Dave Fairminer

Bet mostly for fun so I thought I would have a go at taking on the OLBG top boys.

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

Dave Fairminer's Tips History

All tips
All sports
29 October 2025
18:00 6:00 Kempton

Valkyrie Storm

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@23.00

Lose

-50

Having had three runs, Valkyrie Storm looks quite exposed. However, the second run at Chepstow when 3rd looked promising to me. Her last run at Southwell was very lacklustre. I believe being out of Saxon Warrior, the swap to Polytrack will see her outrun her double-figure odds.
24 October 2025
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Jazzy Matty

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Jazzy Matty loves thos place and has 2 wins and a second from 3 starts so as long as he doesn't mind the revert back to hurdles he should go well

Service Minimum

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Horses out of Doctor Dino tend to go well at Cheltenham. So although the form on Service Minimum is not up to winning this, she is worth a play at big odds and 5 places. Harry Skelton has chosen this over their other runner.
22 October 2025
18:40 6:40 Kempton

Monopolise

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

His last win here at Kempton was higher than his current mark, so I expect him to go well. All his best runs here have been from a low draw, and today we are in stall 4. We have now drifted to a nice each-way price.
19 October 2025
14:46 2:46 Kempton

One Horse Town

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.36

Win

18

Fitness and two easy wins at Stratford and Hexham should be enough to see One Horse Town win here at odds-on and defy a penalty.
18 October 2025
14:45 2:45 Ascot

Wemightakedlongway

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

This looks a massive price to me, especially after her run when beaten by just over a length by Minnie Hawk in the Irish Oaks. The 4th last time was over an inadequate 1m2f, and back over 1m4f should play to her strengths. She also gets the 3yo allowance.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot

Siren Suit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

This looks like a good each-way bet to me. Siren Suits' debut was respectable enough when 6th on debut at Newbury, but nothing special. Then his 3rd over 5f here at Ascot, beaten under a length, has worked out well with the winner now off 114, the 2nd 103, and the 4th 106, which would put him right in the mix here. The layoff of 161 days after is a bit worrying, but the win 2 weeks ago over 7f at Kempton would have taken the freshness off, and I expect a good run.
15 October 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton

Warrior King

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 14/10 at 17:210.00 deduction for Home And Dry@11.00 withdrawn at 06:270.25 deduction for Gemmari @3.500 withdrawn at 12:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.25) = 3.63

@3.63

Win

131

This looks a fair price to me as we came second over the course and first try at this distance last time. The favorite is trying 2m for the first time and has Elizabeth Gale on, who is a good jockey but is on a losing streak of 70 rides.
13 October 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton

Asmen Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Win

10

Saxon Warrior offspring have a great record here at Kempton. So, Amen Warrior is worth a bet here as you can ignore his last run as it was on soft and in a first-time visor, which has now been discarded. The pieces are back on where he has a form of 221. This is a horse that was only beaten 2 1/2 lengths in the London Gold Cup, so he should go well.
17:10 5:10 Kempton

Lizzana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Lizzana went off Fav on debut at Wolves, where she finished second. Any normal improvement will see her go well, and anything out of Saxon Warrior at Kempton often goes well.
12 October 2025
15:37 3:37 Goodwood

Far Above Dream

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Win

225

The Ayr Silver Cup was a bit too much for Far Above Dream, but now back here at Goodwood where he won two runs back. Although now off 87 and up in grade, he has only had 10 runs, and a return here will surely see him outrun his odds.
10 October 2025
19:45 7:45 Kempton

One Cool Dreamer

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

One Cool Dreamer came 2nd here on his last course run off the same mark after a 189-day layoff. This time, it's only 89 days, and he has been running consistently, including a couple of spins over hurdles. This time, he has cheekpieces on, so they could make the difference.
09 October 2025
15:25 3:25 Ayr

Mister Sketch

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

It's all about the going with this one, even though he seems to have had his problems, having only raced 3 times in the last 14 months but 8 times in the previous 12. I believe the heavy going will show why Wathnan have stuck with him, and his third last time shows there is still some ability. That was on soft, being out of Territories. This heavy going will be perfect.
08 October 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton

Huscal

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@6.00

Lose

-50

As long as stall 10 is not too much of an inconvenience, Huscal must surely go close if he can repeat his second here last month on what was his first try on the AW.
18:40 6:40 Kempton

Al Barez

Daily Racing

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Al Barez has won here at Kempton off 85 before in this grade. Today we go off 80 after being tried in some class 3 handicap where he ran respectably. But in his last 3 runs, he has been nearer last than first. He had cheekpieces on, which clearly didn't work. They have been left off today, so at this price, he's worth the risk.
07 October 2025
16:45 4:45 Brighton

Gone Rogue

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.62

Win

81

Gone Rogue was just beaten here last time out, and he goes off the same mark here. So a repeat of that run should see off his only danger, Dinah Myte, who won a poor race at Ffos Las last time out.
04 October 2025
15:00 3:00 Ascot

Apollo One

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 7.00 on 03/10 at 15:170.00 deduction for Alfa Kellenic@23.00 withdrawn at 18:330.00 deduction for Lou Lous Gift @21.000 withdrawn at 09:110.15 deduction for Elmonjed @5.500 withdrawn at 09:110.00 deduction for Celandine @11.000 withdrawn at 09:470.00 deduction for Tuco Salamanca @23.000 withdrawn at 10:29R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 6.00 x (1-0.15) = 6.10Best Odds Guaranteed SP 6.50 used instead of 6.10 BOG

@6.50

Win

2

Apollo One won this race last year off 104. We go again off the same mark, and the 2nd last time out at Doncaster means we come here in form. The forecast overnight rain won't bother him, as it was soft last year when he won.
14:25 2:25 Ascot

Tenability

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@10.00

Win

31

This looks overpriced to me. Yes, he has 17 lb to find on ratings with Hamish, but he is improving with every run. His last three runs have all been over CD, and he goes on any ground. He certainly won't be last as the betting suggests.
03 October 2025
16:40 4:40 Ascot

Aramram

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 8.50 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@8.50

Win

225

Aramram ran a cracker to finish 7th and has course form when 6th in the Wokingham. Any overnight rain will be a plus, and the red-hot Marquand takes the ride.
01 October 2025
20:00 8:00 Kempton

Island Ocean

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

From this draw, Island Ocean should be prominent. Once again, like her win last time here, she has no headgear or tongue tie, so she should go well.
18:30 6:30 Kempton

Kings Code

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 13.00 used instead of 9.50 takenBOG

@13.00

Win

360

Kings Code has been highly tried and is now back in a class 4 and 1f less than last time. I think he will be placed at the least.

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