themightyduck
Big Irish horse racing fan for many years and still nothing better than finding a local trainer with a big winner at such exotic places like Tramore, Ballinrobe and Kilbeggan.
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themightyduck's Tips History
21 April 2025
13:50 1:50 Cork
Cramers Valley
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
Was a runner-up here in March and at Limerick off a pound lower than today. Is due a win on current form and has every chance here. The better ground will help, and I think it's a likely winner.
Subtotal-50
13 April 2025
22:45 US Masters
Justin Thomas
1st Round Leader
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Erratic is a good word to describe Justin at the moment. He opened with a 73 in the recent Valspar and looked in danger of missing the cut before a 70 steadied the ship and then produced a 65, eight shots better than his opening round. He's shot a high of 79 around Augusta, but he's also produced a 66, and I think he arrives in some form. He's one of those capable of going low here, and with a tied 4th as his best finish here, he can put himself in contention with a good opening round. Offers some value for that round being round 1 here and an early leader.
21:45 US Masters
Collin Morikawa
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Ranked 4th in the world and has a solid record at Augusta with no missed cuts from 5 and two top 5 placed finishes, including tied third here last year. He was beaten by 7 shots by Scottie but still very steady with a best round of 69 in round 3. I think his form has improved since then, and his recent win of the Tour Championship shows he can win in a strong field. I believe he can be the best American on show here and also earn himself a top 8 finish at least.
Rory McIlroy
50 WIN
@7.50
Win
325
The one he wants more than any other, and that has put unwanted pressure that he has crumbled under in the past. For once, I think not only his game but his mentality has improved, and this year can be his year. He's in great form arriving here, having won the Players Championship in March. And though Augusta has been unkind to him, he still has a runner-up and four top-five finishes. He arrived here early, and if he doesn't find himself out of contention after round 1, then I think he can go on and finally win this year.
Shane Lowry
25 EW
@34.00
Lose
-50
I find it hard to tip against Shane as he can be brilliant from out of nowhere. Anyone who can win a major anywhere has a chance around Augusta. He has a third-place finish here and has made 6 cuts from 9. He was poor here last year but wasn't in form and then went out and won the Zurich Classic with McIlroy a week later. He was a runner-up at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February, having had a break, and his short game is one of the best in the world. If he can keep his drives on the fairway this week, I think he can go really well here and is worth a top 8 finish.
Collin Morikawa
Top American
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Has never missed a cut here in his five attempts, and a best-placed finish of 3rd last year argues well that he can go 2 better places this year. He last won on September 24, which is not that far past, and his iron play is one of the best in the world. With Scottie a little off form at present, I think Morikawa can be top American at least.
Subtotal125
09 April 2025
14:48 2:48 Leopardstown
Expound
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
Ran well last season, winning over a mile and a furlong at Clonmel in September off 5lb lower, and was a runner-up over that trip two weeks later off his revised mark of 75. Solid return this year, only caught late on over the mile trip, and he should come on from that now. Step up to 1m2f will suit, and every chance after that comeback outing of improving enough to win this.
Subtotal-50
08 April 2025
17:20 5:20 Navan
Junkyard Dog
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@8.00
Win
350
Yard in strong form and the choice of Dylan McMonagle should be noted. Only 4 starts and ran well, finishing 4th of 11 over a mile on the second of those to be of interest here. He stayed on well and looked like this step up in trip would suit. He's dropped 2lb for his decent 6th of 13 when last seen in November on the AW, and after a break and a return to turf, I think he can go well.
Subtotal350
05 April 2025
15:05 3:05 Aintree
Home By The Lee
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
Sent off 3rd favorite in the stayers only to unseat at the 6th, but at least will be fresh for this. He arrived at that after winning a Grade 1 off a mark of 155 under JJ Slevin and 6lb higher today isn't beyond him. I think he will be involved and has every chance of winning here with the yard having a great few months at present.
14:30 2:30 Aintree
Le Milos
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
The yard is enjoying a great spell at present, and I think they have every chance here with Le Milos for another win. He won the Coral Cup in 2022 and has been running well recently with a win by 6 lengths at Warwick in February over 2m4f. He went off far too fast last time out and is now worth stepping back up to 3m. I think he can go well here off his current mark.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Aintree
Horaces Pearl
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@3.75
Lose
-50
Well worth a try in Grade 1 company, and he's won all 5 of his starts, including a Grade 2 here this time last year. Nice prep run for this, winning by almost 6 lengths over 2m4f. This trip today in a novice hurdle, and on current form, I think he's the one to beat here.
13:20 1:20 Aintree
Park Of Kings
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@11.00
Lose
-50
Interesting that in form Paul Nolan has decided to up Park in Kings in trip, and he looks ready for a challenge like this. He's been in good form in some strong listed events in November and December over 2m4f after winning in October. Was left with far too much to do at Cheltenham recently, finishing 5th of 24, coming home strongly. If he's better positioned today, he has a chance. Ground in his favor, and I think he can win this.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-200
04 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree
Celtic Dino
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.00
Lose
-50
A winner at Ascot over the trip on good going in November and hasn't run badly on soft going since, finishing 4th of 7 in a Grade 1 here on Boxing Day. He was third of 7 in a Grade 2 when last seen, but again the going was soft. On handicap debut off a decent mark and with the going more in his favor, I think he has every chance.
