Lurpak11
2
Estimated Prizes
this month
£15
Estimated Prize money
this month
Lurpak11's Tips History
13 March 2026
19:00 7:00 Dundalk
Albion Power
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+4000
Win
175
Albion Rover won off 66 and is now only rated 3 lbs higher, with a claim taking 7 lbs off, so effectively running off 62. He could have paid the price for being too close to the speed over course and distance a fortnight ago when finishing; he wasn't beaten that far, and the finishing position of 8th didn't fully reflect that. If he's learning from that run, he could be the each-way place in a more open race than the odds suggest. He could well bounce back, and the risk is reflected in the price.
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Open Secret
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
Gordon Elliott has won the last two runnings of this Getting Out Stakes at the Cheltenham Festival, and it couldn't be more competitive. Therefore, with that recent record, I will take a chance with Open Secret. Qualified last time out when 2nd of 4 just over three weeks ago. The ground and trip today should suit, and it is one of many with chances. It should have a squeak if it continues its consistent form.
17:00 5:00 Dundalk
Lethimfly
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
The trainer/jockey combination of Noel Meade and Colin Keane, who won the Cheltenham Bumper on Wednesday, can continue their form with Letfhemfly. Could well pick up the pieces if they go off fast. They ran a decent race on their penultimate start after such a layoff to today, finishing 3rd of 8 and just dropping away in the final stages. Is in receipt of weight from all rivals, and if ready for their seasonal reappearance, could well outrun their odds.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Carnfunnock
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
Stephen Connor got a decent tune out of the Stephen Crawford-trained Carnfunnock in this last year and is the selection to follow suit, as surely this has been the aim all season. He will be held up for a late run, and the fast pace with several front runners could see the race set up for this Irish raider. Very decent prep just over two months ago in a point-to-point, beating Conflated by six lengths, who ran ninth in yesterday's Cross Country Chase. It wouldn't be the biggest surprise for me if they were bang there coming down the hill and not stopping coming back up.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Grey Dawning
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
Grey Dawning won on seasonal debut at Haydock, a shade comfortably in the Grade One Betfair Chase in November. Then a mistake 2 out put paid to their chances in the Cotswold Chase just under two months ago. Has winning Festival course form when winning the 2024 Turners. With the strong pace expectation, could well be held up for a late pounce up the hill. Is overpriced considering how consistent they are. A quality jumper normally and should be thereabouts in a very competitive Gold Cup.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Spinningayarn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
Gordon Elliott is four-handed to take this for the second time in the last three years and will take a chance with the Jack Kennedy-selected mount, Spinningayarn. Has won their last two, staying on at the finish last time out over 2m 3f. The step up in trip should suit, as is a very decent stayer. The soft ground should bring stamina into play, and with a similar display to their last two runs could see them go close.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Spindleberry
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+500
Lose
-50
The fact that the owners have decided to come here instead of the Gold Cup an hour or so later could well be the right call for Spindleberry. Won five on the bounce since switching to fences and had no luck in running early, which could put them off kilter and let-down jumping stakes in the Irish Gold Cup just over a month ago. Their penultimate run won a Listed contest with ease at Doncaster at the tail end of December. The drop in grade and trip should be ideal, and they should be in the mix coming up the hill. NB
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Absurde
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2200
Lose
-50
Absurde has winning Festival form in 2024, with a further placed effort of 3rd in this very race last year. She ran in Group races on the level with great credit last summer, finishing 8th of 24 in the Melbourne Cup in November. Surely this has been the plan since Australia and could well go close again. The trip and softening ground should cause no issues, and she has the class to be thereabouts. NAP
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Mon Creuset
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Lose
-50
Mon Creuset was due to go very close on stable and hurdling debut when making a telling mistake 2 out at Naas just under two months ago. Won on the level at Nantes on soft ground over 1m 4f in October, so the rain overnight could well have been perfectly timed. The fact that they were a very short-priced beaten favourite last time out, pitched into a decent level of race, suggests that they are decent. With Harry Cobden on board, they could well run into a place if they get their jumping together. Should be staying on at the finish and is well worth considering.
