capereira
8
Estimated Prizes
this month
£85
Estimated Prize money
this month
capereira's Tips History
04 May 2026
20:15 Sporting v Guimaraes
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
The 100% over 2.5 rate in Sporting's last five home games and H2H average of 4.2 goals per meeting make this as statistically certain as any goal market in European football today.
Guimaraes (AH) 1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
The January cup shock (Guimarães won 2-1 at Alvalade) proves they can hold their own. Even in a loss, covering +1.50 is highly achievable. Sporting is in a downfall, and although Guimarães is far from the form at the beginning of the season, they can make the game uneasy for the hosts.
Luis Suarez
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+279
Lose
-50
He is Portugal's top scorer by a country mile and is likely challenging for Europe's Golden Boot. At home against a Guimarães defense conceding 1.35 goals per game, Suárez scoring is near-certain.
20:00 Everton v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@-200
Lose
-50
City haven't lost to Everton in 17 games. They've won the last eight away fixtures at this ground. They're on an 11-game unbeaten run and are playing the most important match of their title chase.
Erling Haaland
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
5 goals in 5 games, playing against a defence that concedes 90.24% of goals in the box, against a keeper allowing 3.33+ shots per game.
James Garner
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Garner is Everton's most experienced, combative midfielder on the pitch ??" the senior defensive partner to the young Iroegbunam. He will carry the physicality burden of disrupting Bernardo Silva and Nico González's possession play, and stopping Doku and Semenyo's driving runs through midfield.
Nico Gonzalez
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+259
Lose
-50
City's deepest midfielder replacing Rodri ??" physically less dominant than Rodri but will foul to protect the back four in Rodri's absence.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-121
Win
41
Manchester City's 10.68 season average is the highest in the Premier League ??" it already clears the 10-corner line on its own before counting a single Everton corner.
19:45 Roma v Fiorentina
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Roma's home record in the last 10 league games: 6 of 10 finished under 2.5. The H2H under rate across all meetings leans the same way. Fiorentina away have lost to top sides 0-2, 0-2, 0-2 repeatedly this season ??" one-sided, low scorers.
Roma & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+150
Win
75
Fiorentina, without Kean, have almost no away goalscoring threat. Transfermarkt's analysis specifically recommends BTTS No as their secondary selection. Roma concede just 0.80 goals per home game in recent form.
Roma (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-113
Win
44
Roma are 6th in Serie A, chasing Champions League football ??" they absolutely need this win. Fiorentina are 16th, out of form, and missing their best striker (Moise Kean confirmed absent).
Donyell Malen
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
He's been Serie A's best player in 2026. He starts. Fiorentina's away defence has been leaking goals all season. This is the simplest individual goalscorer pick on the card.
Roma #2-0
50 WIN
@+700
Lose
-50
Roma have scored twice in three of their last four home games. Fiorentina have lost four of five visits to top-seven sides and conceded twice in each of those defeats. Without Kean up front, Fiorentina aren't scoring, and Roma's Malen and Dovbyk are in top form.
19:30 Almeria v Mirandes
Almeria & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+175
Lose
-50
Mirandés have scored just 4 goals in 20 away games ??" essentially no away goal threat. In the last home H2H (December 2024), Almería won 1-0 ??" a clean sheet. A side with 4 away wins all season against a team on a 7-game home winning streak is not scoring.
Almeria (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-111
Win
45
Almería have won their last two home H2H meetings 1-0 and 2-1 ??" both clear the -1.25 either fully (2-1 win) or partially (1-0 win gives half refund). Given their attacking home form (7 straight home wins, averaging well over a goal lead per game), winning by 2+ is realistic.
Almeria #2-0
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
Their most frequent home winning margin this season. Their seven consecutive home wins feature multiple 2-0 results, and Mirandés don't score away. The 2-0 mirrors the October 2021 scoreline at this ground (4-1 in that direction confirms Almería's home dominance) and aligns with the clean-sheet thesis.
18:00 Bodo/Glimt v Molde
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-333
Lose
-50
With 15 goals in three recent meetings and both teams in prolific scoring form, the Over 2.5 is as close to automatic as any Norwegian Eliteserien play can be.
Bodo/Glimt & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Molde have consistently found the net even in losses. They scored in the 4-1 defeat (1 goal), the 1-2 reverse (1 goal), and the NM Cup meeting.
Bodo/Glimt (AH) -1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
The 4-1 home win in the last meeting, combined with Glimt's 2.7 goals-per-game average, makes a 2-goal winning margin highly realistic.
Kasper Hogh
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Høgh is Glimt's most prolific scorer in 2026 across all competitions ??" 8 goals makes him the clear first-choice finishing option in every game. In the October 2025 4-1 Eliteserien win over Molde, he was involved in the scoring.
