tipstonga

The Football World Cup 2006 turned me interested in sports betting and soon understood it was not so easy. Fortunately I found OLBG then. So I have been learning and enjoying this site for 18 years now. Progressively I began to improve and I felt very happy when I started to get top position in 6-month profit in some football categories, horse racing and tennis. Also I realised I have grown in objectivity through these blogs when I got the first position in Argentine football blogs. Finally blogger prizes and pro status in tennis completed what I think as my basic learning. I am proud of having beat the Bookies in the site competitions and also, in real life overall balance since those 2006 days.

2

Estimated Prizes
this month

£10

Estimated Prize money
this month

tipstonga's Tips History

All tips
05 October 2024
20:00 Real Madrid v Villarreal

Real Madrid

100 WIN

@1.25

Win

25

Real Madrid is unbeaten in La Liga this season and has won the last 4 home games. Villarreal has performed poorly but was beaten harshly by Barcelona at home and has many players injured.
18:00 Aris Salonika v Lamia

Aris Salonika

In last 2 games for this league Aris Salonika -4th- has beaten the runner up and the 3rd of this tournament. Through the runner up Olympiakos, Aris has the indirect beating of Lamia .
18:00 Lille v Toulouse

Lille

Lille, 5th currently, is not unbeaten at home because it already faced the almighty PSG. Tolouse -16th- has no wins away. Confident bet.
16:45 4:45 Ascot

Fantasy Master

Daily Racing

25 EWNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 15.00 used instead of 11.00 takenBOG

@15.00

Win

45

Fantasy Master has done well in three starts at this course and won last time, dealing well with soft conditions. It is the great enemy in this race of the favourite, JM Jungle, which did not confirm its win at York with a performance at Doncaster and has been useful on firmer going.
15:35 3:35 Ascot

Qirat

Daily Racing

15:00 Arsenal v Southampton

Arsenal

15:00 Man City v Fulham

Man City

14:40 2:40 Newmarket

See The Fire

Daily Racing

14:30 Bayer Leverkusen v Holstein Kiel

Bayer Leverkusen

50 WIN

@1.09

Lose

-50

The defending champion is at the 4th place of the table, it has drawn away with Bayern Munich in the last game. Holstein Kiel is a newcomer tied at the bottom with only 1 point obtained drawing with its companion at the end of the table.
14:05 2:05 Newmarket

Brighton Boy

Daily Racing

13:50 1:50 Ascot

Relief Rally

Daily Racing

Relief Rally made a winning effort in a competitive field and demanding going last time, so it is preferred despite the low odds.
12:00 Cologne v SSV Ulm 1846

Cologne

72 WIN

@1.29

Win

21

11:30 Alex Michelsen vs Novak Djokovic

Novak Djokovic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.20

Win

10

How not to bet for Novak even at low odds, the genius that at his 37 years old is 4th in the ranking and from 40 matches this year has won 32 ? Michelsen is too green and must get experience.
07:00 Jannik Sinner vs Taro Daniel

Jannik Sinner

Win Match

132 WIN

@1.02

Win

3

Another easy choice between a player at the top of the ranking and a player who is almost exiting the Top 100 with 9 wins and 22 defeats this season.
05:30 Carlos Alcaraz vs Juncheng Shang

Carlos Alcaraz

Win Match

200 WIN

@1.10

Win

20

An easy choice between Carlos, number 2, and Juncheng, ranked 52, who is young (19 years old) and will progress but is not at the level of beating a Top 10.