Subtotal-225
12 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Daily Present
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
Daily Present won this last year, and trainer Paul Nolan is the hopeful selection to have them primed for a repeat. The same amateur jockey on board boosts confidence. They haven't troubled the judge in two starts this season, but the trainer is shrewd enough to get one right for the big day. It's well worth considering their previous Festival course form. One of many with chances and could well run into a place at least.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Letos
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+2200
Win
85
Letos won a listed race at Naas in November and will relish the extra couple of furlongs here. Should be more suitable to this handicap, dropping in grade. Trainer Tony Mullins got them qualified early for this and will have prepped them for today. Danny Mullins on board is a positive. Worth chancing that they bounce back to the form of the listed success. NB
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Impaire Et Passe
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+500
Lose
-50
Impaire Et Passe has winning course form and has taken very well to the larger obstacles. Made a winning seasonal reappearance when winning the Red Mills at Gowran Park just under four weeks ago. A solid jumper who should put the two JP McManus-owned jumpers to the test. Is expected to be bang there and is the NAP of the day for me.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Home By The Lee
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+4000
Win
1200
Home By The Lee is running in their fifth festival and could be the forgotten horse in an open Stayers' Hurdle. He has been placed in this before, and Joseph O'Brien is well capable of getting a horse back to winning. Age is catching up with him, but that's filtered into the price. He will be staying on at the finish and could run into a place at least.
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Take No Chances
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
I will do the exact opposite and take a chance with the Skeltons. Take no chances with the one who is really consistent and deserves to collect a big prize. Was third to Potters Charm at Windsor in Jan. Will be there at the finish as will enjoy the trip. A value selection in a race where all have chances of sorts.
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Dr Eggman
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+6600
Lose
-50
Dr Eggman could spring a surprise in this for the all-conquering Willie Mullins yard. Is better than his form suggests and will enjoy this 2m4f trip. Claimed takes a further 3 lbs off. Will get round as is a sound jumper and could well run into a place at huge prices currently. Has been up against some strong candidates running elsewhere this weekend and is worth the risk.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Louve Dirlande
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+20000
Lose
-50
Paul Nolan hit the crossbar several times yesterday, with Release the Beast finishing 4th and HMS Seahorse falling at the last when going to be placed at least. With that in mind, I will take a chance with his French recruit Louve d'Irlande. Won in Fontainebleau in October and is now having their debut run for a trainer well capable of pulling a rabbit out of the hat. Is a value each-way selection against the very short-priced Bambino Fever. Could well cause a shock if Nolan has got them spot on for this.
Subtotal1035
11 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Keep Him Company
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+450
Lose
-50
With many unknowns, and given most of the field has only run several times, it sometimes pays to follow the market for signals. I will take on the field with the Gordon Elliott-trained Keep Him Company. Unbeaten in three runs, winning last time out in December at the Leopardstown Racing Festival. He will not be stopping coming up the hill, given how they finished last time, and is the selection of Jack Kennedy from a number of possibles. The yard knows what it takes to win this and should be thereabouts on less softened ground.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Leau Du Sud
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+550
Lose
-50
L'Eau Du Sud has a brilliant 50% record over today's course and distance and is the one to take advantage of the jumping frailty of short-priced Majborough. The favourite's jumping got them beat in last year's Arkle, and taking virtually evens, praying he gets a clean round, is not the way to go. The Skelton yard has already had an impressive winner at the Festival and it wouldn't be the biggest surprise if this were to add to it. Lowered Jonbon's colours two starts ago, then ran third behind I'll Etait Temps three months ago. Should have been freshened up for the break since and should be thereabouts coming up the hill.
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Desertmore House
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+650
Lose
-50
Desertmore House seems to relish the quirky conditions of the Cross Country Chase, having won comfortably in the Risk of Thunder Chase at Punchestown in November. You can put a line through their pulled-up effort over the Christmas period, as it was over hurdles as a fitness prep for today. If anywhere near the form of the November run, it should be bang there at the finish. Surely the one to beat. NAP
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Hms Seahorse
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+6600
Lose
-50
Paul Nolan knows how to get one ready for the Festival, and I will take a chance with his representative HMS Seahorse at a huge price. Has been placed at the Festival before and is receiving weight from all rivals today, with an amateur taking a further 5 lbs off, which could be telling. Being by Derby winner Galileo, stamina won't be an issue. If the break since unseating last time out at Galway in September has freshened him up, we could well see a better run. If he returns to the form of Clonmel in June, then he could be the value.
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14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Koktail Divin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Henry de Bromhead has a cracking chance to add to his Cheltenham Festival winners with Koktail Divin. He was second twice, beaten by two of today's rivals: Oscars Brother over 3 miles and Romeo Coolio over 2 m 4 f. Last time out he won in impressive fashion over today's distance at Leopardstown over the Christmas period. With doubts over Romeo Coolio's stamina and Final Demand's jumping, this could be another winner for a top-class trainer.
