bowhillbear

I like statistics and researching form. Often a good indicator, but like everything in life - stand back and think logically. Football, tennis, cricket, horse racing fan - but most of all, skiing.

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bowhillbear's Tips History

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All sports
15 September 2024
16:20 4:20 Bath

Foreseeable Future

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-50

An experienced 9 year old French horse, running from 3lb's outside the handicap, he has nevertheless finished in the first three 24 times from 49 starts on turf, winning 8 times. A visor tried recently seems to be working with places on each of his last three turf races. He finished 2nd of 13 over course and distance in July with regular jockey James Sullivan on board and he rides again today.
14:00 Tottenham v Arsenal

Draw

50 WIN

@3.70

Open

0

Tottenham have lost 2 of the last 10 home league matches against Arsenal (the last 2) and are 1-1-1 from 3 this season with a goals aggregate of 6-3. Arsenal are 2-1-0 from 3 this season with a goals aggregate of 5-1. A draw looks a likely outcome today.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.62

Open

0

Short odds, but the last 13 meetings have seen at least two goals scored with over 2.5 in 6 of the last 7. Tottenham are 1-1-1 from 3 in the league this season with a goals aggregate of 6-3, and Arsenal are 2-1-0 from 3 with a goals aggregate of 5-1. There have been at least 2 goals scored in all 6 matches.

Draw #2-2

50 WIN

@12.00

Open

0

Tottenham have lost the last two home matches in the league v Arsenal, their only defeat in the last 10 in this fixture. The last 13 meetings have seen at least 2 goals scored with 6 of the last 7 seeing over 2.5 goals. Tottenham are 1-1-1 from 3 in the league this season with a goals aggregate of 6-3 whilst Arsenal are 2-1-0 from 3 with a goals aggregate of 5-1.

Over 5.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

35

Over 5 cards is a high count but this north London derby has a recent record of bookings. Last season this fixture saw 3 bookings (Tottenham 2, Arsenal 1), whilst two seasons ago there were 6 yellow cards (Tottenham 4, Arsenal 2). The reverse fixture last season saw 7 bookings (Arsenal 3, Tottenham 4).
14 September 2024
20:00 Bournemouth v Chelsea

Over 5.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

A high count, but recent meetings between these two sides have seen a lot of bookings. Two seasons ago this fixture saw 5 yellow cards (Bournemouth 1, Chelsea 4), and last season there were 6 cautions (Bournemouth 1, Chelsea 5). The reverse fixture last season saw 5 bookings (Chelsea 4, Bournemouth 2).
17:30 Aston Villa v Everton

Aston Villa

50 WIN

@1.62

Win

31

Aston Villa are unbeaten in 10 Premier League matches v Everton, conceding 1 goal in the last 8. They are 2-0-1 from 3 this season in the league with a goals aggregate of 4-4, whilst Everton are 0-0-3 from 3 with a goals aggregate of 2-10.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.73

Win

37

5 of the last 9 meetings in all competitions have seen over 2.5 goals scored with Aston Villa 2-0-1 from 3 this season in the Premier League, with a goals aggregate of 4-4, seeing over 2.5 goals scored in 2. Everton are 0-0-3 from 4 with a goals aggregate of 2-10, with over 2.5 goals scored in all 3.

Amadou Onana

Anytime Goalscorer

A defensive midfielder, but a danger from corners and set pieces which Everton have been defending poorly. He has scored twice in his first three appearances so far, v Leicester and West Ham, both away from home.

Amadou Onana

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

A defensive midfielder, playing for the home side who are more likely to score first in the match. Everton defend set pieces poorly, and Onana is a danger from set pieces and corners, scoring twice in his first two games for Aston Villa v Leicester and West Ham, both times the first goals of the match.
15:00 Brighton v Ipswich

Brighton

No recent meetings, but Brighton have a strong record at home v newly promoted sides. They are 2-1-0 from 3 this season with a goals aggregate of 6-2, whilst Ipswich are 0-1-2 from 3 with a goals aggregate of 2-7.
15:00 Liverpool v Nottm Forest

Liverpool

Liverpool have a good record v Nottingham Forest, with 1 defeat (away) in their last 8 meetings. They have scored at least 3 goals in each of the last 5 home league games, winning all 5. Liverpool are 3-0-0 from 3 this season with a goals aggregate of 7-0 whilst Nottingham Forest are 1-2-0 from 3 this season with a goals aggregate of 3-2.
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Mohamed Salah

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Short odds, but Salah is a prolific scorer who scored in this fixture in the last two seasons in April and October last year. He has started this season well with goals in each of the first three matches v Ipswich, Brentford and Manchester United.

