liamparka

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liamparka's Tips History

All tips
15 May 2025
19:18 7:18 Clonmel

Belle The Tigress

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@1.73

Win

36

Belle produced an imperious performance recently. Although the odds have been cut as a result and it's a fairly short price, I suspect it will shorten even further by the time of the race. There isn't an awful lot to beat here.
14 May 2025
19:50 Race 5 Thistledown

Rosetta

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 0.91 on 14/05 at 15:14 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 1 used instead of 0.91 taken BOG

@2.00

Win

50

Rosetta has all the tools to be a prolific winner at this sort of level, and his odds are slightly more attractive than last time. So I'm happily onboard.
18:00 Hammarby v Sirius

Hammarby & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Hammarby have been playing some really good stuff recently and, in particular, have improved. Their defensive line has also kept quite a few clean sheets recently, so I expect them to come through this one unscathed.
17:30 Team Tvis Holstebro vs Fredericia HK

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

Fredericia have been playing nicely in recent weeks and probably have the strongest squad they've had for some time. So I am tempted with the value on them, but on balance, I think these two sides are very closely matched and there's every chance of a tie at a big price.
13 May 2025
21:20 Race 8 Thistledown

Drury Lane

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 2.75 on 13/05 at 12:08 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.5 used instead of 2.75 taken BOG

@5.50

Win

225

Drury Lane has fantastic roll speed but does occasionally look somewhat clumsy and struggles in overly tactical races. I think this will be a straight chase tonight, and one of the front two will get the job done. The value is here on this horse.
12 May 2025
19:30 Nykobing FH Women vs Kobenhavn Women

Tie

Money Line

50 WIN

@8.00

Lose

-50

I simply cannot separate these two sides. Both of them have had ties in recent weeks and both would probably settle for a draw given their recent form.
11 May 2025
19:45 Race 5 Churchill Downs

Cruise Missile

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@6.50

Lose

-50

Cruise Missile is a bigger than expected price tonight on the back of an impeccable performance last time out and a fine record at this track.
12:00 Aaron Canavan v Alfie Burden

Alfie Burden

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Alfie should have more than enough today, so I expected his price to be a fair bit shorter given recent performances.
11:30 Udinese v Monza

Udinese

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Udinese have perhaps not been at their very best this season, but they won't need to be today at home against one of the poorest teams in the division.
11:00 Tro Bro Leon 2025

Kevin Vauquelin

Win Outright

50 WIN

@13.00

Lose

-50

Kevin is a top-quality rider. Although this is a wide-open field, looking at his story, they've tended to fit the same sort of robust profile. So, I think it's more than value.
09 May 2025
19:20 Denmark vs USA

USA

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.18

Win

9

Denmark has struggled recently when stepping up against the more elite sides. So even though this may not be one of the better USA teams, they should still have more than enough.
19:20 Sweden vs Slovakia

Sweden

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.17

Win

9

Sweden is in such a force that I just can't seem to pass them today. Even at what is admittedly a skinny price, it remains value given their likely dominance.
17:31 FC Ilves v FC Haka

FC Ilves

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

FC Ilves have developed a real reputation for managing to grind out results even when not playing their best. They won't need to be at their best this week because the away side has struggled very badly on the road this season.
12:35 Shanghai Port v Qingdao Hainiu

Shanghai Port

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

Shanghai have a lot of attacking power and plenty of goals in them. So, with home advantage as well, they should win this one comfortably.
07 May 2025
19:00 Igor Figueiredo v Wayne Townsend

Igor Figueiredo to win 4-1

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Igor should win this one pretty comfortably, but I don't see him winning by a whitewash against a player who is capable of stringing together some big scores. I think he'll get at least one frame.
18:20 Race 2 Thistledown

Dah Fuh

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@2.25

Lose

-50

Dah Fuh impressed me last time out, and although the conditions may not be ideal, I think that's reflected in the price, which is great value for a proven winner.
16:30 Jastrzebski Wegiel vs Projekt Warszawa

