Pieros

If I reflect on my journey, I realize that horse racing gambling has been a lifelong passion for me. It all began when I was merely fourteen years old, though I must admit that success didn't always come easily. Learning the hard way, with the weight of my own money at stake, taught me valuable lessons that I carry with me to this day. However, my life took a significant turn when Betfair entered the scene. This remarkable internet platform opened doors for me, offering an opportunity to study and analyze the fluctuating odds in an entirely new way. I witnessed countless individuals laying horses rated at 12/1 on the course, hoping to make a quick twenty quid, only to face long-term consequences. Sadly, many of those impulsive heroes are no longer with us. After spending several years dedicated to studying and testing this revolutionary betting approach, I made a life-changing decision. I bid farewell to my position as a sales manager and fully embraced a life devoted to horse racing. Since then, I have been joyfully immersed in this extraordinary sport, managing to generate profits while becoming completely addicted to the thrill of making accurate predictions. When I back a winner, I can't help but celebrate loudly, eager to let everyone know that I was spot on. I have developed an aversion to backing short-priced favorites and consciously avoid placing bets on odds-on runners. Although, I must admit that I occasionally succumb to the temptation and back a favorite, only to feel a tinge of guilt or a sense of foolishness when it fails to deliver. Despite my many years of experience, I remain a perpetual learner, constantly seeking to expand my knowledge and refine my strategies. In recent years, I have had the privilege of establishing connections with numerous racing yards, even coming close to owning racehorses. Yet, I have hesitated to take that leap of faith, missing out on some truly remarkable opportunities. My adoration for juveniles and their raw talent fuels my ambition, and I am determined to enter the market as an owner in the near future, driven by a burning desire to be a part of their incredible journeys. Horse racing has been my lifelong passion, and I am grateful for the lessons it has taught me. Every day, I am reminded of the vastness of this sport and the endless opportunities for growth and discovery. As I embark on this exciting path, I invite you to join me, sharing in the joy and anticipation that only horse racing can offer. Together, let us celebrate the triumphs, learn from the losses, and embrace the beauty of this remarkable world.

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Pieros's Tips History

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11 April 2025
15:15 3:15 Ayr

Crebilly

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.50

Lose

-100

A competitive heat, with a few of these arriving here with questions to answer. Crebilly is the one I fancy to go close, having skipped Aintree in favour of what looks a slightly easier assignment here. He appears well-handicapped based on his runner-up finish in last year’s Plate at the Cheltenham Festival. Connections opted for the Ultima this time around, but despite making some headway mid-race, he didn’t see out the trip. He’s been lightly campaigned this season and has often been kept out of the race, likely with one of these big handicaps in mind, as he’s shown the ability to be competitive in large fields. Now 4lb lower than the mark off which he went close in the Plate, he has every chance if he can sharpen up his jumping and limit the mistakes. At around 11/2, with bookies paying four places, he looks a solid each-way pick.
08 April 2025
16:07 4:07 Pontefract

Cayman Tai

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Push

0

Richard Hannon makes the long trip to Pontefract with a couple of runners, and Cayman Tai looks to hold an excellent each-way chance, provided he’s fit after his winter break. He’s been competing in far stronger races at the top flat meetings, notably finishing second at Glorious Goodwood before a respectable effort in defeat at the Ebor Festival at York. That York run marked the first time he finished out of the frame, though it came in what's widely regarded as a gruelling test for two-year-olds at the tail end of a long season. Now with a winter behind him and plenty of racecourse experience, he looks the type to progress further off a mark of 83, especially with Sean Levey taking off a valuable 3lb. One to keep firmly on the radar.
15:32 3:32 Pontefract

Venture Capital

Daily Racing

50 EW

@6.00

Lose

-100

Venture Capital was a progressive sprinter last season and should progress further this term in the capable hands of Kevin Ryan. Starting last season over an inadequate 1-mile trip, he gradually improved, dropping to sprinting trips, winning at Ayr and Doncaster with two creditable place efforts at Ascot, heavily backed in one of those from 8/1 into 100/30 favourite. His final run when fourth in a competitive big field handicap reads well, so he seems well handicapped for a similar campaign this term. If fit after a break, I see him going well and making each-way appeal at a track which favours his running style.
07 April 2025
15:15 3:15 Kelso

