capereira
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
capereira's Tips History
25 January 2026
20:00 CD Alaves v Real Betis
Real Betis (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Betis hold a superior league position (6th vs 18th) and have won most recent head-to-heads against Alavés. Even with injuries, their lineup depth outclasses Alavés' setup, comfortably covering the handicap in this class mismatch.
19:45 Lille v Strasbourg
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Lille's home games hit over 2.5 in 40% of cases, while Strasbourg's away matches reach over 2.5 in 60%, averaging 3.2 total goals. Both teams have decent attacks, so expect at least three goals in this matchup.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-142
Win
35
Both teams to score has landed in 50% of Lille's home games and 70% of Strasbourg's away fixtures. Lille concede 1.2 at home, and Strasbourg score 1.3 away.
Lille (AH) 0.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@-128
Lose
-50
Lille have a strong home record with six wins and one draw in their last 10 home games, averaging 2.2 goals scored. Strasbourg struggle away with just two wins in 10 road trips and concede 1.9 goals per game, so Lille should end their losing streak.
Olivier Giroud
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+600
Lose
-50
Giroud has scored four goals in his last four home games and serves as Lille's main focal point up top. Against Strasbourg's defense, which concedes 1.9 goals away, he has excellent chances to open the scoring.
Lille #2-1
50 WIN
@+900
Lose
-50
Lille typically score twice at home while conceding around 1.2 goals, matching recent scorelines against mid-table sides. Strasbourg score 1.3 away but leak 1.9, and past H2H includes tight 2-1 results, making 2-1 a solid prediction.
19:45 Roma v AC Milan
Draw
50 WIN
@+200
Win
100
Roma boast a strong home record and are unbeaten recently at the Olimpico, but Milan’s defensive trio of Tomori, Gabbia, and De Winter provides solidity away. With the H2H featuring 10 draws in 35 meetings and Roma’s Europa fatigue versus Milan’s rest, a stalemate looks highly probable.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-136
Win
37
Roma’s back three (Mancini/Ndicka/Ghilardi) have kept 10 clean sheets this season, and Milan average 0.8 goals conceded overall. Official lineups show a defensive focus with under 2.5 probable, especially given Roma’s midweek fatigue limiting attacking risks.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@+480
Win
240
Both teams’ lineups emphasize midfield control (Cristante/Kone vs. Modri?/Rabiot) and limited strikers (Malen vs. Leão/Nkunku), suiting low-scoring affairs. Roma concede 0.6 goals at home while Milan score 1.7 away. Recent H2H includes 1-1s, making this the ideal prediction.
18:00 Benfica v Estrela Amadora
Benfica & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Estrela have failed to score against Benfica in 10+ visits to the Luz, where Benfica have kept five clean sheets recently. Benfica concede just 0.7 goals per home game, so Estrela's weak away attack makes both teams scoring very unlikely.
Benfica (AH) -2.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Win
50
Benfica regularly win by 2+ goals at home against bottom-half teams, averaging multi-goal margins in such fixtures. Estrela have lost by 2+ in 14 of 25 away games this season and concede 2.1 goals away.
Vangelis Pavlidis
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+240
Win
120
Pavlidis leads the league with 17 goals and has scored first in several recent home games for Benfica. He takes penalties and is the focal point of their early attacks, making him the standout candidate against Estrela's leaky defense.
14:30 Toulon v Montpellier
Toulon
To Win
50 WIN
@-303
Win
17
Toulon have beaten Montpellier convincingly in their last two home Top 14 meetings (30??"17 and 54??"7), showing both repeated success and a capability to blow them away at this stadium.
Toulon -9.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Toulon have reportedly won 10 straight home matches in all competitions and four consecutive against Montpellier, including 30??"17 and 54??"7 at Mayol.
Under 53.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-120
Lose
-50
Historical scoring in this matchup averages about 48 total points over the last 10 meetings, below the current 53.5 line, even though Toulon have had a couple of big wins like 54??"7.
14:00 Atalanta v Parma
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@+104
Lose
-50
Despite Atalanta’s attacking reputation, recent trends show many of their matches staying under 2.5 goals, including several 1-0 and 2-0 results. Parma also play cautious football, with low xG and only 14 league goals so far.
