Tiresia
Facebook: find me as Tiresia Value Bets -- Strategy based on real EV% and value betting. Focused on identifying overpriced odds with a proven method. My name is Giuliano. I am a statistician. I love tennis, snooker and ice hockey. I am an expert in Cricket , international basketball, Italian and Swiss football and baseball. I also follow darts but I don't consider myself a great expert even if I really like this game
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£10
Estimated Prize money
this month
Tiresia's Tips History
07 December 2025
16:30 Fulham v Crystal Palace
Fulham
50 WIN
@2.62
Open
0
Fulham come into this match with stronger attacking momentum, averaging 2 goals per game and creating far more chances than Crystal Palace. Despite some defensive weaknesses, their home performances show higher intensity and consistency in the final third. Palace defend well but struggle to score, and their limited attacking output may not be enough to keep up if Fulham start fast. With better creativity, higher shot volume, and home advantage, Fulham remain the more reliable side to edge this matchup.
14:00 Brighton v West Ham
West Ham
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
West Ham are the underdog, but the numbers show this pick can still be justified. The calculation gives them a 19.6% chance, while bookmaker odds imply 18.2%, meaning the away win is not overpriced and offers a fair payout compared to Brighton’s overvalued home odds. West Ham score 1.8 goals per game in their last five matches and 1.5 gpg away, keeping them competitive against a Brighton side that concedes 1.0 gpg and often plays low-scoring matches. Even though West Ham have no away clean sheets, their attacking output keeps them in the match. Since the home win shows negative value and the draw offers only a slight edge, the away win becomes the more attractive option at these odds.
Pick: West Ham (Away Win)
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11:30 Cremonese v Lecce
Draw
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Both sides show contrasting strengths that naturally pull the match toward a balanced outcome. Cremonese create more (1.4 gpg) but concede heavily at home (2.5 gpc), while Lecce defend better (0.8 gpc) yet struggle to threaten consistently (0.6 gpg). With Cremonese far less effective at home and Lecce limited in attack, neither profile suggests control over the match. A low-scoring, cautious contest is likely to remain level. Pick: Draw
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11:00 Lusitania Lourosa v Portimonense
Portimonense
50 WIN
@3.70
Lose
-50
Despite sitting 18th, Portimonense offer underdog value. Their away defence (0.5 gpg scored but tighter structure) matches up well against a Lusitania side that greatly overperforms in finishing and plays high-variance football. The market heavily discounts Portimonense, yet Lusitania’s defensive numbers (1.4 gpg conceded) and extremely high BTTS profile suggest greater unpredictability than the odds imply. With Lusitania inflated at 2, the contrarian edge lies on the away win.
10:30 Boluspor v Erzurumspor FK
Draw
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
Boluspor are strong at home, averaging 3 goals per game and conceding less than one. Erzurumspor arrive in excellent form with a productive attack both overall and away. However, both sides concede at similar levels (~0.8 GPG), suggesting defensive balance despite their offensive strengths. With no clear value on either team to win and both teams showing stable recent form, the matchup shapes into a tightly contested game likely to remain level. Pick: Draw
08:35 Adelaide United v Brisbane Roar
Brisbane Roar
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Brisbane Roar offer value as an underdog pick thanks to their strong defensive profile (0.6 GPG conceded, 60% clean sheets) and overall solid form (5-3-2 in the last ten). Away numbers are modest offensively, but Adelaide’s defensive inconsistency and high-variance style create opportunities in transition. With Adelaide dominant only at home and overperforming in finishing, the safer statistical edge lies with the away win.
Pick: 2
Subtotal-80
06 December 2025
15:00 Bournemouth v Chelsea
Bournemouth
50 WIN
@3.45
Lose
-50
Bournemouth offer genuine value despite their poor overall numbers. My calc assigns them a 34% win probability versus just 28.9% implied, creating a clear edge on the home side. Chelsea concede only 0.8 GPC, but their away matches average fewer goals and a lower BTTS rate, making them more volatile on the road. Bournemouth generate league-average shooting volume and profile better at home than results suggest. With slight value also on under-goal markets, Home Win becomes the primary pick.
