babalu12

I love all the sports, and follow many of them closely. When betting i try finding the values, or the "sure" things :)

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babalu12's Tips History

All tips
All sports
30 April 2025
20:00 Barcelona v Inter Milan

Barcelona (AH) -1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.06

Lose

-50

I even have a bigger hunch. I'm pretty sure Barcelona will dominate from the very first minute. Much better team. Both teams are fading a bit at the end of the season, but Inter looks much worse.
19:45 Sporting CP vs Nantes

Sporting CP

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Sporting is clearly a better team in my opinion. They won every CL game at home this season, scoring 35 against Füchse, 39 against both Veszprem and PSG. Anything over 30 on Sporting is a good bet too, as they have done in every match so far at home.
17:45 Aalborg Handbold vs Fuchse Berlin

Over 64.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Füchse was magical in the second half last week and humiliated the opposition. The F4 is basically in the bag. I expect a fast-paced match with less pressure, so surely over the line.
29 April 2025
20:00 Arsenal v PSG

PSG (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.03

Win

51

This Arsenal in the final would be a joke. Yeah, good team and chemistry, but there are so many injured players. The only absolute elite player, Saka, is not fully back yet, and the team is not impressive at all except for the first leg against a very weak Real Madrid. PSG, on the other hand, is playing as a real contender should. Very confident, dominating football, and all the star players are in good form and ready for the battle. I mean, if this team could outplay Liverpool twice, what could go wrong?
19:30 Nykobing FH Women vs Odense Handbold Women

Odense Handbold Women

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.11

Win

5

Odense beat FTC with a better goalkeeper performance in a tough match and advanced into the F4. Players could be tired, but Odense beat Nykobing by 11 and by 16 goals this season, so even 50% from them should be enough.
18:00 Malmo FF v Osters IF

Osters IF (AH) 1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose+Push

-25

Based on pure stats, this is a superb tip again, but I hope it will stand this time. Malmö won by two goals only twice since September (in the Cup). Östers lost by two goals only once since August (Cup too).
17:45 THW Kiel vs Limoges 87

THW Kiel

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.09

Win

5

Kiel looked exhausted right after the German Cup on the first match, but saved the tie with a great second half. I expect something like that today.
17:15 Naerbo vs Kolstad

Kolstad

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.37

Win

19

Kolstad won all the three matches this year against Naerbo, so it was a shocking result for them in the first match. However, Kolstad is better than that and is able to correct the mistakes.
16:30 Byasen Women vs Sola Women

Sola Women

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.30

Win

15

Sola was so dominant in the first match that I cannot imagine a turnaround, especially at these odds. Byasen lost 7 out of its last 8 matches, and the last 6 against Sola.
28 April 2025
17:30 Udinese v Bologna

Bologna (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Bologna is better this year than I expected after the departure of Motta and some key players. Has a good chance for the CL, but has to win matches like this. Udinese has not much to fight for.
27 April 2025
19:00 Aalborg Handbold vs Skanderborg Handbold

Aalborg Handbold

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

The CL dream is over for Aalborg. Back to Denmark and the Handbold Ligaen. After the last draw, a win is necessary now, especially after midweek.
26 April 2025
19:00 PSG Handball vs Tremblay

PSG Handball

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.02

Win

1

Mandatory, not bad for the total ROI. :) Honestly, I don't see how PSG would lose this one even if they lost a bit of motivation after the CL fiasco.
17:00 Gyori Eto Women vs HB Ludwigsburg Women

Gyori Eto Women

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.08

Win

4

Gyori Eto Women were very bad in the second half of the first leg. They promised to concentrate until the last minute this time. The gap is big between the two.
15:00 FTC Women vs Odense Handbold Women

FTC Women

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

FTC was one or two steps behind the whole first leg, but stayed strong and equalized at the end. With the massive home support, Ferencvaros should make it.
15:00 Newcastle v Ipswich

Newcastle (AH) -2.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.99

Win

50

Maybe this line is too much. I would be extremely happy with -2 though. Ipswich is hopeless, while Newcastle has a good shot for the CL next year too. Except for the massacre in Villa Park, they play good football.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Leicester

Wolverhampton (AH) -1.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.04

Win

52

Based on their form, Wolves is one of the best in the league. Leicester should have zero chance to stay in the PL. Vardy can't even score most of the time. With Cunha back and Larsen in form, Wolves have to sail through this one.
14:30 Bayer Leverkusen v Augsburg

Augsburg (AH) 1.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.77

Lose

-50

Augsburg is tough, lost by 2 only once in 2023, and Leverkusen won by 2 only once in the last 9 matches. Xabi's boys are in bad form, and the title is gone anyway.
25 April 2025
19:00 Gael Monfils vs Andrey Rublev

Over 22.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.85

Void

0

Had a very tight match in Monte Carlo. Knowing Monfils' unlimited stamina and Rublev's letdowns, and the court which is better for betting on over, I have to pick this one.
18:00 Jessica Pegula vs Eva Lys

