dicksoman

I enjoy probabilities and statistics and Mathematics generally.

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dicksoman's Tips History

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30 April 2025
20:00 Barcelona v Inter Milan

Inter Milan

50 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-50

Barcelona have a highly fluid game, but Inter Milan have a more balanced and dominating approach that can disrupt any plan of the opponent. With this in mind, and the understanding that winning the away leg gives them a greater chance at making it to the finals, the visitors will give their all to win here. When they do, I don't think Barcelona will be able to stop them.
29 April 2025
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton

Startling

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

STARTLING won here over C&D on last visit, and poor performance has reduced the weight dangerously close to the last winning mark. So, this return could revive fortunes with some luck.
20:00 Arsenal v PSG

Arsenal

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Arsenal has defeated Crystal Palace in their last five head-to-head games, three at home and two away. With their present form, I believe the home fans will not be disappointed today.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton

Gabriae

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 9.00 takenBOG

@10.00

Win

20

GABRIAE resumes after a year's layoff. Three straight placed finishes were the last three outings before the layoff, and expectations are high for an improved start in the first off attempt.
18:35 6:35 Punchestown

Eagle Of Destiny

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

18:25 6:25 Wolverhampton

Stylish Affair

Daily Racing

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

STYLISH AFFAIR has failed to make the frame in three career starts from two trainers and is attempting his second run for the second trainer. Hopefully, the experience gathered so far can help make a difference in this one.
18:00 6:00 Punchestown

Captain Guinness

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@29.00

Lose

-50

CAPTAIN GUINNESS missed this by a neck last year after victory at Cheltenham but could only make the frame at Cheltenham this year. He may certainly attempt to make amends here after failing to win at Cheltenham.
17:03 5:03 Nottingham

Al Waseela

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.50

Win

225

16:50 4:50 Punchestown

Ballyburn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

15:53 3:53 Nottingham

Bint Al Daar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.00

Win

6

15:30 3:30 Brighton

Galileos Compass

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

GALILEO'S COMPASS has had to change trainers twice due to poor performance, but has consequently moved down the weights. More improvement could have been made during the long absence since last seen in action in August 2024.
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15:18 3:18 Nottingham

Saratoga Gold

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

This ARmateur Derby winner showed ability on return from layoff last time and has dropped dangerously in the weights, which can spark a surprise effort.
14:55 2:55 Brighton

El Madar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

A top jockey has been booked for EL MADAR and retains the ride after finishing fourth, 3 lengths adrift of the winner last time at Goodwood in a higher grade race. Hopefully, this drop in class can see the selection to best effect after three straight fourth-placed finishes.
14:43 2:43 Nottingham

City Of Strangers

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

14:20 2:20 Brighton

Poetic Force

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Win

7

28 April 2025
20:00 Leeds v Bristol City

Leeds

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

19:00 VVV v De Graafschap

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.48

Win

24

18:00 AaB v Vejle

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

18:00 Goztepe v Istanbul Basaksehir

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

17:30 Udinese v Bologna

Bologna

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

17:20 5:20 Lingfield

Darvel

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

DARVEL showed lots of improvement when on comeback at Bath last time. Anything close to that performance can guarantee a place at the finish here at a good price.
17:00 SJK v FC Haka

SJK

50 WIN

@1.55

Lose

-50

Over 2.50

Total Goals

16:50 4:50 Lingfield

Coco Bear

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

COCO BEAR has dropped to a winnable mark and can regain his competitiveness at this level after a long spell of poor performance. This could be an opportunity to pick up some silverware.
16:15 4:15 Lingfield

Bevy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@126.00

Lose

-50

BEVY is on debut, and little can be said about her coming from a dam useful at 14f. But the interesting thing about this runner is the bloodline of the dam Kozy, which is by Azamour, which runs from one of the most influential bloodlines in thoroughbred racing. A lot of champions and winners have come from this lineage, and any runner connected to it has to be respected in a special way.
16:00 Petrolul Ploiesti v Farul Constanta

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

15:45 3:45 Lingfield

Magical Idea

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Lose

-50

The debutante WJ Haggas runner is highly respected on account of reputable pedigree. The 190,000 Euro Siyouni filly is the first foal of an unraced dam but a half-sister to the Eclipse winner Mukhadram. This could be a debut to win in emulation of her sister's performance.
15:15 3:15 Lingfield

Educator

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Win

1500

EDUCATOR has a few positive things going for him in this race, which are capable of shaping the final result. A top jockey is taking over the reins, a recent wind operation to help sharpen things up, and a drop to a preferred trip. All these factors can pull the poor performer to an unpredictable extent in this race, hopefully.

