Welshboy
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Welshboy's Tips History
06 May 2026
16:45 4:45 Chester
Arctic Thunder
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+850
Lose
-50
Arctic Thunder looks to have been well suited by the step back up to 7f having been largely campaigned at 6f in the early part of 2025. I think he's on a workable mark off 85, dropped slightly since the back end of last year and having had a nice prep over 6f. He's come on a bundle for that and from a decent draw in 6, he can go well here. I do wonder if he needs another pound or two off from the handicapper, but I think thats factored in at around 17/2 with 4 places each way.
13:30 1:30 Chester
Wait Geordie
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+200
Lose
-50
This is a really tricky race but there is no doubting that Hugo Palmer would love to win it with a horse that he seems to really like. They've campaigned him smartly, avoiding a penalty by running him in a Bath novice rather than the Musselburgh race won by Rebecca Menzies horse, who reopposes today. The Karl Burke horse is nice, but I'm siding with the less exposed runner, who has Oisin on board and really pinged out the gates at Bath, securing a nice lead and whilst still a bit green, holding on convincingly. I think the price is a little tighter than I expected, but happy to throw a small bet on him.
Subtotal-100
30 April 2026
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
Petit Tonnerre
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Lose
-50
Petit Tonnere looks a bit like a Langer Dan plot job, set out for the season with one job in mind. He's off a nice mark and the yard have done very well at this meeting over the years and I think he can go very close again today. 11/1 looks generous with ew 5 places on offer.
16:15 4:15 Punchestown
Da Capo Glory
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1600
Lose
-50
De Capo Glory ran a good race at the Festival in the Martin Pipe and finished a solid 8th. The UK handicapper had given him a decent push up the weights that day so the fact he comes here off 5lb lower, with the excellent Michael Kinneally taking off another 5lb means he looks favourable treated here. I think he can outrun his odds of 16/1 and with 6 places on offer, I'll take that.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Busselton
Daily Racing
25 EWNOTETip made at odds of 5.50 on 30/04 at 13:400.25 deduction for Vanillier@3.75 withdrawn at 14:51R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 4.50 x (1-0.25) = 4.38Best Odds Guaranteed SP 4.50 used instead of 4.38 BOG
@+350
Win
105
Busselton won this last year and should go very close again now under the expert stewardship of Enda Bolger, the king of the banks. This has surely been the target with a 2m hurdle as a pipe opener hardly likely to suit and he's a generous ew muggy bet at 9/2 4 places.
14:30 2:30 Punchestown
Gameball
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+500
Push
0
Gameball was a real eyecatcher for the Slattery yard, word had gone around and he did the job in
style on his bumper debut. Henry has been patient with a c&d maiden win but his 4th in graded company has worked out very nicely and he's the pick at the prices here, currently around 9/2.
Subtotal5
29 April 2026
18:35 6:35 Punchestown
Even Tho
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+500
Win
150
My last bet of the card will be on Even Tho, who looks one to follow after catching the eye on rules debut when winning a 2m 3f bumper at Limerick. My only real concern here is the step back in trip but I think with 4 places on offer, I'd be disappointed if she couldn't pick up at least a place. She'll be in my tracker for next year whatever the outcome.
17:25 5:25 Punchestown
Riaan
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Win
115
Riann has some very strong spring ground form and looks over-priced for me in this competitive handicap chase. A number of the runners come here having had tough campaigns and won't be as suited to the conditions. He finished a good second in this to the classy James du Berlais last year and I think he could go one better, depending on how the unexposed Mullins' fav runs, although at 7/4 he is way too short for a bet for me.
16:50 4:50 Punchestown
Dromard
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+750
Lose
-50
This is a price based selection as the Mourne Rambler looked classy in winning the Champion Bumper at Cheltenham. Dromard was very impressive in winning a heavy-ground Gowran bumper and this fresh spring ground should be ideal for this Doctor Dino gelding. At around 15/2, I think he is an interesting ew play (especially with the fav losing the benefit of Colin Keane on board).
16:15 4:15 Punchestown
Le Frimeur
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2200
Win
660
This horse was suggested as one to follow this year by Harry Derham earlier in the season and I think the patient approach taken could pay dividends in this valuable race today. Its an open race but this one comes here fresher than most and without having had a hard winter on the tougher ground. Conditions should suit and he's been trained to be much sharper today than for the last day, when slightly fortuitous to have beaten Came from Nowhere (form franked since) and I think he can outrun his odds.
