate the past month & has a 36.36% place strike rate here at Gowran park the past 5 years. This is local trainers only entry here today & has a 27.27% win strike rate with his first time handicappers. 5 places, 50/1 odds - I'll have a nibble.

01 September 2025

17:15 5:15 Roscommon

Sea Eagle

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@19.00

Void

Ger O'Leary's 5 year old Gelding SEA EAGLE looks potentially very good vale at this current price with this Son of TIME TEST hopefully having shook off the hoof rust when returning from a break last time out, But this charges penultimate at the Curragh in deeper waters wasn't a bad effort ( 6th 4½ lengths Soft) but more importantly is this charge has winning form here (on heavy ground) over this trip & wouldn't fear any of the likely rain that is due to seep into the turf here. Jockey Nicola Burns is very good value for her 7lb claim & has a 47.37% place strike rate the past year when riding for this yard & whilst on the subject of this yard trainer has a very respectable 52.38% place strike rate here at Roscommon the past 5 years. 18/1 looks potentially very good each way value.

31 August 2025

17:00 5:00 Tipperary

Copper Craft

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

I'll make no qualms about this tentative selection. It's the last day of the month, and I need to hit a home run. That being said, for those looking for potential value, this is a real poor affair. So much so that I'm attacking this from a Pedigree & Weather angle. Andy Oliver's 3-year-old gelding, COPPER CRAFT, has no form to speak of. BUT this son of RAVENS PASS has the blood in his veins to take to this potential rain headed this way. We do have a few more inklings in our favor, such as experienced jockey Paddy Harnett in the saddle, who has a 40.91% place strike the past month and a 25.93% place strike rate here the past 5 years. The trainer has a 50% place strike rate the past fortnight. It's probably a swing & miss, but the potential rain/pedigree gives me a 0.01% chance... maybe.

30 August 2025

17:12 5:12 Curragh

Yaxchilan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

We're fully into chucking a dart territory in this big 24 runner barn burner & I'll be honest I've stared at this longer than Intended the more 'obvious' shouts are too short for me to side with so I'll tentatively push a few pennies the way of Ger O'Leary's 4 year old Gelding YAXCHILAN who 'Should' appreciate dropping back to his winning 6f trip. This Son of MEHMAS opened his account on penultimate at Fairyhouse in lesser company BUT this charge wasn't awful here at this level in April & was in contention to atleast hit the frame at the 6f point but the extra furlong proved too much. This charge is 5lbs higher for his last win but of course in this Apprentice affair that weight is negated by 7lb claimer Jimmy Dalton. Trainer has a decent record here the past year 28% place strike rate & 36.36% place strike rate when getting one ready after a short layoff. Look I'll be ecstatic if this lad hits the frame at current 33s so i guess that speaks volumes but as I said this charge did have me scribble his name in my tracker on his last visit here.

16:37 4:37 Curragh

Coeur dOr

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

At double figure odds Dermot Weld's Normally reliable 9 year old Gelding COEUR D'OR is my pick for this contest & unlike my tip in the big apprentice handicap following this race I'm not having to really dig deep for this one. This Son of DUBAWI won this contest two years ago from the same mark (97) he find himself on today & has been edging ever closer as seen in his two good runs here this term at this level. Dependendble jockey Chris Hayes has overseen this lads best body of work & remains in the cockpit. The impending afternoon rain wouldn't bother this charge either. Lots to like at nice current 14/1 odds.

29 August 2025

17:53 5:53 Down Royal

Duke Otto

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Trainer Paul Flynn's 7 year old Gelding DUKE OTTO certainly wouldn't be nailed on but at the same time you couldn't totally write him off. This Son of SIR PRANCEALOT essentially won off a mark of 99 (thanks to claimer) at Wexford in March & runs here off mark of 100 when taking into account In-form (50% place strike rate past month) jockey Peter Smithers 7lb Claim, Jockey Also has a 66.67% place strike rate whilst running for this yard the past year. This charge has experience with uphill finishes with 2 decent runs at the stamina slogging Clonmel. Trainer has a 75% place strike rate the past fortnight. As I mentioned earlier not nailed on but at 22/1 hitting the Frame here wouldn't be a forlorn hope.

