turnbacktime

After fifty plus years of learning I now make consistent profits from my horse race betting. I have an assessment system for races that covers ten different point scoring aspects for each selection I post. I back ALL my selections, I rarely look at a selection that is greater than 5/1 in the morning prices. Remember around 75 to 80% of winners come from the first four in the betting. STOP LOOKING FOR THE BIG PRICE WINNERS It’s all about winning consistently and making a level stakes profit. Good look if you are following along.

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turnbacktime's Tips History

02 December 2024

14:55 2:55 Plumpton

Scotch On Da Rocks

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Has had wind surgery in September and only one start for this yard, when midfield in a maiden hurdle. Expect a big step forward now going into handicaps and a professional jockey up top.

14:20 2:20 Plumpton

Jessie Lightfoot

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Third of eighteen last time in a better race than this at Cheltenham and has already won twice at three miles plus since joining this yard. Went well for this seven-pound claimer last time, and she keeps the ride.

13:20 1:20 Plumpton

Fromheretoeternity

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.91

Lose

-50

In hindsight, the step up in distance last time was probably a mistake. After traveling best of all, she didn't get home, and it's no surprise they drop back to this ideal trip today, where she is two from two for the yard.

12:20 12:20 Plumpton

Julius Des Pictons

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.53 used instead of 1.50 takenBOG

@1.53

Win

Won a bumper in France before being twice runner-up in hurdle races. Only beaten on the run in on British and stable debut last time. That was only five days after the final run in France and should have settled into new surroundings and training methods now.

01 December 2024

15:40 3:40 Fairyhouse

Unknown Entity

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Disappointed at Punchestown on debut bumper run back in April. Didn't seem to get home. First start since then today, and trainer and jockey dominate these races.

15:20 3:20 Leicester

Gaia Vallis

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Course winner back in 2021, and that earned a handicap mark of 88. Followed up that win with another, going up to 90. Not disgraced since and slowly dropping down the weights, now down to 77.

14:50 2:50 Leicester

Lunar Ocean

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Just the two starts so far for this yard, and it seems to have been suited by the change to fences from hurdling, filling the runner-up spot on both occasions. Fancied horses filling the finishing positions suggest the form is not suspect.

14:40 2:40 Fairyhouse

Lossiemouth

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

Looks like a two-horse race, and if either of the favorites were not running, the other would be very long odds-on. Far more pluses on past form, ratings, and speed, along with stable form, suggest the selection will come out on top.

14:30 2:30 Carlisle

To Chase A Dream

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.25 used instead of 2.10 takenBOG

@2.25

Win

Has finished no worse than second in all starts under rules. Finished last season with a win and then followed up on reappearance in October over course and distance on handicap debut with Brian Hughes on board for the first time, and he's back on top today.

13:55 1:55 Carlisle

Choosethenews

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Won a handicap chase in April and twice runner-up since in similar events. Steps up markedly in trip today, and that could be ideal as he won his sole point over around this distance.

13:25 1:25 Carlisle

Lieutenant Mayne

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Won first two of three bumpers, keeping on well on both occasions. Reappeared after a break at Naas last month in a maiden hurdle, and the word was out because sent off at 1/4 on and duly justified the confidence with an easy win without being asked any questions.

13:15 1:15 Leicester

Kits Coty

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Only beaten three-quarters of a length into third last time on chase debut. The second and fourth have both won since, so the form looks really solid.

12:40 12:40 Leicester

Mach Ten

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

First start for this yard last time and sent off at 80/1, and duly finished in midfield without ever challenging. Interesting support in the betting today, suggesting a much-improved performance is expected.

12:20 12:20 Carlisle

Horsesomeharry

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-50

Big step forward last time on handicap debut over course and distance when coming out on top by a comfortable two and a half lengths. Strong in the betting and could improve again.

12:10 12:10 Leicester

Fire Dancer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Last three runs have been over two miles, so it's interesting that it's stepped back up to two and a half today. It won over this distance on its first start for this yard last year, goes well fresh, and is very well handicapped on old form.

12:00 12:00 Fairyhouse

Sainte Dona

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Won here just two starts back and was runner-up on only previous visit to the track. So no surprise connections go again here, and there is strong market support.

