themightyduck
Big Irish horse racing fan for many years and still nothing better than finding a local trainer with a big winner at such exotic places like Tramore, Ballinrobe and Kilbeggan.
3
Estimated Prizes
this month
£40
Estimated Prize money
this month
themightyduck's Tips History
15 September 2024
17:55 5:55 Curragh
Take Heart
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
handles the going and stays this trip no problem. Ran a good runner up over trip at Cork in April and won at Goodwood over trip in July. On current form off 4lb higher I think can continue progress and win again on home track.
17:20 5:20 Curragh
Spirit Dor
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG
@7.50
Win
325
Finished 4th in a listed event in France over trip and won over 5f last time out. Interesting raider here and looks well ahead of this field and should go well and I think the one to beat
Subtotal275
14 September 2024
17:30 Aston Villa v Everton
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@1.65
Win
32
Everton imploded against Bournemouth in big style losing a 2-0 lead having looked very comfortable and I don't think they can recover from that mentally to see off a Villa side who are ruteless at home. They got beaten well by Arsenal but bounced back against Leicster and I think can continue with a win at home today.
17:10 5:10 Leopardstown
Booyea
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEOdds taken at 15.00
@15.00
Win
45
Likeable sort and won a conditions race and a premier handicap in the sunner over 7f. Badly hampered at Galway and didnt get going in the cambridshire but I think can bounce back and good value for a place here.
16:35 4:35 Leopardstown
Chemistry
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Promoted to first latest having been badly hampered on run in to make it two from two after finishing third on debut over a mile. Latest was over 1m6f and this trip will help on home stretch being a furlong shorter as plenty of stamina and on handicap debut can keep progressing. Every chance of winning this.
16:00 4:00 Leopardstown
Trustyourinstinct
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Win
225
A winner over hurdles over 2m by a big 11 lenghts in May and has form on the flat also since winning in June and only beaten a neck in a group 3 two weeks later and half a lenght last time out both over 1m2f. Upped in trip I think will suit better and hes the one to beat.
15:15 3:15 Bath
French Martini
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@9.00
Lose
-50
A runner up in France last year over 1m3f and has taken awhile to get going for Gary and Josh Moore after being bought in April this year. Was tried over a mile but has come good when upped in trip finishing third of 6 in June and runner up 2 months later over this trip. Can progress further and every chance here of getting off the mark.
15:00 Brighton v Ipswich
Brighton
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Great start to the season beating United and holding title contenders Arsenal to a draw. This looks easy at home against a side yet to find their feet in the premiership especially away from home. Brighton have plenty of goalscores all over the pitch and I cant see Ipswich able to cope with their attacking style.
15:00 Crystal Palace v Leicester
Crystal Palace
50 WIN
@1.65
Lose
-50
Palace are looking for their first win of the season and can get it at home against the foxes. Both teams have only a single point but palace looked strong against a very good Chelsea side and Leicster still look very weak at the back. New signing Eddie Nketiah will start and looks an exciting prospect for the eagles and I think can get first win of the season.
15:00 Fulham v West Ham
West Ham
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
West ham got beaten 3-1 by City which is no disgrace while Fulham could only draw with Ipswich latest. I think the hammers have more quality in midfield here and should create more chances and in a tight derby game I think the likes of Bowen Antonio Kudos up front offer a bigger threat and can come out on tiop.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Shagraan
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-50
Plenty of support this morning after he won last time out making that two from his last three starts. progressive 3yr old and a 4lb rise is managable and big chance of winning this on current form
12:30 Southampton v Man Utd
Man Utd
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
A very poor staret to the season and this makes this much tougher on current form of coming here and getting a win especially as this ground hasnt been kind to United in previous seasons. The good thing is that the saints have been poor also losing 3-1 to brentford latest and dont look strong at the back. United are capable of scoring goals at least even if they have a poor defence also and I think simply they can get more than Southampton.
Subtotal40
13 September 2024
17:10 5:10 Ballinrobe
Love Like This
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Lose
-50
Ran well in August to be of interest here finishing runner up twice and led the field at Ballinrobe latest before fading 2 from home finishing 4th of 16 over 2m3f. Went off way too fast and a more patient ride under Damnny Mullins and being upped in trip on handicap debut can see him make the frame here at least.
