Tips History

capereira's Tips History

10 January 2026

20:00 Charlton v Chelsea

Charlton (AH) 1.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@2.02

Lose

-50

Charlton cover this in 22 of 23 home games (96%), scoring consistently vs Chelsea's rotated defense (1.4 conceded/game). Blues' youth XI risks a narrow 1-0/2-1 margin, not a blowout.

Marc Guiu

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@6.00

Lose

-50

As Chelsea's lone striker in a rotated attack, Guiú gets central service from Garnacho/Buonanotte versus Charlton's League One defense (1.6 conceded per game at home). The Blues score first 65% in cups.

20:00 Leicester Tigers v Bayonne

Leicester Tigers -34.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

Leicester boast 11 wins in 12 home games (avg. 35+ pts). Bayonne lost 7 straight away by 40+ avg. (68??"14 vs Quins, 62??"0 vs Montpellier).

Over 65.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Leicester average 35+ at home. Bayonne concede 40+ away (68 vs Quins, 62 vs Montpellier). Recent Tigers home results: 45 vs Gloucester, 36 vs Saracens. That pushes the combined score well over.

20:00 Scarlets v Pau

Scarlets -9.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Scarlets' home desperation in a must-win pool game. Parc y Scarlets crowd and Louis boost outweigh URC form. Pau's European away collapse (61??"12 loss) and a 35% model upset chance support a 10+ point margin.

Over 49.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Pau have scored 70 points across their last two Top 14 away games against mid-table opposition, while Scarlets concede an average of around 25 points at home in recent European fixtures.

20:00 Valencia v Elche

Valencia

50 WIN

@2.15

Lose

-50

Home form (2W-1D-3L recent) and 7-2-1 H2H edge vs Elche's 1.33 scored but 1.44 conceded make @2.15 value despite 17th place.

No (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

Valencia blank 40% at home. Elche struggle vs top-half (0.94 conceded). H2H 40% no BTTS supports a clean sheet in a tight contest.

19:00 Tourcoing vs St Nazaire

Tourcoing

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.22

Win

Tourcoing boasts a 6??"4 record in the last 10 H2H meetings and has won their last three home games against St Nazaire convincingly (3??"0, 3??"1). St Nazaire struggles away with a weak sideout percentage (~53%) and a high concession rate (~87.6 points per match).

Tourcoing to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@3.40

Lose

-50

Tourcoing's superior home record against St Nazaire (three straight wins, including 3??"0), combined with St Nazaire's poor away sideout (~53%) and recent 4??"6 form, supports the 3??"1 prediction.

18:45 Lausanne HC vs Fribourg Gotteron

Lausanne HC

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

Lausanne has the home advantage and a recent 7??"0 win. Teams are evenly matched head-to-head. Fribourg struggles on the road. Small value on the home team at plus money.

Lausanne HC -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@2.85

Lose

-50

At +2.85 odds, Lausanne -1.5 offers value. They score 3+ in 71% of home games vs mid-tier foes. Fribourg concedes 2.5+ on 70% of road trips. Head-to-head multi-goal wins happen.

Over 5.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Both teams have gone over 3.5 and 4.5 goals in 100% of recent games. Over 5.5 hits 70??"85% of the time. Head-to-head averages 5.35 goals.

18:45 Zug vs ZSC Lions

Zug 1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.47

Win

Zug’s home games stay competitive against top teams. Six of the last 10 H2H meetings went to one goal or overtime. ZSC Lions struggle to blow out structured defenses on the road. Expect a tight contest.

Over 5.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

ZSC Lions have gone over 5.5 in 83% of their recent games with explosive scoring across periods. Zug hits over 3.5 in 77% of contests. Head-to-head averages 5.5 goals.

16:00 Dresdner Eislowen vs Eisbaren Berlin

Eisbaren Berlin

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.35

Win

Berlin’s much higher win rate, stronger attack (3.41 GF vs 2.03), and control of the last meeting (5??"1) make them a justified heavy favorite.

Eisbaren Berlin -1.50

Puck Line

50 WIN

@1.90

Lose

-50

The last H2H finished 5??"1 for Berlin, and typical H2H numbers are about 5.5??"6.0 total goals, with Berlin often reaching 4+. That pattern comfortably clears a -1.5 spread.

