capereira
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1
Estimated Prizes
this month
£5
Estimated Prize money
this month
capereira's Tips History
29 December 2025
01:20 CHI Bears @ SF 49ers
SF 49ers
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.53
Win
26
The San Francisco 49ers represent a strong money line play given their impressive 11-4 record and dominant 7-1 home performance at Levi's Stadium, where they've showcased a +0.12 EPA per play on offense that overwhelms opponents. Chicago's Bears, despite an 11-4 mark, rank 22nd in overall DVOA due to an inflated strength of schedule.
SF 49ers -3.50
Point Spread
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
The 49ers have covered in 6 of their last 8 home favorite games, winning five straight by double digits. The Bears' road covers are 6-2, but against an inferior front.
Under 51.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
The under 51.5 total stands out as the premier play in this matchup of elite defenses. The Bears allow 23.6 points per game over their last five, and the 49ers check in around 20 points against.
SF 49ers - SF 49ers
Double Result
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Selecting 49ers halftime/full-time combines their fast home starts (leading at the half in 6 of 7 at Levi's) with sustained dominance, as evidenced by five consecutive double-digit victories.
DAndre Swift (CHI Bears)
Anytime Touchdown Scorer
50 WIN
@2.20
Win
60
Swift's anytime touchdown carries medium confidence, fueled by his hot streak (touchdowns in 3 of the last 5 games) and the Bears' 55% red-zone touchdown conversion rate against a 49ers defense vulnerable inside the 20.
SF 49ers by 1 6
Winning Margin
50 WIN
@3.75
Win
138
The 49ers winning by 1??"6 points captures the most likely outcome in this tight playoff tune-up. It mirrors 3 of the last 5 head-to-head margins under 7 points and the model's 27??"24 projection.
SF 49ers Over 28.50
Team Points 2-Way (Home)
50 WIN
@1.87
Win
44
The 49ers' over 27.5 team total leverages their ~23 points per game in recent wins, escalating to double digits in five straight. They are powered by +0.12 EPA per play against the Bears' 22nd-ranked DVOA. Home cooking at Levi's projects 30+ points, exploiting Chicago's secondary depth issues and run-pass balance vulnerabilities for a strong over edge.
CHI Bears Under 23.50
Team Points 2-Way (Away)
50 WIN
@1.87
Lose
-50
Betting the Bears team total under 23.5 aligns with their 25.8 points per game average over the last five, masking weaker opponents. Facing the 49ers' top-10 defense drops projections to 23.6 points allowed to foes.
00:07 PIT Penguins @ CHI Blackhawks
CHI Blackhawks
Money Line
50 WIN
@2.37
Lose
-50
Chicago’s strong historical performance at home vs. Pittsburgh, Penguins’ 1??'5??'4 recent form and defensive slump, plus models giving CHI a 45??"63% win probability, make the home dog attractive at plus money.
CHI Blackhawks 1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.55
Lose
-50
Chicago has covered +1.5 in 8 of their last 10 at home. Penguins rarely blow teams out in their current slump. United Center advantage plus the likelihood of a one??'goal game support a safer spread position.
Over 6.00
Game Totals
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Penguins’ games are averaging nearly 7 goals recently, and Blackhawks’ defensive issues persist. With multiple analysts rating over 5.5 at 60??"65% probability, offensive and goaltending trends favor another 6+ goal contest.
Subtotal230
28 December 2025
20:05 Toulouse v La Rochelle
Toulouse -21.50
Handicap
50 WIN
@1.91
Win
46
Toulouse -21.5 fits perfectly: models forecast ~20-point margin. Six straight home wins, averaging large spreads. La Rochelle's 1??"5 away record sees them concede 30+ vs. the elite pack.
Under 62.50
Total Points
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
H2H rarely exceeds 62 (recent 39??"23 / 31??"31). Toulouse mid-30s home average + La Rochelle low-20s away. Mild but cool weather caps outlier scoring.
19:20 Gian van Veen vs Madars Razma
Gian van Veen to win 4-0
Leg Betting
50 WIN
@2.60
Open
0
Van Veen's 108.28 tournament-high average and 13 maximums project 75%+ leg dominance, enabling 4-0 or 4-1 set wins against Razma's 93.9 average. Round 2 demolition of Pietreczko confirms capacity for a blowout.
Gian van Veen
Most 180s
50 WIN
@1.08
Open
0
Van Veen already holds 13 maximums (tournament lead) from just two rounds, while Razma manages only three total. This 4x volume edge should sustain over seven sets, as Van Veen's higher 140+ rate and scoring ceiling (108 average) naturally produce far more perfect visits than Razma's grinder style.
