OddsOnShot

In it to win but horseracing is impossible to predict at the best of times, just go with your gut

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OddsOnShot's Tips History

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02 May 2025
15:30 3:30 Newmarket

Alzahir

Daily Racing

200 WINNB

@5.50

Lose

-200

The front two in the market may be worth taking on in this tricky-looking race, which is why I'd much prefer being on this improving type after finishing a cracking 2L 4th of 9 to 'Persuasion' at Musselburgh (7f 15yds) on Good Ground in a Class 3 Handicap last month. It looks interesting off the same mark with George Wood back on board.
14:35 2:35 Goodwood

Shagraan

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

Looked very progressive last term and looks the class act in this tricky-looking race. It should hopefully be fit and ready to go after a break, not seen out since finishing 9th of 22 to 'American Affair' at Doncaster (5f 143yds) on good ground in what looked like a very competitive Class 2 Handicap back in September last year when only beaten 4 and a 1/2 lengths. But met trouble that day late on, so can hopefully reverse the placings with 'Holkham Bay', who finished in 7th that day but had finished well behind my selection at York previously.
14:10 2:10 Musselburgh

Curious Rover

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-250

Made a very encouraging start back from a break over today's C&D on good ground in a Class 3 handicap last month when finishing a 1L 2nd of 8 to 'Mon Na Slieve'. Could be very hard to beat with S H James back on board despite going up 1lb, as that winner has since gone on to run well in a Class 2 handicap off a 5lb higher mark since.
01 May 2025
19:45 7:45 Chelmsford City

Bishops Crown

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@4.50

Lose

-250

Looks very much of interest, having fallen to his last winning mark after attracting a lot of support at 11/4fav at Kempton (6f) on the AW in a Class 4 Handicap last month when finishing 6th of 12 to 'Liosa'. He should hopefully be a lot fitter after that run, with 'Baba Reza' a huge danger back on today's surface.
30 April 2025
15:23 3:23 Ascot

Duran

Daily Racing

100 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-100

Very interesting Jockey booking after this improving type finished a good 1L 2nd of 9 to 'Northern Spirit' at Beverley (5f) on Good Ground in a Class 3 Handicap earlier this month and off the same mark could be very hard to beat as he was denied a clear run at a crucial stage in that race.
29 April 2025
18:00 6:00 Punchestown

Fact To File

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-500

Very classy individual, and his class can hopefully see him home despite the considerable drop in trip after winning at Cheltenham (2m 4f 127yds) on good to soft ground in what looked a much more competitive Grade 1 Chase event last month when beating 'Heart Wood' very impressively by 8L and just as effective on today's ground.
16:50 4:50 Punchestown

Ballyburn

Daily Racing

500 WINNB

@2.50

Lose

-500

Was very disappointing when beaten at very short odds 4/7fav at Cheltenham (3m 110yds) on Good to Soft Ground in a Grade 1 Novice Chase last month when finishing 5th of 7 to 'Lecky Watson'. But didn't really travel that day, and the return to today's ground back at a track that suits can hopefully leave that run well behind and can get back to winning ways with Paul Townend opting for him.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown

Irish Panther

Daily Racing

325 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-325

Favourites have a bad record in this race, which is why I'm against the current market leader 'Lark In The Mornin'. The ground may be against that one, which is why I'm quite keen on the prospects of my selection, who has improved since moving to this yard. He was only beaten 7L on his most recent start when finishing 10th of 16 to 'Kargese' at Cheltenham (2m 179yds) on Good to Soft Ground in a Class 1 Handicap Hurdle last month. The return to today's ground could suit a lot more, so it could be worth a look at decent odds.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown

Crazierthandaisy

Daily Racing

500 WINNAP

@12.00

Lose

-500

Looks a very competitive-looking race with a lot of today's runners very closely matched. But I'm very keen on the prospects of this Improving Mare, who looked very unlucky not to finish a lot closer at Wetherby (2m 5f 56yds) on Good Ground in a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle last month when finishing 3rd of 13 to 'Blue Hop'. She made a very bad mistake at the last when taking the lead, and hopefully, the return to today's Ground will see her reversing that form with more luck in running off a 1lb higher mark.
28 April 2025
20:20 8:20 Wolverhampton

Azure Angel

Daily Racing

500 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-500

Out of her depth when finishing down the field in a Listed Event when last seen in November last year. But she returns on a very attractive looking mark on her first start for an in-form yard and could have too much class for this field. She wasn't beaten far over today's C&D in a Class 3 Handicap back in October last year when finishing 4th of 12 to 'Aramram'. On that run, she must surely take a lot of beating off a 2lb lower mark.
14:45 2:45 Lingfield

