MonthlyJoyride

There is a difference between thinking something will happen and it being value.

6

Estimated Prizes
this month

£55

Estimated Prize money
this month

MonthlyJoyride's Tips History

14 September 2025
22:00 Simmons Bank Open

Johnny Keefer

50 WIN

@19.00

Open

0

Johnny Keefer was a winner on the PGA Tour Americas last year, which contributed to him earning his spot on the Korn Ferry Tour. He has taken to this level like a duck to water, already being a two-time winner this season, as well as having another runner-up finish. He has been outspoken in not resting on his laurels either and has his eyes on more titles before embarking on taking the next step to the PGA Tour next season. I think he stands a great chance of making it a hat-trick of titles here this week.

Pierceson Coody

25 EW

@26.00

Open

0

The three missed cuts in a row are getting us a bit of a price jump here on Pierceson Coody. If we zoom out, he still has a 2nd, a couple of 3rd placed finishes, a T4, and a T7 inside his last 10 outings. So I am more than happy to go with him here this week to regroup on a course that should also be better suited to his game and side with the guy who is almost certainly in the top handful of talents in the field.
16:45 Open de Portugal

Adri Arnaus

25 EW

@41.00

Open

0

Adri Arnaus has finishes of T12, T9, and T14 inside his last handful of outings. His pedigree sticks out like a sore thumb in this field. He is a former winner on the DP World Tour and also has a host of other podium finishes at that level. His recent form is more than encouraging enough to side with his talent here.

Benjamin Follett Smith

25 EW

@67.00

Open

0

Benjamin Follett Smith snapped a run of four straight missed cuts with a very credible T41 finish at the Omega European Masters on the DP World Tour. He then backed it up at this Challenge Tour level with a T14 finish last time out. He knows how to close out events when he does get into contention as a 4-time winner across the African and Sunshine Tours.

Felix Mory

25 EW

@34.00

Open

0

Felix Mory is a two-time winner as well as having another couple of runner-up finishes at this level. The enigmatic Frenchman has been showing signs that his game is close to being back to the level that earned him the second of those wins earlier this season. He will now be looking for a strong finish to the season in an attempt to secure his card on the main tour for next season.

Hurly Long

25 EW

@51.00

Open

0

Hurly Long can be hot or miss, and his recent form line shows that to a tee with finishes of 2nd and T12 inside his last four events played. But the two middle results between them were missed cuts. He, however, has shown time and time again that his ceiling game is a step above most in this field. In golf, ceiling potential is all that really matters when outright betting.

Stefano Mazzoli

50 WIN

@23.00

Open

0

We were on Stefano Mazzoli last week, and despite a poor final round of 73, he still put in another good finish of T14, following on from being T5, T22, and T9 in his three previous outings. That level of form usually gets rewarded at this level, where the fields are not as deep. I like staying with him here this week as he chases glory once again.
16:30 Man City v Man Utd

Draw

50 WIN

@4.10

Open

0

Man Utd will likely approach this one in the same way they did the Arsenal game in the first weekend of the season. On that occasion, they did well in stifling the opposition. This Man City attack just isn't flowing at all for over a year now. I think they are more than vulnerable to being frustrated even by far inferior teams who are well set up defensively, which United usually are in these games under Amorim. Draw for me.
14:05 2:05 Curragh

Leveraging

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@67.00

Lose

-50

Leveraging showed glimpses of quality in a recent trial outing at Leopardstown and could be an interesting debutant here for the Sheila Lavery stable. While not being renowned for winners, she does have a 5% hit rate. So, these odds look overpriced to me, with even the each-way action alone being a nice slice of the pie at these levels. The field does look wide open.
14:00 Burnley v Liverpool

Burnley

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

I haven't been impressed with Liverpool this season and think their results have papered over the cracks for large parts. Their squad is relatively light in numbers, which can be an issue off the back of an international break. Burnley put up a good fight at Old Trafford last time out, and I think they have the counter-attacking threat to cause a somewhat static Liverpool defense problems.
13 September 2025
17:30 West Ham v Tottenham

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Each of the last 3 league meetings between these sides with West Ham as the home side have ended in a draw. With both managers favoring a pragmatic approach, I think they will share the spoils here yet again today.

