chillywatts

Grew up attending P2P's and have 15+ years following racing. A/w and flat specialist but also like the occasional jumps. Trust the process!

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chillywatts's Tips History

26 July 2024

19:35 7:35 Sandown

Due To Henry

Daily Racing

50 EWNB

@5.00

Lose

-10

Won comfrotably LTO on GS over this trip and the previous run was solid on Good ground flying home after waiting for a gap, losing out to Siepro Arturo who is a handy sort. Looks progressive and can go well today for Eve J-H . Lone Ranger could be the danger.

19:20 7:20 Chepstow

Lady Flora

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Win

140

19:05 7:05 Sandown

Crescent Lake

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

Tough race with 3 or 4 in with a chance. I like Nassma at 16s with Paddy Bradley on board who I rate highly and I'd say that has an outsider chance but this looks to have a real chance for Gary Moore and Tom Queally. The run at Goodwood on gd ground coming behind True Legend and beating Adjuvant is top form and will get those conditions today.

17:55 5:55 Sandown

Party Island

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@10.00

Win

270

Wide open apprentice handicap in which this stands out to me. Form behind McClean House at Lingfield is sound form and can translate over to turf in this class4 as had won on gd ground before. e/w play

16:45 4:45 Ascot

Lil Guff

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

16:20 4:20 Thirsk

Keldeo

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.00 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@5.00

Lose

-5

Looks ready to strike back on a good surface. The Alpha Kellenic form is handy as that has kicked on since and won in Class 2 and Class 3's so this should be thereabouts in this class 5. E/w

14:45 2:45 Uttoxeter

The Turtle Said

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Lose

-50

On a good mark after a couple of disaster runs, of one where he ran out in the final furlong and the other falling the the last when looking decent. Will chance this today at nice odds. E/w

25 July 2024

19:00 7:00 Yarmouth

Farhh To Shy

Daily Racing

50 EW

@8.00

Lose

-100

Looks to have a chance in this line-up as usually races in Class 2's and ran ok recently finishing just behind Strong Impact who has raced at class 1 listed level. Step back to 7f shouldn't be a problem based on that run behind Bellarchi and this should be a suitable race for him to get off the mark the season. E/w

18:30 6:30 Yarmouth

Al Rufaa

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Can go well for the Kublers' and has the form to win this even off top weight. David Probert taking the ride for the first time which is an interesting booking. Ran well only just behind Mostawaa at York and now is 8 lbs better off. Good value here, e/w bet

18:00 6:00 Yarmouth

Good Good Good

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-50

Popped up in the tracker and is short for a reason here, very primising horse and should be able to continue winning.

17:20 5:20 Doncaster

Bright

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

540

Open race here and this one ran well into 3rd staying on from the back of the field at this C & D LTO. Also, the run behind Sixties Chic was decent considering he was short of room and gets the GF ground and 6f again today. Looks the percentage call to me with Ray Dawson doing the steering. Zaman Jamil could be a danger if bouncing back. E/w play

16:55 4:55 Sandown

Bas Bleu

Daily Racing

100 EW

@9.00

Lose

-200

14:50 2:50 Worcester

Getaway Glory

Daily Racing

25 EW

@SP

Lose

-50

14:18 2:18 Worcester

Couldbeaweapon

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Sitting quietly on the market and could be the one to bounce back to form today assuming that the jumping has been brushed up. Has form over hurdles but no success over fences yet but coming from a shrewd yard I expect this to go well today.E/w

14:10 2:10 Sandown

Alligator Alley

Daily Racing

125 EW

@5.00

Lose

-250

Lil Guff

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

14:00 2:00 Doncaster

Showtime Mahomes

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG

@11.00

Win

24 July 2024

19:50 7:50 Leicester

Albeseeingyer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

18:45 6:45 Leicester

Maritime Lady

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.00

Win

16:10 4:10 Catterick

Beechwood Star

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

This horse is still a maiden, but has been running very well in defeat, I'm especially liking the Savvy Warrior form from Wetherby and the 6th at Thirsk wasn't bad as was hampered and raised wide coming on two lines behind the winner with Langholm and One More Dream in between. Slightly better in the weights this time back on GF with Orr and Richard Fahy combo going well at the moment. Overpriced . E/w bet

23 July 2024

18:40 6:40 Wolverhampton

Virtual Hug

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

17:25 5:25 Musselburgh

Rory

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

16:50 4:50 Musselburgh

Trojan Sun

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-100

The way this horse stayed on very nicely last time out and it looks like it will appreciate the extra furlong. Even though there is a 6lb swing with Sea Master I don't think it will be enough and I rate this mount for Jim Goldie in this today.

