Dempcx
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Dempcx's Tips History
21 September 2025
16:30 Arsenal v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@4.00
Lose
-50
Man City - I see this as an even contest. City have started slow but have turned things around in recent games. Arsenal have hit the ground running again this season and are the form team. Both sides will want the ball and try to dominate possession, so it will be a very tight game. I don't see the Arsenal stadium as hostile, so no advantage there for me.
14:00 Bournemouth v Newcastle
Newcastle
50 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-50
Newcastle - they had a Euro game on Thursday and lost by a slim margin. They look to be flying forward again and can outscore this Bournemouth side with the new options they have up top.
14:00 Sunderland v Aston Villa
Aston Villa
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Aston Villa had an unbelievable season last year but have started slow. They take on a newly promoted side here, and signs are that Villa are starting to turn again and gain some momentum. In games, they should have too much quality for Sunderland.
Subtotal-150
20 September 2025
20:00 Fulham v Brentford
Fulham
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
Fulham - tough little team Fulham with a bit of flair mixed in, and they are at home. Brentford are plucky but have lost some of their stars over the summer, so scoring has become difficult.
17:30 Man Utd v Chelsea
Man Utd
50 WIN
@2.80
Win
90
Man Utd - maybe signs that things are turning for Utd and forwards look better this year. Chelsea had a midweek trip to Bayern with a tough defeat, so hopefully Utd take advantage here in a close-fought game.
15:00 Brighton v Tottenham
Tottenham
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
Tottenham - Spurs are having their usual start to a season. Big result, then a loss to a smaller team. The odds are with them here, and I think they can defy the price. New striker and plenty of squad depth have a bit more about them than Brighton.
15:00 Burnley v Nottm Forest
Nottm Forest
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Nottm Forest - The new manager has had time to get his ideas across, and he's done well wherever he goes. So, I see nothing but 3 points here for Forest, even though they are away from home. Burnley proved to be tough opponents for Liverpool last week.
15:00 West Ham v Crystal Palace
West Ham
50 WIN
@3.10
Lose
-50
West Ham - another manager feeling the pressure here, and this is a must-win. The Hammers should have enough about them as they showed against Forrest. Palace have been raided by other teams and are not as strong anymore.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Leeds
Wolverhampton
50 WIN
@2.70
Lose
-50
Wolverhampton would ideally want Stard Laurson in the squad, but unsure if he will play. Leeds had a good result on opening day and can hurt well-organized teams. But with Wolves at home and the manager now under pressure, this is a must-win game for them.
12:30 Liverpool v Everton
Everton
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Everton - form goes out the window in derby games. David Moyes now has Everton playing and working the way he wants with a mix of flair. Liverpool had a midweek European game and only just about got it done against Burnley last week. I will take a chance that Everton can get a result here.
Subtotal-108
10 September 2025
17:10 5:10 Cork
Saturn Seven
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Saturn Seven has had a run here before but was on heavy going with a low draw that day. Better ground today with a wide draw on the straight may see her home to more effect. Top pilot onboard.
16:40 4:40 Cork
Charles Fort
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.38 used instead of 2.25 takenBOG
@2.38
Win
68
Charles Fort - improving all the time. Trainer sticks on claimer to help the cause. Slight drop in trip and we know what comes next. Only has to improve on what he's done to land this.
16:10 4:10 Cork
Soy El Fuego
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-100
Soy El Fuego - top jock and trainer involved here and improving all the time. Tongue strap on first time and beat favorite last time out. Connections must think a lot of him.
Subtotal-82
09 September 2025
19:35 7:35 Galway
Alexa Next
Daily Racing
25 EW
@29.00
Lose
-50
Alexa Next - father-son combo here teaming up. The filly is starting to show signs that a good run is on the cards, slowly improving all the time. The jockey has also come into things of late. She tries Galway for the first time, and the ground will be soft.
Gifted
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Gifted - a yard in form, and this bay filly has been bred for middle distance. A few changes here. They keep her at the same distance, but I suspect they have been hunting for softer ground. Low gate to break form and a jockey who can claim back 5 lbs. The change in course may help too, tighter and constantly on the turn.