Ganapathi

Daily Racing

35 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.50 on 07/04 at 09:430.10 deduction for Music Of Tara@8.50 withdrawn at 14:150.00 deduction for Anglers Crag @15.000 withdrawn at 14:35R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.50 x (1-0.1) = 8.65

@8.65

Win

31

Ganapathi returns from his winter break with two solid runs under his belt and makes plenty of each-way appeal in what looks a competitive race for local trainer Sandy Thomson. He went close over this trip at Musselburgh, only to be caught on the line by Red Happy ??" a result that's since been franked, with Red Happy winning two more and now rated 10lb higher. The drop in trip last time out at Carlisle may have blunted Ganapathi’s winning chance, as he stayed on into second at his own pace. With plenty of pace likely on here, and if he’s still in the same vein of form, he’s the type to pick up the pieces late. At around 17/2, he's definitely worth a second look.
05 April 2025
16:00 4:00 Aintree

Iroko

Daily Racing

50 EW

@9.50

Win

35

JP McManus could easily have thrown more darts at his favourite race, including Gold Cup hero Inothewayurthinkin, but clearly feels well covered with his current team, led by last year’s winner I Am Maximus. I’ve been a huge fan of Iroko, who has been given a spot-on preparation and aimed at this race since finishing second in a Grade 1 here last year. He stayed on steadily over 3m1f that day, shaping as if this track would really suit him. Connections have been patient: his Haydock return was quiet, produced late or maybe too late and he was a major eye-catcher at Cheltenham in January, travelling strongly but not asked for full effort ??" enough to draw stewards' attention for a so-called gentle ride. It’s all about staying the trip and jumping well, never guaranteed in a race like this, but credit to the training team for getting him here in top shape. He had a solid prep when chasing home Grey Dawning at Kelso and now arrives fit, ready, and well-handicapped off 152. At around 17/2 with bookies paying 6 places, I think he has all the credentials to be bang there when it matters.
2 members found this comment useful
15:05 3:05 Aintree

Altobelli

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

With the ground described as good already, I expect these conditions to get even quicker during the day, so I suspect several of the main fancied horses will have it all to do. I’m going for a long shot in Altobelli, who has something to find on official terms but has been improving markedly since stepping up in distance with the new headgear. Always highly regarded and given plenty of time to mature, the now 7-year-old was clearly running over inadequate trips on too testing ground and bolted up in competitive handicaps at Ascot the last twice, giving the impression he could actually go another lap of the track. The yard won this race in 2019 with If The Cap Fits, who was also stepping up in distance for the first time, so at around 22/1 he could outrun his odds and have a chance for a place in the frame.
1 member found this comment useful
13:55 1:55 Aintree

Miami Magic

Daily Racing

35 EW

@9.00

Lose

-70

With Lulamba out of the race, the market has dramatically changed and this contest looks anybody’s race. At around 8/1, Miami Magic looks the pick in the each-way market, now stepping up in distance with the excellent Brian Hughes booked for the ride. He was runner-up in a Grade 1 here during the winter when chasing home the smart Potters Charm. Backed into favouritism on Boxing Day at Kempton, he did a bit too much too soon and was caught in the stretch by Tripoli Flyer. I suppose he will be ridden differently today and could creep into the race late on. He was impressive earlier on quick ground, so he looks an interesting contender in what has become a winnable race, representing an in-form yard that rarely wastes an entry at a big meeting.
2 members found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Aintree

Park Of Kings

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

70

A couple of crucial non-runners have reshaped the market, but this remains a wide-open race with several holding strong claims near the top. At double-figure odds, Park Of Kings makes some appeal now stepping back up in trip after finishing a creditable fifth in the Martin Pipe at Cheltenham, keeping on at his own pace over 2m4f. He’s tried this distance before without setting the world alight, but there’s every chance he can improve for it now with more experience under his belt. Mark Walsh, who was on board for his win at Gowran, takes over from a couple of recent apprentice rides ??" a significant plus. Being by Walk In The Park, he's the type to improve as he matures and tackles longer trips. Trainer Paul Nolan does well with his UK raids, and this flatter track on good ground should suit better than some of the more testing Irish circuits. At the current price and with bookies paying 5 places, Park Of Kings looks the sort who can stay on late and grab a spot in the frame.
1 member found this comment useful
04 April 2025
17:15 5:15 Aintree