15:00 Man City v Sunderland
Sunderland
50 WIN
@11.50
Lose
-50
Despite Manchester City being the clear statistical favorite, the away win emerges as a surprisingly justified long shot. My calc assigns Sunderland a 12% chance of victory, which is significantly higher than the bookmaker’s implied probability of 9.3% at odds of 10.7. This gap alone creates true value.
Sunderland also hold a defensive advantage, conceding just 1.4 GPC (better than the league average), while City’s defense is unusually vulnerable at 2.0 GPC, well above expectations for a title contender. City have also shown a decline in form (win rate dropping from 70% to 60%), whereas Sunderland’s high BTTS rate (80%) and solid xG profile indicate they can exploit City’s defensive lapses.
City’s price is too short, and Sunderland’s data-driven probability is meaningfully higher than the market believes ??" making the away win a shocking but mathematically justified upset pick.
Sunderland - Man City
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@23.00
Lose
-50
Sunderland offer a realistic pathway to a HT/FT 2/1 upset thanks to their stronger defensive numbers (1.4 gpc vs. City’s 2.0 gpc) and an 80% BTTS rate, indicating they frequently score even against superior opponents. City, despite their elite attack (2.4 gpg; xG 2.12), show early-game vulnerability and concede well above the league average, making an early Sunderland lead plausible.
However, City remain one of the strongest finishing sides: they create far more xG than opponents, score 1.4 goals in the first half alone, and consistently overturn deficits with sustained pressure. Sunderland’s elevated xG efficiency (0.91 xG but 1.4 gpg) adds unpredictability, increasing the chance of an early strike before City’s attack inevitably takes control.
This combination ??" City’s defensive fragility in early phases and overwhelming offensive power across 90 minutes ??" creates a credible and data-driven scenario where Sunderland lead at the break but City recover to win.
Pick: HT/FT 2/1.
15:00 Tottenham v Brentford
Brentford
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Brentford appear undervalued despite modest away scoring. Their defensive numbers (1.6 gpc last 5; 1.2 gpc last 10) are far stronger than Tottenham’s extremely fragile back line, which concedes 3 gpc and allows opponents to create well above-average xG. Tottenham overperform offensively (1.8 goals vs 1.11 xG), suggesting regression risk. Brentford, meanwhile, generate 1.72 xG??"higher than their goals scored??"indicating upside. With Spurs conceding the league’s highest totals, the away win becomes a justified value shot.
Brentford - Tottenham
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@31.00
Lose
-50
Brentford offer strong potential for HT/FT 2/1 because both teams show extreme second-half patterns. Tottenham score almost exclusively after the break (1.6 second-half goals vs. 0.2 first-half), while Brentford also produce far more in the second period (1.2 vs. 0.2). Spurs concede heavily early (3 GPC overall), creating real vulnerability to an away lead at half-time. However, Tottenham’s superior late-game output and Brentford’s declining defensive intensity suggest a credible scenario where Brentford lead at HT but Tottenham recover to win FT. Pick: HT/FT 2/1
12:00 Jai Opetaia v Huseyin Cinkara
Huseyin Cinkara
Win Fight
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
10:00 Teremoana Teremoana v German Garcia Montes
German Garcia Montes
Win Fight
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
08:35 Central Coast Mariners v Sydney FC
Central Coast Mariners - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@16.00
Lose
-50
08:00 Ben Mahoney v Winston Hill
Winston Hill
Win Fight
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
08:00 Jake Wyllie v Paul Fleming
Paul Fleming
Win Fight
50 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-50
08:00 Jason Moloney v Herlan Gomez
Herlan Gomez
Win Fight
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
06:00 Newcastle Jets v Melbourne City
Newcastle Jets - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
05:00 Cerezo Osaka v Yokohama FC
Yokohama FC
50 WIN
@3.80
Win
140
Yokohama arrive with poor offensive numbers and a difficult league position, but the price offered on the away win is significantly inflated compared to what the data suggests. Cerezo Osaka are in excellent attacking form and clearly superior overall, yet their defensive line still concedes 1.4 goals per game and allows high-quality chances. Yokohama, despite scoring only 0.8 gpg recently, concede fewer goals over the longer trend and remain capable of producing competitive performances away from home.