1 member found this comment useful
Thomas Mor
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
You won't see many Arc winners' offspring jumping fences at the Cheltenham Festival, but Thomas Mor could well outrun their huge odds if handling going left??'handed. No problems with stamina and will be running on while others are going backwards, with a clear round. Ran 2nd in the Kauto Star on Boxing Day to Kitzbuhel, while they had various other repeating rivals behind them. Has the form with some at the head of the market but is nearly four times the price. A value each??'way selection that could sneak into a place at least.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Sober
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Opening race on day two of the Festival and Sober is hopefully the one to remain unbeaten. He is very lightly raced with only two runs over hurdles. He won a Killarney maiden and then stepped up in class to win the Grade 2 Moscow Flyer Chase at Punchestown last time out two months ago. Sandwiched between those two wins, he won the Queen Alexandra Stakes at Royal Ascot. He has potential for further improvement, and by the Derby winner Camelot, the stamina is in the blood. Overlooked by Townsend, but Patrick Mullins is not a bad replacement. He should be thereabouts at the finish and could be the class one in the field.
1 member found this comment useful
Zeus Power
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 51.00 used instead of 41.00 takenBOG
@+5000
Win
225
Joseph O'Brien doesn't have the biggest National Hunt string but is a master at aiming at the big festivals of late. Therefore, Zeus Power is worth interest to be in the mix come the finish. He has yet to finish outside the top three in five efforts and has won his last two starts, including last time out, staying on well on softened ground at Navan just under two months ago. The step up in trip shouldn't be an issue considering how he has finished recently. Open to further improvement and no surprise if he runs well at a price.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-125
10 March 2026
17:20 5:20 Cheltenham
Silver Thorn
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+3300
Lose
-50
The Emma Lavelle-trained Silver Thorn could well spring a surprise in the last race on day one of the festival. Two wins this season, and the effort just fell away in the final stages last time out. If freshened up for their short break, he could well be thereabouts at the finish. Has a light weight, so is the value selection to run into a place in an open race.
16:40 4:40 Cheltenham
Peaky Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Lose
-50
Peaky Boy is 3 from 3 over today's course and distance, which surely gives them an edge in this open handicap. Yes, they fell last time out just over two weeks ago, but JJ O'Neill wouldn't be coming here just to make up the numbers. Second run after wind surgery and wearing cheekpieces for the first time should hopefully improve their jumping. Lightly raced and could well sneak into a place at the finish with a clear round.
16:00 4:00 Cheltenham
Brighterdaysahead
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
The drying ground is not perfect for the Gordon Elliott-trained Brighter Days Ahead, but there should still be enough give in it to take advantage. There are doubts over Lossiemouth being better over further, and is The New Lion just hype more than anything else? Jack Kennedy will make this a test and is a solid contender to be Champion Hurdler of 2026.
Poniros
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
It's been 18 years since Katchit won the Champion Hurdle the following year after being victorious in the previous Triumph. Poniros is the hopeful selection to show that their debut winning run in last year’s Friday opener wasn’t a fluke. With doubts over New Lion's jumping, Lossiemouth being better over further, and Brigherdaysahead better on softer ground, the Tony Bloom??"owned runner is no second string and is here on merit. Winning on debut at the festival takes some doing; they took away that option since. Poniros followed up with a decent second behind Lulumba in the Champion Four-Year-Old Hurdle at Punchestown and ran a solid race when third behind Brigherdaysahead and Lossiemouth at the Dublin Racing Festival just over a month ago. Considering it was only their third start over hurdles, they have potential for improvement. They could be the forgotten horse in the race. Festival-winning experience is a major plus and could well pull off another surprise of sorts.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Cheltenham
Filanderer
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
As there are many outsiders with squeaks, I will take a chance with one of them in the form of Filanderer, who showed himself to be in decent form when readily winning at Market Rasen just under two months ago. Trainer Hugh Morrison can get one ready for a big handicap, and a very light weight will assist matters. He is too big a price to ignore given his recent form. Could well be running into a place at least come the uphill finish.
1 member found this comment useful
Quebecois
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+1000
Lose
-50
The dry weather could well have come in at the perfect time for the Paul Nicholls-trained Quebecois. Has got in nicely, receiving weight from the majority of the field. Has been hitting the crossbar in his four races this season. Could well have a big run to get a deserved success. Is a decent jumper of a fence and well worth considering given the race is wide open. NB
14:40 2:40 Cheltenham
Ole Ole
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+2800
Lose
-50
Gavin Cromwell can get one just ready for the festival handicaps, and I will take a chance with their representative Ole Ole. He has been hitting the crossbar in recent months and has had a 10-week break since very narrowly finishing 2nd at Leopardstown. Ground will not be an issue, and he is a very decent jumper, so could well run a decent race at nice, rewarding odds.
