Lurpak11
4
Estimated Prizes
this month
£45
Estimated Prize money
this month
Lurpak11's Tips History
07 May 2026
20:00 Aston Villa v Nottm Forest
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Unai Emery knows what it takes to win in Europe with his time at Villarreal and can overcome a one-goal advantage by winning the tie tonight under their home crowd. Forest are in excellent form, but with their instrumental player Gibbs-White a doubt after a clash of heads against Chelsea, it gives the home side an edge. It should be tight between these two Premier League sides, but the Villa manager's experience should see them through with a win tonight.
20:00 Crystal Palace v Shakhtar Donetsk
Shakhtar Donetsk
50 WIN
@+459
Lose
-50
Shakhtar Donetsk are two goals down from the first leg, but they are a side that recently were in the Champions League and could well be underestimated in London tonight. They are in decent form with four wins in the last five matches. Value call is with the visitors, who are no mugs. Palace are in poor form in the league, but that could be down to their Euro run. Take the away win.
19:08 7:08 Wexford
Black Dakota
Daily Racing
Black Dakota has been very consistent in points this season and is the one to beat for me in this open hunter chase. He has cheekpieces on for the first time and has the potential to improve with them. He should surely be bang there with a run similar to his recent form.
18:50 6:50 Redcar
Front Gunner
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNRAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@+650
Void
0
Front Gunner is a course-and-distance winner from last June and is now tried in a tongue strap to hopefully settle matters after some lacklustre efforts recently. Dropping back towards their last winning mark could see them bounce back here, especially after being turned out so quickly following a run only five days ago.
18:30 6:30 Southwell
Give Me The Night
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
Give Me The Night has dropped from an initial rating of 74 and is now rated 66, so could take advantage. She finished fourth a month ago at Kempton after a break of 180 days. With those cobwebs blown away, she could be in the mix to break her maiden tag here.
18:08 6:08 Wexford
Dutch Schultz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1200
Lose
-50
Dutch Schultz ran a decent race considering it was their first run in 181 days when seventh of 17 in a Ladies' Chase just over a month ago. With those cobwebs blown away, he could run well, as he has won here before and the Gavin Cromwell yard is in decent form. If improving on that last effort, he should be on the premises.
17:50 5:50 Redcar
Dunnington Lad
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+3300
Lose
-50
Dunnington Lad ran no race when unseating the rider at Doncaster last time out, and Jason Hart is an interesting jockey booking in this open handicap. He has dropped massively in the ratings and could well bounce back to form, with four places on offer if freshened up for the break since that last run. NB
17:35 4:45 Chester
Parisian Scholar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1100
Lose
-50
Parisian Scholar has been knocking on the door with two runs this season, including last time out, finishing just over a length third of five at Kempton just over a month ago. Cheekpieces could help settle matters, and with the Charlie Johnston yard in decent form, well worth an interest.
17:35 5:35 Wexford
Let Him B
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Let Him B could well be the one to go close on their chase debut after running very consistently over the smaller obstacles. The Byrnes combination is in good form lately. If they improve over fences and perform in similar form to their penultimate start, they should be thereabouts at the finish.
17:10 4:10 Chester
Organ
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+1200
Open
0
Organ ran a very decent seasonal reappearance when they finished 4th at Epsom just over a week ago. With that run behind them, they could well be the one to go close here.
17:02 5:02 Wexford
Glenashling
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1100
Lose
-50
JP McManus has the expected favourite in Karoline Banbou, but I believe he could win the race with his other runner, the Gavin Cromwell-trained Glenashling. He has been knocking on the door in recent runs, including when he just ran out of it at Cork over a slightly longer trip just a month ago. Well worth a second look. Should be in the mix.
16:35 3:40 Chester
Im Just Ken
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+6600
Lose
-50
I'm Just Ken has had three runs with room for improvement and is now in a handicap for the first time. He has a very low weight, and Hugo Palmer's charge could well be worth considering given four places on offer. Trainer's runners do very well here.
