Dave Fairminer

Bet mostly for fun so I thought I would have a go at taking on the OLBG top boys.

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Dave Fairminer's Tips History

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08 November 2025
15:45 3:45 Doncaster

Lord Melbourne

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.00 used instead of 8.00 takenBOG

@9.00

Win

15

Lord Melbourne is still fairly lightly raced considering he is 5, but seems to be improving still. With a soft ground win here at Donny under his belt, he must go well. Though I'm a little worried about the bounce factor after his win at Epsom 6 weeks ago, which was after a nearly year-long break.
15:10 3:10 Doncaster

Warda Jamila

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@51.00

Lose

-50

With such a short-priced favorite in Danielle, we are getting some juicy odds on others. So I have plumped for Warda Jamila, who has never raced on anything worse than good-soft. But 2 of her 3 wins came on that going. I believe being out of a Montjeu mare and Calyx as the sire, who seem to go well on heavy, this might outrun her huge odds.
Subtotal-35
05 November 2025
17:00 5:00 Kempton

Huscal

Daily Racing

25 EWNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 9.50 used instead of 7.50 takenBOG

@9.50

Win

17

After 9 runs on the grass, Huscal was then sent to Kempton for a 7f class 4, where he finished 2nd off 83. Then, 4 weeks ago, he returned to finish 5th off 85, where he had to come from the back through horses and was closing at the line. Although drawn high this time, he should be able to drop in and come round the whole field up the straight.
16:30 4:30 Kempton

Amber Hamur

Daily Racing

25 EW

@17.00

Lose

-50

This went off at 40/1 on debut and finished 4th of 5, so no shock there. But to me, she wasn't disgraced and was hanging right around the left bend. So Kempton should suit more and is bred to like Polytrack.
15:45 3:45 Nottingham

Laplander

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@17.00

Void

0

Horses out of Territories seem to improve on extreme heavy going. So if this meeting is on (more rain forecast), Laplander could spring a surprise. The jockey is very good at this level, although a first try at this distance on heavy is a slight worry though.
Subtotal-33
04 November 2025
15:02 3:02 Warwick

Milan Tino

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.00

Lose

-50

Miilan offspring go well here at Warwick, and his 4th at Worcester 20 days ago will put him spot on for this. Though it is hard to get a gauge on his French form, he did have a third to Sir Gino and also a third to Burdett Road in his juvenile days. He's obviously had problems, and we wouldn't want too much rain.
Subtotal-50
03 November 2025
16:00 4:00 Kempton

Troy Story

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@7.50

Lose

-50

I'm hoping a change of stable will put some life back into Troy Story after four average runs this season, though three were in class 4s. The angle here is Troy Story's first run in a handicap last November was here at Kempton in a class 4 off 76, where he was beaten only a neck. Today, back here for the first time, we are in a class 5 off 70, so hopefully, he'll go well.
14:30 2:30 Kempton

Superposition

Daily Racing

25 EW

@8.00

Lose

-50

Superposition has yet to win over 7f after 5 efforts. However, the run here two runs back was in a hot race over 1m and only faded late. That was also from a high draw.
Subtotal-100
01 November 2025
15:10 3:10 Ascot

Dance And Glance

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Win

12

Although we are up in grade, at these odds and 4 places, it's worth a shout. Especially as we are fit and in form and will go on the ground. Plus, Passing Glance offspring have gone well at Ascot in the past.
Subtotal12
29 October 2025
18:00 6:00 Kempton

Valkyrie Storm

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@23.00

Lose

-50

Having had three runs, Valkyrie Storm looks quite exposed. However, the second run at Chepstow when 3rd looked promising to me. Her last run at Southwell was very lacklustre. I believe being out of Saxon Warrior, the swap to Polytrack will see her outrun her double-figure odds.
Subtotal-50
24 October 2025
13:15 1:15 Cheltenham

Jazzy Matty

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

Jazzy Matty loves thos place and has 2 wins and a second from 3 starts so as long as he doesn't mind the revert back to hurdles he should go well

