CapnBob
Follow Derby but consider myself more a fan of football in general.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
CapnBob's Tips History
22 April 2024
20:15 SC Farense v Benfica
Draw
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Subtotal-50
21 April 2024
20:00 PSG v Lyon
Draw
50 WIN
@5.25
Lose
-50
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
20:00 Real Madrid v Barcelona
Real Madrid
50 WIN
@1.88
Win
44
Madrid will be boosted by a SF qualification though they were under the cosh at Man City but showed enough fortitude. Barcelona exited after leading at one time on aggregate 4-2 before a sending off changed the game & they were forced to play against elite opposition with ten men for around an hour. Real also inflicted a home defeat on their arch rivals who are yet to lose on the road. Factor in, rumours of a dressing-room fall-out following the loss to PSG and Barcelona don't look that far away from being in crisis. They may respond, but Real Madrid look the more unified outfit & have reenergised the team/midfield. Both come into this game having won their last four La Liga games, and Barca may want to atone for that disappointing UCL exit, however, Real Madrid could add to their misery.
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16:30 Borussia Dortmund v Bayer Leverkusen
Borussia Dortmund
50 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-50
Dortmund will be full of confidence after reaching the UCL SF & despatching Atletico Madrid, elite opponents. They have the benefit of an extra days's rest & Bayer Leverkusen's first half performance against West Ham nearly cost them. Leverkusen could go unbeaten throughout the season but face a challenging run of games against sides ranked 5, 6 & 3rd. Dortmund visit RB Leipzig next so will want to get a positive result in the chase for a Champions League spot though it appears the Bundesliga might secure a 5th UCL spot ahead of other leagues. Dortmund are one of only two sides to take points off Leverkusen at home.
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Borussia Dortmund #2-1
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Both sides' performance levels may dip though Dortmund arguably had the more emotional draining game against Atletico Madrid. Leverkusen recovered from a disappointing first half at the London Stadium following changes & a tactical switch, leading to a controlled performance. Dortmund though will want to cap a brilliant week by being the first side to inflict a defeat on the new champions. They are yet to beat any of the top three at home and lost LTO to Stuttgart, Dortmund, however, have something still to play for in terms of Champions League qualification as they lie 5th and are vying with RB Leipizg though 5th might be allotted a CL spot. Leverkusen may lose a slight edge now that the title has been secured. It could very well end up as another 1-1 draw
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Subtotal-156
20 April 2024
19:30 Wolverhampton v Arsenal
Arsenal #2-1
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Arsenal have kept five consecutive clean-sheets on the road & after a busy period, they may concede here & it is not within the bounds of possibility that they could drop further points here. Wolves have only failed to score once at Molineux in a 0-2 home loss to Brentford, and whilst they have had problems in attack with injuries, they can afford to go on the front foot against an Arsenal side who have had a busy week with their UCL games against Bayern Munich. Arsenal may respond after their UCL QF exit, but if the score remains level as the game heads towards its conclusion, Wolves may face concerted pressure though they are dangerous on the counter themselves.
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17:15 Man City v Chelsea
Chelsea (AH) 1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Win+Push
24
Chelsea come into this game, having had to play on a Monday, the main reason for this pick is that Manchester City will be coming off a home game in the Champions League on Tuesday & it will be their second intense game within a week against elite opposition. With the greatest of respect to Luton, they were not Aston Villa who were dangerous opponents for Arsenal to face after their UCL. Chelsea will be motivated here as the FAC remains their only realistic hope to win silverware this season. This is a tie that could go all the way, Chelsea enter this contest knowing that they have drawn twice against City already this season, once at home where they needed a late penalty, but also a draw at the Etihad which came after City had played a first leg UCL knock out tie at Copenhagen in a physical contest. The tie against Real Madrid is likely to be mentally draining. Chelsea's squad may be inexperienced but it is young & should have the energy to get around the sapping Wembley pitch.
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15:00 Carlisle v Wycombe
Draw
50 WIN
@3.60
Lose
-50
Wycombe have been in excellent form, considering their busy recent schedule after the Papa John Trophy final & ought to win here after two wins in a row away at Shrewsbury & Port Vale though they are yet to win three in a row. They may arrive underestimating their relegated opponents who may now play with a new freedom. They are without a win in 9 at home & conceded in 18 consecutive games & their three wins at home have come against sides in the bottom eight. Carlisle may end a challenging season at home without defeat.
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15:00 Stockport v Accrington Stanley
Stockport
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Stockport to confirm their L2 title with a win in front of their own fans against an Accrington side who have had a challenging second half of the season & lost 6 of the last nine away though they are yet to lose three in a row away this season. Stockport have won their last 7 matches & 3 at home.
