CapnBob

Follow Derby but consider myself more a fan of football in general.

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CapnBob's Tips History

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14 July 2024
20:00 Euro 2024

Spain

25 EW

@9.00

Win

300

Spain were edged out on penalties in the SF of the 2020 European Championships. They went on to win the Nations League beating Italy & Croatia in the final on penalties, ironically both of whom are in the same qualifying stage group in Germany along with Albania. Under new coach de la Fuentes, Spain have modified their style. The squad has undergone an overhaul. If the team can turn its possession into goals, they could go one step further this time round. Of the sixteen editions of the tournament, only 3 hosts have won & not since France in '84. The Spanish have won two of the previous four editions, they went out in the last 16 to Italy. England, France & Portugal also appeal.
1 member found this comment useful

Alvaro Morata

Top Goalscorer

50 WIN

@34.00

Lose

-50

20:00 Spain v England

Kobbie Mainoo

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

A player who has made a rapid emergence this season, he scored & was booked in the FA Cup final where he faced Rodri on the opposite side. A massive occasion, perhaps the Spaniards may target his relative inexperience as a weakness. The Spanish midfield features two players in their prime, Ruiz & Rodri (both 28) as well as Olmo (26), who is an experienced campaigner. Mainoo may struggle to impose himself on the game. He was booked in the game against Slovakia. (re: Rodri, he has been booked three times in 5 games in Euro '24).
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Rodri

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

The match referee, Letexier, (France) officiated over Spain's last 16 tie with Georgia which featured two bookings, one for Spain (Morata). He has booked Rodri once in a UNL game in 2022 against Czechia. Rodri has been one of Spain's players of the tournaments, but the Spanish also possess a steely edge along with their skill, and are capable of making a tactical foul, as seen with Carvajal & even Lamal took a booking for the team late on against France. Rodri isn't averse to making the odd tactical foul for his club side, and if the count begins to add, the referee may finally lose patience.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovic

Carlos Alcaraz to win 3 - 1

Set Betting

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Over 40.50

Total Games

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Carlos Alcaraz -1.50

Games Won

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

44

10 July 2024
20:00 Netherlands v England

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

55

Netherlands (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.78

Lose

-50

Wout Weghorst

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Famously scored the two equalizers in the last fifteen minutes that brought the Dutch back into the game against Argentina in Qatar. He offers the Dutch a plan B and he helped turned the game against Turkey in the QF after he came on after a lacklustre first half. England may ironically get undone by the sort of target-man historically associated with the British game.
1 member found this comment useful

Netherlands #2-1

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

The game may go to extra time, and finish 1-1 in 90 minutes as it did between these sides in the Nations League in 2019. The Dutch have steadily approved as the tournament has gone on & shown that they can score goals in a number of ways, from the pace of Cody Gakpo who has had a good tournament to the directness of Weghorst, They have scored over 1.5 goals in four of their five Euro '24 games & held France to a goalless draw (so they have played an elite nation). England are yet to score more than a goal in normal time. England have come back to draw from deficits, the Dutch have twice go on to win after conceding first. That suggests they can go up a gear when needed. Ronald Koeman has haunted England before as a player, he may do so now as a manager, & this Dutch side was even less fancied than Spain, and is now a game away from the final themselves. It is a game which is finely poised, perhaps the Dutch to win in extra time, England have lost a World Cup SF in extra time as well that Nations League SF.
1 member found this comment useful

Kieran Trippier

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@5.00

Win

200

It all depends on whether England revert back to a back 4, but Trippier assumed his usual position at right back when England played with a three at the back, and if Southgate keeps a back 5, Trippier could be up against Cody Gakpo who has had a strong Euro '24 and did as much as anybody to haul them back into the game against Turkey. Koeman may also target Trippier as a right-back deputizing on the left if England revert back to a back four.
1 member found this comment useful
09 July 2024
20:00 Spain v France

Dayot Upamecano

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Yet to be booked in the tournament, the France may not afford the Spanish front as much space as they have been given by other opponents, but they are players capable of finding space in tight situations and their trickery may catch him out in the same way that Antonio Rudiger was booked for Germany in the QF.
1 member found this comment useful
05 July 2024
17:00 Spain v Germany

Draw

50 WIN

@3.25

Win

112

Spain have been imperious so far, however, they will face the hosts in Stuttgart. The Germans beat Hungary at this venue in the group stages. The Spanish ought to win, but it will be an emotional occasion for the hosts. Spain went out on penalties to a poor Russia side (hosts) in '18. This Spanish appears much different, with a real cutting edge, but the Germans ought to hang on to possession more than their previous opponents. This game could go all the way, both to extra time and possibly penalties. The two sides drew in a group game that the Germans could not lose in Qatar '24. Fullkrug could play a vital role again coming off the bench.
1 member found this comment useful

Draw & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

Niclas Fullkrug

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.75

Lose

-50

Scored the equalizer in the World Cup group game in Qatar, a game that the Germans went in, knowing they couldn't afford to lose. Effective when coming off the bench, he offers the German a plan B in that he is more direct & can cause defences problems. If the Germans are trailing, he could be involved in an equalizer, or if the game is finely poised, Nagelsmann may throw him on to get a late winner.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@6.50

Win

275

The German defence looks prone to errors, the fast exchange of passes between the Spanish team would test even the best of teams. Two German players have starred for Real Madrid so will be familiar with how to counteract these opponents. The Spanish have added a real cutting edge to their team, it depends whether they take them, but the Germans are a step up in terms of organization & ability than their previous opponents. The two shared a draw by this score-line in Qatar '22. Other score-lines that appeal are a surprising 0-0 with both sides cancelling each other out, or a narrow 1-0 score-line, perhaps going the way of the hosts with a late piece of drama.