18:35 6:35 Galway
Two For Joy
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@23.00
Lose
-50
Two For Joy - the horse is on an upward curve, winning last time out. The trainer has the best stats here, 18% since 2010, and the filly has first-time cheekpieces on. If it all comes together, she wins. Only 3 runs, so lightly raced, could be anything.
16:35 4:35 Galway
Professor Longhair
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@19.00
Lose
-50
Professor Longhair had a maiden win first time out at Dundalk. He was then tried in a listed race, which was likely too hot for him. Then he was tried at 10f, which is likely beyond his distance. Today might be the right setup for him with the mile on a tight track with a bit of ease in the ground. First-time headgear applied. The only concern here is the wide gate.
16:05 4:05 Galway
Piazza San Marco
Daily Racing
50 WINNBNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 09/09 at 07:160.10 deduction for Daary@10.00 withdrawn at 10:150.20 deduction for Big Cypress @4.333 withdrawn at 14:47R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.3) = 4.15
@4.15
Win
157
Piazza San Marco - Trainer's horse usually comes on for the run. This one will be no different. Slight tweak in conditions, up slightly in trip, softer ground, and different track with a better draw.
08:00 New Zealand v Australia
New Zealand
50 WIN
@3.70
Lose
-50
New Zealand - close game last time and only because of the heroics of the Aussie goalkeeper did Australia win it. New Zealand is now at home with the crowd behind them. Chris Wood won't make the mistake again of not getting a goal. Australia doesn't have a No. 9 of the same quality, and he will be the difference again in a tight game.
Subtotal-93
06 September 2025
15:45 3:45 Kempton
Leadenhall Street
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-100
Leadenhall Street - yard red hot at the moment and top jockey onboard. Proven here over 3 runs and hasn't had a bad race. Still only 3 years old, so expect some improvement. Will break from gate 5 and be up with the pace.
15:10 3:10 Kempton
Sayidah Hard Spun
Daily Racing
50 EW
@21.00
Lose
-100
Sayidah Hard Spun - going to take a chance on this one to hit the frame. Has a wide draw to contend with but may have some improvement to come with the form starting to come out of last run. She's proven at this track too.
14:35 2:35 Kempton
Rubys Angel
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-100
Ruby's Angel - Some form is starting to come out of her last run, and she's got a top pilot onboard. So any bit of improvement again wins. This trainer may be about to hit form too, with his horse running to form.
14:05 2:05 Kempton
Local Hero
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@8.00
Lose
-100
Local Hero - clear liking for the track here. Gets similar setup to when he won here before. Expect to track the pace. Connections do well here and get their fair share. Not red hot at the moment but going along okay.
13:35 1:35 Kempton
Kalpana
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@1.62
Lose
-100
Kalpana - easy pick here. Top connections involved. Has a win at Kempton. Good over the distance. Will be up tracking the pace. Doesn't do a lot wrong. Nap material.
Subtotal-500
05 September 2025
19:47 7:47 Kempton
Al Khawssaa
Daily Racing
100 WINNB
@2.75
Lose
-100
Al Khawssaa - top connections involved here and very much in form. This filly has been running in some hot races where the form is starting to show it was strong. There should be pace in the race to pull her along until the business end. She's had a few spins here and placed racing competitively. The sire, Night of Thunder, does well here, running at around 18%, as does the trainer, Roger Varian, running at around 21% since 2010. The hood stays on today as it gave improved performance on last run.
19:17 7:17 Kempton
Wicked
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@6.50
Lose
-100
Wicked - wide draw to contend with here, but slight drop back in trip and first-time headgear on. Sire Kingman does well here with 3-year-olds running at around 20%. The trainer is in form and also brings some of his better horses to this track, running at around 22%. He may be able to just track the pace here and get them in the straight if not using up too much from the wide gate.
18:24 6:24 Down Royal
Billie Frechette
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-100
Billie Frechette - The trainer enters two in this race, and the yard, for some reason, has targeted this, winning 3 of the last 5 runnings. The jockey is in form but, more importantly, stands out as he rides the track better than anyone else at 25%. The horse has conditions in favor.
Open To Question
Daily Racing
50 EW
@12.00
Lose
-100
Open To Question - dual purpose and looks to be second string, but the yard has won this 3 of the last 5 times. Good jockey booking and trainer gets his fair share here. The horse could be on a false mark as he's been switching codes. Possible layout by a shrewd trainer, 4 places most books.