Cerezo at 2.00 is fair value for favourites, but the only true underpriced outcome is the away win. My calculations indicate that Yokohama’s real probability is higher than the implied 27%, making this a long-shot but genuine value opportunity, especially if Cerezo fail to maintain their recent finishing efficiency.
Pick: Yokohama to Win @ 3.80
Yokohama FC - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@16.00
Lose
-50
05:00 FC Tokyo v Albirex Niigata
Albirex Niigata
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
Albirex Niigata arrive with clear defensive weaknesses, conceding 2.4 goals per match and carrying an xGA far above the league average. However, they compensate with strong second-half scoring output and an attack that consistently overperforms its expected numbers. FC Tokyo are extremely solid at the back but struggle heavily to create chances, generating only 0.46 xG per match. In a match where Tokyo may fail to convert their territorial advantage, Niigata’s late-game scoring profile gives them an outside opportunity to steal the result. At 4.20, the away win??"despite its risk??"remains the only meaningful underdog angle.
Albirex Niigata - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
05:00 Gamba Osaka v Tokyo Verdy
Tokyo Verdy
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
Tokyo Verdy are the only side offering real value in this matchup. While Gamba Osaka arrive in strong attacking form, scoring well above the league average, the market heavily overprices their chances. Verdy’s attack is weak right now, but their defensive numbers match the league standard, and the price of 4.20 underestimates their true winning potential. With an implied probability of just 23.8% compared to their actual 25.6%, the away win becomes the only selection with positive value. If Verdy manage to contain Gamba early, the door opens for a profitable upset.
Tokyo Verdy - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
05:00 Kashima Antlers v Yokohama F Marinos
Yokohama F Marinos
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Yokohama F. Marinos offer the clearest value in this matchup. Despite sitting lower in the table, they arrive with far stronger attacking momentum ??" 2.6 goals per game in their last five and almost 2.0 across ten. Kashima are defensively reliable but continue to underperform in front of goal, averaging just 0.8 recently and 1.6 over the longer stretch. The market heavily underrates the visitors (implied 16.5% vs. their real winning potential), creating a rare price advantage. If Marinos strike first ??" something they do in 80% of matches ??" the away win becomes a very realistic outcome.
Yokohama F Marinos - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@18.00
Lose
-50
05:00 Kashiwa Reysol v Machida Zelvia
Machida Zelvia
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Machida Zelvia look undervalued here, and the away win carries the only meaningful edge. Kashiwa Reysol are in strong attacking form, but their defensive numbers over a longer sample show more vulnerability, while Machida remain tactically compact and efficient at limiting chances. The market prices Kashiwa too short relative to the true gap between the sides, creating an opportunity on the outsider. With Kashiwa overperforming offensively and Machida’s defensive structure keeping most matches tight, the upset becomes realistic, especially at generous odds.
Pick: Away Win (Machida Zelvia)
Machida Zelvia - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
05:00 Kyoto Sanga FC v Vissel Kobe
Kyoto Sanga FC - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@16.00
Lose
-50
05:00 Nagoya Grampus v Avispa Fukuoka
Avispa Fukuoka
50 WIN
@3.05
Lose
-50
Nagoya Grampus continue to produce chaotic matches, averaging 2.8 total goals per game due to their fragile defence (1.8 goals conceded per match). Their clean-sheet rate is 0%, and their home points-per-game has dropped to 1.5, well below the league benchmark. Avispa Fukuoka offer the exact opposite profile: low-event football, disciplined structure, and perfect defensive numbers ??" conceding goals in their last five matches and exceeding the league clean-sheet average by a wide margin.
My calculations give the away side a slight edge (37.5% vs. 33.9% for Nagoya), but bookmakers still price Avispa at 3.05, higher than the implied fair odds of 2.66. This creates a meaningful value gap in favor of the away win. Nagoya’s high BTTS rate (60%) comes mostly from defensive lapses rather than consistent attacking quality, and Avispa’s profile suggests that a controlled, low-scoring game suits them far better.
