realitycheck

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realitycheck's Tips History

30 October 2025
19:45 Pisa v Lazio

Lazio (AH) -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.82

Lose+Push

-25

Pisa have picked up draws in 3 of 4 games, including away to Milan. They have, however, lost 4 of 8, and with Lazio keeping 3 clean sheets in 4 games, they should be too strong.
19:30 Grasshoppers v Young Boys

Grasshoppers (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.14

Win+Push

28

Young Boys don't have a good record coming here, winning just 2 of 7 visits. Young Boys haven't won back-to-back away from home all season and won the last away game.
02:30 LAFC v Austin FC

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

The last 5 meetings between these sides all saw under 3 goals, with both games this season only seeing 1 goal.

Austin FC (AH) 1.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Austin comes into this in poor form, losing 4 of 5, with LA being the only win. But they have a great record over LAFC, winning home and away.
29 October 2025
22:00 Fluminense v Ceara

Draw

50 WIN

@3.90

Lose

-50

Ceara have drawn on 4 of 5 visits here and have only lost to Fluminense when they finished in the top 3. So they have a chance here.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@5.75

Lose

-50

Fluminense don't have a strong record against Ceará, winning only once in 5 meetings here. The last 3 times Fluminense beat Ceará here, they finished in the top 3 and won't achieve that this season.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@21.00

Lose

-50

Ceara haven't done too badly away, picking up more points on the road than Fluminense and have drawn 4 of 5 visits here.
19:45 Genoa v Cremonese

Cremonese (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Win

51

Cremonese are having a solid season with 11 points so far. Half of them have come on the road, picking up points in 3 of 4 away matches.
17:30 Como v Verona

Como (AH) -1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

Como are having an excellent season, unbeaten in 4 games at home. Verona failed to score in 3 of 4 road games.
13:47 1:47 Nottingham

Hi Lord

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.50

Lose

-50

Hi, Lord has been campaigning at a much higher level than this, not being beaten too far. Will appreciate the drop in class, and with just 6 runs, there's still more to come from this one.
27 October 2025
23:10 CLE Cavaliers @ DET Pistons

DET Pistons 2.50

Pointspread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Both sides have been involved in 3 close games so far this season, each winning twice. Another close game looks in the offing, so 2.5 + home court gives Detroit a big chance here.

Over 231.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The last couple of meetings between these sides here both comfortably passed this total, so I would expect a repeat.
26 October 2025
21:30 Philadelphia v Chicago Fire

Philadelphia (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.82

Lose

-50

Philadelphia topped the Eastern Conference with the best home form, beating Chicago home and away, and 4-0 here so should take a lead to yhe 2nd leg
17:00 BUF Bills @ CAR Panthers

CAR Panthers

Money Line

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

The Panthers look too big here. Winning 3 of 3 at home. Buffalo have lost twice and could do so again.

Chuba Hubbard (CAR Panthers)

First Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Only the Dolphins have a worse rush defense than the Bills, so that's where the action will be. Carolina ranks 3rd for yards on the ground and needs to make it pay.

CAR Panthers by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@6.75

Lose

-50

The Panthers are 3 from 3 at home, boasting the 3rd best side on the ground against the 2nd worst run defense. They have a big chance here.
16:15 Rennes v Nice

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

Rennes have been super draw-heavy this season, with 5 of 6 matches ending all square. Nice drew both games after European competition.
15:45 AZ v FC Utrecht

Draw

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

AZ come into this in great form but don't have a strong record against Utrecht, with 6 of 8 meetings being draws.
25 October 2025
23:30 Fortaleza v Flamengo

Flamengo (AH) -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

Only Recife have worse home form than Fortaleza. Flamengo have the best away form with 8 wins across 13 matches.
22:30 Sport Recife v Mirassol

Mirassol & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Mirassol have decent away form, winning 3 of 7 road games, all keeping clean sheets. Recife are the league's low scorers at home.

Mirassol (AH) 0.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.78

Win

39

Both sides came up last season with contrasting results. Recife straight back down with Mirassol look set to qualify for the Libertadores.
20:00 Brentford v Liverpool

Liverpool

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Liverpool burst into life midweek after four straight defeats and thumped Frankfurt 1-5. So, if backing that up, they should win as they have in the last five meetings.
17:30 Man Utd v Brighton

Draw

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Brighton have a great record against Man Utd, losing just once in 8 meetings. Unbeaten in the last 5 games, they should get something here.
16:19 4:19 Newbury

Thankfully

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Thankfully made a reasonable debut, and with further improvement expected, looks the best option here. Burke is in fine form with a double of 2yo winners today already.
15:50 3:50 Doncaster

Walsingham

Daily Racing

39 EW

@10.00

Lose

-78

Walsingham was a maiden till this season but landed the last 3 impressively, carrying big weights, so shouldn't be discounted here.
15:10 3:10 Newbury