Niclas Fullkrug

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@6.50

Lose

-50

It could be quite a cameo for Fullkrug, who may put himself about with his physical presence if he comes on as a substitute offering the Germans another option, and he may look to unruffle the Spanish backline. With the match being such an emotional occasion for the home nation, he may let his emotions get the better of him.
01 July 2024
20:00 Portugal v Slovenia

Portugal

50 WIN

@1.35

Lose

-50

Rafael Leao

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@2.90

Lose

-50

Rafael Leao

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

Portugal #2-0

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

The Portuguese's pride may have been stung by the shock defeat to Georgia, it didn't damage their prospects of finishing top of their group, but it may have been a wake-up call. Martinez will restore his first choice midfield after their replacements failed to show the same level of creativity. The Slovenes may be difficult to break down as shown against England with two banks of four, but the Portuguese, like the Spanish, know how to break down a block, and their pressure may eventually tell, and some of the players who failed to perform against Georgia may come on to redeem themselves as subs. If the Portuguese do get a lead, the Slovenes will have to take more risks, and the game open up which surely will only benefit Martinez's side.
1 member found this comment useful

Adam Cerin

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Tipped against Serbia, he wasn't booked, however, as one of the mainstays in the Slovene midfield, he will have his work cut out against one of the better sides in the competition, and one with a midfield that is as complete as any other with its first choice.
1 member found this comment useful
30 June 2024
20:00 Spain v Georgia

Spain (AH) -1.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.84

Win

42

20 June 2024
17:00 Denmark v England

Jonas Wind

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

A long-shot, he has been booked once before by today's referee, Soares Dias from Portugal, in a WCQ win in Austria in March '21. He started Denmark's first game against Slovenia.

Jude Bellingham

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@7.50

Lose

-50

Another player who has been booked once before by today's referee, Dias, from Portugal in the friendly defeat at home to Brazil in March earlier this year. He was booked as early as the 13th minute & was playing in the same position he started the match against Serbia.
14:00 Slovenia v Serbia

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@2.50

Lose

-50

Aleksandar Mitrovic

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@5.00

Lose

-50

Adam Cerin

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Plays in centre midfield, interestingly he has been booked by today's match referee Istvan Kovacs after coming on as a sub in a WCQ against Slovakia in '21, picking up a late booking. He started against Denmark. He was also booked in the home game of a Nations League encounter against Serbia in June '22.
16 June 2024
20:00 Serbia v England

Draw

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

Browsing England's record in an opening group games, they have a disappointing record & the win against Croatia was their first. Serbia have qualified for their first European Championships as an independent nation. The Serbs finished 2nd, losing both matches to Hungary & did draw both games against Bulgaria who finished bottom in the group. Southgate has picked form players, some of whom have had breakthrough seasons (Wharton) but who still lack experience at international level (know-how) in contrast to the likes of Dusan Tadic.

Draw & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@9.50

Lose

-50

England are yet to keep consecutive clean-sheets in their opening group game in the European Championship finals. They may edge past, but Serbia may be difficult to break down if they put in an organized display, knowing that a point here could go a long to perhaps securing third place (at least) as one of the four top ranking teams. The match is taking place at the Arena AufSchalke, which doesn't hold the best memories for England as they drew 0-0 there in a WC QF against Portugal before losing on penalties.
14:00 Poland v Netherlands

Netherlands

50 WIN

@1.57

Win

28

Holland actually won the tournament, the last time it was held in Germany (then West Germany) in 1988. This Dutch side does not possess that star quality, but this is a durable Dutch side, and they actually lost their first game against the Soviet Union. Poland ought to be missing their talisman, Lewandowski. Shocks are possible, but the Poles qualified via the play-offs and the lottery of a penalty shoot-out though they did play 'away'. The Netherlands have been drawn in the same group again as France who they finished 2nd to. Koeman was part of that '88 team and the Dutch may put in a solid & professional performance here against a nation with whom they hold a strong H2H record, which will put them in a decent position to qualify for the knock stages.

Netherlands #2-0

50 WIN

@7.00

Lose

-50

According to 11v11, the Dutch have achieved five of their nine victories against these opponents by a margin of two or more goals, five of the nine have been to nil. Poland would probably argue that they are not a one man side with the likes of Zielinski in midfield, but they did qualify via the play-offs & finished 3rd in their group behind Albania & the Czech Republic. 3-0 also appeals, the Poles may put up an organized performance, the Netherlands' pressure may eventually wear them down.
15 June 2024
20:00 Italy v Albania

Draw

50 WIN

@4.80

Lose

-50

Italy ought to win, but browsing the Albanian squad, several players do ply their trade in Serie A, such as Djimsiti who is coming off a successful club season with Atalanta. The Italians may make history here by winning a third opening group game for the first time, their record 4W 4D 1L & the draws have tended to occur against elite nation rivals. The Albanians may be affected by nerves, but the pressure is on Italy who are expected to win.Their squad does not look a vintage Italian side or one with lots of experience with a lot of reponsibility probably resting on the likes of Jorginho & Barella in midfield.
1 member found this comment useful

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