Leebutty14
Just a punter trying to make a few quid on a sport I very much adore.
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Leebutty14's Tips History
30 April 2025
18:05 6:05 Punchestown
Blue Lord
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-100
Not a fancy selection by any means, but I like the angle of the first-time cheekpieces and Paul Townend maintaining the partnership. He's been dropped 1lb for the last run, having just his second handicap run today. To be fair, you can ignore the last run anyway. He just didn't take to the national fences at all and never looked comfortable over them. This race looks much easier, although he hasn't won for over 2 years now. He's done most of his racing in much better company than this. His form figures at this meeting read 313, with all those runs coming in Grade 1 races. He won the Grade 1 novice chase here back in 2022. He's a two-time Grade 1 winner, so clearly a classy horse. Admittedly, he may not be as good as he once was, but I think if the cheekpieces work, he's miles better than this mark.
Subtotal-100
29 April 2025
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
Ballyburn
Daily Racing
200 WINNAP
@2.50
Lose
-200
Comes into this with a bit to prove at present, having run well below his best at Cheltenham last time out. Nothing went right for him last time out. He made a bad blunder at the 7th fence, which seemed to dent his confidence massively. He jumped poorly after that and didn't travel with his usual zest. He still wasn't beaten far in 5th place, just 8 lengths by his stablemate Lecky Watson. He's a perfect 4 from 4 at this venue, which includes a Grade 1 Champion Novice Hurdle success at this meeting last season. He's 2 from 4 over fences this season. He won a Grade 1 novice chase at Leopardstown in February, beating Croke Park. He bumped into Sir Gino in the Wayward Lad Novices. He made a bad mistake at the last fence, but that horse looked to have the upper hand at the time anyway. This fella was giving 6 lbs in weight to the winner. If jumping fluently here, he's got decent claims in this wide-open race.
Subtotal-200
26 April 2025
16:10 4:10 Sandown
Dancing City
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
Resplendent Grey
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@9.00
Win
480
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Pic Roc
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-100
Subtotal280
25 April 2025
17:05 5:05 Chepstow
Fortunefavorsdbold
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@17.00
Lose
-100
15:17 3:17 Perth
Coco Mademoiselle
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@3.50
Win
250
14:40 2:40 Perth
Olivers Travels
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-100
Subtotal50
24 April 2025
16:12 4:12 Warwick
Gods Own Getaway
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-100
Sits 3lbs below his last winning mark. With a 3lbs claiming jockey onboard. Essentially making him 6lbs below that last winning mark.
Admittedly he comes into this with a bit to prove at present. His mark has dropped from 116 to 108 however. He's got ground conditions in his favour. And we know this track suits him.
He ran a cracker over CD off this mark last season. Finishing a very close 2nd behind Trapista. Beaten just a neck. That horse franked the form, winning again off a 7lbs higher mark nto.
He also placed off an 8lbs higher mark than this. Finishing 2nd behind Parisencore in the Bet365 Perth Silver Cup. A repeat of that form here would give him decent claims in this field.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
23 April 2025
15:48 3:48 Perth
Etalon
Daily Racing
200 WINNAP
@4.00
Win
600
Has his 2nd run since having wind surgery. Dropped 3 lbs for the last run. Dropping back a couple of grades for this race. He's in the right grade this time, having plied his trade in much deeper races. The drop back to class 3 handicaps should see him back competitive. He boasts 3 wins and 1 place from 4 runs in this grade. He's 3/3 in this grade over fences. He's just 1 lb above his last winning mark. He won by 9L on that occasion, hammering Gunsight Ridge with any amount in hand. He goes back right-handed this time. His career-best efforts have come on right-handed tracks. This looks a good opportunity to return to form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal600
22 April 2025
17:05 5:05 Fairyhouse
Joyeuse
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
I don't think the assessor has done this mare any favors at all, giving her a mark of 142, 4 lbs above her mark in the UK. Luckily, a 5 lbs jockey is booked to ride, putting her 1 lb lower than that UK mark.
I liked her run in that mares' handicap race at the December meeting at Cheltenham. She ran a cracker in 2nd place behind Wodhooh, beaten just over 1L by the winner. That form looks better now with the winner subsequently winning the Martin Pipe at the festival off a mark of 141, then finishing a decent 2nd behind Lossiemouth in the Aintree hurdle a few weeks later.
She won an ultra-competitive handicap at Newbury next time out, absolutely hammering the opposition, with this season's Welsh Champion Hurdle winner Lump Sum well beaten off in 2nd place behind her (8L gap). She ran in the mares at the festival last time out. She looked likely to place until missing the last hurdle completely.
