capereira
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capereira's Tips History
14 December 2025
19:00 Rzeszow W vs Mielec W
Rzeszow W to win 3-0
Set Score
50 WIN
@1.40
Win
20
Rzeszów has beaten Mielec in each of their last five meetings, including a clear 3??"0 at Hala Podpromie in February 2025. They now sit atop the TAURON Liga as defending champions.
18:00 Moreirense v Benfica
Moreirense (AH) 1.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@1.95
Lose
-50
This will be a difficult game for Benfica in a ground that is one of the shortest in the league. Moreirense only lost by one goal against the leaders FC Porto and created a lot of problems. Benfica is currently the least solid of the top-3.
17:00 Ademar Leon vs CBM Sporting Alicante
Ademar Leon -3.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Models give Ademar 86% win probability and project about a 3??"4 goal margin. Home results vs. mid/lower ASOBAL teams typically finish with 3??"5 goal victories, matching a -3.5 spread.
Over 58.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Both teams are trending toward high totals. Alicante’s recent results sit in the low-to-mid 60s, and Ademar’s last matches have landed around 61??"62 combined, matching an over lean.
17:00 Lokomotiv Avia vs Montana
Lokomotiv Avia to win 3-1
Set Score
50 WIN
@3.50
Win
125
The most likely exact outcome per the model is 3??"1, reflecting Lokomotiv’s superior form but acknowledging Montana’s capacity to win a set through isolated serving or attacking peaks.
17:00 Trentino vs Piacenza
Trentino to win 3-1
Set Score
50 WIN
@3.50
Lose
-50
Model mode outcome is a 3??"1 home win, aligning with previous BLM Group Arena H2H and the structural gap between Trentino’s near-elite efficiency and Piacenza’s very good but not top-two metrics.
17:00 Verona vs Modena
Verona to win 3-1
Set Score
50 WIN
@3.20
Lose
-50
Modena’s offensive firepower and serve pressure make it realistic they nick at least one set, especially if they have a hot serving run or Verona’s reception briefly dips. Several Verona matches against top- or mid-table opposition have finished 3??"1, reflecting short windows of opponent dominance before Verona’s sideout system reasserts control.
Subtotal-105
13 December 2025
20:30 Sporting v AVS
Luis Suarez
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
138
Pedro Gonçalves is injured and will be out for some weeks, which makes Luis Suárez even more likely to score first.
20:00 Arsenal v Wolverhampton
Eberechi Eze
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Eze will start in the Arsenal game against Wolves. He is one of the main threats to Wolves' defense along with Gyökeres, Saka, and Martinelli.
Viktor Gyokeres
Anytime Goalscorer
50 WIN
@2.05
Lose
-50
Saka and Gyökeres are starters. Saka is on penalties and a central creative/scoring hub, while Gyökeres is the focal striker in a team expected to pile on chances. With Arsenal odds-on to score 3+, both remain excellent anytime options.
Arsenal #3-0
50 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-50
Multiple previews land on 3-0 or 4-0. With Raya, Rice and Zubimendi shielding a decent back four and Wolves’ toothless attack, a clean-sheet rout is still the likeliest script.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@2.14
Win
57
Arsenal’s attacking intensity and Wolves’ likely deep defending and physical front line still point to multiple fouls and no lineup news alters that pattern.
20:00 Cardiff v Ulster
Cardiff
To Win
50 WIN
@1.36
Win
18
Cardiff have won five straight at home and arrive on a 4??'1 run overall, while Ulster are outstanding at home but have lost five of six away and four straight European away games heavily.
Under 51.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Recent meetings between these sides in Cardiff have produced totals mostly in the low 40s to high 40s, even when one team ran up a score (for example 42??"20 or 21??"19).
20:00 Connacht v Black Lion
Connacht -22.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
With the line at -22.5, those same margin expectations leave a large buffer. So Connacht -22.5 becomes a high-value, high-confidence position unless extreme weather or heavy rotation significantly weakens the hosts.
Over 46.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.83
Win
41
Most preview models still envisage Connacht winning by a large margin, with combined scores often landing in the high??'40s or low??'50s when conditions are average. However, national forecasts indicate a wet, windy evening in Galway, with heavy rain fronts and high rainfall probabilities that can slow tempo, increase handling errors, and reduce long??'range goal??'kicking success.
20:00 Glasgow Warriors v Toulouse
Toulouse
To Win
50 WIN
@1.33
Lose
-50
Toulouse to edge it. They ride a five-match winning streak, crushed the Sharks 56??"19, and hold a 4??"1 recent H2H edge, including two Scotstoun wins. Glasgow’s unbeaten home form should keep margins relatively tight.
Over 42.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Expect moderate-high scoring. Both teams scored four-plus tries in round one. Toulouse’s attack is elite, and Glasgow regularly post 30+ at home. Even with showers, combined totals in the high 40s look attainable.
19:45 Nantes vs Cesson Rennes
Nantes -7.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@1.88
Win
44
Nantes average roughly 34 scored and around 30 conceded recently, while Cesson usually sit mid-20s against top teams, implying an expected margin in the 7??"9 goal band.
