Leebutty14

Just a punter trying to make a few quid on a sport I very much adore.

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Leebutty14's Tips History

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07 February 2025
15:25 3:25 Kempton

Flegmatik

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-100

Looks attractively weighted here. Coming into this off the back of a solid run last time out. He's now 6 lbs below his last winning mark, which came at this track, over further than this albeit. He beat the high-class Chianti Classico comfortably. He's won over course and distance, however, so we know this trip is fine. Three of his four chase wins come at this track, so we know the track is suitable. His last run was solid enough, finishing 5 lengths behind the winner, back in 3rd place. His form figures at this track read 31102142. He placed off a 9 lbs higher mark over course and distance just last season. The first-time blinkers go on. If they can eke out a little improvement, he looks well handicapped off this type of mark.
14:20 2:20 Kempton

Sea Invasion

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@17.00

Lose

-100

Still a maiden in 3 runs over the larger obstacles, but now looks attractively handicapped on the pick of his form. He has shown some nice form over the smaller obstacles. He finished a 5L 3rd behind Jeriko Du Reponet at Newbury. That horse is now rated 135. He won off a 1lb lower mark on handicap debut, winning by 7L. Admittedly, it wasn't a strong race by any means. He then finished 3rd in a competitive handicap hurdle at Cheltenham behind Doyen Quest, beaten just 3/4L. His 2nd chase run doesn't look all that bad. He finished 3rd behind Kalooki Kid. That horse franked the form, winning easily off a 7lbs higher mark next time out. This fella should make a chaser. He finished a 2L 2nd behind Slade Steel in his sole P2P run.
14:12 2:12 Bangor on Dee

Haute Estime

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-100

Not the most consistent chaser. Just 1 win and a few places from 13 runs over the larger obstacles. Her first 2 runs of the season were pretty poor in truth. To be fair, her most recent run signaled a return to form. She finished a clear 2nd behind runaway winner Skyhill, beaten 14L albeit. To be fair, she was giving 24lbs in weight to the winner, so no disgrace in that effort. She steps up in distance this time. She ran a solid race over CD last term off a 5lbs higher mark than this, finishing a decent 3rd behind Stellar Stream, beaten 4L by the winner. I liked the way she stayed on off a huge weight, doing all her best work late on. She gets a healthy 11lbs weight swing with Stellar Stream today. I think she can reverse that form on this occasion. For me, she's better than a mark of 112 if running a similar race to what she did over CD last year. She would have a decent chance in this field.
05 February 2025
15:05 3:05 Sedgefield

Roccos Inspiration

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@4.33

Lose

-200

Not the most consistent mare, but very much looks handicapped to go well off this type of mark, with the jockey taking off a further 7 lbs with his claim. The cheekpieces going back on today look a signal of intent. Her form figures sporting them read 3PU2. She's got lots of decent form that would give her leading claims in here, particularly the form she showed over in Ireland for her former stable. The most noteworthy piece of form she showed was a 12L 3rd place finish behind Brighterdayahead. That rates the standout piece of form in this field given what the winner has gone on to do this season. She ran a solid race in her sole run at this track over CD, finishing 2nd behind Ragosina. A solid effort giving 21 lbs in weight to the winner. She's now down to a mark of just 97, with the jockey taking off 7 lbs also. She looks well in off this type of mark.
04 February 2025
15:45 3:45 Market Rasen

Yes Day

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@8.50

Lose

-100

Steps up in trip this time. Now 4 lbs below his opening chase mark. Ideally, he would like the ground to be on the softer side, but has won on Good to Soft, so ground shouldn't be a problem. His best chase run to date came on chase debut. He was held up out the back carrying a huge weight (12 st). Smuggled into the race late on, he ran on into 3rd place. Clearly, he wasn't there to win. His most recent run was underwhelming. He was well backed into 5/2 fav. He just didn't travel with his usual zest. Never looked to be going all that well. Beaten a fair way by the winner Theformismighty. Ignoring that run, this fella is a 3M P2P winner, so this trip should be fine. His best run over hurdles came over this distance. He's got a lovely racing weight. A mark of 116 is very lenient imo.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Taunton

The Doyen Chief

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.33

Lose

-100

Goes up in trip this time. Down to a mark of 124. Returning to a track that he's won at in the past. He's had 2 chase runs to date. Both shown promise. On chase debut, he finished a close-up 3rd behind Hidden Depths. Beaten just over 2L. A sound run on ground plenty quick enough. He followed that up with another promising effort behind Lowry's Bar. Beaten 4L by the winner over a short enough trip. Still, for me, he has shown enough to suggest his current mark isn't beyond him. Just needed stepping up in distance. He runs over 3M this time. He won a P2P over this distance, so we know the trip should suit him well. He won a novice hurdle at this track/meeting last season. So we know the track is suitable. With natural improvement to come, and experience on his side, he can go close here in his bid to break his duck over the larger obstacles at the 3rd attempt.
1 member found this comment useful
03 February 2025
16:00 4:00 Carlisle

