capereira
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
capereira's Tips History
11 January 2026
17:30 Saracens v Toulouse
Saracens 10.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@+104
Win
52
Saracens won both 2015??"16 H2H meetings (32??"7 at home, 21??"11 away). The recent Leicester loss (36??"28) sparked a "clear the air" defensive reset, with Itoje captaining at home versus Toulouse's rested stars.
Under 56.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Saracens' recent Leicester loss was 36??"28 (64 total), but defensive review signals tightening up. Toulouse's away variance and Sarries' home defence suggest mid??'50s max rather than a high??'60s explosion.
16:30 Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Bayern average 3.67 goals scored per game this season with 93% probability priced at -1429 odds, while Wolfsburg concede 1.87 per match. Combined firepower guarantees three-plus goals in this rout.
Bayern Munich & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Bayern boast 40% home clean sheets this season despite heavy scoring, while Wolfsburg blank 33% of away games against top-half sides. With Bayern's elite defense (0.73 conceded/game) facing blunt Wolfsburg (1.53 scored), a shutout fits the rout profile perfectly.
15:15 Bordeaux v Northampton Saints
Bordeaux
To Win
50 WIN
@-400
Win
12
Unbeaten home record (6/7 Top 14 wins, 50??"21 Scarlets pool), 2??"1 H2H including 28??"20 final victory. Stade Moga fortress outweighs Saints' 2??"0 pool form and away wins.
Bordeaux -11.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-105
Win
47
Previews/models project 12pt margin aligning line; home advantage at Moga, pool pressure for GD, H2H averages low-teens (final 8 pts). Saints competitive, but Bordeaux depth edges late despite Saints' unbeaten streak.
Under 62.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Recent pool games show Saints' 35??"27 at Pau (62 pts) as an outlier. Bordeaux's home pool win was 50??"21 vs Scarlets (71 pts). But Saints' defence is elite (50??"5 vs Bulls).
15:15 Levante v Espanyol
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Levante average just 1.18 goals per game all season. Espanyol 1.22 scored. Recent forms combine for cagey, low-output derbies every time.
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Levante fail to score 47% at home. Espanyol keep 40% clean sheets. Weak attacks mean one team will likely be blanked in a tight scrap.
Espanyol (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Lose+Push
-25
Espanyol has a 43% win chance, and the draw provides value compared to Levante's zero home league wins. The resilient visitors remain unbeaten, with value built in.
Espanyol #1-0
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Levante blank 47% at home and concede steadily, while Espanyol grind narrow H2H victories four out of ten. Perfect low-scoring away success script.
15:00 Odense Handbold W vs CSM Bucuresti W
Over 60.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
Recent H2H exploded for 66 goals (Odense 36??"30 @ CSM). Odense averages 33.4 GF / 27.5 GA in CL (4-game streak of 35+ GF). CSM 31.5 / 31.5. High pace, mutual defensive vulnerabilities, and Odense's home attack force combine to reliably exceed a combined output of 60.5.
15:00 Skara HF W vs HK Aranas W
Skara HF (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-555
Win
9
Skara recent 31??"25 H2H win vs Aranäs (bottom, 0??"12 season, 25.77 GF / 27.5 GA avg), plus 3/5 recent wins solidify home dominance.
Skara HF (W) -5.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
Skara's recent H2H 31??"25 (+6 vs Aranäs). Home margins avg +6 vs bottom teams. Aranäs 0??"12 this season (27.5 GA/game, 25.77 GF).
Under 55.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
Aranäs' season total average is just 53.27 goals. Skara's recent home games cluster at 55??"58, but H2H averages around 55, with Aranäs' winless form forcing low-pace, defensive grinds. Six of eight prior meetings were under 55.5.
14:00 Fiorentina v AC Milan
AC Milan
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Eleven league wins and 29 goals scored. Smash Fiorentina's two victories and 30 conceded. Milan's second-place class shines through at 50% odds value.
AC Milan & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Fiorentina score in 89% of home games. Milan concede 0.78 per match. 67% recent mutual goals ??" lock it in. BTTS yes with visitors to win offers good value.