16:00 3:05 Chester
Al Qareem
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 07/05 at 10:340.10 deduction for Rahiebb@9.00 withdrawn at 15:05R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00
@+1000
Open
0
Karl Burke's Al Qureem was 2nd to reopposing rival Illinois last year and is back to have another crack. He won a Listed contest at Musselburgh just over a month ago on seasonal reappearance and could be the one to turn the tables, with race fitness on his side compared to the market principals.
14:35 2:35 Chester
Flushing Meadows
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 07/05 at 10:310.30 deduction for Morshdi@3.00 withdrawn at 14:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.30) = 15.00
@+2000
Open
0
Aidan O'Brien is dual-handed in this, and I will take on the first string with Flushing Meadows. Is here on merit after a very decent 2-year-old campaign and could well have needed the run in the Group 3 Red Rocks at Leopardstown last time out. With that run behind him, he could well spring a surprise and is worth chancing at the odds.
14:25 2:25 Windsor
She Went Whoosh
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1800
Lose
-50
She Went Woosh has been knocking on the door recently, including last time out when she was 3rd at Lingfield just a week ago. A tongue strap introduced could well eke out a bit more and could run into a place at least if reproducing last time's form.
14:05 2:05 Chester
Paper View
Daily Racing
Paper View finished 4th on debut just over a month ago at Bath. Given the trainer's 2yr-olds should improve from that initial run, and was beaten favourite that day, it's interesting to see if the money returns. NAP.
13:45 1:45 Huntingdon
Koapey
Daily Racing
Koapey fell in the race won by re-opposing rival Pep Talking just under four weeks ago. Was given that rival 8 lbs and now has a 9 lb swing. If getting their jumping together with the assistance of champion jockey Sean Bowen, could well be in the mix to get back to winning ways here.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Seven Questions
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Seven Questions won a Group 3 race this time two years ago and was once rated 107. Now in a handicap off a rating of 89, she could well be the one. She has a very decent draw in one and, with Tom Marquand on board, should be thereabouts at the finish.
Subtotal-610
06 May 2026
18:42 6:42 Fontwell
Friends Dont Ask
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 81.00 used instead of 67.00 takenBOG
@+8000
Win
375
Friends Don't Ask has more letters than numbers in their form figures, and that's why they are the outsider of this field. Was disqualified at Uttoxeter three runs back, and a similar display could see them fill one of the places at huge odds.
17:42 5:42 Fontwell
Bread And Butter
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+1600
Lose
-50
Bread and Butter was once rated 108 over hurdles, is now dropped 22 lbs and can take advantage of that here. Ran a decent race at this course over a slightly shorter trip, and now back up in distance could well be the one to go well in this. Worth changing. NAP
15:40 3:40 Chester
Cherry Baker
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@+2500
Win
750
Cherry Baker was upped in class to Group 3 in the Nell Gwyn and it proved to be a step too far, finishing last of 12. Will enjoy the drop in class and the trip to a distance they are very effective at. Stall eight could be a slight negative, but that risk is built into the price, so worth changing.
15:05 3:05 Chester
Proposition
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Proposition is the value alternative to their short-priced stalemate. Won a maiden in Galway last time out, and the son of Frankel will enjoy this big step up in trip. The yard is a typical winner of this race but not always with the so-called first string, and Proposition is there on merit. Should be thereabouts at the finish.
14:55 2:55 Kelso
Rexem
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1800
Lose
-50
Rexem was pulled up at Downpatrick in the Ulster Grand National just over a month ago. Previous to that, he was in very consistent form. He was twice placed at Musselburgh in January, and Alex Harvey has won on his only ride on the Irish raider. He could well be the value to bounce back to form.
14:35 2:35 Chester
A La Prochaine
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
A La Prochaine won impressively at Newbury on debut in October and should be open to massive improvement. She is entered in both the Oaks, and with the yard having won this in 2024, the powerful connections know when they have a very decent one. She could well bounce past the two O'Brien runners.