Celtic Dino

Daily Racing

35 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction

@6.00

Push

0

I’ve been following Celtic Dino since his impressive bumper win and subsequent third in a Listed event, both at Ascot. A non-runner in the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham due to soft ground, he made a strong start over hurdles with two wins at Wincanton, the second particularly taking, before scoring again at Ascot ??" conceding 7lb to Joyeuse and beating Wade Out, who franked the form next time out. He returned from a short break with a respectable third at Kempton, likely needing the run and not entirely at home on the softish ground. That effort should have blown away the cobwebs, and he now starts handicapping off a fair-looking mark of 132. With his regular partner Dylan Johnston claiming 3lb in this Conditional Jockeys’ race, there’s every chance he’s been laid out for this. Drying ground will suit, and at around 5/1, he looks a strong each way play to nothing.
1 member found this comment useful
16:40 4:40 Aintree

Argento Boy

Daily Racing

35 EW

@9.00

Lose

-70

Argento Boy was a name that popped up often in Cheltenham previews, so I was curious to see him in the Albert Bartlett. In the end, he drifted badly in the market and ran accordingly, fading into the rear before being eased by Rachael Blackmore. It’s clear he was wrong at the weights in that Grade 1 contest, and today’s assignment is much more manageable with the top-rated horse here is at 140, which brings his Punchestown win in February right into play. He’s clearly well regarded at home, having been pitched into the Champion Bumper the previous season, and he also finished second to The Big Westerner over a shorter trip earlier this campaign. Importantly, he seems better suited to a flatter, more conventional track, so I’m happy to give him another chance each way at around 8/1 with Paul Townend back on board.
1 member found this comment useful
16:05 4:05 Aintree

Latenightpass

Daily Racing

35 EW

@19.00

Lose

-70

Several drop down from Grade 1 company here, but this is a completely different type of race, more of a specialists’ contest over these unique fences. Latenightpass may not be getting any younger at 12, but he keeps delivering, most recently with an excellent second in the Cross Country at the Cheltenham festival. He's got a strong course record too: second in this race in 2021, won it in 2022, and was a close fourth in 2023. He even completed the Grand National last year in a creditable 12th of 32, giving his connections a great spin around the big fences. His run in the Grand Sefton in November was a bit flat when held up unusually off the pace, and making some late headway before fading, suggesting he might not have been fully wound up. He tends to come to life at this time of the year, and his record here speaks for itself. At around 18/1, he looks a very appealing each way bet with firms paying 6 or 7 places.
1 member found this comment useful
15:30 3:30 Aintree

Jonbon

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.67 used instead of 1.62 takenBOG

@1.67

Win

66

I was keen to oppose Jonbon at the Cheltenham Festival, given his record at that venue: the brother of Douvan has won 12 of his 15 runs over fences, and all three defeats have come at Cheltenham, where he doesn’t look the same class act he’s proved to be elsewhere. He made a huge mistake mid-race that effectively cost him any sort of chance, though he did stay on to finish a remote second under a hands and heels ride. Things also went wrong at the start, where he was expected to lead but got away awkwardly. By contrast, he’s unbeaten at Aintree, having won this race last year when only pushed out in the closing stages. He looks the main hope for Nicky Henderson to land a Grade 1 after the disappointment of Constitution Hill yesterday. With Matata and Protektorat likely to set a strong pace, this strong-travelling type should be well suited to picking up the pieces late on, just as he did twelve months ago.
1 member found this comment useful
14:20 2:20 Aintree