30 November 2024

14:37 2:37 Doncaster

Stans The Man

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Only third chase start, with the first more than a year ago. Was traveling well when unseating on second and then won by eight lengths on most recent start, despite a couple of mistakes. Going in the right direction and can continue to improve.

14:02 2:02 Doncaster

Slugger

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

First run for this yard last time after six months off. Won with ease after making all by 2 1/2 lengths. Could have been further if asked. I doubt if the seven-pound rise will stop him if in the same mood.

13:55 1:55 Fairyhouse

Kala Conti

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Jockey choice says a lot with the unbeaten Wodehooh in the field and yet chooses the selection with the proven better form over the potential of the other. Strong market support backs up his choice.

13:15 1:15 Newbury

The New Lion

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

Two starts to date in a bumper and a hurdle, and has won both with ease as favorite. Is entered in a couple of races at the festival next year, so obviously highly thought of by connections.

13:03 1:03 Newcastle

Skyjack Hijack

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

Has won over both the course and the distance, winning four handicaps on the spin before this month's novice win by more than twenty lengths. Up in grade here but still improving.

12:52 12:52 Doncaster

Dameofthecotswolds

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.62

Win

Won two of the last three and was runner-up in between. Top weight because of that, but interesting that STD is replaced by a seven-pound claimer and very strong in the betting.

12:45 12:45 Fairyhouse

American Mike

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Needs to rediscover last season's form, which culminated in winning a Grade 2 novice on final start. Very disappointing last time on reappearance, but perhaps needed the race and could bounce back.

12:40 12:40 Newbury

Twinjets

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Right back to his very best last time, only beaten by the favorite on the run-in and a long way clear of the third. Stable in fine form.

12:07 12:07 Newbury

Listentoyourheart

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Win

Has won first two hurdle starts at long odds on both with some ease. Prior to that, ran in listed and Grade 2 bumpers with credit and looks destined for top class.

29 November 2024

17:30 5:30 Dundalk

Sacred Oath

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Good run last time on AW debut here when just run out of it in the closing stages. No surprise that connections are back at the track and very strong in the betting.

15:40 3:40 Newbury

Woodie Flash

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Kept on strongly last time for fourth win over hurdles with a career-best RPR, and the new mark probably won't stop him following up.

15:05 3:05 Newbury

Strong Leader

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

Has only run twice at around this trip, but it seems to suit. Keeping on for third on the first try and then winning with some authority last time in a Grade 1.

14:45 2:45 Thurles

Ad Caelum

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

375

Has shown ability in making the frame three times in maiden hurdles. Career best RPR last time could improve again on this first handicap start.

14:30 2:30 Newbury

Galop De Chasse

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Four-time chase winner who won over course and distance at this time last year and was runner-up most recently after having a full year off. Yard in form.

14:20 2:20 Musselburgh

All The Glory

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@4.00

Win

150

Only weakened towards the finish last time after a break and in a much better race than this. That should have put her spot on for today.

13:55 1:55 Newbury

Johnnywho

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Chase debut last time in a Class 3. That was only a three-runner race, but all three were closely matched with prices ranging from 11/8 to 9/4, and he won with what appeared to be something in hand.

13:10 1:10 Musselburgh

You Some Girl

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

Not penalized for last win in a conditionals race, and the same jockey stays on board here as he goes for the hat trick. Strong in the betting.

13:00 1:00 Thurles

Artic Lane

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 2.00 takenBOG

@3.25

Win

112

Has only had two hurdle starts but did win a point last year. Chased home the two market leaders last time and is going in the right direction.

12:55 12:55 Doncaster

Malicash

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Showed some ability in four bumpers, and this is only the third start for this yard. Edges up in trip here, and pedigree suggests that is a positive.

12:38 12:38 Musselburgh

Sea Legend

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Ex-flat performer who made hurdle debut last time on only second start for this yard. Weakened towards the finish and has had a wind op since.

12:25 12:25 Doncaster

Adaay Forever

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.20

Lose

-50

Close up third on only second start last time (brought down on first start). Didn't jump with any fluency and lost a shoe, so if he can improve the jumping, he has every chance here.

12:08 12:08 Musselburgh

Achnamara

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Chased home the odds-on favorite from the same stable last time, only beaten a neck. That was a big step forward and is a three-time winner on the flat.