Mohamed Salah

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Liverpool are at home and with a good recent record v Nottingham Forest. Salah is a prolific scorer who has started the season well with goals in each of the first three league games v Ipswich, Brentford and Manchester United. He also scored in this fixture in each of the last two seasons.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Silky Wilkie

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@34.00

Lose

-50

A 5 year old with a chance in an open looking race. He is experienced with 19 finishes in the first three from 22 starts on turf including 6 wins from 5 to 6 furlongs. he was last seen at York in August finishing a reasonably close 13th of 22 over 5 furlongs. Sam Feilden rode and partners today, claiming a useful 7lb's.
1 member found this comment useful
12:30 Northampton v Wycombe

Draw

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Northampton have lost their last 7 matches against Wycombe, including a League Cup match in August. However they have home advantage, and are 1-2-1 from 4 this season in the league with a goals aggregate of 4-4, unbeaten in 3, and were unlucky to lose their first match. Wycombe are also unbeaten in 3 and are 2-1-1 from 6 in the league with a goals aggregate of 7-5.

Draw #2-2

Northampton have lost 7 successive games against Wycombe including a League Cup match this season, but they have home advantage and are 1-2-1 from 4 in the league this season in the league with a goals aggregate of 4-4, including a 2-2 draw. Wycombe are 2-1-1 from 4 with a goals aggregate of 7-5 including a 2-2 draw and 2-3 defeat.
13 September 2024
18:30 England vs Australia 2nd T20 Match

England

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.30

Win

65

4 v 2 in terms of International T20 rankings, and whilst Australia have won the last two meetings including at Southampton on Wednesday by 28 runs, England have home advantage and won the only previous meeting at this venue. The overall head to head score is 11-12 in this format, and in a T20 match the odds for a home win today are generous.
16:00 Borna Gojo vs Vilius Gaubas

Borna Gojo

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Symbol Of Honour

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@3.75

Lose

-50

A smart two year old, gelded since his last race, when he finished 6th of 22 over 6 furlongs in a Group 2 race at Ascot in June. Both Trainer Charlie Appleby and Jockey James Doyle are in good form, and today's distance of 7 furlongs should suit.
12 September 2024
17:50 5:50 Doncaster

Trouville

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

A 3 year old, he started his career well with 3 races over 10 furlongs, finishing 2nd twice before winning at Chepstow in May when finishing 1st of 6. He then than disappointingly on his handicap debut at Goodwood, but is upped to 12 furlongs today with a good jockey booking in William Buick.
16:10 4:10 Doncaster

Fox Legacy

Daily Racing

25 EW

@7.00

Lose

-50

A 3 year old, he is penalised 16lb's after finishing 1st of 12 by 12 lengths over today's distance of 10 furlongs at Salisbury on his last appearance in August. Top trainer/jockey combination of Sir Michael Stoute and Ryan Moore.
15:35 3:35 Doncaster

Grateful

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.50 on 12/09 at 11:210.15 deduction for Mistral Star@6.00 withdrawn at 14:55R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.50 x (1-0.15) = 6.52

@6.53

Win

2

3 year old filly who has won at Curragh over 12 furlongs and Fairyhouse over 14 furlongs, most recently finishing a reasonably close 6th of 8 at Goodwood over 14 furlongs in August. Top Trainer/Jockey combination of AP O'Brien and Ryan Moore, both in good form.
15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Ecstatic

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

A two year old filly, she won nicely on her second appearance, finishing 1st of 15 over 7.5 furlongs at Tipperary, and is open to further improvement here over 8 furlongs. Top trainer and jockey combination with AP O'Brien and Ryan Moore both in good form.
08:00 Irina Camelia Begu vs Patricia Maria Tig

Irina Camelia Begu

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.09

Lose

-50

11 September 2024
20:00 Kamilla Rakhimova vs Victoria Azarenka

Victoria Azarenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Void

0

19:00 Rebecca Sramkova vs Clara Burel

Clara Burel

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-50

18:30 England vs Australia 1st T20 Match

England

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Both have won 3 of their last 5 matches in this format whilst head to head the score is 11-11, with England leading 3-2 at the Rose Bowl. Today England have home advantage with this match being the first on the tour for Australia.