Kopeck De Mee

Daily Racing

35 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

21

Kopeck De Mee was unbeaten last season in France, including a Listed success at Auteuil where he defeated strong opposition, including Zephyr De Beaumon, a subsequent Grade 1 runner-up. Purchased by JP McManus and sent to Willie Mullins, he has apparently been kept specifically for the Martin Pipe as the British handicapper has assessed him off a mark of 136, which appears to be 12lb below what should be the correct rating. Of course, he was making his UK debut after a year off the track and started only 5/2 in such a competitive race, running keenly under conditional jockey Aidan Kelly. After an early mistake, he never really looked comfortable over Cheltenham’s undulations. With that run under his belt and Mark Walsh taking over the ride at a more conventional flat track, more similar to French venues, I expect him to show a better performance for in red-hot form connections. At around 7/1, he is another go in the each-way market with bookies going 6 places.
2 members found this comment useful
02 April 2025
19:45 Bournemouth v Ipswich

Bournemouth

100 WIN

@1.40

Lose

-100

19:45 Man City v Leicester

Man City

300 WIN

@1.18

Win

54

16:15 4:15 Ludlow

D Day Arvalenreeva

Daily Racing

100 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.50 used instead of 2.10 takenBOG

@2.50

Win

150

D Day Arvalenreeva is likely the only runner for Kevin Philippart De Foy over jumps and made an impressive handicap debut at Market Rasen in what looked a modest event. However, the time on the clock was fast for the level, and considering she won by 12 lengths, there was probably plenty left in the tank. A decent stayer on the Flat, she was successful at Leicester over 1m4f on quick ground and had already shown promise in her two qualifying runs over hurdles, albeit on ground softer than ideal. She makes a quick reappearance under a 7lb penalty (3lb well-in) and could have too much to offer against her sex.
15:45 3:45 Ludlow

Straw Fan Jack

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@6.50

Win

275

Straw Fan Jack has been disappointing lately but has now dropped to a very attractive mark and could take advantage of this small-field event to be competitive again. At the age of 10, he may have fallen out of love with the game, but he has been pitched into some ultra-competitive events, including the Ultima at the Cheltenham Festival last time out. His best performance came in the 2024 Festival, when finishing third in the Plate off a mark of 133, and he now runs 11lb lower. The quicker ground has always suited him well, and if given an uncontested lead, he could bounce back against two rivals who also have something to prove on recent form. Worth a go at 9/2.
14:55 2:55 Exeter

Rangatira Jack

Daily Racing

75 WIN

@2.88

Win

141

Moonlight Artist is the market mover, but his form has to be taken on trust after a wind operation, especially as he jumped left at all right-handed tracks, which won’t be an advantage today. Rangatira Jack ran a stormer last time out over this course and distance, capitalizing on the drop in class after showing positive signs weeks ago in 0-120 company on unsuitable soft ground. He finished second to the improving Captain Boudet, and the third horse home, Joe Cotton, won subsequently at Fontwell, franking the form. The quicker surface and this 0-100 Class 5 contest should give this 7-year-old a better chance to be competitive.
01 April 2025
20:00 Bristol Rovers v Birmingham

Birmingham

200 WIN

@1.44

Win

88

19:45 Wycombe v Shrewsbury

Wycombe

200 WIN

@1.36

Lose

-200

19:00 AZ v RKC

AZ

200 WIN

@1.27

Lose

-200

30 March 2025
16:15 4:15 Doncaster

Fouroneohfever

Daily Racing

35 EW

@11.00

Lose

-70

George Boughey has started the season strongly, with three winners already and several others running well in defeat. His only runner on the card, Fouroneohfever, appears to go best when fresh, as shown by his hat-trick of wins on reappearance last year. Of course, he was well handicapped then and improved for the step up in trip, showing plenty of ability despite racing keenly. He was well in command twice at Chester, and a bigger field with a stronger early pace could help him settle better this time. Billy Loughnane should be able to secure a good early position from stall 2, and I can see him running well off this mark. At around 10/1, he looks the type to grab a place with bookies paying five places.
15:55 3:55 Ascot

Native Moon

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@2.25

Win

125

This is a valuable prize for a 0-109 contest, and Native Moon has an excellent chance to get off the mark for the in-form Jeremy Scott yard. Still a maiden, he has improved since entering handicaps, producing his best effort last time at Exeter, back up in trip on good ground. His jumping wasn’t always fluent, tending to go left, but he battled well under pressure, finishing ahead of two subsequent winners, Coconut Twist and Scorsese. He was only overhauled late by the progressive River Voyage, a previous 23-length winner at Ffos Las, who was clearly still ahead of the handicapper. With market support already coming, this looks a strong opportunity for him to break his maiden.
14:45 2:45 Ascot