Diamondonthehill

Daily Racing

500 WINNB

@3.25

Win

1125

Deserves to win a race of this nature, and with Hollie Doyle back on board, can get back to winning ways after finishing a creditable 4th of 10 to 'Westmorian' over today's course (6f 1yd) on the AW in a Class 3 Handicap earlier this month. The form has already been franked with the 6th horse home, 'Prince Of Pillo', popping up at big odds yesterday.
27 April 2025
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Rohaan

Daily Racing

426 WINNB

@5.00

Lose

-426

Very interesting jockey booking, and as the market speaks in his favor, I can hopefully see a return to form for this once very talented sprinter back on today's surface. He remains very well handicapped if he can produce his 1L 2nd of 11 to 'We Never Stop' over today's C&D on the AW in a Class 2 Handicap back in March and is now on a mark 2lb lower.
17:45 5:45 Southwell

Don Pacifico

Daily Racing

500 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-500

The stable and jockey are in decent form of late, and this lightly raced colt looked very unlucky not to finish a lot closer on his most recent start when finishing 12th of 14 to 'Berkshire Whisper' at Newcastle (6f) on the AW in what looked a very competitive Class 2 Handicap earlier this month. He got no luck whatsoever and can hopefully make amends back on today's surface off a 1lb lower mark with more luck in running.
16:45 4:45 Southwell

Waardah

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-500

Wasn't disgraced when well supported in the market at 10/3 as the 2nd favorite when finishing a creditable 5th of 8 to 'Smoken' at Newmarket (1m) on soft ground in a listed event back in November last year. That looks like very strong form, so off an opening mark of 88, she could be very well handicapped if she handles this surface.
16:00 4:00 Wetherby

Manila Thriller

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-500

Very interesting jockey booking after making a very encouraging start back from a break at Nottingham (1m 75yds) on good ground in a Class 5 handicap earlier this month when beating 'Coma Cluster' by 1/2 a length. Looking value for a lot more as the rider dropped his whip 1f out, so off only a 3lb higher mark looks very much of interest.
15:45 3:45 Southwell

Tourist

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-250

Looks a seriously competitive-looking race, but I think this top weight could have a lot more to offer on only his second start for this yard after winning very cosily at Bath (5f 10yds) on Good to Firm Ground under today's rider in a Class 4 Handicap earlier this month when beating 'Pepsi Cat' by 1L. I expect him to go close despite going up 6lb. One at bigger odds, 'Muker', could also go well at a price.
15:15 3:15 Southwell

Giorgio M

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-250

Looks a very tricky-looking race with many runners closely tied. But hopefully, this one can go well at decent odds after a short break after a string of seconds, most recently finishing a good short head 2nd of 12 to 'Federal Envoy' over today's C&D on the AW in a Class 4 Handicap back in February and only 1lb higher today. One at big odds, 'Vince Le Prince', looks of interest on his first start on an artificial surface.
26 April 2025
18:25 6:25 Doncaster

Dorney Lake

Daily Racing

500 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 4.33 used instead of 3.75 takenBOG

@4.33

Win

1666

Formerly with John Gosden and made a very encouraging start for this yard at Yarmouth (6f 3yds) on good ground in a Class 4 handicap earlier this month when beating 'Rhythmic Acclaim' by 2L and should hopefully progress further despite going up 6lb.
16:20 4:20 Leicester

Twilight Romance

Daily Racing

422 WIN

@2.75

Win

738

Loks to have a lot going for him in this with Oisin Murphy on board for the first time after finishing a creditable 8th of 13 to 'More Thunder' at Newmarket (6f) on good to soft ground in a Class 2 handicap earlier this month. But back on today's better ground, he should be very hard to beat off a 2lb lower mark with one at bigger odds, 'Havana Rum', of interest.
16:10 4:10 Sandown

High Class Hero

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-500

I think the market has this about right as I find it very hard to separate my selection and 'Dancing City' on form. But with stable jockey Paul Townend stepping down off 'Dancing City', that pretty much decided it for me. It looks very tight between them both, but my selection has looked in need of a step up in trip and remains very unexposed as a chaser. Although very disappointing at very short odds 2/13fav on his most recent start when finishing a 3/4 length 2nd of 5 to 'Common Practise' at Thurles (2m 4f 176yds) on good to yielding ground in a Grade 3 Novice Chase, he still has a lot of potential. I see today's trip being a huge plus and can hopefully make amends off the same mark.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Kitzbuhel

