Pieros
If I reflect on my journey, I realize that horse racing gambling has been a lifelong passion for me. It all began when I was merely fourteen years old, though I must admit that success didn't always come easily. Learning the hard way, with the weight of my own money at stake, taught me valuable lessons that I carry with me to this day. However, my life took a significant turn when Betfair entered the scene. This remarkable internet platform opened doors for me, offering an opportunity to study and analyze the fluctuating odds in an entirely new way. I witnessed countless individuals laying horses rated at 12/1 on the course, hoping to make a quick twenty quid, only to face long-term consequences. Sadly, many of those impulsive heroes are no longer with us. After spending several years dedicated to studying and testing this revolutionary betting approach, I made a life-changing decision. I bid farewell to my position as a sales manager and fully embraced a life devoted to horse racing. Since then, I have been joyfully immersed in this extraordinary sport, managing to generate profits while becoming completely addicted to the thrill of making accurate predictions. When I back a winner, I can't help but celebrate loudly, eager to let everyone know that I was spot on. I have developed an aversion to backing short-priced favorites and consciously avoid placing bets on odds-on runners. Although, I must admit that I occasionally succumb to the temptation and back a favorite, only to feel a tinge of guilt or a sense of foolishness when it fails to deliver. Despite my many years of experience, I remain a perpetual learner, constantly seeking to expand my knowledge and refine my strategies. In recent years, I have had the privilege of establishing connections with numerous racing yards, even coming close to owning racehorses. Yet, I have hesitated to take that leap of faith, missing out on some truly remarkable opportunities. My adoration for juveniles and their raw talent fuels my ambition, and I am determined to enter the market as an owner in the near future, driven by a burning desire to be a part of their incredible journeys. Horse racing has been my lifelong passion, and I am grateful for the lessons it has taught me. Every day, I am reminded of the vastness of this sport and the endless opportunities for growth and discovery. As I embark on this exciting path, I invite you to join me, sharing in the joy and anticipation that only horse racing can offer. Together, let us celebrate the triumphs, learn from the losses, and embrace the beauty of this remarkable world.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
Pieros's Tips History
26 July 2024
20:55 8:55 Chepstow
Meet Me In Meraki
Daily Racing
50 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 5.00 takenBOG
@6.50
Win
275
Meet Me In Meraki caught my eye last time out at Yarmouth. He must have a couple of pounds in hand and looks competitive at this level. Despite being keen and drifting in the middle of the track early on, he pulled his way into the lead, was overtaken, but stayed on again in the closing stages to finish second. This performance shows clear promise from a still unexposed 3-year-old over this distance who is not yet the finished article. Running off a mark of 56 and getting a decent age allowance, Meet Me In Meraki can continue the good run of form for David Evans and go close in what looks to be a winnable race.
19:35 7:35 Sandown
Lone Piper
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.00
Lose
-100
Lone Piper did not see the track last year but has been gradually progressive this term, with his best effort coming last time out at Yarmouth when tackling today’s distance for the first time. By Kingman out of a dam who scored over one and a half miles, he has shown plenty of stamina, coming from last to second, beaten a head by subsequent Newmarket winner Siempre Arturo. Additionally, his third-place finish at Nottingham is working out well, with the winner finishing an excellent third at Royal Ascot and the second winning next time out and I suspect the stiff track will suit him well. The Tom Clover yard is in excellent form, operating at a 33% strike rate over the past two weeks, and Lone Piper looks well handicapped to get involved.
19:15 7:15 York
Good Earth
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@15.00
Lose
-100
Good Earth is a course and distance winner who has been running over the minimum trip in his last four outings, getting outpaced at crucial moments of the race and never able to fully recover. Today, he is ten pounds below his last winning mark and drops to a 0-80 handicap over a more suitable 6-furlong distance. He is drawn in the middle, so he should get plenty of cover and, with a clear run, is a candidate for a place in the frame at attractive odds, especially with bookies offering extra places. He is an each-way contender at around 14/1.
Subtotal75
25 July 2024
20:45 8:45 Newbury
Hill Station
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Hill Station seems a bit underestimated at the early odds of 16/1 and is worth an each-way bet after shaping really well last time out at Lingfield. Keen under restraint, he saw out the trip well, chasing home the in-form Story Horse who won again and is now 10lb higher in the handicap. Already a 4-time winner on all-weather, that was his best performance on turf (only four total runs), and he is working himself back to form after a break since April when he scored at Wolverhampton over today’s distance. He can outrun his odds and hopefully make the frame with several bookies offering extra places.
