Welshboy

Lumberjack was coming back from a 5 month break when going very close at 50/1 last time out over 1m 6f at Wolvo. Returning to 2m shouldn't be an issue and she may show some further improvement tonight and go well at a nice ew price at around 14/1. The favourite looks fairly solid if unspectacular but the booking of Billy L is eyecatching. At a bigger price, Bailey's Warrior is interesting with Rab Havlin back on board (record on the horse of 15212) and off a nice mark of 51 on last year's C&D form.

This is an interesting horse in what looks an open race. The fav, Rovinia looks a nice horse for the level and is unproven at the track and is priced up accordingly. The Newland & Insole horse also looks decent for the level, but my selection is the Gary Brown horse, back from nearly a year off but with an eyecatching 2/3 record on turf, still on a workable mark, and with a course win under her belt. Taylor Fisher takes off 3lb which can only aid her course as he's a jockey I rate at this level.

Won comfortably under this jockey who seems a bit of a talent. I think he can go close again at a big price today. Lunar Landscape is poised to go well but keeps finding one too good and is raised a couple of lbs. The selection is 10lb higher than LTO, but I think he had more than that in hand.

This one has been in my tracker since he left Willie Mullins (not always a positive factor) but he looks interesting at Warwick today over a decent trip and has some solid form on tight left handed tracks (primarily Listowel, where he has 2 high class second places). I think he's on a nice mark and while today may not be the primary aim, the Bradstock's are a solid yard and I'm happy to have a win only play.

A small ew dart at Grand Echo who has been gelded prior to this run and we all know the effect that that can have. He has nothing to find at the weights and the odds on fav is now a NR, so this one looks vastly overpriced even allowing for a chunky r4 (I've backed him at 18s ew on the revised market). He's drawn nicely in two and I'm hoping he can see out the trip now with the benefit of a bit more experience and go close tonight.

Some well-regarded yards are represented in this nursery, but Mark Usher's Flying Macs is entitled to come on for his good stable debut, where he ran well off a 60+ day break and looks well overpriced here. There's little on form to choose between these, and I'm happy to take an each-way bet on this and will also be looking for a TBP4 bet as extra cover.