15:40 3:40 Punchestown
Soir De Garde
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+600
Lose
-50
The fact that Paul Townend has chosen to ride here in this Euro11k conditions race suggests that there may be bigger plans for this one in the medium to long term. Willie Mullins described a likely change of tactics unlocking likely improvement after he was chasing home two very classy types in Ndaawi and Absurde LTO at Cork, giving both weight. The fact he was competitive in that field and as a totally unexposed 8yo means he rates a strong bet for me today.
15:05 3:05 Punchestown
Los Blanco
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1200
Lose
-50
Los Blanco looks interesting here having been patiently handled by HdB given a break since Christmas and stepped up in trip to 2m 3f for the first time here. The application of a tongue tie LTO seemed to spark a good degree of improvement and he's still looking favourably treated off 122. As you'd expect, its a competitive race and I'm hoping the patient approach and freshness will pay dividends.
14:30 2:30 Punchestown
Thanksforthehelp
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Ran well in this for the last 2 years and have come back for another go with a useful 4lb claim for Rian Corcoran. He's been plotted for this all year and should love the track, trip and ground. I can see him going very close but its a wide open race so taking advantage of the 6 places on offer.
Subtotal725
28 April 2026
18:05 6:05 Punchestown
Marine Nationale
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@+275
Lose
-50
Marine finally gets his ground and comes here fresh having had a niggle prior to Cheltenham. Barry Connell, as always, was pretty bullish and I think he can get the better of Il Etait Temps here, with Majborough a tricky one to call, but with the odds against a brilliant jumping display like he showed at the DRF on bottomless ground.
17:50 5:50 Lingfield
Comprador
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@SP
Lose
-50
I was torn between 2 horses here around an about ew prices, Comprador and Manly Fireball. Both are horses capable of winning this but I've just shaded towards Ed Walker's Comprador, who looked to be well treated off a mark in the low 70s and could prove to be a good bit better than that. I liked the Richard Hughes horse too, who I also think is worth a bet in this.
17:35 5:35 Yarmouth
Sweet Echo
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@SP
Lose
-50
Harry Vigors is an eyecatching booking for a shrewd yard who have handicapped this one nicely following a promising debut - he caught my eye finishing ahead of a nice 80+ horse of Ed Walker's and he goes off just 56 here with 7lb off. He may be thrown in if he can replicate that form back on turf.
Subtotal-150
27 April 2026
20:00 Man Utd v Brentford
Under 3.50
Total Cards
50 WIN
@-108
Lose
-50
I think this game might just fall under the 3.5 cards mark, with the possibility of being one of those games where the ref keeps his cards in his pocket all night until Casemiro inevitably gets booked. Both sides have enough to play for, but equally, players will likely want to avoid needless suspensions at this key stage, with Liverpool up next for the home side and Brentford chasing a European place.
19:15 7:15 Naas
Fahrenheit Seven
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+450
Lose
-50
I was really torn between the chances of Getreadytorumble for Jack Channon and Fahrenheit Seven, who was highly regarded by the Mark Usher team before moving to the shrewd sprint yard of Robert Cowell. He's come on a bundle over the Winter and achieved a career best last time out and this switch to turf shouldn't be an issue. He's drawn well and might be hard to stop. Getreadytorumble should be a horse to follow this year, but whether he is ready FTO is the question, but he's very highly regarded.
17:10 5:10 Naas
Aedhmar
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+300
Lose
-50
Aedhmar looks a nice filly and with the benefit of experience, can go very close here with Royal Ascot very much in the yards plans for her. She is well-related and has plenty of good 2yo's in her pedigree and I think she will reward those that stick with her on this step up in trip, following strong market support on debut (went off 2/1 fav).
16:15 4:15 Lingfield
Victory Sound
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2800
Lose
-50
This is a risky one, but I'm going to take a chance of a hugely reduced mark that Victory Sound can outrun his odds today. He's only beaten 2 horses in his 5 runs for the yard, but there were excuses on his runs this season, first time out needing the run and then badly drawn over C&D LTO. As a result of those 5 runs, he's dropped from a mark of 84 to 55, and for a horse that less than 2 years ago was only 7l behind Field of Gold, then the standout 2yo. This is a first run in a class 6 and could just be what he requires from a good draw. I'm taking a chance on that bringing him back to some sort of form and going much closer here.
Subtotal-200
26 April 2026
22:45 The Chevron Championship
Nelly Korda
25 EW
@+500
Win
156
Nelly Korda seems to have taken a focused approach to her tournament schedule this year and it's paying dividends, with a really strong form line coming in here. She'll be suited by a course where driving distance is a key aspect, and I expect her to finish in the top 3 here. Happy to play the ew 5/1.
