bonanzaboy
Stats based favourite backer. Trying to selectively back the fancied runners with a few larger priced runners for good measure. Flat/AW only.
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Estimated Prizes
this month
£0
Estimated Prize money
this month
bonanzaboy's Tips History
26 April 2024
20:00 Real Sociedad v Real Madrid
Real Madrid
50 WIN
@2.70
Win
85
System Qualifier: This football selection was derived from a stats based approach and met a specific set of qualifying criteria predominantly revolving around chance creation data.
Subtotal85
23 April 2024
21:00 9:00 Wolverhampton
Bernard Spierpoint
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks on a competitive mark after finishing a close second over course and distance 2 weeks ago and must be worth another try off just 1lb higher.
19:00 7:00 Wolverhampton
Aces High
Daily Racing
50 WINR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
System Qualifier: Ran 3 poor races as a 2yo but hard to think there isn't improvement to come off a low mark now moving into handicap company. The yard have a decent record in handicaps at the track (108 runs, 29 wins, 27% strike rate, 17pt level stakes profit at SP, 16% ROI) and also with their all weather handicappers on their first start of the season (91 runs, 25 wins, 28% SR, 38pt LSP, 41% ROI)
18:00 6:00 Wolverhampton
Educate
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks a solid favourite having show some smart form as a 2yo and Gosden having a decent record with his colts and geldings on the all weather and showing profit when using a tongue strap on his runners (25 runs, 6 wins, 24% strike rate, 14pt level stakes profit at SP, 54% ROI)
1 member found this comment useful
17:25 5:25 Yarmouth
Exceed
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@4.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Won well whan last seen and can resume winning ways with the yard having a good record with their last time out winners in turf handicaps (213 runs, 37 wins, 17% strike rate, 10pt level stakes profit at SP, 5% ROI)
17:05 5:05 Epsom Downs
Great Chieftain
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks a potential improver stepping up slightly in trip on handicap debut and now running in first time blinkers considering the yard generally do well with this form of headgear (146 runs, 16 wins, 11% strike rate, 27pt level stakes profit at SP, 18% ROI)
16:55 4:55 Yarmouth
Cervaro Della Sala
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: There was a lot to like about this one's 2yo campaign and could be starting handicap life off a handy mark and have shown profit with their turf handicappers over sprint trips (263 runs, 37 wins, 14% strike rate, 9pt level stakes profit at SP, 3% ROI)
Melisende
Daily Racing
25 EW
@6.00
Push
0
System Qualifier: Looks a solid each way bet with 3 places being paid in a small field and this yard having a decent record at the track (100 runs, 15 wins, 15% strike rate, 41% placed, 33pt level stakes profit at SP, 33% ROI)
16:20 4:20 Yarmouth
Dreaming Spires
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Happy to take a chance on this one having slipped to a potentially nice handicap mark and the yard generally doing well in spring handicaps (63 runs, 19 wins, 30% strike rate, 24pt level stakes profit at SP, 38% ROI)
1 member found this comment useful
15:55 3:55 Epsom Downs
Duke Of Verona
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Ran just twice last year but was successful on seasonal reappearance and resumes this campaign off just 1lb higher so looks worth siding with considering the yard's record with turf handicappers on their first start of the season (31 runs, 8 wins, 26% strike rate, 17pt level stakes profit at SP, 55% ROI)
15:45 3:45 Yarmouth
Yaajooz
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: The early favourite Lennox looks weak in the betting and while Fifty Nifty is interesting on debut, prefence is for Yaajooz. The yard are by far at their best during the spring and their runners seem to get well prepard as 2 year olds to have productive campaigns at 3. (G Boughey, handicap, spring, 3yo: 50 runs, 15 wins, 30% strike rate, 22pt level stakes profit at SP, 44% ROI)
15:20 3:20 Epsom Downs
Crystal Delight
Daily Racing
25 EW
@8.00
Win
210
System Qualifier: The yard have 2 in this race but this one looks the likelier type based on my ratings and the yard have a good record in spring handicaps (63 runs, 19 wins, 30% strike rate, 24pt level stakes profit at SP, 38% ROI)
Silent Film