16:40 4:40 Aintree
Mister Meggit
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.00
Lose
-50
Done very little wrong on his four outings to date, winning on debut in a field of 12 and another bumper win after a layoff of nearly 4 months. Disappointing here in April last year but made amends on hurdles debut here when stepped up to 2m4f in November, winning comfortably. Looks like he will handle the step up in trip again and plenty of improvement is likely. I think he's the one to beat here on recent form.
1 member found this comment useful
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Bad
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Has won his last two and was impressive over 2m4f latest at Kempton last month, staying on well at the finish off his revised mark of 134, having won by 10 lengths prior to that off 9lbs lighter. He is up another 6lb for that win, but I still think there is more to come and he is one of the leading contenders here to win this.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Wade Out
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Three wins from five outings over hurdles and very impressive latest winning by 19 lengths over 2m3f at the end of February. Stayed on strongly and this longer trip should suit. He makes his handicap debut and I think his opening mark is very lenient after that outing and has every chance of winning this. Ollie Murphy has his yard in great form and is worth supporting.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Dancing City
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
Made a very bad mistake in the Brown Advisory at Cheltenham, but his form had been solid leading up to that. He had a really strong run prior to that, winning a Grade 3 comfortably in January over a trip in a small field of 5. Was impressive as he led from the front, making all the running, doing his own thing, and stayed on well at the finish. Has only had 3 chase starts, winning two, and was much stronger over hurdles, winning 4 from 6. But plenty of potential in this code and no surprise to see a win here.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-250
03 April 2025
16:40 4:40 Aintree
My Mate Mozzie
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
Found the hill at Cheltenham tough going last time out and finished 4th of 20, beaten 6 lengths. Will find this easier track more to his liking and the better going, and I think on current form can win this. Yard continues to have an impressive season and can have a winner here.
16:05 4:05 Aintree
Lifetime Ambition
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@5.50
Lose
-50
Ex Jessica Harrington and Smart Chaser with 3 wins and 3 places from 16 outings. Not seen since November but returned in February and March, winning 2 points very comfortably in prep for this. On a lowly mark here for this off 139, having won a hunter's chase last year off 152, and I think the one to beat.
14:55 2:55 Aintree
Gaelic Warrior
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 8.50 on 03/04 at 13:280.20 deduction for Spillanes Tower@4.50 withdrawn at 14:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 7.50 x (1-0.20) = 7.00
@7.00
Win
300
Winner over 3m as a novice hurdler off a mark of 152 and took well to chasing, winning 3 of his 4 starts in that discipline. Took a 7-month break and returned with a good runner-up at the Leopardstown Christmas Festival. Disappointed last time out, but he's now upped to 3m, which I think he will love, and no surprise to see a win here off a very workable mark of 165.
14:20 2:20 Aintree
Puturhandstogether
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.38
Lose
-50
Takes a step up in grade and looks like he will handle that after winning the Fred Winter at Cheltenham by a big 6 lengths. Should go well with ground to suit and the one to beat.
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Impaire Et Passe
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.25 used instead of 3.00 takenBOG
@3.25
Win
112
Winner of the Aintree Hurdle last year and has four Group 1 wins to his name. Has won a Grade 1 chase and the latest run saw him jump poorly to finish 3rd over 2m5f. Drop in trip here is a plus, and if he can get jumping in order, then he has every chance for in-form yard.
Subtotal262
02 April 2025
20:30 8:30 Southwell
Yakhabar
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@15.00
Win
45
On a nice weight here and finished third last time out to suggest he's improving and can be involved at the finish. He's up in trip here but has won over 1m4f off a mark of 57, so his lowly 45 today is a winnable mark. Over this trip, I think he can take a place at least.
Subtotal45
01 April 2025
18:15 6:15 Limerick
Gabriel Ranger
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@6.50
Lose
-50
Has a win over hurdles and only 2 outings chasing with a good third on debut in January over 2m and a 5th of 11 over 2m4f last month. Drop in trip will suit and top jockey booking in Des Mullins a big plus. No surprise to see a win here.
17:12 5:12 Limerick
Onebrightbluerose
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Won over an extended 2m last July off only a pound higher than today. Though been inconsistent since, has the ability to win a race of this nature. Is upped in trip for the first time to 2m3f today over hurdles and has traveled further chasing, so should be okay. I think with only 2 outings this year and since last November, can improve now with these runs under her belt.
16:05 4:05 Limerick
Long Gone
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.50
Lose
-50
Had been running well last year, winning here in May and a good 4th of 14 when upped in trip in June. Made reappearance last month finishing mid-division, and with that run under her belt, can figure here. Handy weight allowance and likes the going.
Subtotal-150
27 March 2025
15:42 3:42 Clonmel
Emily In Paris
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Impressive on last outing over 3m, finishing runner-up, beaten 4 lengths by 6/5 fav General Hubble and well ahead of the rest of the field. Only up a pound for that, and this slight drop in trip will suit her. On current mark and form, she has every chance of winning this.
15:12 3:12 Clonmel
Rockbrook
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@41.00
Lose
-50
Good value for a place here at big odds as he has form and won two handicap hurdles from his last three outings. Disappointed when chasing when last seen but should improve now and if finding that form from his hurdles outings he can be involved here.
14:42 2:42 Clonmel
Luimneach
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@11.00
Lose
-50
Has two wins over hurdles at the back end of 2022 and early 2023, and two placed efforts last year. His latest 4th of 13 in a strong handicap hurdle was a good effort. Makes chase debut and, in this company, should be involved. Strong jockey booking in Sam Torrins and no surprise to see him win this.
Subtotal-150
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