TimHep94
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
TimHep94's Tips History
14 May 2026
16:40 4:40 York
Aspect Island
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+275
Lose
-100
Aspect Island looks a strong selection and is very well treated dropping back into more suitable company.
He was impressive last season at York Racecourse when winning a 2yo Handicap over 6F by 7½L off 76, marking him out as a smart sprint prospect. He then stepped up into Grade 3 company and ran an excellent race when 3rd beaten just ¾L to Beckford’s Folly, with both Brussels (2nd) and others now rated around 109.
He also showed international class when running in the Breeders’ Cup Juvenile Sprint at Del Mar Racetrack, finishing 3rd behind Cy Fair in a race that has worked out very well.
After a 167-day break he returned at Newmarket Racecourse in a deep Grade 3 over 6F and was beaten only 2¼L, with multiple next-time-out winners and 110+ rated horses in front and behind, so that form looks very strong.
Now dropping back into 3yo company, this is a much easier assignment on paper. A low draw of 2 is also a big positive given the developing track bias towards inside stalls.
With class form in the book and conditions in his favour, Aspect Island looks the one to beat.
15:43 3:43 Perth
Lets Mingle
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+450
Lose
-100
Lets Mingle could be set to make amends quickly after a slightly unlucky return run and looks a major player here for the Lucinda Russell & Michael Scudamore Racing yard. Last time out at Perth Racecourse in a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle over 2m4f off 109, she was travelling strongly and looked likely to finish in the frame, possibly even go close, before unseating at the final flight. That race appears stronger than this contest, which is an important factor. She already has solid course credentials, having won a maiden at Perth over this trip in 2025, confirming she handles the track and distance well. Earlier in the season she also ran well at Kelso Racecourse when 2nd in a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle over 2m6½f off 107, beaten 4¾ lengths in a competitive race that has worked out reasonably well. A 4 lb rise for her latest effort is not excessive given the circumstances, and this race looks slightly weaker on paper. If she can avoid any jumping errors, she has a strong chance of gaining compensation.
15:08 3:08 Perth
Bold Light
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+450
Lose
-100
Bold Light is top weight in this race, but that may not be enough to stop him if he reproduces his latest effort at Perth Racecourse over 2m4f in a Class 3 handicap hurdle. He finished 4th, beaten 5½ lengths off 116 in a competitive 0-130, with higher-rated rivals such as Jack Hyde (128), Nells Son (125), and Go Dante (131) all involved, so the form has clear substance. He has also shown he can back up his performances, including when 3rd off 118 in a Class 3 handicap hurdle (0-135) over 2m4½f, beaten 6½ lengths in another solid effort. His last win came at Kelso Racecourse in a Class 2 handicap hurdle over 2m5f off 123, confirming he is capable at a higher level than this. The key angle here is the drop in grade to a Class 4 handicap (0-115), which looks significantly easier than what he has been facing. The addition of a first-time tongue tie is also interesting and could help him travel and finish his race off more effectively. If that equipment change has the desired effect, Bold Light looks well positioned to play a leading role and could prove the one to beat.
14:55 2:55 York
Sea Force
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+400
Lose
-100
Sea Force looks to hold strong claims here after shaping extremely well last time out at Thirsk Racecourse in a Class 2 handicap off 94. He finished 3rd of 13, beaten only 1¾ lengths, travelling strongly throughout before meeting trouble late on and looking unfortunate not to finish even closer. A 1 lb rise for that effort seems fair enough and may still underestimate him.
There is plenty in his profile to suggest he could develop into a 100+ rated performer. Earlier form includes finishing 2nd by a neck in a novice at Doncaster Racecourse behind the now 109-rated Remmooz, while he was also narrowly denied at Newbury Racecourse by the now 98-rated Montpellier.
One of his standout runs came in the competitive Heritage Handicap at York Racecourse last August, where he finished 6th, beaten only 1¼ lengths behind the now 102-rated Fifth Column, staying on strongly at the finish.
The cheekpieces remain on, which appear to be helping, and the return of Tom Marquand looks another positive. A low draw could also prove advantageous depending on how the race develops.
If building on that latest Thirsk effort, Sea Force looks capable of going very close.
14:20 2:20 York
Air Force One
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+800
Lose
-100
Air Force One looks to have strong claims returning to York Racecourse, a venue where some of his best form has been produced. Last season he won a Class 4 Handicap over 5f here on good ground off 78, scoring by 1¼l before quickly proving himself at a much higher level. He followed that with an excellent 3rd of 20 in a Class 2 Handicap at York off 84, beaten only ¾l behind the now 96-rated Trefor, with the then 100-rated Roman Dragon behind in sixth. He then finished 2nd in another strong Class 2 Handicap over 5½f at York off 87, beaten just a neck by the now 106-rated Alzahir, with the pair clear of the rest. That form reads particularly well for this grade. His all-weather campaign also contained some respectable efforts, including a solid run at Newcastle Racecourse behind the now 103-rated Fahrenheit Seven. Most recently, he returned from a 68-day break to win a Class 3 Handicap at Beverley Racecourse over 5f off 88, staying on strongly late. That comeback success suggested he has returned in excellent form, and now back at York off 90, Air Force One looks capable of another big performance.
Toca Madera
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2000
Lose
-50
Toca Madera comes with risks attached but could be a very interesting each-way contender if able to reproduce anything close to the form shown in this race last season at York Racecourse. Trained by Brian Meehan, he came into this race after a below-par effort at Goodwood but bounced back with an excellent 3rd in this Class 2 handicap over 5f, beaten just 1¾L off 94 behind American Affair. The form has worked out exceptionally well, with American Affair now rated 113, JM Jungle rated 110 and fourth-placed Shagraan now 108. He also produced solid efforts in competitive handicaps at Windsor Racecourse and Ascot Racecourse before switching to the yard of David O'Meara. After a 266-day break, he returned in a Class 3 handicap off 89 and was beaten only 3¼L in seventh, a run that should have brought him forward fitness-wise. He has since dropped another 2 lb to a mark of 87, which looks workable on his old form. A high draw could also be advantageous depending on how the race develops. If rediscovering last year’s York level, Toca Madera looks capable of outrunning his odds.