Over 9.50
Total 180s
50 WIN
@1.91
Open
0
Van Veen's explosive Rd2 produced 13 maximums alone (tournament lead), while Razma contributed 3 across two rounds. Best-of-7 sets ensure 25+ legs, where Van Veen's 40% 140+ rate and Razma's steady volume project 16??"18 combined 180s, comfortably clearing 9.5 even conservatively.
17:00 Brynas IF vs Orebro HK
Under 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Brynäs under 5.5 in 77% of recent games, showing defensive control and moderate totals even at home. Örebro over 5.5 only 57% recently, with the recent 4??"7 loss an outlier versus elite defense like Brynäs.
17:00 Fife Flyers vs Belfast Giants
Belfast Giants -2.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@1.70
Lose
-50
Giants covered -2.5 in multiple recent Fife routs (9-0, prior 8-0s). Fife concedes 4.27 GA/game at home, and Belfast's PP exploits a weak PK for multi-goal margins at plus-money value.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.59
Win
29
Belfast's elite offense (3.2+ GF away, 75% over 2.5 GF recently) exploits Fife's porous defense (4.27 GA/game, 90% over 3.5 conceded). H2H averages 6.77 goals, including a 9??"0 rout two days ago.
16:30 Crystal Palace v Tottenham
Crystal Palace
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Palace's home resilience (unbeaten streak implied) vs. Tottenham's injury crisis (8 out, including Romero/Simons suspended) justifies a home lean. Place is preferred.
Rodrigo Bentancur
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-50
Bentancur has 6 yellows in 15 PL games (0.40/game), highest among Spurs midfielders; he leads team fouls (1.8/game). Facing Palace's Wharton/Hughes press in a depleted midfield, his screening role demands frequent tactical fouls vs Pino/Devenny ??" a prime booking profile.
Under 10.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Palace home games average 8.2 total corners (4.1 for, 4.1 against). Spurs away without key attackers average 9.1. Compact 3-4-2-1 limits attacks. Confirmed XIs lack width/chaos. 7/10 Palace homes and 6/9 Spurs aways under 10.0.
15:30 Gary Anderson vs Jermaine Wattimena
Gary Anderson
Win Match 2-way
50 WIN
@1.67
Open
0
Anderson is the favourite. 105+ Rd2 vintage performance and scoring superiority overwhelm Wattimena's grind. Expects 4-1 / 4-2 control via holds and breaks.
Gary Anderson -1.50
Handicap 2-way
50 WIN
@2.20
Open
0
Anderson can cover the spread. Round 2 dominance projects 3??"1+ margins. Wattimena's Round 2 vs. Wade flatters. Anderson's peaks cover easily in 65% of the simulations.
Gary Anderson
Win 1st Set
50 WIN
@1.73
Open
0
Anderson's explosive Rd2 scoring (105+ avg) and 55% hold rate give him the edge in quick openers. Wattimena fades early vs. elites despite Rd2 win. Expect Anderson 3??"1 set lead after clean hold/break.
14:10 Damon Heta vs Rob Cross
Rob Cross
Win 1st Set
50 WIN
@1.83
Open
0
Cross has demonstrated superior first-set execution in this tournament, securing quick wins like pinning double 16 early vs. Williams and a commanding 3-0 whitewash vs. Dekker, where he raced ahead from the start.
14:00 Cremonese v Napoli
Napoli & No (Result + BTTS)
Result and BTTS
50 WIN
@2.38
Win
69
Cremonese score 1.1 per game but are blank against quality sides (0-0 vs Lazio). Napoli concede 0.87 with a robust backline. H2H shows Napoli dominance without conceding.
Napoli #2-0
50 WIN
@6.50
Win
275
Matching Cremonese's 1.1 scored that failed to score in recent top games against Napoli's clean-sheet tendency (13 conceded in 15). Fits low-event script better than higher scores.
14:00 Sunderland v Leeds
Draw
50 WIN
@3.20
Win
110
Sunderland are unbeaten at home (5-3-0, 15:7) and sit 7th, compared with a 16th-placed Leeds with -7 GD. Leeds’ good away record (4-3-2) and stronger xG make the game too close for a heavy home stance.
Trai Hume
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@3.40
Win
120
Tai Hume has 3 yellows in 17 games played (0.18 per game). He is aggressive when overlapping and prone to tactical fouls on Leeds wingers.
Over 9.00
Total Corners
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
Sunderland home matches average 5.4 corners for and 4.3 against (9.7 total), while Leeds away average 5.6 for and 4.1 against (9.7 total). With both shaping up aggressively, repeated wide attacks and blocks should comfortably drive 9+ corners.
