capereira
.
1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
capereira's Tips History
08 December 2025
19:30 France W vs Netherlands W
Netherlands (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Netherlands is slightly favored due to scoring and bench depth. A recent narrow head-to-head edge bolsters confidence. Both teams are fighting for quarterfinal positioning and group-stage dominance.
Over 55.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Netherlands 30.8 GF + France 28.0 GF = 58.8 combined average. Both defenses concede ~25 but offenses overpower in fast tempo, 4/5 recent meetings over 55.5.
19:00 Brose Bamberg vs Rostock Seawolves
Brose Bamberg -5.00
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Bamberg’s offense averages nearly 88 points over the last 10 games with a +5 to +6 margin, while Rostock concedes over 82 on the road. Combined with a 70%+ home win probability, a one- to two-possession handicap is reasonable.
18:55 Hapoel Holon vs Hapoel Galil Elyon
Hapoel Holon -9.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
Holon has won 4 of its last 5 league games, while Galil Elyon has dropped 5 of 6, most by double digits. Holon’s deeper guard rotation and strong home offense should eventually wear down Galil and clear a two-possession spread.
Over 160.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Holon home games tend to be fast and high scoring, and Galil Elyon’s defense has allowed mid-80s or more to most strong opponents. This points toward a result in the high 150s/low 160s, with reasonable upside past 160.5.
18:00 Sonderjyske vs Rungsted Ishockey
Rungsted Ishockey
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Rungsted carry marginally better recent form, a 4??"2 win in the latest H2H, and the more potent 3rd-period offense, while Sønderjyske remain in a 3??"7 stretch. At plus money, that slight statistical edge justifies a modest away play.
17:30 China W vs Cuba W
China (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
China 2-0 (67 GF/62 GA, +5 GD) vs Cuba 1-1-0 (55 GF/54 GA, +1 GD). Superior output and late surges in both wins justify favorite status.
17:30 Las Palmas v Mirandes
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Las Palmas concede just 0.63 per game with solid xGA. Mirandés’ low scoring (17 in 16) and road struggles point to a cagey affair. Under 2.5 aligns with home control and visitor bluntness, avoiding overs in controlled wins.
Las Palmas & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Mirandés score infrequently (1.06 avg). Las Palmas keep clean sheets routinely (10 conceded in 16). Relegation candidates rarely breach playoff defenses away.
Las Palmas #1-0
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Previews highlight narrow home wins given Las Palmas’ defensive strength (0.63 conceded) and Mirandés’ blunt attack (1.06 scored, poor away). A single-goal margin fits efficiency over blowouts in playoff-pushing home games.
17:00 Poland W vs Austria W
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Austria’s season and tournament stats (27.8 scored, 26.4 conceded) mirror Poland closely. For such a close matchup, the draw can be a result that offers good value.
Under 53.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
With Poland averaging 27.2 for, 26.3 against, and Austria 27.8 for, 26.4 against, tournament games versus top-10 opposition tend to land around low-50 totals, keeping 53.5 slightly high.
Subtotal-84
07 December 2025
16:30 Fulham v Crystal Palace
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
Near-even xG (both ~1.3??"1.4) and Palace's elite defence (0.79 conceded) versus Fulham's home edge create stalemate value. Palace has a small advantage, 5th versus 15th and superior GD (+7 vs -3), but the draw seems to offer the better value.
Jean Philippe Mateta
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Mateta has scored 7 goals in 14 Premier League starts this season (0.50 per game), including 3 opening goals. He thrives as Palace's focal point against Fulham's 1.34 xGA defence that concedes 1.57 goals per match.
14:00 Brighton v West Ham
Brighton
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Brighton’s superior league position, positive xG differential (+1 to +2), strong AMEX record (unbeaten in 6 before Villa), and West Ham’s -12 goal difference all support a home win.
Danny Welbeck
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Welbeck leads the line in the predicted XI and has been involved heavily in Brighton’s xG from central positions, supported by creative wide players.
Over 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Brighton’s possession-heavy, cross-and-cut-back approach generates regular corners at the Amex. The over reflects consensus that both sides’ attacking styles will produce double-digit set pieces.
