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My win selection for this one is Doyen Du Bar. He’s an unexposed chaser who looks ideal for Newbury. He’s a strong, relentless front runner on a galloping, left-handed track where leaders are hard to peg back. He goes well fresh, so the break is a positive. Off 131, he has hinted at high-130s ability, which makes him look ahead of the handicapper. With Harry Cobden booked, I expect a positive ride to seize control early, jump them into submission, and keep rolling all the way to the line.

My each-way selection for this one is Rath Gaul Hill. You simply cannot ignore a horse who is 2 from 2 at Newbury, including a win over this sort of trip. That tells you he handles the stiff fences and the long, demanding straight. His best work comes around 2m, and his peak TS and RPR figures are more than strong enough for a Class 3 handicap like this. I also like how he races prominently without needing to force the pace, which should be ideal if the front end gets competitive. With a manageable racing weight of 10-11, he can sit in the right spot, pounce after the last, and looks a solid bet to hit the frame.

My Each Way selection for this one is Goodie Girl. She's a tough and likeable mare with a solid place strike-rate and now finds herself 19 lb below her career-best RPR after a spell on the sidelines. Her comeback run at Naas was much better than the bare result, staying on from the rear in a race that didn't fully play to her strengths and suggesting that both fitness and confidence are back. The step up to 2m 4½f on a fair, galloping track should be within range, provided the ground doesn't become extreme. She's the type to creep into the race late as the pace collapses. With a racing weight in her favour and plenty of placed efforts in competitive handicaps, I expect her to run an honest race and be bang in the mix for the places.

My win selection for this one is I A CONNECT, a battle-hardened 10-year-old who looks extremely well treated on his current mark. He showed at Navan last time that plenty of ability remains, travelling prominently in a 2m5f handicap on heavy ground and sticking on for third in a 19-runner field off 110, earning a strong RPR and confirming his appetite for a slog. He now returns over a slightly shorter trip that should still suit ideally, with the likely strong pace at Fairyhouse allowing him to settle just behind the speed. His historical hurdle peak around 150 leaves huge room off 111, and there is no sign in the recent figures that he’s finished. The ground is in his favour, the big-field scenario holds no fear, and his tactical versatility should let connections avoid the early burn-up. I’m confident he can grind this out and assert on the long uphill run-in.

My win selection for this one is Resplendent Grey, a 7-year-old coming perfectly to the boil for Olly Murphy. He ticks every forensic box for this. Proven stamina from his Bet365 Gold Cup win, a perfect prep run at Carlisle over a shorter trip to sharpen his speed, and a hold-up running style that will be absolutely lethal given the suicidal pace forecast here. With Annual Invictus and Myretown likely to cut each other's throats upfront, Sean Bowen can sit quiet and unleash him late. He has been laid out specifically for this race and looks ready to strike.

My each-way tip for this one is Indeevar Bleu. He represents the Olly Murphy stable, which is currently operating at a phenomenal strike rate. He arrives here as a proven mudlark with a heavy-ground win already on his CV. The race setup looks tailor-made for him. With several aggressive front-runners likely to make this a stamina test, his patient hold-up style will allow Sean Bowen to preserve energy while others burn out. He is unexposed, handles the conditions perfectly, and I expect him to be surging past tiring rivals in the home straight to at least hit the frame.

My selection for this one is VIYANNI, a lightly raced four-year-old who has been specifically targeted at this Premier Handicap by Harry Derham for months. Racing off a mark of 124 and carrying just 10st 9lb, he holds an advantage over the top weights on this testing ground and has run well fresh before. The trainer has carefully protected his handicap mark since February, and his confidence that the horse will develop into a stayer suggests the soft going will be a help, not a hindrance. With a contested pace likely to set the race up perfectly for him, I’m confident he is a 'graded' horse in a handicap and will prove extremely hard to beat.

My each-way tip for this one is Kepler's Law. He’s lightly raced for his age and, in this Newbury handicap, his peak run screams 'soft-ground 2m4f' after bolting up on heavy at Leicester, travelling powerfully and quickening clear. Back on properly testing ground, his stout Jack Hobbs??"Kayf Tara pedigree looks a major asset, and his current mark of 125 still gives him room to be competitive if he reproduces that level. With several pace angles likely ensuring a true gallop, I expect him to settle, creep into it, and keep on when others have had enough. I’m confident he hits the frame.