Under 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

Thomas Fran tends to approach away games slightly more cautiously, and that is the default setting for Potter at West Ham in every game. So, I can see those factors combining for a lower than usual corner count in this one.
15:00 Bournemouth v Brighton

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Lose

-50

These two sides are very much the best of the rest in the league and the potential dark horse to break into the Champions League spots should a leading light falter. I think there will be little between them come the season's end, and I think that will be reflected here today as well.

Under 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.82

Win

41

Both sides are easy on the eye and try to play the right way. But I still like the under on the corner count here as they have more wide player profiles that like to operate from outside to in rather than getting to the byline and funneling in crosses.
15:00 Crystal Palace v Sunderland

Crystal Palace

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Crystal Palace have had a tough start to the season fixture-wise with away games at Chelsea and Villa, as well as a home game against Forest. But they have performed well and taken a very credible 5 points haul from them. I think they are being slightly disrespected here against a newly promoted Sunderland, who were well beaten in their sole away league game so far this season at Burnley.
15:00 Everton v Aston Villa

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Win

115

No Premier League side needed the international break more than Aston Villa. Everton were arguably the side that least wanted it, given their positive start in comparison to expectations. Villa have been poor, but I think the break will have done them good. As impressive as Everton have been, I think they have overperformed, and I still don't feel like they are reliable in terms of putting sides away. So, I like the draw here in this one.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Going with the over here with the likes of Grealish likely to draw a few alone as he pairs up excellently for overlaps and underlaps near the byline with his fullback. While Villa don't have any real classical wingers, they do have Watkins, who is a willing channel runner.
15:00 Fulham v Leeds

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Fulham have drawn 2 of their 3 league games so far this season. Leeds will be fairly happy for this game away from home to go a similar path to their home encounter with Newcastle before the break, which was the dullest of dull games and ended in a stalemate.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

I like the over here for corners as both sides try to develop down the wings but have a bit of a lack of quality in these areas compared to what they have through the middle. This usually results in attempted crosses from deeper positions and more often which can lead to higher corner counts.
15:00 Newcastle v Wolverhampton

Newcastle

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Newcastle will be glad that the transfer window is closed, and they can now focus on their season with the squad they have, which, it is not to be forgotten, is impressive even after the departure of Isak. They have kept 2 clean sheets from their 3 league games played so far, and in the game in which they conceded, they were arguably the better side in defeat to Liverpool. So, I like them to kickstart their campaign with a home win here.

Over 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Newcastle like to use the full width of the pitch when attacking, with both their wingers and full-backs being somewhat of cross merchants. Now they have a real aerial presence to aim for in the middle. I think they will be even more so, which I think could lead to the overs coming in here in terms of corners.
14:15 2:15 Leopardstown

Teewinot

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Teewinot has done nothing but impress so far in three outings to this point with a 4th placed finish as a 16/1 shot on debut. This was followed up by immediate respect from the market, going off as a 13/8 shot next time out and proved worthy with a 2nd placed finish before duly delivering as an odds-on favorite with the win last time out. A step up in opposition here, but on showings so far, looks more than capable of mixing in this company.
12:30 Arsenal v Nottm Forest

Arsenal

50 WIN

@1.38

Win

19

Arsenal have 2 wins out of 3 so far in the league, and their solid defensive base gives them the foundation for wins against most sides in the league. With the addition of Gyokeres coming more into play in these exact types of games, they ensure they drop as few points as possible.

Under 10.50

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

I like the under for the corner count here as Arsenal spend large periods of their games controlling the tempo and are quite often happy for periods to pass by with almost no action at all in a kind of variance limiting tactic.
12 September 2025
16:25 4:25 Ballinrobe

Crossbar Getaway

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@9.00

Lose

-50

Since switching to trainer Gordon Elliott, Crossbar Getaway has shown glimpses in each race with finishes of 2nd, 3rd, and 4th in the three outings to this point. Mistakes are clearly being ironed out and has gone from a bystander in races rated in the odds of 20's to 40's to now being given the respect of single-digit odds. Has been within shouting distance of the leaders for large periods of all three outings under Elliott and I think the persistence could be rewarded here today.
11 September 2025
15:27 3:27 Clonmel