Uptown Harry

Daily Racing

50 EWNAP

@26.00

Lose

-100

Now 4 lbs below his last winning mark. With the first-time visor given a whirl this time. He drops back in trip this time. Coming into this race in poor form. To be fair, he did the same when running in one of these qualifiers last season. That still didn't stop him from winning. He's a 2-time CD winner, with both wins coming off higher marks than this (96 and 103). This is obviously about getting qualified for the finale in April. He managed to win one of these qualifiers last season off a 4 lbs higher mark, in a better race than this too. He beat a decent horse in O'Connell. That form looks decent now with that horse winning a class 2 handicap off 124 just 2 days ago. He's on a lovely mark at the moment. He's not getting any younger, so the yard will look to try getting another win or two out of him before potentially calling it a day. If the first-time visor works, he's got a squeak here.
1 member found this comment useful
02 February 2025
15:50 3:50 Leopardstown

The Enabler

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-100

Makes his handicap debut today. Given a mark of 130. Dropping back to the minimum trip. He ran a cracker on hurdling debut, finishing a close-up 2nd behind Jabbar. Beaten 2L by the winner. He did, however, pull 39L clear of the horse in 3rd place. He again ran another solid race over this trip on his penultimate run, finishing a clear 2nd behind last season's champion bumper winner Jasmin De Vaux. Beaten 4L by the winner. That form looks better now with the 9L 3rd subsequently winning a strong maiden hurdle at the Xmas meeting at this track, recording a nice RPR of 141. He managed to win at this track last time out, stepping up in distance. He beat I Am Lorenzo by a narrow margin. That form has been franked with the 2L 3rd subsequently winning a maiden at Punchestown cosily. Dropping back in trip is no bother for him. He could be well treated off this opening handicap mark.
1 member found this comment useful
14:45 2:45 Leopardstown

Riaan

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@26.00

Win

200

Doesn't look the most obvious of choices here. His market price tells you that also. I just feel he's a tad overpriced here in this wide-open race. He managed to finish 2nd in this race last season off a 4 lbs higher mark than this. To be fair, he was beaten 14 lengths in 2nd place by the useful Heart Wood. That doesn't look bad form given the winner nearly won the Drinmore on his penultimate run, beaten just a neck by the winner Croke Park. Admittedly, he's done nothing since. But you'd imagine the yard have had this race in mind since last season. He gets the first-time cheekpieces today. If they can help him in any way, then you'd imagine he's got decent each-way prospects if he runs a similar race to what he ran last season.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Musselburgh

Cadell

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@9.00

Lose

-100

Steps up in trip considerably this time. Having just his 4th chase run. Admittedly he needs to improve to take this race. But it's perfectly reasonable to expect natural improvement, going back into handicap company. Stepping up in distance. He managed to win 2nd time up over fences. Absolutely destroying Farnoge with any amount in hand. Fully appreciating stepping up in trip on this occasion. He ran a bit of a shocker lto, stepping up to Grade 2 novice company. He made a few mistakes. Maybe didn't handle the proper soft ground. Now he steps up in trip, back on a sounder surface, running at a track he's run well at in the past (finished 2nd over hurdles here in his sole run at the track). I think he can go well this time. He looks tailor made for a trip such as this one.
1 member found this comment useful
12:40 12:40 Leopardstown

Queens Gamble

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-100

She's the favorite for this race, so not exactly an obscure selection by any means. But I feel she's the right favorite, with Rachael Blackmore booked to ride. I, for one, am glad to see an English trainer not afraid to send one over this side of the water. On form, this mare looks to hold leading claims. She's won 5 of her 8 career runs to date, 2/4 in bumper races, and now 3/4 over hurdles. The only blip she's shown so far was in her most recent run. She finished a running-on second in a competitive Premier Handicap hurdle race at Newbury behind Navajo Indy, beaten just over a length by the winner. To be fair, she probably should have won, in my opinion. Perhaps given too much to do. She was giving 10 lbs in weight to the winner also. She should strip fitter for that last run, given it was her first run of the season. The booking of Rachael Blackmore looks eye-catching here. The trainer doesn't send many here. He sent a winner to Fairyhouse just a few weeks back.
01 February 2025
16:05 4:05 Leopardstown

Fascile Mode

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-100

Has his first run in a handicap chase today. Given a mark of 135. He won on chase debut over a similar trip to this at Punchestown, beating Touch Me Not by a narrow margin. That form looks decent now given the 2nd won a Grade 2 next time out, and then went on to finish 2nd in the Henry VIII Novices behind L'Eau Du Sud. Perhaps would have finished closer but for nearly falling halfway around. Also, the 9L 3rd (Moon D'Orange) has since won a competitive Premier Handicap Chase at Cheltenham off a mark of 129. He's yet to show that form in 2 runs since. To be fair, he fell next time out and made pretty bad mistakes last time out, which dented his confidence and gave him no chance of getting involved. He won a Bumper at this track and has run in deep races here, so has plenty of experience at this course. I feel he's better than a mark of 135. Maybe this race was the plan for him anyway, with a massive 60k on the line. You'd imagine he's trying his best to win here.
1 member found this comment useful
15:42 3:42 Sandown