14:08 2:08 Salisbury
Mumayaz
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+175
Lose
-100
Mumayaz could be the one to follow in this race after shaping better than the bare result on his penultimate start before winning convincingly last time out. At Bath Racecourse in a Class 4 handicap over 5½f off 67, he finished 6th, beaten 5L, but travelled strongly throughout and repeatedly struggled for room, suggesting he should have finished much closer. That run looked full of promise despite the result. He then returned at Leicester Racecourse over 6f on good to firm ground and made no mistake, winning a Class 5 handicap by 2½L in a 0-75 contest. He travelled strongly again before being pushed clear late on, looking a horse ahead of his mark. A 4 lb penalty is unlikely to stop him if in the same form, especially as he is due to rise a further 3 lb after this race, suggesting he could still be ahead of the handicapper. This apprentice race, where whips are carried but not used, could also play perfectly to his strengths. Horses that travel strongly and quicken naturally often hold an advantage under these conditions, and on that basis Mumayaz looks the one they may all have to beat.
Subtotal-650
13 May 2026
19:12 7:12 Bath
Virtual Hug
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+300
Lose
-100
Virtual Hug looks to hold strong claims of following up after an impressive success last time out at Bath Racecourse. That victory came over 1m 3½f on good ground off a mark of 50, where he was held up before finishing strongly to win well. The performance was particularly eye-catching given the race setup. In a field of nine he was the only runner to come from off the pace, while those finishing 2nd to 5th were all ridden prominently or raced close to the lead. He clearly enjoys Bath and has a solid course profile, with figures of 12324 at the track. He also ran well here several times last season, including a 3rd and a 2nd, showing consistency around this unique circuit. The latest win came in a 0-60 handicap, while this race drops into a weaker 0-55 contest. Although he carries a 4 lb penalty, he still runs off just 54 and looks fairly treated considering the strength of his recent performance. With conditions to suit and proven course form, Virtual Hug looks to have another strong chance here.
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17:15 5:15 York
Great Bedwyn
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@+800
Win
30
Great Bedwyn looks to hold strong claims returning to a race he won last season at York Racecourse. He landed this contest by a neck off a mark of 87 over 1m 4f and now returns 4 lb lower, which immediately makes him look well treated. Following that success, he competed in stronger company and shaped respectably without quite managing another win. He finished 4th at Ascot Racecourse off 88, beaten only 1¾ lengths, before a solid 2nd in a Class 3 handicap on the all-weather over 1m 4f off 87. After a break, he returned in March with another encouraging run when 2nd over 1m 4f in a Class 3 handicap off 84 behind Whitcombe Rockstar, with higher-rated rivals Parlando and Nolton Cross behind. His latest run over 1m 2f can be forgiven, as that sharper trip appeared less suitable. Now freshened up, dropped another 1 lb to 83, and returning to a Class 4 handicap over a more suitable distance, conditions look ideal again. Stall 7 appears workable and he has already shown he handles this track well. Back in calmer waters, Great Bedwyn looks set to go very close.
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15:43 3:43 Perth
Sir Carnegie
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+450
Lose
-100
Sir Carnegie looks likely to go close based on the strength of his latest run at Perth Racecourse. That came on his second start back from a break in a Class 4 Handicap Chase over 3M on good ground, where he finished 2nd, beaten 3½ lengths off 94 behind Inis Oirr, who is rated 102. The form looks solid, with the 109-rated Lady In The Park back in third. He showed last season that he is effective over staying trips, winning off marks of 86 and 93 over 2m 7½f, so the distance is clearly no issue. The return of cheekpieces also appeared to have a positive effect last time out, helping him travel and compete much more effectively. Now only 2 lb higher and dropping in class, he looks attractively treated if able to reproduce that latest effort. The return of James Bowen is another positive and suggests connections mean business. With proven stamina, suitable ground, and encouraging recent form, Sir Carnegie looks to hold strong claims in this company.
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14:55 2:55 York
Fahrenheit Seven
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+1000
Lose
-100
Fahrenheit Seven is top weight in this race but that may not be enough to rule him out, especially with a potentially favourable high draw over 6F at York Racecourse, where his profile suggests he could be well suited to conditions.
Before changing yards in 2025, he won a Class 2 Handicap at Hamilton Park Racecourse off 86, scoring comfortably by 2L and showing he is effective in competitive handicaps on turf.
Since moving stables, he initially ran below par on soft ground, which may be excusable, but quickly bounced back with strong wins on the all-weather. He landed a Class 3 at Newcastle Racecourse over 5F off 92, then followed up in a Class 2 at Southwell Racecourse off 99, proving he remains progressive and capable at higher marks.
Last time out in a Listed race at Naas Racecourse over 5F, he finished 7th beaten 3½L to the 110-rated Mission Central, but the run suggested he wasn’t far off that level in a stronger contest.
With a good draw, strong recent form, and proven class, Fahrenheit Seven looks well placed to run a big race despite top weight.
1 member found this comment useful
Rousing Encore
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1400
Lose
-100
Rousing Encore is worth an each-way look in a race where he already has proven form. He returns to York Racecourse off a mark of 87, just 5 lb higher than when winning this race last year off 82, which immediately puts him in the conversation on known conditions. That previous win came on good to firm ground by 1¼ L, and importantly the race has worked out well, with the runner-up Two Tribes now rated 103. He also had a couple of runs beforehand that were modest, suggesting he can be primed after a few outings. This season he returned from a break at Newcastle Racecourse with a solid 2nd in a Class 3 handicap over 6f off 87, showing he retains ability. He then ran 5th at Newmarket Racecourse before a disappointing effort at Doncaster, but those runs can be forgiven in isolation. A middle draw should allow him to track the pace without being forced wide or held up too far back, which is often important in competitive 6f handicaps. Back at a track he has already won at, Rousing Encore looks well treated enough to run a big race and is a solid each-way contender.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-370
12 May 2026
17:00 5:00 Bath
Thapa VC
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+350
Lose
-100
Thapa VC is taken to have a big chance back at his ideal conditions after a couple of runs this season that can be forgiven or improved upon. He returned from a 115-day break at Wolverhampton Racecourse and was well beaten, but then showed more encouragement when fifth at Bath Racecourse over 1m2f in a Class 6 handicap, making some headway before weakening late on. That trip looks too far, and he is much more effective at shorter distances. His best form comes at this level and course. He won over this course and distance at Bath in September in a Class 6 handicap off 65 on good to firm ground, travelling strongly and finishing well to land a 0-65 contest. He also won here again earlier in the season off 67, confirming his liking for the track. Now dropped to a mark of 60 and returning to 1m, conditions look much more suitable. The return to good to firm ground is another plus, and Jack Mitchell is back in the saddle. Despite a wide draw, he has handled it before, and a return to his best trip could see Thapa VC bounce back into contention.