17:35 5:35 Wexford

Lariat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

I'm stuck between a rock & hard place between Liam Cusack's 9 year old Gelding LARIAT & Eoin Doyle's 4 year old Gelding STONE FOREST with the slight edge going toward the former, This Son of POET'S VOICE should/could benefit from dropping back in trip after fading over 22f at Ballinrobe last time out & does have a valid excuse from fading late (reportedly struck into). When last running this trip this charge finished 2nd ½ length off the winner at the left handed sharp listowel. Now 4lbs heavier (which isn't ideal) but with top jockey Brian Hayes in the saddle who has a 50% place strike rate here the past year. Trainer goes one better with a 100% place strike rate the past fortnight & 40% place strike rate here at Wexford the past 5 years. I'd be more than happy to hit the frame at 22/1 odds.

27 August 2025

19:25 7:25 Bellewstown

Stormy Jenn

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Win

100

Peter Clusky's 8 year old Mare STORMY JENN could be worth another chance running lower down the weights. This Daughter of GALE FORCE ran her best race to date over hurdles on penultimate at Wexford (17f Good) last month keeping on from 2nd place (winner went on to win next time out) & yes the bare result of 11th 52 lengths off the winner in the follow up (again at Wexford) looks bad but she was making headway 3 from the finish when badly hampered. This charge drops 2lbs for that to 81 & has an extra 7lbs shaved off thanks to Jockey Sean Cleary Farrell. At current 25/1 odds I be annoyed at myself for not having an each way punt.

17:55 5:55 Bellewstown

Massabielle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Big odds here for Dermot McLoughlin's 5 year old Mare MASSABIELLE who might not jump out straight away but this Daughter of MOUNT NELSON has shown some glimpses of promise & was only 5 lengths off on Handicap debut (Limerick 19f Good) & whilst I'm probably reaching this charge was only 1¼ off I'M FLATTERED (OR 94) last time out at Kilbeggan (19f Good/Yielding) who went on to win next time out beating SURVIVING MURMANSK who went on to win after that race. The handicapper loosens the noose slightly dropping 3lbs. Jockey Paddy O'Hanlon remains in the cockpit & has a 22.22% place strike rate here @Bellewstown the past 5 years. It's the end of the month & I'm reaching but at 28/1 currently perhaps the addition of first time Tongue Tie & cheek pieces could see us snatch a place at big odds.

26 August 2025

17:25 5:25 Bellewstown

Jazz Dreamers

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Seamus Fahey's only entry of the day his 7 year old Gelding JAZZ DREAMERS is a former winner here at Bellewstown (off a mark of 56) infact he's 2/3 when running here which certainly helps & and whilst this Son of RED JAZZ has had a bit of a stop start the past few runs I don't think from his current mark (48) you could totally write this lad off. The month of August has been fruitful for this charge with 2 wins/3 places from 6 runs which is a plus aswell as his liking for a tight sharp track. Young 10lb claimer Adam Grant got off the mark 5 days ago & has placed 3 times last month today being only his 10th race so let's hope confidence is still flying high. 20/1 is a fair price & there is just enough here for me to have a little skin in the game.

16:55 4:55 Bellewstown

My Minervina

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Make no qualms about it this has 'punt' written all over it which makes sense when your selection comes into battle with a 0/00-0 form reading so why on earth am I tipping up Aiden Melia's 7 year old Mare MY MINERVINA well for starters the Price currently 33/1 will always have me rooting but primarily it's this Daughter of HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR's record here in County Meath with a 100% win strike rate (2 runs 2 Wins) here over this trip off marks of 67 & 71 (Now 56). 1 mile is where this charge has shown her best. Yes the 91 day break raises an eyebrow (as well as the price) but the booking of top pilot Ben Coen is certainly a positive with jockey clocking in a 41.86% place strike rate the past fortnight. Big odds for a reason but the drop back in trip & return here to Bellewstown has me rummaging for a bit of loose change to have a very small each way play.

