Lurpak11
Like thinking outside the box. Football & Horseracing markets the main. Not a scattered gun approach to betting. Logic and backed up by facts and figures.
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this month
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Lurpak11's Tips History
27 April 2025
18:45 6:45 Southwell
Kyle Of Lochalsh
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
18:15 6:15 Southwell
Bosh
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
17:45 5:45 Southwell
Handcuffed
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
17:30 5:30 Wetherby
Martins Brig
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 9.50 on 27/04 at 13:560.25 deduction for Havana Touch@3.75 withdrawn at 15:290.20 deduction for Naval Academy @4.500 withdrawn at 15:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.50 x (1-0.45) = 5.68
@5.68
Win
233
17:15 5:15 Southwell
Jupiter Ammon
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
17:00 5:00 Wetherby
Respiro Solitario
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
16:45 4:45 Southwell
Bintjeddah
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
16:30 4:30 Wetherby
Yazaman
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
16:15 4:15 Southwell
Overture
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
16:00 4:00 Wetherby
Bowerchalke
Daily Racing
25 EW
@15.00
Lose
-50
15:45 3:45 Southwell
Tan Rapido
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
15:30 3:30 Wetherby
Cosmos Raj
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
15:15 3:15 Southwell
Jimmy Speaking
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
15:00 3:00 Wetherby
Gloriously Sassy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.20
Lose
-50
14:30 2:30 Wetherby
Cymbidium
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Subtotal-467
21 April 2025
17:00 5:00 Fairyhouse
Johnnywho
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Johnnywho for the Irish Grand National. Should have won at Cheltenham and Derek O'Connor back on board. Shouldn’t make the same mistake twice and should be thereabouts at the finish.
Subtotal-50
20 April 2025
13:12 1:12 Cork
Struck Oil
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
I will take a chance with the Gavin Cromwell newcomer Struck Oil against the two market rivals. The trainer is well capable of readying one first time out and should be well schooled for their hurdling debut. Could be in the mix at decent each-way odds.
Subtotal-50
19 April 2025
17:30 5:30 Cork
Tatum
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Tatum ran a very decent race considering they were having their first run for over 150 days when they finished 2nd of 11 just over two weeks ago. With Colin Keane again on board a similar display should see them go very close to winning this.
17:29 5:29 Newton Abbot
Christopher Wood
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 41.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@41.00
Win
175
Christopher Wood could improve for the slight step-up in trip and is the selection to go very close in an open race at decent odds. Last time out, he finished 3rd of 8 at Hereford just under two months ago. Blinkers that were introduced last time out are retained, and given the experience of the trainer, he could eventually find the key. Change taken is included in the price, so the risk is well worth taking.
17:17 5:17 Musselburgh
Classy Al
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
Classy Al is one of three for last year's winning trainer Jim Goldie, who has already been amongst the winners on this card. With an amateur taking a further 5 lbs off, he is well worth chancing, receiving weight from all rivals and being fit from a recent run. He could have needed that run just six days ago after over 180 days off the track. He had a few of the more fancied market rivals in front of the selection that day, but now the cobwebs have been blown away, a better run is expected.
17:02 5:00 Haydock
Kings Justice
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
Kings Justice fell 3 out just under a month ago at Sedgefield when looking in contention to go close. That was over 21f, and the drop back in trip to 2 miles 3 should be in their favor. A similar display to their last run over this distance at Catterick at the end of January should see them go very close if staying on their feet. NAP
Subtotal25
18 April 2025
14:05 2:05 Lingfield
Hitched
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Win
750
Hitched has a decent record over today’s course and distance with one win and another placed effort. Hasn’t troubled the judge in their last six runs, the last being when 4th of 8 over a mile just over two weeks ago. Was running on that day at the finish when the 4/1 favourite, and the step-up in trip should therefore suit. Is well worth chancing at a decent each-way price in an open race.
13:50 1:50 Newcastle
Don Pacifico
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Don Pacifico has had three lifetime runs, winning the penultimate at Southwell on 19th December in impressive fashion. Last time out, finished 3rd of 8 just under a month ago when only beaten under 3 lengths to a more fancied rival. 2nd that day, Hello Zaman reappears with a four lb swing in the weights, which could be telling. The yard is well capable of improving from their first run to the next. Each-way chances in a very open race.