The Mighty Celt
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 23.00 used instead of 21.00 takenBOG
@+2200
Win
85
The Mighty Celt is an each-way selection to be in the mix at the finish in the competitive-as-always Fred Winter Handicap Hurdle. He was having his first run after wind surgery last time out when third of seven, making a few mistakes, with the two in front, Manlaga and Pourquoy Pas Papa, reappearing here also. He should be better for that run. Could well be ready to pounce off a fast pace that is expected. Major chance of being thereabouts. NAP
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 Cheltenham
Steel Ally
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1600
Lose
-50
Steel Ally is overpriced for me in a small-field Arkle, having been unbeaten in three starts this season. Jumping will be put to the test as always with several front-runners. He will not fail due to a lack of stamina, and if the softened ground makes this a bit of a test then the Sam Thomas-trained runner could well surprise some coming up the Cheltenham Hill. The front two in the market have their holes. Kopek des Bordes has only one run over fences, and Lulamba has yet to be fully tested. Surely Steel Ally will make this a test that will put the other two under pressure from the flag drop. An interesting contender at a decent price.
13:20 1:20 Cheltenham
Mydaddypaddy
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
This is a very open Supreme ??" the opener of the Festival ??" and is scheduled to be a very fast-run race, which could set it up perfectly for the Dan Skelton-trained Mydaddypaddy. Only beaten once, last time out at Aintree on Boxing Day when second behind Idaho Sun. A slick jumper of a hurdle is a major positive, as jumping could be well tested if it is a fast-run race. Should be thereabouts at the finish and worth chancing against the Irish challengers.
Too Bossy For Us
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+5000
Lose
-50
Too Bossy For Us is a value each-way selection in a very competitive opener to four days of excellent top-class jump racing. She was an excellent 7th of 17 in last year's Triumph Hurdle on her debut over hurdles. She followed that up with another decent run when 5th of 12 in the four-year-old champion race in Punchestown, behind some Champion Hurdle candidates. She won last time out, winning well again at Punchestown, and could well run into a place at huge odds. She is not just here to make up the numbers.
Subtotal-415
09 March 2026
16:50 4:50 Stratford
Goliath Flight
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
The Skeltons are to be feared in bumpers and can take this with the newcomer Goliath Flight, who cost €72k and is getting 7 lbs from the expected rival, which could be telling. Take the Skelton newcomer to make a winning debut. NAP
Subtotal-50
07 March 2026
18:30 6:30 Chelmsford City
Epictetus
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+1400
Lose
-50
Jamie Osbourne has a 30% strike rate here at Chelmsford and could well add to that with the Callum Shepherd-ridden Epictetus. Shepherd has a 17% strike rate in the last month, so signs are good for a big run. He ran a decent race last time out over a furlong longer than today's trip when losing the lead in the final furlong. He will benefit from the drop to 7f and was once rated 112; now officially rated 79, he is weighted to go very close if finding that form of old. NAP
1 member found this comment useful
17:12 5:12 Hereford
Mega Etoile
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2200
Lose
-50
Henrietta Knight might not have the firepower of old, but she can still train a winner of two and has a 50% strike rate here at Hereford this season. This could possibly be improved upon with the once-raced Mega Etoile, with Lilly Pinchin taking the ride. Pinchin herself has a 25% strike rate here this season. Mega Etoile finished 4th of 8 at Warwick four weeks ago and should have learned a lot from that experience. She could well run into a place in an open bumper and is worth considering given the records of both this season.
17:05 5:05 Ayr
Dundee Law
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+700
Lose
-50
Irish raider Dundee Law makes his Rules debut, with Sam Ewing coming over for this ride only, which could be a sign in itself. He has only two rivals to beat. One is coming off over a year off the track since winning their point-to-point. The other has to give nearly 14 lb to the Stephen Crawford-trained newcomer. Value is with the outsider of the three and is well worth considering.
16:18 4:18 Gowran Park
El Champo
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+1800
Lose
-50
Both the trainer and jockey of El Champo have decent strike rates here at Gowran Park, which makes it the value selection in an open race. He is possibly better over further than today's two-mile trip, but a fast-paced race and heavy ground could be a leveler. He ran 3rd of 8 in a Listed race at Limerick just after Christmas over 2m 3f, dropping out in the final stages. This is a drop in class and he could well take advantage.