Under 4.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.78
Push
0
Hooper's elevated recent average (4.8) keeps Over 4.5 viable, but team/match context (3.4 average cards recently, low H2H bookings) and his career norm (under 3 per game long term) tilt toward caution ??" expect 3??"4 yellows rather than 5+ in a high-tempo but not overly fractious game.
Subtotal-157
06 December 2025
20:00 Bath v Munster
Munster 14.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Bath by around 8??"12. Home form, squad depth, and Crowley’s absence give Bath the edge, but Munster’s European fight and pack quality should prevent a rout.
Under 55.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Recent data and matchup modeling suggest something like Bath 28??"32 and Munster 18??"22, giving a central band of roughly 46??"54 points, comfortably below 55.5.
20:00 Feyenoord v PEC Zwolle
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
Combined xG (Feyenoord 2.10, Zwolle 0.99) sits around 3.1 per match, and over 2.5 already lands in roughly two-thirds of both teams' games. With Zwolle particularly weak defensively and Feyenoord’s attack among Europe’s most productive per xG percentile, the Over is a high chance.
20:00 Scarlets v Bristol Bears
Bristol Bears
To Win
50 WIN
@1.33
Win
17
Bristol Bears by around 7??"10. Recent 3??"0 H2H, stronger Premiership form, and superior attacking metrics outweigh Scarlets' home edge and one standout defensive display.
Under 54.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Projected range for this matchup is roughly 52??"56 total points, with a central estimate around the low 50s. So 54.5 slightly overprices the scoring.
20:00 Zebre Parma v Montauban
Zebre Parma
To Win
50 WIN
@1.20
Win
10
Zebre’s stronger home form, Montauban’s 1??"1??"9 Top 14 record and 0??"6 away slate, plus repeated heavy losses, all support Zebre winning by more than a single score.
Under 54.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Central projections put the game roughly in the 44??"50 points range (e.g., Zebre 27??"30, Montauban 17??"20), so 53.5 sits several points above the model median.
19:45 Sint Truidense v Club Brugge
Draw
50 WIN
@3.90
Lose
-50
Brugge have a slightly higher xG (1.83 vs 1.64) and similar xGA, and sit second in the table, so they deserve narrow-favourite status. However, STVV’s 5-1-2 home record and four straight home wins make a pure away win risky. The draw offers better value.
19:30 Chesterfield v Doncaster
Draw
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Chesterfield’s 4-4-1 home record, with 18 goals scored and only 11 conceded, plus a similar xG to Doncaster despite being a tier lower, makes them very competitive at the SMH Group Stadium.
19:30 Darmstadt v Karlsruher SC
Darmstadt
50 WIN
@1.75
Win
38
Darmstadt’s 7-5-2 record, +10 goal difference, and 2.0:0.86 home scoring line contrast with Karlsruher’s -3 goal difference and weaker xG, justifying their odds-on status.
19:30 Inter Miami v Vancouver Whitecaps
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
The total line is set at 3.5 with plus money on the over. Analytical previews note that both teams’ recent matches have been high-scoring, including Miami’s 4??"0 vs. Cincinnati and Vancouver’s two-goal-per-game streak.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.48
Win
24
Vancouver have been scoring freely, averaging two goals per match in their last five and rarely being shut out. Their defence concedes 1.6 per game from limited shots against.
19:30 St Gallen v FC Zurich
St Gallen
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
With home advantage, higher league position and xG edge (1.94 vs around 1.8), St. Gallen are correctly priced favourites at roughly 2.0??"2.15. Zürich’s leaky defence (1.8 conceded per match and 93% of games allowing at least one goal) makes it difficult to trust them away, especially against one of the league’s most aggressive attacks.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
St. Gallen’s matches see an average of 3.2 total goals with 73% over 2.5, while Zürich’s average is 3.27 with 73% over 2.5 and 47% over 3.5. Combined xG of around 3.7 (1.94 + ~1.8) supports a high-scoring expectation.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Zürich have scored in 73% and failed to score in only 27% of league fixtures, while conceding in 93% with just a single clean sheet, making their games prime BTTS candidates. St. Gallen score in most matches and concede 1.2 per game. Recent H2H includes a 3??"1 St. Gallen win, confirming that fixtures between them are usually open and high-scoring.
