Seymour Winners

Football/horse racing mad. Been busy and not investing time here for the past 3 mths. Now back to business this month and should be showing regular profits again

6

Estimated Prizes
this month

£50

Estimated Prize money
this month

Seymour Winners's Tips History

All tips
16 January 2025
20:00 Man Utd v Southampton

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

United have had a couple of decent results, but you still cannot trust them. I would rather back the evens that both teams score, as United struggle to keep clean sheets.

Amad Diallo

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

Diallo gets the start, having been rested last game. He did score against Liverpool, so he is a likely scorer here if United win, as they would be expected to by 2 or 3 goals.

Mateus Fernandes

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@11.00

Open

0

Fernandes to get a goal for Southampton. He often manages at least a shot on target, so is a decent price to get a goal.

Manuel Ugarte

Player to be Booked

90 WIN

@4.33

Open

0

Ugarte can be a dirty player, often fouling excessively, and he will be out to deter young Dibley. Decent price for a booking here.

Yukinari Sugawara

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@3.50

Open

0

Sugawara to get booked. Likely to be up against Diallo, who is pacey and tricky. Too much for Sugawara, and he will get booked for repeatedly fouling.
20:00 Shrewsbury v Wrexham

Draw

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

If Wrexham struggle, it's against teams who are lower down the league and away from home. Shrewsbury have beaten Birmingham at home this season, and I think the points are shared here.
19:30 Ipswich v Brighton

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Open

0

Brighton draw a lot of games and have drawn their last 3 away games. Ipswich have drawn 4 of their 10 home games and are in decent form right now, so a draw seems likely.
19:00 7:00 Chelmsford City

Queenofdestruction

Daily Racing

Going for the outsider of 4. Still unexposed and making polytrack debut. If she runs as well as she did on debut back in October, where she was beaten a nose, she has a chance.
15:54 3:54 Newcastle

Blue Carpet

Daily Racing

Did well to win last time, having come from out the back in a slow-run race. Should be able to defy a penalty and win this.
15:45 3:45 Wincanton

Katate Dori

Daily Racing

Unbeaten 2 for 2 over fences and followed up very easily last time. Considering he was eased before the finish and still won by over 6 lengths, the 7 lb extra he carries here should not stop him from completing the hat-trick.

Take Your Time

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Won from 3lb lower on penultimate start and would have needed the run last time. Worth an each-way bet with Cobden back on top.
15:00 3:00 Ludlow

Culligran

Daily Racing

150 WINNAP

@7.00

Void

0

Worth backing. Dropped 3lb by the handicapper and now just 5lb higher than when winning by 7l 3 runs back. Wedge, who rode him that day, is back on board.
14:50 2:50 Fairyhouse

Quantum Quest

Daily Racing

Offers value against the favorite as he shaped well on hurdles debut last time, in a better race than the one the favorite ran in on his debut run. 11lb clear on TF ratings, is the one to be on here.
14:35 2:35 Wincanton

Fine Casting

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

Is an each-way price, so has to be backed for at least a place after an eye-catching performance last time. Gets 6lb for a length from that last time out 2nd, with the favorite here and remembering he is still 4lb below his winning mark from a couple of years ago.

Lokis Mischief

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Due to go up 7lb after running 4th last week in a decent race. So connections are hoping to take advantage before the new mark hits, making him 7lb lower than he should be here. Must be backed.
14:25 2:25 Ludlow

We Got Your Back

Daily Racing

79 WIN

@5.50

Void

0

Not sure what he beat last time, but he steps back up in trip here, which seems sure to suit, and drops in grade from last time. Decent chance from just 3lb higher.
13:55 1:35 Newcastle

Rattling Road

Daily Racing

80 WINNB

@2.88

Win

150

Jumped well and won impressively last time on just his 2nd run over fences. 6 lb higher and up in grade, but has every chance here.
13:15 1:15 Ludlow

Monty Bodkin

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.75 on 16/01 at 07:590.25 deduction for Libre De Choeur@3.50 withdrawn at 13:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.75 x (1-0.25) = 3.81

@4.75

Void

0

Shaped better than the result on hurdles debut last time. Has had his wind done since and wears a tongue tie for the first time today. He will come on for that last run, which was his first in 9 months, and could go close here.
12:00 12:00 Fairyhouse

American Money

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

Pulled up on chase debut in a better race last time, but was going okay and close up until blundering 4 out and then weakening. Would have needed that run after 6 months off and has an each-way chance here.

