kcbailey

Just started to follow horseracing. Learning lots along the way.

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kcbailey's Tips History

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29 August 2025
19:43 7:43 Salisbury

Navalanche

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

14/1 seems good odds to me for a Tom Marquand and Ed Walker pairing. Returns after a mid-summer break and very much lightly raced. Slight doubt about lasting 14f but that risk is built into this price.
18:00 6:00 Newcastle

Jazz Talking

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Was just modest on the all-weather last winter but returns after a big break with a tongue-tie on. Is capable of improvement if ready to go, and market confidence (halved in price) could be a good sign, or a sign that the competition is not very good.
16:25 4:25 Sandown

Bona Verba

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Ran very well on yard debut when third at Ffos Las at a big price. Able to progress from there and with the step up to 1m; certainly interesting.
15:38 3:38 Thirsk

Secret Guest

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

6f suits well and has run well twice here this season. Not trained that far away, so perhaps appreciates not having to travel too far. So we'll chance it each-way and four places.
15:15 3:15 Sandown

Mr Keble

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Well-bred colt with plenty of stamina in his pedigree. Will be a lot better next year over middle distances, but I'll take a chance at this price from a powerful yard. 12/1 is much better value than the stable's better fancied Accredit.
14:15 2:15 Sandown

Jenny Jerome

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

Nursery debut today and seemed 5f suited better last time when third at Nottingham. If able to build on that, she'll have a good chance of placing at 16/1.
14:05 2:05 Thirsk

Suzette

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Wind op recently, but even that failed to get this one to shine and show anything like the form of last summer when winning a nursery. Not giving up hope though, and after another short break, returns with a capable rider on board.
28 August 2025
19:30 7:30 Newbury

Hinchinbrooke

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Can't write off completely yet and well supported in the market despite being rather disappointing in the last two runs. 10f and a sound surface do suit and returns to the scene of his best run when 3rd in a maiden back in the spring.
18:45 6:45 Southwell

Sovereign Knight

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Must have a chance after being beaten a neck at Wolverhampton last week. Well in on that effort and despite this looking a tougher race he is on a good mark and effective on the AW tracks.
15:50 3:50 Chelmsford City

Grace Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

45

Not running that well lately and therefore tumbling down the handicap to a mark 9 lb below last winning. The conditions do suit though, and if Neil Callan can get some cover early, then the selection has a chance of placing.
14:40 2:40 Ffos Las

Alasrae

Daily Racing

25 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

25

Looks fairly treated for handicap debut and has been consistent over 3 runs over 5f. Step up to 6f looks sure to help. Has been backed this evening but still some juice in 9/1 each-way and 3 places.
27 August 2025
19:45 7:45 Hexham

Peace Belle

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 26/08 at 20:510.20 deduction for Dotties Promise@5.00 withdrawn at 18:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.20) = 9.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.00 BOG

@10.00

Win

281

Pedigree has plenty of stamina, so this type of race should suit. There is a little market support this evening, and although the yard is not renowned for winning bumpers, the selection could well be capable of placing and going on to better things.
19:15 7:15 Hexham

Huit Reflets

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

If ridden with more restraint, it could be capable of sneaking a place and has had good market support this evening. The overall record of 1-29 does not read well, but back over fences now for the first time since leaving Ireland.
26 August 2025
14:50 2:50 Musselburgh

Shes Got The Blues

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Has been modest so far in 3 runs, including when seemingly outpaced at Beverley. Stepping up to 1m today (handicap debut) may suit her pedigree. Hoping the call for stamina can bring about some improvement, and if so, the 16/1 e/w for 3 places looks good.
25 August 2025
17:08 5:08 Southwell

Willolarupi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Eased down the weights a little further, and the fitting of the tongue-tie may just do the trick for the selection. Nicely backed this evening. Let's go for the win concerning this course and distance winner.
15:25 3:25 Southwell

Flightofthephoenix

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

Quite lightly raced and therefore still open to plenty of improvement. Beaten just 4 lengths on handicap debut at Ffos Las and capable of going well.
13:30 1:30 Ripon

Vegas Virtue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Looks like stable second string based on jockey bookings and does need to take a good step forward from its debut. Tim Easterby does have a good record at Ripon though so let's see if the selection can make the frame.
24 August 2025
15:10 3:10 Beverley

Ambishio

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

This is more his league rather than races like the Super Sprint, where he was down the field last time. Showed good early season form and handles the trip and ground fine. Worth a shout at 16/1 each-way in this easier assignment.
23 August 2025
15:35 3:35 York

Fleetfoot

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Step up in distance looks a smart move by the veteran trainer. Has first-time cheekpieces on and won the last two from four this season. Looks capable of more and 33/1 is too big with 6 places.
22 August 2025
19:48 7:48 Goodwood