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Seems to be attracting overnight support and has some decent form excusing a poor run when last seen. Steps up in trip today which looks likely to suit and the yard have a good record with such types in turf handicaps (813 runs, 93 wins, 11% strike rate, 28pt level stakes profit at SP, 4% ROI)
15:10 3:10 Yarmouth
Daymer Bay
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@10.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks interesting having been contesting mostly in class 2 company last year and now drops into a class 5 race on handicap debut and stepping up in trip. The yard have a decent record in spring handicaps (357 runs 48 wins, 13% strike rate, 77pt level stakes profit at SP, 22% ROI), and are also goor with their runners on seasonal reappearance (140 runs, 20 wins, 14% SR, 65pt LSP, 47% ROI)
Spanish Vega
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG
@13.00
Win
35
System Qualifier: Looks likely to improve with the step up in trip and the yard have a good record in handicaps here at Yarmouth (23 runs, 7 wins, 30% strike rate, 48% placed, 12pt level stakes profit at SP, 53% ROI)
14:45 2:45 Epsom Downs
Feigning Madness
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: The favourite looks a good prospect but seems a little short considering the potential improvers in the field and preference is for the Beckett runner. He won well over 7f and 8f in both starts to date and looks likely to make another step formward now running over 1m2f.
14:10 2:10 Epsom Downs
Glory Fighter
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Won well on unforgiving ground last time out and should run his race once again with the yard's runners tending to perform better after a recent run. Up 5lbs for that win but should benefit from the better conditions here and the yard have a good record with last time out winners in turf handicaps (238 runs, 39 wins, 16% strike rate, 17pt level stakes profit at SP, 7% ROI)
14:00 2:00 Yarmouth
Serendipitous Lady
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Won here over 7f on her penaultimate start of last season before a lacklustre run on her final start of 2023. Hopefully the switch back to turf will spark a return to form with the yard's turf handicappers going well this season (40 runs, 6 wins, 15% strike rate, 31pt level stakes profit at SP, 77% ROI)
Subtotal-405
22 April 2024
19:45 AC Milan v Inter Milan
Inter Milan
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
19:20 7:20 Windsor
Mesaafi
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: This yard have been profitable in turf handicaps in seven out of the last 10 years and have a good record with their turf handicappers that placed last time out (243 runs, 45 wins, 19% strike rate, 46pt level stakes profit at SP, 19% ROI)
18:50 6:50 Windsor
Cock And Bull
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Won well last time out and looks worth siding with considering the yard's record with last time out winners in class 6 all weather handicaps (12 runs, 6 wins, 50% strike rate, 5pt level stakes profit at SP, 41% ROI)
18:20 6:20 Windsor
Wahraan
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Taking a chance on this one at big odds with the yard having a good record in turf handicaps during the spring (119 runs, 14 wins, 12% strike rate, 51pt level stakes profit at SP, 43 % ROI) and also runs in a first time hood today (40 runs, 9 wins, 23% SR, 28pt LSP, 70% ROI)
17:00 5:00 Pontefract
Lordsbridge Flyer
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@7.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Looks worth taking a chance on now dropped in class with the yard profitable if backing all their runners in non-handicaps on turf. They have a strong record over sprint trips in such races (209 runs, 19 wins, 9% strike rate, 140pt level stakes profit, 67% ROI) and are also good with their 3yo runners (180 runs, 4 wins, 13% SR, 19pt LSP, 18% ROI)
16:45 4:45 Windsor
The Cola Kid
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: 3lbs above his last winning mark (AW) and looks worth taking a chance on with the yard showing profit with theirturf handicap runners returning from a 2+ month break (64 runs, 6 wins, 9% strike rate, 82pt level stakes profit at SP, 128% ROI)
16:10 4:10 Windsor
Libra Tiger
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Took advantage of a drop in grade, battling on well to hold on at the line last time out and switches back to turf today on his last winning mark. Steps back up into a class 5 today and the yard have a good record winth turf handicappers that had a recent run (last ran 1-28 days: 163 runs, 15 wins, 9% strike rate, 60pt lavel stakes profit at SP, 37% ROI)