AC Milan #2-1
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
Fiorentina net 1.33 at home, but Milan score 1.61 away, with 43% head-to-head one-goal wins. Perfect narrow success for the away team, with both teams scoring.
13:30 Telstar v Ajax
Ajax
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Ajax are 3rd with 30 points and 8 wins from 17, while Telstar have just 3 wins and negative xG (1.46 vs 1.82). Ajax have also dominated this fixture historically (25 wins from 32 meetings) and travel in better form.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
Telstar’s last 10 home games and Ajax’s last 10 away games have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% and 100% of matches, respectively. Ajax’s xG (2.03) and Telstar’s defensive xGA (1.82) strongly support at least three goals in an open contest.
Ajax & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+225
Win
112
Telstar have scored and conceded in their last 8 home games, while Ajax have scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 away matches and in each of their last 9 league away games. With both defenses leaky and both attacks in rhythm, the BTTS favouring Ajax to win has good value.
Ajax #2-1
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Telstar score and concede in almost every home match, and Ajax in almost every away match. So a one-goal margin with both on the scoresheet fits the numbers.
13:00 Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca
Draw
50 WIN
@+229
Lose
-50
Rayo’s last five vs. bottom-six teams brought 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 8??"2 goals), while Mallorca took only 3 points from their equivalent five. With Rayo at home and Mallorca unreliable away, Home DNB safely leans into this pattern. The draw offers interesting value.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-188
Lose
-50
Season-long Rayo matches show 13 of 18 under 2.25 goals, with just 0.78 scored per game. Mallorca’s away attack has produced only 1 goal in their last two La Liga trips. Despite recent BTTS stats, both lack the firepower to reliably clear three goals.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Both sides’ last five league games average roughly 2.5 goals and 67% BTTS, while neither dominates opponents. Rayo struggle to score more than once. Mallorca’s away games have been split between 1??"2 and 0??"0 recently. A 1??"1 fits the combined low-margin trends.
Subtotal-226
10 January 2026
20:00 Charlton v Chelsea
Charlton (AH) 1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+101
Lose
-50
Charlton cover this in 22 of 23 home games (96%), scoring consistently vs Chelsea's rotated defense (1.4 conceded/game). Blues' youth XI risks a narrow 1-0/2-1 margin, not a blowout.
Marc Guiu
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
As Chelsea's lone striker in a rotated attack, Guiú gets central service from Garnacho/Buonanotte versus Charlton's League One defense (1.6 conceded per game at home). The Blues score first 65% in cups.
20:00 Leicester Tigers v Bayonne
Leicester Tigers -34.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Leicester boast 11 wins in 12 home games (avg. 35+ pts). Bayonne lost 7 straight away by 40+ avg. (68??"14 vs Quins, 62??"0 vs Montpellier).
Over 65.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Leicester average 35+ at home. Bayonne concede 40+ away (68 vs Quins, 62 vs Montpellier). Recent Tigers home results: 45 vs Gloucester, 36 vs Saracens. That pushes the combined score well over.
20:00 Scarlets v Pau
Scarlets -9.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Scarlets' home desperation in a must-win pool game. Parc y Scarlets crowd and Louis boost outweigh URC form. Pau's European away collapse (61??"12 loss) and a 35% model upset chance support a 10+ point margin.
Over 49.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Pau have scored 70 points across their last two Top 14 away games against mid-table opposition, while Scarlets concede an average of around 25 points at home in recent European fixtures.
20:00 Valencia v Elche
Valencia
50 WIN
@+114
Lose
-50
Home form (2W-1D-3L recent) and 7-2-1 H2H edge vs Elche's 1.33 scored but 1.44 conceded make @2.15 value despite 17th place.
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
Valencia blank 40% at home. Elche struggle vs top-half (0.94 conceded). H2H 40% no BTTS supports a clean sheet in a tight contest.
19:00 Tourcoing vs St Nazaire
Tourcoing
Win Match
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Tourcoing boasts a 6??"4 record in the last 10 H2H meetings and has won their last three home games against St Nazaire convincingly (3??"0, 3??"1). St Nazaire struggles away with a weak sideout percentage (~53%) and a high concession rate (~87.6 points per match).