18:30 6:30 Yarmouth
Mostawaa
Daily Racing
35 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG
@15.00
Win
63
Came back after a disappointing campaign at Meydan with two good runs in very competitive handicaps at Hamilton and Carlisle, Mostawaa showed promising form, particularly in the latter race. Despite being pestered for the lead throughout, he managed to finish a creditable third. Today, despite the large field, the pace is not expected to be overly strong, allowing this 8-year-old veteran to conserve energy for a strong finish. Currently, Mostawaa is 5 pounds below his last winning mark and benefits from conditional jockey Jack Doughty claiming a valuable 5lb. While three-year-olds pose a threat due to the age allowance, Heather Main’s gelding arrives in good form and is well-handicapped, with race conditions likely to suit him. Worth an each-way bet at around 9/1 with several bookies offering extra places.
17:30 5:30 Yarmouth
Bizarre Law
Daily Racing
25 EW
@21.00
Win
75
The opener of the Racing League is a wide-open contest, and Bizarre Law presents an interesting prospect. Lightly raced this year, he takes a notable drop in class after shaping really well last time out at Chelmsford City in first-time headgear, which is retained. Despite being slowly away after a bump at the start, he stayed on well from an unpromising position to finish a creditable fourth in a class 3 event. With a couple of runs under his belt, he is sure to strip fitter and is running off a tumbling handicap mark, currently 3lb lower than when winning at Goodwood. Bizarre Law could be the type to get involved for a place in the frame at around 20/1 with several bookies offering extra places.
16:20 4:20 Sandown
Siempre Arturo
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-75
Siempre Arturo landed the hattrick in what looked like a wide-open and competitive race at Newmarket just six days ago and makes a quick reappearance under a 5lb penalty at a similar level. The form of his successes at Leicester and Yarmouth has been boosted by subsequent winners Giselles Defence and Due To Henry respectively, and his win at Newmarket must be upgraded given he was held up in a race that was ran at a slow tempo. The booking of William Buick is eye-catching, and I expect him to be much closer to the pace this time around, with his main rival Quietness probably attempting to make all the running as usual. Representing an in-form yard, Siempre Arturo looks still well in at the weights under a penalty and should go close once more, running still in a class 4 event.
15:40 3:40 Doncaster
Cabrera
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@7.00
Win
300
Miss Cynthia has been smartly placed by Sir Mark Prescott to gain black type by making the frame in a couple of pattern races. However, she remains a maiden after 14 starts and will carry a penalty against younger rivals while dropping in distance. I will try to oppose her with Cabrera, who ran really well at Carlisle last time out over today’s trip, despite being badly positioned in a race where prominent runners finished in the top two positions. Cabrera had Lady La Fay behind at Haydock when she was second to Power Of Destiny, just failing after a slow start. This beautiful grey filly bumped into the smart Danielle earlier this season but has been gradually improving and could land an upset against the short-priced favourite.
15:15 3:15 Sandown
The Terminus
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.50
Lose
-100
Mainly a field of unexposed fillies that have shown plenty of promise so far and are worth a go at Listed level. Quite impressive was The Terminus, homebred by King Power Racing, sired by the precocious Too Darn Hot out of the Kingsman dam. She was heavily backed when making her debut at Kempton 43 days ago, but things did not go smoothly. She had a coming together with a rival at the start and was last when entering the straight. Still cruising but given plenty to do, she accelerated in the final furlong to just get up at the line, overcoming inexperience. I expect her to improve from that run and, if handling turf, she should prove a tough competitor starting from a very good draw. Each way contender at around 15/2.
Subtotal213
24 July 2024
16:10 4:10 Catterick
Mutanaaseq
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@11.00
Lose
-100
There are loads of front-runners in this contest, and they will set a strong pace. If it collapses, I suspect Mutanaaseq could become a contender and pick up the pieces late on. He won this race last year and is currently 8lb below his last winning mark. Ruth Carr’s gelding has not been in great form this year, but he ran better than the finishing result suggests last time out, starting slowly and finishing strongly in a never-nearer sixth of 12. If he doesn’t get too outpaced, he is the type to bounce back at Catterick, where he has won four times over this course and distance. This presents an each-way opportunity at double-figure odds, especially with bookies offering extra places.