16:45 4:45 Hereford
Midnight Pass
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@+500
Lose
-100
Midnight Pass looks capable of taking a step forward from a promising return run at Taunton Racecourse. She came back from a 191-day break in a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle over 2m3f off 97 and finished 4th, beaten 13L in a 0-110. While that may not look standout on paper, the winner Taritino was well clear, meaning the rest of the field were closely grouped and it was a stronger contest than it first appears. Last season she showed more ability when 2nd in a maiden hurdle over 2m at Hereford, beaten 5¾L by the now 121-rated Ninna Collina on good ground, a piece of form that reads well in the context of this race. She now drops into a Class 5 Handicap 0-100 off a mark of 95, which looks more manageable, especially with only her second run after a break likely to bring improvement. The distance of 2m3½f should not be an issue on pedigree, suggesting stamina is in place. With James Bowen back aboard, Midnight Pass looks well placed to get more competitive in a weaker grade.
Subtotal-200
11 May 2026
19:17 7:17 Windsor
Over Spiced
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+300
Lose
-100
Over Spiced looks capable of following up after a strong success last time out at Bath Racecourse. That win came in a Class 5 handicap over 5f off 67 in a 0-75 contest, where she showed plenty of early pace, led, and kept on well under pressure to score convincingly. The performance backed up an earlier excellent effort at Salisbury Racecourse, where she was beaten only 1L in a Class 4 handicap on good to firm ground behind the 85-rated Dapper Valley, with the 80-rated Em Four in third. Those runs suggest there could still be more improvement to come from her current mark. Although she carries a 5 lb penalty for the Bath win, she actually drops from a 0-75 into a weaker 0-70 contest here, which could prove significant. The draw also looks favourable. Stall 2 at Windsor Racecourse should allow her to get close to the rail and potentially dominate again, a tactic that can work very well at this track. With conditions to suit and confidence high, Over Spiced looks well placed to go close once more.
15:30 3:30 Catterick
Laravie
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+150
Win
150
Laravie looks capable of following up despite carrying a 4 lb penalty for last time’s success at Salisbury Racecourse. That was her first start on turf after three novice runs and a handicap effort, and she improved significantly when making all over 1m 6f on good to firm ground off 56. She stayed on strongly to win by 3½ lengths and was still extending clear at the finish, suggesting the step up to 2m should suit well. Previous hurdle form also backs up the stamina angle, with wins over much further under jumps rules, so endurance is unlikely to be an issue. This race appears to revolve around Laravie and Zimmerman, but the likely quicker ground could prove decisive. Softer conditions may suit Zimmerman more, whereas Laravie already showed she is effective on fast ground. The manner of the Salisbury win suggested front-running tactics suit her perfectly, and with Hollie Doyle booked, there is every chance she is ridden positively again. Even with the penalty, Laravie looks well placed to dictate from the front and prove hard to reel in.
Subtotal50
10 May 2026
17:10 5:10 Ludlow
Izzys Grey
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@+1000
Lose
-100
Izzy’s Grey is hardly the most convincing profile on paper, but in what looks a weak contest he may be worth taking a chance on. Recent form figures of PPPP6 do not inspire confidence, though the latest effort was a step back in the right direction. Returning from a 122-day break, he finished 6th in a Novices’ Handicap Hurdle off 105, beaten only 6½L after making some late headway from the rear. While not spectacular, it was easily his most encouraging run for some time and suggested there may still be some ability there. The key piece of older form came back in April 2025 when he finished 2nd in a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle over 2m7f on good ground off 91. The form of that race has worked out strongly, with the winner now rated 132 and others behind now rated above 100. He now runs off just 84, which gives him a chance if building on the latest effort. The step up to 2m5½f and return to good ground both look positives. In a modest race, Izzy’s Grey could take another step forward and prove competitive from this reduced mark.
16:50 4:50 Leopardstown
Diamond Exchange
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+450
Void
0
Diamond Exchange is still searching for a first turf success after six attempts, but recent runs suggest a race of this nature is well within reach. Last time out at Leopardstown Racecourse, she returned from a 96-day break in first-time cheekpieces and ran a strong race over 1m2f, leading for much of the contest before finishing 3rd, beaten only 1½ lengths by a 92-rated rival. That looked an encouraging effort in a stronger race than this. She had previously won at Dundalk Stadium over 1m2½f on the all-weather, while earlier maiden form included a 2nd behind a horse now rated 93. Leopardstown clearly suits her, and she now runs off a mark of 77 in a race where the top-rated rival is only 86. The booking of Keithen Kennedy is another positive, especially as the rider has won on her before and claims a useful 5 lb. If she can build on the latest run and handle the quicker ground, Diamond Exchange looks likely to be involved at the finish.
16:02 4:02 Ludlow
Soleil Darizona
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+332
Lose
-100
4:02 Ludlow ??" 2M ??" Class 4 Handicap Hurdle ??" 0-110 ??" Good
Soleil d’Arizona is worth another chance here. The latest run at Plumpton Racecourse can likely be forgiven after being pulled up and reported to have bled from the nose.
Prior to that, he ran reasonably well at Stratford Racecourse in a Class 3 Handicap Hurdle over 2M½F on soft ground, finishing 5th in a stronger 0-125 contest.
His best form suggests he could be well treated off 108. Back in September 2025 he won a novice hurdle on good ground over 2M by 3½L, making all and doing it comfortably. Importantly, in both of his best runs this year he has been ridden aggressively from the front, which looks to suit him perfectly.
Now dropped into a weaker 0-110 and with Harry Skelton taking the ride, there is every chance tactics will be straightforward. Good ground should also play to his strengths, and this race does not look the strongest on paper. If allowed to dictate from the front, Soleil d’Arizona could prove difficult to peg back.
Subtotal-200
09 May 2026
19:25 7:25 Leicester
Tattie Bogle
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+450
Lose
-100
Tattie Bogle looks capable of following up after finally getting off the mark on turf last time out at Musselburgh Racecourse. That victory came in a Class 5 handicap over 7f off 66, where he showed a good attitude to win by a neck from Carolus Magnus and Mission Command. It had been coming, with several competitive efforts beforehand suggesting a win was near. Looking back at last season, there is enough form to suggest he may still be fairly treated. He was rated as high as 80 and ran respectably in stronger races, including a fifth in a Class 2 3yo handicap and another solid effort in a Class 3 at Newmarket Racecourse off 78. He is now only rated 68, and the rise for the latest success is effectively cancelled out by Jack Callan’s useful 3 lb claim. With confidence likely boosted by that breakthrough success and his mark still looking workable based on older form, Tattie Bogle looks to hold solid claims again here at Leicester Racecourse.