Daily Racing

350 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-350

Needs to settle a lot better, but if on a going day, this improving type from a top yard could be very hard to beat. It may relish the step back in trip after attracting a lot of support (103fav) at Aintree (3m 149yds) on good ground in a Grade 1 hurdle event earlier this month when finishing 5th of 11 to 'Hiddenvalley Lake' and is the least exposed of these over hurdles.
14:40 2:40 Haydock

Divine Libra

Daily Racing

250 WINNB

@12.00

Lose

-250

The stable has won this race in the past, and this one brings lots of good form to the table. If he arrives here fit and ready to go after a break, he should hopefully leave his disappointing run at Ascot (7f) on soft ground in a Class 2 Handicap in October last year, when he finished a well-beaten 12th of 18 to 'Volterra', well behind. Now back on better ground, with 'Gorak' at bigger odds, a huge danger.
14:25 2:25 Sandown

Gaelic Warrior

Daily Racing

410 WIN

@2.25

Win

512

This Classy Type bounced back to form in tremendous fashion at Aintree (3m 210yds) on good to soft ground in what looked like a very competitive Grade 1 chase event earlier this month when beating 'Grey Dawning' by 3L. That was a huge performance on only his first time at that trip, and he may be even more impressive now dropping back in trip on that performance.
14:05 2:05 Leicester

Akkadian Thunder

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@12.00

Lose

-250

Looks a very competitive race, and I'm very interested to see this one dropping back in trip for a very shrewd stable. They are starting to turn out winners, and if coping with the drop back in trip, it may be worth a look after finishing a cracking 3rd of 17 to 'Myal' at Doncaster (7f 6yds) on soft ground in what was a very competitive Class 3 Handicap in October last year. It returns on a 1lb lower mark and seems to act on any ground, so could surprise.
13:50 1:50 Sandown

Eyed

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-250

This looks a cracking race with lots of improving types. I was very taken with this one's performance at Ayr (3m 20yds) on Good to Soft Ground in a Class 2 Handicap Chase earlier this month when he finished a cracking 2nd of 7 to a classy type 'Masaccio', only beaten 1 and 3/4 lengths. He travelled really well that day until four out, so could be very interesting dropping back in trip off only a 12lb higher mark with regular rider J J Burke on board. 'Riskintheground' is a huge danger.
25 April 2025
15:00 3:00 Sandown

Lead Artist

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-250

Improved considerably throughout last season and looks set to go very well again this term. Could take some stopping if fit and ready to go after a break. Not seen out since finishing a cracking 2nd of 12 to 'Spirit Dancer' at Sakhir (Bahrain) (1m 1f 208yds) on good ground in a Group 2 Event in November last year, but should hopefully relish the step back down in trip off the same mark.
14:25 2:25 Sandown

See The Fire

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-250

'Royal Champion' could go very well in this, but I'm quite keen on the prospects of this filly back on more suitable ground after finishing a creditable 3L 5th of 11 to 'Anmaat' at Ascot (1m 2f) on soft ground in a Group 1 event back in October last year. It looks interesting with Oisin Murphy back on board.
24 April 2025
18:40 6:40 Bangor on Dee

Konfusion

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-500

Top weight 'Sail Away' could go very well but has struggled on today's ground in the past. If this one turns up in the same form as when making all at Uttoxeter (3m) on good ground in a Class 4 Handicap Chase last month, when beating 'Militaire' easily by 17L, then it could be very hard to beat despite going up a hefty 12lb.
16:33 4:33 Perth

Heltenham

Daily Racing

500 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@2.62

Win

810

Top weight 'Tommy's Oscar' could have a say in this but has not always convinced this is his trip. Whereas my selection is very much at home and bounced back to form at Newton Abbot (2m 4f 216yds) on heavy ground in a Class 3 Handicap Chase earlier this month when finishing 2nd of 11 to 'Scarface', with the rest of the field well strung out. With that winner running some solid races of late, I can see this one adding another winner to the table for an in-form stable and jockey and is just as effective on today's ground.
14:15 2:15 Beverley

