Leebutty14
Just a punter trying to make a few quid on a sport I very much adore.
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Leebutty14's Tips History
18 August 2025
15:57 3:57 Stratford
No Risk With Lou
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
Steps up in trip for the first time under rules. Coming into this with a very recent run under his belt.
He's had 3 runs so far this summer, winning first time up fences off a 7 lbs lower mark than this. To be fair, he absolutely bolted up, beating Magic Seven a shade cosily.
He fell next time out over fences. He was in with a serious chance when taking a tumble 2 fences from home. Handicapper has taken note of that and edged him up 2 lbs for falling (I know).
Yard gave him a spin over hurdles last time out. You'd imagine that was a prep to see how he was doing following the heavy fall. He was well beaten in that race.
He's a much better chaser anyway. The step up in trip should be right up his street. He won one of his point runs over further than this (3M). He's a fair price here given he gets a nice amount of weight off the top weight favorite.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
16 August 2025
19:28 7:28 Market Rasen
Galata Bridge
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@9.50
Lose
-100
Has been given a chance by the handicapper. Dropped 2 lbs for the last run. He is 1 lb below his last winning mark, 2 lbs below his peak winning mark. Going up in trip. He's unexposed over this distance, having run just once over it. As mentioned above, he ran a great race over this trip last season, finding just a well-handicapped horse in Dinons too good. A solid run, to be fair. The winner came out and went very close off a 5 lbs higher mark next time out. He's had just 1 run at this track, running a cracker in a better race than this one. He finished a close enough 4th in a class 2 race, beaten just over 2 lengths by the winner Pisgah Pike. He ran well, just didn't get much luck in running. That was also off a 5 lbs higher mark than this. He gets the first-time cheekpieces this time. He should strip fitter for the recent run out. You'd expect a better run this time given he's unexposed over this trip.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
09 August 2025
19:30 7:30 Kilbeggan
Hand Over Fist
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-100
A bit of a risky one. Been out of sorts lately, but has now dropped back to a workable mark, with the jockey taking off 5lbs with his claim.
He's a CD winner around here, off a much lower mark than this admittedly (11lbs lower mark), with the first-time pieces on. He found plenty to fend off the useful Ceanndana just under 2L.
He won again over fences over in Cork off a 3lbs lower mark than this, beating Hascoeur Clermont with plenty in hand, with the useful Noble Birth 3 1/2L adrift in 3rd place. The latter is a 132-rated handicap chaser.
Admittedly, he's not shown much since then. Maybe his mark was just too high. Now it's slid, with a 5lbs claiming jockey onboard to help out with the big weight. With the first-time blinkers tried this time, I think he can go well if rediscovering his best form.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
06 August 2025
18:00 Arsenal v Villarreal
Arsenal
200 WIN
@1.42
Lose
-200
Subtotal-200
03 August 2025
15:30 3:30 Galway
Neveradullmoment
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@8.50
Void
0
Subtotal0
02 August 2025
14:37 2:37 Galway
A Law Of Her Own
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@23.00
Lose
-100
Metamorpheus
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@21.00
Lose
-100
Subtotal-200
01 August 2025
18:00 6:00 Galway
Lightkeeper
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@41.00
Lose
-100
The handicapper has given him a chance here, dropping him down to a mark of 126, just 3 lbs above the mark he absolutely bolted up off back in April. Admittedly, he has to improve to take this race. He does, however, boast an unbeaten record here (1/1), winning his maiden hurdle here at this meeting last term. He won with plenty to spare. That victory came over just 1 furlong shorter than this trip. Since being sent chasing, he's managed to win 2 of his 10 runs, winning his novice chase with plenty to spare, beating Spirit Of Legend by just over 7L. That horse has since placed off a mark of 122. As mentioned above, he won off a 3 lbs lower mark than this at Wexford, giving 12 lbs and handing an 8L beating to Kiltealy Park. She managed to win a listed mares chase next time out, franking the form of that Wexford win. On that evidence, a mark of 126 looks workable.
Subtotal-100
31 July 2025
16:30 4:30 Galway
Jesse Evans
Daily Racing
100 EWNBR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@15.00
Void
0
He's entered to run in the Galway Plate. I'm hopeful he will skip that encounter to run in this race, a race he's done well in over the years.
Admittedly, he ran well below par in this event last season. To be fair, a mark of 150 probably stretched him. He was well beaten back in 8th place.
He runs off a 2 lbs lower mark this time around, with the jockey taking off 7 lbs. He had the assistance of a 5 lbs claiming jockey last term, so essentially he's running off a 4 lbs lower mark this season.