22:45 Zurich Classic of New Orleans
Koepka/Lowry
25 EW
@+1100
Lose
-50
This wouldn't be the sort of tournament I'd be that strong on in terms of a selection but given the weak field, a double figure price on Lowry and Koepka looks a solid ew bet to me. Lowry has been a nearly man this year, but he's starting to recover from his Cognizant late wobble and this sort of tournament suits him well. Koepka is solid and played good golf at the Players and Masters and they look a decent price at 12/1 and I'd make them clear favourites.
Subtotal106
23 April 2026
16:52 4:52 Beverley
Coolree
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+650
Win
7
I originally looked at this race as Sunny Orange ran well LTO in a race where there was a big drawbias and I'll happily play a small cover here. However, the presence of Coolree in this race off a mark of 60 catches the eye with a course and distance record of 112 (RPR's of 74, 70 and 71). He's off a career low mark and it just looks plotty having had two gentle spins on the all weather over the winter. He'll be my nap today at 13/2.
15:52 3:52 Beverley
Kitsune Power
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+650
Win
7
This is a trickier race than I imagined when I stuck him in my tracker LTO after getting smashed in the market and then turned over - the form was franked today by the winner and 4th who finished 1st and 3rd in the same race, so I'm happy to play even though this is a step up in grade and an open looking race. The yard aren't firing but they've had enough run well and this one looks on a very good mark. He's my NB tomorrow at 13/2 although there was a bit of 7s around earlier (PP).
Subtotal14
21 April 2026
20:00 Brighton v Chelsea
Moises Caicedo
Player to be Booked
50 WIN
@+250
Lose
-50
Caicedo is a walking card and this looks too big a price so happy to play the muggy single. This is a must win game away from home and the AMEX is a tough place to go and I think Caicedo will be picking up multiple fouls tonight and therefore risks a card.
19:45 Cheltenham v Tranmere
Cheltenham
50 WIN
@+145
Lose
-50
Cheltenham have been in form in recent weeks winning their last 3 and whilst Tranmere have shown some fight, the home side just look over-priced to me in this one at nearly 6/4. I'd make them no bigger than 11/10 and this looks good value to me.
19:45 Leicester v Hull
Hull (AH) 0.25
Asian Hcap
50 WIN
@+100
Win+Push
25
I really like Hull in this game and am happy to play with the Asian handicap set at +0.25 at even money. The away side are in the battle for the playoffs while Leicester looked doomed for relegation and I think the away side are overpriced with Gelhardt and McBurnie a real threat up top.
19:45 Stevenage v Barnsley
Stevenage
50 WIN
@-113
Win
44
Stevenage are in the mix for a playoff position and they look a big price to me to beat mid table Barnsley, who have nothing to play for but pride. Barnsley are draw specialists so this carries a bit of risk, but I'd have had the home side around 8/13 so I'll take the odds which are pushing 9/10.
16:55 4:55 Yarmouth
Rogue Allegiance
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2500
Win
100
Rogue Allegiance ran a good race on his seasonal return lto and should come on for that. I was planning to back him last night and again early this morning at single digit prices, but he's drifted like a barge all day and is around 16/1 ew 4pl as I type. I think he's worth a go despite the race looking competitive, with plenty IWAC.
Subtotal69
20 April 2026
20:00 8:00 Newcastle
Bobby Joe Leg
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+2500
Lose
-50
I'm taking a chance on the old timer, Bobby Joe Leg in the 8:00 who looks a huge price at 25/1. I would have been even more confident if they'd returned to blinkers but I'm hoping that given I'd backed him off 69 over C&D in Feb when a close second to well handicapped Golden Strike of Fahey's, that he can go well of 67 tonight. He's definitely capable in this company and track and trip are ideal and the booking on Mulrennan is interesting as its the first time he's ridden him. If he doesn't run his race tonight, he'll go in the tracker for when the blinkers return.
Subtotal-50
19 April 2026
17:00 5:00 Tramore
Kotkito Bello
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+225
Lose
-50
My nap today is Kotkito Bello, who returns to chasing having had a productive winter over hurdles following a win in a beginners chase in November. He won a couple of lower grade handicap hurdles before running well at the DRF, prior to running out of gas at Fairyhouse. It's likely they think he's well treated here and I think he'll improve again for a fence off 112 (rated in the 120s over hurdles).
16:38 4:38 Auteuil
Leopard Du Berlais
Daily Racing
50 WINNB
@-109
Lose
-50
Very highly regarded and has an exceptional record, but was beaten at short odds last time out when looking to need the run. As a result, he's currently trading just shy of even money at around 10/11 and is a bet for me to come on for that run and return to winning ways.