1 member found this comment useful
19:07 7:07 Warwick
Mammies Boy
Daily Racing
50 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+850
Void
0
Mammies Boy looks to hold solid claims after an encouraging effort last time out at Exeter Racecourse. He finished 3rd in a Class 4 Handicap Hurdle over 2m5½f off 109, travelling strongly through the race before just not quite finding enough late on behind the 115-rated Got A Dream. That run suggested a return to form and hinted that another success may not be far away. Course form is another major positive. He has previously won over this course and distance at Warwick Racecourse off 110 in a Class 3 Handicap Hurdle, beating the now 127-rated Prince Imperial by a neck. He also ran well here over 2m3f when beaten only 2l in 4th off the same mark. This contest does not look the strongest on paper, and remaining on a mark of 109 gives him a solid opportunity. With proven course form, suitable conditions, and a promising latest run, Mammies Boy looks capable of going very close.
1 member found this comment useful
17:42 5:42 Hexham
Johnsons Blue
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+2500
Win
200
Johnson’s Blue looks a risky but interesting contender returning to a track where he has an excellent record. Recent runs are clearly a concern. He was well beaten before pulling up last time out in a Class 2 Handicap at Haydock Park Racecourse, but his current mark is beginning to look very workable. Earlier this season he ran well at Wetherby Racecourse when third in a Class 3 Handicap Chase over 2m3½f, beaten 8½ lengths on soft ground. His standout piece of form came over course and distance at Hexham Racecourse when narrowly denied by the 130-rated Fingal’s Hill in a Class 3 Handicap Hurdle. A look further back shows just how effective he is at Hexham, with course figures of 11112. He has won here over both 2m4f and 2m7½f and also landed a Class 3 Handicap Hurdle at Doncaster Racecourse by 11 lengths off 127. Now down to 121, he looks dangerously well handicapped if this return to Hexham sparks a revival.
1 member found this comment useful
16:25 4:25 Lingfield
Maharajas Express
Daily Racing
100 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@+650
Void
0
Maharajas Express looks the danger if this race develops into a strong-pace contest. While So Smart appeals from the front, there appears to be plenty of early speed on paper, which could suit a hold-up horse perfectly. Maharajas Express is at his best when coming from off the pace, as shown by his win at Chester Racecourse in a Class 4 Handicap over 5f off 68, where he was held up before finishing strongly to lead late. He was well beaten in this race last year, but never really got into a good position given the way the race unfolded and the bias at the track. He has since had a run back from a break, which should leave him fitter for this assignment. Now dropped to a mark of 69 and drawn in stall 6, he should be able to sit in behind the speed and get cover before being produced late. If the leaders go too hard early and gaps appear at the right time, Maharajas Express could be the one finishing strongest at the line.
1 member found this comment useful
So Smart
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1400
Lose
-100
So Smart looks capable of going very close again in a race he won last year at Lingfield Park Racecourse. Twelve months ago he made all off a mark of 63, showing plenty of speed and determination to hold on by ½L. That effort was even more notable as he won from stall 1 in a 14-runner field, despite higher draws often being favoured here. This time he has stall 4 in a smaller field of nine, which may allow him to get across more easily and adopt his preferred prominent role. His running style suits the track well if he breaks sharply. Last season he climbed to a mark of 69 and ran well in stronger company, including a close second in a Class 4 Handicap at Sandown Park Racecourse. He now returns off 62, 1 lb below last year’s winning mark. Interestingly, before winning this race last year he had also run poorly twice at Bath Racecourse, which mirrors this season’s preparation. Back at a track that suits, So Smart could prove dangerous if allowed to dictate from the front.
15:25 3:25 Nottingham
Asteverdi
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+600
Lose
-100
Asteverdi looks capable of running a big race on just the second start for the James Owen yard. She returned from a 186-day break with a solid 3rd in a Class 4 Fillies’ Handicap over 1m at Musselburgh Racecourse off 78, beaten only 2¼L by the now 91-rated Bellarchi. That looked an encouraging comeback, and she should strip fitter for the run. Last season’s form also gives her strong claims from this mark. She finished 4th in a Class 2 Fillies’ Handicap at Ascot Racecourse behind Abloom and Noche Clasica, both now rated in the 90s, and was also narrowly beaten by the now 93-rated Theoryofeverything at Ayr Racecourse. A previous win at Nottingham Racecourse over 1m 4f with cheekpieces applied suggests the return of the headgear could help again. Although softer ground may suit best, she has handled good ground before, including last time out. Stall 1 could also prove ideal if she secures a handy early position.
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14:55 2:55 Ascot
Opportunity
Daily Racing
50 EWNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+600
Win
10
Opportunity looks the main danger to Valedictory in what could develop into a very informative race at Ascot Racecourse.
He returns from a lengthy 323-day absence and has been gelded since last seen, but the yard is operating well and the ability is clearly there. His standout piece of form came at Haydock Park Racecourse, where he won a strong Class 2 novice over 1M3½F after a 178-day break, staying on well to beat Rahiebb, who is now rated 115.
He then ran in a Listed race over 1M3F and finished 4th behind Amiloc (rated 116) and Sir Dinadan (rated 107). The bare result doesn’t tell the full story, as Opportunity was badly hampered during the race yet still stayed on well late, suggesting he would have finished much closer with a clear passage.
The final run of last season was disappointing, which suggests something may not have been right, and that could explain the long absence. Now returning off a mark of 91, there’s a chance he could be very well handicapped if back to the level of his earlier form.
The absence is the concern, but on pure ability Opportunity looks a serious threat.
1 member found this comment useful
Valedictory
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+200
Lose
-100
Valedictory looks to hold very strong claims, with the step up to 1m 4f shaping as a major positive.
Last time out at Newbury Racecourse, he finished a close 2nd over 1m 2f in a Class 4 handicap off 84, beaten just a neck by Rathgar, who has since followed up next time out. Valedictory stayed on strongly there and shaped like a horse ready for a longer trip.
Earlier form also reads very well. He won a novice over 1m 2f on the all-weather by 4¾ lengths, showing a good attitude and plenty of ability. On debut at Doncaster Racecourse, he was only narrowly beaten by Yabher, now rated 104, and then ran another strong race at Newmarket Racecourse behind Push The Limit, who is now rated 103.