Minnesota Lad

Daily Racing

321 WINNAP

@8.00

Lose

-321

Looks an interesting runner in this open-looking race on only his fourth start for this yard. Although he seems better at further, he did at least win over today's C&D on Good to Firm Ground in a Class 5 Maiden event back in August 2022 when with R A Fahey, who currently has the market leader 'South Parade' in this. It is interesting that he was very well supported at 2/1 fav at Wolverhampton (6f 20yds) on the AW in a Class 5 Handicap last month when finishing 5th of 8 to 'Whenthedealosdone'.
23 April 2025
16:04 4:04 Catterick

Animate

Daily Racing

500 WINNAP

@3.00

Lose

-500

Looks to have a lot going for him in this race after finishing a creditable 4th of 11 to 'Mister Sox' over today's course (5f 212yds) on Good Ground in a Class 5 Handicap earlier this month. He looked in need of a step back up in trip and is now back on a mark 1lb lower than when last successful.
15:48 3:48 Perth

Parisencore

Daily Racing

500 WINNB

@3.00

Lose

-500

Not seen out since December last year when finishing 2nd of 4 to 'Harper's Brook' at Wetherby (1m 7f 36yds) on Good to Soft Ground in a Class 2 handicap chase. He was only beaten a neck when very well supported in the market at 11/8fav. Hopefully, the break will see him return in good light, and he seems to act very well at this track, so he has a lot of ticks in the right boxes.
22 April 2025
17:00 5:00 Epsom Downs

Mafnood

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-250

Very interesting runner, and hopefully the switch to a new yard will see this one going very well. Now dropping back in trip off what could be a very attractive-looking mark, considering he looked very unlucky not to finish a lot closer at Sandown (1m 1f) on good to firm ground in a Class 3 handicap back in June last year when only beaten 1 and 3/4 lengths. Now returns on a mark 3lb lower and has his regular rider on board, Jim Crowley.
16:45 4:45 Kelso

Roger Rarebit

Daily Racing

500 WINNB

@5.50

Lose

-500

Hopefully, he doesn't want it too quick on the ground, but I'm very surprised to see this one as big as he is in the market. He could be head and shoulders above this field if he were to produce anything near the form that saw him finishing 2nd of 9 to 'New Order' at Warwick (3m) on Good to Soft Ground in a Class 4 Handicap Chase back in December last year.
15:20 3:20 Epsom Downs

Master Builder

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-250

Looks very short for what looks like a competitive-looking race. But with his stable amongst the winners of late, I expect a big run back from a break. With the ground much more to his liking, he can get back on track as he looked very impressive when beating 'Contacto' by 2 and a 1/4 lengths at Haydock (1m 6f 1yd) on good ground in what looked like a competitive Class 2 3-y-o Handicap back in September. He looks interesting now dropping back in trip.
14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs

Warda Jamila

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-250

The trainer has won 2 of the last 9 runnings of this race, and this filly may be the value in this race with last winning rider Calum Hutchinson back on board. The return to today's quicker ground may be to her liking, as she wasn't totally disgraced when finishing a 3/4 length 3rd of 9 to 'Al Anoud' at Goodwood (1m 1f 197yds) on good to firm ground in a Class 2 fillies handicap back in July last year.
13:35 1:35 Epsom Downs

Fidelius

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-250

Favourites don't have such a good record in this race, but hopefully this one can set that record straight. He looked very impressive on his most recent start when making all at Chelmsford (5f) on the AW in a Class 4 Handicap last month, when beating Existent by 2 and 3/4 lengths. On that evidence, he must surely have a lot more to offer despite going up a hefty 8lb. He has the assistance of jockey Tom Marquand once again, and the stable has won this race in the past.
21 April 2025
16:40 4:40 Kempton

Dream Of Mischief

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-250

Looks very interesting now dropping back in trip after finishing a close-up 7th of 11 to 'Brunel Nation' at Newmarket (7f) on Good to Firm Ground in a Class 4 Handicap back in September last year when only beaten 1 and 3/4 lengths. Now 1lb lower back on today's surface, could go very well with Daniel Muscutt back on board.
16:15 4:15 Redcar

Rhythm Master

Daily Racing

250 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-250

Didn't really cut much ice on the AW but bounced back to form on his most recent start when finishing 2nd of 13 to 'Alzahir' at Thirsk (7f) on Good Ground in a Class 4 Handicap earlier this month. Despite going up 3lb for that effort, he still looks very well handicapped on a number of efforts last term.
16:05 4:05 Kempton

Metaverse

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@4.75

Win

937

Was slightly disappointing when attracting a lot of support 9/4fav at Doncaster (7f 6yds) on good ground in a Class 4 Handicap last month when finishing 7th of 14 to 'Stanage'. But is surely a lot better than that, and the return to today's surface looks a big plus. Oisin Murphy can strike once again.
15:40 3:40 Redcar

