capereira
7
Estimated Prizes
this month
£75
Estimated Prize money
this month
capereira's Tips History
07 May 2026
01:00 Atenas vs Argentino Junin
Atenas -10.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@-124
Lose
-50
The last H2H at this venue was 109??"71 (??"38 margin). Their two regular-season meetings this year produced margins of +18 (84??"66) and +38 (109??"71), averaging +28 points.
00:00 PHI 76ers @ NY Knicks
PHI 76ers 10.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
The G1 result was a catastrophic outlier (a perfect storm of Sixers exhaustion + Knicks' historic 74.4% eFG). The 76ers will fight closer in G2 with proper rest and adjusted defensive schemes. Embiid averaging 9 FTA in G1 shows he can still manufacture points. Philadelphia came back from 3??"1 against Boston.
Over 213.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
Over has hit in 3 straight Knicks games and 2 straight 76ers games. New York's offense doesn't need 63% FG to score 115+ ??" even at 52??"55% FG their system generates high totals. Philadelphia will push pace offensively (Maxey, George, Edgecombe) to avoid another MSG defensive beatdown.
Subtotal-54
06 May 2026
20:00 Bayern Munich v PSG
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-303
Win
17
PSG have scored in every single UCL knockout game this season. Bayern have scored 3.2 per game in the UCL. Nine goals in leg 1. Both teams must score tonight ??" Bayern to progress, PSG to protect their lead.
Harry Kane
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@-149
Win
34
Kane is Bayern's all-time UCL top scorer per season in his time at the club ??" a penalty specialist facing a PSG side missing Hakimi (their best defensive full-back). Bayern will attack relentlessly. Bayern will win penalties (their high-press style generates fouls in the box), and Kane converts penalties at ~95%.
Warren Zaire Emery
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
Zaire Emery will be CM at RB facing Luis Díaz ??" will commit professional fouls to compensate for positional inexperience; a near-certain booking.
Over 10.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-102
Lose
-50
Bayern under Kompany average 7+ corners per home game. In knockout matches where they must chase goals, their corner count explodes as they push for set pieces. Add PSG's own attacking corner generation (2.7 goals/game), which means sustained offensive pressure from both sides, and the combined corner total in this must-win for Bayern will be enormous.
19:00 Al Ahli Jeddah v Al Fateh SC
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-227
Win
22
H2H average: 3.08 goals per game. Al Ahli's xG was 3.19 in February alone. They just scored 4 vs Okhdood. Even in low-stakes Al Fateh away games, goals flow. Their 2-2 at Neom and 3-4 vs Al Hilal confirm attacking openness.
Al Ahli Jeddah & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+137
Lose
-50
Al Ahli conceded just 22 goals in 30 games (0.73 per game) ??" among the best defensive records in Asia. Al Fateh scored in the February head-to-head and carry a -13 goal difference for the season.
Al Ahli Jeddah (AH) -1.75
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Win+Push
25
Al Ahli just won 4-0. They beat Al Fateh 2-0 in February. Their xG in that February meeting was 3.19 ??" enough to have won by 3??"4 with clinical finishing. Al Fateh concede first in 5/6 games, and Al Ahli score first in 4/5. A 2+ goal winning margin is the structural expectation.
Ivan Toney
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+240
Win
120
Toney scored twice in the last H2H, both from the penalty spot. Al Fateh conceded first in 5 of their last 6 games, meaning Al Ahli will be pushing for more goals after taking the lead. That will generate penalty-area pressure and set-piece opportunities that play to Toney's strengths.
Al Ahli Jeddah #3-0
50 WIN
@+850
Lose
-50
Al Ahli just beat Okhdood 4-0 and beat Al Fateh 2-0 in February. xG was 3.19 in that game. Al Fateh don't score away. 3-0 captures Al Ahli's dominant home form, clean sheet, and over 2.5 goals.