14:15 2:15 Newton Abbot
River Don
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
River Don is having their first start under rules, having won last time out in a point-to-point just under a month ago. He has cheekpieces and a tongue strap, which should help settle matters. The trip will not be an issue and he could bring a surprise of sorts.
14:05 2:05 Chester
Brighton Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
Brighton Boy was a course-and-distance winner in September and could probably have needed the run when seventh of 12 at Thirsk just under three weeks ago. Should have them spot on for this, and this shrewd yard looks to have a decent opportunity here. Stall 12 is a slight negative, but that risk is built into the price, so worth chancing.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Yahaira
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+3300
Lose
-50
Yahaira ran well for a while on debut before fading away in the final stages, finishing 10th of 13 at Bath just under three weeks ago. Is bred to be fast and is sure to improve from that opening run. Stall 2 is a major plus. Could surprise some on this quirky course.
08:00 Kashima Antlers v Mito Hollyhock
Kashima Antlers
Kashima Antlers are currently sitting top of the league table and very high up in the current form ratings. The home side have very decent form at home, and even though visitors Mito Hollyhock are in decent form, their away form overall is weak. Take the slight odds on that three points stay at home.
07:00 FC Tokyo v JEF Utd Chiba
FC Tokyo
FC Tokyo are the in-form team in the league with four wins on the bounce and welcome struggling JEF Utd Chiba, who are winless in their last five games. Such a contrast in form suggests only one thing: a home win. Take the odds that the hosts take all three points against the bottom side in the league.
07:00 Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Vissel Kobe
Vissel Kobe
50 WIN
@+250
Lose
-50
Vissel Kobe are currently league leaders but have lost their last three games. Sanfrecce Hiroshima have lost their last two themselves. The visitors have won four of the last five head-to-heads. This is expected to continue, with the league leaders bouncing back to winning form today.
06:00 Avispa Fukuoka v Kyoto Sanga FC
Draw
50 WIN
@+220
Win
110
Both sides have been up and down form-wise recently. Avispa Fukuoka don't have a very good home record, and Kyoto Sanga FC aren't red hot on their travels either. This could easily go either way, but it wouldn't surprise me if this ended in a stalemate, as both teams may wish to settle matters??"both won last time, and form is often followed by a defeat. Take the draw odds and hope that neither is on a good day.
06:00 Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka
Draw
50 WIN
@+250
Lose
-50
A near top-of-the-table clash when Nagoya Grampus welcomes Gamba Osaka. Both sides are near the top of the form table from recent games, and when they last met in February it ended in a nil-nil draw. Another close encounter could well be on the cards. They could cancel each other out, and a draw wouldn't be surprising at all.
05:00 Shimizu S Pulse v Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka
Cerezo Osaka have won four out of their five games and have a very decent away record. They are unbeaten in their last five head-to-head matches, with four victories. Hosts Shimizu S-Pulse have lost three out of their last five matches, including to bottom side V-Varen Nagasaki. Form and current records suggest an away win. There is no reason why this shouldn't follow suit.
05:00 V Varen Nagasaki v Fagiano Okayama
Fagiano Okayama
The hosts V-Varen Nagasaki have the worst home record in the league and have lost four of their last five games. Nearly the complete contrast to the visitors Fagiano Okayama, who have won three on the bounce, including against Avispa Fukuoka, who are just above the hosts in the league. This all points to an away victory, so go with the recent form and that the hosts' home woes will continue.
Subtotal669
05 May 2026
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Black Cab
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.50 takenBOG
@+900
Win
450
Black Cab has run two very decent races over 6f and now taking a step down to the minimum trip could be ideal, given that it was headed in the last furlong last time out. Well worth considering in an open race. Should be thereabouts.
20:17 8:17 Hereford
Daany
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+650
Lose
-50
Daany ran a very decent race on their chase debut just over three weeks ago. Off only a 1 lb higher rating, they could well go one better. With improvement possible over fences, they could go close to taking this. NB
20:00 Arsenal v Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
Atletico Madrid could easily be taking a lead into tonight's 2nd leg and are the value to get a win to take them to the Champions League final. Arsenal have been struggling of late, which could be down to nerves, as a few months ago people were talking about the quadruple. In Griezmann and Álvarez they have an attacking line-up to hurt even the best of sides. This, for me, should be a lot closer bet-wise between these two sides, so take the away side for value.