She has a big weight here. The jockey takes off 5 lbs, however. If she runs to form, she would have a squeak in this field if taking up this entry.
16:30 4:30 Fairyhouse
Inn At The Park
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@21.00
Lose
-100
Makes his handicap debut. Given a mark of 122.
He's only had 3 hurdling runs for this yard. He won a maiden over CD on hurdling debut, beating Ayiko comfortably, with stablemate Fishery Lane well beaten off in 3rd place.
He's actually better off at the weights with Fishery Lane here, although Townsend chooses to ride him. I think he can confirm that form here. Ayiko is better off at the weights, however, so will prove a tougher nut to crack. I just feel this lad was value for his winning margin. Suspect he will confirm the form here.
His next run was too bad to be true. He was found to have a few small skin abrasions on his hind limbs post-race, so probably better off ignoring that run.
He was clearly in too deep in the Albert Bartlett LTO, finishing a well-beaten 13L. Never really got involved. Perhaps found the race too hot for him. The fact he was even considered to run in that type of race tells you the yard thinks he's a useful horse.
A mark of 122 surely underestimates him. I think he can go well here.
Subtotal-200
21 April 2025
17:00 5:00 Fairyhouse
Sa Majeste
Daily Racing
75 EWNB
@19.00
Lose
-150
Steps up in trip this time, having struggled off a huge weight last time out on ground quicker than ideal. He's 2 lbs lower this time, with Simon Torrens booked to ride. He fits most of the trends you look for in this race. He has a nice profile, plus still quite lightly raced. I felt his run in the Kim Muir was decent, although he was well beaten in 3rd place. For me, it was clear he wasn't the owner's choice of winner. I felt he was used to suit his fellow green and gold hoop horse, Johnnywho. The ground wasn't in his favor either. He's 8 lbs better off with that horse this time. All of his career wins have come on much softer ground. He gets softer ground this time. He won his sole run at this venue over 3M back in February, hinting a step up in trip would suit him better. He's a lovely each-way price with 6 places on offer. I think he can hit the frame at the very least if jumping fluently enough.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Plumpton
Aucunrisque
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-100
Runs over fences for the first time 16 months. Running off a mark of 130. With the jockey taking off a further 5lbs with his claim. Putting him in here off clear bottom weight.
He's still lightly raced over fences. Just 5 runs to date. He won first time up. Beating Jetoile quite comfortably. Slowing into the last fence cost him momentum, but he still saved enough to fend off the runner up.
He bumped into one in the Grade 2 Wayward Lad Novices. Beaten just a narrow margin by the winner Boothill. Pulling miles clear of the 3rd horse. He put in 2 lesser runs after that. So went back hurdling.
His most recent run hinted at a return to form. Bumping into a well handicapped horse in Manuelito. No disgrace there giving him chunks of weight. He boasts 2 wins and 3 places from 6 runs at this track. A solid run looks likely here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-250
20 April 2025
16:05 4:05 Plumpton
Hansard
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@9.50
Lose
-100
Handicapper has given him a chance here, dropping him down to a mark of 139 and dropping back in distance. He's just 1 lb above his last winning mark. He won the Gerry Feilden on that occasion, finding plenty to fend off Bad by 3/4L, giving him 15 lbs in weight also. He's run well on occasions this season, particularly his close-up 3rd in a Grade 2 behind Golden Ace and Burdett Road. That form has been boosted since with the two mentioned occupying the same positions in the Champion Hurdle at the festival. Admittedly, he comes into this with a bit to prove at present following 2 lesser runs. He did win his sole run over CD, however, beating a decent horse in Master Chewy. He gave him 7 lbs in weight and still beat him 2L. That type of form would see him thereabouts if bouncing back to form this time.
13:52 1:52 Fairyhouse
Springt De La Mare
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-100
This may not even go ahead given Saturday's racing was abandoned at this track due to rain. If she does get to run, she would have sound claims in this field. This P2P winner is very lightly raced over fences. Just 3 runs to date. On chase debut, she won a beginners chase over CD, beating Theatre Native comfortably, giving her 7lbs in weight also. That form has been franked with the runner-up winning a competitive Grade 3 handicap at Cheltenham just 3 days ago. She enhanced her reputation at Punchestown next time out, winning a rated novice chase comfortably, beating Western Diego easily, recording a handy RPR of 145. She ran no race last time out. To be fair, she had an excuse for that effort. She was found to be coughing post-race and also had evidence of kickback on both nostrils. If she can put that run behind her, she would have decent claims in this type of race.
Subtotal-200
19 April 2025
17:05 5:05 Fairyhouse
Joyeuse
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@8.00
Void
0
I don't think the assessor has done this mare any favors at all, giving her a mark of 142, 4 lbs above her mark in the UK. Luckily, a 5 lbs jockey is booked to ride, putting her 1 lb lower than that UK mark.