Torrent

Daily Racing

50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

14

It remains to be seen if Torrent is well-handicapped, but he brings the best form into the race and looks the each-way pick at 11/2. He has been competing at Grade 2 level, finishing third twice behind East India Dock, often given too much to do and ridden to hit the frame rather than challenge for the win. A Newton Abbot winner in September, he then bumped into Liam Swagger, who went on to finish third in the Fred Winter, running respectably at Market Rasen and Wetherby. With winning form on quick ground, the drop into calmer waters should suit, making him a solid contender.
29 March 2025
16:45 4:45 Doncaster

Bashful

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@9.00

Lose

-50

Having enjoyed a solid campaign over hurdles this year with two wins and a second in his last three outings, Bashful arrives in top form and makes plenty of appeal off his old Flat mark of 67. A four-time winner on the flat off a 10lb higher mark in 2023, he is a hold-up horse who looks well suited to a race of this nature. These apprentice contests often feature a strong early pace, which should set things up nicely for a late closer like him. With experienced amateur Mohammed Tabti in the saddle, he’s worth chancing at 8/1.

Book Of Life

Daily Racing

35 EW

@11.00

Lose

-70

With bookies paying 5 places, Life On The Rocks looks a solid each-way contender at double-digit odds. His handicap mark has tumbled after a long dry spell, but his last two all-weather runs in March suggest a return to form, particularly his neck-second at Newcastle just four days ago over today's trip. Now almost a stone lower than his last winning mark, he looks well-handicapped if this race doesn’t come too soon. Proven on turf, with four wins over this distance last season, he should be poised for another big run. The booking of talented claimer Warren Fentiman who claims 3lb at this level adds further appeal.
15:35 3:35 Doncaster

Toimy Son

Daily Racing

35 EW

@13.00

Lose

-70

This looks a real lottery, with several contenders bringing strong form but returning from a winter break. David Menuisier has won this valuable prize before and sends out Toimy Son, last year’s Glorious Goodwood Golden Mile winner. Despite not handling the track particularly well, he stormed home under Oisin Murphy, beating 15 rivals from an unpromising position. He found life tougher next time in a slowly run race but then produced a career-best effort when finishing third of 31 in the Cambridgeshire at Newmarket. By the time he ran in the Balmoral on Champions Day, his season was probably tailing off, yet he still shaped well to finish sixth of 20. He goes well fresh, and with Warren Fentiman claiming a valuable 5lb, he looks worth an each-way bet, especially with bookies paying six places.
1 member found this comment useful
15:00 3:00 Doncaster

Point Lynas

Daily Racing

35 EW

@9.50

Lose

-70

Point Lynas won twice last season, including a Listed race at Pontefract by five lengths, and could be a tough horse to peg back if allowed to dictate from the front. He was highly effective first time out last year, winning a big-field handicap at York, before running well in Group 3 company at Haydock when dropping to seven furlongs. Excusing his run at Sandown on testing ground, he did little wrong last season and was only just denied a major prize in Doha 42 days ago, looking home and hosed before getting caught late on. With that recent run under his belt, he should be sharper than most and a bold front-running bid looks likely. The flat nature of this track should suit, so at 17/2, he’s worth an each-way bet.
1 member found this comment useful

Witch Hunter

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Group 2 winner Witch Hunter has a solid chance in what looks a highly competitive contest. He boasts plenty of strong form at Stakes level, and despite not winning last season, he was extremely consistent. He was narrowly denied in a Group 2 at Newbury and ran well behind the progressive Charyn on multiple occasions in Group 1 company. Proven over 7f to 1m, he finishes his races strongly and already has two all-weather runs under his belt this year, so he’s likely to be fitter than most. If the pace is strong, he’s exactly the type to pick up the pieces late on, making him a serious player.
14:25 2:25 Doncaster