Subtotal-100
21 July 2024
14:52 2:52 Redcar
Profit Street
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTEOdds taken at 8.50
@8.50
Win
43
Profit Street took a step forward last time out at Doncaster, when upped a furlong in trip, in what looked like a pretty competitive heat for the level. There were plenty of previous winners in that contest, with the winner running well under a penalty at Yarmouth last week and the fifth horse winning subsequently. Profit Street was already eye-catching at Bath in May when he was held up and put into the race too late, clearly finishing off his race with plenty left in the tank. Now eased into class 6 and perfectly drawn in stall one at the far side, the place to be at Redcar over the straight course, he looks well-positioned for a good run. At 15/2, he has a strong each-way shout and should get involved for a place in the frame.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal43
20 July 2024
17:20 5:20 Newbury
Battle Queen
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-75
Battle Queen appears to be on the rise, having put in a storming performance when finishing 6th out of 30 in the Sandringham at Royal Ascot, despite being two pounds off the weights and on the wrong side of the track. She secured her first win on her fifth attempt, comfortably beating a horse that has since performed well. Today, she can run off her unchanged handicap mark of 81, which should give her a big chance given her recent form. With Andrew Balding’s horses in top form and Oisin Murphy back on board, she must be heavily involved in the finish.
1 member found this comment useful
16:45 4:45 Newbury
Fior Di Bosco
Daily Racing
35 EW
@9.00
Lose
-70
Nothing sets a clear standard in this wide-open novice contest for fillies, and at the prices, Fiori Di Bosco looks an interesting contender in the each-way market at around 8/1. She made her debut recently in a big field here at Newbury, bumping into a couple of above-average opponents but finishing a creditable third. She put up an improved performance last time out at Windsor in a tactical race where she was prominent in a race run at a strong pace with a very keen front-runner. She was allowed to come home at her own pace against the boys, and today’s step up in distance could bring some improvement. She is a 240,000 gns purchase and a half-sister to Galileo Gold, out of a mare that also produced winning jumpers, so there is plenty of stamina in her pedigree.
1 member found this comment useful
16:25 4:25 Market Rasen
Belle Of Annandale
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.00
Lose
-100
Adrian Keatley has been in fine form, scoring two winners out of his last four runners and comes into today with several strong chances. I was particularly impressed by the way Belle Of Annandale travelled into the race at Perth, given plenty to do by Brian Hughes and not able to close the gap from that position with the front two, eventually settling for third. This dual-purpose horse, who has won two out of her eight runs over hurdles and is rarely out of the frame, looks poised for another good run in a winnable race. With not a huge amount of early pace expected, she should be ridden more prominently today and should get more involved. She’s another strong each-way contender.
1 member found this comment useful
16:00 4:00 Cartmel
Vocal Duke
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
This is the Cartmel Female Jockeys' Handicap, and while Rachel Blackmore’s single ride coming from Ireland is very eye-catching, there’s no better female jockey at this venue than Charlotte Jones. She has landed numerous winners for James Moffatt, and they team up with an outsider in course and distance scorer Vocal Duke. He has been running well twice over further this term and now drops back to his winning trip. The trainer reaches for a visor for the first time for this keen-going type, who looks quite interesting at around 16/1. A small each-way bet could be rewarding.
15:25 3:25 Cartmel
Wheres Bunny
Daily Racing
35 EW
@9.00
Lose
-70
It's time for James Moffatt to put some winners on the board at his beloved Cartmel. Where's Bunny made a most encouraging yard debut three weeks ago over hurdles, beating a few of these rivals and finishing a close second to an in-form City Derby. This mare has been really consistent over both disciplines, looking like a better chaser with already two wins in her twelve runs over the larger obstacles. She should strip fitter from that seasonal reappearance after a long break and seems fairly priced at around 8/1 in the each-way market with bookies offering extra places.
