Payne1164

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Payne1164's Tips History

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13 December 2025
21:00 Luke Humphries vs Ted Evetts

Ted Evetts 2.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Going for Evetts on the handicap here at a decent price. He just needs to win one set. He's actually won two of his last three against Humphries, and while I don't think he'll win the match, he could sneak a set if his doubling is good. Humphries will no doubt be putting pressure on himself.

Over 3.50

Total Sets

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Big price this. Evetts isn't a bad player, and if he's throwing well from the start he could nick a set. Humphries has lost his last two, so he's not exactly in the best of form.
07 December 2025
21:25 CHI Bears @ GB Packers

CHI Bears

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

The Bears at the price do seem a bit mental. They've won 9 out of their last 10 and are playing well on both sides of the ball.

CHI Bears 6.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Very good handicap here. The Packers have only won 1 of their last 5 by more than a score, so when they win they win close. If the Bears do lose, which I don't think they will, it could be close, I feel.

Over 44.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Both sides have had some high-scoring games in recent times. Also, the last time these sides met it had over this total. Could be a fun game.

GB Packers Over 26.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Going over on the points here for the Packers. They have scored over this total in 2 out of their last 3 matches.

CHI Bears Over 17.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

This seems like a really low total for a good Bears side. They've scored over this total in all of their last 5 matches.
18:00 CIN Bengals @ BUF Bills

CIN Bengals

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Burrow came back with a bang last week, beating the Ravens, who were big favorites. Another tough one here, but if he can keep racking up the points, the Bills could struggle to keep up. Decent price also.

CIN Bengals 6.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Bengals have covered this handicap in all of their last nine meetings with the Bills (including preseason matches). Seems a good option when considering that.
18:00 IND Colts @ JAX Jaguars

JAX Jaguars

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Jags look a nice price here. The Colts have been stuttering of late, having won only 1 of their last 4. Jags have won all of their last 3.

JAX Jaguars 2.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

With the Jags on a good run, the Colts on a poor run, and the Jags having home advantage, I just can't see the Colts winning this. The fact they have the minus handicap? I'm not sure about that.

JAX Jaguars Over 21.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Easy pick for me in this one. The Jags have scored this total in all of their last 5 matches on the bounce.

IND Colts Under 23.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Colts have failed to score 24 or more points in 3 of their last 4 matches and seem to be struggling a bit at the moment.
06 December 2025
15:00 Bournemouth v Chelsea

Bournemouth (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win+Push

25

Bournemouth is a tough place to go, and they've only lost once at home in the league this season. I think they could avoid defeat here, especially as Chelsea lost their last away game.

Draw #2-2

Bournemouth have scored at least 2 goals in 3 out of their last 4 home matches, so I can see them troubling Chelsea. But Chelsea are a good side and will want to bounce back from defeat against Leeds midweek. A fun draw seems a good shout.
15:00 Everton v Nottm Forest

Under 2.50

Total Goals

Backing under on the goals here. Only 1 of Notts Forest's last 4 away games have been over 2.5 goals.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

I quite like Everton under Moyes, and Notts look good under Dyche. I think both sides could struggle in the final third, with a scoring draw looking like a fair result. Both sides have been in reasonable form of late, so they could be happy to take a point.
15:00 Man City v Sunderland

Man City (AH) -1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Win

51

I do think City will win this comfortably. Sunderland put a lot into their game against Liverpool midweek, and it's going to be tough for them to keep up with City's fluid football. Long day for them, I feel.

Man City #4-1

I can see Sunderland scoring, as City have conceded at least one in their last five home matches in all competitions. But I still see them winning quite easily against a tired Sunderland side who worked really hard against Liverpool midweek.
15:00 Newcastle v Burnley

Newcastle

Burnley aren't a bad side at all, but they've struggled away from home this season, losing 6 out of 7. Newcastle are a short price, but I can see why.

Newcastle #3-0

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Can see this being an easy day for the Toon here. Burnley are poor away from home, and if Newcastle play like they did against Everton, this could be over quickly.
15:00 Tottenham v Brentford

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Both sides have been struggling in recent times, with Brentford losing their last three away games and Spurs with no wins in their last five in all competitions. I think they could cancel each other out in a nervy game with few bits of quality.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Brentford are poor away from home. Spurs have been struggling. I can see Brentford defending deep, making it hard for Spurs, frustrating both their players and their fans. Perhaps a couple of set-piece goals in this game as they cancel each other out.
30 November 2025
21:25 BUF Bills @ PIT Steelers

PIT Steelers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

I'm going for the Steelers here. Their home form has been good of late, having won 3 out of their last 4 on their own turf.

PIT Steelers 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

The Bills haven't been great the last few weeks, losing 2 of their last 3. Steelers at home ??" I think they'll at least keep this close.

Over 44.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I watched the Steelers' last game where they had a thriller against the Bears. If this game is anything like that (it could well be), then this total could be smashed.

PIT Steelers Over 20.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Going over here on the Steelers' points. They have scored this total in all of their last 5 home matches.
18:00 HOU Texans @ IND Colts

HOU Texans

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.90

Win

95

I'm backing the Texans here at over evens. The Colts are a decent team, but they've lost 2 of their last 3, and the one win was an OT win against an average Falcons side.
27 November 2025
21:30 KC Chiefs @ DAL Cowboys

DAL Cowboys

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

I wrote off the Cowboys last week against the Eagles, but wow, what a comeback. That would have galvanized the fans and players, and at over evens it's hard to turn down.

