dicksoman

I enjoy probabilities and statistics and Mathematics generally.

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dicksoman's Tips History

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All sports
18 March 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Forest Spirit

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.10 used instead of 1.83 takenBOG

@2.10

Win

55

Forest Spirit is the one to beat here, having opened her account with a commanding effort in an apprentice handicap at Southwell last week. She will be avoiding the penalty, turned out so quickly, so she should still be in a winning mode in this.
19:45 AFC Fylde v Sutton Utd

Over 2.50

Total Goals

19:45 Gateshead v Braintree Town

Gateshead

19:45 Maidenhead Utd v Aldershot

Over 2.50

Total Goals

19:45 Rochdale v Boston Utd

Under 2.50

Total Goals

19:30 7:30 Wolverhampton

Mariner

Daily Racing

MARINER re-opposes Charlatan, and the two seem the frontliners here. So it might pay to support the selection once again, as he is on better terms and he did defeat this rival over C&D last time out here.
17:02 5:02 Exeter

Filanderer

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@4.00

Void

0

Filanderer ended his last year events with a win at Market Rasen and resumed this year with a follow-up win at Wincanton when upped to class 4. Another bold winning bid is in the cards for the H Morrison's charge as he bids for the hat-trick here.
16:45 4:45 Wetherby

The Mad Poet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Coming from a top yard and an in-form one, THE MAD POET, related to a speedy pedigree, can make a debut win here. He is a half-brother to Zahqdow, a dual-purpose performer, and the selection no doubt has a lot of likeness to his siblings.
16:27 4:27 Exeter

The Long Point

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

THE LONG POINT finished runner-up last time at Kempton while having the third placed over 10l behind. With the further trip today an advantage, the selection should be able to go one better this time around.
16:10 4:10 Wetherby

Jukebox Fury

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.00 on 18/03 at 13:170.00 deduction for Wearapinkribbon@13.00 withdrawn at 13:590.20 deduction for Paddy OMahler @5.000 withdrawn at 14:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.00 x (1-0.2) = 2.60AThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.60

Win

80

Jukebox Fury broke the maiden tag last month at Doncaster over the same trip and going. He is still making improvements that can see him defying a 5lb rise while seeking a quick double victory to further his career.
15:52 3:52 Exeter

Tiny Tetley

Daily Racing

TINY TETLEY usually starts the year slowly but gets better as the races unfold. So after two quite unsuccessful outings, hopefully there might be a change of fortune here with expectations of a more preferable surface.
15:17 3:17 Exeter

Le Ligerien

Daily Racing

LE LIGERIE is fresh from a win at Lingfield in December and could start the year with a follow-up win here today, as he has started two of the last three years' races with a win.
15:00 3:00 Wetherby

Audacious Annie

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Audacious Annie won here while on debut on bumper outing two years ago. She will likely relish the return to a longer trip, which can bring more improvement on her last two outings, which were not very successful.
14:30 2:30 Wetherby

Bois Guillbert

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Bois Guillbert won impressively on his chase debut at Newcastle last time out, and more improvement is expected of the selection. So, he may be able to defy a 7lb higher mark to get a follow-up win here.
14:15 2:15 Exeter

Devon Dude

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.33

Lose

-50

DEVON DUDE had his last victory while on debut at Chepstow last year in March and has progressed from race to race so far this year, culminating in a neck second at Taunton last month. Hopefully, this March will bring back memories and a commemoration of the last win.
17 March 2025
16:55 4:55 Fontwell

Arfursgal

Daily Racing

16:20 4:20 Fontwell

Getupearly

Daily Racing

16:05 4:05 Southwell

Alexandra Larose

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.25 used instead of 2.10 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@2.25

Win

62

15:55 3:55 Wexford

Majestic Force

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.91 used instead of 1.73 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@1.91

Win

45

14 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham

Wodhooh

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 7.00Odds taken at 7.00

@7.00

Win

180

Wodhooh maintained an unbeaten record at this sphere over C&D back in December, so is a very respectable contender for the win here today as further improvement to her stellar performance is expected.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham

Angels Dawn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

ANGELS DAWN unfortunately cut short a bid to challenge for the Gold Cup last year when falling, but a comfortable point-to-point win in December shows the quality in his ability, and an atonement can be seen today.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Galopin Des Champs

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.57

Lose

-50

GALOPIN DES CHAMPS bids to join an elite class of three time Gold Cup winners and is almost certainly there going by his consistency in classy displays that has seen him win the Irish Gold Cup for the third time this season.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham

The Big Westerner

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

THE BIG WESTERNER easily landed a Grade 2 at Limerick back in December last year, a win that marks out the selection as worthy of winning here if emulating past winners of this event.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Allegorie De Vassy

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

ALLEGORIE DE VASSY was fourth in last year's renewal but has gone ahead to defeat the winner of that encounter with more than 20l in the Fairyhouse Grade 3 event, so may be ready to take the crown this time around.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Kargese

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

Absurde could have been the choice to recapture his last year's magic, but with 8lb over that rating and 5lb to stablemate Kargese, the former might upset things and get the victory instead.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

