Lurpak11

Like thinking outside the box. Football & Horseracing markets the main. Not a scattered gun approach to betting. Logic and backed up by facts and figures.

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Lurpak11's Tips History

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All sports
17 June 2025
16:20 4:20 Royal Ascot

Henri Matisse

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Henri Matisse proved to be a class act when battling to victory in the French 2,000 Guineas just over a month ago. Won at the breeders cup last year on similar ground so it should hold no fears. Likely to go very close for top connections to stay unbeaten this season. NAP

Rashabar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

If there is due to be a shock in this years St James's Palace Stakes then the Brian Meehan trained Rashabar could be the answer. Has winning course form at this Royal meeting as won last year's Coventry. Didn't have much luck in running in the 2000 Guineas at the Curragh just over three weeks ago when finishing 4th of 9. Is possibly overpriced considering the focus on the front three in the market and is no back number. Worth the risk at a huge price for so little runners.
1 member found this comment useful
15:40 3:40 Royal Ascot

Starlust

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Starlust ran in the Temple Stakes sprint at Haydock four weeks ago like they needed the run after over 160 days off the track. Two runs before won the Breeders Cup Sprint on firm ground so today's fast conditions should suit perfectly. With those cobwebs blown away from the last run a big show is expected and should be thereabouts at the finish.
1 member found this comment useful

West Acre

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

West Acre was a dual course winner at Meydan over the winter and ten weeks ago finished 7th in the AL Quoz Group one sprint. The drop back in trip and the suitable fast ground could see the George Scott trained gelding run into a place at least. Chance in a very competitve sprint.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Royal Ascot

Bourbon Blues

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Trainer jockey combined to win this race last year and Bournon Blues is the selection to unrun his price in a very competitive Coventry. Looked like they need the experience when 10th of 18 on debut when slowly away. Shown to be alot better just over two weeks ago when winning impressively at Brighton. Could well improve further for the step-up in trip and could be running on into a place at the finish.

Military Code

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Military Code won here on 10th May under a penalty from their debut victory and can go close to remaining unbeaten for top connections. Form took a boast when the 3rd and 4th last time out have won since. The former up in class in impressive fashion. Should be thereabouts at the finish and improve for the step-up in trip.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Royal Ascot

Lake Forest

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

If the Lockinge form is to get eclipsed then Lake Forest could be the one. Highly consistent colt who has never ran over a mile before and could improve for it. Ran a decent race at Longchamp when 4th over 7f just over three weeks ago in having their first run after winning the Golden Eagle in Australia last November. Could pick up the pieces if the market principles take each other on early. Worth chancing each-way.

Rosallion

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Last year's St James Palace winner Rosallion ran a very decent race in the Lockinge when 3rd after over 300 days off the track. Other three that day reoppose but with that run out of the way and given their excellent Ascot course from is surely the one they all have to beat. Should go very close.
1 member found this comment useful
06 June 2025
17:10 5:10 Epsom Downs

Legal Reform

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Legal Reform has had three races in recent weeks and has been hitting the crossbar on their other recent efforts. They are taken to go close here. Ran a very decent 2nd of 10 over today's course and distance last September, and a repeat of that performance should put them bang there at the finish in an open race. They are worth chancing given how they handled the track previously.
16:35 4:35 Epsom Downs

Mr Baloo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Mr Baloo has been ultra consistent, winning three and finishing in the top three in their last six outings. He is lightly weighed to go close to landing a big handicap, which would be well deserved. He has winning course form, which is a major plus given the Epsom quirky track, and the Hannon stable is in decent form. One of many with a decent chance and should be thereabouts at the finish.
16:00 4:00 Epsom Downs

Giselle

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.50

Lose

-50

Jockey bookings suggest that Giselle is Aidan O'Brien's third string, and they could be underrated as a result. Won a three-runner contest at Lingfield just under a month ago, finishing strongly at the finish to suggest that the step-up in trip and class could well be within their grasp. Given the trainer's experience, should run their race and is too big a price to ignore in a more open Classic than the market suggests. Well worth chancing. NAP
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs

Rathgar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Rathgar finished a very close 2nd on his only attempt at today’s course and distance in April. This shows that he handles the undulating Epsom track. He has a very lightweight and, with the previous course form, could well be the one to come home in front in a very open competitive contest.
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14:40 2:40 Epsom Downs