Given the defensive discrepancy, recent momentum (2.2 PPG for Avispa vs. 0.8 for Nagoya), and the superior value offered by the odds, the away win stands out as the most profitable angle ??" likely in a narrow, compact performance.
Pick: Avispa Fukuoka to Win
Avispa Fukuoka - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@16.00
Lose
-50
05:00 Shimizu S Pulse v Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
50 WIN
@3.15
Win
108
Despite Shimizu’s stronger attacking output at home and their slightly higher scoring average, their defensive instability is a major concern. They concede 2.2 goals per game in the last five??"clearly worse than the league average??"and their matches feature an unusually high total-goals profile. Fagiano Okayama, while modest in attack (0.8 gpg), defend more reliably than Shimizu and show an 80% BTTS rate, indicating they stay competitive in open, chaotic matches.
My calculations show that the away win probability (around 31%) is very close to the bookmaker’s implied number, but Shimizu do not justify being favourites at 2.30 given their defensive weaknesses and inconsistent scoring over the last ten. In a matchup with inflated volatility and poor home defensive metrics, the away win becomes the most interesting angle??"especially at 3.15, which remains playable for value-seekers looking for an underdog with real upside.
Pick: Fagiano Okayama to win
Fagiano Okayama - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Subtotal-1002
05 December 2025
19:00 Guingamp v Annecy
Annecy
50 WIN
@3.90
Win
145
Guingamp - Annecy
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@46.00
Lose
-50
18:00 FC Fredericia v Odense BK
FC Fredericia
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
Fredericia come into this match with clear defensive issues, conceding 2.8 goals per game in their last five and 2.6 over ten, both significantly above league averages. Offensively they remain below par at 1.4 gpg, yet their matches are consistently high-scoring. Odense are statistically stronger, but my calculation still assigns Fredericia a 27.8% win probability, while the market prices them at just 24.9%. This creates a measurable +2.9% value edge on the home win, making Fredericia a viable underdog selection at the current odds.
FC Fredericia - Odense BK
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@22.00
Lose
-50
18:00 Penafiel v UD Leiria
Penafiel
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
138
Penafiel may not have strong offensive numbers, but this matchup still offers an interesting angle for the home side. They scored 1.0 gpg in their last five and remain competitive defensively, conceding only 1.2 gpg, exactly in line with the league average. Playing at home, they tend to be tougher to break down, and Leiria’s clean-sheet rate is extremely poor at 0%. With both teams conceding regularly and Penafiel maintaining a stable defensive structure, backing the home side for a surprise result can be justified at these generous odds.
Penafiel - UD Leiria
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
17:30 Fortuna Dusseldorf v Schalke
Fortuna Dusseldorf
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Düsseldorf look inconsistent, but their home profile still offers upset potential. They average 1.0 goals per game and show an 80% BTTS rate, which highlights their ability to create chances even against stronger teams. Schalke may lead the league, yet their away form has dipped, producing only 0.8 goals per game in the last five trips. I assign over 31% to a home win, creating a noticeable value edge at current odds.
Pick: Home Win (3.20)
17:00 Galatasaray v Samsunspor
Galatasaray - Samsunspor
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@51.00
Lose
-50
10:45 Perth Glory v Western Sydney Wanderers
Perth Glory
50 WIN
@3.00
Win
100
Perth Glory - Western Sydney Wanderers
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
10:00 Bucheon FC 1995 v Suwon FC
Bucheon FC 1995
50 WIN
@3.10
Win
105
Bucheon come into this decisive playoff match with strong defensive momentum, having gone nine games unbeaten and keeping five clean sheets. They also tend to strike first, scoring the opening goal in four of their last five matches. Suwon are the stronger side on paper, but their recent form is inconsistent and their head-to-head record against Bucheon is poor. With home advantage and a compact tactical approach, Bucheon have a genuine chance to edge a low-scoring match.
Pick: Bucheon FC 1995 (1)
Bucheon FC 1995 - Draw
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@16.00
Lose
-50
Bucheon often start matches with strong intensity and defensive discipline, making an early lead realistic in front of their home crowd. Suwon, however, tend to grow into games and frequently stabilize in the second half. This combination supports a Half-Time/Full-Time outcome of 1X, with Bucheon taking the initial advantage before Suwon adjust and force a balanced finish.
