Fredgarvx

Been betting years tried plenty systems yet to find one to suit so just take in as much info as possible and put my money down

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Estimated Prizes
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Fredgarvx's Tips History

16 November 2025
14:55 2:55 Cheltenham

Nassalam

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@13.00

Lose

-50

Nassalan has been finding the ground much on the quick side, and the more testing, the better for this out-and-out stayer. He was never fancied in recent runs, going off at big prices, and if back to near best, will be running on when others are shying away.
14:00 Hungary v Rep of Ireland

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

This group is finely balanced at the moment. This is a crucial game for both teams, with just a point separating them. Both are coming here on the back of a couple of good results, so confidence will be high in both camps. Although this should be a tight game, neither team will want to have to fight back, knowing a good defense awaits. A draw would see the hosts through, although they would be looking to settle nerves with a goal.
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15 November 2025
15:00 Rochdale v Aldershot

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.44

Lose

-50

Aldershot averages the most goals per game in this league, having scored 31 and conceded 39. Meanwhile, Rochdale scored 31 but conceded not nearly as many, hence a much better spot in the league. They should keep that going with a win here, although the visitors should get on the board themselves.
15:00 York v Morecambe

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

York are flying high against second-bottom Morecambe. The hosts have been the most entertaining team to follow in this league with 43 goals. The visitors have conceded the most with 44, so we should see plenty of action. York have scored 4 goals in all their last 3 games, and we can expect another decent score game here.
13 November 2025
19:30 Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti

Carlos Alcaraz

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.14

Win

7

17:00 Norway v Estonia

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.15

Win

8

Norway should be way too strong for Estonia. The hosts have scored 29 goals already in this group, with the magnificent Haaland leading the line. They should keep the scoring mode, while Estonia is a forward-going team and could bag a goal themselves.
12 November 2025
16:45 Tunisia v Mauritania

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

I don't see too many goals here. Tunisia have kept clean sheets in 3 of the last 4 games, while Mauritania have had 2 goalless draws in the last 3 games. Two of the last 4 between these two ended goalless.
14:00 Mark Selby v Stephen Maguire

Mark Selby

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Only the world champion Zhao got the better of Selby in the internal championship last week. Although the Scot is in very good form, he may make it three losses in a row against the English great.
13:00 Mark Williams v Alfie Burden

Alfie Burden

Win Match

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

These short games bring players closer together. Burden looks a pretty big price, being in decent enough form, but is yet to beat Williams. Today could be his time.
11 November 2025
19:45 York v Rochdale

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Both teams have been involved in some high-scoring games, especially the hosts, York, who have seen 15 goals in their last 3 games. Rochdale have seen 3 of the last 5 games ending over the handicap mark.
19:00 Burton Albion v Crewe

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

Crewe have already scored 9 goals in the opening couple of games in this group and both teams have seen all of the last 3 games ending over the mark no reason to believe this won't be another open game with goals
09 November 2025
14:00 Bologna v Napoli

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.55

Win

28

Funnily enough, these two teams have identical goal stats, scoring 16 and conceding 8. Despite Napoli leading the league 4 points ahead of the hosts in 6th spot, and with both teams having 2 goalless draws in their last 3 games, 'under' looks like an easy call with another blank score possibly beckoning.
12:40 12:40 Ffos Las

Bobbys Nelson

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

This is a tricky little novice hurdle with most making their jumping debut and coming off breaks. Bobby's Nelson has gone well in a couple of bumpers. The jockey and trainer, who go well this time of year, have a decent near 19% strike rate together and improve at the start of the jumps campaign. So, it may be the time to catch right.
05 November 2025
20:55 20:55 Churchill Downs

Reckless

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Reckless made a pleasing enough debut when not knocked about and will come on tons for the experience. Top connections and should be in the mix.
20:26 20:26 Churchill Downs

Current Climate

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Current Climate takes a slight step back in trip and comes out on top of the speed ratings. So, if there at the death, should be finishing best of all.
03 November 2025
14:00 2:00 Kempton

Hard Endeavor

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@1.33

Win

16

It is a bit troubling that Hard Endeavour started as the favorite in both previous runs without really getting in the mix. However, it still looks to have the best credentials so far for this race and should open its account at the third time of asking.
13:38 1:38 Plumpton

Strolling Along

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

I very much like the look of 'Strolling Along' here. If able to settle better than when third last time, not really getting into the race, it should get a slightly better tug into this. It has only had a handful of runs, so there could be more in the vault.
02 November 2025
20:05 La Rochelle v Racing 92

Racing 92

To Win

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

There is not too much between these two in the league, and we should see a very tight game. The prices look way too much apart, and Racing can come out on top.