In dOr

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@4.00

Lose

-100

Has shot up 14 lbs in the handicap for winning both his chase runs to date. He won with plenty in hand on chase debut. Despite making a mistake at the last fence, he still pulled 3L clear of the runner-up Herakles Westwood. That horse has franked the form, winning both runs since. The most recent win suggests he's still well ahead of his current mark (124). His most recent chase win was even more impressive, in my opinion. He jumped well, travelled well, and quickly put Rockinastorm to the sword in a matter of strides, denying that horse a 3-timer. Again, winning very easily indeed. He's now up to a mark of 133. It would be foolish to think he's not finished improving yet, given the progression he's shown since being sent over the larger obstacles. He's a half-brother to the formerly smart Vautour. Clearly, he's well-bred. I think he can shrug off the rise in weights here again.
1 member found this comment useful
14:50 2:50 Musselburgh

Marble Sands

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-100

Handicapper has shown him some mercy. Dropping him to a mark of 143. With the jockey taking off an extra 3lbs with his claim. He's 4lbs above the mark he defied to win over CD around this time last season. He won with plenty in hand on that occasion. Beating a decent field fairly comfortably. He's been highly tried this season. He won the Colin Parker Memorial back in November. Beating the useful Colonel Harry in convincing fashion. He then finished a fair 3rd in the Rehearsal off a 3lbs higher mark than this. His most recent run was decent too. He finished a clear 2nd behind the well handicapped Springwell Bay in a Premier Handicap at Cheltenham on NYD. Beaten 9L by the winner albeit. If he runs to that type of form here. I think he can go close in this type of race, eased in grade slightly this time.
2 members found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Leopardstown

Patter Merchant

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@26.00

Win

200

Steps up in trip this time. Left on the same mark as his handicap debut last time out. Running on softer ground this time, which should aid his cause. He finished a fair 4th on cap debut at this track last time out. Personally, I think the quick ground was no use to him. Beaten 15 lengths in the end. It's evidently obvious he enjoys cut in the ground, with all of his career wins coming on softer ground. He won his bumper here and obviously ran here last time out, so has experience at this track. He won his sole P2P run over this distance, so stepping up in trip is clearly going to suit him well. His maiden win at Galway would suggest a mark of 130 is within range for him. I can see him running into a place here at least.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Sandown

Etalon

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-200

He's dropped 7 lbs in the handicap since winning with any amount in hand over CD last season. Now down to a mark of 135, having gone up 11 lbs for winning here. Admittedly, he's still 4 lbs above that winning mark, but given how easily he won, you'd have to say he's capable of winning off this type of mark. He beat Gunsight Ridge 9L, making all the running, winning as easily as he wanted to. I liked his defeat of Martator, giving him 3 lbs and handing him a 5L thumping. That horse has to carry 12 st today whereas this fella only has 10 st 13 lbs. Despite that horse improving massively since, you'd like to think he can confirm that form today. He comes into this in poor form. He also unseated the rider early doors last time out. I'm assuming he's fine, hence why the yard makes a quick reappearance. If he runs to form, he's the one to beat for me.
2 members found this comment useful
31 January 2025
14:45 2:45 Lingfield

Major Dundee

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-100

28 January 2025
14:15 2:15 Chepstow

Below The Radar

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@9.00

Lose

-100

Comes into this race with a bit to prove at present, having run two stinkers in his first two runs in handicap company the last twice. This looks easier than his first two handicap runs. He's now down to a mark of 120, which should also help. He won his bumper at this track, so we know he's got previous here. He won his first two runs over hurdles. He beat Monks Meadow comfortably on hurdling debut. That horse won his maiden easily last time out, having run in some competitive races since. His win at Uttoxeter rates his strongest piece of form. He beat Don't Rightly Know by 2L. That form looks better now given that horse has since finished 2nd in a Grade 2 novice over hurdles and is now 2/2 over fences, with the most recent win being a listed chase. If he can show that form here, he's the one to beat for sure.
27 January 2025
15:25 3:20 Plumpton

Midnightreflection

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 26/01 at 17:070.10 deduction for Gata Ban@9.00 withdrawn at 08:390.00 deduction for La Dolce Dolly @21.000 withdrawn at 10:25R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.1) = 8.20

@8.20

Win

719

The handicapper has left her on the same mark as last time out, with the same 7 lbs claiming jockey onboard. She's going up in trip this time. She goes well at this track, with form figures of 123 around here, with the win coming off a much higher mark than this. She ran well sporting the first-time blinkers last time out, beaten just 5 lengths back in 4th place. She would have finished closer but for making mistakes at the second last and final obstacle when making inroads. She's now 11 lbs below her last winning mark. She's done most of her winning in better races than this one also. She's much better off at the weights with Fortuna Ligna for finishing 1/2 length behind her at Ascot back in November. She can reverse that form here. For me, she boasts solid claims in a race of this nature, especially if the blinkers continue to work the oracle for her.
1 member found this comment useful
26 January 2025
15:50 3:50 Fontwell