Bodo/Glimt #3-1
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
The 3-1 is analytically the most coherent exact scoreline. Glimt's 2.7 goals per game and dominance produce 3 goals, while Molde's late-game scoring tendency (21% of goals in 81??"90 mins) suggests a consolation.
17:48 5:48 Fakenham
Dartmouth Rose
Daily Racing
Dartmouth Rose made all over this exact course and distance last month and is now a perfect 2-from-2 over this C&D ??" that stat alone marks her out as the one to beat. Trainer Matt Crawley is operating at a 25% strike rate and Jack Quinlan at 13% ??" both ticking over nicely.
17:35 5:35 Warwick
Luna Run
Daily Racing
Luna Run has undergone wind surgery since her last run and makes her debut for Harry Derham, whose yard is firing at a 21% strike rate. A trainer in form taking on a horse with a clear wind operation to unlock improvement is a compelling combination.
17:30 5:30 Kempton
Dojin
Daily Racing
Dojin won this exact course and distance last month and had two of today's rivals ??" including market rival Chilli Queen ??" behind her that day. She's proven at Kempton on Polytrack, proven at this trip, and goes in on a potentially lenient mark. Trainer S. Woods has an 11% strike rate and Cieren Fallon (13%) is a reliable pilot.
17:20 5:20 Curragh
Tai Tam Bay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Tai Tam Bay lines up in a flat handicap on the Curragh's good ground, and the form behind her selection suggests she has a pace advantage in what looks a strongly run contest. The Curragh suits horses with a good cruising speed, provided she's fit and well coming into this.
17:18 5:18 Windsor
Boubyan
Daily Racing
Boubyan finished a close second off this exact mark at Pontefract just last week, running on strongly. This step back up to 1m2f plays directly to his strengths as a distance winner. Trainer Michael Appleby is operating at a 15% strike rate over the last 30 days, and Boubyan simply looks well in at the weights.
17:10 5:10 Bath
Mali Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Mali Star is the clear market leader for good reason, coming off a strong third over this exact course and distance just last week, finishing with real momentum once he found daylight. Trainer Jack Channon is running at a 20% strike rate and jockey George Bass at 13% ??" both solid figures. He's proven at the track, handles a mile on good turf, and is open to further improvement as a 3-year-old.
17:05 5:05 Down Royal
Born To Caledonie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Trained by A. L. T. Moore, another yard that knows how to place bumper horses, and this filly has shown enough form to merit each-way consideration.
Todo Bien
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Todo Bien is the clear market leader and comes from the all-conquering Gordon Elliott stable, which consistently dominates Irish bumpers. He's a 4-year-old with a point-to-point background indicated in his form, and Elliott's record in this type of race speaks for itself. Mr H C Swan, a capable amateur rider, takes the mount. In a wide-open bumper for 4-year-olds only, Elliott's reach and horsepower at this track make Todo Bien the standout selection at a fair price.
15:00 Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants T20
Mumbai Indians
Win Match
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
MI won the latest Wankhede meeting by 54 runs, which is a big sign that home conditions suit them well against LSG. The head-to-head is close overall, but MI have the edge at this venue and can score heavily if their top order fires.
Suryakumar Yadav (Mumbai Indians)
Top Team1 Batsman
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Suryakumar is MI’s safest batting pick because he is their most dependable and explosive player in the middle order. If MI post a big total again at Wankhede, he is the batter most likely to turn a good start into a match-winning score. He was the top batsman in two of the last five MI games.
N Pooran (Lucknow Super Giants)
Top Team2 Batsman
50 WIN
@+350
Win
175
Pooran is LSG’s best batting pick because he is their most dangerous finisher and one of the few players who can change a game in a handful of balls. Even in a tough away game, he is the likeliest LSG batter to score quickly and keep them alive. He was the top scorer for LSG in three of the last four games.
11:00 Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@-238
Win
21
Nottinghamshire have won more of the meetings between the two sides, with 15 wins to Leicestershire’s 11 in the record shown. In T20s, Nottinghamshire also have the better overall run-scoring numbers and more dominant batting returns.
11:00 Middlesex vs Durham
Durham
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@-188
Push
0
Durham are flying in Division Two 2026, beating Lancashire by 8 wickets and Gloucestershire by an innings and 225 runs in recent matches. That level of dominance in both batting and bowling is very hard to ignore.
11:00 Polina Iatcenko vs Storm Hunter
Storm Hunter to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@+320
Lose
-50
This is the most logical exact-set play because Iatcenko’s current rhythm should be enough to grab a set, while Hunter’s broader experience and left-handed variety make her more likely to finish stronger.
