zephyr

Like trying to find value . Enjoy watching and tipping most sports but especially like Rugby League and the dogs . Own dogs that run at Monmore, Perry Barr and Newcastle . Just hoping there will still be some tracks in 20 years time

7

Estimated Prizes
this month

£65

Estimated Prize money
this month

31 July 2025
10:50 Parramatta Eels v Melbourne Storm

Melbourne Storm

To Win

50 WIN

@1.28

Win

14

Eels bounced back to form with a decent win over Brisbane but had been beaten heavily in the previous three matches. Storm have won the last five head-to-heads, and with Munster and Papenhuyzen returning, they should be capable of winning here.

Melbourne Storm -10.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

Storm away from home but covered this mark in the last four direct meetings. Eels were beaten in excess of this mark in three of their past four matches. If Storm start well, I think they can win this and cover with a bit to spare.

Over 46.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

I go with overs here. The last four head-to-heads saw 46 points or more scored, and with eight of the last ten these played combined going over 40 points, I expect a high-scoring match.
10:30 Kiwoom Heroes @ SSG Landers

Kiwoom Heroes

Money Line

50 WIN

@4.25

Lose

-50

Heroes are a huge price here after getting a 5-5 draw against this opponent yesterday. I think they can edge this by a couple of runs late on today at very attractive odds.
10:00 Hiroshima Carp @ Hanshin Tigers

Hiroshima Carp

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.50

Win

75

Carp look the better call at these odds. I had them as favorites, so I'm surprised to see them as outsiders in this one and feel the odds are the wrong way around.
10:00 Seibu Lions @ Orix Buffaloes

Orix Buffaloes

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.40

Win

70

The Buffaloes won 6-4 when they played yesterday and have now won three of the last four direct meetings. I expect them to be able to win again.
10:00 Softbank Hawks @ Nippon Ham Fighters

Softbank Hawks

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.38

Win

69

Hawks have home field advantage. They have eight wins and a draw in the last ten and won four of the last five head-to-heads.
09:45 Yakult Swallows @ Yokohama Bay Stars

Yakult Swallows

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.48

Lose

-50

Swallows are a big price here. I think they can start well and get runs on the board and defend them.
28 July 2025
20:00 Deportivo Riestra v Atletico Tucuman

Atletico Tucuman & Yes (Result + BTTS)

Result and BTTS

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

They have four wins and a draw in the last five matches. They have won two of their last three with both teams scoring. This outcome looks overpriced.
17:00 Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich v Slavia Sofia

Yes (BTTS)

Both Teams to Score

50 WIN

@2.00

Win

50

Four of the last five head-to-head matches saw both sides score. The last two have seen 2-1 and 6-1 scorelines. I think both can score here.
17:00 FC Botosani v FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia

FC Unirea 2004 Slobozia (AH) 0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.88

Lose

-50

Three wins in the last five and off the back of a 6-1 victory lately. I think if they score, they avoid defeat and can do enough to get at least a draw.
27 July 2025
18:15 Sint Truidense v Gent

Sint Truidense (AH) -0.25

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.85

Win

43

They have strong home form. I believe they will be able to score at least two or three. This should see them cover the mark.
17:45 Cherno More Varna v Botev Plovdiv

Cherno More Varna (AH) -0.50

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Expect them to be able to score a couple at home. The opponent doesn't look good enough here, and expect they cover with a little to spare.
17:30 Club Brugge v Genk

Club Brugge (AH) -0.75

Asian Hcap

50 WIN

@1.78

Win+Push

19

Should be too strong at home, with any method of victory producing a return. I think they can win to nil to cover the mark.
14:00 Belgian Grand Prix

Yuki Tsunoda - Yes

Podium Finish

50 WIN

@201.00

Lose

-50

Yuki Tsunoda - Yes

Points Finish

50 WIN

@3.50

Lose

-50

He has qualified in seventh position, and it's probably his best performance in a Red Bull so far. I think he finished a couple of places higher and could make the top 6 at a price.

