Leebutty14
Just a punter trying to make a few quid on a sport I very much adore.
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this month
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Leebutty14's Tips History
17 July 2025
20:25 8:25 Worcester
Bensini
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@8.00
Lose
-100
Has transferred back to his first trainer, Fergal O'Brien. Now down to a career-low mark. He comes into this in poor form, admittedly. Hopes are pinned on the change of scenery and career-low mark sparking an improved effort this time. His sole career win over hurdles came over this course and distance off a 5 lbs higher mark, giving 17 lbs in weight to the runner-up, Eaton Lady, by 3/4 length. Finding plenty for pressure. He's struggled for form since then. He did try his hand at chasing, however. Hopefully, the change in yard, the short break, and the return to a track he's had success at in the past can spark a return to form.
17:40 5:40 Worcester
Deal Em High
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-100
Comes into this off the back of a win last time out. With that victory coming over this course and distance. He won cosily as mentioned above last time out, on just his second chase run. He didn't get much luck in running, yet still found enough to repel the top weight runner-up, Fat Sam. He's now running off his correct mark, having run from out the weights last time. Robert Dunne is booked to ride again. He's clearly unexposed over the larger obstacles. If he runs a similar race to last time out this time, he should go close again here.
Subtotal-200
16 July 2025
15:38 3:38 Uttoxeter
Baskerville
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-100
Unexposed chaser. Just 2 runs to date.
He's only had 2 chase runs so far. He won on chase debut off an 8 lbs lower mark than this, absolutely bolting up, beating Nickelforce comfortably. With 12L separating them, plus a further 8L gap back to 3rd place.
He ran well last time out off a welterweight. He may well have won but for the mistake at the last fence. He was still only beaten 3L back in 3rd place.
He's already surpassed the RPR he achieved over hurdles in just 2 chase runs (highest RPR of 114 over hurdles in 8 runs). He's a course winner too, having won over the minimum trip here on just his 3rd run over hurdles. He's placed over similar trips to this, the distance should be fine. He should be thereabouts if jumping more fluently here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
13 July 2025
15:43 3:43 Perth
Wasdell Dundalk
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-100
Subtotal-100
08 July 2025
19:00 7:00 Uttoxeter
Ajp Kingdom
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@5.50
Lose
-100
Sits just 3 lbs above his last winning mark. Returning to the scene of his sole chase win. Dropping back to the correct trip this time.
This is quite a competitive race for the grade. De Tellers Fortune and My Gift to You look big dangers but have questions to answer over this distance. Whereas this lad clearly thrives over a trip and boasts an unbeaten record at this track (2/2 here).
He absolutely battered the opposition when bolting up over CD back in November of last year, beating Sporting Ace by 15L, with My Gift to You beaten off in 3rd place.
Admittedly, the latter is better off at the weights with us this time. I don't think it's enough to overturn that huge CD defeat behind this fella. The first-time tongue tie is enlisted. Hopefully, that can unlock the required improvement to win this race.
1 member found this comment useful
18:30 6:30 Uttoxeter
Ballytechno
Daily Racing
150 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.25
Win
337
Has his 2nd chase run, with Sean Bowen booked to ride again. If I'm honest, I expected better of him on chase debut. The market tended to agree with that theory, sent off 6/4 fav. He ran well but just couldn't match the finishing speed of the front two. To be fair, the winner made most of the running and was given a great ride. The second was given a good ride also. This fella was giving over a stone to both of those horses. You'd imagine this track will suit him better anyway. The trainer is 4-7 with his chasers at this track. Again, he's being run over a trip arguably short of ideal. He did win over this distance over hurdles and also based off his P2P run behind De Tellers Fortune. This trip is completely fine.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal237
06 July 2025
16:20 4:20 Market Rasen
Yccs Portocervo
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
Comes into this off the back of a decent run in a hunter chase last time out. As mentioned above, he ran a cracker last time out, bumping into the Nicholls-trained Cap Du Mathan. Beaten just over 2L by the winner. No disgrace there given the winner was well in off that mark. He goes back into open handicap company this time, 4lbs below his last winning mark, with Sam Twiston Davies in the saddle. He won the Summer Plate Trial over course and distance last season with this jockey onboard, beating Vintage Fizz in game fashion. If he can repeat that form here, with conditions in his favor, he should run well here at a track he clearly likes.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
03 July 2025
14:50 2:50 Perth
Simple Star
Daily Racing
150 WINNAP
@3.75
Win
412
Handicapper has given him a chance here. Dropping him 3lbs for his last run. Which in truth wasn't a bad effort.