Gold Clermont

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@9.00

Lose

-100

She sits 2 lbs below the mark she defied to win this race last season. She's back on her favored soft ground on this occasion, which is a huge plus given all her career wins have come on softer ground. She's struggled in her 3 runs so far this term. To be fair, she's not had her ground, whereas today she gets her perfect conditions. She won this race with any amount in hand last term, beating Jerrash by 8 lengths. She then went on to finish 4th in the Eider next time out. Then followed that up with a 6th place finish in the Midlands National, which proves she needs a trip and softer ground. I suspect she will find a good jolt of improvement today to go close in her attempt to win this race for the 2nd year running.
14:20 2:20 Fontwell

Shuil Ceoil

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 3.00 on 25/01 at 17:040.10 deduction for A Tickatickatiming@10.00 withdrawn at 13:17R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.00 x (1-0.10) = 2.80

@2.80

Win

180

Wouldn't be the strongest of selections by any means, given he's 1-15 over hurdles. But sits on a tempting mark, with James Bowen booked to ride. He ran a solid race when finishing 2nd in this event last season off a 4 lbs higher mark, beaten just 5L by the winner Bobalot. He was 3L clear of the 3rd horse, plus carried top weight, so no disgrace there. His sole career win came off a 1 lb higher mark than this at Exeter, beating No Rematch by a narrow margin, again carrying top weight. He's got a nice racing weight here this time, which is helpful. The yard is amongst the winners at present too. James Bowen does well when riding for this yard. If he runs a similar race to last season, he can go close in his bid to go one better this time around.
25 January 2025
15:42 3:42 Uttoxeter

Gold Emery

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-100

Still a maiden over fences, but looks on a decent enough mark to get involved here. Since stepping up in trip, he's done well. He finished a very close 2nd on his first run over a trip this far at Haydock, beaten just a head by the winner Southern Sam. I liked his other run over further than this at Haydock too. He again bumped into one in Jubilee Express, beaten just over 1L by the winner. That form has been boosted with the winner subsequently finishing 2nd in the Welsh National NTO. Also, the 18L 4th has won twice since to strengthen the form. He finished 3rd behind Jack's Parrot on his penultimate run. That form again got franked with the winner coming out and finishing a decent 2nd in the Tommy Whittle. He clearly needed his reappearance run LTO. I suspect he will put in a better effort this time around.
1 member found this comment useful
15:15 3:15 Doncaster

Forward Plan

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-100

Sits on a career-high mark now. Attempting to go one place better in this race this time around, having finished a very close-up 2nd in this race last season. Admittedly, he's much higher in the weights this time around. His form improved after running in this race. He won an ultra-competitive renewal of the Coral Trophy next time out, finding plenty of pressure to fend off Al Dancer. He was then a close 3rd in another ultra-competitive handicap at the Grand National meeting off a 1lb lower mark than this. Essentially a 4lbs lower mark if you include the jockey's claim on that occasion. He was only beaten 2L by the winner. He warmed up for this with a solid run over course and distance last time out, beaten just over 1L back in 3rd place. He's better off at the weights with the winner this time. I think he can potentially go one better in this race this time around.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Cheltenham

Ginnys Destiny

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@5.00

Lose

-100

He's got a huge lump of weight to carry, but is clearly the class angle in the race, with him arguably boasting the strongest form in the lineup. He's 5 lbs above the mark he defied to win a CD handicap on this track last season. He beat Theatre Man comfortably off top weight on that occasion. He clearly likes this new course, with form figures 112 on it. The 2nd place finish was behind Grey Dawning in last season's Turners Novices at the festival, beaten just 2L by the winner. He's yet to show his brilliant best in 2 runs so far this term. He clearly needed the run on reappearance. The most recent run was a step in the right direction, finishing 3rd behind Djelo and Protektorat in the Peterborough Chase. The latter franked the form LTO, winning a decent handicap off 165. If he can rediscover his best form back on his favoured track, I think he can defy top weight here.
1 member found this comment useful
12:55 12:55 Doncaster

Thomas Mor

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-100

Makes his chase debut today. Running off a lofty mark. Coming into this race off the back of another solid win last time out. He proved a revelation over hurdles, winning 4 of his 6 runs. The 2 times he didn't win, he was running in Grade 1 races, with perhaps his run in the Albert Bartlett the pick of those efforts. Beaten just over 6L in 6th place (promoted to 5th with the horse in 3rd disqualified). He should make a chaser due to his P2P experience. He finished 2nd behind the high-class Dancing City on P2P debut, beaten 12L albeit. He then finished behind the likes of Corbett's Cross. He managed to win his final P2P run, winning with plenty in hand. Admittedly, it wasn't a strong race by any means, but that experience should stand him in good stead here.
1 member found this comment useful
12:40 12:40 Cheltenham