28 November 2024

14:55 2:55 Lingfield

Miller Spirit

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.20 takenBOG

@2.50

Win

Fit from the flat with the most recent run only three weeks ago when a very good sixth in a big field valuable handicap. His sixth win. Sure to have been well-schooled for hurdles debut.

14:35 2:35 Taunton

Prairie Diamond

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

Easy winner last time in a cond/Am race, so not penalized. That was a career-best RPR and has been well backed this morning for a follow-up win.

14:10 2:10 Musselburgh

Heart Above

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.33

Win

166

Last four starts read 2-3-1-2, and the winner last time has gone in again since. So the form looks rock solid, and there is strong market support this morning.

14:00 2:00 Taunton

Montregard

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

It was only a three-runner race he won last time, but he did it well and jumped much better than on chase debut on the previous start. He should progress again with that confidence-building run in the bag.

13:45 1:45 Lingfield

Camulus

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Yet to win from ten starts, but the yard is going really well. Third start for the stable and obviously thought capable of better than we have seen so far, as has been sent off favourite on both previous runs.

13:25 1:25 Taunton

Hecouldbetheone

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Won twice and runner-up in three of the last four starts, with in-between beaten in a much better race in a class 2. Yard flying and looks sure to go well again.

13:00 1:00 Musselburgh

Johnny Ringo

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Won on the flat in November last year and was runner-up earlier this month, again on the flat in the most recent run. So, likes this time of year, is fit and ready to go, and has been backed.

12:50 12:50 Taunton

Jackpot Des Bordes

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.38 used instead of 2.20 takenBOG

@2.38

Win

Can be forgiven for a poor run last time after an absence. Likely to be much sharper today for these top in-form connections. Solid bumper form in two previous starts.

12:40 12:40 Thurles

Nick Rockett

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.50

Void

Has won over both the course and the distance. Goes well fresh, and that was a £95K race when placed last time. Still improving over fences.

12:35 12:35 Lingfield

Twp Stori

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

Dropped down to two miles last time when fifth of fourteen but is much better suited by this longer trip. Won over 3 miles 2 furlongs back in March and runner-up at just under 3 miles in May. Strong in the betting for this.

12:25 12:25 Musselburgh

Impero

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.53 used instead of 1.50 takenBOG

@1.53

Win

Very good win last time in a Class 3 handicap at Cheltenham, posting a career-best RPR. Back in a novice here should make this a stroll based on that previous run.

27 November 2024

15:17 3:17 Wetherby

Queenofthejukebox

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.88 used instead of 2.62 takenBOG

@2.88

Win

Chucked in a decent level when fourth in a Class 2 bumper at Aintree last time and should find this a lot easier in this Class 5 with that experience.

15:10 3:10 Hereford

Culligran

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Win

225

Solid start to handicaps, placed three times. Back from a break and two pounds below opening mark. Will be thereabouts and looks good value here.

14:35 2:35 Hereford

Don Rafael

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Won his maiden and then has been competitive in all three starts since. Has the best RPR & TS ratings in this field and has been well backed.

13:43 1:43 Dundalk

One Horse Town

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Good first start last time when raced without cover, keeping on nicely in third with the race being won by the odds-on favorite, giving the form some substance.

13:25 1:25 Hereford

Nowmelad

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.10 on 27/11 at 12:170.45 deduction for Mossy Fen Road@2.00 withdrawn at 13:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.10 x (1-0.45) = 1.61

@1.61

Win

Looks to be between the two market leaders, and we are going with the experience as the other ghastly only won a point. He has improved his RPR on all six starts for this yard.

13:00 1:00 Wetherby

Skycutter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Has won over both the course and the distance and put in a solid first chase run last time when runner-up, only just over a length behind the odds-on favorite.

12:50 12:50 Hereford

Paddy In The Caddy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

Made all last week and was never threatened, keeping on strongly. No surprise he turned out again under a penalty, and that's unlikely to stop him if in the same mood.

12:40 12:40 Market Rasen

Brave Jen

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Originally with Nicky Henderson, and perhaps the hope was that it would achieve a higher level. However, it seems to have improved after wind surgery for this yard, twice placed before winning last time. Back in a handicap today off a mark 15lb below peak.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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