Charles Leclerc

Fastest Lap

50 WIN

@15.00

Lose

-50

Yuki Tsunoda - Yes

Top 6 Finish

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

Made his best qualifying effort so far and looks way overpriced at these odds for a top 6 finish. He can split the Ferraris in fourth or fifth to place top 6 today.
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07:05 Canterbury Bulldogs v Manly Sea Eagles

Manly Sea Eagles

To Win

50 WIN

@2.35

Lose

-50

Manly on the back of a really impressive win over Melbourne Storm. They were away that day too, but their pace on either flank was too much for Storm. I think Saab will be the main difference here. Manly to edge this one.
05:00 Canberra Raiders v Newcastle Knights

Canberra Raiders

To Win

50 WIN

@1.21

Win

10

Canberra Raiders -14.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Over 44.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

I will try over here. Raiders scored forty last time against Eels, who franked form yesterday winning away to Broncos. I think they can score heavily here, but Newcastle with Dom Young back have a chance for around 16 points. This mark should be surpassed.
03:00 Xander Zayas v Jorge Garcia Perez

Draw

Win Fight

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

I think these two could get each other to a standstill. It looks like there will be very little in it, and both may be suited by the draw.
00:00 WIN Bluebombers @ TOR Argonauts

TOR Argonauts by 13 18

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@19.00

Win

900

Toronto have home advantage. They played very well last time out, and I think they can succeed here. I'll try a two-touchdown margin here for them and think it will be 14 points.
26 July 2025
23:30 Caroline Veyre v Licia Boudersa

Draw

Win Fight

50 WIN

@19.00

Lose

-50

The odds appeal in a draw here on what I feel is a match-up with two very similar fighters. Could be nothing to separate them towards the end.
22:10 Robert Whittaker v Reinier De Ridder

Robert Whittaker By Submission

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@17.00

Lose

-50

Whittaker is a pretty technical fighter. The odds on a submission victory appeal with the way the fight is likely to start. He can seize an opening to submit his opponent.
21:40 Petr Yan v Marcus McGhee

Marcus McGhee KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@10.00

Lose

-50

McGhee is better than these odds suggest. I think he wins the fight and can stop this opponent with a vicious knockout.
21:30 Rohan Polanco v Quinton Randall

Quinton Randall KO TKO or Disqualification

Outcome 5-Way

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

The only way for him to win the fight looks like an early stoppage. It's a decent price to get the job done this way and worth a look.
15:00 Belgian Grand Prix

Lando Norris

Fastest Qualifier

50 WIN

@4.00

Win

150

Norris looks good value to me. I think there won't be much between him and Piastri here, and he's the much bigger price.
15:00 Hull FC v Huddersfield

Huddersfield

To Win

50 WIN

@4.50

Win

175

Huddersfield have won four of the last five matches and look good value off the mark. I think they can get ahead early and do enough to lead this match all the way.
15:00 Italy Women vs Poland Women

Poland Women

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.90

Lose

-50

Poland looks too big a price here. I think they can start much better. I feel they take this by three sets to one.

Poland Women to win 3-1

Set Score

50 WIN

@11.00

Lose

-50

I think Poland can start well here and get a couple of sets on the board. Italy may take the third before Poland takes the fourth. 3-1 at double-figure odds appeals.
11:00 Australia v British & Irish Lions

Australia

To Win

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

This will be a cauldron atmosphere for the Lions. I think with nearly 80,000 in attendance, the majority Australian, the crowd can sweep them to victory. They played well last week, and the Lions' margin wasn't big enough to suggest it could not be reversed.

Australia 10.50

Handicap

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Australia covered this mark last week, and I think at this ground the home support will be worth at least another 8 points. Plus, I can see them winning and covering in the process.
10:35 South Sydney Rabbitohs v Cronulla Sharks

South Sydney Rabbitohs

To Win

50 WIN

@4.50

Lose

-50

Souths offer a spot of value at this price based on their last home game where they pushed the Storm all the way, losing 24-25. Their home form and performances are much better than their away form, and I think they are worth a try with a nearly full-strength side out.