15:05 3:05 Curragh
Believing
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@2.38
Win
103
George Boughey has his horses in excellent form and has decided to enter Believing again after she ran an absolute cracker on Royal Ascot Tuesday in the Group 1 King Charles III Stakes, finishing a staying-on fourth over the minimum trip. The eye-catching part of that run was that she made up all the ground on her own on the far side, which was not the best part of the track during the day on the straight course. Although she didn't quite see 6f out at Group 1 level, she still finished a creditable fourth. She was really impressive at Haydock when powering clear in a Listed event at the beginning of June. She might not be a Group 1 winning horse, but she can certainly land this Group 2 back over 5f.
1 member found this comment useful
14:35 2:35 Curragh
Greek Flower
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@10.00
Win
40
Course winner Greek Flower ran an absolute stormer last time out in an ultra-competitive handicap, despite being heavily hampered at the start and forced to chase from a remote position over the minimum trip. When the pace collapsed and coming from an unpromising position, she picked up almost all her rivals, bar the winner. She hasn't had the best luck this term in two runs, encountering plenty of interference, but she is clearly on the up and looks well handicapped based on that evidence. She thrives in big fields with a strong pace to aim at and must be taken seriously now that she's back up in distance. Worth an each-way bet at around 9/1 with bookies going five places.
1 member found this comment useful
14:25 2:25 Newbury
Naqeeb
Daily Racing
50 EW
@6.00
Push
0
Naqeeb was held up in an exaggeratedly remote position when last seen in the Copper at Royal Ascot, still plum last and a bit detached entering the straight. When he started to pick off rivals, he was denied a clear run a couple of times. Once the gap materialized, he finished off his race strongly, beaten only by 6 lengths in a bunch finish for the minor places. Given the circumstances, he ran pretty well in defeat, and I suspect he has much more to offer. Given his racing style, he should thrive over this longer trip. With Jim Crowley on board who was on fire yesterday scoring a treble at Newmarket, should be involved for a place in the frame.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal-222
19 July 2024
17:20 5:20 Newbury
Open Secret
Daily Racing
35 EW
@8.00
Lose
-70
Despite there being only seven runners, bookies are offering three places on each way terms, and the consistent Open Secret makes appeal at around 7/1. Still a maiden after six starts, he's always in the frame and clearly enjoys a trip. Last time out at Goodwood, he was a bit unlucky, waiting for room and unable to move before switching to his right; the winner got the first run and powered clear, leaving Johnston’s charge to only grab second. This race could be tactical with no clear pace angle, so Open Secret could get an easy enough lead. William Buick stays this late at Newbury for this ride before heading to Newmarket for the evening meeting, which is a positive sign.
16:45 4:45 Newbury
Our Golden One
Daily Racing
50 EWNAPR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@11.00
Void
0
Three-year-olds get a significant weight allowance, especially over this distance, so it’s no surprise the Gosden runner is as short as 6/4 in the betting. However, Our Golden One has achieved a bit more so far and makes each way appeal at around 10/1. Already a two-time winner, including a dominant victory at Doncaster, she travelled to France and finished a creditable third in a Listed event at Longchamp. She seems to really enjoy testing ground, so it will be interesting to see how the track rides today at Newbury. Back in handicap company, Tom Ward’s charge looks a strong contender off a mark of 93, with the age allowance playing a significant part.
16:40 4:40 Nottingham
Favorite Boy
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
Favourite Boy put up an improved performance last time out at Leicester and now looks like an interesting contender at juicy odds. The form of that race is working out well, with winner Siempre Arturo winning again next time out at Yarmouth and runner-up Giselles Defence subsequently winning at Newbury. Sporting new headgear today, this still lightly raced 4-year-old has each-way potential at around 16/1 with bookies going extra place.
15:00 3:00 Newbury
Taala
Daily Racing
25 EW
@19.00
Lose
-50
We have often seen how a juvenile can improve with a run under its belt, and Taala performed well enough under an educational ride on debut at Nottingham in what looked like a decent contest for the level. Keen in midfield, she couldn't keep up when the pace lifted and was allowed to finish at her own pace, not knocked about. The winner, Leovanni, went on to score in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot, showing that she was much more forward than most that day. Charlie Hills has given this filly time to recover, and given her pedigree, it wouldn't be surprising if she takes a sizeable step forward, especially now stepping up in distance. At 18/1, she is worth a small each-way bet.