Jastrzebski Wegiel to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@4.33

Lose

-50

Wegiel face a difficult home tie tomorrow. Although I see them coming through, I don't think they will do so unscathed. So there's plenty of value on them losing a set or two.
15:00 Kolkata Knight Riders vs Chennai Super Kings T20

Q de Kock (Kolkata Knight Riders)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@4.75

Lose

-50

De Kock may not quite be the destructive player of a few years ago, but he remains a real threat in this market because he's capable of producing without any real indicator of form. He has gone well here this season against more anaemic attacks like this.
14:00 Dominic Dale v Craig Steadman

Dominic Dale to win 4-2

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Dale is rightfully a favorite here, and I expect him to get the job done. However, his opponent has put up a hold on a few reasonable fights this year and will not be steamrolled, so I expect him to pick up a couple of frames.
13:10 La Vuelta Femenina 2025 Stage 4

Marianne Vos

Win Outright

50 WIN

@3.00

Lose

-50

Vos disappointed yesterday in what should've been a fairly comfortable victory. But that is only to make this a more attractive price today, so I'm sticking with her.
02:30 EDM Oilers @ VGS Golden Knights

VGS Golden Knights

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.77

Lose

-50

The Golden Knights look back to something positive, the best this time out, and I'm backing them to continue that form today against an EDM side, which may be missing the Starman.
06 May 2025
12:40 La Vuelta Femenina 2025 Stage 3

Marianne Vos

Win Outright

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Vos went well for me yesterday, and I am expecting more of the same today, given that she is clearly very high on confidence and performing as well as ever.
10:30 Giorgia Pedone vs Lulu Sun

Lulu Sun to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Lulu has made great strides this year and has an extremely strong service game, which I think will likely dominate her opponent today.
10:30 Petra Kvitova vs Irina Camelia Begu

Irina Camelia Begu to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@2.38

Lose

-50

Irina is a player who is consistently overlooked by the bookies, which means that there is nearly always great value on her. Although there is a little unpredictability in her game, she should have enough to get through this one.
01:00 FLA Panthers @ TOR Maple Leafs

TOR Maple Leafs

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.05

Win

52

The Maple Leafs are underrated by the bookies. At home today, they have a very good run of recent form. Their defeats tended to come in games where they've missed a couple of players, but they appear to be at full strength tonight.
05 May 2025
18:00 Malmo FF v Brommapojkarna

Malmo FF

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

Malmo will score goals for fun at the moment, and I expect more of the same tonight against an away side which looks to be missing a few key names.
16:00 Panserraikos v Volos NFC

Panserraikos

50 WIN

@1.25

Win

12

Panserraikos are full of confidence and facing an away side which is desperately lacking in confidence, having taken a hammering in a couple of games recently. They should be no match today.
15:00 Oldham v Ebbsfleet United

Oldham

50 WIN

@1.36

Win

18

Oldham have been pretty resistible at home this season. Full goals and against an away side with a poor defensive record, they might run riot today.
15:00 Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Delhi Capitals T20

TM Head (Sunrisers Hyderabad)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@3.40

Void

0

Head remains a very destructive batsman and has played very nicely against this opposition recently. So if his side goes well, they will rely very heavily on him to make a big opening score.
13:30 La Vuelta Femenina 2025 Stage 2

Marianne Vos

Win Outright

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

88

Marianne remains an outstanding rider and by far the best in this field if she's even close to her best. So, with the additional value created by a couple of slightly indifferent performances, this is a wonderful bet.
12:51 12:51 Swindon

Sweet Baby Jane

Daily Races

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Sweet Baby Jane has been highly doubted by her trainer for some time. She really is waiting for a breakout win at a slightly higher level, and I suspect it will come today on a track that she has shown suits her in the past.
12:42 12:42 Romford

Noreasonwhy

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Noreasonwhy perhaps not at his best last time out but has generally been trending in the right direction with several impressive victories under his belt and has beaten much better than this field today.
12:35 Chengdu Rongcheng v Zhejiang

Chengdu Rongcheng

50 WIN

@1.53

Win

26

Chengdu should have a pretty big advantage today against the side. They have historically dominated, and they've got an impressive attacking lineup, which is safe this season even if the defense has been fragile at times.
12:34 12:34 Swindon