I liked her run in that mares' handicap race at the December meeting at Cheltenham. She ran a cracker in 2nd place behind Wodhooh, beaten just over 1L by the winner. That form looks better now with the winner subsequently winning the Martin Pipe at the festival off a mark of 141, then finishing a decent 2nd behind Lossiemouth in the Aintree hurdle a few weeks later.
She won an ultra-competitive handicap at Newbury next time out, absolutely hammering the opposition, with this season's Welsh Champion Hurdle winner Lump Sum well beaten off in 2nd place behind her (8L gap). She ran in the mares at the festival last time out. She looked likely to place until missing the last hurdle completely.
She has a big weight here. The jockey takes off 5 lbs, however. If she runs to form, she would have a squeak in this field if taking up this entry.
16:30 4:30 Fairyhouse
Inn At The Park
Daily Racing
50 EW
@17.00
Void
0
Makes his handicap debut. Given a mark of 122.
He's only had 3 hurdling runs for this yard. He won a maiden over CD on hurdling debut, beating Ayiko comfortably, with stablemate Fishery Lane well beaten off in 3rd place.
He's actually better off at the weights with Fishery Lane here, although Townsend chooses to ride him. I think he can confirm that form here. Ayiko is better off at the weights, however, so will prove a tougher nut to crack. I just feel this lad was value for his winning margin. Suspect he will confirm the form here.
His next run was too bad to be true. He was found to have a few small skin abrasions on his hind limbs post-race, so probably better off ignoring that run.
He was clearly in too deep in the Albert Bartlett LTO, finishing a well-beaten 13L. Never really got involved. Perhaps found the race too hot for him. The fact he was even considered to run in that type of race tells you the yard think he's a useful horse.
A mark of 122 surely underestimates him. I think he can go well here.
16:19 4:19 Newton Abbot
Bucksy Des Epeires
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-100
Reappears after a short break, with Charlie Deutsch choosing to ride him over stablemate Galop De Chasse. He's very lightly raced over fences, just 3 runs to date. He bolted up on chase debut, beating Rare Edition comfortably, with the likes of Bad and Riskintheground comfortably beaten off in behind. That rates decent form given the 3rd has since won off 134 and even the well-beaten 4th has since won off a mark of 137. He bumped into a handicap blot next time out, beaten 5L by the winner The Kalooki Kid. That horse went up 7lbs for that win and won again comfortably next time out. He ran a weird race last time out. Looked to be going well, jumping well, then becomes detached from the other runners, looking likely to tail off. Then makes belated headway late on to be beaten just 10L by the winner back in 5th place. I'm willing to overlook that run. Stepping up in trip here, this track should suit him. I suspect he will go well this time.
15:15 3:15 Haydock
Spyglass Hill
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-100
Handicapper has given him a chance here, leaving him on the same mark as last time out. He ran a cracker the last day, beaten just 1/2L by Window Maker in 2nd place. He's 2lbs better off with that horse this time around. On this more suitable track, he should reverse that form, despite being a bigger price in the market than Window Maker currently. The cheekpieces go on today. They weren't on last time out. He won sporting cheekpieces and a tongue tie at this track last season, winning a hunter chase in game fashion, fighting back on the run in to repel the challenger Iskandar Pecos. Admittedly, he's not as good as he once was. His form over in Ireland was very good, much better than anything else in this lineup anyway. He's got a nice racing weight. Jonjo Junior is booked to ride. A repeat of the last run would see him in the shake-up here.
2 members found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Haydock
Got Grey
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@11.00
Lose
-100
Sits on a lovely mark at present, although admittedly still 9lbs higher than his last winning mark. He's got a lovely racing weight here. A mark of 110 looks workable based on his overall form lines. He placed off a 3lbs higher mark than this at Market Rasen back in September, finishing a 2L 2nd behind Saint Riquier. He had recent Cheltenham scorer Greyval 3 1/2L behind him in 4th place. He ran a nice race at Aintree off a 6lbs higher mark than this, beaten just 7L back in 4th place behind Kamsinas. The 2nd, Long Draw, has since won off a mark of 128. He qualified for this race back in February, finishing a well-beaten 4th. Personally, I think this was the plan all along for him. A mark of 110 surely underestimates his true ability.