St Gallen #2-1
50 WIN
@9.00
Lose
-50
St. Gallen averaging about 2 goals scored, Zürich about 1.5, and both conceding around 1.7??"1.8. Zürich’s attack is strong enough to find a goal, but their defensive fragility and St. Gallen’s home strengths suggest a narrow but deserved win for the hosts.
19:15 Piast Gliwice v Legia Warsaw
Draw
50 WIN
@3.30
Lose
-50
High draw counts for both clubs and model odds around 32??"33% for a stalemate make the draw an attractive 1X2 option at about 3.20??"3.35.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
With Piast averaging just over 1 scored and 1.27 conceded, and Legia at roughly 1.19 scored and 1.13 conceded away from home, a single goal each fits the central expectation.
19:00 Dunkerque v St Etienne
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Dunkerque’s fixtures are over 2.5 in 64% overall and 63% at home, and their matches average nearly 3 goals. Betting previews note that Saint-Étienne’s games often end with more than two goals and explicitly recommend the over 2.5 market.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.60
Lose
-50
Dunkerque score in 80% of league matches and 88% at home, while keeping clean sheets in only 27% overall, so they both score and concede frequently.
19:00 Heracles v Telstar
Heracles
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
Heracles’ home attack (2.83 scored per game, 3.75 in some recent samples) and bottom-placed opposition justify backing them despite a weak overall record.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
Heracles have over 2.5 in 86% of matches and an average of 5.67 total goals at home. Telstar’s xG of 1.52 for and 1.85 against also points toward a high total.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
Heracles have scored in 83% of home games but kept just one clean sheet all season. Telstar rarely fail to score and average around 1.33 goals per match.
17:30 La Rochelle v Leicester Tigers
La Rochelle -19.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
European pedigree, home advantage, and a near-full-strength pack face an under-strength, inexperienced Leicester side that previously lost here by 33.
Under 52.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Taken together, both clubs’ typical Champions Cup totals cluster near the high-40s/low-50s, and only a repeat of a one-sided, seven-try La Rochelle performance (plus some Tigers scoring) reliably clears 52.5. That statistical base supports a cautious preference for the under 52.5 rather than assuming another extreme outlier.
17:30 Leinster v Harlequins
Leinster -34.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Home advantage, full-test starting XV, and Quins’ weakened squad point to another comfortable Champions Cup opener rather than a competitive contest.
Over 61.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Around 60??"64 (e.g., Leinster 44, Harlequins 14). Leinster’s attack and Harlequins’ leaky away defence fit a high-scoring pattern consistent with current lofty totals.
17:30 Lyon v Newcastle Red Bulls
Newcastle Red Bulls 18.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Lyon’s own inconsistency and recent defensive issues mean a three-score cushion can be enough even in a clear home win.
Under 55.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Lyon have averaged roughly 24??"26 points recently, hitting 30+ only in their best home displays, while Newcastle have been scoring just over 10 points per game in the Premiership. Even allowing for weaker opposition and some regression, a projection around Lyon 28??"32 vs Newcastle 16??"20 gives a central total near 44??"50, comfortably under 57.5.
17:30 RB Leipzig v Eintracht Frankfurt
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Combined xG (Leipzig ~1.95??"2.0; Frankfurt 1.55) yields totals near 3.5??"3.6 per game. With both teams regularly involved in 3+ goal matches and previews emphasising attack-minded styles, the Over is a good bet.
17:30 Scunthorpe v Tamworth
Scunthorpe
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
With 10??"7??"3 this season and an exceptional longer-term home record (17??"7??"1, 55:17 last season), Scunthorpe have both current and historical strength at Glanford Park. Algorithms give them about 54??"55% win probability versus Tamworth’s 31%. Multiple independent previews list a home win as the primary tip, making a straight Scunthorpe victory the most logical main bet.
17:00 Orebro HK vs Leksands IF
Orebro HK
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
Örebro own the long??'term H2H edge, home ice, and better recent puckline record, while Leksands are conceding 3.4 and scoring only 1.5 goals lately.