22 July 2024

19:00 7:00 Beverley

Master Richard

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

Been following this expensively and hoping this is the time he gets up. Has the form to win this just hasn't got going this season and I am not going to be one that misses out.

18:30 6:30 Beverley

Opal Storm

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

Overpriced when you look at the Thirk run on GF ground. Stayed on well after traffic problems and had Lotus Rose behind , will get these conditions today and looks good at 5f again after a no good run on GS over 6f LTO. Looks the best option in an open race. E/w

17:25 5:25 Ayr

Wildfell

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

15:40 3:40 Ayr

Lady Of The Garr

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

Popped up in the tracker and although it doesn't seem to be well in here, it has a chance even if wrong in the weights. Has form on 5f on good and was withdrawn from the race with Pinpoint at Redcar. Could surprise. E/w

14:10 2:10 Cartmel

Restandbethankful

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-8

21 July 2024

17:20 5:20 Newton Abbot

Limerick Leader

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.12

Lose

-50

Hard to see this one being beaten as long as it doesn't dry out much, Sean Bowen doing the steering as well and looks in good order.

17:10 5:10 Stratford

Up For Appeal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.33

Lose

-50

I think I'll side with this one based on chase performances and the fact that the Nicholas' horse is not as short as it should probably be if it was well in on chase debut. Speedy horse now back down in trip will help and should be thereabouts .

16:10 4:10 Newton Abbot

Melton Mossy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@3.75

Lose

-12

14:55 2:55 Stratford

Captains Pick

Daily Racing

75 EWNB

@4.33

Lose

-150

Still well handicapped after last win and I think I'm going again against the horses that unproven at the trip.

14:52 2:52 Redcar

War Memorial

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 15.00

@15.00

Win

I like Profit Street for usual reasons but given the price here, this is hard to ignore for me. The last run over this trip at Ayr in a Class 5 where he stayed on nicely albeit coming 4th but came home with higher rated horses and this looks overpriced here for a local trainer who know what it takes to win this kind of race. E/w dutch bet with Profit Street advised

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14:35 2:35 Newton Abbot

Outback Frontiers

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG

@5.50

Lose

-3

If the form of LTO can be confirmed which it should as conditions are the same then should be thereabouts. Was a quick time and can show that again over the same distance. E/w play

14:25 2:25 Stratford

Bright Sunbird

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 12.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@12.00

Win

Hard to ignore this Horse as it won this last year and from a shrewd yard in Rebecca Menzies. At this price it offers value here and loves this kind of stamina test as proven at this trip and Ground no problem either, hopefully Tabitha Worsley can give it good ride today. E/w

14:05 2:05 Newton Abbot

Golden Path

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.67

Lose

-50

20 July 2024

20:00 8:00 Haydock

Vicario

Daily Racing

50 WINNB

@3.50

Lose

-50

The filly has some decent form in the context of the race and can show class in a small field. Came just behind Aalto staying on well, she won the Bunbury Cup in a 7f on good so that proves she has the ability and I think can show here.