Atalanta & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+120
Win
60
Atalanta’s defensive numbers are solid at home, conceding just 1.0 goal per game on average and keeping multiple clean sheets against mid-table sides.
Atalanta #2-0
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Atalanta’s home games often finish with them scoring one or two goals while conceding very few, and several recent league wins have been 2??"0 or 1??"0. Parma’s away attack is among the least productive in Serie A, making a clean-sheet home win plausible.
14:00 Brentford v Nottm Forest
Brentford
50 WIN
@-117
Lose
-50
Brentford have seven wins, three draws, and just one defeat at home, scoring 23 goals in 11 matches, which is elite home form. Forest, by contrast, have struggled away, scoring only nine goals in 11 away fixtures and conceding frequently, leaving a clear edge to the Bees.
Igor Thiago
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Igor Thiago leads Brentford’s line, is on penalties in Toney’s absence, and has scored a significant share of their home goals. Brentford usually start fast at the Gtech.
Ibrahim Sangare
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+240
Lose
-50
Sangaré operates as Forest’s primary ball??'winner in midfield, facing constant pressure from Brentford’s technical players like Jensen and Damsgaard. His physical style and high tackle volume have led to multiple bookings previously. In a game where Forest will defend a lot, another yellow card is very plausible.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-111
Win
45
Brentford matches average 9.82 corners (8.73 at home), while Forest’s average is 10.04 overall and 9.36 away. So combined corner expectations sit comfortably around ten or more.
14:00 Newcastle v Aston Villa
Draw
50 WIN
@+279
Lose
-50
Newcastle are unbeaten in eight home league matches and are historically very strong against Villa at St James' Park, including 5-1 and 3-0 wins. Villa’s away record is impressive, but they concede 1.83 goals per trip.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-175
Lose
-50
Newcastle create plenty of chances at home and should score at least once given Villa’s away concession rate. Villa, meanwhile, have scored in most away matches and feature a prolific striker in Watkins, so both teams finding the net fits the statistical and stylistic profiles.
Ollie Watkins
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+229
Win
115
Watkins is Villa’s main goal threat with around eleven league goals, and he consistently finds space behind defences, especially in away games. Newcastle concedes chances due to their attacking style, so over ninety minutes Watkins is very likely to generate enough opportunities to score at least once.
13:30 India vs New Zealand 3rd T20 Match
India
Win Match
50 WIN
@-344
Win
14
India lead the T20I rivalry 14??"10 overall and have dominated recent bilateral series, winning most of the last dozen meetings home and away. Barsapara offers a flat, high-scoring pitch with good bounce and heavy dew later, conditions that suit India’s deeper batting and stronger finishing.
Abhishek Sharma (India)
Top Team1 Batsman
50 WIN
@+259
Win
130
Abhishek Sharma is set to open again and gives India rapid Powerplay starts with fearless hitting against seam and spin. This trait was highlighted in the build-up to this series.
13:30 Pretoria Capitals vs Sunrisers Eastern Cape T20
D Brevis (Pretoria Capitals)
Top Team1 Batsman
50 WIN
@+275
Win
138
Revis produced an unbeaten 73 in Qualifier 1 against Sunrisers, single-handedly driving a seven-wicket chase of 171 and underlining his status as Capitals’ most destructive batter.
Q de Kock (Sunrisers Eastern Cape)
Top Team2 Batsman
50 WIN
@+275
Lose
-50
De Kock is Sunrisers’ top run-scorer this season with 372 runs and comes into the final off a run of decisive contributions, including 25 in a small chase and several earlier fifties.
Subtotal487
21 January 2026
20:00 Juventus v Benfica
Jonathan David
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+170
Lose
-50
Jonathan David leads Juve’s line, with 2 CL goals and top xG among their forwards. He should replace Vlahovi? as Juve’s best anytime pick.
Leandro Barreiro
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+225
Lose
-50
Barreiro becomes a leading Benfica candidate. He will sit closest to the back line and is the primary ball-winner in front of the centre-backs, facing repeated duels with David, McKennie, and Yildiz.
Manuel Locatelli
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+275
Win
138
Plays as deepest Juve midfielder. Tasked with breaking up Benfica transitions and covering space behind Miretti and McKennie. High defensive workload and likely to commit tactical fouls when Benfica counters through Sudakov or Pavlidis keep him as the single most probable yellow.