14:50 2:50 Nottingham
Lipsink
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@7.00
Win
10
Michael Appleby has found the key to this horse, taking him over from Cowell’s yard where he was running over the minimum trip. Upped to 6f, he won easily over this course and distance and went close next time out at Newbury under a 4lb penalty. His prominent way of racing suits this track and trip, and being drawn in stall ten should help him get near the stand side rail, which usually helps here at Nottingham. He looks like an each-way contender again at around 6/1.
14:05 2:05 Haydock
Young Fire
Daily Racing
100 WIN
@3.00
Win
200
Young Fire was well fancied to score four days ago in a similar contest at Ayr but had a nightmare run. He was keen and shuffled back, before coming wide and conceding first run, ultimately finishing with a flourish but just narrowly beaten. Currently in top form and well handicapped, he's running 18lb below his last winning mark from August at Leicester. Given this, his turn should come sooner rather than later, and this contest looks like a great opportunity.
13:50 1:50 Newbury
The Ferret
Daily Racing
25 EW
@17.00
Lose
-50
The Ferret caught everyone's eye over this course and distance in June, traveling best of all but finding himself in a pocket before finishing strongly in 5th out of ten in a similar contest to today's. A winner on all-weather in the winter, he has decent form in the book. Although he was a bit disappointing last time out, running flat and never really getting into the race, he keeps creeping down the weights and is worth another go. With Tom Marquand booked for the ride, he’s an appealing each-way bet at 16/1.
Subtotal-10
16 July 2024
17:00 5:00 Beverley
Blufferonthebus
Daily Racing
50 EW
@8.50
Win
450
Three-year-olds get a nice age allowance, and the consistent Blufferonthebus arrives here in good form after three narrow defeats at Carlisle and Beverley. She hit the front one out but was caught well inside the final furlong over the extended mile last time out. This shorter trip could bring out the best in her, as she has performed really well on soft ground before, including a win at Pontefract in May. Starting from the plum draw in stall one, Craig Lidster’s charge should have a fair shout to make the frame at around 15/2.
16:00 4:00 Beverley
Latin Five
Daily Racing
35 EW
@11.00
Win
35
Variety Island arrives here in good form and if the ground was quicker, he was going to be my main pick. Instead, I'm switching to course and distance winner Latin Five, who is back to his last winning mark. Despite some poor recent performances, this is the easiest race he has encountered in some time. He usually comes alive around this time of year, and Paul Mulrennan is a strong jockey booking for this level. I can see him bouncing back, and at around 10/1 with bookies offering extra places, he is worth an each-way punt.
15:30 3:30 Beverley
Dandys Angel
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@6.00
Push
0
Five-time course and distance winner Dandy's Angel has now dropped to a class 6 event, having shown promise, especially last time out in a class 5 event over this course and distance. All his best performances have come with cut in the ground, so today's conditions in an easier race should suit him well. He is now 6lb below his last winning mark, and with Brandon Wilkie claiming a valuable 5lb on top of that, he should be well-positioned to get involved for a place in the frame.
15:00 3:00 Beverley
Owt For Nowt
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-100
Several of these runners could take a big step forward now going handicapping for the first time. One of those is Owt For Nowt, who ran better than the finishing result suggests last time out in a valuable selling stakes class 3 event at York. Hampered at the start and chasing from the rear, he made decent headway in the closing stages to finish a creditable 6th out of 14 over six furlongs. Given the way he hit the line, an extra furlong should suit him well. With a favourable draw in stall 2, he has a good chance to be a contender for a place in the frame at around 8/1.
14:30 2:30 Beverley
Coto De Caza
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTETip made at odds of 2.10 on 16/07 at 10:130.10 deduction for Lady Luzon@8.50 withdrawn at 12:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.10 x (1-0.10) = 1.99
@1.99
Win
99
Coto De Caza was green as grass when making his debut at Lingfield conceding experience to the rest of the field. He was only beaten a neck in third, but show enough promise to suggest he can win a maiden of this nature. A well bred 270,000euros breeze-up purchase, with Silvestre De Sousa booked for the ride, he should improve from that well needed experience and get heavily involved at this level.