Under 64.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.88
Lose
-50
Under 64.5 has hit in 28 of the last 29 Nantes??"Cesson meetings and 12 of the last 13 in Nantes. Typical scores sit near 57??"59 rather than extreme shootouts.
19:30 FC Thun v St Gallen
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.57
Lose
-50
St. Gallen away games hit over 2.5 in six of their last seven, and the last five H2Hs were all over this line. Combined xG (1.92 Thun + strong St. Gallen xGF) approaches 3.5 per match, supporting over 2.5.
Yes (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.50
Lose
-50
Both teams have scored in six of St. Gallen’s last seven away games, and Thun’s home record (16:9 in 8) shows consistent scoring but few clean sheets. Model sites explicitly recommend BTTS??'Yes given both sides’ attacking metrics and top??'two status.
19:00 Belfast Giants vs Guildford Flames
Belfast Giants -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Giants have already covered big vs. Guildford this season. With Flames’ high-event defense, Belfast can again extend any lead to two or more via special teams and empty-net situations.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.65
Lose
-50
Both teams' strong over-5.5 and BTTS trends, plus expected goals around 6.8, outweigh Friday's 2??"0 outlier and point to a likely rebound toward a more typical wide-open EIHL scoreline.
19:00 Dundee Stars vs Cardiff Devils
Cardiff Devils -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
Dundee’s 4.31 GA/game and frequent multi-goal defeats make a Devils two-goal win reasonably likely, especially if their PP capitalizes on Dundee’s early-period defensive issues.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.61
Win
31
Historically high totals, both teams’ recent over and BTTS trends, and a model total above 6 support another up-tempo game where both offenses contribute strongly.
19:00 Fife Flyers vs Coventry Blaze
Coventry Blaze -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.75
Lose
-50
Coventry’s history of covering ??'1.5 in 7 of the last 8 vs. Fife and the Flyers’ 4.44 GA/game suggest strong potential for another multi-goal Blaze victory at appealing plus money.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.60
Win
30
Both teams’ season averages land near or above 5.8 total goals per game (Fife 5.83, Coventry 5.65), which is already higher than the 5.5 line.
19:00 PSV v Heracles
Over 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.20
Win
10
PSV’s home games (22:10 in 7) and Heracles’ away games (18:18 in 7) both point to 4+ goal environments, with league stats putting their over??'2.5 rates above 70%.
Ismael Saibari
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@4.33
Lose
-50
He is one of PSV’s most productive attackers this season, with 8 league goals and 4 assists in 15 games, contributing heavily from advanced midfield/half??'space positions.
19:00 Sheffield Steelers vs Glasgow Clan
Sheffield Steelers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.25
Win
12
Sheffield’s superior record, goal differential, home-ice edge, and strong goaltending create a solid favorite position that still carries moderate value near fair price.
Sheffield Steelers -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.67
Win
34
Clan’s defensive frailty, frequent 3??"5 GA outings, and Steelers’ scoring depth support a multi-goal win probability above market, particularly with motivation to entertain at home.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.73
Lose
-50
Glasgow’s leaky defense and high-event trends, combined with the Steelers’ 3.4+ goals per game and strong home scoring, point toward a game that can reach 7+ goals even if Sheffield controls play.
19:00 St Etienne v SC Bastia
St Etienne & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@2.70
Lose
-50
Bastia’s 0.40 goals per match and just a 27% BTTS rate contrast with St Étienne’s strong scoring. A St Étienne win to nil, such as 2??"0 or 3??"0, aligns with Bastia’s toothless attack and the hosts’ incentive to control the game.
St Etienne (AH) -1.00
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@2.08
Lose
-50
With 2.06 scored per game versus Bastia’s 0.40 and a big points gap (top three vs. relegation zone), St Étienne are correctly strong favourites at home. Bastia’s 0.47 points per match and 18th place offer little to support an upset, especially away.
St Etienne #2-0
50 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-50
A routine 2??"0 fits the pattern of a strong attack controlling a very weak one without needing to run up the score.
17:30 Bordeaux v Scarlets
Bordeaux
To Win
50 WIN
@1.02
Win
1
Bordeaux to win comfortably. Bordeaux boast eight wins from nine at home and a previous 35-point home victory over Scarlets. Scarlets have lost seven of nine away and struggle to contain high-tempo attacks.
Bordeaux -38.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Bordeaux are well placed to cover. Strong home form, prior 45??"10 result versus Scarlets, and Scarlets’ poor away defence combine with Bordeaux’s attacking depth to make a near 40-point margin a realistic expectation.
Under 67.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Bordeaux’s realistic scoring band is roughly 40??"50 points at home, while Scarlets project closer to 10??"20, giving an expected total in the low- to mid-60s rather than the high-60s.
17:30 Munster v Gloucester
Munster -26.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Munster’s 5??"1 recent home record, 7??"3 all-time H2H edge with a 27-point biggest win, and Gloucester’s 3??"8 away form point toward Munster winning by around four scores or more if they execute normally.
