kcbailey

Just started to follow horseracing. Learning lots along the way.

1

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this month

£5

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this month

kcbailey's Tips History

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13 July 2025
18:45 6:45 Southwell

Haliphon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Too big a price in my opinion, especially with the stable sending in winners all over the place now their horses are becoming well handicapped. I'll put a line through the last run, but before that ran a couple of decent races, one with today's jockey. Not sure 2m is ideal, but can't argue with a run at Kempton (AW) earlier this year that was one of his better efforts in the past 12 months.
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Amestris

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 17.00 used instead of 15.00 takenBOG

@17.00

Win

55

Another open race and a good second last time (probably best career performance) at Haydock last time; slow away too. Takes to the artificial surface for the first time and gets to race off the same mark.
16:40 4:40 Southwell

Trad Jazz

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

Surprised 11/1 still on offer and is a sound each-way shout. Won first two races on all-weather and ran with merit in Listed company at Goodwood. Coming back from a short break and jockey has a near 50% place strike rate for James Owen who himself has over 50% place strike rate on the Southwell all-weather. Stats are speaking positively.
14:42 2:42 Stratford

Baikal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

360

Pretty much gets a stone from the field, and the hurdle mark continues to fall, although not shamed on a couple of flat runs recently. I'll be honest, I'm backing for second place rather than the win, but it deserves a shout for consistency.
12 July 2025
16:50 4:50 Ascot

Jakajaro

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

So much racing on Saturday and really difficult races too. So, sole bet of the day is the selection at 11/1 with 5 places. Good draw in my view and posted a seasonal best at Newcastle last time. Trainer probably getting to know the gelding now and there has been some money during this evening.
1 member found this comment useful
11 July 2025
20:55 8:55 Chester

Simply Blue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

Final selection on a busy day and perhaps my most confident. Jockey Richard Kingscote rides Chester very well, and the selection is very well drawn today. Showed some improved form at Leicester last time and being a couple of pounds lower now is ready to go close.
18:25 6:25 Chester

Hatamoto

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Stall 1 in a sprint around Chester at 22/1 is great each-way value. Has entries in the big 2yo races at York and Redcar later this year, so must be well thought of. An entry at Ayr on Monday means he's ready to run. Could well turn up there and win after this run. Not unknown for the stable's 2yo to go very well on debut if forward.
17:20 5:20 Newmarket

Catch Cunningham

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@11.00

Win

25

Won a couple of races last summer off a similar mark and coming to hand. Lingfield run latest doesn't look great but was repeatedly stopped, and will need some luck in running. Trainer does like to bring one down from Lincolnshire to run well at Newmarket, and 10/1 seems a good price.
17:07 5:07 York

Looking For Lynda

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Must be mad to back another one in these competitive York races, but with 5 places on offer, the selection looks too good to miss at 11/1. I'm going to assume the refusal to race was a one-off last time, and Musselburgh's seasonal debut was a great run. In super form last summer off marks a few pounds higher, and maybe the wind surgery will help with any breathing issues.
15:20 3:20 York

Zaina Zarak

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Don't know a lot about this one apart from coming from a stable I always watch out for with 2yo. Bosa Nova and Aylin are the ones to beat, but if either is off their game, then the selection could run into 2nd, and 14/1 to do so is fair.
15:10 3:10 Ascot

Knights Gold

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

437

14/1 is a great price and selecting mostly down to jockey booking. Elizabeth Gale can do no wrong these last couple of weeks. Won 3 of the last 5 handicaps and although up another 5 lbs, the jockey can claim that back and probably a couple more. She is so good (3 wins from 16 this month). Up in class but the price reflects that.
14:10 2:10 York

Sword

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Hood seems to be doing the trick with a reasonable run at Haydock last week off this mark, after winning at Leicester. I'm attracted by the fact that Danny Tudhope is on board, who has been winning and placed on lots of the stable's horses this past week.
10 July 2025
20:20 8:10 Epsom Downs

Oj Lifestyle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Win

100

A worry that it's drifted from 12/1 to 25/1; it could have 3 legs, but despite that, the price on offer now is very good. Has done nothing in 2 runs this season but is now a couple of pounds higher than winning twice last summer. Shrewd stable may be running him "slow away" again today with an eye for a prize at the Brighton Festival of Racing - but I'll take a chance.
17:30 5:30 Doncaster

Canvas

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 10/07 at 09:450.15 deduction for Baloos Blues@5.50 withdrawn at 10:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.15) = 3.98Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 3.98 BOG

@6.00

Win

250

Very heavily back already so must be having a go today. Won here in a Class 6 off 65 rather nicely a couple of runs back and run at Ffos Las off 68 was not bad and perhaps the softer ground would not have been ideal. Worth another chance today.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket

Zavateri

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Win

781

Asking a lot, but may have any amount of improvement (like a lot of these) and could only win the Salisbury maiden that was entered for no better than they did. 25/1 seems too big despite only 2 places.
08 July 2025
14:25 2:25 Lingfield

Lilac Wine

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@10.00

Void

0

First time in handicaps and hoping to exploit a potentially lenient mark. 9/1 and 4 places each way looks reasonable.
07 July 2025
17:30 5:30 Worcester

