capereira

3

Estimated Prizes
this month

£15

Estimated Prize money
this month

capereira's Tips History

25 April 2026
17:35 5:35 Limerick

Khormor Syd

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@+450

Lose

-50

Khormor Syd has the strongest recent-results signal, and he is still close enough to the head of the market to look like a realistic winner rather than just a form outsider. Was 2nd of 14 at Gowran on 9 Apr 2026, beaten 1.25 lengths, 9.6f, soft.
17:30 Arsenal v Newcastle

Arsenal

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

Arsenal is on a title-race maximum motivation. Home advantage and Newcastle's catastrophic triple absence (Joelinton, Gordon, Livramento) combine to make this as straightforward a home win as the Emirates produces all season. Arsenal have won three consecutive H2H meetings. Newcastle are on four straight defeats.

Bruno Guimaraes

Player to be Booked

50 WIN

@+200

Lose

-50

Guimarães is Newcastle's most combative midfielder and their primary defensive disruptor. Against Arsenal's fluid midfield rotations (Rice, Zubimendi, Ødegaard), he will be forced into repeated intervention fouls as Arsenal overload centrally.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@-111

Lose

-50

Arsenal home games average 10.21 total corners. Newcastle games average 11.24 total. Arsenal took 9.6 corners alone per game in their last five H2H meetings.

Under 3.50

Total Cards

50 WIN

@-124

Lose

-50

Barrett averages 3.71 cards per game in 2025/26. Arsenal average only 1.0 yellow card per game, one of the most disciplined sides in the Premier League. The February 2025 H2H ended with total cards. Arsenal dominated without generating disciplinary issues.
17:30 St Helens v Wakefield Trinity

St Helens

To Win

50 WIN

@-277

Win

18

Saints are the rightful pick because they are home favourites, have won the last five meetings, and remain one of the top teams in the competition.

St Helens -6.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

St Helens -6.5 is fair because the market sits around Saints -6 to -8, and Saints have won the last five meetings with every win by more than 8.5 points. The caution is Wakefield’s 2026 defense, which conceded only 111 points in eight matches, making this a thinner handicap edge.

Under 44.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@+100

Win

50

Wakefield had conceded only 111 points in eight league games, and the last relevant St Helens??"Wakefield meeting finished 26??"6, just 32 total points. It’s not a lock, but the available evidence points slightly below the line.
17:00 5:00 Limerick

Chablis Rock

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@-225

Win

22

Chablis Rock has the strongest recent visible form. She was 2nd of 10 at the Curragh on 3 April 2026 in a 10f maiden worth €18k, after a 165-day break. She was 3rd of 11 at Gowran on 20 October 2025 before that. Those are solid maiden efforts, especially the latest second, because they suggest she is progressing and already competitive in stronger company than many rivals.
17:00 South Africa W vs India W 4th T20 Match

South Africa W

Win Match

50 WIN

@+110

Open

0

South Africa won the 2nd and 3rd T20Is, including a nine-wicket win in the third game, so they arrive with momentum. The Wanderers usually reward pace and strong batting, which suits South Africa’s style and home advantage. India can still fight, but South Africa have been more clinical in this series.

L Wolvaardt

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@+600

Open

0

Wolvaardt is the best MoM pick because she led a calm chase in the first T20I and has been the most reliable top-order batter for South Africa. In home conditions, she can build an innings without panic, which is exactly what wins T20 games.

L Wolvaardt (South Africa W)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+200

Open

0

Wolvaardt is the safest South Africa batting pick because she opens, faces the most balls, and has already shown she can pace a chase well against India. If South Africa set or chase a big total again, she is the most likely to score the most runs.
15:00 Gyori Eto W vs Odense Handbold W

Gyori Eto (W)

Money Line

50 WIN

@-370

Open

0

Gy?'r are the right side because they already won the first leg 36-28, finished first in Group A at 12-0-2, and have dominated the H2H over a long stretch. The main risk is motivational rather than quality-based: they may manage the game instead of pushing the margin.