He's previously finished twice in this race, with the latest being back in 2023. He was beaten a head off a 2 lbs lower mark than this. He's obviously got the assistance of a 7 lbs claiming jockey this season, essentially making him 5 lbs lower than the mark he ran off in 2023.
He comes into this off the back of a win, so confidence is high. He looks a solid each-way bet to my eye.
Ndaawi
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 7.00 takenBOG
@7.50
Win
650
Runs off an 11 lbs higher mark than he ran off last term in this race. Coming into this off the back of a solid run in the County Hurdle last time out.
Admittedly, he's got to improve to win this race, having finished a running on 2nd in this event last season, bumping into a well-handicapped animal in Nurburgring. No disgrace there.
He's only had 1 run over hurdles since, running an absolute belter off the back of a 5-month break, running on into 2nd behind the well-handicapped Kargese in the County Hurdle. To be fair, that horse was massively chucked in. She was my Nap of the festival week, so he's certainly not disgraced himself there.
His form clearly improved last time out. He's been given another break since then, presumably with this race in mind. If he runs to his best form, he would have decent claims.
14:10 2:10 Galway
Gale Mahler
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-100
Goes up in grade. Off a nice weight. Having her 2nd run at this venue.
She's very lightly raced over fences. Just 3 runs to date. Consistently running well in her short chase career. She managed to get her head in front 2nd time up, beating Anyharminasking comfortably, with just over 6L separating them at the line.
She ran a great race in defeat last time out, especially given the circumstances. She was giving 11lbs in weight to a thriving horse in Hecouldbetheone. She was in the process of running a cracker, looked to have the upper hand when making a terrible blunder at the 3rd last fence. That clearly cost her the race, given she was only beaten just over 1L by the winner at the line.
She won a listed novice hurdle race at this meeting last season, battering the opposition, beating nearest pursuer Le Coq Hardi by 10L. A dominant, easy success. If she runs a similar race here, she would have decent claims off this type of weight.
Subtotal550
30 July 2025
18:40 6:40 Galway
Down Memory Lane
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-100
Subtotal-100
28 July 2025
17:40 5:40 Galway
Metamorpheus
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@34.00
Win
280
Risky one admittedly. But looks very well in off this type of mark, with the jockey taking off a further 7lbs with her claim. He's only registered the 1 career win to date. To be fair, it was an ultra-competitive maiden hurdle, beating Almuhit by 5L. He was going away at the line also. Could have won by further if need be. He had a few decent performers beaten off behind him. I liked his run at this track last season. He finished a decent 5th in a better race than this off a 7lbs higher mark, beaten just over 5L by the winner. Those who finished in front of him are rated higher than this fella. He comes into this fit from a summer campaign on the flat. He ran well on his penultimate run, beaten just 3L back in 3rd place. He's got a big weight here. Jockey helps out with her claim though. If he repeats that course run, he could well outrun his odds here.
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Subtotal280
27 July 2025
15:07 3:07 Uttoxeter
Young Buster
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-100
Could potentially be let in lightly here, having only been raised 4 lbs for the dominant success last time out, even if the other runners did underperform. A mark of 134 asks a new question, however, as does the trip he's running over. Plus, he's in here off the back of a break. He did place off a 1 lb lower mark at Aintree last season, so not exactly handicapped out of things here. He boasts 4 wins from 9 runs over fences. The trainer boasts a healthy strike rate with chasers running at this track. The tongue tie and cheekpieces are tried again. His form figures sporting that combo read 21. If he's fit from his break, he's got claims in this competitive handicap chase.
1 member found this comment useful
14:37 2:37 Uttoxeter
Enthused
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-100
Drops back a couple of grades. Dropped 1lb for the last run, which in fairness was much better than the finishing position would suggest. He's now 1lb lower than his last winning mark (over hurdles). He won a better race than this one, winning a class 3 at Plumpton, pulling clear of the runner-up. He won on the flat at Chelmsford on his penultimate run, winning very easily despite racing wide. He put 4L between himself and the runner-up. He ran well in a class 2 handicap last time out, despite finishing 6th. He was only beaten 5L by the winner. He's a perfect 3/3 at this track. This race is weaker than the races he's been contesting lately. He should be going close here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
24 July 2025
13:45 1:45 Worcester
Deep Purple
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-100
Subtotal-100
21 July 2025
16:50 4:50 Cartmel
Defence Witness
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@5.50
Void
0
Drops back in trip this time. Having failed to stay the extra yardage lto. Still not beaten all that far back in 5th place.
He won over CD on his penultimate run off a 1lb lower mark than this. With the first time cheekpieces enlisted. He battled well to win to win by a narrow margin. With just a head seperating him and the runner up at the line. He ran on well to lead close to home.
