Venomspread3r

When you're Winning you're never as good as you think you are & when you're losing you're never as bad as you think you are! Novice Horse racing tipster that enjoys trying to crack the riddle that is Irish & French Handicap racing. Always on the Lookout for bigger priced outsiders. No odds on Favourites here.

Estimated Prizes
this month

£20

Estimated Prize money
this month

Venomspread3r's Tips History

26 July 2024

20:30 8:30 Kilbeggan

Daicheadacuig

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

If you want the bigger prices you need to have a forgiving nature in this game and you need the forgiveness of a saint to even consider backing Brian Mortell's 9 year old Gelding DAICHEADACUIG who has pulled up in 5 of his last 4 runs & if I'm honest I'm a little bit miffed he's not going off at 100/1 instead of the 66/1 were currently getting here So why I'm I even considering venturing down this path of lunacy well A] I'm a Dreamer & more importantly B] IF (& it's a big if) this Son of ARCADIO is going to act anywhere it's here @Kilbeggan where we have a win & 3rd place over hurdles 18f off a mark of 108 we also have a 3rd over Fences (19f) here aswell under todays talented jockey Ben Harvey who has a 50% place strike rate here @Kilbeggan the past year. This charge has dropped 15lbs & for good reason but this is horse racing & there are enough glimpses of form here (literally) for the old romantic in me to roll the dice.

19:10 7:10 Cork

American In Paris

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

What's that old saying? "Fool me once..." Well I'm hoping yes not fool me thrice here today as I continue to back Denis Hogan's 4 year old Filly AMERICAN IN PARIS who has had given me mixed emotions in her last two efforts, This Daughter of STARSPANGLEDBANNER's previous 2 runs @Naas have been 'Interesting' with the first where she totally missed the kick off but still valiantly plugged away to finish 3rd ½f 10 days later she was upped to 6f & finished 1 length off (running at today's mark of 49) this was followed by a drop back to 5f @Navan which didn't appear to help. So back up up 6f which is arguably this Mares preferred trip & back here @Cork where she picked up her last win here last year 7lbs heavier under todays jockey Joey Sheridan who's been consistent this past month without winning with a 25.71% place strike rate. I like the draw out wide here In stall #23 away from the hussle & bussle. Lots to like here (of course id like a higher price but you can't have it all) & has a punchers chance should she kick off well.

18:20 6:20 Kilbeggan

Mont Beuvray

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

John Ryan's 6 year old Gelding MONT BEUVRAY is starting to look like he could be ready to trouble the judge with this Yard tinkering with his ideal trip which to my untrained eye could be what he gets today. It certainly didn't look to be the 3mile slog 39 days ago here where this Son of MOUNT NELSON did look to plot a move 3 out only to go out like a light, This drop back in trip looks like it could suit with this charges penultimate run over 22f @Ballinrobe had shown some glimpses of promise with this lad In touch with the leading principles 3 from home only to jump the 2nd last like a bag of hammers (Jockey did very well to stay on to be fair). Top Jockey Shane Fitzgerald is booked here today & arrived in rude health with 30% win strike rate this past fortnight with jockey also having a great relationship when riding for Trainer with a 55.56% win strike rate the past year. This Yard are also currently in fine fettle with a 40% win strike rate the past 14 days.

25 July 2024

19:35 7:35 Wexford

Late Vocation

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Paul McEnery's only booked ride here @Wexford today is his 6 year old Mare LATE VOCATION who looks like one of the few at a price that 'Should' appreciate the Juice in the ground here, This Daughter of WORKFORCE better runs have all come at sharp tracks (Tramore 3rd 6½, Galway 5th 6¾ & 4th 4 & Tipperary 5th 3½) with ease in the ground & just hasn't shown much when she's bit had these conditions. This charge was last seen here @Wexford 12 days ago (17f Good) & ran way too keen essentially killing any chance she had (plus again didn't have the ground she wanted) & is now dropped another 3lbs. Jockey Sean O'Keefe is booked & had a respectable 30.63% place strike rate here the past 5 years. This small yard don't have many runners however if you'd have backesld all of Paul McEnery's runners blind this past year you'd find yourself in profit. 4 places on offer here currently with 18/1 being offered for a Mare getting the ground she appears to want on a sharp tracks for the first time since October, A chance is taken here.

19:05 7:05 Wexford

Onebrightbluerose

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@15.00

Win

420

I'm still on the fence regarding Patrick Cronin's 5 year old Mare ONEBRIGHTBLUEROSE with regards to wether she needs a bit further but I'm happy to give this Daughter of EXCELEBRATION another bite of the cherry here over this trip, This Mare didn't disgrace herself 12 days ago here @Wexford 8½ lengths off & did look to be a bit short of room 3 from home we had another good run here finishing 5th 10½. Dropped another 1lb here with an additional 7lbs from Jockey Andrew Burke-Ott I'm happy to see if it's the 'Trip' or the 'Mark' that's hindering us. Speaking of Hindering 1st time blinkers have been added so this could also help us. Trainer Patrick Cronin has a fantastic 5 year record here @Wexford hitting the frame 42.86% of the time. I'm happy to indulge my intrigue here at good odds.