Under 61.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@-113

Open

0

The total leans under because Gy?'r can play with scoreboard control, and Odense needs near-perfect efficiency to make the tie competitive. The counterargument is obvious: the first leg reached 64, and both attacks are elite enough to beat conservative projections if the game stays open early.
15:00 Lahore Qalandars vs Peshawar Zalmi T20

Peshawar Zalmi

Win Match

50 WIN

@-136

Open

0

Peshawar are unbeaten in PSL 2026 so far, with three wins and one washout from four games. Lahore have been inconsistent and have lost more than they have won. Zalmi also beat Lahore by seven wickets in their last meeting, which gives them the edge again.

MB Azam

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@+700

Open

0

Babar is the best MoM pick because he is the most reliable top-order batter in a strong Zalmi side. When Peshawar bat well, he usually plays the control role and lets the others attack around him. That makes him the most likely match-shaping player.

F Zaman (Lahore Qalandars)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+225

Open

0

Fakhar is Lahore’s best batting pick because he can score quickly in the powerplay and is one of the few players who can flip the game early. Lahore need a fast start against an in-form Zalmi attack, and Fakhar is their best chance.

MB Azam (Peshawar Zalmi)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@+240

Open

0

Babar is the top batting pick for Peshawar because the whole lineup is built around his stability at the top. He can anchor the innings, score a fifty, and still keep the chase or total under control. In a high-pressure game, that is very valuable.
15:00 Liverpool v Crystal Palace

Liverpool

50 WIN

@-175

Win

28

Palace are rotating for Europe and have a 15.6% true win probability. At 1.57, Liverpool is fairly priced ??" not exceptional value, but the safest directional bet in the fixture.

Mohamed Salah

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+170

Lose

-50

Salah at 10 G/8 A this season with renewed motivation in what may be his final Anfield season. With Palace rotating for Europe, their defensive intensity will be reduced, and Salah consistently scores in high-profile home games.
15:00 Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabad T20

Sunrisers Hyderabad

Win Match

50 WIN

@+108

Open

0

SRH won the last meeting 216/6 to 159, which shows their batting can overpower RR. They also lead the overall head-to-head 13??"9 in 22 matches, so history slightly supports them too. RR have home advantage in Jaipur, but SRH’s form and firepower look stronger.

IPKP Kishan

Man Of The Match

50 WIN

@+800

Open

0

Kishan is the best MoM pick because he smashed 91 off 44 balls in the last game against RR. That kind of innings can win a match on its own. If SRH bat first again, he is the most likely batter to set the game up early.

V Suryavanshi (Rajasthan Royals)

Top Team1 Batsman

50 WIN

@+300

Open

0

Suryavanshi is RR’s best batting pick because he has been their standout young scorer and can attack fast in the powerplay. RR needs an explosive start to compete with SRH’s big totals, so he is the most likely player to make a real impact.

IPKP Kishan (Sunrisers Hyderabad)

Top Team2 Batsman

50 WIN

@+350

Open

0

Kishan is the safest SRH batting pick because he is already in form against RR and plays the kind of aggressive innings that suit this matchup. He can score quickly against pace and spin, and SRH rely on him to give them early momentum.
15:00 Skjern Handbold vs Aalborg Handbold

Aalborg Handbold

Money Line

50 WIN

@-454

Win

11

Aalborg are correctly priced as heavy favorites based on current market odds, seven straight H2H wins, and overwhelming long-run series superiority.