My win selection for this one is Ludor, a progressive five-year-old from the Tom Symonds yard who arrives on a steep upward curve. The standout factor here is his handicap mark. He posted a massive Racing Post Rating of 146 in his romp at Bangor, which puts him theoretically 10 lbs clear of his official rating of 136 today. He is a confirmed front-runner who should relish the soft ground at Newbury. With no other aggressive pace-setters to hassle him, I expect him to dictate the fractions and simply gallop them into submission. The clock backs this up too, with a serious Top Speed figure recorded last time out. I'm confident he is the one they all have to catch.

My selection for this one is DIAMOND RI, a six-year-old with massive potential from the Joe Tizzard yard. He was last seen running a scorcher to finish second at Cheltenham in a higher grade, where he stayed on strongly. This step up to three miles is exactly what he needs. With the stable flying and the soft ground perfect for his stamina-laden pedigree, a mark of 128 looks like a gift. He has the 'big engine' noted in his profile to grind this field down and win convincingly.

My each-way tip for this one is Zoum Zoum. This 4-year-old has the perfect profile for a race likely to fall apart late. He is a confirmed hold-up horse who stays 7f on heavy ground, meaning he possesses the deep stamina reserves required here. Drawn wide in 13, he will be dropped out last ??" exactly where he needs to be ??" and will be flying home when the front-runners hit the wall. With Group form in the book and a solid all-weather record, he looks a reliable proposition to hit the frame at a decent price.

My win selection for this one is ZAMOND, a consistent 9-year-old from the Donald McCain yard who ticks every box for this contest. He arrives here in peak form, having won comfortably at Sedgefield recently. Crucially, he possesses the tactical versatility to sit just off what looks like a hot pace involving Orange Diamond and Sumatran Tiger. With a solid RPR of 100 in his recent starts and a mark that still looks workable, he is the reliable force in a field of inconsistent types. I'm confident he has the class to finish strongest.

My selection for this race is STRONG LEADER, an eight-year-old trained by the in-form Olly Murphy. He arrives here with the perfect profile: a Grade 2 winner over this trip who explicitly craves a flat track like Newbury. His reappearance win at Wetherby was striking, as he beat two of today's rivals despite his trainer admitting he was undercooked. With that run under his belt and his proven ability to handle soft ground, he sets a standard the others will struggle to match. The penalty is a burden, but his class edge and course suitability make him the one to beat. I'm confident he has the engine to grind these down.

My each-way selection for this one is Sir Rodneyredblood. He’s an eight-year-old with a deep Chelmsford sprint record, and his recent 5f second and 6f third here confirm he retains plenty of ability. This track and surface clearly bring out the best in him, and he’s now operating off a mark only a shade above his last winning level. He typically races prominently, which is ideal round here. If his rider can avoid getting dragged into an all-out battle for the lead, he should be in the right place turning for home. Given his consistency and proven C&D form, I expect him to run his usual honest race and be heavily involved in the places, with an outside chance of going one better.

My win selection for this race is Up The Monk. He’s a progressive three-year-old who has already shown he can win and back it up in stronger 6f all-weather handicaps, and this looks a logical next target. His Southwell success, followed by a staying-on third at Wolverhampton despite a wide trip and being struck into, proves he finishes strongly when he gets a proper pace. Today’s race promises exactly that, with several confirmed front-runners likely to ensure a solid gallop. Off a mark only 1 lb higher than his last win, he still has room to manoeuvre, and the switch to Chelmsford should suit a strong-travelling closer like him. If he drops in, gets cover and sees daylight in time, I’m confident he can swump these late on.

My win selection for this race is MIDNIGHT MOONSHINE, the William Harvey-trained six-year-old who has compiled a sequence of solid placed efforts in recent months. He finished a staying-on second at Downpatrick, third at Fairyhouse after challenging at the last, and fourth at Down Royal in his most recent outing. The pattern is clear: this horse runs an honest race every time and finds only one or two too strong. At 11-7 on yielding ground that suits, with his best Topspeed figure of 110 achieved at this sort of trip, conditions are ideal. He's lightly raced with only ten jumps runs behind him, and Ben Harvey, who rides for his family stable, knows this horse inside out. The moderate-pace scenario suits a horse who travels kindly before staying on, and I'm confident he can convert placed form into a deserved success.