25 August 2025

18:43 6:43 Ballinrobe

Father Jed

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

It's quite obvious (and always a bit sad to see) that John Ryan's 14 year old Veteran Gelding FATHER JED's best day are behind him, it happens old father time catches up with us all So why am I even considering giving this Old boy even the slightest inkling of a chance? Well, when looking back through this charges form two things jumped out at me 1] It's clear this lad loves this County Mayo turf with 2 wins/2 places from 4 runs & 2] He has done this when being turned around quickly (1-7 days) clocking in 3 wins/3 places. It's very obscure but intriguing. Jockey Daniel King remains in the saddle & hopefully have this lad match fit After his first run in 290 days 3 days ago @Kilbeggan over the tall timber. A return to his preferred trip, Preferred Course & quickly turned around all has my spider senses tingling. I've certainly backed worse 16/1 shots in my time.

1 member found this comment useful

24 August 2025

16:00 4:00 Naas

Jordan Breeze

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

At 18s, I'm going with Patrick Flynn's 3-year-old gelding JORDAN BREEZE. This son of STARSPANGLEDBANNER drops in class from just the last outing at Cork (5f Good), where he was only 2½ lengths off the winner off a mark of 53. This lad drops 2lbs and gets the assistance of jockey Robin Donaghue-Leahy's big 7lb claim, making this charge very well-weighted in this point-and-go affair. It's certainly a barn burner with plenty of mines to navigate around, but it's all about the price for me, with others I like losing the price I wanted.

1 member found this comment useful

23 August 2025

17:40 5:40 Curragh

Havana Notion

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

There is a lot of risks attached here for James Feane's 5 year old Gelding HAVANA NOTION and if this charge was any price below 33/1 I'd not touch him with a barge pole but as it sits currently at 40/1 I'm happy to have a tiny slither of the pie each way. This Son of HAVANA GREY hasn't got the best of records (3 wins from 42 runs) but does have 2 wins over this minimum trip (5f) on marks of 55-58 (now 42) & has started to creep a little closer just recently. Jockey Keithen Kennedy is a good Jockey booking & his valuable claim brings him back into the contest since he's 7lbs out of the handicap. He has the ground he wants, prices like this don't pop up every day & whilst I'll probably end up with egg on my face I'm happy to take a chance.

16:50 4:50 Killarney

Shes A Fine Wine

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Henry De Bromhead's 7 year old Mare SHE'S A FINE WINE ran well at the Galway Festival in the Blazers 22 days ago finishing just 4¾ off the winner over a trip that I suspected would stretch her with her just running out off puff in the final stretches but this Drop in trip & class looks 'reachable' (in my humble opinion). This Daughter of FLEMENSFIRTH has shown her best round tight sharp corners over this distance so it looks a good spot to attack here. Henry De Bromhead has his yard purring at the moment with 10 winners the past month. Jockey Connor Stone-Walsh has a 29.63% place strike rate here at Killarney the past 5 years. We're still getting double figures (just!) for this selection & now dropping in class/trip I'm happy to roll the dice.

1 member found this comment useful

14:30 2:30 Killarney

Craic Eile

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

David Budd's 8 year old Gelding CRAIC EILE isn't the most of reliable prospects & is now a whopping 26lbs lighter for his last win BUT the return here to Killarney & drop back in trip 'Could' see us get into the mix in the dying embers. This Son of PALAVICINI finished 2nd in this contest last year off a mark off a mark of 90 (now 83) infact this lad has finished 2nd here the last two times here both under todays re-assigned jockey John Shinnick. Trainer has a very impressive record here in County Kerry with a 100% place strike rate the past year (42.11% past 5 years) & 50% place strike rate when booking jockey to ride for him. It's risky but there is enough here for me to have an each way dabble.