Resplendent Grey

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-100

Has proved to be a revelation since sent chasing. Yet to run a bad race in 3 runs to date. He gave 13 lbs in weight and handed a good thumping to Holy Joe Smoke on chase debut, beating him just over 5L. That form looks better now with the runner-up bolting up next time out. He bumped into a decent horse stepped up to 3M at this track next time out, finishing a very close 2nd behind Hyland, beaten just 3/4L. The winner franked the form next time out, finishing 2nd in the Kauto Star Novices behind The Jukebox Man. He again bumped into one stepping into a Grade 2 novice last time out, finishing a clear 2nd behind Handstands. He stayed on nicely enough. The winner again franked the form next time out, winning another Grade 2 easily. He drops back in trip this time. This trip isn't a problem given he's won over this distance over hurdles. He's running on the new course this time. I don't think that will be a problem either. On form alone, he'd stand a very good chance in this field.
1 member found this comment useful
24 January 2025
15:35 3:35 Sandown

Loverdose

Daily Racing

100 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@4.50

Win

350

Improving sort. Form figures 1121 since sent handicapping. Rising from a mark of 79 to 107. For me, the way he won LTO suggested he hasn't finished improving yet, despite going into a better race this time. He's got a lovely racing weight. The form of his last win looks well enough. He beat Onewaywest with plenty of authority. Despite that horse letting the form down since, he's got plenty of decent previous form, including a 2nd place finish behind Lump Sum. For me, he's one of those horses. You stick with them until beaten soundly. This race doesn't look overly deep for the level. I suspect he will improve enough to put in a bold effort here.
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Helnwein

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@2.62

Lose

-200

Sits just 1 lb above the chase debut effort. To be honest, that's fair enough given the way he jumped and traveled through the race before lack of match practice kicked in. He's got decent form to his name at this venue. He finished 2nd behind Booster Bob in a listed novice hurdle at this track. He then won an ultra-competitive handicap at the season-ending meeting at this track on his final run over hurdles, beating a smart handicapper in Be Aware from the Dan Skelton yard. He's had just 2 chase runs to date. On chase debut, he finished a solid 2nd behind Telepathique. No disgrace there, giving 12 lbs in weight to the winner. He struggled off a big weight last time out. Still didn't run badly despite finishing 4th. He was only beaten 3 lengths by the winner. He has slightly less weight this time, running at a course he's run well at twice before. For me, he's the one to beat in this field.
12:55 12:55 Doncaster

Rich Spirit

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-100

Has just his 3rd chase run today. Going back up in trip this time. He's been quite highly tried for this yard. Pitched into a couple of graded novice races over hurdles. It's clear the yard rates he's above average. His close 3rd behind Inthewaterside and Jagwar confirms just that. They are both 130+ rated horses. I liked his 2nd place finish over CD. He was beaten just under 2L by the winner. A solid run giving 12 lbs in weight to the winner. He's now 6 lbs below that mark. Having just his 3rd chase run. I suspect he's a good deal better than his current mark. Yard are going well atm as they often do in January. If he runs to form, he would have a squeak in this wide-open affair.
23 January 2025
15:50 3:50 Wetherby

Paddy OMahler

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

600

Still a maiden under rules, but lurks on a decent mark. Coming into this off the back of a solid run over CD last time out. He finished 5th over track and trip last time out, beaten just 2 1/2 lengths by the winner, who happened to be his stablemate. That form got a boost with the 4th (Mersey Street) winning comfortably next time out. He's a course regular here, often running his best races at this track. His course bumper run rates a nice bit of form in the context of this race. He finished a decent 2nd behind Coco Mademoiselle, beaten just 2 lengths by the winner. He was giving 7 lbs in weight to the winner. That horse is now rated 120+. The jockey takes off a healthy 3 lbs this time, essentially making him 3 lbs better off for his most recent run. If he runs a similar race this time, with softer ground in his favor, I think he can finally shed that maiden tag.
15:05 3:05 Huntingdon

Celtic Fortune

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@6.00

Lose

-100

Has been raised 4 lbs for the solid run last time out, which was a career-best effort in fairness. He bumped into an improving sort last time out, beaten just 3/4L by West Orchard. No disgrace there given that horse has risen from a mark of 79 to a mark of 95. He actually won off that mark of 95 when beating this fella too, which proves he's still ahead of his current mark. He ran a cracker at this venue off a 1 lb higher mark over hurdles, beaten just 3/4L by the winner, back in 3rd place. A decent enough effort giving 6 lbs in weight to the winner. First-time blinkers go on today replacing the cheekpieces, with the blinkers going on alongside the tongue tie. If they can eke out a little improvement, then he must stand a decent chance in this field if repeating the last run.
22 January 2025
15:08 3:08 Catterick

Just Gino

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-100

Drops back in trip slightly, having run a cracker at this track last time out, which the handicapper has nudged him up 1lb for. I think that's fair enough given he was giving chunks of weight to the winner. He's still a maiden under rules. To be fair, he's only had 6 runs, so very much lightly raced. The only run of note he produced over hurdles was an 8L 4th behind Strong Foundations. He showed nothing in his first 2 chase runs until running at this track last time out. He just failed to give 18lbs in weight to the winner Beat The Edge. The first-time tongue tie and cheekpieces clearly helped him. He sports that headgear combo again today. This fella should make a chaser given he won his sole P2P run. The yard does well with their runners at this venue, 7-31 with chase runners over the past 5 seasons. Yard form would be the worry.
14:08 2:08 Catterick