Tourcoing to win 3-1
Set Score
50 WIN
@+240
Lose
-50
Tourcoing's superior home record against St Nazaire (three straight wins, including 3??"0), combined with St Nazaire's poor away sideout (~53%) and recent 4??"6 form, supports the 3??"1 prediction.
18:45 Lausanne HC vs Fribourg Gotteron
Lausanne HC
Money Line
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
Lausanne has the home advantage and a recent 7??"0 win. Teams are evenly matched head-to-head. Fribourg struggles on the road. Small value on the home team at plus money.
Lausanne HC -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@+185
Lose
-50
At +2.85 odds, Lausanne -1.5 offers value. They score 3+ in 71% of home games vs mid-tier foes. Fribourg concedes 2.5+ on 70% of road trips. Head-to-head multi-goal wins happen.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Both teams have gone over 3.5 and 4.5 goals in 100% of recent games. Over 5.5 hits 70??"85% of the time. Head-to-head averages 5.35 goals.
18:45 Zug vs ZSC Lions
Zug 1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@-212
Win
23
Zug’s home games stay competitive against top teams. Six of the last 10 H2H meetings went to one goal or overtime. ZSC Lions struggle to blow out structured defenses on the road. Expect a tight contest.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@+125
Lose
-50
ZSC Lions have gone over 5.5 in 83% of their recent games with explosive scoring across periods. Zug hits over 3.5 in 77% of contests. Head-to-head averages 5.5 goals.
16:00 Dresdner Eislowen vs Eisbaren Berlin
Eisbaren Berlin
Money Line
50 WIN
@-285
Win
17
Berlin’s much higher win rate, stronger attack (3.41 GF vs 2.03), and control of the last meeting (5??"1) make them a justified heavy favorite.
Eisbaren Berlin -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@-111
Lose
-50
The last H2H finished 5??"1 for Berlin, and typical H2H numbers are about 5.5??"6.0 total goals, with Berlin often reaching 4+. That pattern comfortably clears a -1.5 spread.
Under 6.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-105
Win
47
Dresden games average about 6.14 total goals (2.03 GF, 4.11 GA), and Berlin games about 6.38 (3.41 GF, 3.22 GA), which centers projections close to 6.25 goals. The true expectation sits right around six goals.
Subtotal-310
07 January 2026
20:15 Burnley v Man Utd
Man Utd
50 WIN
@-133
Lose
-50
United sit 6th with 34 points and have significantly better xG and results than Burnley, who are 19th with only 12 points from 20 matches. Burnley are winless in 11 league games (9 defeats), while United have lost just 2 of their last 10.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
United average 5.5 corners for and 4.7 against, while Burnley concede a lot of shots and blocks and also swing in crosses when chasing games. That profile gives an expected corner count in double figures, especially if Burnley go behind and are forced to attack more in the second half.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Stuart Atwell has shown 13 yellow cards in his last two matches and averages 4.9 yellow cards per Premier League game this season, making him one of the strictest referees in the league.
20:15 Newcastle v Leeds
Newcastle
50 WIN
@-149
Win
34
Newcastle have five wins in their last seven home league matches, including back-to-back victories over Burnley and Palace. They average 1.8 goals per game and have stronger underlying numbers than Leeds. Leeds have been impressive over their last seven but still sit lower in the table.
Anthony Gordon
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+279
Lose
-50
Gordon is a focal point in Newcastle’s attacking three and has been among their more consistent scorers and chance creators at home. He regularly gets into the box and takes a high volume of shots.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-108
Win
46
Newcastle average close to 7 corners per game thanks to heavy use of wide players and frequent shots. Leeds add their own corners when countering and pushing in spells. With both teams attacking rather than sitting deep, reaching ten or more corners is quite plausible.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@+110
Win
55
Salisbury’s 4.9-card average and six straight overs strongly pull the expected total upwards despite Leeds’ relatively low historical card counts.
Subtotal-65
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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