Payne1164

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£5

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Payne1164's Tips History

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16 December 2025
01:15 MIA Dolphins @ PIT Steelers

MIA Dolphins

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.60

Lose

-50

I'm going for the Dolphins here. They're a side in great form, having won their last 4 matches coming into this one.

MIA Dolphins 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

The Steelers have actually lost 5 out of their last 8, so they are clearly not in the best form. Even if they win here, I can't see it being by many against an in-form Dolphins team.

Over 42.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

I think this one could go either way, but I'm just leaning towards Over, as the Dolphins' last two road games have been over this total.

MIA Dolphins - MIA Dolphins

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.25

Lose

-50

Think this one could be a good shout. If the Dolphins can get into Rogers' face early, they could take the lead. Then it's a case of managing the lead behind their good run offense.

MIA Dolphins by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@4.60

Lose

-50

Two of the last three Dolphins games have been decided by just one score. The Steelers have the exact same stat, so both sides have been playing in close games. I think the Dolphins will just nick it, as they're in good form.

PIT Steelers Over 23.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Backing the over here on this market. The Dolphins have met this total in 3 out of their last 4 home matches.

MIA Dolphins Over 19.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

The Dolphins have a pretty decent offense, shown by the fact they've hit this total in 3 of their last 4 matches.
14 December 2025
21:25 DET Lions @ LA Rams

DET Lions

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.20

Lose

-50

The Lions have an offense to scare any side. At this price, I think it's worth a pop. If they can get the run game going, they'll be hard to stop.
18:00 BAL Ravens @ CIN Bengals

CIN Bengals

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Well, these sides met a couple weeks ago and the Bengals won with relative ease. I expect the Ravens to make some adjustments, but at this price and now at home, it seems good.

CIN Bengals 3.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I'm going for Cincinnati on the handicap here. They performed well in their last match against the Bills, which they just lost. In the game before that, they beat their opponents today. Perhaps they've sussed out Lamar.

Over 51.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Well, if the Bengals' last game is anything to go off, this could be another open one. The Bengals have an awful defense and play against one of the best QBs in the NFL. The over seems like a likely option.

CIN Bengals - CIN Bengals

Double Result

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Decent shout here. These two sides met only a couple of weeks ago, and this happened. So at 3/1 it looks like a good shout to happen again.

CIN Bengals by 7 12

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

The Ravens lost by 18 points last time vs. the Bengals, and that was at their own ground. I do think the Bengals will win again, but I think it'll be by a slightly lower margin.

CIN Bengals Over 23.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.77

Lose

-50

Since Burrow has come back, the Bengals have been rolling on offense: 34 in their last game and 32 in the game before. This looks like a low total in comparison.

BAL Ravens Over 27.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.87

Lose

-50

The Bengals defense is very poor and frequently give up a high total of points. They have conceded this total in 5 of their last 7 matches.
18:00 BUF Bills @ NE Patriots

NE Patriots

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

The Pats at over evens when they're the home side looks real good. They're currently on a 10-game winning run.

NE Patriots 2.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

I think the Pats will win here, so the fact they have the + handicap seems good as it covers a narrow loss. The Bills have lost 2 of their last 3 road games.

Over 49.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Going for over here. I watched the Bills in their last match and wow, what a match. They have a great offense but poor defense. 73 points in their last game. If this is anything like that, we could have another high scorer.

NE Patriots - NE Patriots

Double Result

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

The Pats have been awesome for some time now, and the Bills have certainly been up and down. I feel there's a greater chance of this happening than any of the other options.

NE Patriots by 7 12

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@6.75

Lose

-50

I think the Pats could actually win this quite easily. The Bills looked poor defensively last week, but they played an equally poor defense. They won't have that luxury against the Pats. Could win by a TD.

NE Patriots Over 23.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

Really like this one. The Pats have scored this total in all of their last 8 matches on the bounce. Bills don't have a good defence either.

BUF Bills Under 26.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

I'm thinking under here. The Pats haven't given up this total of points in any of their last 10 matches, which is quite something.
18:00 LA Chargers @ KC Chiefs

LA Chargers

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.40

Win

120

The Chargers have won 4 of their last 5. The Chiefs have lost 4 of their last 5. So these prices seem the wrong way round! Obviously the Chiefs are a great side, but I'm going with the form book here.

LA Chargers 6.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Massive handicap here. The Chiefs haven't won any of their last 5 matches by this margin, so I'm going with the Chargers on the +.

Over 41.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Seems like a pretty low total here. Two of the last three road matches for the Chargers have seen this total of points. The last meeting between the sides also had over this total.

LA Chargers - LA Chargers

Double Result

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The Chargers have won 5 of their last 6, so for them to be leading at HT and FT seems like a fair shout considering their form. 5/1 seems very tempting.

Ladd McConkey (LA Chargers)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-50

McConkey at over 2/1 looks a fair price. He's the Chargers' main man and has scored a TD in 2 of his last 4 matches. If the Chargers are to win, I'd think he'd have to have a top game.