16:30 Man City v Arsenal
Man City
50 WIN
@-109
Win
46
City have really picked up in recent weeks, the catalyst being the signings of Semenyo and Guehi. Arsenal have struggled to maintain their early season momentum and I think the home side are an excellent bet at around 10/11.
Antoine Semenyo
First Goalscorer
50 WIN
@+550
Lose
-50
I've backed City to win here and I think the value sits with Semenyo to score first at around 11/2. He's flying and is better value than Haaland to get the opener.
Subtotal-104
17 April 2026
14:32 2:32 Newbury
Seet
Daily Racing
25 EW
@SP
Lose
-50
Seet is highly regarded and has been working well at home for the in-form Gosden yard. I'm happy to take on the likely fav, as Ed Walker's often come on a lot for the run although at 900,000gns, she's clearly going to be a very well bred newcomer. I'd be surprised to see Seet out of the three so a solid ew play in a field of debutants.
Subtotal-50
13 April 2026
14:00 2:00 Hexham
Red Oak
Daily Racing
50 WINNAP
@+110
Win
55
This looks a much weaker affair than Red Oak has been running in with his last two runs in the Premier Novice at Kelso (gr 2) and then a strong Newbury handicap hurdle won by Storming George, who followed up in the Top Novices at the weekend. This looks a match on paper and I'm happy to play the outsider at the prices as I think he has the strongest form in the book and I'd have him around a 5/4 shot.
Subtotal55
11 April 2026
15:00 Chesterfield v Tranmere
Chesterfield
50 WIN
@-181
Lose
-50
Chesterfield are going well having won four of their last five but this pick is more about the away side, Tranmere who have picked up just one point in their last 10 away from home. I expect the home side to win to nil and around 8/13 is a decent enough price as my next best football bet of the weekend.
12:30 Bristol Rovers v Crawley Town
Bristol Rovers
250 WIN
@+104
Win
262
This looks a real value bet for me as Bristol Rovers have been the team to follow in recent weeks with 5 wins on the bounce. They are going really well and while Crawley can be a dangerous side, they are poor away from home with the worst record in the division. I would have Bristol Rovers down as a 4/6 shot or even pushing towards 8/13 but the market is still under-estimating them and I'm happy to push the button early to secure this price.
Subtotal212
10 April 2026
17:15 5:15 Aintree
Last Kingdom
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+2800
Lose
-50
His form so far for Faye Bramley's yard has been poor but I'm hoping the addition of the first time tongue tie can make the difference having been dropped 10lb by the handicapper to what now looks a potentially workable mark based on his Irish form when with Willie Mullins. This time last year he was held up (as I'd like him to be riddent today) at Fairyhouse and came through like a horse that was extremely well handicapped off 115. He then beat the Fred Winter winner, Puturhandstogether at Listowel off 129, the same mark as he's off today. If he retains that sort of ability (it was only September last year), then he might make 28/1 look a huge each way price.
14:43 2:43 Thirsk
Clonquest
Daily Racing
50 EWNAP
@+450
Lose
-100
This is the sort of bet the bookies will hate. He's 9/2 in a field of 8 (praying their are no late NRs) so we are getting 3pl where the 4th horse in the betting sits at 14/1 and three of the field are triple figure prices. I'd also make the case that this one has clearly the best form in the book, having given 5lb to a subsequent winner from the Balding yard at Newcastle last time, finishing within a length of her. I think the step up in trip will help today, moving from 7f to a mile, as he wasn't slowing at Newcastle last time and looked a case of the further the better.
I'm also happy to take on My Ballyquinn, who looks like a nice horse in the making but I'm sure he'll be better suited stepped up again to 1m 2f. The Doncaster race that Simon Pierre finished 10th in should be a nice enough race and I was there that day but that horse hasnt done enough to justify the price difference between that and the selection and I'm happy enough at 9/2 to make Clonquest my NAP.
13:45 1:45 Aintree
Indeevar Bleu
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+450
Lose
-50
My approach to betting is relatively cautious and I'm generally looking for a horse who has a strong chance of returning money. Both my favoured selections today fit this criteria although Indeevar is my NB purely based on the more competitive and bigger field. Sean Bowen sees him as his best chance of the week and having come here fresh following a blip prior to Cheltenham, this could be the perfect set up and at around 9/2, he's my muggy ew 5pl bet here.
Subtotal-200
09 April 2026
17:15 5:15 Aintree
Burds Of A Feather
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+1000
Lose
-50
I put this horse up lto and she decided to bolt off before the start, so there is clearly a lot of risk attached, especially when taking in her point record too. But when you look at her win at Warwick, she literally took apart the field. There may not have been much strength in depth, but I feel that if she gets away at the start and then doesn't run out, she'll be very close and the market has definitely priced her up on the basis she's a nutjob, at around 10/1. It's a very difficult race to predict, but she should be fresh and if the occassion doesn't get to her, I'm hopeful of the win!
