Lurpak11

Like thinking outside the box. Football & Horseracing markets the main. Not a scattered gun approach to betting. Logic and backed up by facts and figures.

0

Estimated Prizes
this month

£0

Estimated Prize money
this month

Lurpak11's Tips History

All tips
All sports
01 November 2025
17:30 Tottenham v Chelsea

Tottenham

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Chelsea lost their last league game against newly promoted Sunderland and conceded three against Wolves in the League Cup in midweek. They could be vulnerable to a Spurs attack today. Thomas Frank has got Spurs playing some excellent football and they have goal threats all over the pitch. Take the three points to stay at home in this London derby.
15:00 Brighton v Leeds

Leeds

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Brighton have defeated Newcastle and Chelsea recently but have lost to Arsenal and Manchester United. Leeds have made a decent start to their Premier League campaign and beat West Ham last time out. They could well be the value against a Brighton side who have had a hard run of games and could be there for the taking today.
15:00 Burnley v Arsenal

Burnley

50 WIN

@14.00

Lose

-50

Burnley have held their own at home, gaining 7 out of 12 points available, and are cracking value to get the better of league leaders Arsenal. Scott Parker's side are a good footballing side, which will be allowed to play against their London opponents. Logic would dictate an away win, but football is a funny old game, and a home win or a draw wouldn't surprise me.
15:00 Crystal Palace v Brentford

Brentford

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Crystal Palace have not won any of their last three league games since beating Champions Liverpool 2-1 at the end of September. Visitors Brentford have won three of their last four league games, including matches against Manchester United and Liverpool. They lost narrowly to Manchester City, going down by the only goal. They have a solid defense and a vibrant attack that Keith Andrews has developed. Take the away win as European football starts to take its toll on the London side's league form.
15:00 Fulham v Wolverhampton

Fulham

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Neither side comes into today's match in great form. Fulham has one win in the last six but has played Arsenal, Newcastle, Aston Villa, and Bournemouth in that period. Wolves have only picked up one point from 12 away from home this season. The London side should have too much for the Midlands outfit and get back to winning ways.
15:00 Nottm Forest v Man Utd

Nottm Forest

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Layers could have been caught up in the Manchester United change of form and could be brought back down to earth by Sean Dyche's Nottingham Forest debut. He will make them hard to break down and attack at the right times. United have improved of late but are still the same bunch of players and cannot be fully trusted. Take the hosts to make a winning debut for their new gaffer.
21 October 2025
17:45 Barcelona v Olympiacos

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Barcelona are unbeaten in their four away matches in the league with three wins and one draw. Both matches between these two sides went over 2.5 goals, with Barcelona winning both matches easily. Their Champions League match against PSG also went over, though they lost 2-1 in the final stages. Take the over; goals are aplenty.
09 October 2025
20:00 Morocco v Bahrain

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Morocco are one of the best teams in Africa, and even the adjustment of this being a friendly should still have more than two goals to score against minnows Bahrain. The African side are unbeaten in their last five matches, winning four of them with two going over 2.5 goals. Three of Bahrain's last five games have gone over, including defeats to lowly Istra 1961 and Primorje. With this being a friendly, it will depend on how Morocco take the game, but if they can be professional, then this should be an easy over. Take the over that the hosts have too much class for the opposition.
19:45 Belarus v Denmark

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Group leaders Denmark travel to Belarus, heavily expected to return home with all three points and should have little trouble in doing so. Greece hammered the hosts on match day one 5-1, and the visitors beat Greece 2-0 on match day two. Scotland, who make up the group, took their time in scoring at the hosts, but the Danes have more potent strikers in the in-form Rasmus Højlund, so three goals should be the minimum scored tonight.
19:45 Cyprus v Bosnia Herzegovina

Bosnia Herzegovina

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Visitors Bosnia-Herzegovina won this reverse fixture 2-1 in March and will want to hit the ground running in Cyprus tonight, with group rivals Austria facing minnows San Marino, where three points look certain. Cyprus have not won any of their last five matches, losing three of them, including the match against tonight's opposition. Prior to losing to Austria, Bosnia-Herzegovina put six past San Marino away from home, and a similar scoreline wouldn't be a surprise.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