2 members found this comment useful
Subtotal-300
17 April 2025
17:12 5:12 Ffos Las
House Of Stories
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-100
Drops back in trip slightly following a solid run behind a thriving horse last time out. As mentioned above, he ran a cracker last time out behind a thriving horse in Yes Day. Beaten 7L by the winner albeit. That form got boosted with the winner going in again next time out off a 5lbs higher mark. He had 1 run at this venue in his novice hurdle days, running an absolute cracker behind a high-class horse in The Jukebox Man. Beaten just over 3L by the winner. That type of form is better than anything else in this lineup. This is just his 3rd chase run. He won 1 of his P2P runs over this distance. So if anything, dropping back in trip will suit him. I think he will go well off this weight, with the jockey taking off a further 5lbs also.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Theatre Native
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.00 used instead of 3.50 takenBOG
@4.00
Win
300
Makes her handicap bow today. Given a mark of 125. Stepping up in trip. Is the trainer's sole runner at this meeting. This mark looks workable based on her overall form despite still being a maiden over fences. She's only had 3 runs, to be fair. Placing on each occasion. On chase debut, she finished a fair 3rd behind Only By Night, beaten 10L. That form looks good now with the winner now 3/4 over fences, with the sole defeat being a close-up 2nd in the Arkle behind Jango Baie. She's finished 2nd the last twice. Firstly, a close-up 2nd behind Springt De La Mare, beaten just over 1L. That horse is now rated 138. She bumped into a vastly more experienced chaser last time out in A Law Of Her Own, again beaten just over 1L. If she can produce any of that form here, I think she can leave this mark behind at some point, if not today.
14:45 2:45 Cheltenham
Pretending
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@15.00
Win
90
Comes into this with a bit to prove at present. To be fair, I think her mark was too high, forcing her to run in stronger races. She's now 8 lbs higher than the mark she defied to win this same race last season. She made all the running. I suspect she will try and do the same again if allowed to do so. Trouble is, there's a few in here who like to try making the running. I liked her win on seasonal reappearance, off just a 1 lb lower mark than this. She was well backed, winning a class 2 handicap fairly cosily, beating Tamar Bridge just over 1L. She's struggled since then. Personally, I think her mark was just too high, having gone up to a mark of 122 following the impressive reappearance win. Now her mark has slid back at a meeting she knows well (form figures 2-1 here). I suspect she will return to form in this race.
14:10 2:10 Cheltenham
Coco Mademoiselle
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-100
Admittedly, this won't be an easy task, shouldering top weight. At least she's back against her own sex this time. A decent pot of 26k is on offer here. I think this has been the seasonal plan for her since qualifying for this race back in December. She's only had 3 runs over fences to date. She ran a cracker on chase debut, only beaten a narrow margin by the more experienced chaser in Hometown Boy. Beaten just a head. I felt she was unlucky in defeat. Her run in the qualifier for this wasn't great, over a sharp enough trip. A case of just getting qualified. Beaten 7L in 6th place. Her most recent run was better, following an 84-day break. She finished 2nd behind New Order, beaten just over 1L. No disgrace there trying to give the winner 5lbs in weight. Also, the winner is now 3/5 over fences. She should strip fitter for that effort. Going up in trip this time. She's a 3M P2P, so stepping up in distance will suit her. I think she's better than this lot.
Subtotal190
16 April 2025
16:25 4:25 Cheltenham
Hymac
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-100
The handicapper has left him on the same mark as last time out. Having run well again off his current mark. Admittedly, he's 10lbs above the mark he won off at this meeting last season. To be fair, the form of the win is fairly solid. He pulled a good 9L clear with the runner-up Midnight Our Fred. That rates decent form given the winner went on to run a cracker in an ultra-competitive renewal of the Paddy Power, finishing a clear 2nd behind Perceval Legallois. He's placed off his current mark on his last 3 runs. Firstly, in a competitive handicap at this track, he finished 3rd behind Abuffalosoldier, beaten 5L by the winner. On his penultimate run, he finished a clear 2nd behind Henry's Friend in the Mandarin. A decent performance given he jumped poorly. He finished a decent 3rd in the Grimthorpe last time out, beaten 5L by the winner Moroder. He gets a 6lbs weight swing with that horse this time. We know this lad likes this track, and Moroder is now 4lbs higher than his 2nd place finish in this event last year. I think Hymac can reverse the form.
15:50 3:50 Cheltenham
Zain Nights
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-100
He's now 13 lbs higher than the mark he defied to win this race last term. If anything, I think he's improved since then. So, I suspect he can cope with the rise in weights.
He finished 3rd in a much stronger race than this on seasonal reappearance, beaten 6L by the winner, The Wallpark. That horse has been contesting Grade 1 races since, finishing 4th in the Long Walk Hurdle, 3rd in the Stayers' Hurdle, then finished 4th in the Liverpool Hurdle last time out.