24 July 2024

19:30 7:30 Naas

Queen Mab

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Michael Grassick's 4 year old Filly QUEEN MAB arrives here on only her 2nd run for her new employers & would be have certainly been entitled to her run out 65 days ago @Roscommon (7f Good). This Daughter of CHURCHILL's best runs have come over the mile trip with a 6th @Leopardstown (5 lengths OR 60) on her Handicap Debut she then bettered this with a 3rd @Bellewstown (2¾ lengths OR 58) then never attempted again over this trip by former trainer John Murphy. This Filly is now 9lbs lighter for that career best & gets an extra 2lbs from Jockey Yudish Geerdharry who is booked by a yard In good form at the moment (25% Win 37.50% place strike rate the past month). A return to a favourable trip 9lbs lighter potentially stripping fitter running near bottom weight I'd kick myself if I didn't have a small each way play.

18:55 6:55 Naas

Asisaid

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Pat Murphy's 5 year old Gelding ASISAID caught my eye last time out @Roscommon (7f Good) despite a horrendous start this Son of IVAWOOD plugged away valiantly catching up with the main group but had burnt out his jets by then. This charge won this race here @Naas last year over today's trip just 2lbs lighter. The Expected rainfall here In County Kildare certainly wouldn't harm this lads chances nor does the Booking of Jockey Jack Cleary who finds himself in fine fettle currently with a 44% place strike rate the past month. Pat Murphy has a similar place strike rate with his runners here @Naas (33.33%) the past year. With all that being said we can't ignore the massive elephant in the room, that being this lads inconsistency when coming out of the stalls. Risks attached here but I'll chance my luck at current 20/1 odds.

16:58 4:58 Wexford

Gateau De Miel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Henry De Bromhead's 8 year old French Gelding GATEAU DE MIEL returned after a 211 day sabbatical 45 days ago @Punchestown in a trip that would have been too sharp (in my humble opinion) regardless of how fit he was. This Son of APSIS should appreciate this longer trip aswell as the sharp natured track here @Wexford with a career highlight being a 2nd In the Killarney National 5lbs heavier on good ground. This French lad hasn't had the going or the tight track he runs well on since, if you look at this charges best form over the tall timber we see place form @Downpatrick, Tramore & Killarney. Trainer Henry De Bromhead has his yard in good order with a 20% Win 48% Place strike rate the past month with a 20% Win 47.59% place strike rate here @Wexford the past year. Jockey Darragh O'Keefe also has a decent strike rate here aswell the past year (20% Win). Back up In trip & potentially rid of the hoof rust back at a sharp track with 5 places on offer I'm happy to side with the French here Each way.

23 July 2024

19:53 7:53 Ballinrobe

Down The Park

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 34.00 on 22/07 at 21:080.10 deduction for Meadow Soprano@10.00 withdrawn at 09:470.15 deduction for Inforapenny @5.500 withdrawn at 09:470.00 deduction for Thecornerbar @34.000 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for Mighty Momentum @17.000 withdrawn at 11:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 33.00 x (1-0.25) = 25.75Best Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 25.75 BOG

@26.00

Win

100

I'm willing to forgive Dermot McLoughlin's 6 year old Mare DOWN THE PARK's last two runs with this Daughter of WALK IN THE PARK's last run @Downpatrick (22f Good) a bit of a mess with the Young jockey losing an iron 3 from home which never helps things & this charges penultimate @Tramore (22f Yielding) being of more imtrest with this Mare looking very dangerous 3 from home in 3rd place before slipping up. The return of Jockey Paddy O'Hanlon certainly looks a positive as does his 27.03% place strike rate here @Ballinrobe with Trainer Dermot McLoughlin's 66.67% 5 year strike rate here another plus. It's certainly too early to write this girl off & had she not slipped on her penultimate (at another sharp natured track) we would be having a totally different conversation with totally different odds. Current 33/1 looks solid to me with 5 places on offer.

17:53 5:53 Ballinrobe

Sydney Cruiser

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Should Ciaran Murphy's 6 year old Mare SYDNEY CRUISER get into this contest from 1st reserve then i feel this daughter of ALTRUISTIC has a chance to take a share of some of the prize money here. This Mare 'should' appreciate this knock back in trip & ran well here @Ballinrobe 3 runs ago over 16f then followed up with a decent run @Sligo (18f) & would have finished better had she not made a mistake at the last. The 2lb drop should help & the fact that inform jockey Eoin Walsh keeps the faith is very interesting with this jockey in fine fettle the past month. The jumping needs to improve but we were certainly seeing fragments of progress bar her last run @Kilbeggan where a 1st time hood was tried which Is now removed (I also think this trip stretched her) but she's in good hands with 5 places on offer she makes for an interesting reserve returning here.

22 July 2024

17:35 5:35 Compiegne

Shining Yellow

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Yasmine Almenrader's French 4 year old Filly SHINING YELLOW caught my eye 20 days ago @Chantilly just 4½ lengths off despite a 329 day absence away from the track it was a positive ride under a top jockey (Christophe Soumillon) this charge drops 10lbs for this step up in Class (£14k to £17k) & trip, A trup this Daughter of RECORDER ran well in on her penultimate finishing 4th @Deauville (1 length Good/Soft). Jockey Sibylle Vogt sheds another 3lbs off this Fillys back & with 5 places on offer I'm happy to side with this girl who should/could strip fitter now with that pipe opener in the bank & yes she does take a slight step up in class but arrives here almost a stone lighter, I'm happy to take my medicine should it this go awry but with 5 places on offer I'll roll the dice.