Jamess Delight

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

As long as the ground doesn’t get too quick, James’s Delight should have a decent chance of getting involved. He fits the profile of a typical Clive Cox improver, steadily progressing from handicaps into a Group-level sprinter, much like Profitable, Harry Angel, and others from the yard. He had an excellent three-year-old campaign, winning impressively at Pontefract, Newmarket, and in a big-field handicap at York’s Dante meeting, where he powered clear in the closing stages. He went on to land a Listed race at Deauville, and a slow start arguably cost him further success in Group 3 company in France. He was better than the bare result in the Champions Sprint at Ascot and remains a horse to follow. He goes well fresh, Rossa Ryan takes over the ride, and with Clive Cox’s yard in flying form at the start of the season, he looks a strong contender as the stable’s only runner on the card.
1 member found this comment useful
28 March 2025
17:20 5:20 Wetherby

Lathan

Daily Racing

35 EW

@8.50

Lose

-70

Queen Of Steel is a strong favourite, escaping a penalty, but she makes a quick reappearance after just seven days and is tackling a new trip, so she looks a bit short at 11/8. At around 15/2, I see Lathan as an interesting each-way option now stepping up to a more suitable trip on quicker ground. He travelled well for a long way on his return from a 78-day break at Newcastle before tiring in the closing stages. The trainer reaches for new headgear, and this step up in distance is likely to suit.
16:55 4:55 Fontwell

Call To Duty

Daily Racing

35 EW

@9.50

Lose

-70

Harry Cobden makes the trip to Fontwell for a single ride on the unexposed Call To Duty, who returns from a break following a wind operation. He caught the eye in a good-ground novice at Stratford last June, only to be touched off in the closing stages. Although disappointing in subsequent runs, it’s likely that stepping up in distance didn’t suit this natural front-runner. If the wind surgery has resolved his issue, he should be well-handicapped off a mark of 102. With Emma Lavelle’s yard in great form and this being their only runner on the card, he looks an interesting contender at around 9/1 for an each way bet.
15:45 3:45 Fontwell

Joe Cotton

Daily Racing

35 EW

@10.00

Win

378

Joe Cotton looks fairly priced for an each-way bet at around 9/1, with bookies paying four places. He has been a model of consistency all season, finishing in the frame on all types of going, including a narrow defeat to River Run Free, who franked the form by winning next time out against a subsequent winner. It’s interesting that the trainer applies first-time blinkers for this valuable prize, suggesting they have been saved for this final event. While this race looks tougher on paper than those he has contested so far, he arrives in great form and should handle conditions better than most of his rivals. He should be in the mix once again.
14:40 2:40 Fontwell

The Cox Express

Daily Racing

35 EW

@6.00

Lose

-70

Nobody in this contest sets a clear standard, and The Cox Express, the sole runner on the card for Robert Walford, should have a chance given his lightly raced profile over fences. He ran well over hurdles around this time last year on good ground and finished second over a similar trip at this venue in May off the same handicap mark. He made an excellent chase debut at Exeter, finishing just over a length behind the winner, but struggled on softer ground in subsequent outings. With conditions now in his favour and first-time blinkers applied to sharpen him up, he looks worth considering in the each-way market.
14:00 2:00 Wetherby

Solent Gateway

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 12.00 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

35

I think this race is priced more on trainer reputation than actual form, so I’m taking a chance with Solent Gateway, who makes each-way appeal at 11/1. A solid stayer on the Flat, he was rated in the 90s and handled quicker ground well, often running competitively in big-field handicaps for Hugo Palmer. Since switching to hurdles for Donald McCain, he has had only two runs but showed clear improvement last time out at Catterick, where his jumping was much better, and he travelled well before tiring late, still holding on for third. A wind operation since then could bring further progress, and with conditions in his favour, he could go well at a price.
27 March 2025
17:10 5:10 Southwell

Ivane

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 3.50 on 27/03 at 09:450.30 deduction for Scorsese@2.88 withdrawn at 10:130.00 deduction for Klapton Boy @12.000 withdrawn at 13:550.00 deduction for Kap De Triomphe @41.000 withdrawn at 16:010.00 deduction for Missy Mole @15.000 withdrawn at 16:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 2.50 x (1-0.3) = 2.75

