megadan1213

I mainly enjoy Football, tips are usually placed on gut feeling with a few stats thrown in.

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megadan1213's Tips History

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11 May 2025
16:30 Liverpool v Arsenal

Arsenal

A question of motivation for me. We saw with Liverpool last week in their defeat to Chelsea, they aren't playing at 100%. Meanwhile, Arsenal will want to secure 2nd place with teams behind them closing in. They will also want to put their defeat to PSG behind them and show Liverpool they're going to be a force next season.
14:15 Man Utd v West Ham

Man Utd

Man United have the luxury of all their players recovering from injury just towards the end of the season. So they will rotate today but should have enough quality to beat a poor West Ham side at home today, as the players are beginning to get used to Amorim's system.

Man Utd #3-1

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

I expect Man United to win today, but West Ham can score 1 goal. They have scored in 4 of their last 5 away games. Man United are scoring a lot of goals lately, scoring 3 and 4 past Bilbao, and 3 against Brentford. So I think they can grab a few goals today.
14:15 Nottm Forest v Leicester

Leicester #1-0

50 WIN

@23.00

Lose

-50

Nottingham Forest have gone off form in recent weeks and struggle to create chances against teams that don't attack them, as they are primarily a counter-attacking side. I believe 1.35 is far too low for Forest, and they are worth opposing.
14:15 Tottenham v Crystal Palace

Draw

Neither side has too much to play for. Tottenham will have one eye on the Europa League final, and Crystal Palace are pretty much guaranteed 12th place. They will be looking ahead to the FA Cup final next Saturday also, so both sides will take a draw here today.

Draw #0-0

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Going to back the 0-0 here. Both sides are looking ahead to upcoming fixtures and won't want any injuries. Tottenham have the Europa League final, while Crystal Palace have the FA Cup final. In games like these, I like to back the 0-0.
12:00 Newcastle v Chelsea

Newcastle

Have to back Newcastle today. They have won their last 5 home games, while Chelsea have only won 2 of their last 10 away games. St James' Park will be rocking today, and home advantage will be huge.
10 May 2025
17:30 Bournemouth v Aston Villa

Aston Villa

Two evenly matched sides. However, I feel Bournemouth have underperformed the past few weeks, while Aston Villa have much more experience in the team, experience of big games in the Champions League. I expect a professional victory for Villa today. Villa have also won 3 of their last 4 away games and are fighting for Champions League places.

Aston Villa #1-0

50 WIN

@15.00

Win

700

I think Villa can get a professional victory today. They are chasing the Champions League places and have the experience to see out a small victory today, similar to their 1-0 victory over Fulham last week.
15:00 Fulham v Everton

Fulham

I think Fulham can edge this game. They have won 3 of their last 5 and they still have a chance of finishing in the Conference League position. They will be motivated to win this game. A draw is of little use to them. Everton have only scored 12 away goals all season from 17 games and have nothing to play for. Their season is over.
15:00 Ipswich v Brentford

Brentford

Ipswich simply concede too many goals, an average of 3.2 goals per game conceded over their last 5 home games. Brentford are in great form and score a lot, so I can only see a Brentford win today.

Brentford #5-1

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

Ipswich conceded too many goals, averaging 3.2 goals conceded per game over their last 5 home games. Brentford create a lot of chances and can easily score 3-4-5 goals here today. 5-1 for me.
15:00 Southampton v Man City

Man City #6-0

50 WIN

@36.00

Lose

-50

Southampton have been one of the worst sides the Premier League has ever seen. They have conceded 82 goals and have just 11 points. Man City should easily be able to score a hatful of goals today. With Haaland fit again, they should be playing at full strength.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Brighton

Draw

Brighton have only won 6 away games all season and conceded 32 goals from 17 away games, which is one of the highest totals in the league. Wolves are in really solid form, winning their last 3 home games. However, these two sides are evenly matched, so I predict a draw.
04 May 2025
21:00 Miami Grand Prix

George Russell

Win Race

25 EW

@34.00

Lose

-50

The weather for tonight's race is expected to have 100% precipitation. For me, Russell is in a great position to benefit from any changeable conditions. He is a great all-weather driver, and I think he can get at least top 2 here today with some luck.

George Russell - Yes

Podium Finish

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Russell starts 5th on the grid, but has his teammate Antonelli ahead of him. Russell will expect to pass Antonelli, and with a rainy night expected, he is a superb driver in these conditions. He can pick off one of the McLarens at least.