16:30 4:30 Ripon

Dawn Of Liberation

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

Has been tumbling down the weights and now has a possibility of striking for Ruth Carr and Jo Mason, will need the ground to dy out a little which it is forecasted to do. Go with caution as good to soft isn't ideal if it stays like that. I also did like Titan Rock who goes well on GS and is at a nice price as well. E/w play

16:25 4:25 Market Rasen

Kings Castle

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Win

105

Looks progressive and can continue the run for Jeremy Scott. Bannister will be a danger if reproducing LTO form. This should be there at the finish either wayE/w

15:00 3:00 Newbury

Lake Forest

Daily Racing

75 EWNAP

@6.50

Win

Huge price for horse that only lost to Inisherin in the Commonwealth cup after a dwelling at the start and being hampered, stayed on stongly and can go close in this today as has the speed. Large e/w

13:50 1:50 Newbury

Alyanaabi

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

19 July 2024

20:50 8:50 Hamilton

Elforleather

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

-5

It's this or the Iain Jardine horse at Hamilton, however the way this one ran its race on GS over 1m6f suggests it has and may well improve again dropped back a furlong. It won comfortably over1m2f on Good at Brighton so the ground won't be an issue here. Hector Crouch is an eyecatching booking as well. Reverse forcast with Crystal Guard advised

20:25 8:25 Pontefract

Flickering Halo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Push

Even though lowest in the ratings the last run shows what a good little horse this is, coming from way back to stay on over 1m6f on good ground in a Class 2. Back in a class 4 can go well for Tim Easterby. Richard P Smith will be a danger if he can stay. E/w

19:20 7:20 Pontefract

Zozimus

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@4.50

Lose

-50

The Newmarket form over 1m on good ground, just losing out to Great Blasket is form that stands out for me in this race with the same conditions. Is 1-38 but in this line-up but has the form to win.

15:50 3:50 Haydock

Arrange

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

Definitely win race for this one who gets his conditions and the trip will be fine. There is a couple stepping up which might not suit, which if not then this can be there at the finish. E/w

18 July 2024

18:10 6:10 Worcester

Lermoos Legend

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@5.00

Push

Look the percentage call with Sean Bowen riding for Peter on a horse that has run well on good ground over this trip in higher classes. Kauto the King offers some value but was jumping right-handed last time he ran here which at Worcester is not ideal.

16:55 4:55 Hamilton

Cant Stop Now

Daily Racing

50 EW

@11.00

Lose

-100

For a horse that has beaten Ayr Poet comfortably on Good ground in a class 5 over 1m1f and that will get this trip and conditions for Iain Jardine today, this is overpriced for me. This also only lost by half a length in a blanket finish over 1m4f at Musselburgh to Freak out and Simple Star. Also ran well coming half a length behind Highwaygrey LTO who would mop this race up. These bits of form back and with being down in class 6 gives this a real chance today. Decent claimer on board as well. Large E/w play

16:45 4:45 Leopardstown

East Hampton

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

16:05 4:05 Chepstow

Beyond Equal

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@7.50

Win

Value bet here after not getting much luck in the last runs but not lurks on a dangerous mark and has to have a decent chance today. Only just finished behind Dusky Lord in a class 4 over this trip LTO and that is a class 2 handicapper. Back in a class can get up with a clear run. E/w play

1 member found this comment useful

17 July 2024

16:55 4:55 Thirsk

Mereside Angel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

Looks to be Jo Mason's chance of a winner today and a good soft ground will be in this one's favour. I think he will need be ridden a bit differently than the Catterick run where it was behind High Opinion who is a decent horse. He has 1st time tongue tie and should be thereabouts. JR Cavagin will be a danger if he gets a good start. E/w play

16:40 4:40 Uttoxeter

Imperial Bede

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Hasn't fired in the last three, but that's due to good ground . Soft ground today Uttoxeter makes this one extremely appealing and is being backed. You can get three places on Sky Bet at 8/1 currently. He beat Sageberg County on soft ground over 2m4f by 13 lengths. Any replication of that form then they should go close with Richie McLernon on board. False favourite in Trapista from the same yard and this could be the good one. E/w

14:52 2:52 Thirsk

Keldeo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Could well end up with a blanket finish of some sort as these all look possibilities, however, with sticky ground likely I will side with Keldeo who won comfortably over 5f last August at Beverley. Has been running well recently and the 3 lengths to Alpha Kellenic over 6f is decent form which I am hoping will translate well back at 5f and on GS ground. E/w play

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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