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Stockport #4-0
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
There will be a party atmosphere at Edgeley Park after Stockport sealed the L2 title with a victory at Notts County. They may go through the motions and seal a comfortable win without overexerting themselves, but going for Stockport to win here by a score-line which Accrington have lost by twice in the last five away games, both at Wrexham & Doncaster.
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Subtotal-108
19 April 2024
20:00 Oxford Utd v Stevenage
Oxford Utd #4-0
50 WIN
@36.00
Lose
-50
Oxford suffered a costly defeat midweek to play-off rivals, Lincoln, but before that game had scored thirteen goals, hitting four at home to Fleetwood & five against Peterborough. Stevenage are yet to concede over 3.5 goals away this season, but the main reason for this tip is that Steve Evans & his assistant Paul Raynor have left the club to rejoin Rotherham, and whilst the team/squad may galvanize themselves for the final two games of the season, his departure cannot but affect a side now their play-off chances have virtually ended, and could lead to one of their worst performances of the season. Oxford won the corresponding fixture 3-1. Stevenage are without a win in 7 on the road (3D 4L) and have failed to score in their last two away.
Subtotal-50
18 April 2024
20:00 West Ham v Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Bayer Leverkusen #2-1
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Leverkusen arrive full of confidence after clinching the Bundesliga with five games remaining. West Ham sat deep in the first leg in Germany and will have to attack which may leave them vulnerable. Their last defeat at home in Europe was to another side from the Bundesliga, Eintracht Frankfurt by this scoreline in the 2021/22 Europa League semis. Bayer perhaps to get another solid lead & West Ham to grab a consolation.
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17:45 Fiorentina v Viktoria Plzen
Viktoria Plzen
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
Matej Vydra
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Viktoria Plzen #1-0
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Subtotal-250
16 April 2024
19:45 Crawley Town v Barrow
Crawley Town
50 WIN
@2.70
Lose
-50
Both sides are coming off a run of defeats, Crawley have lost consecutive games to contrasting opposition, away at promoted Wrexham & at home to Colchester, Barrow are on their joint worst sequence of the season, three losses in a row, though they are yet to lose three away games in a row. Both are fighting for the final play-off spot with Doncaster right behind them, Barrow need a positive result more with a more challenging run & their next game at Doncaster. The main reason for this pick, maybe unwise, going against the odds, is that Barrow played at Gillingham with ten men for 70 mins after George Ray, an ever present with 44 appearances, was sent off, and conceded three goals afterwards. Crawley have 9L at home though they are yet to lose three in a row (worst sequence, 2). A draw looks the most probable outcome with neither wanting to lose, Crawley have Orsi-Dadamo & Lolos, and this is a side who put four past Mansfield recently & have faced the top three in their last eight as well as Doncaster.
Crawley Town #2-1
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
Crawley have only beaten one side at home in the current top ten (1W 1D 6L) with 9 of their 10 home wins coming against sides ranked 12th or below. Similarly Barrow on the road have 1W 1D 5L at top 10 sides. A tense draw between two sides faltering in their play-off challenge looks likely, Crawley have conceded in their last 4 at home and, in fact, only kept three clean-sheets all season, two of them coming against the bottom two. Barrow are without an away win in 2024 (3D 5L). This game could go either way, siding with the home side after Barrow were forced to play with ten men for over an hour & will be missing defender Ray at the back. They may have to throw men forward if Crawley get a lead. They are yet to f-t-s in consecutive away games.
19:45 Notts County v Stockport
Stockport #3-1
50 WIN
@13.00
Lose
-50
Notts County have scored over 2.5 goals in each of their last three games, Stockport arrive with Challinor keen to wrap up the title. Stockport have won their last six & netted over 1.5 goals in five of those wins. They have conceded in their last two away. Notts County are yet to beat a side in the top six at home & have lost by a margin of 2 or more goals at home to three of the current top 5.
Subtotal-150
14 April 2024
16:30 Arsenal v Aston Villa
John McGinn
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.00
Lose
-50
McGinn has received four yellows in 9 appearances against the Gunners, including on his last two visits to the Emirates. Douglas Luiz is suspended so it may be a case of McGinn reverting back to central midfield alongside Tielemans as Kamara & Ramsey are also out injured. He will be competing against Rice & Odegaard.
Morgan Rogers
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@5.00
Win
200
He has been playing on the left-wing/left midfield & if he starts on the left with Digne behind him, Rogers could be up against White, Odegaard & Saka on the right. McGinn was booked in the corresponding fixture but has been playing in attacking midfield.