My each-way selection for this one is REBEL EMPIRE, a CD winner in Class 3 company just ten months ago who drops to Class 5 today off a mark 7 lb below that winning performance. The recent form figures will scare off the market, but crucially those runs came on unsuitable ground. The trainer confirmed after Ascot he "would prefer a slower surface." Today's Polytrack standard mirrors his January winning conditions exactly. He's drawn ideally in stall 3 to exploit Chelmsford's low-draw sprint bias, and at the prices his form sequence will command, he represents outstanding each-way value if reproducing anything close to his proven C&D ability.

My win selection for this one is TYGER BAY. This 8yo gelding is a course and distance specialist with 13 career wins at 6f and 9 wins on Polytrack. Crucially, his last run (Nov 6 at Chelmsford) is the 'smoking gun' of this race. Competing in a higher grade (Class 4), he was denied a clear run at a critical stage, forced to switch, and still rattled home to finish 2nd, beaten only a length. He runs here off OR 74, well below his historical peak (won off 79), and is drawn perfectly in Stall 4 to stalk the leaders on the rail and pounce when the front-runners tire.

ROGUE THUNDER represents the classic each way value play - poor recent form that obscures course specific ability, well handicapped relative to proven winning form, and racing from the perfect draw. The 5 places from 13 course runs tells the real story.

My Each Way tip for this one is FOX LE BEL. This 10-year-old gelding is a proven heavy ground horse with four places from six runs in the mud, and he thrives when others flounder. He attacks from the front, which is the ideal blueprint at Tramore, where prominent racers show a strong statistical edge. He will control the race on the rail from an early stage. The drop back to two miles five furlongs suits better than the extreme test at Punchestown, and he runs from a basement mark against rivals with weaker heavy credentials. Four places on offer only strengthen his appeal as the most dependable runner to stay on through the stamina-sapping conditions.

My win tip for this one is HE FITZ IN. He is the only runner with a heavy ground win, landing a Limerick handicap off 94 and now 9lb lower on identical conditions. His Tramore second shows he handles the track, and the Sligo notes said he 'isn't far off another score.' His edge is simple - he jumps right, and at sharp, right-handed Tramore that becomes a weapon. He’ll save ground at every fence, and his prominent style suits a course where front runners excel. Key rivals fall apart on heavy. Lake Chad is winless in seven, Likable Chancer winless in eight, and Toor Moon jumps left, which makes him wrong for this circuit. Fit after two runs, well treated, proven in the ground. He is lined up for a big one today.

My win selection for this one is MULLANOUR. This 6yo gelding returns to hurdles following an unsuccessful chasing spell and this stamina laden test on heavy ground plays directly to his strengths. Finished a close second at Limerick in January on heavy ground, proving beyond doubt his ability to handle testing conditions. Course form solid with a placed effort here at Tramore in April when posting an RPR of 103. That figure leaves him 11lb well in off today's mark of 92. The Hillstar and Presenting breeding guarantees stamina for this gruelling 2m5f test, while the 7lb claim from Eoin Staples further reduces his burden. Proven on the ground, proven at the track, proven at the trip. All conditions align.

My Win selection for this one is UNITED APPROACH, who drops significantly in class from strong Kempton and Newcastle handicaps where he posted the best 7f AW figures in this field (RPR 96 and 92 in Class 2/3 company). Now runs off 82, a full 6 to 14lbs below those marks and well below his peak RPR of 99, making him exceptionally well handicapped. His recent Doncaster heavy ground flop is entirely forgivable as he was never travelling on a surface that blunted his strengths. Returns to 7f AW, his proven optimum conditions where he ran a big third at Kempton in an 81 to 95 handicap behind Yorkshire and Blue Prince. Comments show he dwells early then finishes strongly, wanting a well run 7f exactly what today's strong pace provides. Draw 5 is ideal to drop in and angle out in the straight. His closing style suits the likely solid gallop perfectly. Drop in grade, lenient mark, proven ability, ideal conditions and perfect race setup.