1 member found this comment useful

17:00 5:00 Compiegne

Lamento

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Waldemar Hickst's 7 year old German Gelding LAMENTO seems like he is screaming to be dropped down in trip (at least that's what my unprofessional eyes are telling me). Watching back this son of LORD OF ENGLAND's past races at this level gives us two not so bad runs @Paris Longchamp firstly a 4th 5¾ lengths over 9f where he looked good 2 from home then when upped to 10f he was still only 4½ off the winners when running like a scalded cat most of the way round but couldn't maintain it. This German lad does have does have a 31k race win (& a 2nd) in his locker running off today's weight @Dieppe (9f Good). Jockey Hugo Besnier is reunited with this lad & knows how to get the best out of him (1 win/3 places from 8 runs). This trip 'may' be on the shorter side but I can see why the yard are trying it, what I do know is this charge will try & hug the rail & make the running from stall #1.

1 member found this comment useful

21 July 2024

15:45 3:45 Curragh

Whisper A Prayer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

I'm not exactly sure why Joseph O'Brien's 3 year old Filly WHISPER A PRAYER is currently trading at 20/1 with form being franked for her 3rd @Cork just 2 lengths off Dermot Weld's Oaks winner EZELIYA & just 1 length off the runner up in that race WENDLA who has also gone on to win in Group 3 Company. Perhaps the 274 days off is giving us this hefty price but This yard know how to get one ready with the stats to back this up (37.41% place strike rate) with a 33.33% place strike rate with handicap debutants so that puts my mind to rest with that concern. The booking of top claimer Wayne Hassett is a big positive shaving 5lbs off this already bottom weighted charge with this jockey loving life here @The Curragh with a 16.67% Win 37.28% place strike rate the past year. Trainer & jockey Combination is also very good with a 40.48% place strike rate when working together the past year. This Daughter of CARAVAGGIO has the pedigree in her veins to go well here with her sires progeny hitting the frame here 46% of the time the past 2 years. Lots to like here.

1 member found this comment useful

20 July 2024

17:25 5:25 Curragh

Nunc Est Bibendum

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

A knock back in trip looks to be a positive here for Stephen Carey's 3 year old Filly NUNC EST BIBENDUM who was only ½ a length of Willie McCreery's COUNTERCULTURE in 5th @Gowran Park (8f Good) 33 days ago outrunning her big 66/1 odds considering she fluffed the start I personally thought she did well under the circumstances. Trainer Stephen Carey has a 40% place strike rate with his 2nd time out runners which is a plus as is the booking of Jockey Robbie Colgan who remains in the pilot seat & has a 20.45% place strike rate here @The Curragh the past year. Should this Daughter of MASAR get a better start we could see her get much closer now dropped down 1f.

1 member found this comment useful

14:35 2:35 Curragh

Profit Refused

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@17.00

Win

A decent race here @The Curragh one in which I'm nailing my colours to the mast with Kevin Prendergast's 3 year old Filly PROFIT REFUSED who ran a big race 20 days ago here at this level over 7f to finish 3rd 1½ lengths when fading out but this was when running 4lb out of the handicap which was impressive. This Daughter of PROFITABLE now attempts this trip of 6f for the first time now running normally (not out of the handicap), This charge is plotted wide in stall #14 which Is fine by me High drawn or low drawn I don't mind as long as it's not in the middle where it gets very congested here. Jockey Rory Cleary gets the ride again for a yard fully firing at the moment with a 37.50% Win 75% place strike rate this past month. 5 places on offer at current 16/1 looks pretty good value to me.

1 member found this comment useful

19 July 2024

17:42 5:42 Down Royal

Astral Beat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

It should be noted that I have 2 selections in my tracker SPIRIT OF EAGLES & Lee Smyth's 5 year old Gelding ASTRAL BEAT is currently trading at 40/1 & was only 2 lengths off the winner & ahead of the current 8/1 priced SPIRIT OF EAGLES here @Down Royal 28 days ago so with that being said I need to follow the price. This Son of COTAI GLORY drops 5lbs for that run which was his best Flat turf performance to date. Jockey Danny Sheehy remains In the saddle & currently has a 28.57% Win 42.86% place strike rate the past fortnight with a 28.57% place strike rate here in Northern Ireland the past year. Drops in class here & I'm more than happy to take my medicine should this blow up in my face but at 40/1 I'm happy to take the plunge.

1 member found this comment useful

15:05 3:05 Killarney

Streets Of Doyen

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

John McConnell's 10 year old Gelding STREETS OF DOYEN form line wouldn't exactly leap out at you from the pages of this mornings Racing Post BUT this Son of DOYEN's last 4 races have been in deep company with this charge putting in a good shift last time out @Uttoxeter in class 2 company finishing 5th but did look dead on his feet come the final few furlongs so this knock back should/could see him fare better now 2lbs lighter for his last win with Jockey Alex Harvey claiming 7lbs off this lads back with this young jockey currently hitting a 50% place strike rate this past month & 33.3% place strike rate here @Killarney the past 5 years with a cool 37.04% place strike rate when riding for trainer John McConnell the past year. Ground Is no problem, sharp track is fine aswell as running left but if I was to pick a hole then I'd say the trip 'may' be just a little shorter than he might like but we're currently getting 16/1 for 4 places so I'm more than happy to side with this charge here.

18 July 2024

18:02 6:02 Killarney

Henning

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@15.00

Void

I fully expected Denis Hogan's 4 year old Mare HENNING to be trading in Single figures but we're currently getting 14/1 which I'd snatch your hand off for. This Daughter of ROCK OF GIBRALTAR looked nailed on to at the very least hit the Frame @Tipperary 2 weeks ago but for jumping the second last like a bag of hammers which put an end to her challenge as the shellshocked charge faded to 6th. That race was much deeper than this & she essentially arrives here 2lbs lighter thanks to Jockey Philip Donovan's claim. This Mare has ran well here @Killarney previously over the tall timber finishing 2nd but it's hurdles where this charge shines (in my humble opinion) with a 33% Win strike rate. The overnight forecast rain in County Kerry certainly won't hurt this girls chances. 14/1 for a horse dropping in class, sheds 2lbs, love a sharp track & doesn't mind juice in the ground I'm more then happy to play here.