18:00 Maccabi Haifa v Hapoel Beer Sheva
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-208
Lose
-50
70% of the last 10 H2H meetings produced over 2.5 goals. Beer Sheva carry a 2.01 xG average. Haifa produce goals at home. This fixture has historically been volatile ??" a 4-1, multiple 2-1s, and rarely a single-goal outcome.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-188
Lose
-50
Both teams have scored in the majority of recent H2H meetings. Beer Sheva's Haziza (8 goals) is too dangerous to be completely shut out. Even in Haifa's home win in September, Beer Sheva created chances.
17:46 5:46 Valley
Battle Lass
Daily Races
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
The likely winner for 17:46 Valley today is Battle Lass. It is in front timewise. The main alternative is Flomur Fiona.
17:39 5:39 Doncaster
Rapido Ramona
Daily Races
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
The best pick for 17:39 Doncaster is Rapido Ramona. It has shown a solid series of recent efforts and has been dropped in class today.
17:37 5:37 Newcastle
Alnwick United
Daily Races
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
The best pick for 17:37 Newcastle is Alnwick United. Newcastle’s track profile heavily favors quick starters finishing in the first two around the bend. Alnwick United has a recent form line of 245325, which is steady enough in a sprint where early pace matters more than late stamina.
Subtotal-232
04 May 2026
20:15 Sporting v Guimaraes
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
The 100% over 2.5 rate in Sporting's last five home games and H2H average of 4.2 goals per meeting make this as statistically certain as any goal market in European football today.
Guimaraes (AH) 1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
The January cup shock (Guimarães won 2-1 at Alvalade) proves they can hold their own. Even in a loss, covering +1.50 is highly achievable. Sporting is in a downfall, and although Guimarães is far from the form at the beginning of the season, they can make the game uneasy for the hosts.
Luis Suarez
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+279
Lose
-50
He is Portugal's top scorer by a country mile and is likely challenging for Europe's Golden Boot. At home against a Guimarães defense conceding 1.35 goals per game, Suárez scoring is near-certain.
20:00 Everton v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@-200
Lose
-50
City haven't lost to Everton in 17 games. They've won the last eight away fixtures at this ground. They're on an 11-game unbeaten run and are playing the most important match of their title chase.
Erling Haaland
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
5 goals in 5 games, playing against a defence that concedes 90.24% of goals in the box, against a keeper allowing 3.33+ shots per game.
James Garner
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+400
Lose
-50
Garner is Everton's most experienced, combative midfielder on the pitch ??" the senior defensive partner to the young Iroegbunam. He will carry the physicality burden of disrupting Bernardo Silva and Nico González's possession play, and stopping Doku and Semenyo's driving runs through midfield.
Nico Gonzalez
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+259
Lose
-50
City's deepest midfielder replacing Rodri ??" physically less dominant than Rodri but will foul to protect the back four in Rodri's absence.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-121
Win
41
Manchester City's 10.68 season average is the highest in the Premier League ??" it already clears the 10-corner line on its own before counting a single Everton corner.
19:45 Roma v Fiorentina
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@+100
Lose
-50
Roma's home record in the last 10 league games: 6 of 10 finished under 2.5. The H2H under rate across all meetings leans the same way. Fiorentina away have lost to top sides 0-2, 0-2, 0-2 repeatedly this season ??" one-sided, low scorers.
Roma & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+150
Win
75
Fiorentina, without Kean, have almost no away goalscoring threat. Transfermarkt's analysis specifically recommends BTTS No as their secondary selection. Roma concede just 0.80 goals per home game in recent form.
Roma (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-113
Win
44
Roma are 6th in Serie A, chasing Champions League football ??" they absolutely need this win. Fiorentina are 16th, out of form, and missing their best striker (Moise Kean confirmed absent).
Donyell Malen
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+350
Lose
-50
He's been Serie A's best player in 2026. He starts. Fiorentina's away defence has been leaking goals all season. This is the simplest individual goalscorer pick on the card.