15:55 3:22 Pontefract
On The River
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Win
150
System Qualifier: Ran below par last time out but should be fitter for that run and won this race last year. Seems to be attracting overnight support. The yard have a good record at Pontefract and have a decent record in turf handicaps (63 runs, 16 wins, 25% strike rate, 83pt level stakes profit at SP, 132& ROI)
14:52 2:22 Pontefract
Macarone
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Ran well in handicaps last year and looks worth another chance at 6f after seemingly not lasting the trip when previously tried in a deeper race than this. The yard are profitable in turf handicaps but most of their winners tend to come in class 6 races (47 runs, 10 wins, 21% strike rate, 21pt level stakes profit, 46% ROI)
Subtotal-150
21 April 2024
18:15 6:15 Musselburgh
Redarna
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@26.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Taking a chance on this one that seemed to struggle when stepped un to class 2 company and ran below form on soft ground on his final start of last season. Should encounter a better surface today and drops in grade so I'd expect a better showing for a yard that have a good record with their geldings in handicaps (361 runs, 44 wins, 12% strike rate, 92pt level stakes profit at SP, 26% ROI)
17:45 5:45 Musselburgh
Ice Max
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@4.50
Win
175
System Qualifier: Won nicley on seasonal reappearance and looks worth siding with to confirm that form with the yard showing profit if backing all their runners sent off favourite or second favourite in turf handicaps (434 runs, 114 wins, 26% strike rate, 21pt level stakes profit at SP, 5% ROI)
17:30 CD Alaves v Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
17:15 5:15 Musselburgh
Detective
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Was weak in the betting on heavy ground on his final start of last season and ran accordingly but had been running consistently in a bunch of races prior to that disappointment. Happy to take a chance on a return to form with the yard having a good record in spring handicaps (87 runs 13 wins, 15% strike rate, 48pt level stakes profit at SP, 55% ROI)
Simple Star
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 13.00 takenBOG
@15.00
Win
45
System Qualifier: Won 3 out of 5 flat races last season and finished a close second on his final start. Runs off 2lbs higher today but looks worth taking a chance on with the yard having a good record in spring handicaps (87 runs 13 wins, 15% strike rate, 48pt level stakes profit at SP, 55% ROI)
16:45 4:45 Musselburgh
Bird Of Play
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Had been running well off a higher mark with the weight negated by a claiming jockey in all but one run last year but has now been eased by the handicapper and is ridden by the more experienced Danny Tudhope.
16:30 Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
16:30 Fulham v Liverpool
Liverpool
16:05 Brest v Monaco
Monaco
15:45 3:45 Musselburgh
Seantrabh
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Won well on his penultimate start of last season before a disappointing run when last seen but it's possible the ground wasn't suitable on that occasion. Makes his return on what should be a better surface and has the ability to make his presence felt against today's rivals. The yard ?also have a good record in 5f handicaps (274 runs, 40 wins, 15% strike rate, 68pt level stakes profit at SP, 25% ROI)
13:00 Getafe v Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
Subtotal-22
20 April 2024
20:30 Braga v Vizela
Braga
19:50 7:50 Brighton
Oh So Audacious
Daily Racing
System Qualifier: Now 3lbs higher than when winning 2 starts ago and can be excused a poor run on bottomless ground on his final start of 2023. The yard have a decent record in turf handicaps during the spring (59 runs, 19 wins, 32% strike rate, 28pt level stakes profit at SP, 47% ROI) and also show profit in middle distance handicaps (+19pts @ 18% ROI) and runners dropping in trip (+22pts @ 52% ROI)
19:30 Wolverhampton v Arsenal
Arsenal
16:30 Malmo FF v Vasteras SK FK
Malmo FF
16:25 4:25 Newbury
Hidden Law
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.80 used instead of 1.62 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.