Carlos Alcaraz to win 2 - 0

Set Betting

50 WIN

@1.40

Win

20

Carlos Alcaraz

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.18

Win

9

05:30 Yosuke Watanuki vs Brandon Nakashima

Brandon Nakashima

Win Match

100 WIN

@1.30

Lose

-100

Brandon will not find any threat from a player who has 10 times his rank and has played only twice this year in the main tour losing both matches. Confident bet
04 October 2024
19:45 Marseille v Angers

Marseille

50 WIN

@1.22

Lose

-50

Surpresively defeated by Strasbourg in last game Marseille got down from the triple tie at the top of the table. Angers is at the bottom with only 2 points in 6 rounds played this season.
17:30 Napoli v Como

Napoli

50 WIN

@1.44

Win

22

Napoli has perfect record at home and is at the top of the table. Como - currently 10th- has had a very good performance being a newcomer; its record away is 1W1D2L. No doubts.
03 October 2024
17:45 Molde v Larne

Molde

50 WIN

@1.09

Win

5

16:55 4:55 Clonmel

Craic Eile

Daily Racing

25 EW

@9.00

Lose

-50

the favourite Beggars Rock improved somehow unexpectedly to get a frame place so it is difficult to follow it under a penalty. Craic Eile has past a long time without winning but has made the frame 4 times in 6 most recent starts. Value at this odds.
15:50 3:50 Salisbury

Nariko

Daily Racing

50 WINNBNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deductionBest Odds Guaranteed SP 7.50 used instead of 5.50 takenBOG

@7.50

Win

325

the selection can be expected to land this at the expense of Solar Claim and Excecutive Decision. Nariko was still increasing its 2 lengths gap at the disk, in an excellent performance in the distance in May that predicts the pick can deal wit the penalty again under Oisin Murphy.
14:40 2:40 Salisbury

Chantilly Lace

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTETip made at odds of 2.75 on 03/10 at 05:000.10 deduction for Pakal@9.00 withdrawn at 10:010.00 deduction for Tawny Porter @151.000 withdrawn at 10:210.00 deduction for Launceston @81.000 withdrawn at 14:43R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 1.75 x (1-0.1) = 2.58

@2.58

Win

78

As Lope de Vega's filly, Chantilly Lace is half sister of several winners and has been valued a high price. Making its debut under Rosse Ryan will facilitate things. Other newcomers are preferred to make the frame behind the pick.
10:00 Mattia Bellucci vs Billy Harris

Billy Harris

Win Match

50 WIN

@3.10

Lose

-50

both are ranked a few places outside of the Top100 and have similar W/L this season and overall though have played few matches in the main tour. At this odds I find value betting for Billy who has defeated Mattia twice h2h always on hard and in 3 sets , once this year at Lugano.

Mattia Bellucci

1st Set Winner

50 WIN

@1.50

Win

25

Mattia lost the 2 h2hs played against Billy , those matches where on hard court and took 3 sets. Matiia has won the first set both times.
02 October 2024
17:10 5:10 Kempton

Chalk Mountain

Daily Racing

50 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 5.50 used instead of 4.33 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@5.50

Win

225

The selection is bidding for a hat trick started and continued on standard ground, can defy the penalty since finished comfortably last race eased near finish. State Flag seems the candidate to be runner up.
16:10 4:10 Sligo

Space Tourist

Daily Racing

Space Tourist has been useful on hurdles and won in its chase debut last race, at Tranmore in a more disputed race than this will assumably be. Digby seems the best of the rest.
15:15 3:15 Bellewstown

Proleek Prince

Daily Racing

The selection found progress handicapping to finally break its maiden going down to this distance in last race. It then showed to have something in its pocket so it can be expected to win again.
14:35 2:35 Nottingham

Veblen Good

Daily Racing

close related to several winners in 5f and 6f , Veblen Good made a promising debut 3 weeks ago finishing runner up . It will hardly find trouble in today's field.
05:00 Fabio Fognini vs Luciano Darderi

Luciano Darderi

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

this match will be a step in the renewal of the Italian crew. Both are best on clay where Luciano won his first title this year (Córdoba, Argentina) and won their only h2h by 61 62 (Perugia, Italy) . No doubts.
05:00 Gael Monfils vs Damir Dzumhur

Gael Monfils

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.29

Win

14

Gael might be the oldest player in this tournament but is still 46th in the ranking, Damir - who also has past 30yo is currently ranked 96th. The latter has played only 4 times in the main tour this year.
05:00 Kei Nishikori vs Mariano Navone