08:35 Macarthur FC v Melbourne Victory
Melbourne Victory
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
Melbourne Victory - Macarthur FC
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@29.00
Lose
-50
08:10 Adelaide Strikers W vs Hobart Hurricanes W T20
Adelaide Strikers W
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.37
Void
0
Adelaide Strikers W represent a strong underdog opportunity in this matchup. Their bowling unit is more consistent than the Hurricanes', especially in the middle overs where Adelaide often applies real pressure. The Strikers also make fewer errors in the field and maintain a more balanced batting order, capable of steady scoring rather than relying on isolated bursts. With greater stability and a matchup that suits their strengths, Adelaide offer clear value at these odds.
Pick: Adelaide Strikers W
Subtotal-12
04 December 2025
22:30 Cruzeiro v Botafogo
Botafogo
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
Botafogo present a stronger attacking profile, averaging 2.2 goals per game and producing a high shot volume, which gives them a real chance even away from home. Cruzeiro are defensively solid, yet their attack remains inconsistent and below recent league trends. Botafogo’s recent form and ability to score in bursts make them a dangerous underdog, especially at generous odds. In a tight matchup where both sides show flaws, the away win carries the most appealing upside.
Pick: 2
Botafogo - Cruzeiro
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@31.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Lazio v AC Milan
Draw
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
AC Milan - Lazio
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@46.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Man Utd v West Ham
Man Utd - West Ham
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@61.00
Lose
-50
West Ham (AH) 1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
West Ham offer interesting value on the +1.25 line. Although Manchester United remain the stronger side overall, in my opinion the home win looks overpriced, while both the draw and away win carry modest value. West Ham’s attack produces 1.8 goals per game, and their recent form (2-1-2 in the last five) keeps them competitive. United’s edge is real but not overwhelming. With both teams showing similar BTTS and chance-creation profiles, West Ham +1.25 provides a safer and well-supported handicap position.
Pick: West Ham +1.25
19:00 Elliot Slessor v Barry Hawkins
Elliot Slessor
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
19:00 John Higgins v Shaun Murphy
John Higgins
Win Match
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
19:00 Vitesse v De Graafschap
De Graafschap
50 WIN
@2.25
Win
62
De Graafschap enter this match in far stronger form, scoring 2.6 goals per game and outperforming Vitesse in both xG and defensive stability. Vitesse continue to struggle at both ends, with declining win rates and no clean sheets in recent outings. De Graafschap’s high offensive efficiency and consistent results make them the more reliable side. Despite the model favoring Vitesse, current momentum clearly leans toward the visitors. At the available odds, the away win offers the most compelling upside. Pick: 2
18:30 Juve Stabia v Bari
Bari
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Bari offer the most interesting value despite Juve Stabia’s stronger home numbers. The visitors have shown clear improvement, winning 40% of their last five matches, and their upward momentum contrasts with Juve Stabia’s recent dip. While Bari struggle away, Juve Stabia’s defence has also regressed, and the odds inflate the home side’s real edge. With modest positive value on the away win and a matchup that could tighten late, Bari represent a reasonable high-price option. Pick: 2
Bari - Juve Stabia
Half Time / Full Time
50 WIN
@36.00
Lose
-50
16:00 Wisla Plock v Cracovia Krakow
Wisla Plock
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Wis?a P?ock enter this match with solid momentum and a strong home foundation. They rank 3rd in the table, showing better defensive balance than Cracovia, with only 11 goals conceded and five clean sheets in 16 matches. Their key players are performing consistently, and the team’s compact structure suits this kind of matchup. Cracovia are competitive, but their defensive instability away from home remains an issue. With home advantage and superior form, Wis?a P?ock have a realistic chance to secure all three points.