16:30 Bayer Leverkusen v Werder Bremen
Draw
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-50
Subtotal50
13 April 2024
17:30 Bournemouth v Man Utd
Over 11.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Both these sides occupy high positions in the charts for FT Match Corners, Bournemouth have an average of 7.25 for per match at home (thestatsdon'tlie.com), Man United 8.50 against on average away, Bournemouth's start was slow under Araola but they have clicked & possess a striker in Solanke as well as tricky attackers which mean that United's defence may be stretched. With the pressure off the home side, they can afford to go on the front foot & be positive. United too should be a threat on the counter attack.
15:00 Birmingham v Coventry
Draw
On current form, Coventry should win, especially with two strikers in form but they are coming off a defeat at Southampton. Birmingham slipped to a damaging home defeat to Cardiff, who were playing more for pride & finishing in the top half/ten rather than for a play-off spot.
Two sides who need points for different reasons, each may have to settle for a point here which may not do each other's respective causes any good as they require all 3pts. Rowett has a record of 1W 1D 1L at home to Mark Robins.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
A tense nervy encounter is expected in a West Midlands derby encounter with so much else riding on it. Coventry haven't shared a draw away since Plymouth (5) and have netted in their last 14x but also conceded in their last 4 as well. Birmingham have 4L in their last 5 at home and failed to score in 3 out of 4 of those losses. They cannot to lose here though their next game is at relegated Rotherham and then a crucial 6-pointer at Huddersfield which could decide the fate of either. Coventry could sneak a win here (0-1/1-2) in a tense encounter, if Coventry aren't clinical, this may offer Birmingham the opportunity to get an equalizer should they concede first. Coventry also have the firepower to get back into the game should they go behind themselves.
15:00 Bolton v Portsmouth
Bolton
The race for 2nd could go down to the wire with Bolton set to visit Peterborough on the final day of the normal season. Bolton go into this showdown, knowing that even if Derby win at home today, victories over Portsmouth & their match midweek at home, would see them climb into second by a point. Bolton face a side unbeaten in 15 and whose two away defeats have come against lower half sides.. Bolton remain unbeaten at home against top half sides. Evatt's side will also want to atone for the televised performance of their loss at Fratton Park.
Bolton & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
typo, Bolton have scored in 17x consecutive home games & need to get a result here. It may be a case of then ensuring they stop a Portsmouth side, unbeaten in 15, from scoring themselves (f-t-s 5/21 games) to ensure a vital 3pts.
Aaron Collins
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@7.00
Lose
-50
Collins has been in goal-scoring form recently and is the team's designated penalty taker. A tight game could be settled by something such as a penalty kick if Bolton are forced to push men forward if the scores remain level. Interestingly, Portsmouth conceded a penalty at Derby earlier in the season in another high-stakes encounter. Portsmouth may score themselves as they have only failed to net in 5 away games out of 21.
Bolton #1-0
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
It might be a case of being patient & organized against a Portsmouth side who are resilient and only suffered 4L all season, with two losses on the road. Bolton have scored in 17x consecutive away games. Portsmouth have only conceded more than a single goal in an away on five occasions, perhaps a 2-1 win is also possible. Everything points to a tight game & possible draw, but Bolton may inflict a defeat on Portsmouth in what is a must-win game for them, and they may occasionally ride their luck, as Derby did against them in their 1-0 loss at Pride Park, to gain a narrow victory.
15:00 Cambridge Utd v Charlton
Cambridge Utd
Cambridge have not beaten these opponents H2H in 7x & have lost their last three home meetings. However, they didn't play midweek whilst their opponents drew 2-2 at home. Cambridge have 7L at home, 6L versus the top 10 & they have a record of 6W 4D 1L against sides ranked 11th & below. They won LTO at home to Wigan but are yet to secure back to back home wins this calendar year. Charlton are unbeaten in 12 under new boss Nathan Jones (8D) and a draw is possible. Garry Monk has won his two previous encounters against Charlton but has a record of 1W 1L at home to Nathan Jones.
Cambridge Utd #1-0
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
One goal could settle this encounter, Charlton have won at Cambridge twice since the East Anglian side were promoted to L1 & are unbeaten since '92 (three). Cambridge are yet to secure back to back home wins in 2024 & face a side who are on an unbeaten run of 12 (8D). Cambridge look like they have done enough to survive after a win at Barnsley & the home win against Wigan. Charlton's record at lower half sides reads as 1W 3D 3L. This game may be all about the result rather than the performance, keeping things tight (for Cambridge) & nicking a vital goal. It could go either way on form, Cambridge have a tricky fixture against Derby but other games where points can be picked up, an out of form Bristol Rovers, home to Wycombe, but a win here will virtually guarantee safety.