Mount Sinai

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Ran to a fair level on chase debut last time and is entitled to come on for the experience. One can never discount Mullins runners. Big price.
11:55 11:55 Newcastle

Broderick

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 16/01 at 08:200.15 deduction for Famous Liss@6.00 withdrawn at 11:510.00 deduction for Big Storm Brewing @251.000 withdrawn at 11:510.00 deduction for Team Endeavour @251.000 withdrawn at 12:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.15) = 4.40Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.40 BOG

@4.50

Win

175

Last chance saloon for this one as he looked a little unwilling last time, though pulled well clear with the winner. Prior to that, his two hurdles runs had been little more than schooling exercises. Job horse.
15 January 2025
20:00 Arsenal v Tottenham

Tottenham

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

With Arsenal's injuries, I just think Spurs are overpriced at 7s and can pull off a surprise. Arsenal are in the midst of a poor run, and Spurs can pull off a victory here.

Heung Min Son

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.75

Win

188

Great price to get a goal, especially with him being on pens for Spurs. I expect Spurs to get at least a couple of goals here.
19:45 Boston Utd v Southend

Southend

50 WIN

@2.15

Void

0

Boston have won only 3 games at home all season, and I do not see them getting anything out of this game. Mid-table Southend should be winning this.
19:30 Everton v Aston Villa

Draw

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

Villa have lost 5 straight away from home but are unbeaten on their last 5 visits to Goodison. Moyes takes charge, and I cannot see Everton losing this one, but they probably don't have enough to win the game.

Amadou Onana

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

Onana is another player in this fixture who is going back to his old club. He will be getting stuck in the midfield area, and this could get a bit tetchy.

Idrissa Gueye

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

I like Gueye to get booked in this game. With a midfield battle likely to ensue, he is likely to be making some mistimed tackles.

Lucas Digne

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Digne to get booked. Going back to his old club will likely get stick from the crowd and is likely to get booked as he could let it get to him.
19:30 Leicester v Crystal Palace

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Lose

-50

Draw here. Leicester are unbeaten in their last 4 home games against Palace. Though Palace are in a better position than their opponents, they do draw a significant number of games.
19:30 Newcastle v Wolverhampton

Newcastle

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Even though Newcastle are riding the crest of a wave right now, I think this will be a lot closer than most people expect. But Newcastle will just about get over the line here.

Sandro Tonali

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@5.25

Lose

-50

Tonali to score for Newcastle. He has been taking shots in recent weeks and has nabbed himself a couple of goals, so I am backing him to get a goal here.

Matt Doherty

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Doherty to get booked. He may be up against Gordon, who has a bit of pace about him. This will lead to Doherty making a few fouls and getting the card.
19:30 Union Berlin v Augsburg

Draw

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Union have lost only once at home this season, but draw plenty. They have drawn 3 of their last 4 home games, with Augsburg drawing 2 of their last 4 away games. Draw here.
19:30 VfB Stuttgart v RB Leipzig

RB Leipzig

50 WIN

@3.90

Lose

-50

Stuttgart have been struggling this season. Leipzig have lost only once here in their last 6 visits, and they are the value bet here.
19:30 Werder Bremen v Heidenheim

Werder Bremen

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

Home win here, with the away side Heidenheim have lost their last 5 games away from home, likely number 6 here. WB beaten only twice at home this season and by 2 top 6 sides
17:30 Bochum v St Pauli

St Pauli

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Good chance for St Pauli to get a win on the board as Bochum have won only once at home this season and are near certainties to be getting relegated.
16:25 4:25 Kempton

Collusion

Daily Racing

Drops in grade into a 0-58 for the first time and drops another pound to 58 here. Makes Polytrack debut and looks to have a decent chance here.
16:08 4:08 Newbury

Geturguccion

Daily Racing

Second last time out on just her second hurdles run. That form looks excellent as the winner won next time out, as did the ones finishing behind the selection in 4th and 5th. The one finishing 3rd likely would have won but for being brought down. Strong win bet on handicap debut from a lenient mark.
15:40 3:40 Clonmel