16:35 4:35 Ballinrobe
Linden Arden
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-50
Winner of a beginners chase here three weeks ago by over 5 lenghts under Bryan hayes. Had been running over hurdles and had won a maiden in february when with Willie Mullins over 2m3f and came close when upped to 2m6f beaten only 2 lenghts in May. Is a pound below that run now returned to hurdles and on current form the one to beat.
Subtotal-100
12 September 2024
20:30 8:30 Newcastle
Borough
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
Winner twice at this trip last year including off a mark of 68 in a class 5 by over a lenght. Has lost his way since this year but hes now down to a lowly 56 and 3lb claimer on board. Is blinkered for first time and that can bring about some improvement. Offers decent value off this mark for a place at least with his high draw another positive around here.
19:30 7:30 Newcastle
Whatwouldyouknow
Daily Racing
25 EW
@26.00
Lose
-50
faye McManoman had being doing well on board and missed his last outing but is back on board tonight. on his last 4 outings on board shes been beaten less than 2 lenghts. Is 2 lbs below her last time on board from good draw here and I think every chance of a place at least once again
19:00 7:00 Newcastle
Noble Consort
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
His best effort was when finishing third here over trip and hes now a big 7lb bekow that mark. has good draw here and not without a chance off this mark. I think can get off the mark tonight.
15:45 3:45 Epsom Downs
Haliphon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
was beaten 3 lenght here in July over 1m4f in a class 4 and ran poorly on his next two outings before getting it together and winning comfortably at haydock just short of this trip but stayed on really well in a class 5. has a 3 lb penalty to shoulder dropped back into class 4 but on current form I think can win again. good draw and strong jockey booking.
14:40 2:35 Epsom Downs
Beau Jardine
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.00
Lose
-50
A winner in May on soft ground off a mark of 62 but he hasnt progressed since. Was beaten just over a lenght when well backed favourite finishing 4th of 9 off revised mark of 70 and has ran some stinkers since. That said he ran better over a mile latest at Salisbury finishing third and I think dropping back to 7f will halp as will the softer ground. Hes off a very winnable mark of 63 today with good 7lb claimer on board and has the ability to win a race of this nature again.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster
Intrusively
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Runner up on debut by half a lenght and failed by a lenght when upped to 7f when a well backed favourite on next outing. Returned to 6f he was beaten half a lenght in a class 5 and looked hard to win with but he surpassed all that by finishing third in the group 2 Richmond stakes. given an easy task last time out winning by over 6 lenghts easing down and still has a tendancy to hang left. Still hard to know what hes capable of but the draw should help him here to not hang left and that gives him every chance of further progress and winning this.
13:50 1:50 Doncaster
Art Design
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-50
has done nothing wrong and progressed well, finishing runner up on third outing before a good third of 10 on handicap debut. Went on to win mid august on the aw and returned to turf can continue progress and win again for top yard
Subtotal-350
11 September 2024
19:25 7:25 Cork
Killeaney Bear
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Win
275
Andrew Slattery continues to impress and has his yard in flying form. A winner last time out by a neck over 1m1f at the start of August in a division 1 handicap and thou up 2lb for that I think this is easier and he can win again
17:55 5:55 Cork
Lorrs Girl
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 12.00 on 11/09 at 10:480.10 deduction for Shaaden@7.50 withdrawn at 11:010.00 deduction for Spirit Of Eagles @26.000 withdrawn at 12:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 11.00 x (1-0.1) = 10.90Best Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 10.90 BOG
@11.00
Win
500
Lorrs Girl is on a basement weight here and also has jamie Powell able to claim his 3lb on board today. Ran really well at Gowran a week ago over a mile in apprentice handicap off 3lb higher finishing 4th of 16 and he led 2 from home and only passed 1 from home. Good move to drop to 7f today and in effect 6lbs better off I think can win this.
17:25 5:25 Cork
Morning Approach
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Not out of this and has good outside draw to be involved. Was beaten just over 2 lenghts over 1m1f under Billy Lee in August off 68 and hes 3lb lower today with 10lb claimer on board dropped to 7f. Won over this trip on debut and has a win last november over a mile and off current mark can go well
17:03 5:03 Carlisle
Isle of Wolves
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Won on his return from a two month break here over trip and up 4lb for that. Hes usually on the premises and been a runner up an amazing 11 times for new owner Harriett Bethell since joining her in Nov 22. Now he has finally won I think can do so again.