East India Dock

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

EAST INDIA DOCK has been a very smart runner on the flat and has taken strongly to this sphere since introduction to timber with three straight wins to his credit, this being an achievable attempt at four straight wins.
13 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham

Mint Boy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Gavin Cromwell won this last year, and his charge, MINT BOY, is well respected and highly anticipated to retain the win. His third place at Punchestown last month over 2m7f is a strong testament to his ability to get the job done here.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham

Jagwar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Jagwar has been improving steadily over hurdles and now takes a commanding grasp of the larger obstacles after three wins out of four outings, including over C&D back in January. This can easily be a follow-up win over C&D.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Lucky Place

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

LUCKY PLACE caught the eye when finishing fourth after staying on strongly in the Coral Cup last year. He has done very well lately, winning at Ascot and at this track earlier this year, so enters the list of possible contenders for the crown here.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham

Fact To File

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

FACT TO FILE is set to acquire a fourth Grade 1 win, and that will be more of a possibility with stablemate Galopin Des Champs out of the race. It is hard to see beyond the WP Mullins charge taking this at the expense of last year's winner, Protektorat.

Protektorat

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Coming from a top yard, it is worth considering PROTEKTORAT, last year's winner, to have a say at the business end of things as he attempts to defend his last year's win.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Jeriko Du Reponet

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

The Nico Boinville ride, JERIKO DU REPONET, was pulled off last year's edition but seems the one to back for the win this time around. Wearing first-time headgear today might facilitate things after promising last two runs, which followed back-to-back pullouts coming after a hat-trick of wins from career debut. The wins might be set for resumption here.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Springwell Bay

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

SPRINGWELL BAY has been doing well at this venue, finishing a close runner-up in December and returning with an emphatic victory last time over C&D in January, winning by a massive 9l. So the possibility of defying the penalty of 9lb is a reality.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

Sixandahalf

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.33

Lose

-50

SIXANDAHALF has been impressive on the flat and also a ready winner in the Punchestown Festival bumper. She seems a natural around this sphere with a bolting finish while on hurdling debut at Fairyhouse in January, so it would be little surprise to see her win here.
12 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham

Gameofinches

Daily Racing

25 EW

@5.50

Lose

-50

Out of the five runners to be saddled by Willie Mullins, GAME OF INCHES stands out for me going by his impressive rules bow and his experience back in the point-to-point days.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham

Jazzy Matty

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 8.00

@8.00

Win

210

Jazzy Matty won the Fred Winter here two years back and nearly made it double back here in October when finishing a head second despite unfavorable conditions. This return can be more fruitful, hoping for more favorable conditions.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Solness

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

After his latest Dublin chase victory, SOLNESS is now officially a dual Grade 1 winner. Should he get a good lead opportunity, he will certainly be hard to run down going by his record in victories so far.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham

Galvin

Daily Racing

25 EW

@4.50

Lose

-50

Gordon Elliott's charge, GALVIN is a Grade 1 winner and has won here previously back in 2021, so looks a reliable candidate for an each way proposition at the very least, otherwise he rates a winning contender.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Impose Toi

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 7.50

@7.50

Win

7

IMPOSE TOI comes from a yard that has won this four times in recent years, so has to be taken seriously. Sporting first-time cheekpieces, the JP McManus-owned gelding arrives at the back of a solid victory in a class 2 event at Newbury and should be able to manage a 7lb penalty to get something out of here.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Dancing City

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

DANCING CITY has won five of the last six races, placing in one. He won a Grade 1 over lesser obstacles last year and has won all two races over fences, so is a force to be reckoned with here.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

The Yellow Clay

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.00

Push

0

The last two runs by THE YELLOW CLAY have been progressive, from his Champions Bumper sixth here last year to finishing second at the Punchestown edition last May. He has an unbeaten record over hurdles to maintain, so he is a good bet in an each way consideration.
11 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham

Resplendent Grey

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 9.00

@9.00

Win

15

RESPLENDENT GREY has done quite well since going chasing so far this season and will be further energised with the longer trip today as against the lesser one last time in which he disappointed greatly.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham

Puturhandstogether

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 9.00

@9.00

Win

240

PUTYOURHANDSTOGETHER is going handicapping over timber for the first time, and after a profitable flat engagement last season, a good output is expected in this sphere with some luck.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham

Brighterdaysahead

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

It is worth taking on Constitution Hill with Gordon Elliott's trained BRIGHTERDAYS AHEAD, which almost matched the record of ten straight wins of the former. It only dented the record by a 1.75l second here last year when Constitution Hill did not feature after winning the last two entries.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham

Jade De Grugy

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@7.00

Win

5

JADE DE GRUGY won a Grade 1 contest at Fairyhouse last year and won a Grade 3 earlier this year at Punchestown. In a jump career of five runs, only once has she failed to win, and that was here last year. She might be ready to change that narrative here today.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham

Whistle Stop Tour

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

WHISTLE STOP TOUR is from a yard that has won this in 2022 and 2023. So, there is much to be respected in the selection that won with a bit in hand at AYR two runs back and showed a lesser trip is not in his favor when finishing 5th of 7 last time out at this venue. He enjoys a 1lb lower rating as well as getting back to his preferred trip, so things might turn out super.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham

Leau Du Sud

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Lose

-50

After finishing runner-up last March here at Cheltenham, L'EAU DU SUD has racked up four straight wins, including a win here back in November. With a four-race unbeaten run prior to today's contest, Dan Skelton's charge can make a bold, upsetting winning bid here.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham

William Munny

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@9.00

Win

15

William Munny finished runner-up in two of his last three hurdles races. He made a bold bid last start with a listed hurdle over 2m at Punchestown last time out, having the runner-up back over 15l behind. This form can easily be a candidate for another bold winning bid here.
02 March 2025
20:00 Osasuna v Valencia

Draw

50 WIN

@3.10

Win

105

Valencia have won their last three games against Osasuna here, but their present away form leaves much to be desired, as such, the tables might turn in favour of the home side this time around. But on their part too, Osasuna have won only one home game in five, drawing three and losing one. In all fairness, a draw is the more likely outcome here.
19:45 AC Milan v Lazio

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

AC Milan has had a poor overall form in their most recent game, which saw them lose 2-1 away to Bologna last time. But their home form against Lazio is impressively 5/5 here. That notwithstanding, Lazio is still six points and three places ahead of them in the league with a better attacking record, though worse defensively. With all these permutations, I believe both sides will settle for a point each.
19:45 Marseille v Nantes

Marseille

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

Marseille has defeated Nantes in their last few visits here. So, this is not a very good place for the visitors to seek improvement of their dwindling form, especially after a 7-1 loss to Monaco in their last game on the road.
17:30 Fenerbahce v Antalyaspor

Fenerbahce

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

Fenerbahce have a very strong home form, spanning eight straight league wins. The poor form of the visitors makes it an expected easy win for the hosts, who will not let any opportunity of catching up with league leaders slip by them.
16:30 Augsburg v SC Freiburg

SC Freiburg

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Freiburg is in stellar form with four straight clean sheet wins in a row and an average of two goals per game. The visitors have won 4 and lost just one of their five latest games against Augsburg, including winning two of their last three here. The hosts don't have an outstanding form at the moment and can easily be vulnerable to the rising form of the visitors.
16:15 Auxerre v Strasbourg

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Auxerre have lost four of their last five games against Strasbourg in all competitions, winning just one. However, they remain unbeaten at home so far this season, so either a home win or a draw could be expected here.
16:15 Montpellier v Rennes

Rennes

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Montpellier has had a poor run of four consecutive losses in league games, scoring just one goal, and recently sit in the unenviable last position in the league. Rennes, with a fairer form, may capitalize and pick all three points here.
15:30 Boavista v Santa Clara

Santa Clara

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Boavista has not lost to Santa Clara at home in their last five encounters, drawing once and winning four times. But times seem bad for the hosts as they have lost all their latest four home league games. This might give the visitors a chance to get back at them and get a win here for once.
14:30 Union Berlin v Holstein Kiel

Draw

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

There may be some sort of wake-up call at Union Berlin after their 6-0 drubbing by Dortmund away last time, though their home form is also not very solid. They lost their last two games against Holstein Kiel here, so they may have cause to worry, unless the form of the visitors is also questionable in recent outings, losing three and drawing one out of four away games. In all, both sides may share the spoils.
14:00 Bologna v Cagliari

Bologna

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

Bologna boosted their home form with a huge win over AC Milan last time, bringing their home winning run to five games in a row. With their eyes on a European spot, I believe the hosts will give their all to win this, while also increasing their home winning streak.
14:00 Genoa v Empoli

Genoa

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Genoa has won their last three home games without conceding a goal, and has won two out of the last five matches against Empoli, drawing the other three. With Empoli winning none of their last five league away games, drawing just one, it may pay to support a home win for Genoa.
13:45 Newcastle v Brighton

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Win

135

Brighton has dominated Newcastle in recent encounters, winning twice and drawing once in their last three head-to-head games. Their last match here ended 1-0 in favor of Brighton, while the one before was a 1-1 draw. I believe we may see one of these results again today, favoring the latter.
13:30 Heracles v PEC Zwolle

Draw

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Heracles and PEC Zwolle have not drawn against each other for more than ten head-to-head meetings. It is difficult to pick a likely winner from the two strongly matched teams. They are just a point apart in the league tables and also a goal apart in the scorers' table, so we might see a stalemate here.
13:00 Leganes v Getafe

Draw

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Leganes has had a fall in form after their giant-killing home win over Atletico Madrid, which has seen them lose four and draw two of their last six league games. But their last home 3-3 draw against Slaves last time may signify a rising form, which may grant them another draw against Getafe, who has a strong away form, winning five of their last six away games and losing one to Atletico Madrid.
12:30 Hibernian v Hearts

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

There is not much between these teams, but they are closely matched in their league performances so far. They have almost the same goals scored and conceded. They have had very close games in their head-to-head, with the last here being a 1-1 draw. Today's result might not be too different.

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