Hobbs Delight

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@5.00

Lose

-100

Has now dropped back to the same mark he went very close off on chase debut 3 runs back, with James Bowen booked to ride. James was onboard for that near miss on chase debut. He's not been onboard since. I felt he should have won that race, perhaps would have done without the fences being omitted. Only beaten a nose by the winner. He won a couple of races over hurdles for this stable, so clearly he's got wins in him. He's bred for fences. His mother won 5 races over the larger obstacles. The first-time pieces go on this time. Hopefully, they can eke out a little improvement. Bowen is 6-20 riding chasers for this stable. Yard are 4-10 with their runners at this track over the past 5 seasons. Yard are also in form at the moment.
13:08 1:08 Catterick

Champagnesuperover

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@2.88

Lose

-200

Goes into veterans company today. Running off a mark of 117, with the jockey taking off 3 lbs with her claim. Admittedly, it's been a while since he last got his head in front. For me, his most recent run hinted his turn could be nearer, finishing a never nearer 3rd over a short enough trip. Doing all his best work late in the day, having been outpaced. He won his sole run over C&D. Admittedly, it was only a 2-runner affair. He did, however, beat a 124-rated opponent with considerable ease, which is why I find it encouraging they run him here, switching to vets company. The yard doesn't send many runners here at all. They send just this one runner here today. The yard is firmly amongst the winners at present also, which helps. I think he can go well in a race of this nature.
21 January 2025
14:53 2:53 Leicester

Camulus

Daily Racing

100 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 5.00 on 20/01 at 18:000.20 deduction for Percy Veering@5.00 withdrawn at 06:550.15 deduction for Shillanavogy @6.000 withdrawn at 07:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.00 x (1-0.35) = 3.60

@3.60

Win

260

Becoming expensive to follow at present. Still a maiden under rules. Handicapper has eased him another 2 lbs, however. Now down to a mark of just 95. I'm convinced he's got wins in him off this mark. Maybe just needs everything to click for him. I think this represents his easiest task to date, however. The heavy ground should be in his favor. He finished 2nd off this mark on heavy ground at Lingfield last season behind Galway Mahler. A solid enough run giving 15 lbs in weight to the winner. That horse is now rated 102. It's the point form which makes me think he's well in off this mark. He split 2 much higher-rated rivals in Nick Rockett and Ukantango. Beaten just 3/4L by the winner. The former is now rated 150, the latter is rated 119. If he can get anywhere near that form, he wins this race easily imo. Trainer does very well with chase runners at this track. Yard current form perhaps the main worry at present.
1 member found this comment useful
20 January 2025
13:35 1:35 Warwick

Southoftheborder

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-100

Makes his seasonal reappearance. Stepping up in distance. Making his handicap/chase debut. A mark of 126 looks workable given his overall form. He won his sole bumper run. Beating High Treason 3L. That form looks well given the 2nd run up to a mark of 122. The 3rd is now rated 124. He won 1 of his 3 hurdling runs. He beat Spirits Bay 2 1/2L. That horse is now rated 126. He bumped into one on his most recent hurdling run. Pulling 14L clear of the 3rd horse however. The horse that beat him is now rated 128. He should make a chaser given he won his sole P2P run. Trainer doesn't send many chasers here. When he does they often run well.
1 member found this comment useful
19 January 2025
15:05 3:05 Windsor

Ahoy Senor

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@5.50

Lose

-100

Clearly not the classiest horse in this field. But very much a case of you cannot ignore him on these terms. He gets 8lbs in weight from the top 4 in the market which is super helpful. I liked his run in the Old Roan on reappearance. Clearly wasn't there to win. Beaten just over 2L in 3rd place. Doing all his best work late on. Hardly asked for any sort of proper effort. His last run is best forgotten. Running in a decent renewal of the Betfair Chase. He clearly didn't handle the soft/heavy ground. So perhaps just ignore the no show there. He's a decent horse on his day however. His close 2nd in the Bowl behind Gerri Colombe rates the strongest bit of form in this field. He was beaten just 1/2L by that horse. He's placed in a Brown Advisory. Won a Grade 1 as a novice twice. So clearly a decent horse. If he runs his race. I think he can get involved on these terms.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Windsor

Etalon

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-100

Comes into this race with a bit to prove at present, given his last 3 runs were poor. To be fair, he's yet to encounter his favoured soft ground so far this term, so he should appreciate being on softer ground this time. He's now just 4 lbs above his last winning mark, 8 lbs below his peak mark, however. He gave 3 lbs and defeated Martator just over 4L on chase debut. Today that horse has to give us 16 lbs, making this lad 19 lbs better off at the weights, so he should confirm the form. His win off a 4 lbs lower mark looks decent too. He absolutely hammered 142 rated Gunsight Ridge by 9L at Sandown, with a few decent horses in behind him. If he repeats the form of his 2 wins off a featherweight this time, I think he can go well on these terms back on his favoured softer ground.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Windsor