South Sydney Rabbitohs 14.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Souths were beaten heavily in the last three games, but they were all away. In their last three home matches, they lost by six to the Warriors, six to the Bulldogs, and one point to the Storm. Their home form is strong enough to suggest they can cover here.

Over 48.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.95

Lose

-50

Sharks are playing well and looking dangerous in attack. I think they can put quite a lot of points on the Bunnies, in excess of thirty. But I also feel the Bunnies have three or more tries in them. I think we could see a fifty-point game here.
08:30 Penrith Panthers v Wests Tigers

Penrith Panthers

To Win

50 WIN

@1.24

Win

12

Panthers are on a six-match winning streak and undefeated in seven of the last eight. They should be far too good at home today.

Penrith Panthers -14.50

Handicap (2-way)

50 WIN

@1.95

Win

47

Doesn't look like a big mark for the Panthers to cover with home advantage. Playing well and scoring freely. They can win by in excess of this.

Over 46.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.75

Lose

-50

Go for overs here with the Panthers getting a lot of the points. The two Panthers wingers are in hot form and may see twenty plus points between them. Panthers thirty-six plus here and a couple of scores for Tigers sees overs.
06:00 New Zealand Warriors v Gold Coast Titans

Over 48.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Lose

-50

This looks over to me. Titans struggle in defense and are at the bottom of the ladder. Warriors at home will be attacking plenty. Three of the last four head-to-heads surpassed this.
02:00 EDM Elks @ SAS Roughriders

SAS Roughriders by 37 42

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@41.00

Lose

-50

The Elks lost four of the last five. They have conceded thirty points or more in the last five games. Saskatchewan can score heavily and not concede many. This margin looks within reach.
25 July 2025
20:00 Wigan v Catalan Dragons

Over 44.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

I go overs here. Wigan haven't performed well lately, but a lot of regulars are back tonight, and Catalan don't travel well. Wigan scored forty-eight away to Catalan in July, and I feel they could get forty plus themselves here. Overs for me.
11:00 Brisbane Broncos v Parramatta Eels

Over 50.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@2.25

Lose

-50

Two of the last three head-to-heads produced fifty-four and sixty-four points. This price looks decent for overs and I think brisbane can exceed thirty six points themselves . Parra can get over 16
10:30 Kia Tigers @ Lotte Giants

Kia Tigers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Tigers win three of the last four head-to-heads, with the penultimate one being a 13-0 victory. I think these are good odds for them to win.
10:30 Kiwoom Heroes @ NC Dinos

Kiwoom Heroes

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.75

Lose

-50

Dinos lost four in the last five. Heroes lost three in the last five. With both out of form, I try Heroes at bigger odds to come out on top.
10:30 LG Twins @ Doosan Bears

Doosan Bears

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.20

Lose

-50

Bears have three wins and a draw in their last five games. They have won their last two of three head-to-heads, and I like them at odds against.
10:30 SSG Landers @ Hanwha Eagles

SSG Landers

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.00

Lose

-50

Bounced back to form yesterday to win and have won four of the last five head-to-heads. They can continue their recent dominance.
10:30 Samsung Lions @ KT Wiz

Samsung Lions

Money Line

50 WIN

@2.80

Lose

-50

Have won three of their last four this week, including a 9-0 win over the SSG Landers. They are too big a price here.
09:00 North Queensland Cowboys v St George/Illawarra Dragons

Over 49.50

Total Points

50 WIN

@1.91

Win

46

Two high-scoring teams that play an open and attacking game. Expect end-to-end stuff today and plenty of points. The last two direct meetings produced seventy and sixty-four points.
02:00 MON Alouettes @ CAL Stampeders

MON Alouettes by 7 12

Winning Margin

50 WIN

@12.00

Lose

-50

Montreal have three wins and a draw in the last four direct meetings. Calgary are playing well, but I think Montreal can win today. I like a ten-point margin.

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