He ran a decent enough race lto. Bumping into the Irish challenger Impero. Beaten 10L by the winner admittedly. He did pull 11L clear of the 3rd horse however.
He boasts a win and 2 places from 5 runs at this track. With the win coming off a 2lbs lower mark than this. He's got a little bit of work to do to reverse form with Just Dottie based on his penultimate run. Having finished 5L behind that horse. He's 5lbs better off with that horse this time.
The yard are in fine fettle at the moment. The ground is in his favour. He should go well on these terms.
Subtotal412
02 July 2025
14:15 2:15 Worcester
She Has Notions
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-100
Comes into this in poor form, similar to what he did last season. That still didn't stop him from winning this race cosily off a 1lb lower mark than this. As mentioned above, he won this race cosily last term, beating Jac Jumper easily. He's 1lb better off with that horse this time, so should confirm the form. Sean Bowen is booked to ride. The visor replaces the cheekpieces, going on alongside the tongue tie. If he can run a similar race to what he did last season, he's probably the one to beat again on these terms.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
01 July 2025
18:18 6:18 Stratford
Aspire Tower
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
Has his 2nd run for this yard today. Looked to hold every chance last time out when unseating rider at the final obstacle. He's still quite lightly raced over fences. Just 6 runs to date. To be fair, he registered both his chase wins in the spring, with both of those chase wins coming in stronger races than this one. Firstly, he beat the short-priced favorite Westport Cove at Wexford, with not much separating them at the line. That form looks better now with the runner-up winning a beginners chase easily on his most recent run. His most recent chase win came on his final run for his former stable. He won a novice chase off a huge weight very easily. The standout chase form he possesses came at Thurles. He was only beaten 9 lengths by subsequent 3-time Grade 1 scorer Il Etait Temps. He's the one to beat on that form alone here. Yard are in fine form at the moment.
Subtotal-100
29 June 2025
16:30 4:30 Cartmel
Riaan
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@7.50
Void
0
Not the most convincing of chases. His record of 1 win from 11 runs tells you that. To be fair, he's done most of his running in better races than this one.
He unseated his rider early doors last time out. Hopefully, that hasn't dented his confidence too much. That could prove to be a blessing in disguise anyway, as this mark looks workable to my eye.
His 2nd place finish behind James Du Berlais in an ultra-competitive handicap at Punchestown on his penultimate run rates amongst the standout pieces of form in here, in my opinion. He caught the eye running on strongly late on, proving he can get competitive in a lesser race of this nature.
He's only 5lbs higher than his Irish mark, which is more than fair, in my opinion. The trainer only sends this one runner across the waters to this meeting. I think on his overall form he would have leading claims here if the last run hasn't affected him.
1 member found this comment useful
15:50 3:50 Cartmel
Fiveonefive
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@6.50
Win
550
Sits just 1 lb above the mark he defied to win this race last season. Coming into this in poor form, same as he did last season. He carried top weight and all before him when bolting up in this race last season. He beat King Otis comfortably, with just over 2L separating them at the line. To be fair, he won very easily, barely needed to be pushed out. Admittedly, this is a deeper renewal this time, but he has a nice weight intact due to higher-rated rivals being in the race this time around. His last run was encouraging despite finishing 9th. He was only beaten 8L by the winner. To be fair, he was never put into the race, held up out the back. That was clearly a prep run for this race. The cheekpieces are on today. He sported the pieces when winning this race last season. He's got claims in this wide-open event.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Uttoxeter
Hang In There
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@8.00
Lose
-100
Attempts to win this race for the 2nd year running. Coming into this off the back of a solid run last time out. Similar to what he did last season. Funnily enough, he ran in the same race he ran in last season as a prep for this event, with both those runs coming at Perth. Bumping into the course specialist Statuario on both occasions. He ran on strongly last time out, just conceded first run to the winner. That run should put him cherry ripe for this. He's 3 lbs lower this year, but essentially off the same mark as he was ridden by a jockey claiming 3 lbs last season. This time around, Harry Cobden is booked to ride. That looks to be a sound jockey booking. A solid run looks highly likely.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Uttoxeter
Pounding Poet
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-100
Looks very well handicapped off his current mark. Coming into this race off the back of a solid run last time out. With Sam Twiston Davies booked to ride.