Under 6.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

Dresden games average about 6.14 total goals (2.03 GF, 4.11 GA), and Berlin games about 6.38 (3.41 GF, 3.22 GA), which centers projections close to 6.25 goals. The true expectation sits right around six goals.

07 January 2026

20:15 Burnley v Man Utd

Man Utd

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

United sit 6th with 34 points and have significantly better xG and results than Burnley, who are 19th with only 12 points from 20 matches. Burnley are winless in 11 league games (9 defeats), while United have lost just 2 of their last 10.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

United average 5.5 corners for and 4.7 against, while Burnley concede a lot of shots and blocks and also swing in crosses when chasing games. That profile gives an expected corner count in double figures, especially if Burnley go behind and are forced to attack more in the second half.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.85

Lose

-50

Stuart Atwell has shown 13 yellow cards in his last two matches and averages 4.9 yellow cards per Premier League game this season, making him one of the strictest referees in the league.

20:15 Newcastle v Leeds

Newcastle

50 WIN

@1.67

Win

Newcastle have five wins in their last seven home league matches, including back-to-back victories over Burnley and Palace. They average 1.8 goals per game and have stronger underlying numbers than Leeds. Leeds have been impressive over their last seven but still sit lower in the table.

Anthony Gordon

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.80

Lose

-50

Gordon is a focal point in Newcastle’s attacking three and has been among their more consistent scorers and chance creators at home. He regularly gets into the box and takes a high volume of shots.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.92

Win

Newcastle average close to 7 corners per game thanks to heavy use of wide players and frequent shots. Leeds add their own corners when countering and pushing in spells. With both teams attacking rather than sitting deep, reaching ten or more corners is quite plausible.

Over 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@2.10

Win

Salisbury’s 4.9-card average and six straight overs strongly pull the expected total upwards despite Leeds’ relatively low historical card counts.

05 January 2026

01:20 BAL Ravens @ PIT Steelers

BAL Ravens

Money Line

50 WIN

@1.50

Lose

-50

The Ravens have a huge edge with their top-ranked rushing attack, averaging 147 yards per game. They are led by Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry against the Steelers' defense, which struggles late in games.

BAL Ravens -3.50

Point Spread

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Ravens cover the 4-point spread easily because their explosive offense scores 24 points per game lately, while Pittsburgh's attack concedes 23 points on average.

BAL Ravens - BAL Ravens

Double Result

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Ravens jump ahead early on the road in 70% of playoff games and hold leads. Steelers start slow at home in cold-night games, trailing at halftime in four of six. Baltimore's rush control sets up second-half dominance for a clean halftime and full win.

Derrick Henry (BAL Ravens)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@1.71

Lose

-50

Henry gets goal-line carries as Baltimore's top rusher with multiple scores in recent wins. He faces a Steelers rush defense allowing 92 yards lately. Early game script leans run-heavy in the cold, giving Henry high-value odds for the opening touchdown punch.

Lamar Jackson (BAL Ravens)

Anytime Touchdown Scorer

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

Jackson rushes for touchdowns as the league's best dual-threat QB, especially when Pittsburgh limits passes to 207 yards per game and forces scrambles, where his rating jumps 20 points.

BAL Ravens by 7 12

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@4.90

Lose

-50

Pittsburgh competes early but fades versus Baltimore's run game, creating a comfortable double-digit victory without a blowout in this playoff grind.

BAL Ravens Over 23.50

Team Points 2-Way (Away)

50 WIN

@1.87

Win

Ravens score 23.9 points recently, with the NFL's third-best rush attack exploding for 133 yards per game against Pittsburgh's tired 92-yard allowance lately. Jackson and Henry feast for more than a 23-point projection even on the road.

04 January 2026

18:00 Santa Clara v FC Porto

FC Porto & No (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Santa Clara 40% BTTS, Porto 60% but 0.73 conceded. Hosts' poor attack (1.00/game) supports shutout vs top sides. FC Porto with a strong defense.

Samuel Aghehowa

First Goalscorer

50 WIN

@4.33

Win

166

Samu has 7 goals in 12 league starts, averaging 0.75 xG per 90 against mid-table defenses like Santa Clara's (1.27 xGA/game). Porto score first in 70% of wins, and his central role makes him the prime early target in a low-scoring projection.