Those pieces of form suggest his current mark of 87 may underestimate his ability. His pedigree points strongly towards improvement over this longer distance, and the way he finished last time supports that view.
With the step up in trip likely to suit perfectly, Valedictory looks the one they all have to beat.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-190
08 May 2026
19:15 7:15 Ripon
Modern Times
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@+500
Lose
-100
Modern Times looks to have solid claims here, particularly with his recent runs suggesting he’s not far off a winning mark. His seasonal return at Ripon Racecourse can be upgraded. Finishing 5th, beaten just 2L off 75, he never really got a clear run and shaped better than the bare result. He built on that next time at Pontefract Racecourse, finishing 3rd behind the now 90-rated Veblen Good ??" a solid piece of form. He’s already a course-and-distance winner at Ripon, having landed a maiden over 6f in June 2025, which is a big positive. Looking further back, his 2nd at Thirsk Racecourse behind Smart Vision (now 87-rated) and his close 4th at York Racecourse in a strong Class 3 both suggest he has the ability to be competitive off his current mark. Now eased 1 lb to 74 and with a decent draw, he looks well positioned. If getting a clearer run this time, Modern Times has the form and profile to be right in the mix.
17:10 5:10 Ascot
Galactic Charm
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+2500
Lose
-100
Galactic Charm is an interesting runner reverting back to the Flat and could be well treated if rediscovering his old form. His last notable Flat effort came at Kempton Park Racecourse in 2024, finishing 4th in a Class 3 over 2m, beaten just 1¾ lengths in a race that has worked out strongly ??" with the placed horses now rated in the 90s and beyond. He hasn’t shown much in recent hurdle runs since, but a switch back to the Flat could be key. His previous run at Yarmouth Racecourse over 1m 6f on good to firm saw him finish a staying-on 3rd, again in a race that reads well. He’s also proven his stamina by winning over hurdles for the Gary Moore yard, which suggests this 2m trip at Ascot Racecourse will suit. Now dropped to a mark of 78 and with a useful 7 lb claimer taking off weight, he looks potentially well handicapped. If the return to the Flat sparks improvement, Galactic Charm has the profile to be competitive in this staying contest.
15:40 3:40 Chester
Miraculous
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1200
Lose
-100
Miraculous is one who could easily outrun odds given his strong course profile, even if a few things need to fall right. His record at Chester Racecourse is a major positive ??" a win and a 2nd from two starts over 6f. The win came in a Class 4 off 81 where he traveled prominently and pulled clear late, posting a solid RPR of 91. He then backed that up with a 2nd in a Class 3 off 86 behind Marchogion (now 97-rated), with subsequent winners behind ??" strong form for this level. His all-weather runs after that were underwhelming, but they’re easy enough to forgive given how much better he looks on turf. His recent return from a 172-day break saw him finish 6th, beaten 5½ lengths, where he didn’t settle ??" a run that should bring him on. Now down to a mark of 80, he’s well treated based on his Chester form. Stall 8 isn’t ideal, but if he breaks well and gets across into a handy position, that tactical pace could offset the draw. If settling better and building on his comeback run, Miraculous has definite claims.
Rosenpur
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+600
Win
600
Rosenpur looks an interesting contender, particularly with a favourable low draw at Chester Racecourse, which can be a big advantage if he breaks well. He has proven course form, including a win over 5½f here last season in a Class 4 off 73. He’s also shown he can mix it at a higher level, finishing a close 2nd in a Class 2 over 5f at Chester, beaten just ½L by Roman Dragon, with a 99-rated horse back in third ??" strong form for this grade. His efforts elsewhere also stack up. He was 2nd at Catterick Racecourse in a Class 2 behind the now 97-rated Lexington Blitz, and returned from a break this season to go down by a head to Aberama Gold, again showing he retains plenty of ability. The latest run at Musselburgh Racecourse was below par, but that can be forgiven given his overall profile. He has the speed to get on the front end and, from a good draw, should be able to adopt a prominent position. If he bounces back to his earlier form, Rosenpur looks well capable of being involved at the finish.
15:25 3:25 Ascot
Kodiac Thriller
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+900
Lose
-100
Kodiac Thriller looks to have solid claims, particularly after getting back on track with a recent win. He returned from a 162-day break with a below-par run at Doncaster Racecourse but quickly bounced back to win a Class 4 Handicap at Ripon Racecourse over 6f off 79. That performance suggests he’s come forward fitness-wise and is back in good order. Looking at last season’s form, there’s a strong argument that his current mark of 81 still underestimates him. He competed well in higher-grade races, including a Class 2 over 5f where he finished behind horses now rated up to 110, and another strong second at Ripon off 82 with solid form behind. His run at Curragh Racecourse also reads well, finishing close behind multiple high-rated sprinters. A 2 lb rise for the recent win looks fair rather than harsh. The draw in stall 9 could also be a positive depending on how the race unfolds, particularly if the pace develops on that side. With proven form in stronger company and a recent win under his belt, Kodiac Thriller looks to hold strong claims again here.
Subtotal200
07 May 2026
19:20 7:20 Redcar
Real Gain
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+400
Lose
-100
Real Gain looks a strong contender and could well take plenty of beating dropping in grade. His earlier form is solid, notably finishing 3rd in a Class 2 at Goodwood Racecourse over 1M, beaten just 2L by Rhoscolyn and Ebt's Guard (now rated 105). That race has worked out well, with several behind going on to run to a high level. He then made an encouraging start for his new yard at Newmarket Racecourse, finishing 4th in another Class 2 over 1M, beaten only 3L by Mister Winston. The runner-up, Arisaig, is now rated 101, again giving that form a solid look. That comeback run should have brought him forward in terms of fitness, and now he drops into a Class 3 handicap, which represents a clear ease in grade. Off a mark of 92 and with strong recent form against higher-rated opposition, Real Gain looks well placed. If building on that latest run, he sets a high standard and looks the one to beat.