13:30 1:30 Lingfield
Tortured Soul
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Tortured Soul has not been out of the first two in their last, winning on seasonal reappearance over today's course and distance for today's jockey. Last time out was the 7/4 beaten favourite when 2nd of 8 at Southwell just under a month ago. Given the current form another decent run is surely on the cards and could be in the mix to add to their dual course and distance victories.
13:15 1:15 Newcastle
Bowmark
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
The John Gosden yard is in cracking form at present, and Bowmark is taken to add to those recent winners. Successful on debut at Kempton in early December, and with further improvement highly possible, could well remain unbeaten in a tidy wee race. But the potential is that there is more to come from the son of Kingman.
Subtotal600
16 April 2025
17:00 5:00 Cheltenham
Mary
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
When Mary stays on her feet, she is very consistent and is worth an each-way value selection here. She is in receipt of weight from all rivals and now back over hurdles could well outrun her price. If they run to their last run over hurdles at Newbury in November, she could go close.
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Chess Dad
Daily Racing
25 EW
@13.00
Win
35
Chess Dad made an impressive winning debut just over 12 weeks ago at Newcastle over a mile and was not stopping that day, so the extra two furlongs shouldn't be an issue. Rossa Ryan is an interesting jockey booking for the yard. Surely there is further improvement, and he should be thereabouts to stay unbeaten in a race where a market check for newcomers to their expectations. Race fitness advantage is a major plus.
16:32 4:32 Beverley
Dr Rio
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Dr Rio is a course and distance winner who is having their first run of the season. Finished last year when running a decent 4th of 11 at Southwell in the middle of December. If the break has freshened them up, they could well run well at a course they have had multiple wins at. A danger to all if tuned up.
15:50 3:50 Cheltenham
Zain Nights
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Zain Nights won this race last year, is in very decent form at present, and is the selection to win this for the 2nd time. Last time out, won at Newbury just under four weeks ago after being pulled up in the Pertemps Final at Cheltenham just over a month ago. Now back in calmer waters and given their form in this race, is well worth considering.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
The Waco Kid
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
The Waco Kid has winning course form on the undulating Newmarket track and could be dangerous if allowed to set their own pace upfront. Trip has no issues and jockey Tom Marquand was amongst the winners yesterday. Could surprise some, outrun their odds and go close if ready to go on seasonal debut. Major place chance for me if tuned up.
15:07 3:07 Gowran Park
Kodis Angel
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
A race of potential with unraced or lightly raced types I will take a chance at a price with the once raced Kodi's Angel. Finished 2nd on debut at Down Royal just under 300 days ago. With improvement likely should go forward and the extra furlong should be in her favour. Capable amateur takes 5lbs off which could be telling. In the mix in an open race.
14:32 2:32 Gowran Park
Amplitude
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Amplitude showed their inexperience when finishing 6th of 12 here a fortnight ago and should know more about the job today. With improvement likely, they should be thereabouts at the finish. Down in trip a furlong, which will not hinder matters. Decent chance at decent odds.
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
Altareq
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
John and Thady Golden have won two of the last five runnings of this seasonal opener and are double-handed here. I will take a chance with Altareq, who should be forward for a decent debut performance. With no course form to cling to, market vibes are essential, and given the early market moves, it suggests a close to winning run on the cards.
14:05 2:05 Cheltenham
Doyen Quest
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Doyen Quest won this race last year and is the selection to go very close to doubling up. Finished down the field in the Festival-ending Martin Pipe Hurdle at the Cheltenham Festival just over a month ago. Now in slightly calmer waters, should run a decent race and is well worth considering in an open race. NAP
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Cayman Tai
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
The Richard Hannon stable is going very well at present, and Cayman Tai is hopefully the one to continue that form. Has fitness on their side, having finished 2nd of 9 at Pontefract just over a week ago. Receiving weight from all rivals today, and amateur Joe Leavy takes a further 3 lbs off. Should be thereabouts at the finish.
Subtotal-415
15 April 2025
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Detroit Lion
Daily Racing
25 EW
@12.00
Lose
-50
Detroit Lion has hit the crossbar on their last two starts, and another decent run is surely on the cards. Last time out, a week ago at Pontefract, they were probably just beaten by a better-handicapped rival. A similar display tonight should see them right in the mix to take this. It's an open race with many dangers, and the Richard Hannon yard is in decent form already, so worth chancing.