Visitors Bosnia-Herzegovina won this reverse fixture 2-1 in March and will want to hit the ground running in Cyprus tonight, with group rivals Austria facing minnows San Marino, where three points look certain. They scored six against San Marino away from home and this group could well come down to goal difference so expect the away side to attack from start to finish. Goals should be the result considering that Cyprus have conceded two goals in four out of their last five games and have scored in three of them. Take the over.
19:45 Czechia v Croatia

Croatia

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Croatia, who sit on top of the group due to a largely superior goal difference, have only conceded one goal all campaign, to tonight's rivals Czechia when hammering them 5-1. Tonight's match will more than likely seal automatic qualification for next year's tournament. The hosts were held to a 1-1 draw with Saudi Arabia recently and will have their work cut out keeping Croatia from winning this. A lively affair should be expected given that both sides have performed well in qualification to date, but the visitors are valued to sneak victory.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Croatia have scored 17 goals in their last four matches, including 5 against tonight's opposition in the reverse, and will expect to have their shooting boots on again tonight. This is a one-game shootout for automatic qualification for next year's World Cup. The hosts have scored 10 goals themselves in that same time frame, so this should be a lively encounter with possibly both teams finding the back of the net. Take the over that this follows suit to the reverse fixture.
19:45 England v Wales

Wales

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

England only beat lowly Andorra 1-0 and 2-0 in both their qualification campaign. They did look impressive against a defensively set up Serbia, but against Senegal recently, they looked all at sea. Tuchel has rested some expected to be on the flight across the Atlantic next summer. Craig Bellamy's Wales will be right up for this from the first whistle, and they are too big a price given the experimental nature of the England squad.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

England only beat lowly Andorra 1-0 and 2-0 in both their qualification campaigns. They did look impressive against a defensively set up Serbia, but against Senegal recently, they looked all at sea. Tuchel has rested some expected to be on the flight across the Atlantic next summer. Craig Bellamy's Wales will be right up for this from the first whistle, and three of their last five matches have gone under, including a friendly against Canada last time. England could be hindered by an inexperienced, experimental lineup for next summer, so take the chance that this is a low-scoring affair with possibly Wales doing most of the defending.
19:45 Scotland v Greece

Draw

50 WIN

@3.15

Lose

-50

A crucial tie in the group for qualification for next year's World Cup. The hosts have shown that they are battle-ready with their opening goalless draw against Denmark and are unbeaten in their last three since they lost their last competitive match against Greece in the Nations League in March. Greece were brought back down to earth after hammering Belarus 5-1 by getting soundly beaten by the Danes 3-0. This will be a tight and tense affair given what is at stake, and a draw might be the way to go given that the hosts are normally potent in front of goal and Greece are decent defensively. Goals should be at a premium tonight.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

A crucial tie in the group for qualification for next year's World Cup. The hosts have shown that they are battle-ready with their opening goalless draw against Denmark and are unbeaten in their last three since they lost their last competitive match against Greece in the Nations League in March. Greece were brought back down to earth after hammering Belarus 5-1 by getting soundly beaten by the Danes 3-0. This will be a tight and tense affair given what is at stake tonight, and goals should be at a premium. Both of Scotland's group games have gone under 2.5 goals. All of Greece's games have gone over, but under Steve Clarke, Scotland have become hard to break down. Take the under that defenses come out on top.
17:00 Finland v Lithuania

Finland

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Visitors Lithuania have failed to win any of their last five matches, drawing twice against lowly ranked Malta. Hosts Finland are a more mixed bag with two wins, two defeats, and a draw. The draw was the reverse fixture, which ended 2-2 in March. Finland have beaten Poland at home in this group, so are decent when not traveling and should have too much for the visiting Lithuania.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Finland will need to win this to have any chance of overtaking Poland into the playoff spot in Group G tonight. They will therefore take it to Lithuania, who scored two in the defeat by the Netherlands last time out. Two of Finland's other four matches have gone over, winning at home and losing away to Poland. The reverse fixture was an entertaining 2-2 draw, and goals should be expected given what is at stake.
08 October 2025
14:00 Ethiopia v Guinea Bissau