He ran a much better race than his finishing position would suggest last time out. Despite finishing last of the 3 runners, he was only beaten just over 1L in a 3-way go to the line. The fact he jumped right probably cost him the race in fairness.
He's 4lbs better off at the weights with the winner of that last race this time. I think he can reverse that form. The cheekpieces and tongue tie combination he's run well in the last twice are left on again today.
Sam Twiston Davies looks a solid jockey booking. He's 2-6 riding hurdlers for this yard. Admittedly, he's not won in over 2 years, but now finds himself 12lbs below his last winning mark. Another solid run looks likely here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal350
27 June 2025
16:18 4:18 Cartmel
Judicial Review
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-100
Lightly raced chaser. Just 3 chase runs to date. He's just 1 lb above the mark he defied to win over this CD last summer. He made all the running, finding plenty for pressure to fend off the running on Kicksaftersix, with just under 2L separating the first 3 home. They in turn were miles clear of the horse in 4th place. He's only had 1 run since then, his first run in 274 days. He was well beaten off, running like he was badly in need of that run. To be fair, he tends to need his first run after a break, having never run well off the back of a break. He should strip fitter for that run. The in-form Brian Hughes is booked to ride. That looks to be an eye-catching jockey booking. If he can get back to that CD form, he's got sound claims in this wide-open race.
Subtotal-100
25 June 2025
14:33 2:33 Worcester
Calvic
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@19.00
Lose
-100
Has his 2nd run since having wind surgery. Stepping back up in trip with the first-time blinkers applied alongside the tongue tie. He's yet to win over a trip this far under rules but did manage to win and place over this distance in his P2P days. So the trip should not be an issue. He's now 6 lbs below his last winning mark, having won at this track last summer. He got up to beat Jac Jumper by a narrow margin. A solid enough win given he was 3L down jumping the final hurdle. He ran on strongly to nail the winner right on the line. Admittedly, he's not shown much since then. The horse's return to this track, coupled with the first-time blinkers, can spark some improvement. He won at this track sporting first-time cheekpieces. Hopefully, the blinkers can do the same thing.
Subtotal-100
24 June 2025
17:57 5:57 Newton Abbot
Clearance
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.50
Void
0
He's down to a mark of 103. 9lbs below the mark he defied to win over CD around this time last season.
As mentioned above, he won convincingly over CD last term. Running on strongly to win going away at the line. A solid performance given he was a couple of lengths down back in 3rd place jumping the hurdle. He ran on nicely to win easily.
He's a real course specialist here. Boasting 6 wins and 4 places from 14 runs at this particular track. Rarely runs a bad race around here which is a huge plus at this tricky venue. Hopefully he participates this time having refused to race a couple of weeks back. This race looks much easier anyway.
I like the booking of Zak Baker. He's 1/1 riding hurdlers for this stable. That looks to be a signal of intent. Clearly the yard are hopeful of him running another big race at his favourite venue.
Subtotal0
21 June 2025
16:35 4:35 Bangor on Dee
Fancy Stuff
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-100
Sits just 3lbs above her last winning mark. Returning to the scene of her most recent win.
She won her only run over CD around this time last year. With Sean Bowen booked. She won with plenty in hand. Beating the Dan Skelton trainer Gentle Connections a little over 5L. A comfortable success.
She struggled for the next few runs. The fact the handicapper raised her 10lbs for that CD win gave her little hope off a career high mark.