19:47 7:47 Hereford
Southey
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1600
Lose
-50
Southey has been in very decent form, including last time when 2nd of 4 at Ayr in January. He has changed yards since then and, if freshened up for the break, could go well here. He is one of the most in-form runners in this small field and is well worth considering.
15:48 3:48 Ffos Las
Times Are Green
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
Emma Lavelle's string are in decent form, and I will take a chance that Times Are Green bounces back to form. Pulled up in a handicap just over a month ago when lacking experience, and should be better after that run. Not the strongest of races and well worth an interest to be in the mix.
15:30 3:30 Ayr
Glasses Up
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+750
Lose
-50
Glasses Up won at this meeting last year when making virtually all on a mark of 63 and then followed up off a mark of 67. Now runs off an official mark of 58. Seasonal reappearance last time out finished 5th at Musselburgh just five days ago over a slightly longer trip. Now that they have that run under their belt, could be set up for a big run here. NAP
15:00 3:00 Ayr
Little Ted
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1400
Lose
-50
Little Ted is the selection to bounce back to form, as he is only 1 lb higher than his last winning rating. He was placed on his only run over this course and distance and could make this a stamina test, as he gets further than this trip. Given the shrewd connections, a small risk is worth taking.
14:48 2:48 Ffos Las
Model Approach
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Win
600
Model Approach is now rated 28 lbs lower over hurdles and this isn't the strongest of races. Could well be revitalised by the change of yard, and if putting any previous form together could be in the mix to be placed. With four on offer, it is well worth chancing.
14:30 2:30 Ayr
Keep The Gold
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-50
Michael Dods won this race last year and can potentially follow up with Keep The Gold. Ran a very decent race last time out at Redcar 11-odd months ago, and if ready for their seasonal reappearance could go very well. One to consider in an open race.
Subtotal700
04 May 2026
20:15 Sporting v Guimaraes
Guimaraes
50 WIN
@+850
Lose
-50
Sporting Lisbon have a Champions League position already sewn up, and their thoughts could be elsewhere for the welcoming of Guimaraes. They haven't won any of their last five games, which is a contrast to the visitors, who have won three of their last five and won the League Cup in January. Could be a shock of sorts tonight in Portugal.
20:00 Everton v Man City
Everton
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
With Arsenal beating Newcastle and Fulham to go six points clear at the top, pressure now returns to City, who play their first game in hand in Merseyside tonight. Everton are a hard nut to crack when on their game, and the longer the game goes without a goal, the tenser it could become. Everton have taken down bigger scalps in the past, and it wouldn't surprise me if they were to take all three points tonight, as City are not playing very well and are not so solid in their goalkeeper.
19:45 Roma v Fiorentina
Fiorentina
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Fiorentina have held their own in recent years against tonight's hosts Roma and are the selection to beat the odds and take all three points back to Florence. Roma will want all three points to go back above Como 1907 in the bid for Champions League football, but the visitors are unbeaten in their last four games and will not make it easy for tonight's hosts. Take the value with the away win.
17:56 5:56 Beverley
Bantz
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+4000
Lose
-50
Bantz is now 5 lbs lower than when they were last victorious nine runs ago, and hopes are pinned to the change of yard, which could well spring a change of form. He will enjoy this mile trip, and jockey Sean Kirrane has an 11% strike rate in the last fortnight, so Bantz could go well at a price with four places on offer.
17:30 Hearts v Rangers
Rangers
50 WIN
@+145
Lose
-50
Rangers have had four wins in their last five games and have put themselves back in the title race with a win in Edinburgh this evening. Hearts have been league leaders for a long time, and they are in territory that is unknown to them in recent years. The visitors could have a telling edge.