Iconic Times

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I'm a huge Jack Dace fan, and he'll need to be at his best to get a tune out of the selection on turf. So far, evidence has shown he's better on the All-Weather, but dropped a bit more in the weights and a valuable 5lb taken off by the jockey, I'll risk it.
19:18 7:18 Goodwood

Rajeteriat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Just 7 runners, but Ladbrokes is paying 3 places at 16/1. Yet to win and not much encouragement on stable debut, but Chris Gordon will have learned a few things now. A good 3rd over this course and distance in June for the previous stable, and I'll risk he's on a going day and could place.
16:45 4:45 York

Red Spells Danger

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Not ruled out today at 20/1 and 4 places in this valuable maiden. Very promising debut over this course and distance 4 weeks ago and hopefully will get over being upset in the stalls at Haydock most recently. Will progress again today and looks a decent prospect.
15:35 3:35 York

Night Raider

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Unbeaten on the All Weather and ran well at Goodwood last time perhaps on the wrong side. Has lots of speed and no surprise if he goes very well.
14:00 2:00 Newmarket

Remi Mae

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Some bits of money this evening and an each-way prospect, and can test any chinks in the well-fancied Enchanted Queen. Well-bred by Invincible Spirit out of a top stable, and pedigree indicates 7f will suit.
21 August 2025
19:15 7:15 Newcastle

Golden Mind

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

420

Must have an each-way chance at 14/1 and 4 places. Back down to 7f and finished strongly when placed in the International at Ascot. Richard Fahey has a good Newcastle record and a good chance for The North to get some points with the selection.
15:35 3:35 York

Garden Of Eden

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Bit of a long shot and excuses on the soft ground in Germany last time. Better judged on Ribblesdale win at Royal Ascot. Obviously, Minnie Hauk is much better fancied but is no value at all, so will take the 16/1 for this classy filly to cause an upset.
14:45 2:45 Newton Abbot

Whispering Royal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Had a short break and ran well off a reduced mark here last time. Similar race and conditions today and mark looks workable. Very under-rated James Best takes the ride.
20 August 2025
19:20 7:20 Kempton

Niminy Piminy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 13.00 on 19/08 at 20:490.20 deduction for Run With It@5.00 withdrawn at 06:430.10 deduction for Rogue Encore @7.000 withdrawn at 08:49R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 12.00 x (1-0.3) = 9.40

@9.40

Win

17

Best bet on Kempton (AW) mega card is Niminy Piminy, each-way 4 places at 12/1. Not totally disgraced at Ascot latest despite being beaten 9 lengths. Now returning from a break with conditions in his favor, this unexposed sort could have much more to give on an artificial surface.
14:25 2:25 York

Gewan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

312

Nice attitude and winning very well at Newbury on debut over 7f. That form is solid and Andrew Balding trains lots of winners at York. A serious each-way contender today and much more to come in the future too.
19 August 2025
19:30 7:30 Chepstow

Jenni

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Lots of money this evening for the selection. Below form at Chester last time when held up. But conditions will suit, and if allowed to dictate, then not without a chance.
19:10 7:10 Wolverhampton

Love You More

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Excuses at Yarmouth last time when slowly away, and based on overall form, still some improvement needed. But Jack Mitchell is booked and only a 5th career run, so 4 places and 33/1 looks too tempting.
16 August 2025
15:00 3:00 Newbury

Documenting

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Certainly the senior here but has run some great races at Newbury over the years. Ran nicely at York last time and coming to his peak. 22/1 looks too big for such a competitive contender.
14:45 2:45 Ripon

Hectic

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@17.00

Void

0

Won here back in June and seemed to be improving, although limitations were exposed at Hamilton last time. Has had a couple of months away and dropped a couple of pounds, so ideal credentials to bounce back at a nice price, paying 5 places.
14:25 2:25 Newbury

Sugar Hill Babe

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

In great form this season and worth a punt each-way at 12/1. Finished strongly in a Redcar race last week and remains nicely treated after that. Clearly in good form and a serious contender.
12 August 2025
15:00 3:00 Lingfield

Dutch Finale

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Sole bet of the day and 10/1 for 4 places looks solid for this newcomer to the stable. Very good winner here in June and has shown good form coming off a break, and comes into this race on a good mark. A solid contender with a jockey who rides lots of winners for Stuart Williams.
08 August 2025
16:00 4:00 Brighton

Fai Fai

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 17.00 on 07/08 at 22:010.10 deduction for Roman Emperor@8.50 withdrawn at 06:23R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 16.00 x (1-0.10) = 15.40