11:00 Surrey vs Sussex
Surrey
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Surrey have won 12 of 18 T20 meetings and showed their superiority again in 2025, beating Sussex by 48 runs and 7 runs in consecutive games.
10:00 Donna Vekic vs Aliona Falei
Donna Vekic
Win Match
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Vekic is the more established player, the better clay-court player this season, and the more proven performer against quality opposition. Falei’s record is strong, but this is a step up in class she is unlikely to clear.
Donna Vekic to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
This is the best bet because the match profile points to Vekic controlling rallies and service games more often than not. Falei is good enough to keep sets close, but not the likeliest player to steal one.
Donna Vekic
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@-333
Win
15
It captures Vekic’s class edge before match variance can build. Her serve and first-strike tennis should show up immediately against an opponent stepping up in level.
10:00 Yakult Swallows @ Yomiuri Giants
Under 6.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-105
Push
0
With Togo on the mound and Okugawa at least capable of keeping games respectable when in rhythm, this still profiles more like a controlled scoring environment than a shootout.
Subtotal-451
03 May 2026
22:17 22:17 Belmont At The Big A
Swiss Moon
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
For 22:17 Belmont At The Big A, the best pick is still Swiss Moon. She has the best combination of live price, recent form, and jockey booking among the leading contenders. Sporting Life shows Swiss Moon is ridden by Irad Ortiz Jr., and America’s Best Racing says Ortiz won at a 30% strike rate at the Belmont at the Big A spring meet in 2025.
22:07 22:07 Gulfstream
Governor Sam
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
A rating gap of 183 to 37 is huge based on the evidence we can verify, so Governor Sam has the clearest statistical edge of any runner shown. The booking of Paco Lopez also adds confidence, as he is a major Gulfstream jockey and is often associated with live chances on this circuit. Trained by George Weaver, he has a career record of 13 starts, 5 wins, 4 placings, a 38% win rate, and 69% finishing in the placings.
22:02 22:02 Santa Anita
Resolve
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Resolve has the strongest verified numerical profile available, with a 49 rating, which is the top figure shown on the racecard extract. Although Hey Jessie matches that number, Resolve is the safest call because she is listed prominently and sits above the rest of the visible field on the same figure set.
15:30 Man Utd v Liverpool
Man Utd
50 WIN
@+135
Win
68
Every contextual angle points to United ??" Carrick's transformation of the squad, Liverpool's severe injury crisis forcing a patchwork lineup, home advantage at a galvanised Old Trafford, and a UCL-confirming motivation that Liverpool cannot match with their depleted resources.
Benjamin Sesko
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+162
Win
81
The maths are simple ??" 3 goals in 5 home PL games is a 60% home scoring rate. Against Liverpool's injury-hit defence, missing several key bodies, Sesko's pace and physicality in the box will be tested by a patchwork backline.
Casemiro
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+150
Lose
-50
His entire game is built around winning the ball physically, repeatedly throughout. Darren England's 4.06 average means he books central midfielders early to assert control.
Ryan Gravenberch
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
Liverpool's deep-lying midfielder is tasked with controlling the tempo against Casemiro and Mainoo's press. In a high-stakes away game at Old Trafford, Gravenberch will foul to protect possession and disrupt United's transitions.
Under 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-108
Win
46
The combined data converges on one narrative: United win the corners battle individually (covered 4.5 in all of the last 5 home games), but the total stays under 10.5 because Liverpool generate barely 3.30 corners per away game.
15:00 Gujarat Titans vs Punjab Kings T20
Punjab Kings
Win Match
50 WIN
@-133
Lose
-50
PBKS beat GT by 3 wickets in their 2026 meeting, chasing 200 at Mullanpur. They have also produced bigger totals in this rivalry than GT. The head-to-head is close overall, but PBKS have the slight recent edge and looked better in the latest meeting.
S Sudharsan (Gujarat Titans)
Top Team1 Batsman
50 WIN
@+250
Win
125
Sudharsan is GT’s safest batting pick because he has been their most dependable top-order scorer in recent seasons and has a calm style that works in pressure games. If GT bat well, he is the player most likely to make the biggest contribution.
Shashank Singh (Punjab Kings)
Top Team2 Batsman
50 WIN
@+1000
Lose
-50
Shashank is the top batting pick for Punjab because he has already delivered a match-winning 61* against GT and clearly handles this matchup well. He bats with control under pressure, which makes him a strong bet to score the most runs again.
15:00 Peshawar Zalmi vs Hyderabad Kingsmen T20
Peshawar Zalmi
Win Match
50 WIN
@-136
Win
37
Peshawar Zalmi look the safer pick against Hyderabad Kingsmen in the PSL final because they already beat Hyderabad by 4 wickets earlier in the season and have the stronger tournament form.