Jessica Pegula

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.18

Win

9

Pegula is very solid, a real top tenner, while Lys is a hit or miss in my eyes. Pegula likes these matchups.
16:00 Nuno Borges vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Fokina is living up to his potential this year, and playing at home always motivates him. Despite being in the top 50, I don't rate Borges. I think it will be easy.
14:30 Emma Raducanu vs Marta Kostyuk

Emma Raducanu

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Sweet Emma looks great nowadays in every department, and she had a great start. Kostyuk is very unreliable, coming from a bad loss, and she is in bad form overall. Lost to Raducanu here a few years ago 6-2, 6-1. The value is there.
14:00 Anastasia Potapova vs Qinwen Zheng

Over 21.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

The beautiful Chinese player is not looking good this year, at least game-wise. She won only one match here in three trials, which is also why I hope Potapova will have a chance.
13:00 Alexander Zverev vs Roberto Bautista Agut

Alexander Zverev

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.08

Win

4

Bautista Agut is old and washed up. It does not matter he is playing at home. Zverev loves the conditions here. He doesn't have the weight of being number one on his shoulders anymore, so he even won a tournament finally. Alex in easy two.
13:00 Ethan Quinn vs Jakub Mensik

Ethan Quinn 3.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Mensik used to have weird losses, and the only match he played since Miami was, in fact, one of them. I would never bet on him under 1.4 here, so the value is on the American's side. Quinn came through the qualies, got some matches here, got used to the unusual conditions, and he was even to Alcaraz for a set in Barcelona too. I back him for sure.
13:00 Sonay Kartal vs Elina Svitolina

Elina Svitolina

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

Kartal is a good player, but does not have the tools to beat a tricky, solid veteran like Svitolina. She is still top 20 material easily.
11:30 Alexei Popyrin vs Alexander Bublik

Alexei Popyrin

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.65

Lose

-50

Bublik is better than last year, but still a clown. Popyrin had a bad start also, but the fight and determination he showed in Monte Carlo is promising. He beat Sinner here once and basically a Roland Garros winner (juniors), so as always with him, it all comes down to his motivation, health and confidence. The Aussie is 4-0 against Bublik, so he should have the edge.
11:30 Aryna Sabalenka vs Anna Blinkova

Aryna Sabalenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.05

Win

3

Sabalenka loves this faster clay and has great results in Madrid. I would back the giant killer Blinkova in many other places, but not here.
11:30 Peyton Stearns vs Amanda Anisimova

Amanda Anisimova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.36

Lose

-50

If she is healthy, Anisimova wins easily. She has the fire again, having good showings this year, she is confident and focused. Stearns hardly scraped through Birrell, which is a bad sign for her.
24 April 2025
20:30 Real Betis v Valladolid

Real Betis (AH) -2.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.93

Win

47

Game over for Valladolid, but nice to see they don't give up. Interesting that one of their four victories came against Betis, but that's why I believe Betis want revenge. And obviously, Betis have the firepower to make it messy for Valladolid. I'm sure Betis will win by at least two goals, and we will see the rest.
19:45 Fuchse Berlin vs Aalborg Handbold

Over 62.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

Although Aalborg does not play as fast or effective handball as last year, it still has the numbers for over. I am not afraid of Fuchse. The pace is there, the best player is there, scoring 33-34 goals on average (33 scored-32 conceded average in CL group stage). Berlin will surely score around 33.
19:30 Team Esbjerg Women vs Viborg HK Women

Team Esbjerg Women

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.10

Win

5

One of the best teams in the world, this Esbjerg. They will get a massive lead early to rest for Bucharest. Good idea to back the HT hc.
17:15 Elverum vs OIF Arendal

Elverum

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.15

Win

8

Elverum is in good form, beat every opponent except for Kolstad since November. Kolstad had a rough start in the other semi, Elverum should close this series fast and get ready for the finals. Beat Arendal this season by 4, by 5 and by 8 goals.
22 April 2025
20:30 Barcelona v Mallorca

Mallorca (AH) 1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.99

Win

50

I feel like Barcelona, especially its young players, are getting tired. They have the heart and skill for comebacks but are lacking focus and energy, and it leads to losses of points. The last 5 matches: 3-1-1, twice last-minute escapes. Mallorca is tough; it will be close.
20:00 Man City v Aston Villa

Aston Villa (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Lose

-50

I think it's worth it. City didn't beat a top team since February (except in the cup), but lost to Real, Liverpool, Nottingham, and had to accept the draw versus Brighton and United. Emery beat Guardiola the last two times at Villa Park, but City is struggling so much this year that I can imagine the great magician Emery could pull it off again.
17:45 MT Melsungen vs Bidasoa Irun

MT Melsungen

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

Melsungen has a strong team and had a clear lead in the Bundesliga for a while. German handball teams are better nowadays, so a top German team should easily win against the 2nd or 3rd best Spanish team.
16:45 Lulu Sun vs Varvara Gracheva