17:45 5:45 Leopardstown

Cuban Confusion

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG

@29.00

Win

115

A very interesting Apprentice handicap here & I have to follow the potential value here in the shape of David Marnane's 'relatively' unexposed 3 year old Gelding CUBAN CONFUSION Who would have been entitled to his pipe opener @Cork 58 days following a 178 day layoff. This Son of HAVANA GREY has some nice runs as a 2 year old with 2 decent runs on the all weather (both just 1 length off the winner) with the second of those in a deep contest. The Jockey booking of 7lb claimer Darragh O'Sullivan would appear to be a positive with this young apprentice starting to find his feet now with his 1st win yesterday & is currently 1 win/1 place (from 5 runs) the past fortnight. Trainer David Marnane's 45.45% place strike rate here @leopardstown the past year isn't something to totally dismiss either. 5 places on offer for what I feel is good current odds.

17 July 2024

20:20 8:20 Killarney

Wild Shot

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@34.00

Void

John McConnell's 10 year old British Veteran WILD SHOT rejoins his former yard after 2 uninspired runs for Trainer Noel Kelly with this Son of SO YOU THINK looking well treated back on the flat here after some uninspired hurdle runs for former yard, This charge loves a tight sharp track aswell as having a great record whilst running in July. Jockey Donagh O'Connor is booked to pilot & has steered this old boy to victory previously just 1lb lighter. Trainer John McConnell obviously knows how this charge operates & represents an interesting runner on his 2nd debut for this yard at this big odds.

19:20 7:20 Killarney

Florida Taiga

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Shane Duffy's 4 year old Filly FLORIDA TAIGA 'should' certainly appreciate the step up in trip & arrives here in County Kerry another 4lbs lighter & rightly so 14th place (of 22 runners) doesn't exactly read well BUT there were snatches in the race where this Daughter of FREE EAGLE looked to be making some headway don't get wrong even if today's jockey Seamie Heffernan didn't ease her down in the final furlong she would have ran out of track (hence the up in trip looking more in her favour). This charge is still yet to shed her maiden tag but her best run was over this trip @Navan (10f Good). Look we have to try make a case for her current 33/1 price; she's 4lbs lighter (& 9lbs lighter for that best run) she steps back up up that trip & takes a drop in Class with Experienced Jockey Seamie Heffernan keeping the faith, Either way I'm expecting an improved run so I'll play tentatively each way.

18:50 6:50 Killarney

Kinda Tiny

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@34.00

Void

I like the look of both Timothy Doyle's reserves here but it's his 4 year old Filly KINDA TINY coming in off first reserve that I'm slightly swaying more toward. This Daughter of COTAI GLORY ran uncharacteristically 15 days ago @Roscommon (7f Good) taking keen hold which she doesn't tend to do but this Filly's Penultimate @Listowel (8f Good) was much better finishing 3½ off the winner & a nose off BEAR PROFIT who went on to win in deeper company. This charge drops another 2lbs so is only 2lbs heavier than her last win. Back on a sharp track stepping back up in trip I'm happy to take a chance here.

16 July 2024

18:45 6:45 Killarney

Charlie Brown

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@23.00

Void

This is a very interesting race for the level but I'm going to settle on Thomond O'Mara's CHARLIE BROW'N who returns after a stint on the All weather which wasn't too bad but this Son of MYBOYCHARLIE best run came on the turf @Cork outrunning his gargantuan 150/1 odds to finish 3rd in a race where others have gone on to perform in much deeper races. Jockey Keithan Kennedy is booked and is very good value for his 7lb claim & is hitting the frame regularly at the minute. 22/1 currently & I'm more than happy to take me chance here.

18:15 6:15 Killarney

With Annie Luck

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 16/07 at 07:230.00 deduction for Its A Gamble@26.00 withdrawn at 09:530.10 deduction for Dolce Far Niente @8.500 withdrawn at 10:090.10 deduction for Sirene Success @8.500 withdrawn at 17:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.2) = 17.00

@17.00

Win

Trainer Kevin Prendergast currently has his yard purring with 2 wins/2 places (from 5 runs) the past fortnight (40% Win 80% place strike rate) and certainly knows how to get one ready (29.41% place strike rate with runners returning after long lay off) so I certainly wouldn't discount his 3 year old Filly WITH ANNIE LUCK, This Daughter of HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR ran one of her better races on the all weather so perhaps the good ground & sharper track here @Killarney can bring out some of her strengths. Jockey Chris Hayes keeps the faith with this charge & has a decent record here in County Kerry with a 41.67% place strike rate the Iast year (31.13% 5 years) the same can be said for trainer with a very impressive 23.08% Win 53.85% place strike rate here the past 5 years. A chance is taken here with this Bottom weighted Filly.

15 July 2024

18:55 6:55 Killarney

San Aer

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@15.00

Void

I've had Thomas Mullin's 6 year old Gelding SAN AER in my tracker for what seems an eternity with the notes "Needs more juice in the ground" so he often goes by unnoticed (at least by me) the rain is forecasted to come down here in County Kerry Today quite how much is hard to tell but should it fall then it gives this Son of VOCALISED a real punchers chance. Yes I know this lad is 8lbs heavier for his last win but that didn't stop him putting in two big runs after that first in Class 2 Company @The Curragh 5th lengths then a very credible 6th place in the Irish Lincoln, this contest is nowhere near that kind of depth. The booking of Billy Lee is always a good sign with this jockey steering this charge to his last victory @Galway (Another Sharp Track) BUT as I said it's all about the weather forecast here today but at 14/1 I'm more than happy to chance it. Now if you don't mind I'm off to sing at the top of my tone death voice in the hope it brings the rain haha! Good luck all.