15:00 Cheltenham v Bristol Rovers
Cheltenham
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Cheltenham conspired to lose at home to Carlisle which was a damaging blow for a side whose remaining home games after this match are against Lincoln & Peterborough. Bristol Rovers arrive in poor form & Matt Taylor under pressure after a run of 7 games without a goal. Rovers are unlikely to do former boss Clarke any favours. Rovers have lost their last two on the road to nil and have lost three in a row (twice) Cheltenham have to win here though they are not reliable or certainties to win. They may dig out a hard-fought, nervy victory here, and have no choice but throw players forward & take risks to get 3pts. It remains to be seen what sort of impact the defeat to Carlisle will have on Cheltenham whether they respond or if the players have lost belief.
Cheltenham #2-1
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
Cheltenham have conceded in their last three home matches though they face a side who have failed to score in their last seven. However, there are a number of subplots including a former manager up against his old club, a south west derby game. Rovers haven't scored in their last three away. These two shared a 1-1 in the corresponding fixture so a similar score-line is possible in what could be a nervy contest. But going for Cheltenham to get a vital home win & respond after a demoralizing loss at home to Carlisle midweek. Rovers have conceded over 1.5 goals in 5 of those 7 games without netting themselves.
15:00 Derby v Leyton Orient
Derby
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
A must win game for the Rams after they were frustrated by Wycombe in a grudge match & where the Rams failed to register a shot on target & Blackett-Taylor missed an absolute sitter. Orient let slip a two goal lead to draw at home to Exeter. They apparently have injury problems. They could frustate the home team & the value resides on them, but Derby perhaps to labour to a tense victory with games remaining at Cambridge & Carlisle, they cannot afford any more slip-ups.
15:00 Lincoln City v Wigan
Lincoln City
50 WIN
@1.67
Lose
-50
Lincoln are unbeaten in 16 during a run which has propelled them towards the play-offs (10W 6D). They still have to play at Oxford & host Portsmouth, so they need to win here. They face a side who played midweek in SE London & face a second away game. Wigan are winless in 4 & have faced an improving Charlton (15) but also three sides ranked 19-21 during that period. This would be a coupon-buster if it doesn't go according to form & the fact Lincoln come into it on the back of a free week.
15:00 Man City v Luton
Daiki Hashioka
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@6.00
Lose
-50
Yet to be booked since he joined, Hashioka may have to fill in on the right side of defence if Luton utilize a 3-4-3 formation as Kabore is ineligible to play against his parent club. City are likely to make changes with the second leg of their UCL QF in mind, Luton, apparently, have a number of injury concerns at the back. City's squad, even with changes (Doku starting etc), & the fact they are likely to dominate possession, may see the Luton defence & midfield come under a lot of pressure.
15:00 Milton Keynes Dons v Mansfield
Milton Keynes Dons
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
MK Dons come into this game on the back of a free week whilst Mansfield have hit a sticky patch & gained a narrow win at home over struggling Forest Green. MK Dons are unbeaten in 8 at home and have won the last 4. A tough game to call, Mansfield did the double over Stockport yet have failed to beat the sides placed 2nd-5th home or away (5 games). MK Dons have to win here as Mansfield have a game in hand.
Milton Keynes Dons #2-1
50 WIN
@10.00
Lose
-50
The fact that MK Dons may have had a free week could prove telling if they are forced to chase a winner if the scores remain level late on in the game. MK Dons have won their last 4 at home, Mansfield have lost 5 on the road including LTO at Wrexham though they are yet to lose back to back away games this season. Of those five losses, 4x have been by a 2-1 score-line. Mansfield cannot be ruled out themselves, they have been erratic on the road in 2024, winning & losing alternate games & not sharing a draw in 7. Those three away wins have come at sides in the lower half.
15:00 Oxford Utd v Peterborough
Peterborough
50 WIN
@2.40
Lose
-50
Oxford do come into this match on the back of a free week though Peterborough brushed aside Port Vale at home. Oxford are yet to beat a side in the top six at home & their 10W at home have come against sides ranked 11th & below. Peterborough have tended to drop points on the road at midtable sides, but have a record of 4W 3D 1L at sides in the top 10. A draw is possible though Peterborough need to win as they still harbour automatic promotion hopes of their own. It could be tight as Ferguson has tended to struggle at Oxford but he hasn't conceded in his last five meetings.