Service Minimum

Daily Racing

25 EW

@23.00

Lose

-50

Horses out of Doctor Dino tend to go well at Cheltenham. So although the form on Service Minimum is not up to winning this, she is worth a play at big odds and 5 places. Harry Skelton has chosen this over their other runner.
Subtotal-100
22 October 2025
18:40 6:40 Kempton

Monopolise

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Lose

-50

His last win here at Kempton was higher than his current mark, so I expect him to go well. All his best runs here have been from a low draw, and today we are in stall 4. We have now drifted to a nice each-way price.
Subtotal-50
19 October 2025
14:46 2:46 Kempton

One Horse Town

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.36

Win

18

Fitness and two easy wins at Stratford and Hexham should be enough to see One Horse Town win here at odds-on and defy a penalty.
Subtotal18
18 October 2025
14:45 2:45 Ascot

Wemightakedlongway

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@11.00

Lose

-50

This looks a massive price to me, especially after her run when beaten by just over a length by Minnie Hawk in the Irish Oaks. The 4th last time was over an inadequate 1m2f, and back over 1m4f should play to her strengths. She also gets the 3yo allowance.
1 member found this comment useful
13:30 1:30 Ascot

Siren Suit

Daily Racing

25 EW

@13.00

Lose

-50

This looks like a good each-way bet to me. Siren Suits' debut was respectable enough when 6th on debut at Newbury, but nothing special. Then his 3rd over 5f here at Ascot, beaten under a length, has worked out well with the winner now off 114, the 2nd 103, and the 4th 106, which would put him right in the mix here. The layoff of 161 days after is a bit worrying, but the win 2 weeks ago over 7f at Kempton would have taken the freshness off, and I expect a good run.
Subtotal-100
15 October 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton

Warrior King

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 4.50 on 14/10 at 17:210.00 deduction for Home And Dry@11.00 withdrawn at 06:270.25 deduction for Gemmari @3.500 withdrawn at 12:07R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 3.50 x (1-0.25) = 3.63

@3.63

Win

131

This looks a fair price to me as we came second over the course and first try at this distance last time. The favorite is trying 2m for the first time and has Elizabeth Gale on, who is a good jockey but is on a losing streak of 70 rides.
Subtotal131
13 October 2025
19:40 7:40 Kempton

Asmen Warrior

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.00

Win

10

Saxon Warrior offspring have a great record here at Kempton. So, Amen Warrior is worth a bet here as you can ignore his last run as it was on soft and in a first-time visor, which has now been discarded. The pieces are back on where he has a form of 221. This is a horse that was only beaten 2 1/2 lengths in the London Gold Cup, so he should go well.
17:10 5:10 Kempton

Lizzana

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

137

Lizzana went off Fav on debut at Wolves, where she finished second. Any normal improvement will see her go well, and anything out of Saxon Warrior at Kempton often goes well.
Subtotal147
12 October 2025
15:37 3:37 Goodwood

Far Above Dream

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@8.50

Win

225

The Ayr Silver Cup was a bit too much for Far Above Dream, but now back here at Goodwood where he won two runs back. Although now off 87 and up in grade, he has only had 10 runs, and a return here will surely see him outrun his odds.
Subtotal225
10 October 2025
19:45 7:45 Kempton

One Cool Dreamer

Daily Racing

25 EWNAP

@7.00

Lose

-50

One Cool Dreamer came 2nd here on his last course run off the same mark after a 189-day layoff. This time, it's only 89 days, and he has been running consistently, including a couple of spins over hurdles. This time, he has cheekpieces on, so they could make the difference.
Subtotal-50
09 October 2025
15:25 3:25 Ayr

Mister Sketch

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@5.50

Lose

-50

It's all about the going with this one, even though he seems to have had his problems, having only raced 3 times in the last 14 months but 8 times in the previous 12. I believe the heavy going will show why Wathnan have stuck with him, and his third last time shows there is still some ability. That was on soft, being out of Territories. This heavy going will be perfect.
Subtotal-50

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