Lurpak11

Like thinking outside the box. Football & Horseracing markets the main. Not a scattered gun approach to betting. Logic and backed up by facts and figures.

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Lurpak11's Tips History

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06 June 2025
17:10 5:10 Epsom Downs

Legal Reform

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Legal Reform has had three races in recent weeks and has been hitting the crossbar on their other recent efforts. They are taken to go close here. Ran a very decent 2nd of 10 over today's course and distance last September, and a repeat of that performance should put them bang there at the finish in an open race. They are worth chancing given how they handled the track previously.
16:35 4:35 Epsom Downs

Mr Baloo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Mr Baloo has been ultra consistent, winning three and finishing in the top three in their last six outings. He is lightly weighed to go close to landing a big handicap, which would be well deserved. He has winning course form, which is a major plus given the Epsom quirky track, and the Hannon stable is in decent form. One of many with a decent chance and should be thereabouts at the finish.
16:00 4:00 Epsom Downs

Giselle

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.50

Lose

-50

Jockey bookings suggest that Giselle is Aidan O'Brien's third string, and they could be underrated as a result. Won a three-runner contest at Lingfield just under a month ago, finishing strongly at the finish to suggest that the step-up in trip and class could well be within their grasp. Given the trainer's experience, should run their race and is too big a price to ignore in a more open Classic than the market suggests. Well worth chancing. NAP
15:15 3:15 Epsom Downs

Rathgar

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Rathgar finished a very close 2nd on his only attempt at today’s course and distance in April. This shows that he handles the undulating Epsom track. He has a very lightweight and, with the previous course form, could well be the one to come home in front in a very open competitive contest.
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14:40 2:40 Epsom Downs

Calandagan

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

French raider Calandagan is ultra-consistent, winning four of their nine starts and being placed in each of the other runs, having been at the highest level. 2nd in the Juddmonte to City of Troy (who broke the track record), going down a length over furlongs shorter than today's trip, which should be more suitable. The one they all have to beat. Major chance.
14:05 2:05 Epsom Downs

Havana Hurricane

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Havana Hurricane won well on debut at Goodwood just over a month ago. The slight step-up in trip should suit well. Had reopposing rival Logi Bear behind them that day, and they have won since, which suggests with further improvement that the Eve Johnston Houghton-trained colt could be the one to be on in this conditions race. Could well put it up to some much more expensive types and go very close to remaining unbeaten.
13:40 1:40 Bangor on Dee

Top Tier Gossip

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Top Tier Gossip finished 3rd to more experienced rivals in its hurdling debut just over three weeks ago. Given the experience Dan Skelton has, further improvement is likely. Recipient of weight from a market rival and surely should be in the mix to win here.
13:30 1:30 Epsom Downs

Formal

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Formal won their first two starts before finishing 4th of 5 in last year's Rockfel Group 2 at Newmarket at the end of September. Last time out, they looked like they needed the run after over a 150-day break when finishing 8th of 15 in the Fred Darling Group 2. Now back down to listed class and having that recent run out of her system, she could well bounce back to winning ways. Yard and Oisin Murphy are riding equally well. Well in the mix.
01 June 2025
17:30 5:30 Nottingham

Sustained

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Sustained ran a very decent race considering they were off the track for over 240 days when finishing 2nd of 9 at Wolverhampton just under two weeks ago over 7f, running on at the finish. The slight step-up in trip and the cobwebs now blown away could now well go one better and is one in the mix in an open race and well worth chancing.
17:22 5:22 Kilbeggan

Nadias Boy

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Willie Mullins has won this race for the last four years and has an excellent chance of making it five with the National Hunt debutant Nadia's Boy. Won their only point-to-point last April and the time off shouldn't put you off as Mullins is a master of getting them ready after such a break. Shortlist material.
17:10 5:10 Listowel

Lark In The Mornin

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.50

Lose

-50

This flat trip should be well within the scope of Lark In The Morning, whose fitness is guaranteed after running just over a month ago at the Punchestown Festival. Class horse in the race and would be a major shock not to see this one go very close. NAP
17:00 5:00 Nottingham

Jowddah

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Lose

-50

Jowddah is unbeaten in two starts this season and is hopefully the one to continue that vein of form for the Roger Varian yard. Wasn't stopping last time out over 7f, so the step-up to a mile should well suit. Major chance of remaining unbeaten this season.
16:05 4:05 Fakenham

Tara Iti

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

Tara Iti has been consistent in their two starts this season, finishing 2nd on both occasions, and can go one better under champion jockey Sean Bowen in this small field race. Different tactics could be employed to avoid getting unstayed in the final stages like last time out.
15:17 3:17 Kilbeggan

Silent Dawn

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@10.00

Lose

-50

Silent Dawn is better than what they showed last time out here just over a month ago over furlongs shorter than today's trip and is the selection to bounce back. Cheekpieces introduced, which should hopefully settle matters and major place claims if the headgear works. NB
14:37 2:37 Listowel

Dreamy Skies

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Jockey/Trainer combined to win this race last year and can repeat the dose with the No Nay Never newcomer, Dreamy Skies. Market guide will be essential due to the lack of on-course experience. It has been well supported, and that should be very telling in such a maiden.
14:30 2:30 Fakenham

Alvesta

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Alvesta is the mount of champion jockey Sean Bowen and is learning with each run. It is the selection to go close in this small field, receiving weight from all rivals, which could be telling in this soft ground. If improving jumping, it should be bang there.
14:12 2:12 Kilbeggan

Whiskey On Ice

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Shark Hanlon has not had Whiskey on Ice long but has had two races already in the past month, lastly finishing 3rd of 12 at Sligo over today's distance. With a more experienced pilot on board in JJ Slevin, better is expected as they are learning as they go. Too big a price to ignore in an open race. Place chances if repeating that last effort.
14:02 2:02 Listowel

Echo Of Faith

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

Echo in Faith finished 8th on debut just over a month ago and was not knocked about when their chances had gone. Improvement is highly likely given the experience of the trainer. With dangers in many places, it's worth risking to run into a place at least.

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