Over 4.00
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
Sunderland average 2.3 cards per game (Xhaka 4 yellows). Leeds 2.8 (high-press fouls). Referee averages 4.7 cards per Premier League game. Top-half vs mid-table intensity yields a 4.6 cards average. Expect 5+ bookings from midfield battles.
Subtotal439
27 December 2025
19:00 TSV Hannover Burgdorf vs TSV GWD Minden
TSV Hannover Burgdorf -6.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@1.80
Lose
-50
Hannover's 8 straight home H2H wins vs Minden average 8-goal margins (last: 35-27). Current 32.4 GF/29.1 GA crushes Minden's 32.5 GA
Over 62.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@2.00
Lose
-50
Hannover home average total 62.5. H2H last 8 averages more than 62. Minden over 62.5 in 6/10 road games despite poor form.
18:00 Fuchse Berlin vs Frisch Auf Goppingen
Fuchse Berlin -7.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@1.88
Win
44
Füchse has 8 in 10 H2H wins by 5 to 8+ goals at home. The have 34.1 goals average vs Göppingen's and 30.7 against (0-4 slump).
Over 63.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.90
Win
45
Füchse Berlin averages 34.1 GF / 30.8 GA (total 64.9). Last 4 H2H averages 65 goals (e.g., 32??"26). Göppingen concedes 30.7 per game in a slump. High-tempo Füchse force the pace, and trends exceed 63.5 in 6 of the last 10 combined recent games.
18:00 SC DHFK Leipzig vs Rhein Neckar Lowen
Rhein Neckar Lowen
Money Line
50 WIN
@1.57
Win
28
Löwen has 3 in 5 recent H2H wins, 5-3-2 form (31.2 GF) vs Leipzig's that is on a 10-game winless streak & 30.8 GA. Away favorite justified.
Rhein Neckar Lowen -1.50
Match Handicap
50 WIN
@1.85
Win
43
Löwen project 30-27 (+3 margin). With 3/5 H2H wins by 2+, 31.2 GF vs Leipzig's 30.8 GA and 10-game winless streak support covering -1.5 comfortably.
Under 60.50
Points Total
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
Leipzig's 10/11 recent games under 61.5 (avg 58.4 total). Löwen's controlled style (31.2 GF / 29.5 GA = 60.7 combined avg). H2H ~58 goals support a low-pace matchup, projecting 30-27 (57 total).
17:30 Wiesbaden W vs ETV Hamburg W
Wiesbaden W to win 3-0
Set Score
50 WIN
@1.33
Win
17
Wiesbaden sits 4??"5 after a tough stretch vs. league leaders, whereas promoted Hamburg is just 1??"8 and clearly still adapting to Bundesliga intensity.
17:00 AIK vs Sodertalje SK
AIK -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.60
Lose
-50
Many AIK wins are by multi-goal margins, but Södertälje’s offensive capability and close H2H series make this a higher-variance play suitable only at generous plus money.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@2.10
Win
55
Season and H2H scoring sit around 5.1??"6.0 total goals (AIK 5.96, Södertälje 5.03, H2H ?5.13), so 5.5 is close to the true median.
17:00 Erfurt W vs Munster W
Munster W to win 3-1
Set Score
50 WIN
@3.75
Lose
-50
Münster has already beaten Erfurt 3??"0 at Riethsporthalle this season in the DVV Cup (18??"25, 24??"26, 16??"25), showcasing a clear edge in serve??'receive and the ability to win both comfortable and tight sets in this matchup.
17:00 IF Bjorkloven vs Ostersunds IK
IF Bjorkloven -2.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.10
Lose
-50
With Björklöven averaging 4+ goals per game and owning the league’s best attack against an Östersund defense that is slab and allows 4+ on the road frequently, a 3-plus goal home win is quite plausible.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Both teams’ high over-3.5/4.5 rates, Östersund’s BTTS profile, and a model total above 6 suggest value on goals, with Björklöven capable of carrying most of the scoring load.
17:00 Monza W vs Conegliano W
Conegliano W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.22
Lose
-50
All available indicators point to Conegliano as the benchmark team: a perfect league record, a recent Club World Championship triumph with straight??'set and 3??"1 wins, and the return of their full starting six (Wolosz??"Haak, Haak, Gabi, Zhu, Chirichella, Lubian, De Gennaro). Milano is strong and can raise its level in big games, but current-season inconsistency and the massive long-term H2H gap make an upset less probable than odds around 4.0 might suggest.