17:30 5:30 Downpatrick

Scottish Dancer

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 15/07 at 06:410.00 deduction for Falvio@21.00 withdrawn at 11:070.00 deduction for Raynbo @17.000 withdrawn at 11:090.00 deduction for Portnacoo @21.000 withdrawn at 11:090.20 deduction for Warmer Days Ahead @4.500 withdrawn at 16:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.2) = 12.20

@12.20

Win

336

I saw enough of Eoin Doyle's 5 year old Gelding SCOTTISH DANCER 30 days ago here @Downpatrick to feel he's ready to trouble the judge. Now this may sound a bit presumptuous as this Son of HIGHLAND REEL didn't complete that run falling 3 from home but was in touch with the leading players which suggests this lad is starting to drop down to a workable mark. It's a bit of a shame jockey Finney Maguire I thought perhaps he deserved another chance with this charge but he gets a good replacement in the shape of Hugh Morgan who has a 24.44% place strike rate here in County Down the past 5 years,Interesting is the Jockey/Trainer combination stats for the past year with this throwing up a 40% win strike rate the past year. This charge gets the same trip/ going here and is worth another chance here with current 14/1 looking decent value.

13 July 2024

16:25 4:25 Wexford

Cocoplum

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@15.00

Void

Should she get in from the substitutes bench (1st Reserve) then I like the look of Colin McBratney's 7 year old Mare COCOPLUM who will certainly would have been entitled to her run in Northern Ireland (Downpatrick) 28 days ago & ran well despite coming off a 253 day absence this certainly would have helped clear the lungs & bang off any hoof rust. The drop back to 19½f looks logical here if she can pick up where she left off running well in her penultimate again at Downpatrick finishing 3rd over 19f. This Daughter of NATHANIEL has had 2 runs here @Wexford (24f Good OR 101) & ran well last May finishing 4th but was fading. So we certainly know she doesn't mind a tight sharp tracks & the knock back in trip is what she 'Seems' to want. The opening Chase mark of 95 looks fair. Jockey Sean Flanagan is booked & has a 35.29% place strike rate the past month however it's his Track record here @Wexford that is more impressive with a 20.83% Win 50% Place strike rate here the past year (36.25% place strike rate the past 5 years). Should this charge get in she looks interesting.

Man Of The House

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

I saw enough from Shark Hanlon's 6 year old Gelding MAN OF THE HOUSE 36 days days ago @Clonmel to merit my interest here when keeping in touch but fading a few furlongs out. This Son of MASTEROFTHEHORSE wasn't too far off the winner that day KILASHEE who recently dropped to this trip & romped home by 38 lengths yesterday @Kilbeggan. This charge retains the services of Jockey 'Baby Shark' Paddy Hanlon who sheds 7lbs & has been running credibly the past fortnight with a 36.36% place strike rate. At current 20/1 odds with 5 places ok offer I'm more than happy to play this each way.

15:37 3:37 Navan

American In Paris

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

I backed Denis Hogan's 4 year old Filly AMERICAN IN PARIS 7 days ago @Naas(6f Good) where she was involved in a blanket finish to finish 1 length off the winner, This Daughter of STARSPANGLEDBANNER's penultimate run @Naas was much more of a spectacle as despite missing the kick she powered on to make up a load of ground to lose by ½ length. This Charge runs out of the handicap here today but the talented 5lb claimer Wayne Hassett negates that & infact drops us 1lb to a mark of 48. Of course there are others I've looked at in the contest but whilst this Filly is in this sort of mood she's hard to pass by especially at double figure odds.

15:02 3:02 Navan

Grand Citadel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

Micky Fenton's 3 year old Filly GRAND CITADEL has been in my Tracker for a wee while now & I'll be honest I've not backed her last few runs as she's been running out of the handicap which to be fair she's not ran badly at all. This Daughter of RIBCHESTER was only ½ a length of the winner @Cork (8f Good) 29 days ago despite running 7lb out of the handicap but faded in the dying embers so the drop here to 6f could suit, a distance that she ran ok @Sligo a few runs back & would have gotten closer had she not dwelt the start. The booking of experienced pilot Seamie Heffnernan catches the eye with his 25% Win 40% place strike rate here @Navan the past year (34.11% place strike rate the past 5 years) a real plus. I'm not normally one to back odds this low but I can't continue to ignore this Filly (it would seem the bookies arent taking any chances with her now either) who gets to race on more level terms here today.

12 July 2024

19:20 7:20 Kilbeggan

Dinoland

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 19.00 on 12/07 at 08:310.10 deduction for Warmer Days Ahead@8.00 withdrawn at 11:070.00 deduction for Townhill Penny @17.000 withdrawn at 11:070.00 deduction for Falvio @26.000 withdrawn at 11:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 18.00 x (1-0.1) = 17.20

@17.20

Win

On the basis of John McConnell's 6 year old French Gelding DINOLAND's penultimate run @Downpatrick (22f Good) where he finished ½l 2nd keeping on then 18/1 seems a tad high (In my Humble opinion) with all of this French charges better form coming on Tighter/Sharper tracks so I'm happy to put a line through his run last time out @Punchestown (24f Good/Yielding). This Son of DOCTOR DINO is given a chance to shed his maiden tag on two fronts here 1] a return to a sharper track & 2] the booking of 7lb Claimer Alex Harvey who replaces brother Ben (who doesn't have a claim) brings this charge 5lbs below that good penultimate run in Northern Ireland. Jockey is currently in fine fettle with a 20% Win 60% place strike rate the past fortnight with an equally impressive 25% win 37.50% place strike rate here @Kilbeggan the past year. Trainer John McConnell's runners have also performed well here in County Westmeath the past year with a 50% place strike rate. Essentially 5lbs better off for a career best run last time out at current 18/1 I'm more than happy to roll the dice here.