Tswalu

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

Tswalu has been the story of near misses thus far as it still goes in search of that elusive maiden win. It has no fewer than 4 second-place finishes as well as a couple of 3rds from just 7 previous outings. While frustration may be building, it is important to remember the positives from almost every time getting into contention. That level of consistency will be rewarded sooner rather than later, and I'm hoping it is today.
10 September 2025
17:10 5:10 Cork

Gerrits Gem

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@23.00

Win

1100

Both career wins for Gerrits Gem have come here on this track, and one of them was over this distance. Form this year has not been great, but the odds here for a course and distance winner that won as recently as last year look too big to turn down when operating at this level where erratic form is par for the course.
12:00 Players Championship 27

Gerwyn Price

50 WIN

@8.50

Lose

-50

Gerwyn Price took down the title in Players Championship 26 yesterday to make it 4 PC titles from just 19 events played this season. He has previously gone back-to-back here in Hildesheim in 2023, so I like the Iceman to stay locked in here and potentially go all the way yet again to make it 5 PC wins for the season.

Luke Woodhouse

25 EW

@101.00

Lose

-50

Luke Woodhouse is back to playing somewhat close to his peak of late, having had a slight dip in levels. But a return to his old equipment has had a positive impact. He has done a better job of winning games on the floor this season but hasn't gone deep as often as he would like. However, he has made both a semi-final and a quarter-final. I'm hoping for positive vibes here today as Hildesheim is the location of his only Pro Tour final appearance to date. A player of his calibre should have a title or two by this stage, and I think he may give himself a chance or two before the end of the season. At triple-digit odds, he looks a very tempting outsider to do so today.
09 September 2025
18:45 Servette GE vs HC Ajoie

Servette GE

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

Servette GE have had a near dominant head-to-head record between these sides in recent times, with them emerging as the winning side in 7 of the last 8 competitive meetings.

Servette GE -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.75

Win

38

Servette GE -1.5 on the handicap spread looks good to me here in this one. Not only have they won 7 of the last 8 competitive matches between the sides, but in 6 of those 7 wins, they have won by a 2 or more goal margin.
18:00 Rungsted Ishockey vs Esbjerg Energy

Rungsted Ishockey

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.47

Win

23

Rungsted looked sharp in their most recent friendly win in the lead-up to the action getting underway here today. In front of their home crowd, I like them to get some early momentum with a solid home win here.

Rungsted Ishockey -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Esbjerg Energy tend to approach games the same way whether they are playing at home or away. While admirable, this can leave them more open than most. With their defense not being the most solid, I like taking them on here and side with them losing by a couple or more, more often than not. So at even money, I like Rungsted Ishockey -1.5.
18:00 Sonderjyske vs Frederikshavn Whitehawks

Sonderjyske

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.52

Win

26

There's been a heavy home bias in the most recent head-to-head battles between these sides, with the home side prevailing on 8 of the last 10 occasions, including 5 in a row when it has been Sonderjyske as the home side.

Sonderjyske -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Sonderjyske -1.5 at a good chunk of odds against looks nice to me here. They have won each of the last 5 clashes between these sides when playing as the home side and have won 4 of those 5 by a margin of 2 or more goals.
17:35 5:35 Galway

Cherry Hill Girl

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.50

Lose

-50

Cherry Hill Girl finished strongly after a poor start to finish 3rd of 7 runners on debut at Leopardstown at the back end of July. A similar showing here should lead to being right in the thick of it against a slightly lower level of opposition.
16:30 Karpat vs Sport

Karpat

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-50

Karpat have emerged on the winning side of things in each of the last 5 clashes between these sides when they have been playing at home. So, I like them to continue that trend here today.

Karpat -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

These sides faced off against each other in a recent friendly game in the build-up to the new season. On that occasion, Karpat won by a margin of 3 goals. So, at these odds, I will take them to cover this line here. Karpat -1.5
12:05 Vuelta a Espana 2025 Stage 16

David Gaudu

Win Outright

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

David Gaudu started the series well with a 3rd place finish in Stage 2 before then claiming the win in Stage 3. He has been much deeper in the field in the last handful of events, but I think that could play to his advantage here as he will have a lot more in the tank than those who have been in the thick of the battle. The finish of this stage in particular suits his climbing skills, so I think he is a great value dark horse to claim his second stage title of the series.