LA Chargers by 1 6

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@5.75

Win

238

Four of the Chiefs' last five games have been separated by just one TD or less. That tells me this could be another close one. The Chargers are in good form and are almost 5/1 for this market. Worth a shot.

KC Chiefs Over 23.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.74

Lose

-50

Fancy this one as the Chargers defence isn't the greatest. They've conceded this total in two of their last three road games. They gave up 35 in their last away match.

LA Chargers Over 17.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@2.10

Lose

-50

The Chiefs' defence hasn't been very tight the last few weeks. They've given up this total in all of their last five matches, so it seems like this will be close again.
13 December 2025
21:00 Luke Humphries vs Ted Evetts

Ted Evetts 2.50

Handicap 2-way

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Going for Evetts on the handicap here at a decent price. He just needs to win one set. He's actually won two of his last three against Humphries, and while I don't think he'll win the match, he could sneak a set if his doubling is good. Humphries will no doubt be putting pressure on himself.

Over 3.50

Total Sets

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

Big price this. Evetts isn't a bad player, and if he's throwing well from the start he could nick a set. Humphries has lost his last two, so he's not exactly in the best of form.
07 December 2025
21:25 CHI Bears @ GB Packers

CHI Bears

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

The Bears at the price do seem a bit mental. They've won 9 out of their last 10 and are playing well on both sides of the ball.

CHI Bears 6.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Very good handicap here. The Packers have only won 1 of their last 5 by more than a score, so when they win they win close. If the Bears do lose, which I don't think they will, it could be close, I feel.

Over 44.00

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Both sides have had some high-scoring games in recent times. Also, the last time these sides met it had over this total. Could be a fun game.

GB Packers Over 26.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.80

Win

40

Going over on the points here for the Packers. They have scored over this total in 2 out of their last 3 matches.

CHI Bears Over 17.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

This seems like a really low total for a good Bears side. They've scored over this total in all of their last 5 matches.
18:00 CIN Bengals @ BUF Bills

CIN Bengals

Money Line

50 WIN

@3.30

Lose

-50

Burrow came back with a bang last week, beating the Ravens, who were big favorites. Another tough one here, but if he can keep racking up the points, the Bills could struggle to keep up. Decent price also.

CIN Bengals 6.00

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Bengals have covered this handicap in all of their last nine meetings with the Bills (including preseason matches). Seems a good option when considering that.
18:00 IND Colts @ JAX Jaguars

JAX Jaguars

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Jags look a nice price here. The Colts have been stuttering of late, having won only 1 of their last 4. Jags have won all of their last 3.

JAX Jaguars 2.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

With the Jags on a good run, the Colts on a poor run, and the Jags having home advantage, I just can't see the Colts winning this. The fact they have the minus handicap? I'm not sure about that.

JAX Jaguars Over 21.50

Team Points 2-Way (Home)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Easy pick for me in this one. The Jags have scored this total in all of their last 5 matches on the bounce.

IND Colts Under 23.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

The Colts have failed to score 24 or more points in 3 of their last 4 matches and seem to be struggling a bit at the moment.
06 December 2025
15:00 Bournemouth v Chelsea

Bournemouth (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win+Push

25

Bournemouth is a tough place to go, and they've only lost once at home in the league this season. I think they could avoid defeat here, especially as Chelsea lost their last away game.

Draw #2-2

Bournemouth have scored at least 2 goals in 3 out of their last 4 home matches, so I can see them troubling Chelsea. But Chelsea are a good side and will want to bounce back from defeat against Leeds midweek. A fun draw seems a good shout.
15:00 Everton v Nottm Forest

Under 2.50

Total Goals

Backing under on the goals here. Only 1 of Notts Forest's last 4 away games have been over 2.5 goals.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

I quite like Everton under Moyes, and Notts look good under Dyche. I think both sides could struggle in the final third, with a scoring draw looking like a fair result. Both sides have been in reasonable form of late, so they could be happy to take a point.
15:00 Man City v Sunderland

Man City (AH) -1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Win

51

I do think City will win this comfortably. Sunderland put a lot into their game against Liverpool midweek, and it's going to be tough for them to keep up with City's fluid football. Long day for them, I feel.

Man City #4-1

I can see Sunderland scoring, as City have conceded at least one in their last five home matches in all competitions. But I still see them winning quite easily against a tired Sunderland side who worked really hard against Liverpool midweek.
15:00 Newcastle v Burnley

Newcastle

Burnley aren't a bad side at all, but they've struggled away from home this season, losing 6 out of 7. Newcastle are a short price, but I can see why.

Newcastle #3-0

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Can see this being an easy day for the Toon here. Burnley are poor away from home, and if Newcastle play like they did against Everton, this could be over quickly.
15:00 Tottenham v Brentford

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Both sides have been struggling in recent times, with Brentford losing their last three away games and Spurs with no wins in their last five in all competitions. I think they could cancel each other out in a nervy game with few bits of quality.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

Brentford are poor away from home. Spurs have been struggling. I can see Brentford defending deep, making it hard for Spurs, frustrating both their players and their fans. Perhaps a couple of set-piece goals in this game as they cancel each other out.

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