Doyen For A Drink

Daily Racing

Looked unlucky last time when yet to be asked for his effort and leading when falling two out. Comes here off the same mark on similar ground. The one to be on.
15:35 3:35 Newbury

Lady Balko

Daily Racing

Brought up a hat trick of wins last time, winning very easily, and this is an improving mare. Good jumper and race likely to be run to suit her. NAP bet here.
15:23 3:23 Hereford

Bobbis Beauty

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.00

Void

0

Won very easily last time. Drop back in trip seemed to suit. Steps back up in trip here, but Hereford is a sharp track, so should have no issues seeing this trip out. Looks the one to be on.
14:30 2:30 Clonmel

Mack The Chemist

Daily Racing

25 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@10.00

Void

0

Caught the eye on hurdles debut last year and would have needed his run last time. Decent each-way chance on what is just his 3rd run over hurdles.
14:25 2:25 Newbury

Jasmin De Grugy

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.50 on 15/01 at 07:560.10 deduction for House Of Stories@9.00 withdrawn at 09:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.50 x (1-0.10) = 3.25

@3.25

Win

112

Handled heavy ground earlier last year, so the ground should hold no fears. Brought up a 4-timer when last seen in November. Not even close to his limit, and 11lb extra is unlikely to stop him here.

Support Act

Daily Racing

40 EW

@10.00

Lose

-80

Chase debut and looks potentially very well handicapped based on his hurdles win 11 months ago where he had mid to high 90s rated horses 20+ lengths behind him, yet gets in here off 113. Decent each-way bet.
13:38 1:38 Southwell

Lattaash

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Win

30

Capable off this mark, having been placed from a pound higher in November. Tends to run with the choke out and overdid the front-running tactics last time. Each-way chance here.
13:30 1:30 Clonmel

Beckett Rock

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@6.00

Win

250

Needed the run last time, having been off the track for more than a year. Won on debut on his penultimate start, winning impressively. Should come on for that last run.
14 January 2025
20:00 Nottm Forest v Liverpool

Draw

50 WIN

@4.20

Win

160

Going for another draw here. Forest have won their last 6 games and Liverpool are undefeated in 15, so a draw seems to be the likeliest outcome here.
19:45 Cardiff v Watford

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Win

115

This has draw written all over it. Cardiff have managed only 1 win in the last 12 games, and they face a Watford side who have a decent record here but are inconsistent.
19:45 Forest Green v Barnet

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Forest Green are undefeated at home this season, but Barnet are undefeated in their last 6 visits here, winning 3 and drawing 3. So, I see this being another draw.
19:45 Gateshead v Halifax

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Halifax is undefeated in their last 6 visits to Gateshead and have lost only 2 games away from home all season. Gateshead has an excellent record at home, winning 9 of 12, but Halifax can nick a draw here.
19:45 Plymouth v Oxford Utd

Plymouth

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Plymouth, though out of form, have lost only 1 of their last 6 home games and had a fantastic cup result at the weekend. They take the momentum of that win into this game and get a well-needed win.
19:30 Brentford v Man City

Bernardo Silva

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Silva is due a goal and will find some space for himself, ghosting into the area. He offers decent value at a tad under 4s to get a goal.

Savinho

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

I will ride the hot hand here with Savinho finding goal-scoring form, scoring in his last league game. City will create plenty here tonight.

Mateo Kovacic

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Kovacic to get booked. Brentford are decent on the break, and it will be up to Kovacic to break up the play. He is likely to take one or two for the team.

Matheus Nunes

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Nunes is a decent candidate for a booking as it looks likely he will be playing out of position at right back. So again, an unnatural fit for full back, could get carded.

Sepp van den Berg

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Van den Berg to get booked. He is one of the bigger priced defenders for a booking, and with City being quick in transition, the Brentford defense is going to get caught out here.
19:30 Chelsea v Bournemouth

Draw

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Chelsea have been inconsistent of late, whereas Bournemouth have been one of the form teams and are capable of getting a draw here tonight.

Noni Madueke

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Madueke will be keen to make an impression getting the start today, and he is never shy to shoot. So, he could get a goal at a decent price.