Onewaywest

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-100

Still a maiden under rules, but his form would suggest he's better than his current mark despite being raised 4 lbs for the eye-catching run last time out. He's finished 2nd in all 4 completed starts. He fell on his other run when still going well. His run behind Lump Sum at Ffos Las is perhaps the best bit of form he's shown to date. He finished 2nd behind Lump Sum in a maiden, beaten 10 lengths by the winner. That's a solid bit of form given the winner has since won the Welsh Champion Hurdle and also finished 2nd behind the high-class Sir Gino in the Fighting Fifth. His most recent run was eye-catching, to say the least. He finished 2nd over course and distance, beaten 4 lengths by the winner. To be fair, he did extremely well to finish as close as he did given how far behind he was at a point. He stayed on strongly off a welterweight (12 st). If he repeats that run here, he's got a decent chance of going one better this time.
1 member found this comment useful
18 January 2025
14:50 2:50 Ascot

Altobelli

Daily Racing

100 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

600

The handicapper has nudged him up 2 lbs for the last run, which in truth is more than fair given I felt he should have won last time out. He's got solid form at this track. He finished 2nd behind Knickerbockerglory firstly, 8 lengths clear of the 3rd horse, Bad. A solid run given he was giving 10 lbs in weight to the winner. I liked his most recent run here. He finished a close-up 3rd behind Luccia and Impose Toi. That form has been franked since, with the winner going on to finish 3rd in the Champion Hurdle behind State Man. The 2nd has since won a strong handicap off a mark of 134 and also finished a decent 3rd in the Lanzarote. He proved he's well handicapped with his last run, given far too much to do by the jockey. That could be a blessing in disguise as this race should suit him better anyway. If he repeats that course form going up in trip (has won over this distance), I think he's got leading claims here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Haydock

Royale Pagaille

Daily Racing

200 WINNAP

@3.25

Lose

-200

Sits just 3 lbs above the mark he defied when winning this race back in 2022. Coming into this off the back of a lovely win last time out. He was a selection for me last time out. Sent off a well-supported 11/4 2nd favorite for the Betfair Chase. He repelled all challengers to beat the high-class Grey Dawning by 2L, with them both well clear of the 3rd horse, Bravemansgame. His form figures at this track are something else: 112111. He's won this race twice in the past, most recently in 2022 off a huge weight, beating Sam Brown in game fashion. That's decent form given the horse he beat was in his prime back then. He's a classy horse, a 2-time Betfair Chase winner. He also finished 2nd in the King George, so clearly a very good animal. I think he's capable of another huge weight-carrying performance.
1 member found this comment useful
17 January 2025
15:35 3:35 Windsor

Beat The Bat

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.00

Lose

-100

Admittedly this is ultra competitive stuff. Hence why I want to chance two in this field. Handicapper has put him up 3lbs for the last run. Which at a glance I thought was slightly harsh but in hindsight it's fair enough given the winner of that race has previously finished 2nd in the Welsh champion hurdle before winning this race off a mark of 137. Lots of his form has worked out well. His hurdling debut run looks decent now. He finished a close 2nd behind Masaccio. 7L clear of the 3rd horse Holy Joe Smoke. The former is now rated 137 and finished a decent 2nd behind The Jukebox Man in a Grade 2. The latter won a decent race for the grade by 10L on his penultimate run. He won his maiden at Ascot. Pulling well clear with the runner up Welcome To Cartries. Winning by a narrow margin. He ran a solid race at Cheltenham. Just failing to give 7lbs in weight to the useful Dysart Enos. If he repeats that form here he would have decent claims.

Hansard

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-100

Goes up in grade today. Left on the same mark as lto. Raising him in grade is probably the right decision given he had to carry over 12st in weight lto. He's only had 3 handicap runs. Running well on each occasion. He won a premier handicap on cap debut. Beating Bad 3/4L. That form was franked with the 3rd winning 2 of his next 4 runs. Now rated 148. He finished a close up 5th in a hot handicap nto behind Luccia. Beaten just 3L. On reappearance this term he finished 4th behind Oh Betty carrying 12st 1lb in weight. Again only beaten 4L. He only carries 11st 7lbs today. This fella finished 4th in a Grade 1 novice last term behind Inthepocket, beaten just 4L. So clearly a decent animal on his day. If he runs his race. He shouldn't be too far away here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Market Rasen

Eldorado Allen

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-100

Handicapper has dropped him 1lb for the last run. Which is fair enough given I felt he ran very well off top weight. He goes back up in trip this time. Following a solid 4L 3rd lto behind Numitor. He's got work to do to reverse form with stable mate Copperhead for that race for a 3L deficit. I think he can reverse that form given he's the better horse of them two. He's evidently not as good as he once was. But I think he's better than this mark. With lots of decent form over the years. Usually racing in Graded races. Brendan Powell maintains the partnership this time. The cheekpieces are back on this time alongside his usual tongue tie. Maybe this race was the plan all along. That's the hope anyway.
13:25 1:25 Market Rasen