Varvara Gracheva

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Sun has a very bad record on European clay, having more losses than wins. Gracheva is not in superb form, but she is a leech and willing to die on court every time. She got used to the surface and is obviously more familiar with it. Won't be easy, won't be nice, but Gracheva is value over 1.4.
00:30 DET Pistons @ NY Knicks

NY Knicks

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-50

Knicks turned the first match around with a huge 4th quarter, and I think it could be a mental advantage. NY has the better team and better players. It has to be 2-0.
21 April 2025
17:30 Kecskemeti TE v Ujpest

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

I would say it's 1.75 for me. Kecskemét played over 7 times out of the last 8 matches, and Újpest is also a good pick for goals with a shaky defense and skilled attackers. Kecskemét also needs the wins ASAP.
12:00 Aryna Sabalenka vs Jelena Ostapenko

Aryna Sabalenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-50

The court suits Saba's game. She reached the final for the 4th time. I admire Ostapenko and her hit-or-miss type of game plan, which is on fire now, and she is amazing to watch. But she is not Barty or Swiatek (players beating Aryna in finals here), and she is not clutch enough. She also had a similar week in the desert and lost the final to Anisimova. And she is 0-3 against Sabalenka, quite a beatdown, all of them.
19 April 2025
19:00 SC Magdeburg vs Rhein Neckar Lowen

SC Magdeburg

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.14

Win

7

Magdeburg has a good shot for the championship even though it does not look like it because of the three postponed matches. Löwen used to be a big name, but not anymore. Magdeburg won this match-up the last 5 times comfortably.
17:30 Aston Villa v Newcastle

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Newcastle is on a roll, scored 9 goals this week already. Aston Villa should be tired, played a fantastic game against Paris midweek, but fell short. A draw is not enough, so I expect fireworks here.
15:15 Diosgyori VTK v Gyor Eto FC

Gyor Eto FC (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Diosgyor is struggling all season long, and despite some good results lately, it still stands now. Gyor is extremely tough to beat and should fight for the top three if not for that bad start of the season. I know it's a rivalry, but ETO won't lose.
15:00 HB Ludwigsburg Women vs Gyori Eto Women

Gyori Eto Women

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.16

Win

8

Quite obvious. Ludwigsburg is not as strong as last year. Meanwhile, ETO is back to its best days and the top dog in the world. Should be easy.
14:30 RB Leipzig v Holstein Kiel

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.45

Lose

-50

Kiel brings the over regularly, and Leipzig could be fearful at home. RB plays with lots of errors at the back recently, but has the firepower to compensate. 3-1.
14:00 Alexander Zverev vs Fabian Marozsan

Over 21.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Marozsan is fearless against the very top, and the big occasion brings the best out of him. Zverev could not handle the pressure to be number one, and is not confident at all. Marozsan could surprise him.
13:00 Jelena Ostapenko vs Iga Swiatek

Jelena Ostapenko 4.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

This is a joke. Ostapenko never lost to Swiatek, so this is clearly +EV despite being on clay. Hopefully, Jelena won't spray errors.
31 March 2025
19:00 Ajax Reserves v FC Volendam

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-50

If there is a team in the Eerste Divisie which could remind us of the typical Dutch football, that's only one, Volendam. Impressive goal difference, way more than 2 goals per game on average, and scored three goals four times out of the last five games. 1-3 is what I expect.
30 March 2025
13:30 Ujpest v Fehervar FC

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Fehervar is not the most impressive team in the league, but that's a decent team. Ujpest has a terrible defense, conceding 11 goals in the last two games, and I don't think this little break helped them to get back on track. I feel like these odds should be around 1.7.
29 March 2025
17:15 Brighton v Nottm Forest

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

I like the odds. These two played great matches recently with lots of goals. Brighton could be fearful at home. Nottingham could surprise any team, so yeah, goals should come. Nota bene, Brighton should go for the revenge for loosing 7-0 in the PL in Nottingham.
16:30 BK Hacken v Brommapojkarna

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.48

Lose

-50

Hacken is one of my favorite over teams. Brommapojkarna is likable too. These two made 22 goals during their last 5 Allsvenskan matches against each other, and obviously, all went over this line.
16:00 Zalaegerszegi TE v Paksi

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

These teams play nice, attacking football and have a kind of rivalry. They used to have great matches. The last 15 matches between the two brought 5-2, 4-3, 4-4, and only 3 went under out of that 15.
14:30 Holstein Kiel v Werder Bremen

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

The tip of the week, no doubt. Kiel should start to collect victories and the 3 points. Anyway, the defense is not capable of keeping a clean sheet, so attack is the only way. That's the style (and it is likable), being number one on the table regarding 2.5 overs. Bremen is the 6th on the 'over' table, so I can't imagine this without 3-4 goals.
08:35 Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Adelaide could go crazy with goals, having an 8 and a 9 goal party during the last three matchdays. Melbourne Victory is also strong regarding goals and lost 3-2 in Adelaide in January. I wouldn't be surprised to see 5-6 goals here.

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