Juan Ayuso

Win Outright

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Juan Ayuso has already won 3 stages so far at Vuelta this year, having taken down stages 5, 7, and 12. I think if any more added motivation was necessary, he now has it, having announced his departure from Team UAE at the end of the season. I think he will want to show them exactly what they are going to be missing.
12:00 Players Championship 26

Gerwyn Price

50 WIN

@9.50

Win

425

Gerwyn Price returns to floor action here at Players Championship 26, having skipped the last four floor events, which is the second block he has taken off from them so far this year. That means he has so far played 18 Players Championship events this season, and he has won 3 of them and made the final of another. So his game on the floor is going about as well as it could be, and he also went back to back here in Hildesheim in 2023 around this time of the year. So I like him to pick up yet another title here today.

Krzysztof Ratajski

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Krzysztof Ratajski has won 2 of his 7 Players Championship titles here in Hildesheim, including winning here earlier this season at PC15 where he was spellbinding in the final where he averaged 101.73 in an 8-4 win over Dave Chisnall. He has also lost in a final and 3 other semi-finals here in Hildesheim, so the venue clearly agrees with him, possibly linked to an easier commute playing on the continent rather than traveling to the UK.
07 September 2025
22:00 Aramco Houston Championship

Adela Cernousek

25 EW

@101.00

Lose

-50

Adela Cernousek has been under the radar, quietly adjusting to life on tour, having won the 2024 NCAA individual title in impressive fashion. She ranks 22nd on the LPGA for driving distance, and that, coupled with her ability to keep her cards relatively clean, ranking 7th on tour for bogey avoidance, is a combination that I think can be rewarded handsomely this week.

Alice Hewson

25 EW

@29.00

Lose

-50

Alice Hewson looks a lively contender for the win here this week as her game looks to be in good solid shape this season with her running a driving accuracy of 73.64%, backed up with greens in regulation of 69.56%. If she can find the putter this week, I think she stands a great chance around this course.

Daniela Darquea

25 EW

@81.00

Lose

-50

Daniela Darque has risen more than 200 spots on the world rankings since May, which shows the ascent that her game has enjoyed in recent months. She backed up that momentum with a recent 2nd place finish at the PIF London Championship, so she will be feeling confident she can compete in fields like this.
20:00 European Tour 11

James Wade

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

James Wade has made the semi-finals in 3 European Tour events this year, including the last two in a row. He has been unfortunate on each occasion to run into near unstoppable forces, with defeats to Littler, Anderson, and Rock respectively in them. I think he looks great value here as an each-way shot given his current form and the fact that he is on the opposite side of the draw to Littler, van Gerwen, Price, and Rock.

Ryan Searle

50 WIN

@51.00

Lose

-50

Ryan Searle has had a disappointing European Tour season where he has failed to go further than the 3rd round. But around this time last year, he made a strong finish to his ET season, making the quarters in ET10, semi-finals in ET11, and then the final in ET12, where he really should have taken down his first ET title, having missed multiple match darts to do so. Still, I think he is in a nice section of the draw here, and if he can get his scoring power going, he has shown many a time that he can live with the absolute best of them in that regard.
17:00 HSV Hamburg vs Rhein Neckar Lowen

Over 60.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.88

Win

44

HSV Hamburg games have been very entertaining so far this season with their 2 league matches played ending with totals of 69 and 62 goals. So that makes me lean in the direction of the over here.
17:00 Sandefjord vs Naerbo

Over 58.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

The last 4 head-to-head meetings between these sides have seen an average of 60.25 goals scored. So, I like siding with the over here in this one.
16:15 GAC Rosa Challenge Tour

Alfie Plant

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

Alfie Plant announced himself on the big stage a good few years back when claiming the low amateur at the Open Championship but hasn't really had the career he would have hoped for since, despite being a 3-time winner at this level. He sits 45th in the rankings, so not out of the equation for a top 20 finish to earn his spot on the main tour next year. He is trending in the right direction with finishes of 2nd and T20 inside his last three outings.