Subtotal484
15 July 2024
15:35 3:28 Ayr
Dare To Hope
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@8.50
Lose
-100
Dare To Hope was quite an eye-catcher last time out at Chester, starting from a wide draw. Held up in the rear, he encountered plenty of interference and found himself short of room a couple of times, yet managed to finish strongly, beaten by only ¾ lengths despite all these issues. He went close in a valuable class 2 event at Hamilton, just beaten by a neck, and previously defeated Mattice at Beverley, who was a subsequent winner and ran well under a penalty in some competitive sprint handicaps later on. Richard Fahey’s charge seems to be a horse on the rise, and with Oisin Orr, who rode him to success, back on board, he is a solid each-way contender at around 15/2.
Subtotal-100
13 July 2024
16:00 4:00 Newmarket
Gorak
Daily Racing
50 EW
@13.00
Lose
-100
The Buckingham Palace race at Royal Ascot is dominated this renewal of the Bunbury Cup with several runners facing each other again today. With bookies going 5/6/7 places on each way terms I’m taking a chance with Gorak who had no chance being drawn in stall 3 at Royal Ascot, but boost a very good record at this venue. He finished a short head second to today’s favourite Carrytheone at the Rowley Mile in May and re-opposes him on better terms. A prominent runner who should be able to avoid traffic if keeping similar strategies today, with local yard scoring three winners out of their last six entries, nicely priced at around 12/1.
1 member found this comment useful
15:45 3:45 York
Alsakib
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.00 used instead of 6.50 takenBOG
@7.00
Win
360
Andrew Balding’s horses are in flying form, with six winners out of his last ten runners, and his Alsakib is an interesting contender given his relatively lightly raced profile. Unraced at two, he had an excellent campaign last term, winning four times and running well when third in a Group 3 at Chester, only ¾ lengths behind Arrest, who performed well yesterday at Newmarket at Group 2 level. He also put in a terrific run at Royal Ascot under top weight, finishing fourth of 16 in the Copper. With Al Qareem sure to set a strong pace in this contest, I can see this 4-year-old picking up the pieces late. Each way shout at 11/2.
1 member found this comment useful
15:10 3:10 York
Botanical
Daily Racing
75 EWNOTEOdds taken at 7.50
@7.50
Win
22
He was very disappointing last time out at Royal Ascot, but I was particularly impressed by Botanical, who bolted up in a super competitive 0-100 handicap here at York over today’s distance, seemingly in a league of his own. Consistent last year, he gained experience through the handicap route, and I’ll attribute his poor Ascot performance to the ground, as he is by two horses that preferred a softer surface. Out of a dam who was a Listed winner and stayed 1m6f, Botanical was always going to improve over 1 mile and a quarter, with a good chance he’ll stay even further. It’s not easy to win this competitive handicap off such a high weight, but it happened three times in the last five editions, and the big field with a certain strong pace will help him settle better. The draw is good to get a nice position, and I expect this strong-traveling sort to put that Ascot run behind him and get involved for a place in the frame, with bookies offering 5/6/7 places on each way terms.
1 member found this comment useful
14:50 2:50 Newmarket
Treasure Time
Daily Racing
35 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@10.00
Win
28
In the each-way market, Treasure Time makes an appealing choice, entering the handicap at the bottom of the weights. He has been gradually progressing and should have finished much closer at Chester if not for being denied a clear run several times. He made amends at this venue last time out, getting his head in front and beating the solid Jungle Mac, with the pair clear of the rest. Should improve for the extra furlong and I suppose a 4lb penalty still keeps him well in, and he could sneak into a place with bookies offering four places on each-way terms at double-digit odds.
1 member found this comment useful
Volterra
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
There’s a suspicion that Volterra was running on the wrong side of the track last time out in the Britannia at Royal Ascot, where he finished 1st of 10 in his group. This was after winning very easily at his seasonal reappearance in a competitive handicap at Newmarket. Keen after a break, Volterra travelled all over his rivals, looking the winner from a long way out. Notably, the second horse in that race subsequently won and then went on to finish second in the same race at the Royal meeting. The pace forecast for today’s race is very strong, which I think could benefit him by providing a test that helps him settle better. Judging by his previous runs, he is clearly better than a mark of 91 and could give today’s favourite something to think about. He’s worth another chance at around 4/1.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 York
Blue For You
Daily Racing
100 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@8.50
Win
900
Blue For You is a real standing dish here at York, and I expect him to be primed for this event, where he finished second in 2022 and won last year. They have managed to get him back four pounds lower than last year, and he is sure to be fully tuned for this event. He performed really well over this course and distance when finishing a creditable fourth out of 16 in a similar event in May off a mark of 100 and should be competitive at 95, each way shout at 15/2 with bookies going 5/6 places on each way terms.