Swift Oilean

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Swift Oilean remains an unpredictable sort, but fundamentally he has a ton of pace, which is far beyond anything else in this field, and doesn't need to be at his best to win.
29 April 2025
21:55 Race 9 Churchill Downs

Catalina Cat

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Win

94

Catalina Cat has shown real resilience recently despite not necessarily having her best stuff. She seems to be able to find a way of getting the job done, and there isn't much to fear here.
19:20 Race 4 Thistledown

Driven For Success

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Driven for Success is a real favorite of mine and unfortunately starting to be recognized by the bookies for his undoubted quality. But I still think there remains value at this sort of price.
18:50 Race 3 Thistledown

Army Kitten

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.40

Lose

-50

Army Kitten has a blistering turn of pace, and although she may not necessarily be the most consistent, I think that's more than factored into this price with a quality ride on board.
18:43 Race 3 Churchill Downs

Rivalry

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Rivalry faces one recently decent opposing horse, but otherwise this is a very weak field. Organizers coming out of the training camp suggest that the trainer is extremely happy and optimistic. This is a horse testing for higher levels.
18:14 Race 2 Churchill Downs

Readytoriskitall

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@3.75

Win

138

Readytoriskitall is getting close to being an elite horse, and certainly, at this sort of level, has been dispatching. Feels like this, and if anything, showed even greater turn of pace last time out.
28 April 2025
20:20 Race 6 Thistledown

Magical Monarch

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Magical Monarch has performed well for me in the past, and I'm prepared to overlook an indifferent performance last time out, given that conditions were not ideal. That was a stronger field than this one.
19:50 Race 5 Thistledown

Belle Bottoms

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Win

62

Belle Bottoms certainly isn't the most consistent performer, but she suggested she's back on track last time out with a dominant performance. There isn't an awful lot in this field to scare her.
18:50 Race 3 Thistledown

Tayyara

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Lose

-50

Tayyara is certainly capable of tripping herself up and has let me down once before, but she's generally trending in the right direction and has shown the lighting for this track. So it's a slightly better than expected price and offers real value.
18:20 Race 2 Thistledown

Commissioner D

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.88

Win

94

Commissioner D comes here in what is a wide-open race in some respects, but certainly has the best form of the three favourites and has performed well around here in the past.
15:11 3:11 Doncaster

Kelseys Chancer

Daily Races

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Chancer has been in really good form in the last few outings, with some very impressive times, and has beaten fields far superior to this one.
27 April 2025
20:50 Race 6 Aqueduct

Kay Cup

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

Kay Cup has learned to pick up victories even when not necessarily at her best. So, in a field seriously lacking in recent form, I think this could be another ground-out victory.
20:24 Race 7 Tampa Bay Downs

Flash Frozen

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Flash Frozen is not necessarily the most consistent, but at his best, he is by far the best horse in this field. I think the inconsistency is already factored into the price.
19:51 Race 6 Tampa Bay Downs

Just Relax

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTETip made at odds of 0.80 on 27/04 at 16:10 Best Odds Guaranteed SP 0.91 used instead of 0.80 taken BOG

@1.91

Win

46

I simply cannot see past 'Just Relax' today in a field with a serious lack of quality, on the basis of another impressive race last time.
19:48 Race 4 Aqueduct

Smooth Breeze

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.75

Win

88

Smooth Breeze may not be in quite as good form as this time last year, but all the signs are that there's been a tick in the lottery race or two, and the raw speed remains as devastating as ever.
19:19 Race 5 Tampa Bay Downs

Rays Blue Wagon

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.00

Void

0

Rays Blue Wagon has retained a turn of pace even though he may not be quite at his most devastating. He's also got vast experience, which makes him a pretty overwhelming favorite today.
18:42 Race 2 Aqueduct

Briland

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

I'm backing another favorite here at a better than expected price on the basis of a couple of pretty imperious run-outs recently.
18:10 Race 1 Aqueduct

O P Firecracker

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Firecracker is a really fabulous horse in tremendous form, and there really isn't much in this field to worry about. So, I actually think these are pretty generous odds.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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