Isack Hadjar - Yes

Points Finish

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

He has started the season very consistently, picking up a few points so far. He starts today in 11th place, but with changeable weather expected, I think he can easily get into the top 10.

Yuki Tsunoda

Fastest Lap

50 WIN

@67.00

Lose

-50

Slowly improving in the Red Bull, starting today in 10th place. The Red Bull clearly has speed, as shown by Verstappen's fastest lap, and these odds appeal.

Esteban Ocon - Yes

Top 6 Finish

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

I think Ocon can possibly get into the top 6 today. He has won a race in the past in changeable weather conditions, and with tonight's race expecting lots of rain, I think he can perform well starting 9th on the grid.
14:00 Brentford v Man Utd

Draw

50 WIN

@4.20

Lose

-50

As bad as Man United are, and they are bad, don't get me wrong. Brentford should never be as low as 1.65 against Man United. Yes, Man United will be resting some players, but they will still fight like we saw against Bournemouth last week. Brentford have only won 1 of their last 5 home games.
14:00 Brighton v Newcastle

Draw

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Newcastle are the superior side and will be highly motivated today to secure a Champions League position with teams behind them closing. However, Brighton have only lost 3 home games all season, so I think a draw is a likely result.
14:00 West Ham v Tottenham

Draw

50 WIN

@3.90

Win

145

Both sides are in bad form really. West Ham has 1 win in their last 5 home games. Tottenham has 1 in their past 5 away games. Tottenham will have one eye on the second leg of the Europa League semi, but I don't trust West Ham to win, so a draw for me.
03 May 2025
17:30 Arsenal v Bournemouth

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Arsenal have only won 2 of their last 5 home games and will have one eye on the 2nd leg of their Champions League tie with PSG. I expect them to lose points today as they will be resting some players. I don't expect Saka, Rice, or Odegaard to start. Bournemouth have also drawn 3 of their last 5 away games. So a draw for me.
15:00 Charlton v Burton Albion

Draw

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Neither side has anything to play for. On one hand, Charlton will be looking ahead to the playoffs, possibly resting some players. Burton has drawn 8 of 22 away games this season, so a draw for me.
15:00 Colchester v Barrow

Draw

50 WIN

@3.50

Win

125

Barrow are in decent form away from home, unbeaten in their last 5, with 2 wins in their last 3. I think this match can finish a draw today. The reverse fixture this season finished 1-1.
15:00 Everton v Ipswich

Draw

50 WIN

@4.20

Win

160

Ipswich have won 3, drawn 5, and lost 9 of their 17 away games this season. So they have won or drawn almost half of their away games. I think they can get at least a draw today. Everton have drawn 4 of their last 5 home games.
15:00 Grimsby v AFC Wimbledon

Grimsby

50 WIN

@2.70

Lose

-50

Backing Grimsby today. AFC Wimbledon have only won 6 away games all season, with 2 defeats and 2 draws in their last 4 away games also. Grimsby have won 2 of their last 3 home games, and a victory today will see them into the playoffs, so they are highly motivated.
15:00 Huddersfield v Leyton Orient

Leyton Orient

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

Leyton Orient will win today. They are in the playoffs. It's that simple. Huddersfield have nothing to play for, and it's hard to see them being motivated today.
15:00 Lincoln City v Wrexham

Wrexham

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Neither side has anything to play for. Wrexham are promoted and will be playing with no pressure, so they could play freely today. They have 10 wins from 22 away games this season and have won 7 of their last 10 away games.
15:00 Mansfield v Exeter

Exeter

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

Mansfield have lost 3 of their last 4 away games. Neither side has much to play for, but Exeter have won 2 of their last 3 away from home.
15:00 Reading v Barnsley

Reading

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Reading have to win this to have any chance at the playoffs. They have 3 wins in their last 5 home games. Barnsley, on the other hand, is in poor form away from home with 4 defeats in their last 5 away games and nothing to play for.
15:00 Wycombe v Stockport

Draw

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

An interesting encounter, not much riding on it except who will finish 3rd and 4th. I expect this match to finish as a draw with both sides looking ahead to the playoffs. Two of Stockport's last five away matches have been drawn.
12:30 Aston Villa v Fulham

Aston Villa

50 WIN

@1.78

Win

39

Aston Villa are unbeaten in their last 10 home games, winning their last 3. They should be able to beat a Fulham side today who have lost 3 of their last 4 away games.
12:30 Bristol City v Preston

Draw

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Seems like the sort of game where they will both settle for a draw. Bristol are in 5th place, and a draw will more than likely secure them a playoff spot. Preston are just outside the relegation zone. Depending on other results, they may also take a draw.
12:30 Burnley v Millwall