My Each Way selection for this one is EVOCATIVE SPARK, who holds a decisive class edge. Proven in much higher grade Class 2 and 3 handicaps with RPRs and TS figures well above this field, now dropped into a Class 5 to 70 off a lenient OR of 64, significantly below his historic winning marks. He's a proper 7f specialist with 5 wins at the trip and recent authoritative win at Catterick showing he retains a potent finishing kick. Recent runs show repeated bad luck with hampered starts, denied clear runs, yet keeping on strongly late when getting daylight. Today's setup is perfect, strong pace guaranteed from stall 6 allows him to settle midfield and unleash his proven late kick on Newcastle's stiff straight 7f that rewards strong stayers. Proven competent on AW at this track. Class drop, lenient mark, specialist trip, perfect race shape. Outstanding Each Way selection.

My Win selection for this one is FLOWSTATE, a proven all weather specialist with 2 wins from 3 starts. His recent RPR of 70+ sets the standard here, well above what most have managed. Draw 1 is ideal to secure the rail and conserve energy behind the likely pace. He stays 6f strongly and finishes powerfully, exactly what's needed in a race loaded with early speed. In peak form after winning at Southwell in September and placing at Chelmsford. David O'Meara's yard is flying at 100% horses running to form. Clean profile, proven ability, perfect draw. He's the one for me.

My Each Way selection for this one is Treacherous. This 11yo gelding is thrown in here. Once a high class all weather sprinter off a peak RPR of 93 he now runs from a mark of 63 and still shows he retains fire when he gets a clear run. His recent form is misleading as he has been repeatedly blocked at key stages and shaped far better than the bare results show. This race sets up perfectly with plenty of pace for his late charge and he is a proven winner at the track and trip. Draw seven keeps him out of trouble and the five pound claim sharpens his edge. He has the class to surge through late and looks outstanding each way value at big odds.

My win selection for this one is Della Casa Lunga. This 7-year-old mare is back on her specialist stage and looks the one to beat. She has already chased home the winner in this exact Listed race last year and bolted up over 3m here in a strong handicap last December, proving she is fully effective at this right-handed flat track and trip. Her standout TS of 136 and RPR of 148 came under conditions identical to today, and her Bangor flop is easy to forgive as she is far less effective left-handed. With only six runners and no obvious pace, she can control this from the front or sit handy and use her rhythm and stamina to full effect. Back at her optimal venue, she is primed to reproduce her best Kempton form and should take plenty of stopping.

My win selection for this one is Hitak, who brings the strongest chase form into this beginners’ event, having already run to a mid-130s RPR and top TS figure in a good 2m6f Listowel novice. A previous course winner at Cork over 3m½f, he’s proven on the track and today’s 2m5f on yielding ground looks absolutely ideal after just stretching his stamina on deeper going last time. He’s battle-hardened over fences, jumps soundly, and should be able to sit close to what looks an honest pace before grinding it out better than these. In a race full of unproven or hype horses, he’s the one with solid numbers and perfect conditions ??" The clear win pick for me.

My each-way selection for this one is Showurappreciation, who sneaked a 122 RPR in a hot Naas novice chase and now gets his optimum set-up: 2m5f on yielding ground around a right-handed track where he’s already shown his best form. His Ballinrobe win over a similar trip and a strong big-field Punchestown run mark him as a grinder who finishes off well off a solid pace, and the combination of a low-looking mark and 207-day absence should mean he’s underestimated in the market. With trip, ground and race shape all in his favour, he looks overpriced and rock-solid each-way value.

My win selection for the John Durkan is FACT TO FILE, the Topspeed selection who holds the highest OR of 173 and best RPR of 179 in this Grade 1 field. He won this exact race last year over 2m 3.5f on soft (RPR 169), proving himself over course and distance in the same conditions. His distance record is perfect: 3 wins and 1 place from 4 starts at 2m 4f, his optimal trip. He's a proven soft ground specialist with 4 wins and 1 place from 5 starts on the going. Carries 11-12 today, exactly his best weight band where he holds 5 wins and 4 places from 10 starts and achieved his peak RPR of 179. W P Mullins rates him as a 'Gold Cup horse in the making', describing him as a 'beautiful jumper' and 'real gentleman of a horse'. His Grade 1 Brown Advisory Novices' Chase victory at Cheltenham over 2m 4.5f, where he won 'impressively', confirms this distance range is where he peaks. Supreme class, proven course and distance winner, ideal conditions. Outstanding selection.