Draw

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

The only time these sides met ended in a goalless draw and a point each could again be the outcome. Neither side is in great form and this could be a tight tense affair, given what's at stake. Take the middle ground.
14:00 Mauritius v Cameroon

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Cameroon put three past today's hosts in the qualification stages for the 2024 World Cup, and today's game could go the same way. Backing the away win is not really worth it at such short odds, but this could be a way to back Cameroon, who should have too much for their much less experienced opposition.
07 October 2025
19:45 Scunthorpe v Morecambe

Scunthorpe

50 WIN

@1.35

Win

17

Scunthorpe have won three of the last five matches, only losing to promotion rivals Carlisle. Morecambe have only won one of the last five and sit second bottom of the league. This should be an entertaining game given the fact that the visitors have leaked 16 goals in that timeframe, and four have gone over 2.5 goals. Scunthorpe will want to regain their spot near the top of the league. Three points and over 2.5 goals is the call.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Scunthorpe have won three of the last five matches, only losing to promotion rivals Carlisle. Morecambe have only won one of the last five and sit second bottom of the league. This should be an entertaining game given the fact that the visitors have leaked 16 goals in that timeframe, and four have gone over 2.5 goals. Scunthorpe will want to regain their spot near the top of the league, and three points and over 2.5 goals is the call.
18:00 6:00 Southwell

Graduated

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Graduated is ultra consistent of late, having finished 3rd in their last five runs. Has got in lightly and is in receipt of weight all round, which could lead to them winning for the 2nd time in their career. Was once rated 73 and is now 10lbs better off and is unchanged from their last run when 3rd at Wolverhampton just over two weeks ago. Hasn’t been starting well, and if breaking on terms, a better display could well be on the cards.
17:28 5:28 Southwell

Polka Blue

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Polka Blue has improved on each run to date, including last time out when finished 4th of 10 at Kempton just under two weeks ago. The step-up in trip to 7f should be well within their reach and could squeeze out further improvement to break their maiden tag at the 3rd attempt. Is well in the mix in an open restricted novice event.
17:20 5:20 Galway

Mullaghgloss

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Mullaghgloss was having their first run for nearly 150 days just under two weeks ago and was looking like they would be in the mix to be placed when they fell away in the final stages. They should be better for that run and should put their racecourse experience to good use against the Joseph O’Brien representative and newcomer. With further improvement, they should go close to breaking their maiden tag at the third time of asking, with the amateur taking a valuable 5 lbs off in this soft ground, which could be telling.
16:57 4:57 Southwell

Watercraft

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@17.00

Lose

-50

Watercraft showed their inexperience when finishing 8th of 11 at Leicester four weeks ago on their racecourse debut and was only beaten six lengths by the winner, so it wasn't as bad as the result suggests. It was well fancied that day, being 7/2 2nd favourite, so obviously was showing something at home. With that experience behind them, improvement is likely, and in a race full of unknowns, it is well worth chancing at decent each-way odds in an open maiden.
15:45 3:45 Brighton

Masonbrook Meadow

Daily Racing

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Masonbrook Meadow ran no kind of race in an amateur race at Bath when slowly away just over three weeks ago. Now, with the more experienced Josephine Gordon in the saddle, a better display is expected. Has been busy over hurdles recently since their penultimate start over a year ago when finished 2nd. The softening ground shouldn’t hold any fears, and stamina could be the key. Chance at a big price.
14:45 2:45 Brighton

Fai Fai

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@8.50

Lose

-50

Fai Fai was once rated in the 70s and is now off an unchanged official rating of 51 from last time out. Including that run when headed on the line just over three weeks ago, they have been placed over today’s course and distance four times. Consistent at this level, and a repeat performance should put them bang in the mix for a deserved success. NAP

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

By using this site you confirm you are 18+ and consent to our use of cookies and processing of personal data as set out in our Privacy Policy
Got it!