MonthlyJoyride

There is a difference between thinking something will happen and it being value.

6

Estimated Prizes
this month

£30

Estimated Prize money
this month

20 May 2025
19:45 York v Oldham

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Both sides come into this playoff contest in good form. I think there will not be much between them this evening, and the recent head-to-head battles between the sides would tally with that, as 2 of their last 3 contests have ended in a draw.
19 May 2025
19:40 7:40 Roscommon

Ozark Daze

Daily Racing

Ozark Daze is still left searching for that maiden win, but not for the lack of effort. With 2 runner-up finishes as well as another couple of 3rd placed finishes inside the last handful of outings, showing a consistency of performance that will be rewarded sooner rather than later.
18:40 6:40 Roscommon

Mocking

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.53

Lose

-50

17:10 5:10 Roscommon

No Such Thing

Daily Racing

16:00 4:00 Carlisle

Trojan Sun

Daily Racing

14:30 2:30 Carlisle

Venetian Sun

Daily Racing

10:30 Kristina Dmitruk vs Sijia Wei

Kristina Dmitruk

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

Kristina Dmitruk looks good value here to me. Even though her own form is patchy of late, she can feel confident of a result here against an out-of-form Sijia Wei, who has lost her last 6 matches in a row.
10:30 Lola Radivojevic vs Jessika Ponchet

Jessika Ponchet

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Jessika Ponchet put in a great showing recently at Saint-Gaudens, where she won through 3 rounds and was then beaten in a high-quality and well-contested match against Boisson. She was beaten in straight sets, but they went 7-6 and 6-4, so no shame there. Anything like that level of performance should be good here.
09:00 Lauren Davis vs Marina Stakusic

Marina Stakusic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Marina Stakusic looked in good form when winning through a couple of rounds when last seen at Parma. I like her to get the better of Davis here, who retired from competition last time out, so there are question marks over fitness and sharpness.
18 May 2025
22:45 AdventHealth Championship

Chandler Blanchet

50 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-50

Chandler Blanchet has been one of the most consistent players on the KFT of late with 1 missed cut inside his last 7 events. Apart from that, his worst finish in that run has been a T31 while also having 5 finishes of T18 or better. This is a level of consistency that is unusual in players of this level and stands to his quality.

Cole Sherwood

25 EW

@67.00

Lose

-50

Cole Sherwood is currently the best version of himself and ever improving. Now at a near career peak of 347th in the world rankings and has finishes of T2 and T3 inside his last 6 events played. So, he's been knocking on the door when having good weeks of late.

Davis Chatfield

25 EW

@41.00

Lose

-50

A hit or miss player like most still plying their trade at this level, Davis Chatfield has finishes of T7, T6, 2nd, and T10 inside his last 9 events played. While he does miss the odd cut, he looks like a player who will break his Korn Ferry Tour duck very soon.

Ryan McCormick

25 EW

@61.00

Lose

-50

Ryan McCormick is inexplicably still in search of his maiden KFT win despite now having no fewer than 13 finishes of T10 or better in recent seasons. His erratic form is exemplified by him going T8, missed cut, T10 in his last 3 events played. But the ceiling is certainly there and generously priced at these odds.

Wilson Furr

25 EW

@111.00

Lose

-50

Wilson Furr is one of those players now stuck between bouncing up and down levels. He had a great 2023 on the KFT, which earned him his PGA Tour card, but he ultimately lost it. After a slowish start to his campaign to earn it back directly, he is now starting to show the game that got him there in the first place. His T12 finish last time out showed enough signs of encouragement to side with him here.
12:00 Everton v Southampton

Everton

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

With little of substance on the line in this one, it boils down to motivation. In that case, there is a big edge in favor of Everton. With it being the last game at Goodison Park, they will be pulling out all the stops to end their time at a historic stadium with a final 3-point haul.
16 May 2025
20:30 Alverca v Portimonense

Alverca

20:15 Chelsea v Man Utd

Man Utd

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Chelsea have struggled against both low blocks and back 5/wing-back systems all season. I think United going stronger than expected in their lineup this evening will cause further problems, with United playing pressure-free while for Chelsea it is a must-win game.

Man Utd & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Man Utd & Yes for the away win in a game where both sides score looks the value to me here. With them set up to counter-attack this Chelsea side and also offering a more physical and aerial presence than their hosts do, I think they can cause problems and perform a classic smash and grab away win with goals at both ends.

Noussair Mazraoui

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Noussair Mazraoui to score anytime looks like a value shout here with him given license to get forward a lot in this system. He has shown a keen eye for a shot once in position.