Under 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
Juventus average around 5??"6 corners for and 3??"4 against per Champions League game this phase, reflecting their 16+ shots and 58% possession profile. The game with Benfica should be a cagey one with many duels in the midfield.
Over 4.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-128
Lose
-50
Referee Serdar Gözübüyük is likely to produce a medium-card game here, and the data points to around 4??"5 total cards rather than a very low or very high number.
20:00 Marseille v Liverpool
Ryan Gravenberch
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+425
Lose
-50
Gravenberch must deal with Greenwood, Paixão, and Aubameyang between the lines. That role typically attracts yellows in an open game.
20:00 Newcastle v PSV
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-303
Win
17
Newcastle and PSV average nearly 4 goals per game combined in this Champions League phase, with both averaging ~1.9 xG per 90. All six of PSV’s matches have gone over 2.5, and Newcastle’s home games in Europe include several high-scoring affairs, so over 2.5 looks very strong.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@-149
Lose
-50
Every PSV match in this campaign has seen both teams score, and Newcastle’s last two UCL games have also ended BTTS. Newcastle have scored 2+ in nine of their last ten home matches. PSV have scored 2+ in eight of ten away matches. Both defenses concede around 1??"2 per game, making BTTS??"Yes one of the most solid angles in the whole market.
Anthony Gordon
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+179
Win
90
Anthony Gordon is one of Newcastle’s main threats from the left-wing position. He regularly gets shots in the box and is involved in most attacking moves.
Jerdy Schouten
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+250
Lose
-50
For PSV, Jerdy Schouten plays at centre??'back or defensive midfield and will be under constant pressure from Wissa and Gordon in the channels. His role in snuffing out transitions makes him another strong card candidate.
Over 10.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@-102
Lose
-50
Newcastle average around 7.6 corners per Champions League match thanks to 14.7 shots and heavy wide play. PSV’s away games, where they counter and cross often, add around 4??"5 corners for and 4??"5 against. In such an open, end-to-end fixture, double-digit corners are quite likely.
Subtotal-155
11 January 2026
17:30 Saracens v Toulouse
Saracens 10.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@+104
Win
52
Saracens won both 2015??"16 H2H meetings (32??"7 at home, 21??"11 away). The recent Leicester loss (36??"28) sparked a "clear the air" defensive reset, with Itoje captaining at home versus Toulouse's rested stars.
Under 56.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Saracens' recent Leicester loss was 36??"28 (64 total), but defensive review signals tightening up. Toulouse's away variance and Sarries' home defence suggest mid??'50s max rather than a high??'60s explosion.
16:30 Bayern Munich v Wolfsburg
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-454
Win
11
Bayern average 3.67 goals scored per game this season with 93% probability priced at -1429 odds, while Wolfsburg concede 1.87 per match. Combined firepower guarantees three-plus goals in this rout.
Bayern Munich & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Bayern boast 40% home clean sheets this season despite heavy scoring, while Wolfsburg blank 33% of away games against top-half sides. With Bayern's elite defense (0.73 conceded/game) facing blunt Wolfsburg (1.53 scored), a shutout fits the rout profile perfectly.
15:15 Bordeaux v Northampton Saints
Bordeaux
To Win
50 WIN
@-400
Win
12
Unbeaten home record (6/7 Top 14 wins, 50??"21 Scarlets pool), 2??"1 H2H including 28??"20 final victory. Stade Moga fortress outweighs Saints' 2??"0 pool form and away wins.
Bordeaux -11.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@-105
Win
47
Previews/models project 12pt margin aligning line; home advantage at Moga, pool pressure for GD, H2H averages low-teens (final 8 pts). Saints competitive, but Bordeaux depth edges late despite Saints' unbeaten streak.
Under 62.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@-109
Lose
-50
Recent pool games show Saints' 35??"27 at Pau (62 pts) as an outlier. Bordeaux's home pool win was 50??"21 vs Scarlets (71 pts). But Saints' defence is elite (50??"5 vs Bulls).
15:15 Levante v Espanyol
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
Levante average just 1.18 goals per game all season. Espanyol 1.22 scored. Recent forms combine for cagey, low-output derbies every time.
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Levante fail to score 47% at home. Espanyol keep 40% clean sheets. Weak attacks mean one team will likely be blanked in a tight scrap.