Tyler Adams

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

I fancy Bournemouth getting a goal or two tonight. Adams is fit again and plays here. He could surprise by popping up from midfield.

James Hill

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Hill to get booked as he will be up against Sancho, who can be a bit tricky and will cause the full-back all sorts of problems.
19:30 West Ham v Fulham

Draw

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

The standout statistic here is that Fulham have drawn 5 of their last 6 games. West Ham have a new manager, and I do not see Potter losing this game, so I think a draw here is very likely.
19:30 Wolfsburg v Borussia Mgladbach

Borussia Mgladbach

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

These two teams have identical records in the league, but Borussia Mönchengladbach have lost only once in their last six visits here and are undefeated in their last ten matches against today's opponents, which makes the away win the value bet.
18:15 6:15 Newcastle

Miners Gamble

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

Last seen 4 months ago. Went close to winning after a break of 6 months from a mark a pound higher than this, last March, and that was around here. Has a decent each-way chance back at a mile.
17:45 5:45 Newcastle

Bright

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

Won a lesser race on penultimate start before having trouble in running last time in a higher grade/class. Drops back down a level here and has already won twice around here. Is an e/w price.
17:30 Holstein Kiel v Borussia Dortmund

Holstein Kiel

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

If Kiel are ever going to beat Dortmund, then this is the day. Dortmund were battered at home by Leverkusen at the weekend and have a virus affecting their squad. Vulnerable at the minute.
16:45 4:45 Newcastle

Water Of Leith

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Drifted out to a tempting price to follow up from last time. Goes up 3lb for best part of a length victory, which is about right and is still well in on old form.
16:13 4:13 Newcastle

Swiss Ace

Daily Racing

80 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-80

Comes here off a falling mark. Now 2lb below last winning mark. Has not had the best luck in running the last twice and significantly is dropped in grade here.
15:55 3:55 Southwell

Retraction

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Worth chancing at the prices. Needs things to drop right. Did well to finish 3rd last time, having missed the break.
15:38 3:38 Newcastle

Jujubella

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.20 used instead of 1.91 takenBOG

@2.20

Win

60

Found improvement when stepped up in trip last time, winning in a career-best effort. Steps up further in trip here, and pedigree suggests it will suit.
15:30 3:30 Dundalk

Lost President

Daily Racing

80 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@4.33

Win

266

Has been crying out for a step up in trip, which he gets today. Shaped better than the bare result on handicap debut last time, doing all his best work at the end of the 6f trip. This mile trip will bring improvement.
15:22 3:22 Southwell

Comte De Loir

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 13/01 at 22:200.30 deduction for Haaland@2.88 withdrawn at 08:21R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.30) = 5.55

@5.55

Lose

-3

Ew bet on handicap debut now he is upped in trip. Has been ridden with handicaps in mind over inadequate trips. Worth backing here.

Haaland

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@2.62

Void

0

Previous course and distance. Missed break last time and as a result was left poorly placed. This is only his 3rd run after being off the track for almost a year. Unexposed for stable.
15:00 3:00 Dundalk

Si Senior

Daily Racing

75 EWNAP

@23.00

Lose

-150

Comes here from a falling mark and not seen since October. However, he had been running better than his form figures would suggest and has won when back off a break previously. Comes here from a mark that has fallen below 60 for the first time. EW bet.
14:22 2:22 Southwell

Rubellite

Daily Racing

77 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-77

This is the best horse at the weights, receiving 5lb from the favorite while having similar official ratings. This trip has brought out improvement in the selection, and I expect her to win this.
13:40 1:40 Plumpton

Bobbis Beauty

Daily Racing

80 WIN

@2.88

Void

0

Dropped back in trip suited last time when winning comfortably, drawing clear on the run-in. Goes up what seems to be a manageable 8lb, and he has won on heavy previously, so this dead ground will suit.
12:52 12:52 Southwell

Blue Lakota

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@4.33

Win

166

Unlucky in running last time when going for the hat trick. Got no sort of run approaching the final furlong and had to switch. Comes here from the same mark. Decent chance.
10:45 Perth Glory v Western Sydney Wanderers

Perth Glory

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Glory had an excellent win last game and can follow up here against a team whom they have a decent recent record against. Attractive odds here.

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