Her 2nd run after her break off a 1lb higher mark than this caught the eye. She stayed on nicely enough to grab 2nd place behind Irish Lullaby. She pulled 20L clear of the 3rd horse Annie Nail.
She put in a lesser run lto. She didn't jump very well. I'm putting that down to Warwick being an unsuitable track (0/4 there). If she can repeat the penultimate run. She should go well in this type of race.
Subtotal-100
20 June 2025
16:25 4:25 Market Rasen
Vintage Fizz
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-100
He's back on the same mark he ran off in this same race last season. Coming into this off the back of a decent run lto.
As mentioned above. He ran in this race last season. Very unlucky in defeat tbf. Beaten just a neck by the winner Yccs Portocervo. He ran on strongly . Just couldn't bridge the gap with the winner, with that horse getting first run on this fella.
He also finished a solid 2nd in the Grand Sefton off this exact same mark back in November of last year. Beaten just over 3L by the well handicapped winner King Turgeon. He again ran on strongly. Just couldn't get near the winner.
He ran well lto. Perhaps found the trip on the short side. Beaten 6L back in 4th place behind Matterhorn. He drops back in grade for this race. I think he can run well in this race again.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
18 June 2025
16:30 4:30 Worcester
Handlethekettle
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 17/06 at 17:540.10 deduction for Might I@7.00 withdrawn at 15:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.10) = 5.05Best Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 5.05 BOG
@5.50
Win
450
Trainer sends this sole horse to this meeting. A course this horse is familiar with.
He has to overcome a poor run lto. Personally think he hated the fences. Hence why the yard have quickly reverted back to the smaller obstacles. Looking at his form, it's easy to see why.
He won his sole run at this track. Beating a useful horse who runs here today called Ballytechno. He made all the running on that occasion.
He again made all the running on his penultimate run at Taunton. He goes up slightly in trip this time. This distance shouldn't be an issue for him. This is essentially his handicap debut over hurdles. Personally think he's better than this mark. He has a lovely racing weight too. Yard are in form atm.
1 member found this comment useful
15:50 3:50 Worcester
Vocito
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-100
Handicapper has given him a chance. Down to a mark of 117. With the jockey taking off a further 7lbs with his claim.
He's yet to get his head in front in handicap company over hurdles. He did win a handicap over fences however. And looks on a nice enough mark here. Having won that handicap off a 3lbs higher mark than this.
He's won both runs at this venue. Both over track and trip. The most recent win he won a novice hurdle race in a hack canter. With 17L back to the 2nd placed horse.
He's got plenty in his favour here. Admittedly the fav looks the one to beat. But I think this lad is a viable alternative should the short fav fluff his lines.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Worcester
Ballytechno
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-100
Makes his chase debut. Given a mark of 118. With Sean Bowen booked to ride.
Sean boasts an Incredible 35% win rate when riding hurdlers for this yard. It's always been about chasing with this lad. Making his eagerly anticipated chase bow.
He's had a couple of runs at this venue. With his close 2nd behind Handlethekettle being the pick of those 2 runs. He ran on very well over the minimum trip. He was a massive eye catcher.
He won over this trip over hurdles. So we know the trip is no bother. He ran well in his sole P2P run behind De Tellers Fortune. Beaten just 4L by the winner, back in 3rd place. That experience should stand him in good stead for his chase bow.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal250
14 June 2025
18:58 6:58 Hexham
Belvedere Blast
Daily Racing
200 WINNAP
@3.50
Lose
-200
Sits just 1lb above his peak winning mark. Coming into this off the back a solid run lto.
He bumped into a thriving rival lto. Finishing a running on 2nd behind Shantwopointfive. Beaten just over 3L by the winner. Mistakes checked his momentum at crucial stages of the race. Ultimately costing him any chance he had of winning.
He's 3 from 5 at this venue. With all 3 wins coming in the month of June. Winning at this venue in that month for the past 3 seasons. Clearly he's at his best during the summer months.
Henry Brooke is booked to ride again, having been onboard for the solid run last time out. This jockey boasts a 27% win rate riding hurdlers for this yard. Profitable to back those rides blindly.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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