1 member found this comment useful
13:45 1:45 Ascot
Lethal Nymph
Daily Racing
35 EW
@17.00
Lose
-70
This race looks fairly competitive, but with bookies offering 5/6 places on each-way terms, I’m taking a chance with course winner Lethal Nymph at around 16/1. A very consistent handicapper for Clive Cox, he moved to his new yard and now seems to be hitting peak form, having finished in the frame the last twice, including in a hot Curragh race. He is currently 5lb below his last winning mark. Yesterday, jockeys moved to the near side over the straight course, so draw 12 seems a decent place to start. He handles some juice in the ground and was particularly effective at this venue.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal1090
12 July 2024
16:55 4:55 York
Wen Moon
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-75
Wen Moon has been running really well lately despite not winning, and he arrives at this event in good form and well-handicapped. A course and distance winner, he makes a quick reappearance after his run at Pontefract, where he split two strong rivals at the finish in what looked like a competitive Class 2 0-105 event. He is dropping back into Class 4 company today, and if this race doesn’t come too soon, he is the main player running off the same handicap mark with conditions likely to suit.
16:00 4:00 Ascot
Loughville
Daily Racing
35 EW
@5.50
Lose
-4
Loughville has shown significant improvement since her wind operation, returning much stronger after the winter and now looking like a progressive filly as she steps up in distance. She won at Bath on heavy ground and went close at Windsor before bolting up in a 16-runner field at Wetherby. Last time out at Chester, the race did not suit her as she was held up in a slowly run affair, but she gave the impression that she has much more to offer off her current mark. The extra two furlongs should bring further improvement. It’s eye-catching that Hollie Doyle is taking over the ride, and with the yard going well at the moment, she looks like a strong each way contender.
14:40 2:40 York
Raqiya
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@9.00
Lose
-100
I was quite impressed by the way Raqiya travelled into the race when making her seasonal reappearance last May in a Listed contest at Salisbury. She faced a strong field, including a favourite with two Group 1 entries. Waiting patiently for room behind the leaders, she moved left and came home with a very effective run, winning by a neck but leaving the impression she had plenty left in the tank. Raqiya is very lightly raced, having won twice in her juvenile career before encountering too-soft ground in her final race last year. She seems to have done well over the winter and has grown stronger. Given her pedigree, she could be a horse that improves into Group races. At around 8/1, she is an each-way contender, benefiting from a nice age allowance against older rivals.
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13:50 1:50 Newmarket
Candle Of Dubai
Daily Racing
25 EW
@23.00
Lose
-50
This race has been dominated by Mark Johnston for several years, and his son Charlie won it last year with a long-shot of a similar profile to Candle Of Dubai. Unraced at two, she started her career this term, finishing runner-up in her first two outings before getting her head in front at Chelmsford City, bolting up in a novice by 2 ½ lengths. When upped to 1m4f, she looked competitive until one furlong out but did not seem to stay the distance. The return to her winning trip is the correct move, and she enters the handicap at the bottom of the weights, carrying only 8-4. She is a half-sister to Sleeping Lion, who was a smart stayer and particularly effective in handicaps, so she is worth an each-way play at around 22/1, with several bookies paying extra places.
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Chantilly
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-50
I'm going to give Chantilly another chance. He had a wide draw in the London Cup, but Ryan Moore sent him into the lead, going clear and kicking for home very early. As a result, a couple of horses ridden with more restraint picked him up later on, including the smart King's Gambit. I suppose Ryan was testing his stamina for the next race, and I must say Chantilly did really well under the circumstances to still finish in third place. Unfortunately, at Royal Ascot, he was held in an extreme rear position and found it tough to make up a lot of ground, coming home very wide. He performed particularly well last year, racing over inadequate short distances and making a winning return at Leopardstown, where he bolted up by almost five lengths when upped to 1m2f. He probably doesn’t have the class for pattern company, but he has shown enough to suggest he is well handicapped. I think that the return to 1m2f in a smaller field gives him a realistic chance, and he won’t mind some cut in the ground.