15:00 Port Vale v Exeter
Port Vale
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
A must win game for Vale at the bottom though Exeter have been getting results on the road, in fact they have registered one more win away than at home. They have a record of 7W 4L at sides in the lower half & a record of 4W 1D 4L since the New Year. Vale have not scored in their last three & have not achieved back to back away wins since Aug/Sep '23. They will have to get a result that will go against form but in their predicament, they need to start getting wins or results that will better those around them. Their final away game is at Bolton so they will need to get as many points at home as possible to ensure survival.
Port Vale & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Port Vale have failed to register back to back home wins (correction) since autumn '23 and with only 1W in their last eight. They also face an Exeter side who sit comfortably midtable after a poor first half of the season due to some impressive results on the road. One fact in favour of what looks like a draw or another afternoon of frustration for the home side are their results at home against sides in the middle third of the table (3W 2D 1L).
Port Vale #1-0
50 WIN
@7.50
Lose
-50
Exeter will be difficult opponents for a side who have failed to register back to back home wins since autumn '23 and have only 1W at home in 9 (3D 5L). However, Port Vale have three home games remaining & probably need at least to win two of them with an away match at Bolton their last game on the road & Cheltenham having a game in hand though they & Burton will take points off each other, & Cheltenham face several sides still fighting for promotion.
15:00 Shrewsbury v Wycombe
Shrewsbury
Shrewsbury have never achieved back to back home wins against these opponents though they have won the last three league fixtures between them. The main reason for this pick is that this will be Wycombe's third game in six days after the Papa John's final at Wembley on Sunday & Wednesday's home game against Derby where Wycombe showed a lot of resilience so two matches against top six teams. Shrewsbury could take advantage of that hectic schedule and any possible fatigue. They will be the more motivated of the two sides though they aren't entirely reliable with only 1W in the last eight at home (5L).
Shrewsbury #2-0
50 WIN
@12.00
Lose
-50
Shrewsbury haven't managed more than a single goal at home in their last 8 (2D 5L) and beat Carlisle by a single goal. They have 1x clean-sheet in 14 & 4 of their 8 home wins have been by a goal to nil. Wycombe are a threat & some of their January signings have made them a solid outfit (Butcher) . It remains to be seen how Shrewsbury approach this game, they may approach it cautiously or perhaps they may aim for a fast start against a side who will be playing their third game in six days. An early goal may settle the nerves, Shrewsbury may seek a second to give them a cushion, 2-1 also appeals but if Shrewsbury can get a lead & maybe extend it, it may be a case of then becoming compact & hard to break down.
15:00 Stockport v Morecambe
Stockport
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
Stockport should be able to confirm their almost certain promotion to L1 here with a win or a point here. They have won their last 5 matches & three at home & face a side who have lost their last two home matches & saw their own slim play-off chances ended with a points deduction. Morecambe will want to play for pride, but they have slumped to some heavy defeats against promotion chasing sides.
Stockport #3-1
50 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-50
Stockport haven't conceded a goal at home in their last four (unbeaten). Morecambe have scored in their last four away games, but have conceded over 1.5 goals in 5 of the last six away though 3 were high-scoring away wins of their own. Stockport have actually struggled at home against sides ranked high in the away charts, failing to beat sides ranked 2nd -5th, beating Wrexham (6), and they will be facing Morecambe who currently lie 7th. Of Morecambe's 10L on the road, 7 have been by a margin of 2+ or more goals.
15:00 Swansea v Rotherham
Swansea #3-2
50 WIN
@26.00
Lose
-50
Going for a ridiculous scoreline here, Rotherham have conceded at least two goals in an away game on 18x occasions out of 21, and perhaps they may want to end a difficult season on a high as they chase that elusive first Championship win on the road. Rotherham have conceded over 1.5 goals in their last 7 away. Swansea have kept 5x clean-sheets at home this season but are yet to keep back to back clean-sheets at home this season (won LTO to nil). They have 3W in their last 4 at home as Luke Williams begins to make a mark & end a disappointing campaign on a positive. Rotherham may go direct & perhaps cause problems at set-pieces etc. The Swans are yet to net four at home or over 2.5 goals in consecutive games. Richardson has drawn at Swansea once (2-2) as a manager of Wigan.
12:30 Newcastle v Tottenham
Cristian Romero
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@2.62
Win
81
Romero has been booked twice against these opponents & in his last away match at West Ham. He leads the odds, but has been receiving fewer cards than expected in recent games. Newcastle have injuries but a frontline of Isak, and a fit again Gordon & Harvey Barnes could cause problems to the Spurs back line.
Subtotal-1030
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