He's still relatively lightly raced over fences. With just 4 chase runs under his belt. He won his sole P2P run. So clearly has more to give over the larger obstacles off a lowly mark such as this one.
The first time blinkers go on alongside his usual tongue tie. This looks a weak enough race. If he repeats that CD run, he's the one to beat here for me.
15:45 3:45 Cartmel
Bareback Jack
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@3.75
Lose
-100
Has his 2nd chase run today. Nudged up 1lb for the solid chase debut effort last time out. He ran a cracker on chase debut at Bangor on his most recent run, just failing to give 13lbs to Tactical Affair. No disgrace there given the winner was winning for the 2nd time in succession over fences. Plus, the winner is a vastly more experienced chaser (8 runs to date). He managed to win 4 of his 8 runs over hurdles. Clearly, he's a useful horse when things fall right for him. He goes up in grade but has a much better racing weight this time around. He won his sole P2P run by 15L, so should be capable of winning a race or two over the larger obstacles. If he runs a similar race to last time out this time, he should be going close to getting his head in front.
14:12 2:12 Cartmel
Secret Secret
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 21/07 at 01:150.15 deduction for Top Flight Century@5.50 withdrawn at 08:510.00 deduction for Strike Of Lighting @26.000 withdrawn at 11:45R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.15) = 3.98
@3.97
Win
297
The handicapper has nudged him up 1lb for the eye-catching run last time out. He ran remarkably well in the circumstances last time out. He made a serious blunder at the 4th last obstacle, which knocked him back to the rear of the field. To his credit, he ran on to regain 3rd place close to home. Although he's never won off a mark this high, his overall form would suggest this type of mark is workable, particularly his course and distance defeat of Skyjack Hijack. He beat that horse by 5 lengths. That horse went on a 6-length winning streak after this fella beat him, with the most recent of those wins coming off a 35lbs higher mark than the first win. He placed off a 3lbs higher mark than this. On that evidence, this mark wouldn't appear to be beyond him. He should go close here in this weak-looking affair.
13:42 1:42 Cartmel
Drumlee Myth
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@7.00
Lose
-100
Makes his handicap debut off a lowly mark. With the jockey taking off a further 3lbs with his claim.
He ran well in all 3 of his bumper runs. Placing in all 3 of those runs. Bumping into 110+ rated opponents on each occasion.
He didn't show a great deal in his 4 maiden hurdle runs to date. Beaten out of sight on each occasion. Clearly he was trying to get himself a lowly mark to go handicapping with. Now he's achieved that. I'm sure he will show his bumper form over the smaller obstacles.
He ran a cracker in his sole P2P run. Looked to hold every chance jumping the final obstacle. He fell on landing. The winner is now rated 110+ plus over hurdles. A mark of 86 looks workable all things considered.
Subtotal97
17 July 2025
20:25 8:25 Worcester
Bensini
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@8.00
Lose
-100
Has transferred back to his first trainer, Fergal O'Brien. Now down to a career-low mark. He comes into this in poor form, admittedly. Hopes are pinned on the change of scenery and career-low mark sparking an improved effort this time. His sole career win over hurdles came over this course and distance off a 5 lbs higher mark, giving 17 lbs in weight to the runner-up, Eaton Lady, by 3/4 length. Finding plenty for pressure. He's struggled for form since then. He did try his hand at chasing, however. Hopefully, the change in yard, the short break, and the return to a track he's had success at in the past can spark a return to form.
17:40 5:40 Worcester
Deal Em High
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-100
Comes into this off the back of a win last time out. With that victory coming over this course and distance. He won cosily as mentioned above last time out, on just his second chase run. He didn't get much luck in running, yet still found enough to repel the top weight runner-up, Fat Sam. He's now running off his correct mark, having run from out the weights last time. Robert Dunne is booked to ride again. He's clearly unexposed over the larger obstacles. If he runs a similar race to last time out this time, he should go close again here.
Subtotal-200
16 July 2025
15:38 3:38 Uttoxeter
Baskerville
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-100
Unexposed chaser. Just 2 runs to date.
He's only had 2 chase runs so far. He won on chase debut off an 8 lbs lower mark than this, absolutely bolting up, beating Nickelforce comfortably. With 12L separating them, plus a further 8L gap back to 3rd place.
He ran well last time out off a welterweight. He may well have won but for the mistake at the last fence. He was still only beaten 3L back in 3rd place.
He's already surpassed the RPR he achieved over hurdles in just 2 chase runs (highest RPR of 114 over hurdles in 8 runs). He's a course winner too, having won over the minimum trip here on just his 3rd run over hurdles. He's placed over similar trips to this, the distance should be fine. He should be thereabouts if jumping more fluently here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-100
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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