DAL Cowboys 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

The Chiefs haven't covered this handicap in any of their last three matches, so it makes sense to go for the Cowboys in this market.

Over 53.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

I'm backing over here. It does seem like a lot of points, but three of the Cowboys' five matches this season have had over this total. A few games topped 60 points, and one even reached 80.

DAL Cowboys - DAL Cowboys

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.20

Win

160

The Chiefs have been awful on the road this season, so I think they may struggle from the start here. Especially against a side that had a massive comeback win in their last game. They should be right up for it.

Dak Prescott (DAL Cowboys)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Dak scored a TD last week, and for the price I think it's in with a shout. The Chiefs have been decent on defense, and if they stall Dak he could decide to scramble and try to make it himself.

DAL Cowboys by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@4.90

Win

195

Decent shout here at almost 4/1. The Chiefs have only won 1 of their last 5 away matches. Of those 4 away match losses, only 1 of them were they winning at HT.

DAL Cowboys Over 24.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Cowboys have scored this total in 3 of their 5 home games this season. One of the games that didn't was 24 points, so it was extremely close.

KC Chiefs Over 29.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

Cowboys have given up 37 and 40 points in home games this season, so they can clearly concede points. In my view, Mahomes is the best quarterback in the world. A couple of big plays and the points will start racking up.
18:00 GB Packers @ DET Lions

GB Packers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.37

Win

69

I'm going for the Packers here for a bit of an upset. They've been playing well, and the Lions are still without a lot of key starters. Looks like a tempting price.

GB Packers 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

The Packers haven't lost by more than 3 points all season, so if they are to lose it will be close. I see them winning/losing a tight one over a clear Lions win.

Over 48.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

I think this one could go either way, but I'm edging towards Over. Three of the Packers' last four road matches have had over this total. The one that didn't had exactly 47, so pretty close indeed.

GB Packers - GB Packers

Double Result

50 WIN

@3.90

Win

145

Almost 3/1, why not. The Lions have been losing at HT in both of their last two matches. In one of them they lost, and in the other they just scraped through.

Emanuel Wilson (GB Packers)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

This looks like a very good price. He scored two touchdowns in his last match, and the game before he had a TD and a 2-point conversion.

GB Packers by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@4.70

Lose

-50

The Packers seem to be in a lot of one-score games. Three of their last four have finished that way. So I think it could be another close one with them just winning it.

DET Lions Over 26.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Lions haven't been at their fluid best of late, but they are still an incredibly dangerous side. They have scored this total in 2 out of their last 3 matches.

GB Packers Over 22.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.83

Win

41

Easy pick for me this one. The Packers have scored this total in all of their last four road matches.
23 November 2025
21:25 PHI Eagles @ DAL Cowboys

PHI Eagles

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

I'm backing the Eagles here. Their defense has been ridiculously good in recent games. I don't rate the Cowboys at all and can't see them troubling the Eagles here.

PHI Eagles -3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Small handicap here. The Eagles' offense hasn't been great in recent weeks, but they face a Cowboys side who have given up a good amount of points this season. The Eagles have covered this handicap in their last 4 matches.

Over 47.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Going for over on the totals. 6 out of the Cowboys' last 7 matches have seen over this total amount of points.

PHI Eagles by 13 18

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

I really think the Eagles will whitewash the Cowboys here. The Cowboys struggle against good defenses, and the Eagles have one of the best defensive units.

DAL Cowboys Over 22.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

The Cowboys aren't a great side, but they do tend to score this many points. They've met this total in 6 out of their last 7 matches.

PHI Eagles Over 25.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

I know the Eagles haven't been firing in recent weeks, but the Cowboys have given up this total in 3 of their last 5 matches.
18:00 IND Colts @ KC Chiefs

IND Colts

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

The Colts at almost 2/1 looks like a really tempting price. They have an 8-2 record, whereas the Chiefs are 5-5. Definitely worth a punt in my opinion.

IND Colts 3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Well, the Chiefs have lost their last two, so the fact they are on the handicap doesn't give me much hope in that. A narrow loss for the Colts being covered looks nice.

Over 49.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I'm going over on the points here. Four out of the Colts' last five games have seen over this total.

IND Colts - IND Colts

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Big price here. The Chiefs haven't led at HT in either of their last two matches, both of which they went on to lose. Good price here, I feel, for an 8-2 side.

Josh Downs (IND Colts)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Not a bad price here I feel. Downs has been in decent form recently having scored a TD in 2 out of his last 3 matches.

IND Colts by 7 12

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@8.75

Lose

-50

Having a bit of a punt here. The Colts have a solid defense with a great offense. If they can stall the Chiefs (and the Chiefs have stalled in their last 2 games), they could get a relatively easy win.

KC Chiefs Over 27.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I'm going over on the Chiefs points line. They have met this total in all of their last 4 home matches. Could be an exciting game if Mahomes is on form.

IND Colts Over 22.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Very nice total for the Colts here. The Colts have scored this total in 5 out of their last 6 matches coming into this one.

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