Orebro HK -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
With Leksands losing the puckline in five of their last six and struggling to score, Örebro’s 8??"2 recent puckline run signals upside for a two-goal home win, especially if they establish an early lead.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@2.15
Lose
-50
Recent defensive issues for Leksands (3.4 GA), plus Örebro’s home scoring and prior 4??"3, 5??"4, and 6??"3 H2H results point toward another 6??'goal??'plus contest.
17:00 Rogle BK vs Linkoping HC
Rogle BK
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.42
Lose
-50
Rögle carry roughly 69% implied win probability. Stronger recent H2H (7 of the last 10). A powerful 3.82 GF home offense versus a Linköping team allowing 2.83 GA overall and trending downward. Home ice and scoring depth justify backing Rögle.
Rogle BK -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Rögle’s home scoring (3.82 GF) and strong overall goal differential make multi-goal wins plausible, but Linköping have historically been good at staying within two goals.
16:30 HC TWK Innsbruck vs Fehervar AV19
Fehervar AV19
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Fehérvár enter with around 60% modeled win probability, stronger recent form, and a dominant H2H stretch including 3??"0 and 6??"0 wins this calendar year. Innsbruck’s leaky defense and 3??"7 recent record reinforce the road-favorite angle.
Fehervar AV19 -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.50
Win
75
Recent Fehérvár victories versus Innsbruck have been by 3+ goal margins, while Innsbruck are conceding 4??"6 goals often against comparable or better offenses. If Fehérvár get ahead, their scoring depth and Innsbruck’s chase-mode defense support a multi-goal win at plus odds.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Innsbruck’s last stretch features numerous 6+ goal games due to chronic defensive breakdowns. Fehérvár’s attack has produced 4??"6 goals in several recent wins.
15:30 Heerenveen v PSV
PSV
50 WIN
@1.78
Win
39
PSV’s 12-1-1 record, +27 goal difference, and 3.14 goals per game show clear superiority over Heerenveen’s mid-table profile and negative goal difference.
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.30
Lose
-50
Combined xG (Heerenveen 1.78, PSV 2.07) gives totals near 3.8 expected goals per match. Over 2.5 lands in more than 70% of Heerenveen games and nearly 80% of PSV games.
15:00 Bournemouth v Chelsea
Chelsea
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
Chelsea’s stronger xG (1.66 vs 1.54) and defensive numbers (1.07 conceded vs Bournemouth’s 1.71 actual GA) give them a small but real edge. Yet Bournemouth’s home form argues against a heavy away??'win position.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
Chelsea average 5.7 corners won and 3.5 conceded, while Bournemouth’s style produces around 4??"5 corners each way. With Chelsea expected to see slightly more of the ball and Bournemouth dangerous in transition, total corners near or above 10 are likely, justifying a match-over and a modest Chelsea team-corners over.
15:00 Man City v Sunderland
Man City
50 WIN
@1.30
Win
15
With around 74??"80% implied win probability and a 6-1-0 home record, City are overwhelming favourites at the Etihad despite some defensive wobble. Sunderland’s excellent away form and organisation warrant respect, but City’s attacking depth (Haaland, Foden, Doku, Cherki) and much higher xG and shot volume make backing the hosts the only realistic result-side, ideally combined with other markets to mitigate very short odds.
Erling Haaland
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Haaland has 15 goals in 14 league games and leads City in shots and xG, plus penalty duties, making him the clear focal point of the attack. With City projected to score 2.5??"3+ goals and Haaland often responsible for multiple strikes, he is the statistically strongest pick for first and anytime scorer, particularly against a deep Sunderland line likely to concede many box touches.
Granit Xhaka
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@4.50
Lose
-50
Xhaka anchors Sunderland’s midfield and is heavily involved in breaking up City’s central play. This role is historically associated with high yellow-card counts. Facing Foden, Cherki, and Doku between the lines will force repeated challenges and tactical fouls. So if Xhaka’s booking odds are not prohibitively short, this is a logical discipline angle.
Nico Gonzalez
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
The middle three of City’s lineup can be vulnerable to bookings. Nico will play in the center and is a good option to get a booking for stopping a counter.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
City home matches often produce double-digit corners due to sustained pressure, shots, and blocked crosses. Sunderland’s willingness to counter and deliver early balls also generates set pieces. With their away attack averaging 2 goals per game and significant wide play, they should produce several corners of their own.