@2.75

Win

87

Ivane has made a promising start for new connections since moving from Ciaran Murphy’s yard in Ireland to James Owen. He was heavily backed last time out at Fontwell, likely well handicapped based on his Irish form. Travelling strongly into the race, he looked the winner, but a mistake at the last hurdle cost him momentum, and he was caught in the closing stages. With a 5lb rise due, his trainer rolls the dice just 10 days later, booking the in-form Gavin Sheehan for the ride. He looks an interesting contender at around 5/2.
16:05 4:05 Southwell

Dunskay

Daily Racing

75 WIN

@3.25

Lose

-75

Winner of two bumpers, Dunskay was successful at Exeter, beating a couple of subsequent winners, including Anno Power, who went on to win her next two races. He also scored at Huntingdon, travelling well throughout and staying on strongly to win by three lengths. The fourth-placed Blue Las further boosted the form by winning his next two starts. He was disappointing in Listed company in between but was later found to have had a dirty scope. A half-brother to talented jumpers Kapard and Indeevar Blue, he has been beaten twice over hurdles so far. However, he is a big horse who likely needed the run to strip fitter last time and still looked a bit green, suggesting further improvement to come. He faces a strong odds-on favourite, but the form of that rival hasn’t worked out as well as expected. At around 9/4, Dunskay looks the bet for me.
15:57 3:57 Warwick

Chief Sunday

Daily Racing

100 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-100

Chief Sunday looks fairly priced at around 3/1 and appears to be the one to side with given his recent form: 2/2 in handicaps, he bumped into a well-treated rival in subsequent winner Continuance last time out at Ludlow, who was gifted an uncontested lead. The form of that race has been boosted further, with third-placed Moon Chime also winning next time out. Over two miles, Chief Sunday looks to have the most speed and gears, while his main rivals may be better suited to a longer trip. Nigel Twiston-Davies’ charge has run his last three races at right-handed tracks, so hopefully, the switch to a left-handed course won’t be an issue. Tactics will be key in this small-field contest, but I’m hopeful his jockey has learned from last time.
15:27 3:27 Warwick

Glimpse Of Glory

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@5.50

Lose

-50

Glimpse Of Glory doesn’t look the easiest of rides, but he has clearly some potential off a mark of 97 in what looks like a winnable race. Often very well backed, he has somewhat looked inconsistent in his runs, but was pretty impressive in the way he managed to get beaten only by a length last time out at Ludlow in new headgear, which is retained today. Almost refused to race, had to be encouraged with a couple of reminders by Sean Bowen, looking lazy and jumping slowly, detached at the back of the pack. Suddenly, he took off, making a huge amount of ground and was suddenly pressing the leader entering the final straight before staying on at one pace. His jumping must improve, and Jonjo O'Neill Jr, who knows him well, is back on board. I think it is just a matter of time before this horse puts it all together. Then he will be well ahead of his current handicap mark, with quicker ground over this longer trip likely to suit.
14:57 2:57 Warwick

Just Four Fame

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Win

45

Nobody sets a clear standard in this race, and with bookies paying four places on each-way terms, I’m looking for a value bet at decent odds. Just Four Fame was likely given too high a handicap mark, probably based on his bumper form when finishing third in a Class 3 at Aintree on good ground. He has been somewhat disappointing over hurdles since but faced some of these rivals on unfavourable weight terms. Now receiving weight from many of them, he could be more competitive. I suspect he will stay this trip if ridden with more restraint, as he kept on in a remote position over three miles at Southwell in February. Tom Bellamy, who rode him that day, is back on board. Now off a mark of 77, almost 20 pounds lower than his handicap debut, he could be a factor on quicker ground and has a chance to make the frame in this modest 0-95 contest.
14:35 2:35 Southwell

Rostello

Daily Racing

25 EW

@26.00

Lose

-50

You can make a case for several of these, but with bookies paying three places in a seven-runner field, I’m taking a chance on double course and distance winner Rostello, currently the outsider of the lot. Inconsistent and not getting any younger, he can still produce the odd strong performance and could bounce back now that he's 2lb below his last winning mark, which came in this race last year when trained by Richard Newland. Last time out at Wetherby, he was never really put into the race, but he jumped and travelled well before being eased on the final bend and later pulled up. The testing ground that day may not have suited him, and hopefully, the quicker conditions today will be more in his favour over this trip. At 25/1, he could outrun his odds and sneak into the places.

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