16:55 4:55 Cork
Imperial Dream
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-50
Stayed on well under pressure to win at the Curragh last month over trip and thou up 7lb for that claimer takes it off again so off same mark. Had come close before over further in the summer being a runner up twice. Is ex Mark Prescott trained and potential over this trip to win again.
1 member found this comment useful
14:50 2:50 Carlisle
I Need Your Love
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Finished third when last seen in a class 4 over 7f and was ridden prominently to suggest 5f will suit better. Makes handicap debut on decent mark and should show some improvement now. This is a class 5 and weak affair and I think can feature here
14:20 2:20 Carlisle
Maddelina
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Not much to go on here and worth chancing maddelina on debut that she can be involved. Is related to 2yr old 5f winner ganesha and dam also won as a 2yr old over trip. bred to have plenty of pace and I think in poor field wont have to be special to win here.
Subtotal525
10 September 2024
17:45 5:45 Galway
Asisaid
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
last win was in July last year when with PJ Murphy off a mark of 60 over a mile on soft and he won prior to that on heavy ground over todays trip off the same mark as he is now. Hasnt the worst of draws here and hes now joined Denis Hogan with Colin keane booking a plus on his debut. He was beaten just over 2 lenghts when last seen over a mile last month finishing 4th of 13 so is in decent form and with going in his favour today I think can win this.
1 member found this comment useful
16:35 4:35 Galway
Eddie G
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Winner on the aw in January off opening mark of 62 on second handicap debut and has held his form well off his revised mark. A runner up and then only beaten a lenght and a half on last run in big field of 18 over 7f. Can handle this trip and I think has every chance here.
16:05 4:05 Galway
Clear Quartz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Win
300
Winner here at the festival after almost a 4 month lay off and won by almost 2 lenghts over the extended mile. Just as effective over 7f and finished 4th of 14 4 days later meeting trouble in running. Handles the soft ground and back up in trip can win this.
15:35 3:35 Galway
Minella Boss
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@17.00
Win
55
I think can take a place here on debut and my preference for John nallens 2 runners. Dam closely related to derby winner motivator and a half brother to several winners. Offers good value here with likeable pedigree.
Subtotal255
09 September 2024
17:05 5:05 Galway
West Clare
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
Runner up in a point back in May 2022 before joining Brian McMahon. Some glimpses of form and was 4th on the flat over 2m4f. been campaigned mainly over 2m - 2m2ftrips and I think he needs much longer as bred to do so, so its about time he has been upped in trip today. I think will show much improvement and every chance here.
15:55 3:55 Galway
In For The Night
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@12.00
Lose
-50
On his first outing in nearly three months he finished third only beaten a nose into second by Thomas O Malley. Hes off ann unchanged mark and should improve from that outing. was only beaten half a lenght in a division 2 last september and hes 3lb below that mark today. has the ability to win a race of this nature
Subtotal-100
08 September 2024
17:10 5:10 York
Poets Dawn
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@21.00
Lose
-50
Uop 4lb for latest win but I think still on a winnable mark especially in this amateur jockey handicap. Won by almost 3 lenghts beating first and second favourite at the end of August over 1m1f very comfortably and this triop is no problem. Offers great value of a place at least from good draw here on current form.
Subtotal-50
07 September 2024
17:10 5:10 Navan
Struck By Churchil
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.00
Win
350
Yard in great form and can win this with Stuck by Churchil winning a maiden over hurdles a week ago over 2m at Wexford staying on well at the finish. was a runner up over a furlong longer in July headed final 50 yards and this trip looks ideal for him. Every chance returning to the flat on current form.
16:00 4:00 Navan
Only Spoofing
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Is a 10yr old now but I still think has a bit left off his current mark. He won last August off a pound higher but he also won the year before off 84 and his 76 today gives him a chance here. Was a good 5th latest of 13 under todays jockey and wont have to find much more to win this.
15:25 3:25 Navan
Irish Rumour
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Win
275
Campaigned mainly on the aw and was runner up 3 times on last five visits at Dundalk over 6 and 7f. Reached a mark of 65. Had a break in April and returned in August to turf finishing runner up over 5f in big field of 14 beaten less than a lenght. had slow start and ran on well at finish. Is off a winnable 63 today and interesting still tried at the 5f trip. I think on current form will improve and every chance here.