16:45 4:45 Bangor on Dee
Imperial Merlin
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-100
Imperial Merlin comes back off a short break here, and headgear remains on. New jockey onboard who is doing well on how to figure out how to ride the track. But the most impressive stat is with the trainer, who is 21% since 2010 and maybe trying a new jockey/trainer combo here. Horse tries the track for the first time and has some conditions in favor.
16:32 4:32 Kilbeggan
Jerrari
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-100
Jerrari - has had a run here in the past and was 1 length second. New jockey on today and trainer in form, but impressively has a 21% strike rate running horses here since 2010. Conditions are in favor, and with slight improvement, can win this today.
Subtotal-600
04 September 2025
15:45 3:40 Lingfield
Sourdough
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@4.33
Lose
-100
Sourdough - This one was finishing off well when seen here last time and may get a similar setup with pace pulling it into the race. Has had a few runs on turf but was unsuited by the ground. Back on AW with a jockey who knows how to ride the track.Hollie Doyle 15% at lingfeild sin 2010
Subtotal-100
03 September 2025
21:00 9:00 Kempton
Scarboroughwarning
Daily Racing
50 EW
@5.50
Lose
-100
Scarboroughwarning - I think if the headgear applied gives any kind of improvement, she can win this. She's had a run here over course and distance once, and she placed. Breaking from gate 6, the jockey just needs to ride to the stall number and track the front runners. The trainer is doing well at the moment.
20:30 8:30 Kempton
The Quiet Gent
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTETip made at odds of 6.00 on 03/09 at 07:220.15 deduction for Tactical Plan@6.50 withdrawn at 11:09R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 5.00 x (1-0.15) = 5.25
@5.25
Win
3
The Quiet Gent - tight little race to call and figure out how it will be run pace-wise. So I've gone for this fella. Low to middle gate, wearing first-time blinkers. He's a bit versatile, can either be mid-division or from the front. Has won at the course before, so will take a chance. Connections both in form, trainer and jockey.
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17:05 5:05 Lingfield
Due West
Daily Racing
100 WINNAP
@2.50
Lose
-100
Due West - Looks like a pace angle could be on here. All signs of improvement to come. Solid run at Epsom and with who is involved, the money is starting to arrive. Trainer and jockey both having a good spell.
14:35 2:35 Lingfield
Time Tested
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@4.50
Lose
-15
Time Tested did have some time off before the Ripon run and should be better again today. Back to the AW and a track he's got a clear liking for. Still only 4, so maybe a bit more to come. Has a good gate to break from and the trainer does well at this venue, 17% since 2010 running his horses. Jockey is in good form and does well here too.pace wise hes usually no worse than midfield so should get caought too far back .
Subtotal-212
02 September 2025
20:45 8:45 Wolverhampton
Nordic Glory
Daily Racing
50 EW
@11.00
Win
50
Nordic Glory - back on the AW after running on turf. Last run was promising. Connections are out of form too, so this one is a spark of revival back at a venue where he's done well before. Has the right gate and early speed, taking on chance on current price.
20:15 8:15 Wolverhampton
Berkshire Phantom
Daily Racing
50 EW
@4.50
Lose
-15
Berkshire Phantom - bit of a tricky ride for the jockey here as the horse has never been tried over the distance. There is enough pace to pull him into the race, and the outside gate won't be a problem if they are trying to hold on to him for as long as possible. Does have form around here, which is a positive, and the right pilot is onboard.
19:15 7:15 Wolverhampton
Colors Of Freedom
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@8.00
Lose
-100
Colors Of Freedom - The other two horses with early pace are on the outside gates of this mare, so I'm hoping she gets the lead and may be hard to catch here. After that, she has shown a liking for the 5f here, so happy to take a chance she can again hit the frame if not winning. From one of the smaller yards, but I'm sure Luke Morris will know his job.
18:45 6:45 Wolverhampton
Romantic Spirit
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 6.00 takenBOG
@6.50
Win
5
Romantic Spirit - would like to keep this one straight forward. Middle to low gate, up with the pace. Clear liking for the track. Connections are both hot. Horse back down in distance, should hit the frame if not winning.
Subtotal-60
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