ironmike147501

I have a lifelong passion for sports and interest in statistical analysis, which I try to combine to give highly informative, reasoned and profitable betting opinion

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ironmike147501's Tips History

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05 July 2024
20:00 Portugal v France

Over 2.50

Total Goals

91 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-91

Portugal qualified for the EURO 2024 finals in style, winning all games and notching thirty-six goals in their ten fixtures. They opened with 2-1 and 3-0 wins against Czechia and Turkey respectively in their first two matches at these finals and despite failing to score in their last two outings, they still had twenty-two shots in their 2-0 defeat against Georgia and twenty in their last sixteen tie with Slovenia. France have been uncharacteristically goal shy in Germany, scoring just three goals so far. However, they've not struggled to create chances and Les Bleus have taken sixty-seven shots on goal in their four games. Both teams are defensively solid, with Portugal keeping nine clean sheets in their ten EURO qualifiers and France conceding just once in their last six matches. The attacking quality of their opposition has been poor at times though and the Portuguese have already conceded against Czechia and Georgia in this tournament, whilst the French gave up a goal to a very poor Polish outfit in the group. These two sides possess some of the best forward players in Europe, so despite their defensive form, I think over 2.5 goals is fantastic value.
1 member found this comment useful
02 July 2024
20:00 Austria v Turkey

Over 2.50

Total Goals

100 WIN

@1.91

Win

91

Austria have really impressed in Germany and won their final two group fixtures 3-1 & 3-2 against Poland & Netherlands respectively. They opened with a 1-0 defeat to France, but were unlucky not to get anything from that game and it was the first time they'd failed to score in their last twenty matches. Whilst prolific in front of goal, the Austrians can be fragile defensively. Starting with a 6-1 friendly victory over Turkey in March, they've conceded in five of their last six outings. The defeat against Austria was the start of a run which has seen over 2.5 goals in five of Turkey's last six matches. The Turks have been involved in some exciting games at this year's finals, with a 3-1 win over Georgia and 2-1 victory against Czechia sandwiching a 3-0 loss to Portugal. Despite failing to score against the Portuguese, this was only the fourth time in thirty-five games Turkey have been shutout. With both Austria and Turkey attack-minded sides and vulnerable at the back, I would expect this to be one of the ties of the round, hugely entertaining and full of drama. As such I think over 2.5 goals here is great value.
1 member found this comment useful
30 June 2024
17:00 England v Slovakia

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

85 WIN

@2.50

Win

128

England started the EURO 24 finals with a 1-0 win over Serbia, but attracted criticism for their negative play. This has intensified following a 1-1 draw with Denmark and 0-0 stalemate against Slovenia. The Three Lions have only scored twice in their last four total games, but their blank on Tuesday was only the third time in their last twenty they've failed to find the net. England only didn't score in one game at the 2020, 2016 and 2012 finals and have notched in every European qualifier since a 0-0 draw with Montenegro in October 2010. Slovakia scraped through the group stages in Germany when a 2-1 defeat against Ukraine and 1-1 draw with Romania followed a 1-0 win over Belgium. Despite the Slovak clean sheet, Belgium had two efforts disallowed. Whilst defensively vulnerable, they've scored in eleven of their last twelve total games and enter this match confident of causing an upset against an England side under huge pressure not to just win, but entertain. Slovakia may be expected to sit back, but they've scored all three goals in these championships inside the opening 24 minutes. All things considered I think BTTS is a huge price here.
1 member found this comment useful
26 June 2024
20:00 Czech Republic v Turkey

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

100 WIN

@1.85

Win

85

Having lost 2-1 to Portugal and drawn 1-1 with Georgia in their first two group games in these finals, Czech Republic will need to win beat Turkey to progress today. Scoring goals shouldn't be an issue as they have notched in seventeen of their last nineteen total games and Turkey have only kept four clean sheets in their last twenty. The Turks however carry a serious goal threat of their own and have scored in thirty of their last thirty-four fixtures. Their 3-1 win over Georgia in their opening group game last week was their only win in their last seven games though and a goalless friendly draw with Italy earlier this month is Turkey's only clean sheet in their last nine outings. Czech Republic's last six games have seen both teams score and they've conceded against Armenia, Malta and Georgia sides that lack the ability of Turkey. With the Czech Republic needing to win this game and Turkey needing a point to be certain of reaching the knockout stages, this promises to have action at both ends of the pitch, high drama and probably ill-temper. All things considered I think both teams to score is great value here.
1 member found this comment useful
17:00 Ukraine v Belgium