@15.40

Win

47

Not won many races after 43 attempts and beaten 6 lengths at Lingfield last time, but did not get a very good passage through. Handles all surfaces and 5/6f suits best. Has some ability if willing to show it under a very capable young rider.
15:30 3:30 Brighton

Charlie Mason

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

25

Ran on Tuesday at Ffos Las finishing third, about 3 lengths behind the winner off 67. The yard has to be respected at Brighton and now the selection is below his last winning mark. Handles any ground and has solid each-way claims.
07 August 2025
19:30 7:30 Chepstow

Emperors Son

Daily Racing

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

A bit inconsistent and unable to add to debut win, but will be better suited to the ground today than at Yarmouth last time. 5f on a sound surface feels best, and with some easing in the weights, she could get placed.
17:30 5:30 Chepstow

King Of Light

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 29.00 used instead of 23.00 takenBOG

@29.00

Win

115

Good form as a 2yo for Karl Burke but found this tough at Ascot last time, beaten 8 lengths over 5f. Down in grade and with a jockey who does well for the stable, hoping he can recapture that juvenile form.
17:00 5:00 Chelmsford City

Beauty Beyond

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Finished just over 8 lengths fourth in a Ripon novice last time. That wasn't really much progression over the time before. Trainer reaches for headgear today and back into handicap company, with 1 mile suiting well. She handles the Polytrack fine and could find a place.
05 August 2025
19:45 7:45 Newbury

Zealandia

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Now very well below winning 2024 mark and showed a spark of what he can do when third of five over 1m6f at Sandown, beaten 6 1/2 lengths. That day the distance was perhaps a little sharp and gets this 2m much better these days when the emphasis is on stamina. Hoping Deep Water Bay can set a positive pace that will see the selection doing his best work at the end.
19:15 7:15 Newbury

Alondra

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Heavily backed this evening and this one was off the mark in April on the all-weather and has held his form well in 5f/6f handicaps ever since. Beaten 2 lengths off 73 at Doncaster on latest run and is a reliable type who enjoys a sound surface. Consistent type who deserves to go close in this event.
14:30 2:30 Catterick

Majd Al Kazem

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Majd Al Kazem took a step forward from his debut when fourth in a Lingfield novice, beaten 6 lengths despite racing wide. That's a bit more experience under his belt and nurseries might be the end game but 16/1 is too generous in my opinion. Some further progression expected.
04 August 2025
20:45 8:45 Carlisle

Cloud Free

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Best value in a race if all 8 go to post, and showed a little more promise when fourth at Redcar last time. Needs to build on that though and might be still a little high in the weights, although Tom Kiely-Marshall is more than capable and that 5lb allowance will help.
18:20 6:20 Windsor

Kanes A Lott

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

10,000 guineas purchase by Footstepsinthesand and most of the pedigree points to early speed. May need the experience of this debut, but we'll chance it each way at a big price.
15:10 3:10 Ripon

Profitable Edge

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

This course and distance winner is now back on a dangerous mark but not been at her best this year. There was market confidence at Doncaster last time but even that was slightly disappointing. Still, she likes 5f and handles all ground so not ruled out and capable of a place.
13:53 1:53 Lingfield

Lord Montague

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 03/08 at 19:390.15 deduction for Pulsar Star@6.00 withdrawn at 13:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.15) = 12.90Best Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 12.90 BOG

@15.00

Win

45

Two runs so far and has shown promise both times, so surprised to see 14/1 being offered. Yes, beaten 7l last time but now up to 1m that can bring about further improvement after a little break. I think there will be more to come in this race providing the draw doesn't mess up chances.
02 August 2025
16:20 4:20 Goodwood

Lion Of Alba

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Showed plenty of promise on debut when staying on from off the pace to finish fifth in a Newbury novice. That was a solid race where the form is working out nicely and Lion Of Alba will have plenty of improvement on that effort. 14/1 each-way is a solid bet if the expected progression takes place.
16:10 4:10 Doncaster

Definitive

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Danny Tudhope has a good book of rides at Doncaster, and Definitive can show up well. A very unexposed filly who has finished tailed off in two starts, most recently in a Newbury handicap where it's questionable she stayed the trip. The jockey booking is appealing and could have potential off this mark.
16:00 4:00 Newmarket

Naina

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@41.00

Win

175

Four-time winner last season but not so good in 2025. Has had a short break and is back over the optimum distance of 7f on more suitable ground. Well treated on form from 2023 and could show a return with ideal conditions, making this 40/1 far too big.
15:05 3:05 Goodwood

Vadream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

Tailed off at Royal Ascot, and some may question his enthusiasm for the game. But despite not being the force of old, the 7-year-old should still have another decent performance in him off this mark. Will go on ground with any juice in it, and paying out on 6 places, not one to rule out.

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