15:15 3:15 Wolverhampton
Thunder Roar
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+6600
Lose
-50
The fact that Thunder Roar is thrown into Listed class on their seasonal reappearance suggests that the break since winning last time out at York has freshened them up. David Nolan, who continues to ride, is a positive, as he has a very good record on the selection. Could well be the forgotten one in this line-up and is value to be in the mix at the finish in an open race.
14:27 2:27 Sandown
Messerschmitt
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+5000
Win
225
In top Saturday handicaps, when Noel Meade hops over the Irish Sea with one, no matter what the form or price, they are always feared. He's not beyond winning this Imperial Cup with Messerschmitt. He was fancied to show better than finishing 11th of 12 at Down Royal on 1st November. He has had a break since and could well benefit from that freshening up. With a strong pace predicted, it could well set it up for a hold-up horse like Danny McMenamin's mount. It is a value selection to bounce back to form and should be thereabouts at the finish if giving their true running.
1 member found this comment useful
13:50 1:50 Sandown
Race To Base
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+2200
Lose
-50
In a very open, competitive hurdle I will take a chance with Race to Base, who's having their stable debut with Nick Scholfield (who has a 25% strike rate here this season). Combine that with Harry Cobden, who has a 26% strike rate this season at Sandown, and it could well improve here. Ran a decent race over 2 miles at Hereford just under two months ago and may have found that trip too sharp. The step up in trip should suit, and the better ground also. Well worth an each-way shout of being in the mix come the finish. NB
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-75
05 March 2026
17:30 5:30 Newcastle
Fille Unique
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Fille Unique ran a decent race on her penultimate start here over the minimum trip. Stepping up a furlong and the short break could see her outrun her price here. Paul Mulrennan has a brilliant record here, so is a positive jockey booking. She could well improve further and is too big a price to ignore in an open race if ready to go after a short break.
14:58 2:58 Thurles
The Rebel County
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Lose
-50
The Rebel County won a chase at Tipperary at the start of May and a point-to-point at the end of May over virtually three miles, so stamina will not be lacking given this 2-mile-5+ furlong trip on softening ground, which could bring their stamina into play. They weakened several out in a point-to-point just over a week ago, and with Danny Mullins a very interesting jockey booking, they could well outrun their current odds and be in the mix at the finish. Worth risking at value odds.
14:28 2:28 Thurles
Jalila Moriviere
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+900
Lose
-50
Jalila Moriviere gets a mares' allowance of 7 lb, which could be telling in these testing conditions. Will enjoy the extra half mile or so from their last run about 12 weeks ago when running over miles, finishing 3rd. Has potential for further improvement over fences and could well be overpriced. Will not be done for stamina, so well worth considering. NAP
Subtotal-150
04 March 2026
20:15 Newcastle v Man Utd
Over 2.50
Total Goals
Michael Carrick has got Manchester United flying again, up to 3rd in the league and unbeaten since he took charge. Only a draw against West Ham spoiled a perfect record and someone getting their hair cut. Newcastle have been shipping goals as of late: 3 against Everton, 2 against Qaraba?, 2 against City in recent weeks. Momentum and confidence are high with the Old Trafford visitors. They have attacking players who could hurt most Premier League sides, and if Newcastle see this as a firestarter to turn their season around in the league, they also have attacking players who could turn any game??"Barnes and Gordon to name two. This should be an entertaining encounter with goals the likely outcome.
19:30 7:30 Kempton
The Lost Sock
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
The Lost Sock has been ultra-consistent, improving with each run in their lightly raced career; this is just their fourth start. They finished off last season, justifying the odds at Catterick at the tail end of last August. They have since been gelded, and if freshened up for the break could well continue where they left off. Callum Rodriguez, who was victorious last time out, continues to take the ride. If forward enough to do them justice, he should be thereabouts at the finish.
19:30 Aston Villa v Chelsea
Over 2.50
Total Goals
Neither side comes into this match in decent form or with a solid defence, but it's vital for both sides to claim all three points to take one step closer to Champions League qualification next season. The past five meetings between these two sides have gone over 2.5 goals. With them both faltering as of late, I can see them wanting to attack rather than defend. Villa are winless in their last three; Chelsea in their last two games. Goals should be the outcome, as a vital three points is up for grabs.