Calandagan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

French raider Calandagan is ultra-consistent, winning four of their nine starts and being placed in each of the other runs, having been at the highest level. 2nd in the Juddmonte to City of Troy (who broke the track record), going down a length over furlongs shorter than today's trip, which should be more suitable. The one they all have to beat. Major chance.
14:05 2:05 Epsom Downs

Havana Hurricane

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Havana Hurricane won well on debut at Goodwood just over a month ago. The slight step-up in trip should suit well. Had reopposing rival Logi Bear behind them that day, and they have won since, which suggests with further improvement that the Eve Johnston Houghton-trained colt could be the one to be on in this conditions race. Could well put it up to some much more expensive types and go very close to remaining unbeaten.
13:40 1:40 Bangor on Dee

Top Tier Gossip

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Top Tier Gossip finished 3rd to more experienced rivals in its hurdling debut just over three weeks ago. Given the experience Dan Skelton has, further improvement is likely. Recipient of weight from a market rival and surely should be in the mix to win here.
13:30 1:30 Epsom Downs

Formal

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Formal won their first two starts before finishing 4th of 5 in last year's Rockfel Group 2 at Newmarket at the end of September. Last time out, they looked like they needed the run after over a 150-day break when finishing 8th of 15 in the Fred Darling Group 2. Now back down to listed class and having that recent run out of her system, she could well bounce back to winning ways. Yard and Oisin Murphy are riding equally well. Well in the mix.
01 June 2025
17:30 5:30 Nottingham

Sustained

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Sustained ran a very decent race considering they were off the track for over 240 days when finishing 2nd of 9 at Wolverhampton just under two weeks ago over 7f, running on at the finish. The slight step-up in trip and the cobwebs now blown away could now well go one better and is one in the mix in an open race and well worth chancing.
17:22 5:22 Kilbeggan

Nadias Boy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Willie Mullins has won this race for the last four years and has an excellent chance of making it five with the National Hunt debutant Nadia's Boy. Won their only point-to-point last April and the time off shouldn't put you off as Mullins is a master of getting them ready after such a break. Shortlist material.
17:10 5:10 Listowel

Lark In The Mornin

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-50

This flat trip should be well within the scope of Lark In The Morning, whose fitness is guaranteed after running just over a month ago at the Punchestown Festival. Class horse in the race and would be a major shock not to see this one go very close. NAP
17:00 5:00 Nottingham

Jowddah

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Jowddah is unbeaten in two starts this season and is hopefully the one to continue that vein of form for the Roger Varian yard. Wasn't stopping last time out over 7f, so the step-up to a mile should well suit. Major chance of remaining unbeaten this season.
16:05 4:05 Fakenham

Tara Iti

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

Tara Iti has been consistent in their two starts this season, finishing 2nd on both occasions, and can go one better under champion jockey Sean Bowen in this small field race. Different tactics could be employed to avoid getting unstayed in the final stages like last time out.
15:17 3:17 Kilbeggan

Silent Dawn

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@10.00

Lose

-50

Silent Dawn is better than what they showed last time out here just over a month ago over furlongs shorter than today's trip and is the selection to bounce back. Cheekpieces introduced, which should hopefully settle matters and major place claims if the headgear works. NB
14:37 2:37 Listowel

Dreamy Skies

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Jockey/Trainer combined to win this race last year and can repeat the dose with the No Nay Never newcomer, Dreamy Skies. Market guide will be essential due to the lack of on-course experience. It has been well supported, and that should be very telling in such a maiden.
14:30 2:30 Fakenham

Alvesta

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Alvesta is the mount of champion jockey Sean Bowen and is learning with each run. It is the selection to go close in this small field, receiving weight from all rivals, which could be telling in this soft ground. If improving jumping, it should be bang there.
14:12 2:12 Kilbeggan

Whiskey On Ice

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Shark Hanlon has not had Whiskey on Ice long but has had two races already in the past month, lastly finishing 3rd of 12 at Sligo over today's distance. With a more experienced pilot on board in JJ Slevin, better is expected as they are learning as they go. Too big a price to ignore in an open race. Place chances if repeating that last effort.
14:02 2:02 Listowel

Echo Of Faith

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Echo in Faith finished 8th on debut just over a month ago and was not knocked about when their chances had gone. Improvement is highly likely given the experience of the trainer. With dangers in many places, it's worth risking to run into a place at least.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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