Harry Maguire

First Goalscorer

Harry Maguire looks a big price here to open the scoring against a Chelsea side who have struggled with defending set pieces this season, and he is one of the most aerially dangerous players in the opposing box.

Victor Lindelof

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Victor Lindelof is a generous price to get booked here for a defender who has not played a great deal this season. So likely comes rustiness there, and he is up against a rotating bunch in the likes of Neto, Palmer, and Madueke, who can all cause problems.
19:45 Livingston v Partick

Livingston

19:30 Aston Villa v Tottenham

Aston Villa

Aston Villa are in desperate need of the points here and, roared on by a rampant Villa Park crowd, should be able to overcome a heavily rotated Spurs side with their eyes on their upcoming final.

Marco Asensio

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@2.45

Lose

-50

Marco Asensio will be keen to leave an impression on what for now is his final start at Villa Park. But with rumors of him signing permanently, he will be equally keen to show well and leave them wanting more.

Marco Asensio

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Marco Asensio could get some joy this evening up against a heavily rotated and thus unfamiliar with each other Spurs backline. Given his movement and eye for goal, it could be a problematic combination for them.

Antonin Kinsky

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Antonin Kinsky starts in goal for Spurs, and he has looked edgy in his performances thus far. He is a bit over-eager to fill the boots of Vicario, who is an adept sweeper-keeper, which Kinsky is not. I think there is a reasonable chance he gets caught out of position here and ends up needing to take a yellow card.

Emiliano Martinez

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Emiliano Martinez is no stranger to a yellow card, and with 3 points being a near necessity for his Villa side this evening, it would be no surprise if they are in a leading position late on for the time-wasting antics to come into play and to see him happily take a booking for doing so.
18:30 6:30 Kilbeggan

Final Orders

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Final Orders has been knocking on the door of late with a runner-up finish and a couple of 3rd placed finishes inside the last 4 outings. He has previously shown winning pedigree with 3 wins over hurdles. Looks a cut above the majority of the field here.
12:35 Zhejiang v Henan

Henan (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win+Push

24

Henan +0.25 on the handicap start looks nice to me here as they have 3 wins and a draw in the last 6 head-to-head meetings between these sides.
12:00 4 Jours de Dunkerque 2025 Stage 3

Alberto Bettiol

Win Outright

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Alberto Bettiol has been trending in the right direction with his most recent showing a big improvement on what went just before it. He did perform well with a couple of good finishes of 3rd and 5th in Switzerland at the beginning of the month. He is hit or miss, but that is why he is generously priced.
11:50 Giro dItalia 2025 Stage 7

Lorenzo Fortunato

Win Outright

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Trying to find some value here outside of the two prohibitively short favorites and landing on Lorenzo Fortunato, who does have winning pedigree with 6 wins to his name and has a good record when competing on home soil.
11:00 Tour of Hungary 2025 Stage 3

Urko Berrade

Win Outright

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Urko Berrade started the year off in hot form and picked up a win on home soil. He has tailed off since then but is a lively outsider here should the main protagonists falter.
10:35 Waratahs v Crusaders

Waratahs 3.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Crusaders were really disappointing in their defeat to Chiefs last week. So I like opposing them here, and getting Waratahs +3.5 points looks a fine way to do just that.

Under -53.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Waratahs games have been on the lower end of the scoring scale of late, with 3 of their last 4 matches played coming in under this total.

Waratahs

Match Result

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Waratahs look great value for the win here as they have won 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings between these sides. So, happy taking their side here at these odds.
10:35 Western United FC v Melbourne City

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.05

Lose

-50

Each of the last 3 head-to-head meetings between these sides have ended with less than 2.5 goals scored. So, I like siding with the under at odds against here.

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

Melbourne City have seen 5 of their last 9 matches played end as BTTS NO games, so these odds look on the generous side to me here.

Western United FC (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Western United FC +0.25 here looks good to me with home advantage. In what should be a rather cagey affair, being the first leg of the tie, neither side will want to give much away early on in proceedings.

No Goalscorer

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

The 0-0 draw looks like good value here to me as both sides, I think, will prioritize not giving anything away with it being a two-legged tie. That makes the No Goalscorer good value, with any own goal also covered as a base in case of a single goal via that route.

Draw #0-0

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Opening legs of ties can often play out very cautiously as both sides know that staying in the tie is the main objective. So, I think the 0-0 is value as a result here.
08:31 Itzulia Women 2025 Stage 1

Anna Van Der Breggen

Win Outright

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Anna Van Der Breggen has been in good form of late with 1 win and a couple of 3rd placed finishes inside her last 4 outings.
08:05 Hurricanes v Highlanders

Highlanders 21.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Highlanders have been doing a better job of sticking in games of late, so I like siding with them here +21.5 points on the handicap start, even if there is a very limited chance of them actually winning the game outright.