18:30 6:30 Southwell
Give Me The Night
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1800
Lose
-100
Give Me The Night looks a plausible contender in what appears a weaker race than he’s previously contested. He’s still a maiden, but there have been enough signs of ability. His 3rd over 1m 2½f in a maiden behind Sea Force (now rated 95) reads well for this level and suggests he has the capability to win a race of this nature. He returned from a 180-day break at Kempton Park Racecourse in a Class 4 handicap over 1m, finishing 4th, beaten 6¼ lengths by the 80-rated Broadway Act. That run likely served as a fitness builder and wasn’t devoid of promise given the level of opposition. Now dropping into a Class 5 (0??"70) and eased 2 lb to a mark of 66, he finds himself in more suitable company. The inside draw in stall 2 could also be a positive if he can secure a prominent early position. If stepping forward from his recent run, Give Me The Night looks to have a solid chance of getting involved and could be ready to shed his maiden tag.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Roman Dragon
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+550
Win
550
Roman Dragon is a fascinating runner here, especially given his outstanding record at Chester Racecourse, where course specialists often thrive. There are some concerns based on recent form. His latest run at Leicester Racecourse saw him finish 12th, beaten 6½ lengths in a Class 2 off 98, and his Bahrain runs earlier this year didn’t quite match the level he showed last season. However, that Leicester effort may have been a needed run after those travels. Looking back to last season, his profile becomes much more appealing. He returned from Bahrain to win this very race over 5f off 95, staying on strongly, and later added a Listed success over 6f at the same track. With seven wins at Chester, his affinity for the course is a major asset. The race setup could also suit. From stall 3, he should be able to secure a good early position just off the pace. With likely strong fractions, his ability to finish off his race ??" especially given he stays further ??" becomes a big advantage. If returning closer to last year’s form, particularly now back down to a mark of 95, Roman Dragon looks capable of being a major player once again.
Rubys Profit
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+750
Lose
-100
Ruby’s Profit looks an interesting runner, especially with a favourable setup from stall 2 and a run style that suits this type of race. She’s at her best when breaking well and racing prominently. That draw should allow her to get into a good early position. Her recent runs can be upgraded slightly. The Listed race was a tough reappearance, and at Bath Racecourse she missed the break but stayed on strongly to be beaten just 1L, suggesting she may have been the best horse in the race with a cleaner start. Her 3yo form stacks up well. She was 2nd in a Class 3 over 5f off 84, won at Goodwood Racecourse off 87, and was a close 3rd at Epsom Downs Racecourse off 93. She also ran well in a competitive Class 2 at Southwell Racecourse, finishing within 2½L of higher-rated rivals. The hood is now removed, and if she breaks cleanly and gets a good position on the pace, Ruby’s Profit has the class to be competitive despite the rise in grade.
Subtotal250
06 May 2026
20:30 8:30 Kempton
Yehudi
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+450
Win
270
Yehudi looks a tentative but interesting option in what doesn’t appear to be the strongest race. His recent form offers some encouragement, particularly the run at Kempton Park Racecourse in February, where he was beaten just a neck over 7f in a Class 6, pulling clear of the third. That suggests he’s capable of winning at this level. He backed that up with a fair effort at Wolverhampton Racecourse over 1m 4½f, finishing fourth, and then wasn’t beaten far when sixth of 16 at Doncaster Racecourse on turf over 7f. Those runs indicate he’s holding his form reasonably well. There are clear risks ??" he’s still a maiden and has tried various headgear combinations ??" but he’s now dropped to a mark of 58, which gives him a chance in this grade. The booking of Jack Mitchell is also a positive. In a weak-looking contest, Yehudi has enough recent form to suggest he could be competitive if things fall his way.
16:45 4:45 Chester
Sujet
Daily Racing
50 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 11.00 on 05/05 at 17:430.10 deduction for Goldmoyne@7.00 withdrawn at 16:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 10.00 x (1-0.10) = 10.00
@+900
Win
40
Sujet looks capable of stepping forward from his seasonal return and could be well treated off his current mark. His first run for the Declan Carroll yard came at Newmarket Racecourse in a Class 3 over 7f, where he finished 7th, beaten 6½ lengths. He traveled prominently for a long way before fading late, and it’s possible he was on the wrong side of the track, with the near-side runners finishing stronger. That effort should bring him on fitness-wise. He’s now dropped 2 lb to 87, which starts to look appealing based on his earlier form. As a 3yo, he won over 1m1f on good ground, beating Mississippi River (now rated 100), and showed further promise in strong races as a 2yo, including efforts behind horses now rated well into the 100s. Those pieces of form suggest he has more ability than his current mark indicates. Drawn in stall 7 at Chester Racecourse, he’ll need to break well and secure a handy position, which is key around this track. If he does so and builds on his comeback run, Sujet could be a lively contender.
14:05 2:05 Chester
Partisan Hero
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@+550
Lose
-100
Partisan Hero looks a major player here, especially given the ideal setup from stall 1 at Chester Racecourse, where low draws and front runners are often favoured. He’s progressed well, rising from a mark of 70 to 93, and his course form is a big positive. He finished 2nd in this race last year, beaten just ¾L by Two Tempting over 7½F, showing he handles the unique demands of Chester well. His front-running style is a key asset. He made all to win a Class 2 at Epsom Downs Racecourse over 7F off 83, beating the now 103-rated Golden Mind, and followed up later in the season with another win at Epsom off 87. He’s since been running in Bahrain, finishing with a solid 2nd, and now returns freshened up. The booking of Rossa Ryan is another positive. Off 93, he will need to find a bit more improvement, but with the plum draw, likely uncontested lead, and strong track profile, Partisan Hero looks set to give a bold front-running performance.
Subtotal210
05 May 2026
20:30 8:30 Wolverhampton
Isla Bella
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@+1100
Lose
-100
Isla Bella looks to have a solid setup here, especially if the race is run at a strong pace as expected. Her run in March at Wolverhampton Racecourse stands out ??" beaten just a head by Kento off 46 in a Class 6 over 5f. That form ties in well with today’s race, particularly as Kento reopposes. The run at Southwell Racecourse can be forgiven, as she never got a clear run, so it’s best ignored. She bounced back last time with a solid 3rd, beaten 2¼l by Henery Hawk ??" a piece of form that links closely with Kento again and gives it a solid look. The likely pace angle is key here. With Kento and Colors Of Freedom expected to go forward, it should set things up nicely for a closer. That scenario would suit Isla Bella perfectly, allowing her to come late off a strong tempo. Still off 46 and with Lewis Edmunds booked, Isla Bella looks well placed to take advantage and could be ready to break through on the all-weather.