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22 August 2025

18:55 6:55 Kilbeggan

Captain Kate

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I'm going straight to my tracker for Dusty Sheehy's 6 year old Mare CAPTAIN KATE, I was obviously lost for words with this Daughter of LIBERTARIAN's debut over the tall timber 17 days ago as I was only able to the write two very insightful words "plugging away" but that's what she was doing over the extended 25½f trip last time out (@Roscommon). This charge is essentially 2lbs lighter for that run with 7lb Claimer Paddy Hanlon replacing 5lb conditional. The ground looks fine. Yes this charge needs to take a step forward but looks to have some very early potential in this sphere. So I'm going to trust my tracker & see if we can hit the frame at least at double figure odds.

18:41 6:41 Killarney

Nedita

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Whilst David Marnane's 4 year old Gelding NEDITA has still yet to shed his Turf Maiden tag (albeit he's only had 4 runs) this Son of ELZAAM ran a career best turf run 18 days ago @Naas (7f Good) & was only 3½ lengths off winner (and today's rival) STAR MIND off a mark of 65 with 4 runners ahead of him just race running well In deeper contest's since. The handicapper has loosened the noose a little dropping this lad down 2lbs which is now 5lbs lower than his last victory over this trip on the All weather under todays reassigned jockey Luke McAteer. Stepping back up in trip over a sharp track could see this charge get a little closer now at decent each way value odds.

20 August 2025

18:38 6:38 Sligo

Townscupsixtythree

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Here I am again looking for things that probably aren't there, but in the unrelenting quest for 'potential' value, I'm willing to have a very little stab at Adrian Sexton's 7-year-old gelding TOWNSCUPSIXTYTHREE. He wasn't awful on handicap bow 9 days ago at Ballinrobe (23f Good), finishing 5th but weakening before the last, whilst the penultimate effort at Downpatrick (22f Good) was a similar story, 'throwing down a challenge 2 out before fading.' So today, a drop in trip to 20½f looks the right call. Jockey Harry Sexton (7lb claimer) remains in the plate for his father and has a 25% place strike rate the past month and a 33.33% place strike rate here the past 5 years. The trainer reaches for the first-time hood to try to settle this charge. This son of VALIRAAN is dropped 1lb and turned around fairly quickly, which could be a sign in itself. At 20/1 currently, I'm happy to dip my toe in the hope this lad can improve a little to potentially be in the minor money.

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19 August 2025

19:20 7:20 Roscommon

Lady Arwen

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@26.00

Win

100

I'm price hunting again with this contest looking like slim pickings if you're looking for a working man's price BUT Conor O'Dwyer's 6 year old British Mare LADY ARWEN may have a squeak. This Daughter of POSTPONED returned from a 237 day break 21 days ago at Galway over a trip (9f) she wouldn't have been thrilled with & would have certainly needed to shake off the Hoof Rust. Now dropped back to a more suitable 7½f & looking on a Dangerous mark of 66 (6lb lighter for her last victory). Jockey Jack Cleary arrives here in good spirit with two visits to the winners enclosure the past fortnight, Trainer Conor O'Dwyer likewise arrives here in good form with a 66.67% place strike rate. Trainers only entry here today. 25/1 keeps me just about Intrested & If I'm honest hitting the Frame would keep me happy enough.

1 member found this comment useful

17 August 2025

15:00 3:00 Tramore

Met Office

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I'm not going to stand here & say that Eoin Doyle's 8 year old Gelding MET OFFICE would have won 13 days ago at Cork on his Handicap Bow BUT I certainly think he would have gotten a lot closer than the eventual 19½ furlongs off the winner but this Son of DANSILI was very badly hampered by a faller around the last turn which looked to pull the thunder out from underneath this lad however he still plucked away making up ground but it was all too little too late SO I'm happy to see how this lad fares again today. Jockey JJ Slevin remains in the saddle which is a big plus arriving here with a 40% place strike rate the past fortnight. A Nailed on winner? I not as bold as to suggest that but I hazard free run in 'Could' see us get closer to the minor money at double digit odds.