Pick: Wis?a P?ock (1)
15:00 Aileen De Graaf vs Eve Watson
Eve Watson
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
14:35 Jimmy Bristow vs Carl Wilson
Jimmy Bristow
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.60
Win
80
14:10 Benjamin Pratnemer vs Sybren Gijbels
Sybren Gijbels
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.75
Win
88
14:00 Stuart Dutton vs Ivan Springborg Poulsen
Ivan Springborg Poulsen
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
13:30 Botev Vratsa v Spartak Varna
Spartak Varna
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Spartak Varna offer the strongest value in this matchup. While both teams struggle offensively, Botev Vratsa’s home scoring drought and their over-priced match odds create an opportunity on the away side. Spartak’s defensive numbers are poor, but their fair-odds projection sits far below the current market price, making the upset statistically attractive. With Botev producing goals in their last five home games, my calc gives Spartak a realistic chance. Backing the away win is justified.
13:25 Carl Wilson vs Adam Leek
Adam Leek
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.55
Lose
-50
12:50 Matt Clark vs Francois Schweyen
Francois Schweyen
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.15
Win
57
Schweyen profiles as an undervalued underdog thanks to his reliable scoring base and steady checkout percentage. Clark is capable of big scoring runs, but his volatility leaves frequent openings in key legs. Schweyen’s calmer structure and cleaner finishing give him an edge whenever the match becomes tactical rather than explosive. At 2.15, the price reflects opportunity rather than risk, making him an attractive outsider with genuine winning potential.
Pick: Schweyen
12:30 Zereso Zeverboom vs Stuart Dutton
Zereso Zeverboom
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Zeverboom enters this match as a live underdog with enough scoring rhythm to challenge Dutton over multiple legs. While Dutton is the more consistent name on paper, his accuracy tends to fluctuate under pressure, creating windows for Zeverboom’s heavier scoring bursts. If Zeverboom maintains composure on the doubles and pushes the tempo early, he has a realistic path to an upset. At these odds, he represents genuine value. Pick: Zeverboom
12:00 James Beeton vs Caleb Hope
Caleb Hope
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.45
Lose
-50
Caleb Hope offers one of the most appealing underdog positions on this slate. Beeton has talent but remains inconsistent, particularly in mid-leg scoring and finishing under pressure. Hope, by contrast, maintains a smoother rhythm and is less prone to momentum swings. In a match that projects to be tight across all metrics, Hope’s stability gives him a realistic chance to convert at a strong price.
Pick: Caleb Hope
11:55 Jimmy Bristow vs Ivan Springborg Poulsen
Ivan Springborg Poulsen
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
Poulsen looks well-priced in a matchup that appears closer than the market suggests. His scoring phases are steady, and his checkout success has shown improvement, making him competitive in longer legs. Bristow carries the favourite tag but often struggles to sustain rhythm, especially when pressured early. With Poulsen’s balanced profile and ability to punish missed doubles, the underdog has a strong opportunity to overturn expectations.
Pick: Poulsen
11:40 Carl Wilson vs Stuart Dutton
Stuart Dutton
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@3.80
Lose
-50
Despite Wilson being the market favourite, this matchup is far more competitive than the odds imply. Dutton’s scoring phases are steady, and his checkout percentage has recently improved, making him dangerous against players who rely heavily on momentum. Wilson is strong, but his dips in accuracy allow opportunities for an opponent who maintains rhythm. At 3.80, Dutton provides a high-value outsider profile with realistic upset potential.
Pick: Stuart Dutton
11:05 Stuart Dutton vs Jimmy Bristow
Stuart Dutton
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Stuart Dutton looks like a genuine underdog option in what should be a very balanced match. His recent scoring rhythm and checkout consistency suggest he can match Bristow leg for leg. Bristow may carry the favourite tag, but his inconsistency under pressure leaves openings that Dutton is capable of exploiting. With both players close in overall level, the price on Dutton offers real value for a competitive contest.
Pick: Stuart Dutton
01:10 BKN Nets @ CHI Bulls
BKN Nets
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
138
01:10 SAC Kings @ HOU Rockets
SAC Kings
Money Line
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
00:40 CHA Hornets @ NY Knicks
CHA Hornets
Money Line
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
00:10 DEN Nuggets @ IND Pacers
IND Pacers
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.90
Lose
-50
00:10 POR Trail Blazers @ CLE Cavaliers
POR Trail Blazers
Money Line
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
00:10 SA Spurs @ ORL Magic
SA Spurs
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.70
Win
135
Subtotal-67
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