Over 56.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Expect a reasonably high total. Markets set the line near 56.5. Munster’s attack tends to flourish at home, and Gloucester usually contribute some scores even in defeat, creating a realistic path into the high-50s.
17:30 Newcastle Red Bulls v Lions
Lions
To Win
50 WIN
@2.87
Lose
-50
Slight lean to Lions. They have four wins from six recent matches, including a previous 35??"13 victory over Newcastle. Models rate them near 59% favourites despite markets pricing them as underdogs.
Over 42.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Expect moderate-high scoring. Lions’ URC games frequently reach the high 20s or 30s. Newcastle concede regularly, and artificial-pitch conditions should enable attacking rugby unless the wind is extreme, making low-40s lines achievable.
16:30 Kookoo vs Ilves
Ilves
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Ilves bring better recent form, underlying scoring strength, and a perceived edge in goal into a matchup the market prices near even, creating a modest value spot if away odds stay above 2.00.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Both teams show strong trends for overs, multi-goal periods, and BTTS. The model total near 6 and a recent 3??"0 followed by numerous high-scoring Ilves games indicate substantial upside for another open contest.
14:00 Lukko vs Assat
Lukko -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.05
Win
52
Multi-goal potential is strong given Lukko’s offensive metrics and Ässät’s scoring limitations. Back-to-back situational fatigue on the road further tilts the chance of another margin win for the hosts.
14:00 TPS vs Tappara
Tps 1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.62
Lose
-50
TPS keeps many games close and low-scoring, with under 5.5 goals in about two-thirds of recent matches and both teams scoring in most contests. These patterns favor a +1.5 handicap.
Under 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
TPS’s strong under trend, Tappara’s defensive strength, and the projected total around 5.4 goals combine to make a modest position on the under reasonable, anticipating a measured, playoff-style tempo.
Subtotal-494
08 December 2025
19:30 France W vs Netherlands W
Netherlands (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Netherlands is slightly favored due to scoring and bench depth. A recent narrow head-to-head edge bolsters confidence. Both teams are fighting for quarterfinal positioning and group-stage dominance.
Over 55.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Netherlands 30.8 GF + France 28.0 GF = 58.8 combined average. Both defenses concede ~25 but offenses overpower in fast tempo, 4/5 recent meetings over 55.5.
19:00 Brose Bamberg vs Rostock Seawolves
Brose Bamberg -5.00
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Bamberg’s offense averages nearly 88 points over the last 10 games with a +5 to +6 margin, while Rostock concedes over 82 on the road. Combined with a 70%+ home win probability, a one- to two-possession handicap is reasonable.
18:55 Hapoel Holon vs Hapoel Galil Elyon
Hapoel Holon -9.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
Holon has won 4 of its last 5 league games, while Galil Elyon has dropped 5 of 6, most by double digits. Holon’s deeper guard rotation and strong home offense should eventually wear down Galil and clear a two-possession spread.
Over 160.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Holon home games tend to be fast and high scoring, and Galil Elyon’s defense has allowed mid-80s or more to most strong opponents. This points toward a result in the high 150s/low 160s, with reasonable upside past 160.5.
18:00 Sonderjyske vs Rungsted Ishockey
Rungsted Ishockey
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Rungsted carry marginally better recent form, a 4??"2 win in the latest H2H, and the more potent 3rd-period offense, while Sønderjyske remain in a 3??"7 stretch. At plus money, that slight statistical edge justifies a modest away play.
17:30 China W vs Cuba W
China (W)
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.50
Win
25
China 2-0 (67 GF/62 GA, +5 GD) vs Cuba 1-1-0 (55 GF/54 GA, +1 GD). Superior output and late surges in both wins justify favorite status.
17:30 Las Palmas v Mirandes
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
Las Palmas concede just 0.63 per game with solid xGA. Mirandés’ low scoring (17 in 16) and road struggles point to a cagey affair. Under 2.5 aligns with home control and visitor bluntness, avoiding overs in controlled wins.
Las Palmas & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@2.20
Lose
-50
Mirandés score infrequently (1.06 avg). Las Palmas keep clean sheets routinely (10 conceded in 16). Relegation candidates rarely breach playoff defenses away.
Las Palmas #1-0
50 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-50
Previews highlight narrow home wins given Las Palmas’ defensive strength (0.63 conceded) and Mirandés’ blunt attack (1.06 scored, poor away). A single-goal margin fits efficiency over blowouts in playoff-pushing home games.
17:00 Poland W vs Austria W
Tie
Money Line
50 WIN
@9.50
Lose
-50
Austria’s season and tournament stats (27.8 scored, 26.4 conceded) mirror Poland closely. For such a close matchup, the draw can be a result that offers good value.
Under 53.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
With Poland averaging 27.2 for, 26.3 against, and Austria 27.8 for, 26.4 against, tournament games versus top-10 opposition tend to land around low-50 totals, keeping 53.5 slightly high.
Subtotal-84
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