My Each Way Selection for the John Durkan is GRANGECLARE WEST. This 9yo gelding represents outstanding each way value with elite class that will be overlooked due to recent poor form. He holds an RPR of 171 from his tremendous Grand National third at Aintree in April and ran second in the Irish Gold Cup in February, beaten a short head for the runner up spot. Marathon stamina proven at the highest level. The market will dismiss him after being pulled up in this race last November and a poor fifth at Navan in March. However, he bounced back dramatically after that Navan run with the Irish Gold Cup second and Grand National third, proving he's capable of huge rebounds when conditions suit. He's a proven soft ground specialist with 4 wins from 6 starts on that going, perfect for today's soft to heavy conditions and his distance record is strong (3 wins from 6 at 2m 4f). The deep conditions will place huge emphasis on stamina, playing directly to the strengths of a horse with proven 4m 2.5f class. If he runs to his Irish Gold Cup or Grand National form, he's competitive for a place at huge odds.

My selection for this one is BATTLE OF MIRBAT, the Topspeed selection holding the joint highest TS rating of 127. He won comfortably at Down Royal last time out, achieving that career-best 127 rating and confirming he's in peak form. Crucially, he beat his main ratings rival Whateys Quest by 7.5 lengths in that race, giving him a direct form advantage. He's proven at Cork with 2 places from 2 runs and boasts a strong November/December record (1 win, 2 places from 3), confirming he performs at his best this time of year. His stamina for 2m 5f 50y is assured, having won over 3m last time. The jockey noted he's 'brilliant to jump' and 'really enjoyed getting out in front', perfect for dictating matters today. Class, form, course record, and seasonal pattern all align.

My Each Way Selection for this one is SMALLCRAFTWARNING. Represents outstanding each way value carrying minimum weight in this large 16 runner field. Exceptional recent consistency with placings of 2nd, 2nd, 2nd, 4th in his last four chases, confirming he's a dependable placer in current form. Recent runner up finishes came over 2m 5f 50y and 2m 7f on good to yielding, proving he's competitive at this level. He's a thorough stayer with 3 places from 3 starts at 2m 6f. Last time over 3m 4f on 2 November he finished 4th but was noted as 'not quite getting home over the longest trip he has encountered'. Today's 2m 5f 50y should be perfectly aligned for his staying ability without testing his absolute endurance. He appreciates cut in the ground with his best performances (1 win, 6 places from 15) coming on good to soft, exactly matching today's yielding to soft conditions. Light weight, consistent placing form, perfect trip and ideal ground. Outstanding each way proposition.

My each way selection for this one is BALLYGLASS BEAUTY. This 9yo gelding represents outstanding each way value at the bottom of the handicap. Runs 5lbs below his September 2023 winning mark, making him competitively weighted and likely overlooked after being winless for over a year. Recent form is mixed but his October second showed he remains competitive. This 3m trip is his perfect distance with 2 wins and 6 places from 14 starts, his most successful trip by far. By Westerner, he handles soft ground well with strong records on good to soft (1 win, 1 place from 2) and soft (2 places from 3). Today's yielding to soft going is ideal. A proven 3m stayer on testing ground running off a potentially dangerous mark. Excellent each way value.

My win selection for this one is MIDNIGHT OUR FRED, who holds a colossal class advantage. His lifetime best RPR is 140 achieved over fences and he's competed successfully in chase handicaps off marks up to 132. Today he runs in a hurdles handicap off just OR 106, making him 34lbs well in on proven ability. That's a massive edge. The 3m trip is tailor made for him with proven stamina including three consecutive seconds at Cheltenham, one over 3m 4f. His hurdles record at 3m shows 1 win and 2 places from 4 starts. He handles soft ground with 3 places from 6 on good to yielding and 1 place from 3 on soft. Today's yielding to soft conditions are fine. Last run was a pull up in March but the jockey reported he was 'never travelling', so that can be disregarded. Prior to that he led throughout a Listed Chase Handicap at Leopardstown (RPR 138). A professional chaser dropping back to hurdles off a lenient mark with supreme stamina for this trip. He's the one for me today.