That run mentioned above came off just a 2 lbs lower mark than this. He pulled up in the Pertemps on his penultimate run, admittedly finding the race far too hot to handle. He ran again just 8 days later with the first-time visor on. He absolutely bolted up, beating Welcome To The Cartries with plenty in hand.
The visor is left on again this time. If he can repeat the last run, I think he could win this event for the 2nd year running.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
OMoore Park
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-100
The handicapper has given him a chance here, leaving him on the same mark he ran off at the festival. He finished a decent 3rd in that festival handicap behind Caldwell Potter, beaten 8L by the winner. To be fair, he was sent off a 66/1 shot, so he certainly outran his odds behind arguably the most impressive winner of the whole festival. Obviously, the winner franked the form next time out, winning a Grade 1 novice at Aintree (Mildmay Novices), which makes this lad's run behind him at this course look sound enough. He's run in much stronger races than this in the past. Admittedly, he's still a maiden over obstacles, but as mentioned above, this race is weaker than the chase races he's been contesting. If he repeats that festival run here, I think he can go very close in this wide-open affair on these terms.
14:05 2:05 Cheltenham
East India Express
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@4.50
Win
350
Essentially 3 lbs lower than his last run. Running in a much weaker race this time. He was sent off 4/1 2nd favorite for the Martin Pipe at the festival last time out. He finished a well-beaten 7th. The fact he was backed in tells you the better was expected. He had won his previous 2 runs prior to that. Firstly, his win at Ascot was impressive enough, despite only beating the runner-up Double Powerful by a narrow margin. That form has worked out well enough with Double Powerful placing off 6 lbs and 10 lbs higher marks on his next 2 runs. His next win was impressive as well. He beat King Of The Road comfortably, pulling away at the line to win by over 2 lengths. Admittedly, the form of that win isn't anything to get excited about. If he can reproduce that Ascot form here, I'd say he's the one to beat this time.
Subtotal50
15 April 2025
14:05 2:05 Southwell
Big Bee Hive
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-100
Comes into this with a bit to prove at present, but at least sits on a nice mark with ground conditions in his favor this time. The trip would be a slight worry. He's yet to win over this distance. He has won over slightly further, however, and also placed over CD off a 6lbs higher mark when finishing a close 2nd behind Prince Cleni, which was a solid run given he was lumbered with 12st and gave 20lbs in weight to the winner. He has won at this course in the past, beating Happy Du Mesnil off a 3lbs lower mark than this, beating the runner-up by a narrow margin. That actually rates decent form for this level. Happy Du Mesnil was coming into this race off the back of a win, and I'd still say he was well handicapped off the mark he ran off. The ground is key to his chances. Fast ground is what he needs. If he runs to form here, he'd have a decent chance in this type of race.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
14 April 2025
15:48 3:48 Hexham
Return Fire
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-100
Has dropped back to a mark of 97, just 3 lbs above his last winning mark. Also, 6 lbs lower than his ceiling handicap winning mark.
He's 3 from 5 at this track. He's 3 from 4 over CD, so we know he goes well here. Admittedly, he ran a poor race over CD last time out. I'm not convinced he wants that softer ground, with his better form coming on better ground.
His CD win back in November reads well. He beat Kelce comfortably. That horse has franked the form since, with form figures 1F21 since that run behind this fella, winning his latest run off a mark of 115.
This is weaker than the races he's been contesting lately. If the fast ground can spark him back to life, we know this CD suits him to a tee.
Subtotal-100
13 April 2025
14:50 2:50 Stratford
R Bernard
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-100
Subtotal-100
12 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Chosen Witness
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-100
Steps right up in distance today. Running over 1M further than he's ever run over. His trainer knows the time of day. Surely he thinks this horse can stay the trip. The market tends to agree with that theory also.
He's very lightly raced over fences. Just 3 runs to date, despite still being a maiden. He's run in much better races than this one.
Stats tend to be against this fella. 5 of the last 6 winners of this race won LTO. Tbf, prior to that, only 2 of the previous 11 winners had won LTO, so that doesn't overly concern me.
He won over hurdles at this meeting last season, just coming out on top in a battle to the line with Major Fortune. Tbf, he was giving 18lbs in weight to the runner-up.
His penultimate chase run was fine. He finished a decent 3rd behind stablemate Champ Kiely. This fella is a former P2P winner and looks every inch a chaser. I'm hopeful this type of trip can unlock a vast amount of improvement.