Aalborg Handbold -4.50

Match Handicap

50 WIN

@-113

Lose

-50

Aalborg -4.5 is the better way to bet the favorite because the raw quality gap is large and Skjern’s home form is poor. The main risk is that the last verified H2H only ended 31??"29, so Aalborg can win without clearing a mid-range spread.
15:00 Wolverhampton v Tottenham

Tottenham

50 WIN

@-136

Win

37

Tottenham can win this game ??" their survival desperation, individual quality, and De Zerbi's tactical acumen vs a relegated side are genuine factors.
14:00 Czarni Slupsk vs Trefl Sopot

Trefl Sopot

Money Line

50 WIN

@-161

Win

31

Trefl are 5th in the PLK (17??"10), Polish Cup 2026 champions, and already beat Czarni 92??"86 on April 18 and 97??"61 in December. Czarni are 14th (8??"19) with a porous defense, averaging 84+ OPP PPG. Trefl have seven days' rest versus Czarni's short turnaround.

Under 170.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-117

Win

43

The H2H total Over% is just 20% over the last five meetings, with scores averaging ~158 combined points. The last H2H (Apr 18) finished 92??"86 (178 total), but this was a high-energy away game. Home games in S?upsk tend to be slower-paced.
14:00 Ribe Esbjerg HH vs Nordsjaelland Handbold

Ribe Esbjerg HH

Money Line

50 WIN

@-153

Win

32

Ribe-Esbjerg are the right favorite because they are at home and already showed relegation-round urgency with a 36-35 win over SønderjyskE. The risk is that the broader H2H has leaned Nordsjælland heavily, including several recent multi-goal wins.
14:00 Ringkobing W vs HOJ W

Over 58.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@+100

Open

0

Ringkøbing’s recent form is attack-friendly, with scores such as 37-29, 34-32, 32-27, and 38-41. This shows they are regularly involved in games above this range. That makes 58.5 a reachable line if their current pace carries into this matchup.
14:00 SonderjyskE vs HOJ

SonderjyskE

Money Line

50 WIN

@-166

Lose

-50

SønderjyskE deserve favoritism because they already beat HØJ 29-26 in the latest verified meeting. That said, a three-goal result is consistent with a modest edge, not domination, so short home prices are more correct than valuable.

Over 59.50

Points Total

50 WIN

@-113

Win

44

Over 59.5 is the better side. The most useful current sample has SønderjyskE averaging 33.67 goals scored and HØJ 32.00, which already points to a game total above this number.
13:00 Raiffeisen Flyers Wels vs UBSC Raiffeisen Graz

Raiffeisen Flyers Wels

Money Line

50 WIN

@-181

Lose

-50

Wels dominated Game 1 at home 90??"68. They carry a 39??"13 all-time H2H record and are the No. 2 seed (22??"8). Playing on home court in a tied series 1??"1 with a short-rest Graz squad traveling back is a classic high-value spot. Wels' last 5 H2H average is 75.4 PPG vs. 71.4 allowed.

Raiffeisen Flyers Wels -4.00

Pointspread

50 WIN

@-120

Lose

-50

Game 1 saw Wels win by 22 at home. Game 2 away was a 6-point Graz win. The home/away split is stark. Graz travels fatigued with a 3-day turnaround and no home crowd. Wels' superior depth and interior scoring dominate when their crowd is behind them.

Under 164.50

Game Totals

50 WIN

@-114

Lose

-50

The matchup’s long-run average total is about 161.4, and the season-to-date numbers from the recent preview show Wels around 84.63 and Graz around 76.77, which sit just below this line.
12:30 Charlton v Hull

Under 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

@-109

Lose

-50

Charlton have gone under 2.5 in 28 of 44 Championship games this season (64%), the most under-2.5 matches of any team in the division. They average just 0.95 goals at home, the joint-lowest attack in the Championship.

Charlton (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@-117

Win

43

Charlton needs just one point for survival. Charlton are unbeaten in six consecutive home games against Hull. Nathan Jones will set up to absolutely not lose today. Hull's 18-game end-of-season away winless streak confirms this away trip is their worst-case scenario.