17:05 5:05 Down Royal
Eillis
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
Local trainer Stuart Crawford has won two of the last five runnings of this. I will take the record to improve with their newcomer Ellis, with talented Stephen Connor taking 7 lbs off. Related to several winners, so if ready for debut he should go well at a price.
16:35 4:35 Bath
Virtual Hug
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1000
Win
500
Virtual Hug has been placed each time they have run over this course and distance and has shown to be in good form recently when winning at Wolverhampton in early March. They have held their form since then and could well bounce back to winning form on a course that obviously suits. The ground suits and they receive weight from all rivals, so well worth considering.
16:08 4:08 Windsor
Golden Long
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+600
Win
300
Golden Long probably raced with the eventual winner last time out at Yarmouth just over three weeks ago. With more restraint and the slight step up in trip, he could go close to winning for the new yard. A similar display to last time should see him go close.
16:03 4:03 Fakenham
Mars Harper
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+2500
Lose
-50
Mars Harper had one run since leaving Gordon Elliott's yard. He finished 6th of 7 at Warwick eight weeks ago and has had wind surgery since. This is a very open Veterans' Chase. If revitalised by the surgery and a change of scenery, he could go well at a price.
15:40 3:40 Beverley
Showtown
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+450
Lose
-50
Showtown ran a cracking race on their first start for nearly 200 days when second of nine at Pontefract just under four weeks ago. Cheekpieces introduced should help settle matters as he was keen last time and has the guidance of Ryan’s son Toby, who is value for his 7 lb claim. Will enjoy the drop in trip. NAP
15:25 3:25 Bath
Smooth Silesie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
Smooth Silesie is a course-and-distance winner in 2024 and, four starts ago in October, won at Yarmouth. She has had three starts on all-weather surfaces since, which suggests she is better on turf. Harry Davies is a positive jockey booking; he had a win and a placed effort when on board. Worth chancing in a race where the majority of the field has their quirks.
15:00 3:00 Curragh
Saint Agatha
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-50
Saint Agatha ran very decent races when 2nd on debut, and last time out finished 3rd of 8 over 6f just over a month ago. Now handicapping and stepping up in trip could well bring out further improvement, and she could well break her maiden tag at the fourth time of asking.
15:00 Chelsea v Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@+379
Win
190
Nottingham Forest have found their form at exactly the right time to escape the threat of relegation with four wins in a row. They are also in the Europa League semi-final second leg next week, so the squad are playing for places. Chelsea are still not great even though they won last time and are still in transition since the departure of Liam Rosenior. Confidence is power, and the visitors have that in abundance right now. Take the value in an away win.
14:10 2:10 Down Royal
Tea It Is
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
Tea is in better form figures showing more letters than numbers, but bottom weight in this with capable amateur Ethan O'Sullivan taking 7 lbs off. Most of the field is not in sparkling form, and the rating has continued to fall from the low 90s to now run over 72. Worth an interest that back-running again after four weeks and, if brushing up their jumping, could go well with five places on offer.
13:45 1:45 Bath
Man Is King
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1000
Win
300
Man Is King is a hopeful shot in this competitive amateur handicap. Last time out, under Holly Doyle, he failed to settle, doing too much up front and finishing 4th only five days ago over today's course and distance. If he uses his energy more efficiently, he could go very well being turned out so quickly. Worth risking in an open race.
13:35 1:35 Down Royal
Angelo Dundee
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Angelo Dundee has joined a top NH yard in Henry de Bromhead for their hurdling debut and has shown a high level of form and consistency in bumpers. Should improve going over obstacles and can possibly upset the short-priced Gordon Elliott-trained runner.
13:15 1:15 Curragh
Lan De Ghaire
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Jim Bolger is well capable of producing one to go well first time out. From the family of Dawn Approach, which the yard knows so well, Lan De Ghaire is the selection to go close if ready for their debut racecourse start.
00:03 00:03 Santa Anita
Split
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
Split could improve with the drop to 6f for the first time after three starts here over a mile or farther. Has potential, being so lightly raced, and the form of most of the field takes a lot of guesswork. Could well run into a place at decent each-way odds and is worth chancing.
Subtotal590
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