1 member found this comment useful
Our Power
Daily Racing
50 EW
@34.00
Win
280
No doubt Mullins has this race wrapped up. But I feel this lad has each-way credentials at least, with conditions in his favor. He comes into this in decent form, placing on his last 3 runs, all in competitive races. He ran a cracker behind King Turgeon in the December meeting at Cheltenham, beaten 3L in 2nd place. A solid effort trying to give the thriving winner weight. He finished 3rd in the Coral Trophy last time out behind stablemate Katate Dori, beaten a good distance albeit behind the easy winner. Personally, I feel he needs further these days, plus I'm not convinced he wants soft ground at all. He's got a near-perfect chase record on fast ground (3 wins from 4 runs). He has stamina to prove over this trip, but I felt he ran well for a long way in the 2023 Grand National until the mistake knocked the stuffing out of him. He's got each-way claims at a huge-looking price here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Ayr
Dysart Enos
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-100
She fits most of the trends here. Ran at the festival last time out, which is a plus. Her last win came over 2M, which is also a plus. Fergal thinks the world of this mare. It's easy to see why. She's got very strong form to her name, despite running two lesser races the last twice. Her run in the Greatwood looks rock solid, running on similar ground to this. She ran a cracker to finish a 3L 3rd behind Burdett Road. She was sent off 85/40 favorite for that race. That tells you she's well thought of. The winner has franked the form since, finishing 2nd in the Champion Hurdle. She managed to rack up a 6-timer before that. She hammered this season's champion hurdle winner Golden Ace in her Grade 2 bumper win at Aintree. So clearly a classy horse. The ground is essential to her. She needs it faster, preferably. Mares don't do too badly in this race, with 3 of the 20 runners winning.
1 member found this comment useful
13:43 1:43 Ayr
Whistle Stop Tour
Daily Racing
100 WINNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.00
Void
0
Handicapper has left his mark untouched, which is probably fair given his last run was rather due to poor luck rather than actual error. He was a strong candidate for the Ultima last time out. The choice of Derek Fox, he was hampered by a faller at the very first fence, which seemed to knock the stuffing out of him very early on, sending him to the rear. He could never recover from that, eventually pulling up. Stablemate Myretown went on to win that race in decisive fashion. This race looks less demanding anyway, so maybe a blessing his mark wasn't touched. He's won over course and distance too, which always helps around here, having won a class 3 handicap cosily enough back in January. Personally, I see this fella as a Scottish National type of horse. I think that will be the aim for him next term anyway. He gets a good chunk of weight from the favorite in here. I think he can win this on these terms.
1 member found this comment useful
13:10 1:10 Ayr
Tommys Oscar
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-100
Top weight again for the 2nd year running. Now 1 lb lower than the mark he defied to win this event last term. He carried top weight and all before him when taking this race last season. Despite jumping slightly right throughout, he still had more than enough to fend off Traprain Law just for 2L, with recent Aintree winner Sans Bruit 6L further adrift in 3rd place. He's yet to trouble the judge in 4 runs this season. He's run well on occasion, just struggled off his lofty mark. He unseated rider LTO in a very competitive renewal of the Red Rum. He was still travelling well at the time, yet to play his hand. The yard must think he's sound enough to appear here just 9 days later. This looks to be plan B for them. If he's unscathed from his mishap LTO, then I think he can repel all challengers again this year.
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Subtotal-20
11 April 2025
16:25 4:25 Ayr
Nurse Susan
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-100
The handicapper has dropped her 1lb for the last run, which in truth was a poor effort. To be fair, she was backed in from 50/1 into 16/1, so somebody clearly expected a better effort. You can excuse the most recent run. It was her first outing in over 14 months, pitched straight into a strong renewal of the Martin Pipe. She ran well for a long way, to be fair. She was still in there with every chance 2 hurdles from home before the lack of a recent run kicked in. She was well beaten off in 11th place in the end. She should strip fitter for that last run. The first-time cheekpieces go on this time. Going up in trip slightly could prove to be a shrewd move from the stable. Her previous form stacks up well enough. She finished 2nd behind the high-class Love Envoi as a novice, beaten just over 2L. She then finished a 4L 4th behind the same horse in the mares at the festival 2 runs later. She's only 3lbs higher than that Lingfield win here. That form is probably good enough to get involved in this race.
16:00 4:00 Fontwell
Boys Of Wexford
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-100
Very much ground dependent. Gets his conditions today. Back at the scene of his most recent win.
He sits just 3 lbs above his last winning mark, which was gained over CD (sole run here). He beat Joe Cotton very easily, with just over 4L separating them at the line. That form's been franked with the runner-up winning a competitive class 2 handicap at this track a week ago.
He ran well at Hereford nto, beaten just 3L back in 3rd place behind Mister Upton. That run came off a 1 lb higher mark than this.
He's put in 2 lesser runs since. He struggled on the softish ground on his penultimate run. He was a non-stayer over further lto. Now he's back over the correct trip on his favoured ground. I suspect he will run well in this weak-looking affair.