18:47 6:47 Hereford
Earth King
Daily Racing
50 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 04/05 at 16:020.25 deduction for The Long Walk@3.50 withdrawn at 07:170.20 deduction for I Spy A Diva @5.000 withdrawn at 18:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.45) = 4.58
@+357
Win
223
Earth King looks a solid option on his second run back and should be much sharper for his recent outing. He returned from a 217-day break to finish 4th in a Class 3 Handicap Hurdle over 3M, beaten 6½L. He raced prominently and kept on, shaping like a horse that would improve for the run. His previous winning form is strong at this level. He scored at Uttoxeter Racecourse over 2M7½F on good ground off 116, beating a 124-rated rival by 3L, which suggests his current mark is very workable. He also has wins at Exeter Racecourse (2M7F) and Fontwell Park Racecourse (3M2F), proving his stamina and versatility regarding conditions. Now dropped 2 lb back to 116 and easing in class, he looks well treated based on his past successes. With that recent run under his belt and conditions to suit, Earth King ticks plenty of boxes. If building on his comeback effort, he looks to have a strong chance of being involved at the finish.
Subtotal123
04 May 2026
16:50 4:50 Beverley
Sea Master
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.75 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG
@+275
Win
275
Sea Master looks well placed to follow up after a solid recent win and has plenty in his favour here. He returned from a 181-day break to win over course and distance at Beverley Racecourse, scoring by 1¼L off 53. He travelled strongly into the race and kept on well, suggesting he had more in hand than the margin implies. While that success came on good to soft, his previous form shows he handles quicker conditions just as well. Last season, he finished 2nd over this same course and distance on good to firm, beaten just 1L and pulling well clear of the rest. A 3 lb rise to 56 looks fair given how he shaped last time, and he remains lightly treated based on his staying form. With proven course form, suitability to the ground, and race fitness now on his side, Sea Master looks to have strong claims of completing a quick double.
16:15 4:15 Beverley
Trilby
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@+350
Lose
-100
Trilby looks worth another chance here, especially with conditions likely to suit better this time. Last time out at Beverley Racecourse over this course and distance, he ran a solid race in a Class 4 (0??"80), finishing just behind I’m Next, who has since backed up the form. Trilby was also 1¼ lengths clear of the third, suggesting it was a strong effort despite being outpaced from the rear. The return to slightly easier ground looks a positive. Some of his best runs have come with cut, including a close third at Pontefract Racecourse on soft in a Class 3 behind the now 99-rated Fine Interview. He’s also handled heavy and good ground, showing useful versatility. Importantly, he’s a previous course-and-distance winner here in a Class 3 off 82, beating a horse now rated 91. With a decent draw and the potential for a more prominent ride, Trilby could be better positioned tactically and looks capable of being very competitive.
16:08 4:08 Windsor
Seraphim Angel
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+700
Lose
-100
Seraphim Angel looks a strong contender here if bouncing back from her latest run. That below-par effort at Kempton Park Racecourse can likely be forgiven, as her profile suggests the all-weather surface doesn’t suit ??" she’s now been well beaten on all three starts on it. A return to turf is a clear positive. Her record at Windsor Racecourse is particularly compelling, having won both starts there ??" once over 5f and once over 6f. The most recent of those wins came over course and distance on good to firm ground off 78 in a Class 4 Handicap, where she scored by 1¼ lengths and had the rest well beaten. Now dropping into a 0??"80 and eased 1 lb in the weights, she looks well treated based on that form. Conditions are ideal, and a return to a track she clearly enjoys could see a much-improved performance. If the Kempton run is ignored and she returns to her Windsor form, Seraphim Angel looks a dangerous player in this field.
15:25 3:25 Bath
Toolatetonegotiate
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@+150
Lose
-100
Toolatetonegotiate looks a strong candidate to make amends for a luckless defeat last time. Seven days ago at Bath Racecourse over this course and distance, she was beaten just ¼L by Solar Edge, but that doesn’t tell the full story. She was repeatedly denied a clear run and only got going late, finishing strongly when it was too late ??" arguably an unlucky loser. That form has already been boosted, with runner-up The Thames Boatman going on to win next time out, adding substance to the race. While her last win came on the all-weather in January off 72, and she’s yet to win on turf after 10 attempts, there are signs that could soon change. As seen with The Thames Boatman, horses can quickly turn that stat around when conditions fall right. With similar conditions here, a weak-looking race, and clear evidence from her last run that she’s ready to win, Toolatetonegotiate looks primed to go one better this time.
15:15 3:15 Warwick
Yes Indeed
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1400
Win
90
Yes indeed. Looks a solid selection here, particularly with a drop in grade and a more workable mark. Last season he showed his ability with wins off 112 and 118 in Class 4 Handicap Chases over 2m½f and 2m1f, proving he’s well suited to this level. This season hasn’t quite gone to plan, but there have been signs of ability. His first run back was encouraging, finishing 4th in a Class 3 at Kempton Racecourse over 2m4½f off 125, with the runner-up Madara now rated much higher ??" a strong piece of form. Subsequent runs can be forgiven to an extent. He was pulled up at Cheltenham and then ran below par at Ascot Racecourse, possibly feeling the effects of a quick turnaround. Now dropped to a mark of 119 and back into a Class 4 (0??"120), he’s returned to a much more suitable level. The 36-day break should have freshened him up, and conditions look more favourable here. In a race lacking depth, Yes Indeed looks well treated and has a strong chance of bouncing back.
Subtotal65
03 May 2026
17:35 5:35 Hamilton
Valley Of Flowers
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@+650
Lose
-100
Valley of Flowers looks to have fair claims, especially with the benefit of a recent run under her belt. She returned from a 216-day break to finish 6th, beaten 7½L ??" a run that should bring her on fitness-wise. With that outing behind her, she’s likely to strip fitter and be more competitive here. Last season, she showed consistent form in Class 5 handicaps, going close when 2nd by ½L to Fast Fred (now rated 75) over 1m3f. She also held her own in stronger company, with multiple placed efforts in Class 4 handicaps off marks in the low 70s, which suggests she has the ability to compete at this level. The slight concern is her lack of a recent turf win, with her last success coming in 2023. However, that has allowed her mark to ease to 68, which looks workable based on her past performances. If she builds on her recent comeback run and returns to her best form, Valley of Flowers looks capable of being competitive in this field.
14:55 2:55 Newmarket
Dramatic Star
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+500
Lose
-100
Dramatic Star looks potentially well handicapped here and could be worth another chance off 92. The latest run at Newcastle Racecourse over 2m½f can be overlooked to an extent. He was well backed but never really got involved, finishing 7th. Looking back, his form from last season is much more encouraging. He finished 2nd by a neck in a Class 2 handicap at Haydock Park Racecourse over 1m6f off 89, with both the winner and third now rated 102 ??" a strong piece of form. He also went close at Southwell Racecourse, finishing 2nd by a short head in another Class 2 over 1m4f, posting an RPR of 100. The application of first-time cheekpieces could help sharpen him up, and a more positive ride would likely suit based on his best efforts. If bouncing back to last season’s level, Dramatic Star looks well treated and capable of running a big race.