15:42 3:42 Dundalk

Lauroline

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Paul Flynn's 5 year old Mare LAUROLINE should appreciate the change of surface for this contest, I'm not exactly sure what it is about this place perhaps it's the county Louth Air?! What ever it is it it's helped this Daughter of LOPE DE VEGA Record a 77.78% place strike rate from 9 All weather runs which I'm sure we can agree is pretty impressive. This Mare now drops to a mark of 63 2lbs lower & gets the services of good 7lb claimer Keithen Kennedy who has a 38.24% place strike rate the past month with a 28.57% place strike rate here @Dundalk. Trainer Paul Flynn also has a decent strike rate here with a 34.85% the past 5 years. Back on a surface she clearly prefers here this Mare looks way too big at current 16/1 odds and looks a great Each way at the very least.

14:32 2:32 Dundalk

Sobriety Blue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Andy Slattery's 3 year old Gelding SOBRIETY BLUE looks like a return to the synthetic service could put him in better stead, This Son of AIR FORCE BLUE finished no less than 3 lengths in both of his 7f runs here @Dundalk with his last run just 2½ lengths off Winner TAKE ME TO CHURCH who franked that form by romping home (6½ lengths) in a class 2 premier handicap @Naas. This lad now drops 3lbs which could get him a lot closer. The draw in stall #2 certainly won't do any harm. Jockey Andrew Slattery takes the reigns for his father & has a 25.58% place strike rate the past month & 24.13% place strike rate here @Dundalk the past 5 years. Some interesting contenders in here but I'm happy with the current odds & hopeful of turn around (after the recent turf runs) now back on the All Weather.

11 July 2024

20:00 8:00 Leopardstown

You Are The Deal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

If Luke Comer's 4 year old Colt YOU ARE THE DEAL can kick off a little faster than he did here @Leopardstown 3 weeks ago then he needs to be taken seriously (at least when it comes to hitting the frame). This son of DICK WHITTINGTON was gaining ground late on here last time out despite that slow start, This Charge is now dropped 1lb with 3lb Claimer Scott McCullagh retained in the driving seat & has a 23.64% Place strike rate here the past 5 years. This lad is Drawn here in Stall #20 but that isn't such a negative in my eyes as he 'Should' have less traffic to fight through. 6 places on offer here & should this lad be ready for the off then 25/1 looks too tempting to dismiss entirely.

1 member found this comment useful

18:50 6:50 Leopardstown

Old Mexican

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

With 5 places on offer here I'm more than happy to side with Luke Comer's unexposed 3 year old Colt OLD MEXICAN who has shown some nice bits of form on the All weather specifically his penultimate 4th @Dundalk with 2nd placed BARNSO winning then finishing 2nd in Class 2 company @Down Royal, 3rd placed SERIOUS NOTIONS won in class 4 company @Roscommon with 5th placed runner BERGAMASCO Winning 2 on the bounce (one in class 2 company @Dundalk) so plenty of winners around him. This son of SECOND THOUGHT looks like a drop back in trip should suit & gets a top apprentice pilot here today in the shape of 5lb claimer Wesley Joyce who knows how to get into the prize money here @Leopardstown with a 42.86% place strike rate the past year (30% the past 5 years). You can never write off Luke Comer's runners in these big field handicaps he's been known to land big odds winners. This lad makes his turf debut & if he can transfer the early promise he has shown on the all weather then you couldn't totally write him off, I'm certainly not especially at these odds.

1 member found this comment useful

17:40 5:40 Le Lion DAngers

Baileys Topaze

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Win

100

Joel Boisnard's 3 year old French Filly BAILEYS TOPAZE has had some decent market support for her most recent runs so 25/1 looks way too big (in my humble opinion). This Daughter of HOLY ROMAN EMPEROR hasn't been too far away in 7/8 runs with two 3rd Place finishes on the All weather @Deauville 6½f 1¼l then ¼l @Pornichet over 8f (at this level £12k). This Filly returned 44 days ago @Toulouse (6f Heavy) running in at this level & was only 3 lengths off despite a 133 day sabbatical so should/Could kick on for that pipe opener. It's hard to see what trip this charge wants as that run @Pornichet (8f) suggests she also has a decent run in a maiden over this trip @Le-mans ¾l on soft ground. Jockey Thomas Blanchouin sheds 2lbs off this Fillys back & has a decent strike rate for Trainer Joel Boisnard (17.68% Win strike rate). A slight ease in the ground could see this charge get there or there about a here today @Le Lion D'angers.

10 July 2024

20:00 8:00 Fairyhouse

Viva Voce

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

The lineup here certainly won't be contenders for the equine hall of fame but we do have 18 going to post which means we can get some bigger odds. Tom McGuiness's 7 year old Gelding VIVA VOCE certainly ticks the big odds box (Currently trading at 40/1), steps down in in class & gets a big 11lb swing when including Jockey Rory Mulligan's 7lb allowance, Young Jockey has a 30.77% place strike rate the past month. 5 places on offer here for a horse 8lbs lighter for his last win, & with all that weight conceded hitting the frame here certainly wouldn't be out of the equation now taking a decent drop down In class.