16 August 2025

17:10 5:10 Curragh

God Knows

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

Not the biggest of prices but I do like the look of Paul Sweeney's 6 year old Mare GOD KNOWS who looked a bit unlucky 18 days ago at Galway where this Daughter of DIVINE PROPHET was bumped around like a pinball in the dying embers & is now dropped another 1lb. This charge has some good back from here at the Curragh in deeper contests which is handy, this lass came very close here last April off a mark of 75 (now 66). Top pilot Seamie Heffernan knows how to get a tune out of this Mare has a 57.14% place strike rate with her from 7 runs so him in the cockpit is a big plus. Trainer has a 33% win strike rate here the past 5 years. If we can get a clear run I wouldn't be surprised to see this charge in the mix in the closing stages.

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15 August 2025

17:35 5:35 Tramore

Greenway Machine

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

There was still plenty of the contest to go but I thought that Ms Helen Markham's 13 year old Veteran Gelding GREENWAY MACHINE Wasn't doing too badly before being brought down 10 days ago at Roscommon (22f Good). This Son of ROBIN DES PRES has a decent record here at Tramore (1 win/1 place) & arrives here 1lb under his last win. This charge ran a great 2nd 1¾ here In September off a mark of 79 (Now 72). Trainer has a good record here 66.67% place strike rate the past year with 5lb Claiming Jockey Shane O'Callaghan boasting a respectable 31.82% place strike rate here the past 5 years. This old boy may not be the charge he once was old father time has a habit of doing that but I think off this mark & returning back here Tramore he could have a say & snatch some prize money at a working mans price.

16:40 4:40 Dundalk

Zero Fighter

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

A drift in price should have me moving away not towards Eamon Delany's 5 year old Gelding ZERO FIGHTER but I genuinely think this Son of MUHAARAR Looks well in here especially when you take into account Jockey Nicola Burns invaluable 7lb claim here bringing this lad down to a mark of 36. This Lad finally shook his Turf maiden tag 4 runs back at Roscommon (8f Good) off a mark of 40, "Ok!" I hear you saying *that's the turf not the all weather" and yes whilst this lad still carries his All weather maiden tag over this 1 mile trip he's only really had one awful handicap run and that was coming off a long break & we have a 2nd, 3rd & 5th off marks of 47-49. The draw in stall #7 isn't awful likewise is Jockeys 34.52% place strike rate here the past 5 years. I'm not Saying Lump a big chunk on but a few pennies each way wouldn't be the worst bet of all time (in my humble opinion) also keeping an eye on Wayne R Walker at a big price too.

14 August 2025

19:35 7:35 Tramore

Notevenatext

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

With 5 places up for grabs & current 22/1 odds I'm more than happy to take a chance on Brendan Walsh's 7 year old Gelding NOTEVENATEXT who looks like a drop might do him some good. This son of KALANISI's penultimate run at Limerick (19f Good) where this lad ran a career best 3rd place (8¾ lengths) was keeping on & slightly hampered on the run in but I can see why the Yard upped him next time time out at Tipperary but the 3mile looked to be a bit of a stretch so the knock back 3½f might be the sweet spot. This Charge drops another 1lb. Jockey Sam Ewing gets the leg up & has a decent record here at Tramore the past 5 years with a 25% place strike rate. Trainer Brendan Walsh isn't doing too badly himself with a 40% place strike rate the past month & 28.57% win strike rate here the past year (31.82% place strike rate past 5 years). Not nailed on for sure but enough in the profile for me to have a very small piece of the pie.

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