cpadden

5

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cpadden's Tips History

30 July 2025
19:30 Wolverhampton v Lens

Wolverhampton

50 WIN

@2.25

Open

0

Just a friendly, but it's a strong starting lineup from Wolves, and I like them to pick up a result here in their preseason schedule.
18:00 Bodo/Glimt v Stromsgodset

Bodo/Glimt

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

Second too against the second bottom side, but they're also the best and worst sides in the league in the last five matches. And Stromsgodset have lost their last ten in a row.
18:00 Real Sociedad v Osasuna

Real Sociedad

50 WIN

@2.15

Open

0

But if an edge to the home side, it could well end level. Real Sociedad have won two of their three friendlies, while Osasuna are yet to win and have scored just one goal in two matches.
17:00 FK Qarabag v Shelbourne

FK Qarabag

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

Qarabag got a 3-0 win in Ireland in the first leg. Expect this to be a difficult tie for Shelbourne again. Maybe fewer goals, but I don't think the home side loses.
17:00 Monaco v Torino

Monaco

50 WIN

@1.75

Open

0

Monaco have had a productive preseason, three wins and a draw (at Forest), and are yet to concede a goal. I like a win here for them.
29 July 2025
17:00 FC Iberia 1999 v FC Levadia Tallinn

Draw

50 WIN

@3.90

Lose

-50

Levadia Tallinn are taking a one-goal lead into the second leg, and I think they'll be very happy with a draw here to progress. Iberia have lost all three European games so far.
10:30 SD Raiders v Macarthur FC

Macarthur FC

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

It's a potentially tricky tie for Macarthur, but I think they'll get through. SD Raiders are in decent form but have just won one of the last five at home.
08:15 Zimbabwe U19 vs South Africa U19 One Day Match

South Africa U19

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

Zimbabwe showed a bit more in their latest loss to Bangladesh, but still collapsed well short of the total set. South Africa also lost their opener to Bangladesh, but I like them to respond with a win here.
00:00 West Indies vs Australia 5th T20 Match

West Indies

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

Australia have won all four matches so far. A couple of them have been quite close, by just three wickets. I like the West Indies to grab one as a consolation.

BA King

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Going for a West Indies win in this as an upset and will likely need a decent chase to do so. King has scored the second most runs for them this series and could shine here.

BA King (West Indies)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Shai Hope has been leading from the front, but King has been consistent and is the second-highest run-scorer this series for the West Indies.

MR Marsh (Australia)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Marsh has had a bit of a rough series compared to some of the Aussie batters, only 67 runs for a top score of 24. But I like him to come good in the final match.
28 July 2025
18:00 Midtjylland v Sonderjyske

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Both sides opened their season with score draws in their first match. I expect more goals between them again in this game.
08:15 Zimbabwe U19 vs Bangladesh U19 One Day Match

Bangladesh U19

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.10

Win

5

Don't see an upset here - Bangladesh opened with an impressive win against South Africa, while Zimbabwe were hammered by the same South African side in their first match.
27 July 2025
20:00 Arda Kardzhali v Lokomotiv 1929 Sofia

Arda Kardzhali

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

Both sides opened with disappointing results in their first match, but I like the home side to be better here, after a decent draw in the week in Europe.
12:10 Tour de France 2025

Joao Almeida

Win Outright

25 EW

@21.00

Lose

-50

Pogacar is the clear favorite here and it would likely take a crash or similar unfortunate circumstances for him not to win. Not much value in Vingegaard either, and Evenepoel has questions over form and fitness. I like Almeida to sneak a podium place here.
12:10 Tour de France 2025 Points Classification

Tim Merlier

Win Outright

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

Going away from the favorite, Milan, who didn't have a great time in the Giro, and Merlier could really benefit from a strong team and lead out here.
11:00 Vissel Kobe v Barcelona

Barcelona (AH) -1.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Should be a good exhibition, and after some initial confusion, the game seems to be going ahead. I like a decent showing from Barcelona here.
26 July 2025
22:15 Robert Whittaker v Reinier De Ridder

Robert Whittaker

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Ike Whittaker to win, and I think he'll also have his hands full with De Ridder here. Also backing it to go the distance, but I like him to win.

Robert Whittaker Decision or Technical Decision

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Think that De Ridder will be a tough opponent here and think he can push Whittaker the distance. Five of the last six wins for Whittaker have been on points.
22:00 Ryan Garner v Reece Bellotti

Reece Bellotti

Win Fight

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Bellotti should have a very decent chance here. Older, more experienced, and has won his last six fights coming into this one.
21:45 Petr Yan v Marcus McGhee

Petr Yan

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

Few upsets here already, but confident in Yan taking this home. Won the last two big fights and shouldn't be overawed by a challenge here.

Petr Yan Decision or Technical Decision

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Like Yan to win this, but also think that a points decision is the most likely outcome. Would be on the over here. Last three big wins have all come by decision.
21:30 Emiliano Vargas v Alexander Espinoza

Emiliano Vargas

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.04

Win

2

Vargas is 14-0 as a pro and has won his last five pretty comprehensively by knockout. Looks like another win for him, and likely by KO again.
21:30 Rohan Polanco v Quinton Randall

Rohan Polanco

Win Fight

50 WIN

@1.07

Win

4

Experienced fighter Randall has bounced back from a couple of defeats, but I don't think he'll stop the talented Polanco here.
19:30 Muslim Salikhov v Carlos Leal

Carlos Leal KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

I don't think this goes the distance. Salikhov also has a more than decent chance here, and I wouldn't be surprised if he managed to win. There's no value in the outright for Leal, but he can win this early on.
19:00 Brazil Women vs Japan Women

Brazil Women

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

Brazil have won their last five games here and haven't dropped a set in the last two wins, including a 3-0 result against Japan.