1 member found this comment useful

09 July 2024

20:20 8:20 Tramore

Katzoff

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@34.00

Void

I'm more than happy to take a swing here with John Morrison's 7 year old Grey Gelding KATZOFF who has been tucked away in my Tracker since November when falling 2 from home @Thurles when looking good (16f Yielding) & I'll admit I passed over this lad 4 days ago @Cork where he ran very well to finish 2nd I thought that run would have come too soon (as he only raced 2 days prior @Tipperary) so I ate a bit of humble pie there. This Son of MASTER CRAFTSMAN is pitched right back into battle here at another sharp track & whilst this charge has yet to shed his maiden tag he is surely worth a second glance at these odds (which is half of what CRAIC EILE is currently trading who arrives here with a similar profile). Jockey Andrew Slattery isn't pulling up any trees but he's plodding along nicely with a 13.04% Win 21.07% place strike rate the past month. 4 places on offer for this bumper like flat race.

1 member found this comment useful

Wild Shot

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Void

John McConnell's 10 year old British Veteran WILD SHOT rejoins his former yard after 2 uninspired runs for Trainer Noel Kelly with this Son of SO YOU THINK winning here @Tramore (16f Yielding) by 3½l just 1lb lighter, This Charge has also won here over Hurdles over 17f so clearly has a liking for the County Waterford turf. Jockey Donagh O'Connor was in the saddle for that flat win here & is rebooked & has a 40% place strike here the past 5 years. Trainer John McConnell obviously knows how this charge operates & represents an interesting runner on his 2nd debut for this yard.

16:18 4:18 Compiegne

Loughcrew

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Win

140

I don't expect Nicholas Caullery's 4 year old French Gelding LOUGHCREW to be jumping out at you here & at a quick glance you'd be right to pass him by his form line of -90000 doesn't make for good reading but despite being 10th here @Compiegne (8f Soft) 46 days ago it was a big blanket finish & was only 4 lengths off the winner keeping on nicely. This Son of CLOTH OF STARS earlier turf handicap attempts were much closer (2¼ lengths) over 9/10f in deeper company (£17K race) so this hike up in trip looks interesting. Jockey Thomas Trullier remains in the plate & rightly so. 33/1 looks a good price for a charge that was only a neck behind one of today's Rivals (Caregiver) who is currently trading at 10/1. 5 places on offer here for a charge that 'Could' step forward.

2 members found this comment useful

08 July 2024

19:10 7:10 Roscommon

LUn Deux Trois

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

You can never count out Oliver McKieran's charges who very often are available at double figure odds which is exactly what we're getting here for his 8 year old Gelding L'UN DEUX TROIS, This Son of MASTERCRAFTSMAN Is 0/7 over Hurdles & is better known for his exploits on the flat turf but on the odf occasion that he's actually got the good ground he wants he hasn't disgraced himself. Now dropped 4lbs this lad gets Philip Enright in the pilot seat who has a knack for getting 'Outsiders' into the mix. Jockey has a 26.32% place strike this past fortnight & landed a 20/1 winner 4 days ago. Trainer & Jockey combination yields a nice 29.07% place strike rate the past year. 18/1 with 5 places on offer, I'm more than happy to roll the dice here.

1 member found this comment useful

07 July 2024

16:15 4:15 Sligo

Nurse Garvey

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

David Christie's 6 year old Mare NURSE GARVEY looks worth a little Each Way here, This Daughter of GOLDEN LARIAT ran well here last year finishing 3rd 3¼ keeping on over 18f this was followed up by a 4th @Ballinrobe over the same trip again keeping on. This Charge's handicap endeavours haven't kick on from that early promise however these were both over the shorter trip (16f) so a return back up in trip looks logical now 8lbs lighter since her 1st handicap run. Trainer David Christie has a 50% place strike rate here @Sligo the past year whilst jockey Ben Harvey has a 37.50% place strike rate here the past year. 33/1 is the right price but I'm happy to dip my toe in here for a charge that 'could' go forward up in trip.

1 member found this comment useful

15:40 3:40 Sligo

Tropical Speed

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Win

Eoin Doyle's 5 year old Gelding TROPICAL SPEED was a remote 4th 20 days ago @Kilbeggan (24f Good/Yielding) on handicap debut this was a big jump up from the 2mile runs this lad had been running in (Maiden Company) but it wasn't a bad run & was making headway 3 from home but just spluttered out in a contest that was very stretched. This Son of LUCKY SPEED 'Should' appreciate the drop back in trip at least thats what the pedigree would also back up. Jockey Shane O'Callaghan remains in the plate & currently has a 50% place strike rate the past month & also has a 30.77% place strike rate here @Sligo the past 5 years. Currently 16/1 doesn't look a bad price.

1 member found this comment useful

06 July 2024

19:30 7:30 Bellewstown

Television

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Hugh Finegan's 6 year old Mare TELEVISION ran ok on her Handicap Debut 21 days ago @Downpatrick (22f Good) & despite a 259 absence off the track this Daughter of ESTIDHKAAR didn't do too bad throwing down a challenge 3 from home but started to fade she certainly didn't disgrace herself. This charge now drops in trip which looks the right thing to do & should/could strip fitter with that pipe opener in the tank. This Yard picked up a winner here on Thursday & landed a 33/1 4th @Cork Yesterday. Jockey Jack Kearney has only just taken out his jumps licence but hit the frame @Tipperary on Thursday on only his 3rd attempt, Jockey sheds 2lbs. 4 places on offer for a yard in form at decent current odds. Each way possibilities.