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

@+600

Lose

-50

The most historically consistent Charlton home H2H scoreline against Hull. The reverse fixture this season ended 1??"1, and two of the last four Valley meetings ended 1??"1. Charlton score their 0.95 home average goal. Hull counter for one through their 1.73 goals/game vs bottom-six tendency.
12:30 Fulham v Aston Villa

Aston Villa

50 WIN

@+170

Lose

-50

Emery's perfect 8??"0 Premier League record against Fulham is the single most compelling stat on the entire Saturday card. Fulham have won just one of their last nine top-flight games against top-half teams. Villa, playing for Champions League qualification with Watkins and Rodgers in peak form, are exactly the kind of opponent that exposes Fulham's limitations.

Ollie Watkins

Anytime Goalscorer

50 WIN

@+187

Lose

-50

Watkins (9G this season) starts as Villa's No. 9 against a Fulham defence with only 2 clean sheets in 16 games. His combination of intelligent runs behind Fulham's defensive line and aerial threat from McGinn's delivery makes him the primary goalscoring threat.

Over 10.00

Total Corners

50 WIN

@-117

Lose

-50

Fulham's home games average 11.25 total corners this season, with 70% of their home fixtures exceeding 9.5 corners. Villa generate 5.24 corners per game with wide attackers Rogers, McGinn, and Buendía. The Premier League 2025/26 season average is 10.24. The data unanimously points to Over.
12:30 Middlesbrough v Watford

Middlesbrough

50 WIN

@-227

Win

22

Boro hold a 74% model win probability. They play at a sold-out Riverside for automatic-promotion survival. They face a Watford side on four consecutive losses, with 10 goals conceded in five games and nothing to play for.
12:30 Stockport v Peterborough

Stockport

50 WIN

@-163

Win

31

Stockport's win is justified by their superior league position (5th vs. 15th), playoff motivation versus mid-table drift, a dominant Edgeley Park home record (12 W), and Peterborough's 13 away defeats this season.

Stockport #2-0

50 WIN

@+1000

Lose

-50

The 2??"0 offers value if Stockport's defence (12 W at home, solid back line) holds Peterborough to a blank. This is possible despite their 90% BTTS rate, given Edgeley Park's compact setup.
12:30 West Brom v Ipswich

Ipswich

50 WIN

@+137

Lose

-50

Ipswich's quality gap is overwhelming ??" 79 pts, 75 goals, 22 wins vs West Brom's 50 pts, 47 goals, 13 wins. McKenna's promotion-desperate side won at The Hawthorns earlier this season (1??"2 in October). West Brom's possible relaxation, with safety nearly secured, creates a scenario that benefits the visitors.
23 April 2026
20:58 20:58 Oaklawn Park

Promissione

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@SP

Lose

-50

Promissione is the most likely winner because he combines a strong market position with a solid rating. He is the favorite and has an OR of 85, which puts him among the stronger profiles in the field and only narrowly below Arthur's Court's OR 90 and Stoke the Fire's OR 86.
20:50 20:50 Thistledown

Tahlequah Joe

Daily Racing

50 WIN

@SP

Lose

-50

Tahlequah Joe is the interesting value runner. A clear positive recent marker with a win at Thistledown over 5f 110y on a fast surface, which is a strong course-and-distance style pointer for this exact race setup. He is slightly below the top two in the market and forecast lists, but he has the right type of proven sprint form to outrun his price.
20:30 Real Oviedo v Villarreal

Real Oviedo (AH) 0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@+101

Win+Push

25

Backed by Oviedo's extraordinary home defensive record (8 clean sheets, 4 consecutive unbeaten home games), Villarreal's collapsed away form (2 wins in 9 La Liga away games), and the H2H low-scoring pattern that benefits the underdog getting the quarter-ball start.
20:00 Salford City v Bromley

Salford City

50 WIN

@-109

Win

46

Salford have won 3 of their last 5 games. They play at a fortress-like Peninsula Stadium, charged with playoff fever, and face a Bromley side that will be cautious about injuries, with the title already in their grasp.

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