17:30 5:30 Kempton
Eulalia
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
In a race full of unknowns, unraced or lightly raced types, I will take a chance with the Charlie Fellows-trained newcomer Eulalia. The trainer has a 6% win rate with 2-year-olds in the last twelve months and is worth chancing that the filly is well forward for the first racecourse appearance. An open race where the market will normally guide to what is expected. Chance taken in advance.
17:20 5:20 Newmarket
Brindavan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Brindavan was the beaten favourite when 2nd of 7 at Kempton just under three weeks ago over a mile. First attempt at today’s distance but it shouldn't hinder. Should be bang there at the finish with fitness guaranteed.
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Pelean
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
The yard has won two of the last five of this, and that makes the once-raced Cheveley Park-owned Pelean of interest. Ran a very decent race on debut when 2nd of 8, only beaten a neck just over four weeks ago. With improvement likely, should go close to adding to the Gosdens' record in this to go one better.
16:10 4:10 Newmarket
Rubys Angel
Daily Racing
Hugo Palmer won this race last year and can go close to doubling up with Ruby's Angel. With no course form to cling to, the market will guide to what is expected, but given the trainer's record, it is the token selection.
15:35 3:35 Newmarket
Verse Of Love
Daily Racing
Verse of Love won on debut impressively by 5 lengths over today's course and distance on 11th October. Knowing connections, further improvement is highly likely. Should be primed to stay unbeaten and should go close.
15:00 3:00 Newmarket
Persica
Daily Racing
Persica was probably in need of the run after 126 days off the track when 3rd of 7 in the Group 3 Winter Derby at Southwell nearly two months ago. Ryan Moore, an interesting jockey booking and freshened up after that run, should go very close.
14:40 2:40 Southwell
King Of The Hill
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.50
Lose
-50
King of the Hill was having its first run for over 250 days when finishing 2nd of 6 at Warwick just under three weeks ago. With those cobwebs blown away and in receipt of weight all around, it should be well in the mix with the amateur taking a further 3 lbs off. NAP
14:25 2:25 Newmarket
Sallaal
Daily Racing
Sallaal made an impressive winning debut at Yarmouth in the middle of October and is the selection to stay unbeaten. Should have improvement, and the extra distance shouldn't hinder given how they finished last time out. Should be thereabouts at the finish.
14:05 2:05 Southwell
Moro Rock
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Moro Rock finished a decent 3rd of 8 at Stratford over hurdles and has since had wind surgery and over 200 days off the track. If the break and the surgery have worked, then he could well outrun their price on their first start over fences. An open race and well worth chancing.
13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Probe
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Probe is a course and distance winner with a further placed effort from two starts and wasn't beaten as far as being 10th of 19 at Doncaster just over two weeks ago. Back here, it could well bounce back at a course they obviously act very well at. Could be thereabouts at the finish.
Subtotal-350
13 April 2025
13:55 1:55 Down Royal
Aisling Rose
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Aisling Rose was well fancied when she underperformed in a bumper here just under four weeks ago. With a visor introduced, she could do better over hurdles. A chance is taken that they improve to go close here.
Subtotal-50
12 April 2025
15:35 3:35 Ayr
Captain Cody
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@17.00
Win
480
Multi-handed Willie Mullins won this race last year and can take it again with Captain Cody under Harry Cobden. Unseated Danny Mullins at Cheltenham just over a month ago. If putting in a better round of jumping, could very well be thereabouts at the finish with the distance surely within their grasp. NAP
14:35 2:35 Newbury
Saracen
Daily Racing
25 EW
@11.00
Win
25
Saracen made an impressive debut at The Curragh last season over 6f, and the step-up a furlong shouldn't hinder given the way they finished last time. With further improvement highly likely and with the excellent assistance of Soumillion on board, it is well in the mix to possibly stay unbeaten.
13:25 1:25 Newbury
Dallas Star
Daily Racing
25 EW
@41.00
Lose
-50
Trainer Adrian Murray's string is in very decent form, and I will therefore take a chance with Dallas Star at huge prices. Won on seasonal reappearance at Dundalk at the end of February over 1 mile 2f. Only attempt at this trip was in last year's Derby when finished 14th of 16, eased in the final stages. If learning from that run, could well surprise some in this open contest.
Subtotal455
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