Kihavah
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1200
Lose
-100
Kihavah looks a solid each-way contender returning from a break, especially with his mark easing back to a workable level. His recent runs in Meydan in Group company didn’t yield results, but they were against stronger opposition and he still shaped with some promise. Back in handicap company, he looks much more at home. His last win came at Musselburgh Racecourse in April 2025, when landing a Class 2 handicap over 1m 6f off 101, beating the 107-rated Aimeric ??" a strong piece of form at this level. He also ran well in this race at Newmarket Racecourse last season, finishing 5th but only beaten 2½ lengths. That effort was better than it looks, as he was short of room before staying on late once in the clear. Another notable run came in the Ebor Handicap at York Racecourse, finishing 8th of 22 off 104, beaten just 5½ lengths by a top-class winner. Now back down to 101 and in more suitable company, Kihavah has strong each-way claims.
Subtotal-300
02 May 2026
17:30 5:30 Punchestown
Jump Allen
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@+225
Lose
-100
Jump Allen looks extremely well treated based on his latest run and could be very hard to beat if reproducing that level. At the Cheltenham Festival he finished 3rd in the Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle over 2m 4½f after a 321-day break, beaten just 3¼ lengths by Air Of Entitlement. The key takeaway from that run was how strongly he finished ??" staying on late and looking an unlucky loser given how the race unfolded. A 2 lb rise for that effort appears lenient, especially considering the strength of the race. Looking back, he also finished 2nd behind the now 140-rated Quebecois at Ayr Racecourse, which further supports the idea that he’s well handicapped off his current mark. With that comeback run under his belt, he should strip fitter here, and the booking of Paul Townend is another significant positive. If he turns up in the same form and is none the worse for Cheltenham, Jump Allen looks to have outstanding claims and could prove very difficult to beat.
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16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Daiquiri Bay
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+500
Win
300
Daiquiri Bay looks a solid contender despite returning from a 204-day break, especially given his past ability to go well fresh. He won on reappearance last season after 194 days off, landing a maiden by 5L and beating the now 97-rated Mister Winston, which suggests the break shouldn’t be a major issue. His handicap form also reads well. He finished 8th in a strong Class 2 at Newmarket Racecourse behind Merchant (now rated 115), beaten under 7L in a race that has worked out strongly. Prior to that, he was 3rd in a Class 2 at York Racecourse over 1m 6f, beaten 3½L by Tarriance (now 105-rated), with Many Men (100-rated) in 2nd. He also ended last season with a solid 3rd over course and distance at Newmarket, beaten just ¾L off 94, showing consistency at this level. Now gelded and returning off a mark of 96, there’s every chance he can progress further. With proven form, ability to go well fresh, and a workable mark, Daiquiri Bay looks to have strong claims.
1 member found this comment useful
15:55 3:55 Thirsk
Kats Bob
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+700
Lose
-100
Kats Bob looks to have solid claims here, particularly returning to a track and conditions that suit. His reappearance run was encouraging, finishing 2nd in a Class 4 handicap over 6f at Catterick Racecourse, beaten just ¾L off 79. He then ran below that level at Ripon Racecourse, but that effort can be excused as he appeared to race on the unfavoured side of the track. Looking back at his best form, he’s proven at Thirsk Racecourse, having won over this course and distance last season by 2L on good to firm ground off 75. He also scored at York Racecourse over 6f off 80 and ran a very respectable 4th in a competitive 25-runner Class 2 handicap at Ayr Racecourse later in the season. Now 1 lb below his last winning mark, with a favourable draw and conditions to suit, Kats Bob looks well placed to bounce back and be competitive.
1 member found this comment useful
15:20 3:20 Goodwood
The Thames Boatman
Daily Racing
100 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.00 takenDead heat Winner so return divided by 2Best Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.00 takenBOGDH
@+450
Win
450
The Thames Boatman looks the one to side with here, especially on the back of a very recent and encouraging run. Just five days ago at Bath Racecourse, he finished 2nd in a Class 5 Handicap, beaten only a nose off 74. He didn’t break cleanly from the stalls that day, but he stayed on strongly and was closing all the way to the line. Looking deeper, his all-weather form is notably stronger ??" rated 82 and a winner of a Class 3 Handicap off 81, beating higher-rated rivals in the process. That suggests he is well treated off this mark on ability. The main concern is his turf record, as he’s yet to win on grass, but he has gone close in higher-grade handicaps, including Class 4 company last season. With race fitness on his side and a quick turnaround, if breaking better this time, The Thames Boatman looks to hold strong claims.
1 member found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Punchestown
Jarrive De Lest
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+600
Lose
-50
J'Arrive de L'Est is a risky but interesting contender, and the return to better ground could be key to unlocking his chances. His two cross-country runs at Cheltenham Racecourse stand out as strong pieces of form. First, he finished 2nd over 3m 5½f on good ground behind Final Orders, who has since won the Cross Country at the Cheltenham Festival and performed respectably in the Grand National. He followed that with another 2nd over the same course and distance on soft, this time behind Favori de Champdou, who also ran a big race at the Festival. Those efforts suggest he is very capable in this sphere when conditions suit. The latest run in the Midlands National can be forgiven ??" it came over an extreme trip in very testing ground, which likely didn’t play to his strengths. Now back on a sounder surface and off a workable mark of 125, he looks better placed. If reproducing either of those Cheltenham efforts, J'Arrive de L'Est has the ability to get involved and could easily run into a place.
1 member found this comment useful
14:30 2:30 Punchestown
What Path
Daily Racing
50 EW
@+1400
Lose
-100
What Path looks an interesting each-way play in a race where previous runs in the week can often play a big role. Horses like Fountain House or Vital Island may have strong claims, but there’s value to be found elsewhere. What Path comes into this in good form, having won a point-to-point 27 days ago by 12L, showing he arrives here in peak condition. He had also won previously over 3M on yielding ground, proving both stamina and suitability to conditions. The standout piece of form is his narrow ¾L defeat to Fountain House over 3M1F in a point-to-point. That rival has since boosted the form by winning a Hunter Chase on the banks at Punchestown Racecourse. Importantly, they carried level weights that day, whereas here What Path is significantly better off at the weights, receiving a full stone. The big question is whether he adapts to the cross-country layout, which can catch some out. However, if he handles the unique demands of the track, his recent form and favourable weight swing give him a strong chance to outrun his odds.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal400
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