16:50 4:50 Taunton
Inferno Sacree
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@+110
Lose
-50
Infernoo Sacree still looks well handicapped to me and I put him up here lto when he won well and the step up to 3 miles has been the making of him. I expect the ground to be fine and his main market rival has two P's next to his name on form, so even money or bigger looks worth a bet to me.
15:30 3:30 Aintree
Unexpected Party
Daily Racing
25 EWNAPNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@+600
Win
5
I'm very surprised by the drift on this one as he was as short as around 3/1 last night when I looked and I was hoping to get 9/2 or 5s for a muggy each way. He's a classy horse, winning and then finishing second in the Grand Annual and has a 2/2 record in lower grade hunter chases so far. It looks like this has been the plan and the 2m 5f distance looks perfect. I'd love to see Heidi Palin get a big race win and this would be the perfect set up for it.
Subtotal-95
07 April 2026
17:00 5:00 Pontefract
The Tunguska Event
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+700
Win
10
There's only two winners in this race, the fav, Liquid Cooled and my selection, The Tunguska Event. In all honesty, its a weak race and I was debating whether this was nap material but he's race fit, has 2 wins on his record and has a good jock in Jason Hart on board. The yard do well here and I think he should be in the first four so that will be my play, although it certainly wouldn't be my most confident bet of the week.
Subtotal10
05 April 2026
22:45 Valero Texas Open
Ryo Hisatsune
25 EW
@+4000
Lose
-50
Ryo's game looks ideally suited to this event and he went close last year with a T5 finish. His approach game is excellent and at 23, his putting is a little bit inconsistent, but when it clicks, he's very good and the results follow. He's had 3 top 10 finishes so far in 2026 and a very good T13 at the Players, so with many of the big guns more focused on next week, I'm hoping he can give us a run for our money.
16:05 4:05 Plumpton
Indemnity
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+750
Win
225
I think Indemnity looks a really solid bet based on his early season runs and form lines with the likes of Alexei. He's been freshened up after disappointing at Kempton LTO and I think that he can go close here. Mondo Man is the right fav but is too short for me to back and I will be playing Indemnity ew 4pl at 13/2 and w/o MM with Bet365 at around 4/1 ew 3pl.
Subtotal175
04 April 2026
20:00 8:00 Wolverhampton
Toomuchforme
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+850
Lose
-50
Plenty of questions about some of these so I'm going to take a swing at Toomuchforme backing up his lto win with a follow up here off just 3lb higher. He looked to have a little bit in hand over Shaala Asker and I would think he should be shorter in the market.
17:50 5:50 Wolverhampton
Orbital Chime
Daily Racing
25 EW
@+900
Win
20
Orbital Chime was a decent servant for Katie Scott and his new yard are adept at getting the best out of a stable switcher once they are handicapped appropriately. This one looks to be on a nice mark of 60 and Harry Vigors takes off another 3lb, putting him off 57 which I think is more than workable if he's trying. He steps up to a mile for the first time which is the unknown, but I think thats compensated for in the price at around 9/1 in what looks like a fairly weak race.
15:20 3:20 Haydock
Triple Trade
Daily Racing
25 EWNB
@+500
Lose
-50
Triple Trade has been laid out for this Veterans Chase final (admittedly, he won't be the only one) but having only just hit the 10yo+ criteria for a veterans chase, he looks to be a cracking ew bet here in the final. The key for me is his consistency at this sort of trip with his last 3 runs reading very well. He looked as if the trip suited brilliantly at Sandown at the turn of the year but then ran a great race behind Donnacha and Jagwar on Trials Day, form that looks rock solid and then ran in the Greatwood Gold Cup behind subsequent winners, Blow your Wad and Teddy Blue. The handicapper has dropped him a pound and although this is a strong race for a Veterans Chase, I think he's the class act and can pick up another win.
13:48 1:48 Carlisle
Dr Seb
Daily Racing
25 EWNAP
@+1100
Lose
-50
This is my best bet of the day having had over a year and a half off after being very promising as a good ground staying hurdler back in 2024. He came back recently at Wincanton and its interesting that they put a very inexperienced 10lb claimer on that day and he's replaced by Sean Bowen today, who's style has suited this horse on his previous runs. I think he'll still potentially be on a nice mark and if he can see out the trip at Carlisle, which will be more of a test than he's experienced at Uttoxeter in his previous wins.
Subtotal-130
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
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