Millwall

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

Millwall are in 7th place, and still have a chance at the play offs, so they will be well up for this game. Burnley can still win the title, but i expect leeds to win comfortably at Plymouth and be a few goals up in the first half, so Burnley may drop off in the second half.
12:30 Derby v Stoke

Draw

50 WIN

@3.00

Win

100

Depending on other results, both sides will likely take a draw here today. Stoke have drawn 14 of 45 games this season, one of the higher totals in the league.
12:30 Plymouth v Leeds

Leeds

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

A question of motivation. Plymouth are already relegated (not mathematically but realistically). Leeds can win the title with a win today. I can only see one side being motivated to win.
12:30 Portsmouth v Hull

Hull

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Hull need to win to have a chance of staying up. Whereas Portsmouth have nothing to play for, this will motivate Hull to push for victory. They aren't in the best form, but form goes out of the window on days like this.
12:30 Sheff Utd v Blackburn

Blackburn

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Can only see a Blackburn victory today. Sheffield won't be motivated for this game. They are finishing 3rd no matter what and will be focused on the playoffs. Blackburn can still reach the playoffs with a victory today, and that will push them to victory.
12:30 Sunderland v QPR

Draw

50 WIN

@4.10

Lose

-50

Sunderland have nothing to play for. They are finishing in 4th place regardless and will be looking forward to the playoffs, avoiding any injuries. QPR are in decent form. They have won their last 2 away games. A draw seems likely.
12:30 Swansea v Oxford Utd

Swansea

50 WIN

@1.67

Lose

-50

Swansea will likely win today. They are in good form of late, winning 4 of their last 5 home games. Oxford have won just once in their last 5 away games, and they have little to play for now they are safe from relegation.
12:30 West Brom v Luton

Luton

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Luton have won 3 of their last 4 away games, and a victory today will ensure they are safe from relegation. West Brom have very little to play for and have only won 1 of their last 4 home games.
02 May 2025
20:00 Man City v Wolverhampton

Man City

50 WIN

@1.38

Win

19

Man City looked close to back to their best in the semi-final of the FA Cup and have won their last 3 home games. They should have too much today for Wolves, who are down in 13th place.
01 May 2025
19:30 Nottm Forest v Brentford

Brentford

50 WIN

@3.30

Win

115

Nottingham have gone off the boil in recent weeks and were very poor in the FA Cup semi-final. I think they may have peaked. Brentford have won 3 of their last 5 away games and will have an eye on 8th place, which could result in a UEFA Conference League position. I think Brentford can win.
17:25 5:25 Punchestown

Rubaud

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@9.50

Lose

-50

9 wins from 16 runs under jockey H. Cobden, 6 wins from 13 runs at this distance and proven winner in this class with 7 wins from 16 runs. i expect a good run today.
30 April 2025
20:00 Barcelona v Inter Milan

Barcelona (AH) -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Barcelona have great resilience and have averaged 3.1 goals per game over their last 10 home games. Inter Milan have only won 3 of their last 10 away games and only kept 2 clean sheets in those 10 games. So, Barcelona should be able to overcome this handicap.
19:45 Blackpool v Birmingham

Birmingham (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

46

Birmingham are in great form, winning their last 4 away games. Blackpool don't have anything to play for; they can't reach the playoffs now. I don't see them being able to compete with Birmingham.
19:45 Mansfield v Peterborough

Peterborough (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Mansfield have lost their last 3 home games and have nothing to play for now they are clear of relegation. It's hard to see them getting a positive result today. A draw is a possibility.
28 April 2025
19:00 Luca Brecel v Ding Junhui

Luca Brecel to win 13-6

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-50

Despite starting slowly in his first-round match, Luca Brecel looked back to his best towards the end. I fully expect him to beat Ding here with a few frames to spare.
14:30 Ronnie OSullivan v Pang Junxu

Ronnie O’Sullivan to win 13-3

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

Pang Junxu looked so bad in the first round. I was amazed he got through. At some points, his match against Zhang Anda looked like a fix. Some of the shots Anda was missing were very fishy, to say the least. Having said that, Ronnie started in blistering fashion, defeating Ali Carter easily and can expect another easy victory today.
10:00 Shaun Murphy v Judd Trump

Shaun Murphy to win 13-6

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@51.00

Lose

-50

Shaun Murphy has been in solid form this year, winning the Masters. He lost his most recent match against Judd Trump 6-0, so will be looking for some retribution today.

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