@1.80
Win
40
System Qualifier: Looks extremely solid in the overnight betting and another one which might prove value due to the weight of each way money on other runners. Narrowly beaten last time out on debut but there was a lot to like about that performance and the yard have a good record with their non-handicap favourites during the spring (160 runs, 73 wins, 46% strike rate, 19pt level stakes profit at SP, 12% ROI)
15:50 3:50 Newbury
Economics
Daily Racing
System Qualifier: Showed debut promise on his only start last year and holds some entries for big races so must be running well on the gallops. Likely a value bet due to a large proportion of players put off by such a short price in a big field and will prefer to find an each way angle into the race, but I'm happy to wade in considering the yard's record with non-handicap runners making their seasonal reappearance during the spring (182 runs, 58 wins, 32% strike rate, 50pt level stakes profit at SP, 28% ROI)
15:15 3:15 Newbury
Bill Silvers
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@21.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Quite a few of interest in this competitve handicap but this one stands out after a decent run in difficult conditions on his final start of last year and with the yard having a good record in handicaps during the spring (59 runs, 19 wins, 32% strike rate, 28pt level stakes profit at SP, 47% ROI)
15:00 Stockport v Accrington Stanley
Stockport
14:40 2:40 Newbury
El Bodon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@34.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Ran a decent race on debut and followed up with an easy win when sent off odds-on favourite on the all weather. Not seen since that run 10 months ago but interesting to see him make the step up to group company here and the yard have a good record in non-handicap sprints on turf (208 runs, 19 wins, 9% strike rate, 141pt level stakes profit at SP, 68% ROI)
14:05 2:05 Newbury
Regal Jubilee
Daily Racing
System Qualifier: Improved with each run in 3 starts last year and now steps up into group company. Looks set to continue on an upward trajectory and looks worth siding with considering Gosden's record with non-handicap fillies in the spring (367 runs, 75 wins,20% strike rate, 25pt level stakes profit at SP, 7% ROI)
Subtotal-32
19 April 2024
19:15 7:15 Bath
Ravenglass
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Seemingly coming back into for as his mark has been sliding over the past 12 months and runs off a low weight today which makes me feel he can be competitive at big odds. While the uptick in form has coincided with his lowered mark, it can't be ignored that he ad been running with cheeckpieces form many of his previous runs (tongue tie and visor also tried on a couple of occasions) but has recently switched to a hood, and the yard have a good record when using this from of headgear (75 runs, 15 wins, 20% strike rate, 52pt level stakes profit at SP, 69% ROI)
17:15 5:15 Bath
Bated Breeze
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@3.25
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Ran well on seasonal reappearance, first time in a handicap last time out and a similar effor would see him go close here. The yard have a great record in turf handicaps during the spring (262 runs, 46 wins, 18% strike rate, 102pt level stakes profit at SP, 39% ROI)
16:15 4:15 Newbury
Teraabb
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 11.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG
@11.00
Win
500
System Qualifier: Ran with credit in four starts last year and looks set to kick on this season now moving into handicap company with the yard boasting a strong record in this sphere (719 runs, 117 wins, 16% strike rate, 154pt level stakes profit at SP, 21% ROI)
15:45 3:45 Newbury
Prince Alex
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@15.00
Win
700
System Qualifier: Ran two good races after switching to this yard last summer and a return to his best for would see him involved here and the yard have a good record with handicap runners on their seasonal reappearance (32 runs, 4 wins, 9 placed, 13% strike rate, 31pt level stakes profit at SP, 97% ROI)
15:12 3:12 Newbury
Arabian Tribe
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Confirmed promise on debut, winning well, and looks set to have a productive campaingn this year and the yard have a good record with last time out winners on seasonal reappearance in turf handicaps (120 runs, 37 wins, 31% strike rate, 22pt level stakes profit at SP, 18% ROI)
14:12 2:12 Newbury
Aplomb
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Taking a chance on this one at big odds now his rating has dropped to what I think must be a workable mark and carrying a career low weight. The yard also show profit if you'd have backed all their turf handicap runners on their seasonal reappearance (86 runs, 9 wins, 11% strike rate, 54pt level stakes profit at SP, 62% ROI)
Grand Traverse
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
System Qualifier: Won well on handicap debut on his first start for this yard and I think there's plenty of improvement to come off 8lbs higher and seemingly attracting overnight support.
Subtotal950
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