Circe

Daily Racing

250 WINNB

@2.88

Lose

-250

Looks quite short in the market for what looks a tight-looking race. But with top jockey Tom Marquand booked to ride, I can see a big run after finishing 4th of 14 to 'Stanage' at Doncaster (7f 6yds) on good ground in a Class 4 Handicap last month. Off a 1lb lower mark back on today's quicker ground, it could be hard to beat.
15:34 3:34 Chepstow

Saint Segal

Daily Racing

250 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.00 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.00

Win

1250

Has been a model of consistency this term and deserves to win a race of this nature after finishing a cracking 3rd of 9 to 'Bhaloo' at Newbury (2m 3f 187yds) on good ground in a Class 2 Handicap Chase last month. With that form looking very strong, I can see this one going very well now dropped 1lb despite carrying top weight.
15:30 3:30 Kempton

Sky Safari

Daily Racing

250 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.63 used instead of 2.25 takenBOG

@2.63

Win

406

Looks a very open-looking race, but I really like the look of this lightly raced filly. I think there should be a lot more to come from her this term after she got off the mark at Wolverhampton (7f 36yds) on the AW in a Class 5 Fillies Handicap back in October last year. She looked in need of a step up in trip, so off a 3lb higher mark, she should hopefully progress further.
14:55 2:55 Kempton

Okeechobee

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-250

Very lightly raced for a 6-y-o and with the booking of Oisin Murphy i can see a big run from this one back from a break after he beat 'Desert Hero' by a Hd at Sandown (1m 1f 209yds) on Good Ground in a Group 3 Event in April Last year which was a Good effort but the return to this surface can bring further improvement if arriving in the same form after a break.
20 April 2025
16:16 4:16 Bath

The Thames Boatman

Daily Racing

500 WINNAP

@6.00

Lose

-500

Recent form figures don't inspire much confidence, but he has become seriously well handicapped on his AW form. If he can put his best foot forward back on turf, considering he is now on a mark 11lb lower than when finishing a 3/4 length 2nd of 8 to 'Michaela's Boy' at Lingfield (5f 6yds) on the AW in a Class 3 Handicap back in January.
15:30 3:30 Plumpton

Havaila

Daily Racing

500 WINNB

@2.88

Lose

-500

Most of this field have a lot to prove, whereas this youngster of the party looks very much on the upgrade. He looked in need of a step up in trip on his most recent start when finishing a 2 and a 1/2 length 2nd of 7 to 'Leave Of Absence' at Newbury (2m 7f 86yds) on good to soft ground in a Class 3 Novice Handicap Chase last month. He could be a smart type, so off only a 1lb higher mark, he could be hard to beat if backing up that effort.
19 April 2025
17:17 5:17 Musselburgh

Knicks

Daily Racing

500 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-500

Back to form over today's C&D on good ground in a Class 4 handicap earlier this month when finishing 2nd of 14 to 'Only Spoofing', beaten a short head. But can hopefully take revenge on better terms today with Joanna Mason again on board.
15:35 3:35 Musselburgh

Chillingham

Daily Racing

250 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-250

Not seen out since November last year when finishing a creditable 15th of 23 to 'Lord Melbourne' at Doncaster (1m 3f 197yds) on soft ground in what was a competitive Class 2 handicap and wasn't totally disgraced, only beaten 9 and 3/4 lengths. But should hopefully find today's slightly longer trip more suitable off a 2lb lower mark.
14:25 2:25 Musselburgh

Rockymountainway

Daily Racing

500 WINNAP

@7.50

Lose

-500

Improved throughout last season, finishing off with a cracking 1L 2nd of 8 to 'Rock Melody' over today's C&D on Good to Soft Ground in a Class 3 Fillies Handicap back in October last year. The booking of jockey K Shoemark catches the eye and can hopefully continue on the up off the same mark.
1 member found this comment useful
14:05 2:05 Haydock

Got Grey

Daily Racing

500 WINNB

@5.50

Lose

-500

Not one to have much faith in given his recent form, but he has had excuses due to the ground and the longer trip he endured on his last start. With Harry Skelton back on board, he could quite easily bounce back while the stable is in cracking form. He looks of interest on his 2nd of 8 to 'Saint Riquier' at Market Rasen (2m 125yds) on good ground in a Class 2 Handicap Hurdle back in September last year when only beaten 2 and a 1/2 lengths.

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