Anton Albers

25 EW

@41.00

Win

225

Anton Albers is finishing the season strongly with him picking up finishes of T14, T9, and T12 in his last three outings. He knows that a win and maybe another podium finish would put him back in shouting distance of a promotion to the main tour for next year. The clinical German is in a position to attack where some players have a position of a card to defend, so that could play a key role in mentality this week.

Hugo Townsend

25 EW

@41.00

Win

1250

Hugo Townsend has only finished outside of the top 20 in 2 of his last 11 starts. The up-and-coming Swede has finishes of T3, T7, and T12 in that run, so his top-level game is more than capable of mixing it at this level. He sits 42nd in the rankings, having only registered 13 starts to this point, so he is very much still in the discussion. With a good couple of weeks of putting himself in the mix, he could end the season in that elusive top 20 for a DP World Tour card.

Ronan Kleu

25 EW

@51.00

Lose

-50

Not the most consistent of players, Ronan Kleu not long ago went through a spell of three consecutive missed cuts. Since then, in his last handful of events, he has made all his cuts but with a lot of unremarkable finishes ranging from T24 to T56. However, it was his 2nd place finish a couple of weeks back at the Irish Challenge which caught the eye and showed the ceiling his game can reach. At this level, I like riding with recent showings like that in what can be volatile fields.

Stefano Mazzoli

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

Stefano Mazzoli has had a good and consistent season, which sees him sitting ranked 20th in the Race to Mallorca standings. The top 20 at season's end earn a DP World Tour card for 2026. He is one of less than a handful of players inside that top 20 without a win so far this year, but he has gone close with a couple of top 5's. His level of play would merit a win before the season ends. He sits 6th in strokes gained on the tour for the season but is 3rd if only including players with 10 or more starts. That shows he is among the best players at this level for the year.
16:00 Romerike Ravens W vs Oppsal W

Under 58.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

Both sides saw their opening games of the season end with relatively low goal totals, with them ending with 54 and 50 goals respectively. So I like siding with the under for the line set here.
15:30 ThSV Eisenach vs MT Melsungen

Over 56.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

ThSV Eisenach have seen both of their opening games this season end with a higher goals tally than the line set here, with their games ending with 58 and 62 goals respectively. So, I like the over side of things here.
15:00 Team Esbjerg W vs Metz W

Under 61.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.88

Win

44

These sides met each other in June in last season's edition of this event, and the respect on show for each other was evident in the way both sides approached the game. That approach saw the match play out with a total of 57 goals, and I think this one will go a similar way here, so I like the under on this line.
14:00 Italian Grand Prix

Lando Norris

Win Race

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

The winner of 3 of the last 5 races this season, Lando Norris will have his eyes solely on the win here to claim his first Italian Grand Prix crown, having finished 3rd here last year.
13:00 Borussia Dortmund W vs Gyori Eto W

Borussia Dortmund (W) 5.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Borussia Dortmund W +5.5 goals looks nice to me here in the handicap. Start playing at home and coming in off the back of a good home win in their Bundesliga opener where they were 15 goal margin winners over Metzingen.

Under 59.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

Gyori Eto W are a solid outfit and do not get too adventurous, especially when playing away from home. So I think their cautious approach here, going in as favorites, will lead to a match on the lower end of the scoring scale. So I like siding with the under here.
13:00 Herning Ikast W vs CSM Bucuresti W

Over 57.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

CSM Bucuresti W have seen each of their last 3 matches end with a higher goals tally than the line set here. So the over looks the side to be on in this one.
09:30 Japan W vs Brazil W

Brazil W

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

Brazil Women have won 6 of the last 7 and 8 of the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these sides. So I like them to get the win here again today and claim 3rd place.

Brazil Women to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Japan Women were beaten in the semi-finals by this scoreline by what I consider a very similar level of opposition. They generally lose to Brazil in recent history, losing 6 of the last 7. I think they go down to yet another defeat to Brazil here and for the Samba Girls to get the win by the same score that Turkey did. Brazil Women to win 3-1.

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