Under -58.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.90

Win

45

Each of the last 6 head-to-head battles between these sides have ended with a lower points total than the line set here, so going with the under.

Hurricanes

Match Result

50 WIN

@1.06

Win

3

Hurricanes have been near dominant in the most recent head-to-head battles between these sides, with them winning each of the last 8 in a row.
15 May 2025
19:45 Gerwyn Price vs Stephen Bunting

Stephen Bunting

Win Match 2-way

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

60

Stephen Bunting looks good value for the win here tonight as he has won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings with Price. So, at a good chunk of odds against, it makes sense to side with him.

Stephen Bunting 1.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

34

I like the look of Stephen Bunting +1.5 legs here in this one as he is arguably the more motivated of the two here, with him bidding to show he does belong at this level. Whereas Price already has his qualification for finals night locked up, so he may not be at full pace tonight.
17:10 5:10 Clonmel

Cafe Con Leche

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

Cafe Con Leche has 9 podium finishes, including 4 wins from 26 previous hurdles outings. It wasted very little energy in what was a disappointing run last time out just 3 days ago. But it's encouraging to be sent back out with such a short turnaround. Eyes are clearly on the win by the table.
14 May 2025
20:30 Real Madrid v Mallorca

Mallorca

Mallorca look good value for the win here to me as they have more need for the points as they bid to chase down a European position. And having given their all at the weekend, the air may now be out of this Real Madrid side as their title hopes are all but over.

Mallorca & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

I like the look of Mallorca & Yes for the away win here in a game with goals at both ends. They are in reasonable form with 2 wins and a draw in their last 5, and Madrid may subconsciously fall on their own sword here this evening rather than have Barcelona win the title on the pitch themselves. Madrid are leaking goals of late, so I like a high scoring away win.

Mallorca #3-2

50 WIN

@61.00

Lose

-50

I expect this to be an open and entertaining game with almost nothing on the line for Madrid and Mallorca viewing it as almost a free hit at a bonus 3 points as they bid for European football. A 3-2 away win in a midweek thriller.
20:00 Stockport v Leyton Orient

Stockport

Stockport came from behind in the first leg and were the better side over the course of the game. They will have felt disappointed not to have taken a lead away with them but will feel confident of getting the job done here at home in front of a raucous home crowd.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

Stockport have seen 7 of their last 9 matches played end with more than 2.5 goals scored. So I like the look of the over here in this one tonight.

Stockport & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Stockport & Yes for the home win in a game where both sides score looks the value here to me. They have won 7 of their last 9 matches played, and 5 of those 7 wins have come via the BTTS YES route.

Kyle Wootton

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@5.75

Lose

-50

Kyle Wootton has 11 league goals to his name so far this season. But it is his all-around game which makes him a pivotal presence in the side. He has missed a lot of big chances, which is a double-edged sword. On the positive side, he is getting into positions and having chances created for him. So I like him to be the one to break the deadlock here tonight.

Stockport #3-1

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Stockport have scored 3 goals in 3 of their last 4 home games played. So I like the look of them getting a couple of goals winning margin victory tonight to send them through to the playoff final.
19:45 Rangers v Dundee Utd

Rangers

19:20 7:20 Tipperary

Bitofajokelike

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@3.75

Win

137

Bitofajokelike almost landed as a 125/1 shot when runner-up at Cork last time out over this distance. It's easy to see why the market respect is emphatic here in a serious drop in field quality after that impressive showing.
18:00 Volos NFC v Lamia

Volos NFC

12:35 Giro dItalia 2025 Stage 5

Corbin Strong

Win Outright

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

A 2nd placed finish in Stage 3 and a commendable finish of 13th last time out in a stage that didn't suit him that well. I like the look of Corbin Strong as the best of the rest here and a likely winner should the clear bookies' favorite falter.
11:15 4 Jours de Dunkerque 2025 Stage 1

Cees Bol

Win Outright

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

With finishes of 2nd, 6th, and 6th in his last three outings, Cees Bol looks in great shape and primed to pick off a win sooner rather than later. To me, at generous-looking odds here today could be the day.
10:00 Tour of Hungary 2025 Stage 1

Tim Torn Teutenberg

Win Outright

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Tim Torn Teutenberg has been knocking on the door of that breakthrough win of late. In his second season as a member of the full team at Lidl Trek, he will soon deliver on his talent and do so in my eyes.

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