Racing 92 8.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

La Rochelle may well end up coming back with the win, but there looks very little between these two. The prices should be closer. That gives a better start for Racing 92 on this handicap, which is well appreciated and taken.
19:57 19:57 Churchill Downs

Mckinzies Glory

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTETip made at odds of 10.00 on 02/11 at 16:44 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 14 used instead of 10.00 taken BOG

@15.00

Win

45

The selection has been a bit hit and miss, but if on a going day, it should give the favorite most to think about. There are very good signs with 2 seconds in the last 3 runs.
14:00 West Ham v Newcastle

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Under could be a bit of value with the hosts likely to be cautious after already conceding 12 goals at home. Newcastle will not bust a gut pushing forward and are likely to be patient. A 1 or 2 goal win for the visitors looks the way to go here, which would suit this handicap.
12:00 South Shields v Shrewsbury

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Both teams are going well in their respective leagues, and we should see a good game. South Shields, in the National League North, are scoring plenty but have only let in 6 goals away in the league. However, they should face a tougher task against a good Shrewsbury, and both teams should get on the board, giving 'Over' a really good chance.
09:30 South Africa W vs India W World Cup

S Mandhana

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

India will come into this as hot favourites and what may be a good batting deck, which Mandhana may take full advantage of at the top of the order.

S Mandhana (India W)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

Mandhana, with nearly 400 runs, is second in the batting stats to her opposite number Wolvaardt. Thanks to the South African's 169 against England and the Indian opener who scored a ton herself against the Kiwis, she can top bat again here for India.
01 November 2025
20:00 Liverpool v Aston Villa

Liverpool

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Liverpool seem to have a touch of last season's Manchester City about them, going on an inexplicable run of defeats after looking like a very good team. It took City months to get back on track, but I expect Liverpool to bounce back here with a big win to prove a point to themselves more than anything.
17:30 Tottenham v Chelsea

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Lose

-50

This game is hard enough to sort out without these two teams proving very hard to get a grip on. Both have been unpredictable, although there are injury concerns, but that doesn't tell the full story. A shaky draw looks just about the way to go here.
17:15 5:15 Newcastle

Mu Mu Land

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@21.00

Lose

-50

Mu Mu Land is the outsider of the bunch, but this looks like a wide-open race. The drop in ratings and drop to the sprint trip may do the trick. The only win so far was a course and distance run, but it has been seemingly regressing. However, at the prices, I am willing to take a chance.
15:35 Castres v Bordeaux

Bordeaux

To Win

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

Bordeaux may have a good chance to consolidate their good position in this league at a decent price. Both teams have won 2 of the last 3 games, but Bordeaux have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Bordeaux 4.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

May be a bit surprised that Begles are not closer to Castres in the betting. But that means they receive a decent enough start and may not even need the handicap advantage after winning 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
15:00 AFC Wimbledon v Gateshead

AFC Wimbledon

50 WIN

@1.38

Lose

-50

Although I would like to see Gateshead go well here, they have their work cut out against high-flying League 1 Wimbledon. They will find this much harder than the win against Truro last time.
15:00 Brighton v Leeds

Brighton

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

There is only a single point between these two in the league, and 3 of the last 5 meetings between the two have ended all square. But Brighton should come out on top. They look on the verge of getting things to click nicely despite the defeat against Manchester United last time.
15:00 Burnley v Arsenal

Draw

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Arsenal are absolutely flying, leading the way in the league and not conceding goals. Although most wins have been narrow, this game may be slightly harder than it would have been a week or two ago, with Burnley finding some confidence with back-to-back wins. They may hold the London club to a great point.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

Under looks pretty good value here. The visitors have not conceded in their last 5 games, and Burnley is hitting a bit of form. Arsenal has been mostly low-scoring wins, and I don't see too many goals here. More likely, a really tough midfield battle.
15:00 Crystal Palace v Brentford

Draw

50 WIN

@3.90

Lose

-50

Brentford come into this with the momentum, but Palace are well capable of bouncing back here despite no wins in 4 games. The visitors, however, will be tough to contain, and a draw looks the best option by some way.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Although both teams are well capable of turning this into a game brimming with goals, I don't see that happening. More likely, a tight, nervy game with 1-1 looking like the score pick.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

With only goal difference separating these two teams in the league, we should see a pretty tight, open game. Both may grab a goal apiece, but a draw and 'yes' looks very much the way to go here.
15:00 Fulham v Wolverhampton

Fulham

50 WIN

@1.75

Win

38

Neither of these teams have had a win in their last 4 games. Fulham lost all 4 but faced some tough tests and can get the better of Wolves, who look to be really struggling and conceding way too many goals.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.14

Win

57

Over looks very much the way to go here. Despite the poor form of these two teams, both need to pick points up quickly, and we should see a lively game here.