Roma #2-0
50 WIN
@+700
Lose
-50
Roma have scored twice in three of their last four home games. Fiorentina have lost four of five visits to top-seven sides and conceded twice in each of those defeats. Without Kean up front, Fiorentina aren't scoring, and Roma's Malen and Dovbyk are in top form.
19:30 Almeria v Mirandes
Almeria & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+175
Lose
-50
Mirandés have scored just 4 goals in 20 away games ??" essentially no away goal threat. In the last home H2H (December 2024), Almería won 1-0 ??" a clean sheet. A side with 4 away wins all season against a team on a 7-game home winning streak is not scoring.
Almeria (AH) -1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-111
Win
45
Almería have won their last two home H2H meetings 1-0 and 2-1 ??" both clear the -1.25 either fully (2-1 win) or partially (1-0 win gives half refund). Given their attacking home form (7 straight home wins, averaging well over a goal lead per game), winning by 2+ is realistic.
Almeria #2-0
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
Their most frequent home winning margin this season. Their seven consecutive home wins feature multiple 2-0 results, and Mirandés don't score away. The 2-0 mirrors the October 2021 scoreline at this ground (4-1 in that direction confirms Almería's home dominance) and aligns with the clean-sheet thesis.
18:00 Bodo/Glimt v Molde
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-333
Lose
-50
With 15 goals in three recent meetings and both teams in prolific scoring form, the Over 2.5 is as close to automatic as any Norwegian Eliteserien play can be.
Bodo/Glimt & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Molde have consistently found the net even in losses. They scored in the 4-1 defeat (1 goal), the 1-2 reverse (1 goal), and the NM Cup meeting.
Bodo/Glimt (AH) -1.50
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
The 4-1 home win in the last meeting, combined with Glimt's 2.7 goals-per-game average, makes a 2-goal winning margin highly realistic.
Kasper Hogh
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Høgh is Glimt's most prolific scorer in 2026 across all competitions ??" 8 goals makes him the clear first-choice finishing option in every game. In the October 2025 4-1 Eliteserien win over Molde, he was involved in the scoring.
Bodo/Glimt #3-1
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
The 3-1 is analytically the most coherent exact scoreline. Glimt's 2.7 goals per game and dominance produce 3 goals, while Molde's late-game scoring tendency (21% of goals in 81??"90 mins) suggests a consolation.
17:48 5:48 Fakenham
Dartmouth Rose
Daily Racing
Dartmouth Rose made all over this exact course and distance last month and is now a perfect 2-from-2 over this C&D ??" that stat alone marks her out as the one to beat. Trainer Matt Crawley is operating at a 25% strike rate and Jack Quinlan at 13% ??" both ticking over nicely.
17:35 5:35 Warwick
Luna Run
Daily Racing
Luna Run has undergone wind surgery since her last run and makes her debut for Harry Derham, whose yard is firing at a 21% strike rate. A trainer in form taking on a horse with a clear wind operation to unlock improvement is a compelling combination.
17:30 5:30 Kempton
Dojin
Daily Racing
Dojin won this exact course and distance last month and had two of today's rivals ??" including market rival Chilli Queen ??" behind her that day. She's proven at Kempton on Polytrack, proven at this trip, and goes in on a potentially lenient mark. Trainer S. Woods has an 11% strike rate and Cieren Fallon (13%) is a reliable pilot.
17:20 5:20 Curragh
Tai Tam Bay
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Tai Tam Bay lines up in a flat handicap on the Curragh's good ground, and the form behind her selection suggests she has a pace advantage in what looks a strongly run contest. The Curragh suits horses with a good cruising speed, provided she's fit and well coming into this.
17:18 5:18 Windsor
Boubyan
Daily Racing
Boubyan finished a close second off this exact mark at Pontefract just last week, running on strongly. This step back up to 1m2f plays directly to his strengths as a distance winner. Trainer Michael Appleby is operating at a 15% strike rate over the last 30 days, and Boubyan simply looks well in at the weights.