Espanyol (AH) -0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Lose+Push
-25
Espanyol has a 43% win chance, and the draw provides value compared to Levante's zero home league wins. The resilient visitors remain unbeaten, with value built in.
Espanyol #1-0
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Levante blank 47% at home and concede steadily, while Espanyol grind narrow H2H victories four out of ten. Perfect low-scoring away success script.
15:00 Odense Handbold W vs CSM Bucuresti W
Over 60.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@-113
Lose
-50
Recent H2H exploded for 66 goals (Odense 36??"30 @ CSM). Odense averages 33.4 GF / 27.5 GA in CL (4-game streak of 35+ GF). CSM 31.5 / 31.5. High pace, mutual defensive vulnerabilities, and Odense's home attack force combine to reliably exceed a combined output of 60.5.
15:00 Skara HF W vs HK Aranas W
Skara HF (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@-555
Win
9
Skara recent 31??"25 H2H win vs Aranäs (bottom, 0??"12 season, 25.77 GF / 27.5 GA avg), plus 3/5 recent wins solidify home dominance.
Skara HF (W) -5.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@-105
Lose
-50
Skara's recent H2H 31??"25 (+6 vs Aranäs). Home margins avg +6 vs bottom teams. Aranäs 0??"12 this season (27.5 GA/game, 25.77 GF).
Under 55.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@-117
Win
43
Aranäs' season total average is just 53.27 goals. Skara's recent home games cluster at 55??"58, but H2H averages around 55, with Aranäs' winless form forcing low-pace, defensive grinds. Six of eight prior meetings were under 55.5.
14:00 Fiorentina v AC Milan
AC Milan
50 WIN
@+120
Lose
-50
Eleven league wins and 29 goals scored. Smash Fiorentina's two victories and 30 conceded. Milan's second-place class shines through at 50% odds value.
AC Milan & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+332
Lose
-50
Fiorentina score in 89% of home games. Milan concede 0.78 per match. 67% recent mutual goals ??" lock it in. BTTS yes with visitors to win offers good value.
AC Milan #2-1
50 WIN
@+800
Lose
-50
Fiorentina net 1.33 at home, but Milan score 1.61 away, with 43% head-to-head one-goal wins. Perfect narrow success for the away team, with both teams scoring.
13:30 Telstar v Ajax
Ajax
50 WIN
@-124
Win
40
Ajax are 3rd with 30 points and 8 wins from 17, while Telstar have just 3 wins and negative xG (1.46 vs 1.82). Ajax have also dominated this fixture historically (25 wins from 32 meetings) and travel in better form.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-161
Win
31
Telstar’s last 10 home games and Ajax’s last 10 away games have seen over 2.5 goals in 80% and 100% of matches, respectively. Ajax’s xG (2.03) and Telstar’s defensive xGA (1.82) strongly support at least three goals in an open contest.
Ajax & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@+225
Win
112
Telstar have scored and conceded in their last 8 home games, while Ajax have scored and conceded in 11 of their last 12 away matches and in each of their last 9 league away games. With both defenses leaky and both attacks in rhythm, the BTTS favouring Ajax to win has good value.
Ajax #2-1
50 WIN
@+750
Lose
-50
Telstar score and concede in almost every home match, and Ajax in almost every away match. So a one-goal margin with both on the scoresheet fits the numbers.
13:00 Rayo Vallecano v Mallorca
Draw
50 WIN
@+229
Lose
-50
Rayo’s last five vs. bottom-six teams brought 11 points (3 wins, 2 draws, 8??"2 goals), while Mallorca took only 3 points from their equivalent five. With Rayo at home and Mallorca unreliable away, Home DNB safely leans into this pattern. The draw offers interesting value.
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@-188
Lose
-50
Season-long Rayo matches show 13 of 18 under 2.25 goals, with just 0.78 scored per game. Mallorca’s away attack has produced only 1 goal in their last two La Liga trips. Despite recent BTTS stats, both lack the firepower to reliably clear three goals.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
Both sides’ last five league games average roughly 2.5 goals and 67% BTTS, while neither dominates opponents. Rayo struggle to score more than once. Mallorca’s away games have been split between 1??"2 and 0??"0 recently. A 1??"1 fits the combined low-margin trends.
Subtotal-226
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