Brazil Women to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Brazil haven't dropped a set in their past two wins, including a 3-0 win against Japan. I like them to win again pretty easily, but I do see them losing a set this time.
19:00 Davey Grant v DaMon Blackshear

Davey Grant

Win Fight

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

Grant is experienced and has won six of the last nine bouts. I think he can keep up with Blackshear's grappling but also maybe cause some damage punching.

Davey Grant KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

I like Grant's chances here, and maybe the best chance is to get an early stop and KO. He's capable of this, and three of his last five wins have been by knockout.
19:00 Marseille v Girona

Marseille (AH) -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Both sides have similar preseason results so far - one big win and one draw - but it's a pretty strong Marseille side, and I like them to win.
17:40 Mohammad Yahya v Steven Nguyen

Mohammad Yahya

Win Fight

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Another one where I feel the underdog has at least a shot and the odds are pretty generous. Nguyen lost his first UFC fight against Errens back in March.
17:10 Martin Buday v Marcus Buchecha

Martin Buday

Win Fight

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

Bit of value here - Buday has lost just one of his ten UFC fights. Faces a tough challenge here but certainly don't think it's as wide a gap as the odds suggest.
16:00 Hradec Kralove v MFK Karvina

Hradec Kralove

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Don't think there will be a lot of goals. It's tough to predict some early season performance, but I'm going for the home side here to start well.
03:15 NY Mets @ SF Giants

SF Giants

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.71

Lose

-50

Giants come into this having two wins in a row against Atlanta, scoring plenty of runs at the moment, and have a handy starter in Webb going here.

SF Giants -1.50

Run Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Giants closed out the last series against the Braves with two big wins, scoring nine runs in each. I like that winning run and run scoring to continue.
25 July 2025
20:45 8:45 Chepstow

Baikal

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.50

Lose

-50

Won over hurdles the last time out and had a couple of decent back-to-back runs at Ffos Las on the flat recently too. Likely to contend in this one.
20:23 8:23 York

Luna A Inbhir Nis

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG

@3.50

Win

125

Good to have Oisin Murphy aboard. He has been promising so far, having won four of the last five runs, including a win last time out earlier this month.

Thecla

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-50

Like the look of the favorite here, but some decent each way opportunities with five places. Poor last run, but showed something last year with a win at Hamilton and runner-up at Carlisle.
20:10 8:10 Chepstow

Port Noir

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

Has won here twice before and a few other encouraging good runs at Chepstow. Recent form hasn't been great but worth a look back here.
20:03 8:03 Sandown

Enough Already

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Looking for one to break up the top two favorites and like the long shot. First run for new yard but was going decently well on the all-weather prior to this.
19:48 7:48 York

Ambiente Amigo

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Bad run last time out, but back up in distance and was quite consistent before that, including a win at Nottingham earlier this year.
19:45 Cork City v Sligo Rovers

Sligo Rovers (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Sligo have been on a decent run, not losing in their last five in all competitions, and can see them getting a result here.
19:45 Galway United v Waterford FC

Waterford FC (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

Galway got a win in the cup but are winless in the last four league games. But it's hard to back them even at home at the moment.
19:30 Crawley Town v Crystal Palace

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

Palace should win by a few here and I like some goals in a preseason meeting between these two. I wouldn't rule out a goal for the home side too.

Crystal Palace (AH) -1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.82

Win

41

Think that Palace wins here and maybe by a few goals. Seems a strong side and should show the gap in class between them.
19:30 FC Zurich v FC Sion

FC Sion (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Win

51

Think Sion have a good chance here. They've won the last two meetings between the sides and recent games have been close. I wouldn't rule out it finishing level.
19:28 7:28 Sandown

Moon Sniper

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

Finished second twice from just four runs last year. May have needed the last run, disappointing as it was, and looking to improve here.
19:13 7:13 York

Hyperfocus

Daily Racing

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

Bit of a punt on last year's form - two wins and a few other useful runs - but hasn't done much this year and needs to improve here.
19:00 Ujpest v Diosgyori VTK

Ujpest (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Like Ujpest to open with a home win here. The last three meetings between them have finished level, but I like the home advantage to be the edge here.
18:03 6:03 York

The Crafty Mole

Daily Racing

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Not done much this year but won four times from nine runs on turf last year. Also, just like the name. But if able to come back to that level, there is some value here.
17:50 5:50 Chepstow

Lady Lauren

Daily Racing

25 EW

@11.00

Lose

-50

Showed some improvement to come second (of three) in the last race. A lot of inexperienced runners and Dubai Time favored, but none of these have produced anything really of note yet.
17:45 5:45 Sandown

Kings Castle

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Great record over hurdles last year and won the first time on flat for new owners at Ffos Las last month - should go well again.
17:45 Metaloglobus Bucuresti v Petrolul Ploiesti

Metaloglobus Bucuresti (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Metaloglobus Bucuresti opened with a creditable 2-2 draw with Hermannstadt in their first match, while Petrolul are yet to score and yet to notch a win in two games.
17:30 5:30 York

Tough Enough

Daily Racing

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Taking a flyer at the back end of the field is always tempting, and there are six places here to show. Not shown much yet for the new yard but previously had three wins in 11 runs for old owners.

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