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Subtotal-279
11 July 2024
18:25 6:25 Newbury
Brian
Daily Racing
100 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 1.91 used instead of 1.73 takenBOG
@1.91
Win
90
Brian is a very short price, but he is the clear standard setter, having finished third in the Chesham at Royal Ascot. He had a very good debut at Windsor when denied a clear run, and he should have won at Chelmsford next time out but wandered around one furlong out, giving his main rival another chance. That horse went on to finish a close fourth in the Group 2 Coventry Stakes at Royal Ascot, so the overall form for Brian is pretty strong for a maiden.
15:45 3:45 Doncaster
Aysgarth
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-75
There are several interesting juveniles in this contest, but I fancy the chances of Aysgarth for in-form trainer Clive Cox, who is operating with a 33% strike rate over the last two weeks and excels with 2-year-olds around this time of year. This 180,000 gns yearling has been improving with every run and went close last time out at Salisbury when bumping into Group 1 entry An Outlaw's Grace. Very keen in the lead, he was overtaken by New Charter two out, but he kept on under pressure, finishing a clear second. He can improve again under Richard Kingscote, who takes over the ride, and should be competitive with several runners making their racing debut.
15:20 3:20 Carlisle
Origintrail
Daily Racing
50 EW
@9.50
Lose
-100
Ben Haslam has his horses in flying form, and his only runner on the card, Origintrail, drops from Listed company into calmer waters in what looks like a winnable race. She has shown a progressive profile this season, with a good second to Tyger Bay, who subsequently won again, and another strong effort in a class 3 at Ripon when third to a course specialist and surrounded by rivals rated in the +80s. She can be slowly away, which could be a problem, but Paul Mulrennan knows her well, so I'm sure he will try to avoid that. She is an interesting contender at around 17/2 in a race that could be run to suit her.
Subtotal-85
10 July 2024
16:55 4:55 Catterick
Kindest Nation
Daily Racing
50 EW
@8.00
Lose
-100
Puella Law is the favourite at around 11/4, but her form matches with Kindest Nation based on their May Beverley run, where the two fillies were only separated by a neck at the finish. Hugo Palmer’s only runner on the card subsequently ran well at Sandown behind Blake, who won afterwards, and likely competed in better races lately, including one at Newmarket where she clearly didn't stay the stiff mile. With first-time headgear fitted today and dropping back to seven furlongs, the booking of Conor Planas, who offers a valuable 3lb claim, should make her more competitive at this level. She offers some each-way appeal at around 7/1.
15:20 3:20 Catterick
J Street
Daily Racing
100 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.50 used instead of 3.25 takenBOG
@3.50
Win
250
J Street has been highly regarded since her debut in a class 2 at Beverley, where she ran a superb race to finish fourth out of 14. Her chances in the Woodcote Stakes at Epsom on Derby weekend were hampered at the start. Her last run at Musselburgh was excellent, as she went clear with the short odds-on favourite Unspoken Love, going down by a neck. The latter subsequently won a valuable Pontefract Novice, franking the overall form. In a field of inexperienced fillies, J Street can get her deserved success and seems fairly priced at around 9/4 given her form in the book.
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15:00 3:00 Lingfield
Polemon
Daily Racing
75 WINNAP
@3.25
Lose
-75
Polemon went into the tracker after his last performance in a class 5 at Newbury under an inexperienced rider. Slowly away and chasing from the rear, he made plenty of ground from an unpromising position to finish a never-nearer fifth under a hands-and-heels ride, giving the impression he had much more to offer. By Frankel and still lightly raced for his age, he went close in novice events and was initially given a mark of 75, which saw him generally struggling. Now dropping in class and to a mark of 60, finally showing some of his old spark, makes appeal with Hollie Doyle taking over the ride and worth a bet at around 9/4.
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14:50 2:50 Catterick
Mutanaaseq
Daily Racing
75 EW
@10.00
Lose
-150
Mutanaaseq has been running better than his finish position suggested in his last couple of races. As a Catterick specialist with four wins over course and distance, he makes plenty of appeal to make the frame at around 9/1. Often slowly away, he is the type that can easily bounce back. There is a strong pace from high draws in this contest, and if he doesn’t get too far behind, he can pick up the pieces late on. Christian Howarth is a strong jockey booking at the amateur level; he went 2/2 yesterday at Brighton and can clearly make the difference riding this multiple course winner.
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Subtotal-75
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