15:00 Newcastle v Burnley
Anthony Gordon
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.70
Win
85
Gordon is tipped to return to the XI and has been one of Newcastle’s most dangerous attackers, contributing goals and assists from the left and taking a high volume of shots. Against a Burnley defence allowing high xG and many chances from wide areas, Gordon’s role attacking full-backs and cutting inside makes him a strong favorite to score, especially if priced slightly longer than Woltemade or Barnes.
Over 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Newcastle’s attacking 4-3-3 and high volume of crosses and shots at home typically generate strong corner counts, especially versus deep defensive blocks. Burnley is likely to spend long periods in their third, limiting their own corners while conceding many.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Burnley’s struggles and need to spoil at a hostile St James’ Park increase the likelihood of tactical and frustration fouls, especially from defenders and holding midfielders. Newcastle’s combative midfield (Guimarães, Joelinton, Tonali) also commits regular fouls, so reaching four or more yellows sits within normal expectations for a dominant-home vs. relegation-battler matchup.
15:00 Tottenham v Brentford
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Model projections slightly favor Tottenham, but their six-match home winless streak and defensive fragility make an outright home win less comfortable.
Over 4.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
Both sides rely on energetic pressing and aggressive duels, featuring midfielders like Bentancur, Sarr, Janelt, and Jensen, who commit regular tactical fouls. In a high??'tempo, mid??'table clash with European spots within reach for both, the probability of at least four cards is solid, aligning with league averages and the emotional profile of recent meetings.
14:30 Cologne v St Pauli
Cologne
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Köln’s mid-table record (4-3-5) contrasts with St. Pauli’s 2-1-8 and league-worst defensive metrics, justifying home odds around 1.80??"1.90 that imply roughly a 48% win chance. With the home crowd, better recent performances, and a more reliable attacking structure, Köln are statistically more likely to claim three points than a struggling St. Pauli side that concedes freely away from home.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Despite results, St. Pauli tend to score in many league matches, combining adventurous attacking play with defensive frailty. Köln concede regularly even when winning, and their high-press approach can leave spaces for counters, making both sides scoring a realistic scenario within a home-favoured but open contest.
14:30 VfB Stuttgart v Bayern Munich
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Combined attacking records (Bayern 3.7 goals for per game early, Stuttgart 1.75) and xG outputs above 3.0 in many Bayern matches strongly support a high total??'goals expectation.
Bayern Munich & Yes (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@2.50
Lose
-50
Previews highlight Bayern’s recent habit of conceding despite winning comfortably, and Stuttgart rank among the league’s top open-play xG producers, with forwards like Undav regularly finding chances.
14:30 Wolfsburg v Union Berlin
Draw
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Given Union’s stronger results and some probability models giving them over 50% win chance while markets still shade Wolfsburg favorites, the draw can be a positive result for both teams.
Draw #1-1
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Both sides’ recent goal outputs cluster around 1 scored and 1.5??"2 conceded. External previews often project totals near 2??"3 with BTTS favoured. Union’s away games and Wolfsburg’s home matches feature many draws and narrow margins. The 1??"1 captures the balance between Wolfsburg’s need to attack and Union’s organised defence and counter threat.
14:00 Dinamo Zagreb v Hajduk Split
Dinamo Zagreb
50 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-50
Dinamo’s slightly better overall record, home advantage at Maksimir, superior recent H2H (including a 2-0 away win in September), and a deeper bench justify siding with them. However, stakes should respect Hajduk’s quality.
14:00 Konyaspor v Caykur Rizespor
Konyaspor
50 WIN
@2.30
Lose
-50
With slightly better seasonal form, home advantage in Konya, and a more coherent attacking unit, backing the hosts straight offers fair value while accepting typical Süper Lig volatility.
14:00 Sassuolo v Fiorentina
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Despite Fiorentina’s poor results, they have scored in 7 of their last 10 league matches. Sassuolo average 1.2 goals and concede at the same rate, frequently allowing opponents onto the scoresheet.
Sassuolo (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.78
Win
39
Sassuolo +0.25 splits the stake between a draw and a home win, capitalizing on Fiorentina’s 12-match winless streak while limiting risk if the visitors manage only another stalemate.
Subtotal-332
Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