Jetoile

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@15.00

Lose

-100

He now sits 4 lbs below his last winning mark. With a 3 lbs claiming jockey taking the ride this time, essentially making him 7 lbs lower than that last winning mark. He's got a big old weight but, as mentioned above, has won off a higher mark in a higher grade race than this. So that's not really a worry for me. He won the Old Roan last term, beating Minella Drama just under 2L. That looks decent now given the runner-up came out and won the 2024 edition of the Old Roan. He also finished a fair 4th in the Paddy Power last term behind GA Law, with that run coming off a mark of 150, 8 lbs higher than his current mark. He comes into this with a bit to prove at the moment given the last 2 runs. He gets first-time cheekpieces today. He goes into vets company for the first time. A solid run looks on the cards.
13:15 1:15 Windsor

Deafening Silence

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

Steps up in trip this time. Having just his 3rd chase run to date. He's been set some stiff tasks in his 2 chase runs. He bumped into 2 classy performers on chase debut, finishing a clear 3rd behind Trelawne and Iroko, beaten 12L. His most recent chase run was a bit underwhelming. He finished a well-beaten 4th behind Jango Baie. To be fair, he did have Jango Baie, Springwell Bay (won a Grade 3 handicap since), and Caldwell Potter in front of him. I don't think the quick ground suited him at all. Now he's upped in trip, back on softer ground. I would expect a better showing this time. He won a P2P over this distance on soft ground, beating Sine Nomine 7L. That horse is now rated 133 under rules. He also won a Grade 2 over hurdles at Sandown, so clearly a useful horse on his day. A mark of 133 looks workable.
16 January 2025
15:45 3:45 Wincanton

Credo

Daily Racing

50 EW

@11.00

Lose

-100

She's now slipped back to her last winning mark. Dropping back in grade this time. Admittedly, this is quite a decent field for the grade. A better race than the one she was due to run in at Plumpton 2 days ago. I just feel her mark is workable, plus she tends to like this venue. Her most recent win came over C&D. She beat Musical Slave with plenty of authority. She destroyed the field, jumping well. She ran another solid race at this venue on reappearance this season, finishing 3rd behind Remastered. A decent enough run off a 5 lbs higher mark than this. She's got lots of decent form to her name in similar races to this one. The first-time blinkers go on today alongside her usual tongue tie. Sam Twiston-Davies takes over from a 10 lbs claiming jockey. If she runs her race, she should go well in this field.

My Silver Lining

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-100

She now sits 1 lb lower than the mark she finished 2nd off behind handicap blot Yeah Man in last season's Grand National Trial. She comes into this race off the back of a decent enough effort last time out, having pulled up on her 2 previous runs so far this term. She finished a fair 3rd behind Lady Balko. No disgrace there, giving 12 lbs in weight to an unexposed thriving rival. She's 2/3 at this venue, which is a bonus. She won the Classic Chase last season, pulling well clear with the runner-up Galia Des Liteaux. Her run in the Midlands National was even better. She finished a close 3rd behind Beauport and Mr. Incredible. A solid effort off a 5 lbs higher mark than this. That form has been franked by the winner twice since. The first-time pieces go on today. If they can eke out some improvement, she should be thereabouts at the business end of proceedings.
15:15 3:10 Wincanton

Cloud Dancer

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-100

The handicapper has hiked him up 6 lbs for the dominant success last time out, which is fair given the manner of the win. He was stepping up in trip for the first time last time out. He absolutely loved it, tanked into the race, and was barely asked for any effort, coasting his way to victory. An eye-catching win. He's clearly unexposed over 3M+. He comes into this off the back of a win, which is a good thing; confidence will be high. He was entered to run in a much better race than this at Plumpton last time out before the weather decided to scupper his plans. He's got work to do to reverse form with Phantomofthepoints based on a recent clash. He gets a huge 16 lbs weight swing with that rival, however. He should be able to reverse that form. Provided the ground doesn't get too soft, he'd have decent claims in a race of this nature.
13:55 1:35 Newcastle

Coqolino

Daily Racing

100 WINNB

@7.50

Lose

-100

He's still a maiden over the larger obstacles, 0/15 so far, which is a concern. Looking at his overall form, a mark of 120 is ridiculous. Plus, he comes in here off the back of 2 decent efforts in the last 2 runs. The last run was solid, finishing 5L behind Whistle Stop Tour, back in 3rd place. The winner went in again next time out off a 6lbs higher mark, proving that to be a solid enough effort. He was running in miles better races than this over in Ireland, with the pick of his efforts being a 3rd place finish behind Idas Boy and Mars Harper. The winner went on to win at the summer festival at Kilbeggan off a mark of 146. He's eased in grade today, just about qualifying for this 0-120 event off his mark of 120. He has a big weight to carry, but is clearly the classiest horse in the lineup. The trainer does very well with his runners at this venue.

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