Conegliano W to win 3-1
Set Score
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Conegliano are 16-0 in Serie A1 with a 46??"9 set ratio and have won 9 of their last 10 overall, conceding only about 66 points per match on average. This is a sign of top-tier serving, blocking, and sideout. They have dominated this H2H (around 42 wins to 6) and beat Milano 3??"1 in the early-season league meeting and 3??"0 twice in last season’s playoffs.
17:00 Vasteras IK vs Kalmar HC
Kalmar HC -1.50
Puck Line
50 WIN
@2.00
Win
50
With Västerås losing 6 of their last 7 in regulation and Kalmar winning 8 of their last 9, many by multi-goal margins, a two-goal away victory is quite plausible at plus money.
Over 5.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.90
Lose
-50
Average H2H total 6.4. Both teams’ season totals are above 5.5, and over-4.5 streaks (including 13 straight Kalmar away games) strongly support a goal-heavy script.
16:40 Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Raanana
Hapoel Jerusalem -14.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Jerusalem has covered similar double-digit home numbers repeatedly and owns an 81.8??"66.8 home scoring split. Raanana has lost five straight by big margins and concedes 88??"90 points nightly.
Under 166.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.85
Lose
-50
Jerusalem’s home games average about 148.6 total points (81.8 scored, 66.8 allowed). While Raanana’s defense is poor, Jerusalem’s strong half??'court defense often drags totals below the high 160s at Pais Arena.
16:30 Gornik Walbrzych vs Torun
Gornik Walbrzych -5.50
Pointspread
50 WIN
@1.83
Lose
-50
Górnik’s 4??"2 recent run, +3 to +5 scoring margin, and solid home defense (78 conceded) meet a Toru? side losing 67% of recent games and allowing 92 on the road. A two- or three-possession home win is the most logical outcome.
Over 169.50
Game Totals
50 WIN
@1.91
Lose
-50
Season averages (159.6 for Górnik, 179.1 for Toru?), and Toru?’s recent overs push combined expectations near 169??"171. Overs at 169.5 are marginally attractive, but reliance on Toru?’s pace versus Górnik’s more controlled style suggests a limited stake.
16:30 Stuttgart W vs Schweriner W
Stuttgart W
Win Match
50 WIN
@1.25
Win
12
Recent results and H2H show Stuttgart winning four of the last five high-stakes meetings (Supercup, Cup, and league), including all three at home, and entering this game on multiple consecutive straight-set victories in Cup and Bundesliga.
Stuttgart W to win 3-0
Set Score
50 WIN
@2.40
Win
70
Stuttgart is on a 9??"1 run overall, 5??"0 at home, and just swept Schwerin 3??"0 in the DVV Cup with comfortable set margins (25??"15, 25??"16, 25??"19). They clearly won the serve and block battles. While prior league clashes often went to five sets, Stuttgart’s current form and the tactical success from this month’s Cup tie suggest a high probability they will again win by at least two sets at SCHARRena, especially given minor fatigue and travel disadvantage for Schwerin.
12:30 Benin v Botswana
Under 2.50
Total Goals
50 WIN
@1.44
Win
22
Benin’s xG profile (0.91 for, 1.35 against) and frequent failures to score, plus Botswana’s low??'event style, push expectation towards 1??"2 goals rather than more.
No (BTTS)
Both Teams to Score
50 WIN
@1.52
Win
26
Benin have failed to score in 50% of recent games and keep a fair number of clean sheets. Botswana’s attack is limited and often blanked by stronger defenses.
12:30 Nottm Forest v Man City
Man City
50 WIN
@1.62
Win
31
City’s 8??'0??'1 away record (25:6), +25 overall goal difference, and xG edge over a 17th??'placed Forest side make them clear favourites at short odds.
Erling Haaland
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@3.40
Lose
-50
Haaland remains City’s primary scorer and xG magnet. In a game where City are expected to score multiple times and dominate box touches, Haaland is the standout anytime goalscorer, with Foden or Bernardo as appealing longer-price alternatives.
Over 9.50
Total Corners
50 WIN
@1.80
Win
40
City average about 6.6 corners for and 3.9 against per league game thanks to sustained pressure and many blocked shots. Forest may add a few from counters and set??'pieces. Double-digit corners and a high City team total are both statistically consistent with City’s 58.7% possession and 16.1-shot profile.
Over 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@1.95
Win
47
Forest under Dyche will likely play physically and compactly to disrupt City’s rhythm, leading to tactical fouls and bookings. Big-six away games in the Premier League commonly produce 4??"6 yellows.
Subtotal-33
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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