Mariano Navone

Win Match

50 WIN

@4.00

Lose

-50

Mariano has quickly ascended to the 40th place in the ranking in just 1 year in the main tour. Kei , 34yo, declined to the place 200th. They have virtually the same W/L rate this season but Navone has played 3 times more matches. The large experience of Nishikori can not be denied but it will likely not be enough.
05:00 Marin Cilic vs Arthur Cazaux

Marin Cilic

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.73

Lose

-50

Despite being ranked beyond 200th in the ranking and his 35yo, Cilic has won last month a new title at Hangzhou(hard) so it seems quite difficult that the young Cazaux (22yo) ranked 92 can win this match.
01 October 2024
20:00 Barcelona v Young Boys

Barcelona

50 WIN

@1.09

Win

5

too easy choice. Young Boys is 11th in its local league and in the first round of this tournament lost at home with Aston Villa by 3-0. Barcelona also lost in the first round away 2-1 with the tied leader of Ligue 1: Monaco.

Robert Lewandowski

Anytime Goalscorer

20:00 Inter Milan v Crvena Zvezda

Inter Milan

Red Star hardly qualify by 1 goal difference with Bodo/Glimt for this tournament and lost the first round at home 2-1 with Benfica. Inter neutralized the scoring power of Manchester City drawing to nil playing away. No doubts.
19:45 Birmingham v Huddersfield

Birmingham

19:45 Burnley v Plymouth

Burnley

19:45 Newcastle v AFC Wimbledon

Newcastle

50 WIN

@1.15

Win

8

16:15 4:15 Cork

Dublin

Daily Racing

Mutsarref looks in the limit of its potential though it may be close. Dublin instead began its career a week ago with a very promising performance winning confidently, an easier race than this, with much load than today by 4l.
15:40 3:40 Cork

Minnie Hauk

Daily Racing

The selection emerges clearly above the several newcomers in this race while those experienced do not seem that can play a significant rol. Minnie Hauk valued a number of 7 figures yearling is related to winners in the distance.
14:15 2:15 Ayr

Weissmuller

Daily Racing

13:40 1:40 Ayr

Gracious Leader

Daily Racing

50 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 3.00 used instead of 2.50 takenBOGAThis tip was used on Horse Racing 4Fold Acca.

@3.00

Win

100

11:00 Arthur Fils vs Ugo Humbert

Arthur Fils

Win Match

50 WIN

@2.62

Win

81

Ugo (ranked 19th) has won all 3 h2hs but I find value betting for Arthur who is improving and have got rank 26th with 6 years old less than Ugo. Cross fingers.
09:00 Daniil Medvedev vs Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz

Win Match

50 WIN

@1.33

Win

17

It seems that Carlos will beat Daniil. So says their 5-2 h2h scores, the 3 titles to none won by Carlos and a double W/L rate. Fair odds.
01:00 Racing Club v CA Platense

Racing Club

50 WIN

@1.62

Lose

-50

Racing Club is tied 7th with 5 wins 1 draw 1 lost at home with +8 goal difference overall after 15 games. Platense is currently 16th with 3W2D3L away. So it can be expected a home win.
30 September 2024
18:00 Cracovia Krakow v Stal Mielec

Stal Mielec - Cracovia Krakow

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@26.00

Lose

-50

18:00 Osters IF v Utsiktens BK

Osters IF - Utsiktens BK

Half Time / Full Time

50 WIN

@71.00

Lose

-50

15:20 3:20 Windsor

Stipulation

Daily Racing

25 EWNB

@51.00

Void

0

Stipulation is making its debut, It is half brother of 3 winners in 7-8f and got nice vibes on sale. Expectations seem excesive with Earl of Rochester (3rd in debut) and may include the newcomer Tarima. EW bet.
15:15 3:15 Down Royal

Lillian Lietzel

Daily Racing

50 WINNAP

@23.00

Lose

-50

Lillian Lietzel did not get a large price when changed hands but there is potential in it being half sister of Italian sprint winners. It can be the big surprise in this non winners field, debuting today. A jockey claim will help its cause.

Tips are normally be settled by 12pm the day after the event took place.
Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.

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