Time To Turn

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Time to Turn is rated over a half stone better than anything else here. Disappointing last time in a Group 1 but dropped in class here.
15:00 AFC Wimbledon v Burton Albion

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Wimbledon are in terrific form, winning 6 of 7 matches. Burton are having a poor season but have performed well against the top sides, beating Cardiff and Bolton, so they could get something here.
15:00 Blackburn v Southampton

Southampton

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Southampton started off slowly this season with a lot of draws but have only lost to 3 sides all in the top 8. Blackburn have lost 4 of 5.
15:00 Bromley v Milton Keynes Dons

Milton Keynes Dons

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

MK Dons are flying at the moment in 3rd place after winning 4 of 5 games. Bromley have lost 4 of 8 with just 1 win in that span.
15:00 Chelsea v Sunderland

Draw

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Sunderland have surprised a lot of people this season with 14 points in 8 games and the least goals conceded in the league. They could surprise again.
15:00 Hull v Charlton

Draw

50 WIN

@3.45

Win

123

City can be anything so far with the 2nd best scoring and the 2nd worst conceding. Both sides are in decent form with Charlton losing just 1 in 7.
15:00 Leyton Orient v Lincoln City

Lincoln City

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Leyton Orient look to be in big trouble, losing 4 of 6 matches. Lincoln have been fantastic on the road, winning 5 of 6 in all competitions.
15:00 Middlesbrough v Wrexham

Middlesbrough

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Boro are having a strong season, winning 4 of 5 at home. Scoring in all but 2 matches, and with the tightest defence in the Championship, they can enhance that record here.
15:00 Millwall v Leicester

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Millwall have been in good form, winning the last 3 matches. But Leicester have only lost twice, both against sides in the top 4 for home points, so they can get a draw here.
15:00 Newcastle v Fulham

Newcastle

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Fulham have lost the last 3 matches and 6 of 8 against Newcastle, who should be on a high after their good win mid-week.
14:00 2:00 Newbury

Leading Dancer

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Win

94

Leading Dancer was impressive last time, and the booking of Quick is interesting here. With just 2 runs, she has more scope to improve than most of these, and Burke knows how to bring along 2yo fillies.
14:00 Avellino v Spezia

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.55

Lose

-50

The last 5 meetings between these sides all produced under 3 goals. 6 of 9 Avellino games this season have seen under 3 goals, as have all of Spezia's on the road.

Avellino (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Avellino have been strong at home, winning 3 of 4 matches. Spezia are yet to win on the road and are the league's lowest scorer.
13:30 1:30 Doncaster

Lexington Blitz

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

Lemington Blitz won 2/3 as a 2yo but took his 10th try to get in front last time. He's improved over the year and could have more to come.
13:00 Girona v Real Oviedo

Draw

50 WIN

@3.60

Win

130

Girona have shown sparks of life in recent games, but selling off your best players always leads to a slump in form, and it looks like it has caught them up here. Oviedo beat Valencia last time away, so they can earn a point here.

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

The two lowest scoring sides in La Liga here. Four of five meetings produced under three goals. Oviedo have failed to score in six of nine matches this season.
12:30 Coventry v Watford

Coventry

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

Coventry are unbeaten in 11 matches, winning 7 but drawing 4. Watford are yet to win on the road and are unlikely to start here.
12:00 Arminia Bielefeld v Elversberg

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.52

Lose

-50

Elversberg are taking control of the division, scoring 22 goals in 9 games. Bielefeld are the league's 3rd top scorers, so we can expect goals here.
12:00 Dynamo Dresden v Paderborn

Draw

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

Dresden have drawn far too many matches but managed to take a point from Elversberg here, so they can do so again against Paderborn

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.60

Win

30

Dresden have drawn 4 of 5 in the league with 20 goals scored across those 5 games, so expect goals here.

Draw & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Dresden have only managed 1 win this season but have drawn 4 of 5 in the league with both teams scoring.

Draw #3-3

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

Dresden have drawn 4 of 6 matches, including against sides in the top 6. With three 2-2 draws and a 3-3 draw, this doesn't look so unlikely.
01:00 Inter Miami v Nashville SC

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Miami have an impressive 81 goals in 34 games while being poor defensively conceding 55 times. They saw 70 goals in total across 17 home games averaging over 4 per game. The last 6 matches between these sides all saw at least 3 goals.

Inter Miami (AH) -1.00

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

46

Miami have been in great form, especially at home, winning 8 of 9 in Florida. Six of those victories came by at least 2 goals, and they beat Nashville 5-2 just a week ago.

Inter Miami #5-2

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

Miami have an incredible 81 goals in 34 games, scoring 16 in the last 4 matches and 5 in the last league game away at Nashville.

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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