FC Porto #2-0

50 WIN

@5.80

Lose

-50

Porto's league-leading 15 wins in 16 games and stingy 0.25 goals conceded per match overpower Santa Clara's mid-table attack (0.7 scored per game) and poor record vs. top sides (0 W). Expect a narrow, clean-sheet away win with control but without a blowout.

16:30 Chris Wakelin v Jackson Page

Chris Wakelin

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.70

Lose

-50

Wakelin's 8/10 wins, Scottish Open title, maiden 147 vs Junxu, and 71.5 avg/frame. Crushes Page's 50% wins/no deep runs. Best-of-5 favors his aggression.

16:30 Gary Wilson v Noppon Saengkham

Gary Wilson -1.50

Handicap Betting

50 WIN

@2.30

Lose

-50

Wilson's Wuhan final SF runs (beat Higgins/Trump/Allen) and 75% best-of-7 wins contrast Saengkham's 40% win rate/recent Rd1 loss. Projects 6??"3/6??"4.

Gary Wilson to win 3-1

Frame Betting

50 WIN

@3.90

Lose

-50

Wilson's Wuhan final (beat Higgins and Trump) and Xi'an SF dwarf Saengkham's 40% win rate with a recent 0??"4 Selby loss. 2??"0 H2H leads project 3??"1 / 3??"0 in best-of-5.

15:00 Leicester Tigers v Saracens

Leicester Tigers

To Win

50 WIN

@2.20

Win

Leicester have won six of seven home games and all four Premiership home fixtures, plus five of the last six at Welford Road versus Saracens. Sarries are just 3??"7 across their last ten away.

Leicester Tigers 2.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

Market makes Saracens slight road favourites, but models and trends favour Leicester by a couple of points. Taking Tigers plus a field goal covers most realistic outcomes in a close, physical Premiership clash.

Under 55.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.83

Lose

-50

Recent Leicester??"Saracens games in Leicester typically finish in the 40??"50 total range. January conditions, plus a forward-dominated tactical battle, suggest a grinding contest where both sides focus on territory and defence.

15:00 Molde W vs Oppsal W

Oppsal (W) 5.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

@1.80

Lose

-50

League table shows near-identical goal differences (Molde -5, Oppsal -4). Oppsal’s last five away averages: 27.8 scored, 28.0 conceded. Many of their losses are by one or two goals, making +5.5 a live underdog spread.

15:00 Newcastle v Crystal Palace

Newcastle

50 WIN

@1.70

Win

Newcastle are unbeaten in 10 straight home games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. They are crushing Palace's average away defense.

Anthony Gordon

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@3.90

Lose

-50

Gordon starts wide left and loves cutting inside to shoot, averaging 0.45 xG per game at home, where Newcastle create 2.1 expected goals. Prime anytime scorer with pace, exploiting Palace full-backs.

Adam Wharton

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Palace's midfield enforcer Wharton averages a booking every 3.2 games and faces Newcastle's dynamic engine room of Guimarães and Tonali, who force tactical fouls in transitions.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

Newcastle average 6.7 corners won and 5.9 conceded at home (12.6 total per game), while Palace contribute 4.2 won/4.2 against away. 70% of Newcastle home games hitting 10+ reliably.

Over 4.00

Total Cards

50 WIN

@1.80

Push

Referee John Brooks averages 4.8 yellow cards across his last 20 Premier League games, with 7 of his last 8 matches seeing 4+ cards issued. Both teams rank high for disciplinary issues.

15:00 Storhamar W vs Gjerpen W

Storhamar (W) -7.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Storhamar win 77.8% of league games, average +9.4 home margin. Recently beating Fana 30??"18 and Fredrikstad 34??"19. Gjerpen’s away losses versus top teams cluster around 8??"9 goals, supporting a -7.5 spread.

Under 53.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

Both sides average modest totals (Storhamar 52.9, Gjerpen 51.6). In the last four games Storhamar limited opponents to 19 GA on average. Six of the last eight H2H matches finished under 53.5, averaging 49.9 total goals.

03 January 2026

20:00 PDC World Championship 2026

Michael van Gerwen

25 EW

@15.00

Lose

-50

Van Gerwen is in fine form. Playing at home, he will be a tough guy to beat. He is explosive and can get a lot of high entries.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

capereira

capereira's Tips History

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