19:30 Brighton v Arsenal
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-108
Lose
-50
Arsenal are just doing enough to keep themselves ahead of chasing Manchester City, and tonight could be another nervy night on the south coast. Brighton have found form of late, winning their last two games against Brentford and Nottingham Forest. In ex-Gunner Danny Welbeck is starting to find his goalscoring boots, and Chelsea had numerous chances against visitors Arsenal on Sunday. I expect Brighton to put it up to Mikel Arteta's side from the kick-off. Arsenal could need two goals to win this, as both teams scoring wouldn't be the biggest surprise, so take the over ??" this should be nervy and entertaining for Arsenal fans.
19:30 Fulham v West Ham
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Fulham have won their last two matches and will be expected to make it three tonight against a struggling West Ham side that are bang in the middle of a relegation battle. They are a decent footballing side who are capable of beating better in-form sides than their fellow Londoners. West Ham shipped five against Liverpool last weekend, but before that they played three league games, all going under 2.5 goals. Maybe this goes against the grain, going under with how Fulham are playing, but I can see West Ham trying to nick this with a consolatory goal and then defending for the rest of the match. Defences to be on top for me in this one.
19:30 Man City v Nottm Forest
Under 2.50
Total Goals
Manchester City are finding goals hard to come by and rode their luck at times against a spirited Leeds side, winning narrowly 1-0. With Haaland injured, City look a completely different outfit attacking-wise. Nottingham Forest are in a relegation battle but have decent players who are nifty on the ball, and they are by no means just here to pick up and leave. If Arsenal are winning at Brighton, then nerves could be telling for City to get over the line and one goal will do it. Forest will make it hard for the hosts to break them down, and it might not be pretty, but a point for the visitors could be worth its weight in gold.
16:10 4:10 Catterick
Brandy Mcqueen
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+800
Win
400
Brandy McQueen is the only one coming into this race off the back of a victory last time out, when winning a point-to-point at Friars Haugh just over three weeks ago. The soft ground won't be an issue. She could be staying on at the finish when others are going backwards. She was rated as high as 125 when previously run under rules and won comfortably over virtually three miles at Kelso in October 2023, so well worth considering in this open Hunter Chase as she has shown she has retained her ability up to now. NB
15:20 3:20 Naas
Sidiriya
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+750
Lose
-50
Sidiriya has continued to tumble in the ratings since November 2023, when rated 98, and is today rated 21 lbs better off for that nine-run streak since then. Trainer Phillip Rothwell has an 18% strike rate at Naas this season. The claimer takes a further 3 lbs off. Tiernan Power Roche has a 25% strike rate this season, so Sidiriya is very well in compared to their highest rating. Stamina for soft ground over 2 miles should suit, as Sidiriya won a maiden at Galway over 1m 4f, though this was in September 2022. He is bred to be in better races than this and should take advantage of that lowering handicap mark here. NAP
14:50 2:50 Naas
Bokamsin
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+1200
Win
600
Bokamsin has been unfortunate to bump into two that are due to run at Cheltenham next week on seasonal reappearance. They ran a decent race to finish 3rd of 15 after being off the track for over 200 days. Last time out they made numerous mistakes in their jumping at Punchestown just over a month ago, finishing 4th of 5. A tongue strap is introduced, which, if it helps them clean up their jumping, could see them go very well at a decent price in a competitive but open race. Ground won't be an issue, and they could be the forgotten one in this field.
14:20 2:20 Naas
Tutu Twist
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+800
Win
15
Tutu Twist has decent point-to-point form, finishing 2nd at Boulta last time out 102 days ago. She has since been transferred to the top yard of Henry de Bromhead. She has improved on her two runs to date and has definite potential to improve further. She is receiving 7 lbs from the Willie Mullins short, the priced favourite, and they haven’t run in over 800 days. One of Mullins' horses yesterday was returning from a long layoff and its effort fell away in the final couple of furlongs. With doubts over the favourite's fitness, I will take a chance that Tutu Twist can make a decent debut for a top yard. Each-way shout ??" should be placed at least and can be there to pick up the pieces if Brechin Castle underperforms.
14:02 2:02 Southwell
Create
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Create won off four lbs lower than today's rating of 51 last time out in October over today's course and distance, and has won off 60. Therefore, they could have something in hand here if fit enough for their season reappearance after nearly 150 days off the track. Is a three-time course and distance winner who is in receipt of weight from all rivals and is worth chancing as ready to go for their first outing this season. Should be in the mix come the finish if forward enough.
Subtotal895
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