Fulham & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Fulham and yes, it looks like a decent enough price in a game where we can expect both teams to go all out for the win, with the hosts coming out on top in a high-scoring game.
15:00 Nottm Forest v Man Utd

Man Utd

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

With United finally finding some form, it is hard to see the failing Forest bouncing back to form. There are serious problems at the Nottingham club, and results are not getting better.
15:00 Watford v Middlesbrough

Draw

50 WIN

@3.45

Lose

-50

Middlesbrough are proving to be a tough team to master this season and have a chance to close the 3-point gap on leaders Coventry. Watford don't look up to this on first glance but have much better home form, winning the last 3 games. Boro will be a hard test though, and a draw looks like the best option.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Both teams are in decent form coming into this, with Watford's home form holding them together. Although the hosts have done well against Boro in past meetings, there have been plenty of draws between them. The visitors have looked pretty good this season, so a draw and yes looks the way to go here.
14:40 2:40 Down Royal

Spillanes Tower

Daily Racing

50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR

@3.25

Void

0

If stamina is the key to this race, Spullanes Tower has bundles to call upon. Although I am scared of Found A Fifty, that mount could be a bit fresh and ruin its chance by running too freely. Spullanes Tower should get a great toe into this and will be played very late. A little rain would be ideal, but no worries on the ground.
14:30 England v Australia

Australia

To Win

50 WIN

@1.12

Win

6

Although this is a friendly, there will still be plenty of bite about this game with the long rivalry that the Aussies have totally dominated. It's hard to see things changing.

Australia -18.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Although there is not too much at stake in this game, these two teams don't know how to play a friendly. The Aussies have fared well in previous meetings between the two and should again come out on top with a strong win.
13:35 1:35 Down Royal

Arch Empire

Daily Racing

25 EW

@10.00

Lose

-50

Arch Empire looked in need of the run at Cheltenham a week ago when not seeing out the race. Takes a big drop in trip after going well at about this distance prior and can figure here at a decent price.
13:30 Toulon v Lyon

Toulon

To Win

50 WIN

@1.06

Win

3

Toulon have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two. It's hard to see them not making it 3 in 4 here, despite being a bit hit and miss themselves. They are underpriced here but should be the likely winner.

Lyon 17.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Although Toulon are a very short price here and should come out on top, they are not a team to totally rely on. Lyon could come pretty close for the upset without getting the result.
13:00 Villarreal v Rayo Vallecano

Rayo Vallecano

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Villarreal are in pretty good shape in this league, but the visitors are not too far away and look very good value. Coming into this on a decent run of results, at these prices, I am willing to take a chance on the away win.
12:30 Leicester v Blackburn

Leicester

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Despite losing their last couple of games, Leicester are still hard to oppose here against a Blackburn who did win last time but have struggled to cope in this league so far.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.04

Lose

-50

Over could be a bit of value here. Although the hosts, Leicester, have been very tight, they will like their chances and may put more into attack, leaving Blackburn a chance to break. So we may see a more expansive game than expected, and over could be the wise play.

Leicester & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Leicester look the most likely winner of this by some way, but they have been very tight at home and could keep a clean sheet. However, a win last time for Blackburn could give them some confidence going forward, and we may see a more open game than expected.
12:30 Norwich v Hull

Hull

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

I thought Norwich might have done well this season, but they have had a disaster so far and are conceding way too many goals. Hull are in pretty good shape and are a good price.
12:25 12:25 Down Royal

Kalypsochance

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.36

Lose

-50

As in the opening race of the meeting, Gordon Elliott holds all the cards, having won this race 4 of the last 5 runnings. He looks to have another prime rib here. The selection was going along nicely last year until the hustle and bustle of the Cheltenham Festival, favorites for the Champion Bumper, where they finished only 6th. But they should bounce back and have another good season.
11:50 11:50 Down Royal

Mange Tout

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@1.57

Win

28

Gordon Elliott has won this event 3 times in the past 5 years and looks to have a lively candidate to keep that excellent run going. A French import who won its sole race there, and conditions look to suit, so it should make a mark here.
04:00 Auckland FC v Adelaide United

Draw

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

Auckland have been very tight in their opening couple of games, and the price of under looks pretty decent on that front. The hosts are yet to concede, and this game may prove just as tight. United have been a little more expansive, but play may be dictated by the hosts, and draw looks best.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Under looks to be a decent enough price with the hosts yet to concede after their first couple of games scoring only once themselves united have seen more goals action in their 2 games quota but this may be dictated by the cautious hosts giving under a good chance

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