Raintown

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@36.00

Lose

-50

RAINTOWN has won six of nine runs here. When he doesn't win, he does not place. So, as a veteran at this track, after last time's total failure, he might use this opportunity to redeem himself by doing his usual: win.
14:45 2:45 Lingfield

Bell Shot

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

BELL SHOT arrives at peak fitness, and with a placed effort over 6f last time, it may be time to reassert his top form coming back to the preferred 7f over which he won here last year.
14:15 2:15 Lingfield

Doublethetrouble

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

DOUBLE THE TROUBLE was beaten two and a quarter lengths last time at Kempton, making it three placed results in a row. He won over C&D when last seen here in September and comes with huge claims that can help him make the difference by winning again.
27 April 2025
18:45 6:45 Southwell

Caballo De Mar

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

CABALLO DE MAR completed his four timer here over 1m6f last time and should be ready for a fifth coming from a yard that won this last year.
18:15 6:15 Southwell

Bergerac

Daily Racing

25 EW

@12.00

Lose

-50

Going by previous form, leaving out the very last run where BERGERAC met with some trouble, I think he is capable of making his presence felt if running to his earlier form and is considered as a possible placed finisher.
17:45 5:45 Southwell

Hammer The Hammer

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Win

180

HAMMER THE HAMMER won a maiden over 5f at this track last time by over 5l. He goes handicapping for the first time and should have a say at the business end of the race.
17:15 5:15 Southwell

Venezuelan

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

VENEZUELAN ran very green while on debut last time at Lingfield in a novice contest but still emerged runner-up adrift just 2L. With that experience, there should be more improvement to merit another placed finish in this.
17:00 Eyupspor v Galatasaray

Over 2.50

Total Goals

The last time these teams played with Eyupspor away to Galatasaray, both sides settled for a thrilling 2-2 draw. Now, as the action comes to their home, I believe the hosts are still capable of replicating their feat while away. And of course, a Galatasaray response is sure as they seek to keep the gap between them and Fenerbahce as long as possible.
17:00 Midtjylland v FC Nordsjaelland

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Midtjylland have scored at least twice in each of their last three games when hosting Nordsjaelland, and the visitors have not failed to score in their latest two visits. With both sides attacking well in recent games, we should expect at least three goals, as has been the case in their latest five head-to-head games.
16:45 4:45 Southwell

My Margie

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Win

300

MY MARGIE is a veteran on the AW with three wins out of four AW runs. Won a handicap last time at Chelmsford and comes not badly treated, so there is a chance for another good run here.
16:15 4:15 Southwell

Orchard Keeper

Daily Racing

25 EW

@6.50

Win

2

ORCHARD KEEPER made the frame last time at Leicester, making it three place finishes in a row. Running here from an unchanged mark, I believe another great run is in the closet.
16:00 Sarpsborg v Stromsgodset

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Stromsgodset has scored 8 goals in their four games of the season and have also scored at least two goals in each of their last four games against Sarpsborg, who seem on a better standing after two wins and a draw in their last three games this season. With these stats, I believe we can expect three goals here.
15:45 3:45 Southwell

Sugar Hill Babe

Daily Racing

25 EW

@19.00

Lose

-50

SUGAR HILL BABE finished a neck second to one of the top contenders here that won last time. It may be time to step up or remain a placed finisher at worst, as one of the three last-time winners may falter due to the penalty of the win.

Ziggys Missile

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Win

325

15:15 3:15 Southwell

Giorgio M

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

GIORGIO M finished second over C&D last time, and it might be time to shake off the runner-up finishes after three such and finally get his head in front. However, another placed finish is not far-fetched.
12:30 Kaiserslautern v Schalke

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Both sides have taken their attacking form to a whole new level, with each of them scoring 50 goals apiece in 30 league games. Interestingly, they are also conceding just as much as they score, so at least two goals can be expected from each side in the game.
11:15 Korona Kielce v Jagiellonia Bialystok

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

There have been at least three goals scored between these two teams in their last six head-to-head meetings. Considering that both sides have more than a goal conceded per game and there is a gulf of space between them in attacking prowess and league positions, I believe they can contribute at least three goals here.
26 April 2025
17:15 Crystal Palace v Aston Villa

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Cup ties are usually tight, but with all five latest games between these sides ending with at least three goals each time, I believe the game will open up to at least three goals.
15:00 Newcastle v Ipswich

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

All five head-to-head games played between these two teams have seen at least three goals. All the latest six games by Newcastle, as well as five of six from Ipswich, have seen at least three goals.

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