motch61

like to study form and watch the videos... ....I like most sports but mainly bet on horses, plus a little bit on footie,golf and american football... also play a bit of poker when time allows..Concentrating on the american horses at the moment,only got into since lockdown and haven't put it down since:-)

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motch61's Tips History

All tips
All sports
30 June 2025
18:20 18:20 Thistledown

Full Time Strutin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Void

0

Speculative one, but it is the last day of the month, and these are all capable of beating each other on a going day. Well beaten last time after a layoff, but was slow away and got well behind early. Did make up most of that lost ground by the finish and was running on well, so might come on plenty for the run.
29 June 2025
19:46 19:46 Churchill Downs

Cart Girl Sam

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 29/06 at 16:49 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 7.5 used instead of 4.50 taken BOG

@8.50

Win

225

Lightly raced type finished just in front of Niki Nine Doors when finishing 3rd last time. Could have some more to come, and slight drop in distance might even help. 5/1 available in places.
25 June 2025
21:20 21:20 Thistledown

Smokin Joe

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

The favorite might need the run a bit after a layoff, so this one, which was beaten favorite over further last time, still ran a good race. Drop back in trip should help and has been running consistently. Hasn't got to improve much on form, if any, to be able to take this.
19:50 19:50 Thistledown

Dr. George

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Has the beating of the main rivals here on all runs so far, so should just have to run to that form to take this.
18:50 18:50 Thistledown

Finistere

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.00

Lose

0

Looks worth chancing at this sort of price (11/2). Good effort after a layoff last time. Could come on for it, and with a similar effort, should go well.
22 June 2025
22:16 22:16 Belmont At The Big A

Ski Bum

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Win

35

Probably better than what's it shown so far. Unlucky on debut when just beaten over 5f. Disappointing next time when upped in trip, then changed trainers and ran well for a long way before fading out of it late on last time. Might come on for that first run for this trainer, though still to prove it stays this trip. Drops to claiming company today and could surprise at double-figure odds.
19:10 19:10 Laurel Park

Awesome Mckinzie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Good effort last time when getting badly squeezed at the start. Changed trainers and track since, and could give the favorite a race here.
11 June 2025
20:20 Race 6 Thistledown

One Smokin Rita

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Looks to be on the improve, winning easily last time. Looks drawn for a good run, so a similar effort to the latest win will probably be good enough here.
18:50 Race 3 Thistledown

Gunners Gold

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Fancied in the market when behind a couple of these last time, but lost a fair bit of ground after hopping at the start. Made up plenty of that ground, so as that was just its third run and it had a long layoff, it should be able to improve plenty for the run. A better start today will help.
09 June 2025
20:20 Race 6 Thistledown

Most Adorable

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Can't knock recent efforts. Running consistently well, having main market rival Drill Blitz behind in the latest two runs. Should confirm that form if running to the same standard.
17:50 Race 1 Thistledown

Candlelight Hours

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

Got squeezed up and lost ground around the turn last time. Would have gone very close otherwise, so should go well here with a better trip. There isn't much early pace on the inside, so likely to get that.
08 June 2025
21:09 Race 7 Gulfstream Park

Biz Biz Buzz

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Looks drawn for a good run up the rail. So with in-form apprentice taking off 7lb, should go well at a decent enough price at 4/1.
19:29 Race 4 Gulfstream Park

Tres Coronas

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Hasn't run since a promising debut over a year ago that has worked out quite well form-wise. Showed plenty of speed on that occasion, just getting caught late on. Drops back slightly in trip today, which should suit, and done a bullet workout over 5f a couple of weeks ago, which suggests should be ready to go. First-time blinkers and Lasix added also.
00:04 Race 13 Saratoga

Journalism

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Can only see this or Sovereignty winning, and there are good arguments for both. Just think this is the classier horse and shouldn't find trouble in this smaller field, which cost it winning the Kentucky Derby. Taking it on trust that the trainer wouldn't run it today if he thought it might be jaded from a brilliant Preakness win. If there were to be a surprise winner, I think it would probably be from either of the front runners, Rodriguez or Crudo, if they went slow up front, but don't really see that happening.
05 June 2025
20:32 Race 6 Gulfstream Park

Warda

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Seems to be on the improve since being ridden a bit more patiently just behind the pace, winning the last two nicely. Having said that, there doesn't look to be much early pace in this race, so it might find itself in front anyway. If that happens, it might be able to go steady and stack them up anyway.
03 June 2025
19:50 Race 5 Thistledown

Vodka N Gingerale

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Good effort on first run for this trainer when running on 3rd here last time after getting squeezed up at the start. Should come on for that run and looks the value price at 2/1 to turn over the favorite.
18:50 Race 3 Thistledown

Dropping Lemons

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Pulled hard over a mile last time when finishing a decent 2nd. Previously, had the two main rivals today behind over CD when probably needing the run. Should be hard to beat.
31 May 2025
19:28 Race 4 Gulfstream Park

Mohawk River

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Just tipping this to try to get in profit for the month as just a fraction behind at the moment. Wouldn't be confident enough to lump this, but having said that, there doesn't seem to be much competition. Although the 2nd favorite, Relentless Raider, is a bit of an unknown quantity having only raced on the turf and has run better than its finishing positions so far. This ran a good 2nd in higher grade last time though, so should break its duck today.
30 May 2025
19:59 Race 5 Gulfstream Park

Otto

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

12

Switched to Tapeta today but has some decent dirt form, including finishing in front of today's favorite last time. Although they both ran disappointingly, this was made favorite that day and probably needed the run.
18:54 Race 3 Gulfstream Park

Woodspoint

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Looks a fair enough price at 9/2. Probably because the trainer hasn't got a great strike rate. Last three runs have been on turf, one over too far, so best to ignore that. The other two have been decent efforts in better-looking races than this. Went well on the Tapeta on debut for the previous trainer when finishing a close 3rd, so the switch back to Tapeta and drop in grade looks a good move.
18:22 Race 2 Gulfstream Park

R Wins Arent Luck

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Slightly easier looking task today, so should just have to run up to recent efforts to take this. Last run was a good time for the grade, should be hard to beat.

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