1 member found this comment useful

19:00 7:00 Bellewstown

Thebeautifulgame

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Cian Collins 5 year old British Mare THEBEAUTIFULGAME enters Handicap company here today with the step back up in trip looking a positive with regards to her Penultimate run @Down Royal (20f Yielding) in Maiden Company where she wasn't too far off the leading pack before being very badly hampered by a faller 3 out. This Daughter of SLADE POWER was dropped in trip for her penultimate (which in my opinion was the wrong decision, But hey what do I know?! It could have been part of a plot) @Ballinrobe 39 days ago where she just struggled to get to terms with the faster pace. Trainer has his yard running well currently (16.67% Win 33.33% place strike rate the past 14 days) & his record with his Handicap debutants is worth a second glance ( 14.29% Win 28.57% Place strike rate). Jockey Liam McKenna is booked & sheds 2lbs. 4 places @22/1 - I'm happy to have a punt.

15:20 3:20 Naas

American In Paris

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@15.00

Win

Denis Hogan's 4 year old Filly AMERICAN IN PARIS was ½ a furlong from winning 10 days ago here @Naas in what would have been in spectacular fashion having really fluffed her lines at the start but this Daughter of STARSPANGLEDBANNER Rallied on in the dying embers keeping on to just run out of track. This of course didn't go unnoticed by the handicapper who now lumps an extra 2lbs on her back but the booking of Jockey Jack Cleary with his 4lb claim instead gives us a 2lb advantage & whilst his yard having been in 1st place Trainer Denis Hogan has still landed plenty of prize money this past month with a 29.27% place strike rate aswell as a 50% place strike rate when booking Jockey Jack Clearly (Albeit from a small sample size). Look current 14/1 odds looks very generous with 5 places on offer. Let's prey for a better start out of the stalls.

1 member found this comment useful

05 July 2024

18:50 6:50 Cork

Rebel Treaty

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

As always I'm looking for a Price, I've scratched my head on a few that tick the 20/1+ odds box but I've decided to pin my colours to the mast with Con Macsweeney's 6 year old Mare REBEL TREATY, This daugher of OL' MAN RIVER was keeping on nicely here @Cork (17f Good/Yielding) last summer & then went onto finish 2nd @Listowel (20f Good) so that puts my mind at ease with regards to the tight nature of the track. This Charge would have been entitled to her last run @Killarney (22f Yielding) which would have stretched her anyways so this drop back in trip here looks positive. The booking of Jockey Philip Enright is a good one (in my opinion) with the jockey bagging a 20/1 winner & 22/1 2nd yesterday & currently finds himself with a 40% place strike rate this past month, Jockey also has a 27.27% place strike rate here @Cork the past year. 5 places on offer here at good current 20/1 odds.

18:25 6:25 Bellewstown

Spirit Of Eagles

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

16/1 looks a tad on the high side for Thomas Dowling's 4 year old Filly SPIRIT OF EAGLES especially when one of today's rivals (Eruption) is currently trading at 5/1 when both of these horses were just over a length behind subsequent winners (Rathbranchurch & Havana Notion) 14 days ago @Down Royal. This daughter of GLENEAGLES is dropped another 2lbs for that last run & is now just 1lb heavier than her win so potentially well handicapped, The Booking of Experienced jockey Gary Carroll is welcome as Is his fantastic 41.67% place strike rate here @Bellewstown the past year (his 5 year record isn't too bad either 30.77%). Watch for this charge running on late on ground she likes. Hitting the frame wouldn't be out of the question should she get some luck in running. Each way hopes.

18:15 6:15 Cork

Racing Daisy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Declan McNamara's 7 year old Mare RACING DAISY Looks of interest here on Her Handicap debut especially dropping back down in trip. This Daughter of IMPERIAL MONARCH had her best run @Ballinrobe over this trip 2 runs ago after that it just looked like she was stretched too much. The pedigree certainly gives this charge a punchers chance. Jockey Ben Harvey replaces his brother (Alex Harvey) in the saddle which is a sign of content from the yard with jockeys 33.33% place strike the past 5 years a positive with Trainers 33% Win strike rate with his 2nd time out handicappers helping us to make a compelling case. 16/1 looks a decent price with a very unexposed charge.

17:15 5:15 Bellewstown

Bungle Inthedesert

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@19.00

Void

I'm happy to take a chance here with John McConnell's 5 year old Gelding BUNGLE INTHEDESERT who is still relativity unexposed on the turf & I'm curious to see how he fairs on a tighter track here today but if I'm being honest this Son of BUNGLE INTHEJUNGLE's last run on the turf (only his 2nd attempt) @Limerick(8f Good/Firm) was a definite improvement (finishing 6½ lengths off). This charge drops 4lbs for that to a mark of 61 (Won on the All weather 1mile on mark of 59). Trainer John McConnell entrusts 3lb Claimer Siobhan Rutledge to steering duties with this jockey getting the best out of this lad on the All weather. Trainer & Jockey have had a fruitful fortnight with a 20% Win 40% place strike rate. If this charge was lower than current 18/1 Isy pass him over & I'm certainly not insinuating that Bellewstown is anything like Dundalk (expect I am really!) but I certainly think it's too soon to write this lad off yet & I'm keen to see how he fairs on a sharper track. Tentative Each Way Roll of the dice.

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