1 member found this comment useful
14:15 2:15 Navan
Bad Timing
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@5.00
Lose
-50
Restricted to filles who cost 30k or less Bad timings cost the 30k at public auction. Is a first foal out of mare rated 74 who won a maiden over 1m3f. Has speed and pedigree and related to 2yr old winner over 6-7f. Has plum draw here and I think the one to beat.
Subtotal525
06 September 2024
17:40 5:40 Kilbeggan
Cafe Del Mar
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
Three runs this year all last month and has shown improvement finishing runner up the last twice and only beaten less than 2 lenghts a week ago over 3m1f at Wexford. Off same mark here but has benefit of 4lb claimer today and should go close in this company
16:35 4:35 Kilbeggan
Presenting Lad
Daily Racing
50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.00 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@8.00
Win
350
Is rated 11lb lower than his chasing form which has been solid winning his last two over 2m and just shorter. If transfering that form to hurdles then hes the one to beat
13:50 1:50 Ascot
Terries Royale
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Win
325
Running well without winning and beaten a lenght at the start of August by Adelabella who won next time out and 4 lenghts by Zozimus now rated 85 after meeting trouble in running latest. Has continued to improve and eased a pound from last outing off 69 has every chance of winning this.
Subtotal625
05 September 2024
19:15 7:15 Clonmel
Curious Bride
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Win
350
Won in July over trip on good ground by almost 4 lenghts under colin keane strongest at the finish and made a bad start at leopardstown and never got back on terms still finished 3rd of 10. Eased a pound here for that and has good 2lb claimer on board from excellent draw and I think can win again.
18:45 6:45 Clonmel
New Year Honours
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@7.50
Lose
-50
Winner in July over 1m5f by over 3 lenghts keeping on well at the finish and thou never featured over hurdles on next outing had excuses with trouble in running. Lightly raced and back on the flat with winning claimer back on board I think can win this.
17:15 5:15 Clonmel
Step To Somewhere
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
handicap debutant and been running ok with most of her encounters on soft and heavy ground. No surprise to see improvement now upped in trip on good ground and yard going well. With plum draw shouldnt be far away
16:10 4:10 Clonmel
My Goodness
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
Makes debut for yard in good form and with a lot of dead wood here can be involved. Related to the rain king a winner over a mile and no surprise to see involved here
Subtotal200
04 September 2024
16:20 4:20 Kilbeggan
A Mere Bagatelle
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@10.00
Lose
-50
Unluck at downpatrick last month leading 2 from home before finding no extra and finishing third beaten 3 lenghts. $th was a further 10 lenghts back. Is up a pound for that but now has 7lb claimer on board and is dropped back to 2m3f. Looks very well weighted to be involved here and I think can win this.
14:45 2:45 Kilbeggan
Hey Whatever
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-50
Hadnt done much earlier this year until returning in July over trip and falling at the last disputing third placeand had every chance. Showed that to be no fluke when winning next time out by half a lenght under sam ewing over 2m1f keeping on well.I thinkcan follow up here under jack kennedy able to run off same mark.
Subtotal-100
03 September 2024
17:05 5:05 Gowran Park
September Leaves
Daily Racing
Winner in June off 78. and been running in much stronger contests than todays. Has dropped back to a very workable 73 and from great draw can get back to winning again.
16:30 4:30 Gowran Park
Church Mountain
Daily Racing
Really strong 4th at the start of August only beaten just over a lenght over 7f at Naas in field of 15. Ground against him latest and can be excused his outing at Kilarney. He won over the mile when with Denis Hogan and hes back with that trainer again and I think can win this
15:20 3:20 Gowran Park
Vivienda
Daily Racing
Winner in may off 7lb lower but holding her form well at revised figure and only beaten a neck lastest over a mile. Up another 2lb for that but dropped back to 7f will help and should be in the mix
14:45 2:45 Gowran Park
Supreme Success
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@26.00
Win
100
Not ruled out from good draw here and yard in great form. Wasnt disappointing on debut over 7f on the aw last November and probably needed the run earlier last month. can improve from that now and take a place at least.
14:10 2:10 Gowran Park
Forza Toro
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
Brother won as a 2yr old over 6f and Dam won as 2yr old over 7f. Good draw and Shane Foley booking noteworthy. Offers great value here for a place at least.
13:35 1:35 Gowran Park
Sweet Zaroline
Daily Racing
Nice draw here and is out of listed winner over this trip. In wide open contest with yard going well I think is worth supporting from plum draw.
Subtotal350
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