Belgium

100 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-100

Despite reaching the quarter-finals of the delayed finals three years ago, Ukraine have a poor record overall at the European Championships and their 2-1 win over Slovakia on Friday was only their third group stage win in nine attempts. The Ukrainians have never kept a clean sheet in those nine outings, failed to score on six of those occasions and produced an error strewn display in a 3-0 defeat to Romania in their opening Group E encounter last week. Belgium also suffered a loss in their opener with a 1-0 reverse against Slovakia, however, this was only the second time they'd failed to score in their sixteen outings since the 2022 World Cup and they had two goals Romelu Lukaku goals disallowed against the Slovaks. The Belgians have kept nine clean sheets in their last thirteen total outings and had another Lukaku effort chalked off in their 2-0 victory over Romania on Saturday. Sometimes an opening loss just focuses the minds of the players and I believe this has been the case for Belgium given their improvements against the Romanians. I'm confident they will comfortably overpower Ukraine on Wednesday and should top the group accordingly.
1 member found this comment useful
25 June 2024
17:00 Netherlands v Austria

Netherlands

100 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-100

Netherlands finished fourth in the Nations League last year and 2-1 defeats to France and Germany are their only losses in their last twelve games since. They've kept eight clean sheets in their last dozen outings, scoring thirty goals along the way and although the Dutch failed to score in their last match, they were unlucky not to win and had a goal disallowed against tournament favourites France on Thursday. Austria looked impressive in their 3-1 win over Poland five days ago and were just edged out 1-0 by France in their opening group game last week. The Austrians have lost just four of their last twenty total matches, however, all those defeats came against sides in the top nine of the FIFA World rankings after losses to France (twice), Croatia and Belgium. They've scored in seventeen of their last eighteen fixtures but have conceded in their last five and scored just four goals in their last four. Even with a narrow defeat Austria should scrape through to the last sixteen and this should be a good attacking game of football. However, I'd expect with their superiority on both sides of the ball, the World No.7 Netherlands should edge this.
1 member found this comment useful
23 June 2024
20:00 Switzerland v Germany

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Germany have scored at least two goals in nine of their last eleven total outings and look to be heading to the knockout stages at EURO 2024 as group winners after impressive 5-1 and 2-0 victories over Scotland and Hungary respectively. However, their clean sheet against the Hungarians was just their fifth in their last twenty-eight fixtures and the Magyars had a goal disallowed on Wednesday. That shutout was also the Germans' first at a major finals tournament since a 3-0 win over Slovakia at EURO 2016. Switzerland have scored in fourteen of their last sixteen matches and secured second place in Group A following a 3-1 win over Hungary and 1-1 draw with Scotland, the latter seeing two Swiss goals disallowed. This is World No.19 side's toughest test of the group stage and having conceded in their last eight fixtures at the European Championship finals, will likely be vulnerable again. The worst scenario is both Germany and Switzerland settle for 1st and 2nd place and play out a drab draw. However, the Swiss have an almost free hit at winning the group, so I think this will provide plenty of attacking football and over 2.5 total goals.
1 member found this comment useful
22 June 2024
20:00 Belgium v Romania

Belgium

100 WIN

@1.50

Win

50

Belgium crashed out at the group stage of the 2022 World Cup in Qatar but recovered well to embark on a fourteen match unbeaten run before the start of the Euro 2024 finals, scoring thirty-three goals and keeping nine clean sheets along the way. The Belgians were surprisingly beaten 1-0 in their Group E opener against Slovakia on Monday, however, they created a host of chances, had two goals disallowed and only conceded largely due to a goalkeeping error. Romania qualified from their Euro qualifying group undefeated and opened their account in Germany with a 3-0 victory over Ukraine, scoring a couple of fantastic goals after absorbing plenty of early pressure. They are an excellent defensive side and the team spirit shone through on Monday. However, the Romanians do tend to struggle in front of goal and their previous four previous games in 2024 saw goalless draws with Bulgaria and Liechtenstein earlier this month, as well as a 1-1 draw with Northern Ireland and 3-2 loss to Colombia in March. With Belgium desperate for a win and Romania gaining a slight cushion following their opening Group E games, I'd expect the Belgians to come out on top here.
1 member found this comment useful

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