MB Azam
Man Of The Match
50 WIN
@+700
Void
0
Babar is the best MoM pick because he has been the most consistent batter in the whole tournament and is now playing his best PSL T20 cricket. In a final, the player who gives the team a calm start and a big score has the best chance to win the award, and Babar fits that role perfectly.
MB Azam (Peshawar Zalmi)
Top Team1 Batsman
50 WIN
@+209
Lose
-50
Babar is the safest top-batsman pick because he is the season’s leading run-scorer and has already proved he can control this matchup. When Zalmi chase or bat first, he is the batter most likely to stay long enough to make the biggest score.
MDKJ Perera (Hyderabad Kingsmen)
Top Team2 Batsman
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
Kusal Perera is the best Hyderabad batting pick because he made 50 off 31 balls in the earlier meeting against Zalmi and gave them one of their fastest starts. If Hyderabad are going to post a competitive total, they need his aggression early.
15:00 Rochdale v Scunthorpe
Rochdale
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Rochdale have been the outstanding team in the National League all season. Their 17W-1D-2L record across 20 games before the play-off phase is historic. At home, in front of a packed Spotland, with three more days' rest than their opponents, they are the clear structural favourites.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@+117
Lose
-50
This is a one-leg play-off semi-final. Both managers will prioritise defensive solidity over attacking ambition. Scunthorpe's three goals in six games confirm they are in conservative mode.
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Rochdale's extraordinary 0.50 goals-conceded rate is the dominant defensive stat in this analysis. Scunthorpe are in conservative form (3 goals in 6 games) and face Rochdale's best defensive unit.
14:00 Bournemouth v Crystal Palace
Bournemouth
50 WIN
@-149
Win
34
Bournemouth's 14-game unbeaten run, maximum European motivation, a fully rested squad, and facing a Crystal Palace side that is fatigued from Thursday's European game all point firmly toward a home win.
Alex Scott
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+189
Lose
-50
Scott is confirmed as Bournemouth's central midfielder. He is Bournemouth's press-breaker ??" the player who fouls to stop Palace's counterattacks ??" and Robert Jones booked him in previous fixtures this season.
Jefferson Lerma
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+179
Lose
-50
Lerma is Crystal Palace's most physically combative midfielder ??" seven yellow cards this season, making him one of Palace's most-booked players. He is confirmed in the starting lineup as Glasner rotates Wharton and Kamada.
Under 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
The October H2H produced 11 in a more open Selhurst Park setting. Expect fewer at the tighter Vitality. Crystal Palace's Thursday fatigue reduces their pressing intensity that generates corners.
Over 4.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
Robert Jones' 4.3 average exceeds the line before a ball has been kicked. Everything else is corroborating evidence. This is the highest-confidence disciplinary play on today's entire European card.
12:30 Carlisle v Boreham Wood
Carlisle
50 WIN
@+129
Lose
-50
Carlisle are in the form of their season ??" three straight wins without conceding a goal ??" and face a Boreham Wood side who win only 42% of away games. The home advantage, travel disadvantage for the visitors, and Carlisle's momentum make them the clear favourite.
Carlisle & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
Carlisle kept clean sheets in three consecutive games. Boreham Wood scored just 13 goals in their last 10 away games (1.30 per game). H2H away results for Boreham Wood suggest scoring difficulty on the road.
Regan Linney
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+500
Lose
-50
With Carlisle expected to control this game from the kick-off and Linney as their most prolific forward, he is the natural first goalscorer candidate. His 14-game consecutive scoring run earlier this season and 12 total goals for the year place him as the standout first-scorer value pick at whatever price is available.
Carlisle #2-0
50 WIN
@+1400
Lose
-50
The 2-0 perfectly reflects Carlisle's recent profile. Scoring twice at home while keeping a clean sheet has been their template in back-to-back home wins (3-0 vs Brackley, 3-0 vs Sutton).
12:30 Montpellier v Dragons
Montpellier
To Win
50 WIN
@-2500
Win
2
Montpellier are the right pick because they have won eight of their last nine, just beat Bordeaux away, and already beat Dragons 18-14 in the last recorded meeting. Dragons have been plucky on the road, but Montpellier’s home edge and stronger overall level make them the likelier semi-final winner.
Montpellier -20.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
The number is better than the wider market. The consensus handicap is higher. Team-total markets roughly imply a score like 40??"16 or 39??"16, both of which cover.
Under 57.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
The most recent listed head-to-head finished 18??"14, only 32 total points, which is far below this number. The bookmakers project about 56 combined points from the team totals. The historical meeting data available is much lower-scoring, so under 56.5 gives you a small but real margin edge.
Subtotal-434
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