17:10 5:10 Bath
Mali Star
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Mali Star is the clear market leader for good reason, coming off a strong third over this exact course and distance just last week, finishing with real momentum once he found daylight. Trainer Jack Channon is running at a 20% strike rate and jockey George Bass at 13% ??" both solid figures. He's proven at the track, handles a mile on good turf, and is open to further improvement as a 3-year-old.
17:05 5:05 Down Royal
Born To Caledonie
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Trained by A. L. T. Moore, another yard that knows how to place bumper horses, and this filly has shown enough form to merit each-way consideration.
Todo Bien
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
Todo Bien is the clear market leader and comes from the all-conquering Gordon Elliott stable, which consistently dominates Irish bumpers. He's a 4-year-old with a point-to-point background indicated in his form, and Elliott's record in this type of race speaks for itself. Mr H C Swan, a capable amateur rider, takes the mount. In a wide-open bumper for 4-year-olds only, Elliott's reach and horsepower at this track make Todo Bien the standout selection at a fair price.
15:00 Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giants T20
Mumbai Indians
Win Match
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
MI won the latest Wankhede meeting by 54 runs, which is a big sign that home conditions suit them well against LSG. The head-to-head is close overall, but MI have the edge at this venue and can score heavily if their top order fires.
Suryakumar Yadav (Mumbai Indians)
Top Team1 Batsman
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Suryakumar is MI’s safest batting pick because he is their most dependable and explosive player in the middle order. If MI post a big total again at Wankhede, he is the batter most likely to turn a good start into a match-winning score. He was the top batsman in two of the last five MI games.
N Pooran (Lucknow Super Giants)
Top Team2 Batsman
50 WIN
@+350
Win
175
Pooran is LSG’s best batting pick because he is their most dangerous finisher and one of the few players who can change a game in a handful of balls. Even in a tough away game, he is the likeliest LSG batter to score quickly and keep them alive. He was the top scorer for LSG in three of the last four games.
11:00 Leicestershire vs Nottinghamshire
Nottinghamshire
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@-238
Win
21
Nottinghamshire have won more of the meetings between the two sides, with 15 wins to Leicestershire’s 11 in the record shown. In T20s, Nottinghamshire also have the better overall run-scoring numbers and more dominant batting returns.
11:00 Middlesex vs Durham
Durham
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@-188
Push
0
Durham are flying in Division Two 2026, beating Lancashire by 8 wickets and Gloucestershire by an innings and 225 runs in recent matches. That level of dominance in both batting and bowling is very hard to ignore.
11:00 Polina Iatcenko vs Storm Hunter
Storm Hunter to win 2 - 1
Set Betting
50 WIN
@+320
Lose
-50
This is the most logical exact-set play because Iatcenko’s current rhythm should be enough to grab a set, while Hunter’s broader experience and left-handed variety make her more likely to finish stronger.
11:00 Surrey vs Sussex
Surrey
Draw No Bet
50 WIN
@-200
Win
25
Surrey have won 12 of 18 T20 meetings and showed their superiority again in 2025, beating Sussex by 48 runs and 7 runs in consecutive games.
10:00 Donna Vekic vs Aliona Falei
Donna Vekic
Win Match
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Vekic is the more established player, the better clay-court player this season, and the more proven performer against quality opposition. Falei’s record is strong, but this is a step up in class she is unlikely to clear.
Donna Vekic to win 2 - 0
Set Betting
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
This is the best bet because the match profile points to Vekic controlling rallies and service games more often than not. Falei is good enough to keep sets close, but not the likeliest player to steal one.
Donna Vekic
1st Set Winner
50 WIN
@-333
Win
15
It captures Vekic’s class edge before match variance can build. Her serve and first-strike tennis should show up immediately against an opponent stepping up in level.
10:00 Yakult Swallows @ Yomiuri Giants
Under 6.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@-105
Push
0
With Togo on the mound and Okugawa at least capable of keeping games respectable when in rhythm, this still profiles more like a controlled scoring environment than a shootout.
Subtotal-451
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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