S Curran

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

Playing for the home side, he has been in good form in domestic T20 and Hundreds cricket for Surrey and The Invincibles. He has scored 272 international T20 runs in 30 innings with a top score of 50 and taken 52 wickets in 51 innings with a career best of 5 for 10. Could perform with bat and ball in a winning performance today.
14:50 2:50 Carlisle

The Feminine Urge

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@4.00

Lose

-50

Good prospect in a field of 8, she won a nursery at Carlisle in August, finishing 1st of 11 over 6 furlongs on her last appearance. Callum Shepherd is a good jockey booking who has partnered before. She looks reasonably handicapped too.
10 September 2024
19:45 England v Finland

England

50 WIN

@1.11

Win

5

Short odds, but England have home advantage and they are unbeaten in 11 previous meetings, winning 9. England are 3-2-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 8-5 whilst Finland are 2-1-3 from 6 with a goals aggregate of 9-15.

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

9 of the 11 previous meetings have seen over 2.5 goals scored, with England 3-2-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 8-5, with over 2.5 goals scored in 3 of their last 5 games. Finland are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-15, with over 2.5 goals scored in all 6.

England #4-1

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

4 v 63 in terms of ranking, England are at home and also unbeaten in 11 matches against Finland, winning 9. 9 of those 11 meetings saw over 2.5 goals scored. England are 3-2-1 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 8-5, including wins by 2-0 and 2-1 (twice). Finland are 2-1-3 from 6 recently with a goals aggregate of 9-15, including defeats by 0-3, 2-4 and 1-4.

Over 3.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.92

Lose

-50

In a match likely to be dominated by England, frustration may affect Finland, particularly with Grealish, who tends to be fouled regularly, likely to start. Finland collected 2 cards v Greece in their last match, and England received two cautions v Republic of Ireland.
17:17 5:17 Leicester

Gundogan

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

An improving 3 year old, he has finished in the first three 4 times from 7 starts on turf, last seen in a novice race at Carlisle in August, finishing 1st of 8 over 6 furlongs by 4 lengths. First time blinkers then tried are retained today with Rossa Ryan booked to ride in a return to handicapping.
11:00 Angela Fita Boluda vs Alja Senica

Angela Fita Boluda

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.03

Win

1

09:30 Ipek Oz vs Sapfo Sakellaridi

Ipek Oz

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.18

Win

9

09 September 2024
23:00 Aleksandra Krunic vs Kamilla Rakhimova

Kamilla Rakhimova

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

22:00 Haiti v Sint Maarten

Haiti

50 WIN

@1.03

Win

1

17:22 5:22 Perth

Blended Stealth

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

Bottom weight today, winless to date, he has finished in the first three 9 times from 24 starts over hurdles, most recently seen finishing 3rd of 9 over 3 miles 1 furlong at Cartmel on heavy going in August. Sean Quinlan is his regular jockey who is in good form, and partners here.
08 September 2024
19:00 Jannik Sinner vs Taylor Fritz

Jannik Sinner

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

1 v 12 in terms of ranking, 1-1 head to head, with both matches played on hard courts. Sinner has won 54 of 59 matches this year including 29 of 31 on hard courts, whilst Fritz has won 43 of 59 matches in 2024 including 18 of 25 on hard courts.

Jannik Sinner to win 3 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@3.60

Lose

-50

1 v 12 in terms of ranking, 1-1 head to head, both played on hard courts, with the overall sets score 6-1. Sinner has a 54-5 win/loss record this year including 29-2 on hard courts, and he has lost 2 sets reaching this final. Fritz has a 43-16 record in 2024 including 18-7 on hard courts, losing 4 sets in reaching today's final.
16:35 4:35 York

Wreck It Ryley

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Lose

-50

A winner 3 times over 5 to 7 furlongs, he has finished in the first three 11 times from 17 starts on turf, last seen in August finishing 1st of 11 over 6 furlongs at Ripon. That was with first time blinkers which are retained today, and regular jockey Dale Swift rides in an open looking race.
09:00 Raluka Serban vs Ekaterine Gorgodze

Raluka Serban

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.25

Lose

-50

07 September 2024
21:00 Jessica Pegula vs Aryna Sabalenka

Aryna Sabalenka

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

10:00 Darja Semenistaja vs Irina Camelia Begu

Irina Camelia Begu

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

00:00 Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe

Taylor Fritz

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

06 September 2024
20:00 Jannik Sinner vs Jack Draper

Jannik Sinner

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.17

Win

9

13:00 Polina Kudermetova vs Irina Camelia Begu

Irina Camelia Begu

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

11

10:00 Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Anca Todoni

Anca Todoni

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

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