Sea Thrift

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@34.00

Void

0

Very competitive race and the selection is too big at 33/1. Back down to 2 miles today and more likely to place than win, but the fact 50% of Daisy Hitchens' runners at Worcester have been placed adds some confidence - a similar remark for Robbie David when riding for the stable in general.
06 July 2025
16:40 4:40 Ayr

Toronto Raptor

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

First time tongue tie on in the hope of a better run than last time. Prior to that, a fair 3rd at Pontefract and hoping the rain-softened ground may bring a change of fortune.
05 July 2025
18:53 6:53 Nottingham

Hidden Pearl

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

I feel 10/1 is far too big and was expecting more like 7/1. Young Taryn Langley is a very good 7lb claimer, and the selection would have a great chance on a going day. The latest run was slightly disappointing, but back into Class 6, that will help.
15:50 3:50 Haydock

Tiriac

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Competitive race, but 5 places are available, and the selection ran very well in the same race last year. Nice run at Beverley latest and dropped 1 lb for that, so an each-way chance for this nicely backed selection.
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Suite Francaise

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Unbeaten in 2 runs, and this is another step up in class, but should be capable of placing. Charlie Johnson's journeys to Sandown have not been fruitful so far, but I have a feeling this one will go well.
04 July 2025
18:40 6:40 Haydock

Live Each Day

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@17.00

Win

55

Jockey and trainer combination can never be ignored although not much sign of money so far. Relying on Marco Ghiani to get a better sound out of the filly; latest ride on her was a victory at Southwell. Jockey's last four rides for the stable have been 2211.
13:43 1:43 Doncaster

Reteti

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Paying 3 places, I feel 16/1 is good value for lightly raced Reteti. Encouragement on last run at Bath last time, even if slow away, then pulling too hard. That was behind a winner who followed up since. Travelling all the way up from West Sussex.
02 July 2025
17:13 5:13 Thirsk

Pals Battalion

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Win

15

Value is ebbing away, but 8/1 and 4 places are just about worth a go. Probably found Class 2 hot enough last time and better judged on the previous two runs before that. Quite impressed with the jockey booking and his statistics when riding at Thirsk over the past 12 months; an indication he knows where to put the horse and when.
01 July 2025
20:30 8:30 Chelmsford City

Surrey Fire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

12/1 and 4 places with Mr. Marquand on board will do me in this open event. Will hopefully get the 2m and has as good a chance as Trouville (13/2) and Road To Wembley (8/1). The wife is riding the stable's other runner, but that's not won for 3 years, and the selection probably has more scope at this trip.
15:40 3:40 Brighton

Rating

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

I think 16/1 is reasonable value for the selection and Hills are paying out on 3 places. Had a good break and I do think Millie Wonnacott is a decent jockey. Selection seemed to handle Brighton last September and a repeat of that, if fit, should be good enough to go close.
30 June 2025
20:15 8:15 Windsor

Rival

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

16:15 4:15 Ffos Las

Condotti

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 29/06 at 21:250.10 deduction for City Of York@8.00 withdrawn at 07:27R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.10) = 13.60Best Odds Guaranteed SP 19.00 used instead of 13.60 BOG

@19.00

Win

64

29 June 2025
17:05 5:05 Cartmel

Judicial Review

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 15.00 on 28/06 at 21:320.15 deduction for Unwanted Attention@5.50 withdrawn at 07:050.00 deduction for Rust To Riches @21.000 withdrawn at 08:41R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 14.00 x (1-0.15) = 12.90

@12.90

Win

357

16:30 4:30 Cartmel

Special Rate

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

15:40 3:40 Uttoxeter

Zoran

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

13:30 1:30 Uttoxeter

Johnsons Blue

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

28 June 2025
20:00 8:00 Doncaster

Nibras Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

17:25 5:25 York

Hamlets Night

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

15:05 3:05 Chester

Paws For Thought

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

14:40 2:40 Newcastle

Caprelo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

14:10 2:10 Newcastle

Annaf

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@13.00

Win

35

27 June 2025
19:45 7:45 Newmarket

Bullington Bry

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

18:30 6:30 Newcastle

Kameel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

17:25 5:25 Newcastle

Oh So Cool

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

26 June 2025
21:00 9:00 Leicester

Towerlands

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Win

20

18:05 6:05 Newcastle

Calcutta Dream

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

17:07 5:07 Nottingham

Rock N Roll Pinkie

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 25/06 at 21:220.25 deduction for Cosmic Soul@3.50 withdrawn at 08:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.25) = 5.50

@5.50

Win

140

15:22 3:22 Nottingham

Beach Partee

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

15:10 3:10 Newcastle

Romieu

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

25 June 2025
20:50 8:50 Bath

Ladypacksapunch

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

19:30 7:30 Kempton

Stateira

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

18:30 6:30 Kempton

Norfolk Blue

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@11.00

Void

0

24 June 2025
20:15 8:15 Newbury

Silver Trumpet

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 23/06 at 21:520.10 deduction for Marlay Park@9.00 withdrawn at 08:59R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 9.00 x (1-0.10) = 9.10

@9.10

Win

15

16:45 4:45 Beverley

Sweet Cicely

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

14:15 2:15 Beverley

Bantz

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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