15:15 3:15 Ayr
Crebilly
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-100
Handicapper has kindly dropped him 2 lbs for the last run, which in fairness was well below his best. He didn't jump with any fluency on that occasion, beaten a fair way back in 9th place in the Ultima.
His sights are lowered here. He drops back markedly in distance also. His best form has come over this trip. He finished 2nd in last season's Plate at the Festival over this distance off a 4 lbs higher mark, so clearly on a nice mark at present.
He ran a nice enough race in a competitive handicap at Windsor back in January, finishing in 3rd place behind Matata and Unexpected Party, beaten 13L albeit. Given the caliber of opposition, that still rates a sound run. That also comes off a 6 lbs higher mark than this.
Now he's back over his preferred distance, eased in grade. I think better can be expected this time.
14:50 2:50 Fontwell
Hes A Latchico
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@3.50
Win
250
Comes into this with a bit to prove at present. Admittedly, he had excuses for the last run, however. He was pitched into a fairly competitive class 3 handicap off the back of a year-long break last time out. He didn't disgrace himself, finishing back in 6th place, only beaten 9L by the winner. He's 2 from 4 at this track, one of those wins coming over this trip also, with the win coming in the grade also. He won comfortably. His strongest bit of form was a close 2nd place finish behind Inthewaterside at Lingfield, beaten just over 1L by the winner. That horse is a 130+ rated performer. Nothing of that sort is lurking in this field this time. Yard current form is the worry. This is a course they tend to do well at, however. With conditions in his favor, he's highly likely to run well here.
13:30 1:30 Ayr
Wilful
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@7.00
Win
600
The handicapper has dropped him 1lb for the last run, which will prove helpful. He was very well backed for the Morebattle last time out, sent off 18/5 favorite for the race having opened at 16/1. Clearly, better was expected of him. He tried to lead them a merry dance, just emptied two from home, eventually pulling up. The jockey obviously wanted to take care of him. He's now 2lbs below the mark he ran off at Ascot on his penultimate run. He ran a cracker on that occasion, beaten just 6L by the winner Altobelli, back in 4th place. That form looks better now with the winner going in again next time out off a 5lbs higher mark. Also, the 2nd came out and won a competitive class 2 handicap off a mark of 126 next time out. This race looks easier than the last two races he's run in. If he can repeat that Ascot run, that would be enough to see him in the shake-up in this type of race.
Subtotal550
10 April 2025
14:35 2:35 Hereford
Gris Majeur
Daily Racing
200 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-200
Has now dropped to a nice-looking mark, with a decent jockey booked in Jonathan Burke. Amazingly, this is the jockey's first-ever ride for this stable. I think this looks like an eye-catching jockey booking. He's still a maiden over fences but ran a cracker off this mark at Ffos Las on ground softer than ideal. He finished a very close-up 2nd behind Alcedo, beaten just a neck by the winner. No disgrace there, given that horse was well in off his current mark. He's had 2 lesser runs since, both at this track, but neither over suitable trips. He drops back to the correct trip this time. He won over this C&D over hurdles back in October off this exact same mark. He's bred to make a chaser. He won his sole P2P run. Admittedly, he was booked for 2nd when Life In The Park fell at the last fence. To be fair, LITP is a 140+ rated performer under rules, so still a solid run. This looks easier than the last race he contested.
Subtotal-200
07 April 2025
15:15 3:15 Kelso
Music Of Tara
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@6.50
Void
0
Top weight in here, but has form to be competitive despite the welter weight. Obviously, yard form is a bit of a worry, but I feel they've turned a corner the last few days, with some going close and a few getting their heads in front in the last few days. She's only managed to get her head in front once over fences, beating now stable mate So Des Flos comfortably, with a 4L gap separating them at the line. She pulled clear to win cosily. She ran a great race on stable debut reverting back to hurdles, beating Blaze The Way easily, with recent Plate 2nd Thecompanysergeant back in 3rd place. That's decent enough form. She pulled up in the Kim Muir last time out. She never went a yard, to be fair. Ignoring that run, with her sights massively lowered here, this looks a good opportunity to get her head in front if the weight doesn't harm her chances.
Subtotal0
06 April 2025
15:30 3:30 Ffos Las
To Be Sure
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-100
The handicapper has nudged him up 2 lbs for the last run, which is fair given he was unlucky in defeat last time out. The cheekpieces go back on this time. He's only had 2 runs sporting them. He was most unlucky last time out, beaten just a short head by a well-handicapped horse in Bampton Star. That horse was winning for the 3rd time in 6 chase runs, so no disgrace bumping into him. He's still 13 lbs below his last winning mark, which was actually gained over this course and distance, with that win coming at this same meeting 12 months ago. He beat Bucks Dream comfortably. The ground is no bother for him. The 5 lbs claim he gets off his jockey is a welcome bonus. If he repeats the last run, you'd imagine that's enough to see him back into the winner's enclosure this time.
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Subtotal-100
05 April 2025
16:00 4:00 Aintree
Intense Raffles
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-100
Vanillier
Daily Racing
50 EW
@19.00
Lose
-100
15:05 3:05 Aintree
Kitzbuhel
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-100
It's interesting the yard decided to swerve the festival to run him in his first graded race here, stepping him up in trip for the first time. This isn't necessarily a race Mullins tends to target his horses at. I found it interesting he sends this one here, going up a mile in trip. He must be showing something at home. He's only had 2 runs for this stable. On stable debut, he beat Colonel Mustard cosily, making all the running in doing so. None of them could land a blow on him. He won a Grade 3 last time out, again winning cosily. Admittedly, it wasn't a deep race at all, but he did it impressively enough in my view. This is obviously a huge step up in grade and distance this time. This trainer knows the time of day with his horses. He isn't sending him here for no reason. French-bred horses have a decent record in the race.
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14:30 2:30 Aintree
Happygolucky
Daily Racing
50 EW
@17.00
Lose
-100
Not a solid proposition by any means. He's now 11 years old also and missed 2 years of racing due to injury. So it remains to be seen how much ability he has left intact.
Since joining this stable, he's run in 2 ultra-competitive handicaps at Cheltenham. He ran okay after a long break on reappearance and stable debut back in January, finishing in 5th place off a 4 lbs higher mark than this. He ran like he desperately needed that run.
He ran a belter in the Ultima last time out. Made stealthy progress, running on into 4th place, beaten 15 lengths by the winner. The winner did win that race by 11 lengths, so it's not as bad a run as it sounds.
He's been dropped another 1 lb for that effort. He won this race back in 2021 off a 10 lbs higher mark. I think he can run into a place at least if repeating the last effort.
1 member found this comment useful
Peaky Boy
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@13.00
Void
0
Sits on a nice mark at present. Having also skipped the festival to come here. Having just his 2nd handicap run.
He's had just 3 runs this season. All 3 runs over fences. On reappearance he made a mockery of his handicap mark (132). Beating Westerninthepark comfortably.
He then ran another solid race behind recent Cheltenham Festival winner Haiti Couleurs. Beaten just 3L by the winner back in 3rd place. A solid run trying to give 9lbs in weight to the winner.
He switched yards and made his debut for them back in February. He ran no race at all. A well beaten 3rd behind the Changing Man in a Grade 2. I'm willing to just write off that run and give him another chance here.
If he can show that form behind Haiti Couleurs here this time. He's got decent claims off this type of mark.
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13:20 1:20 Aintree
Bill Joyce
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@12.00
Lose
-100
He fits most of the trends for this race. The trainer does well in this race also. He was entered to run in the Albert Bartlett, but connections decided not to take up that entry and come here for this race instead.
He's been given a mark of 136, making his handicap debut this time. I think this mark is on the lenient side given his overall form. He won a Grade 2 novice earlier this season with plenty in hand, pulling miles clear with the runner-up.
His run in the Challow Hurdle was rock solid. Beaten just 5L back in 3rd place behind The New Lion and Wendigo. The former won at the festival easily last month. The latter was very unlucky in the Albert Bartlett, not beaten far in 5th despite making a terrible blunder 2 from home.
He finished a decent 3rd in a Grade 2 last time out, trying to give 5lbs in weight to the winner. Personally, I think he needs this trip. He looks like a nice staying chaser in the making. His mark looks fine. Hopefully, this trip and first-time tongue tie can bring about some improvement.
1 member found this comment useful
Whatcouldhavebeen
Daily Racing
50 EW
@51.00
Lose
-100
This race tends to go to horses towards the top end of the market historically. But I want to take a chance on this mare. She's on a decent mark and has a very good 3lbs claiming jockey booked to ride.
She's got it all to do in terms of bucking trends. Even the ground would be an issue, but she's a huge price. I just can't let her go unbacked given her overall form.
She finished a decent 5th in the Stayers' Hurdle over in Ireland, beaten just 11L by the winner Teahupoo. She had the likes of Asterion Furlonge, Home By The Lee, and Buddy One in front of her. No disgrace there given the caliber of opposition.
She ran well last time out. Looked to hold a decent chance before being outpaced over a sharp enough trip, finishing in 5th place, beaten 10L or so. She's unexposed over this distance, so I think she's got an each-way squeak if handling the faster ground.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-600
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