Runragged
Been betting for years, prefer good quality horse racing and the a/w. Also like to specialise in football and golf with a bit of cricket and darts when the right bet comes along.
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Runragged's Tips History
01 August 2025
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Ammes
Daily Racing
50 EWNB
@17.00
Win
110
Surprised this has been drifting as his form reads very well. Was 6th to Merchant at Royal Ascot. The winner won a Group 3 yesterday. The runner-up was 2nd in a Group 1 whilst 5th has also won a handicap at this meet off 3lb higher. Ammes is unpenalised for that and whilst having led for a long way there before getting headed, the drop in trip should benefit. Drawn in 5, so should be able to get a prominent position again. The only concern is the ground, having never raced on softer than good.
Ride The Thunder
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-75
Surprise defeat last time when odds on in a handicap. Just seemed to get outpaced in a small field over 1m 2f on good to firm ground. The extra furlong on softer ground should suit well, whilst the form has worked out okay from that race. Clearly, more was expected, so every reason to think he is well handicapped off 84.
15:05 3:05 Goodwood
Kerdos
Daily Racing
50 EW
@10.00
Lose
-100
Does need to bounce back after a disappointing run last time, though had shown the ability remained previously. Hard to get away from his Temple Stakes win last year over the 5f at Haydock on soft ground, some of the best soft ground form on offer. Creditable 5th in this last year, they turn to cheekpieces just to help the horse concentrate. Drawn high could be the place to be after yesterday also.
Time For Sandals
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-75
Impressive winner of the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot, winning despite being away from the main action. Does have a penalty for that, but 5f on softish ground should be no problem and was 2nd on previous start to a French horse who has since won a Group 1.
14:30 2:30 Goodwood
Ebts Guard
Daily Racing
50 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@17.00
Win
110
A horse I have been following this season should be getting his reward at some point. A big field over a mile and on softish ground should be ideal. He is a hold-up horse who will need some luck but has what looks like a good draw, so he should be on the premises again.
Lattam
Daily Racing
50 WIN
@17.00
Lose
-50
Quite simple. Big field handicap on soft ground, then you just have to back this horse. Top six runs according to RPR on turf have come in 1m soft ground handicaps, which looks to be the conditions today. Has gone close twice off this mark, goes well fresh. There is a lot to like despite his growing age.
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
Sheradann
Daily Racing
50 EW
@13.00
Lose
-100
Really like his chances, though not really one for staying trips. A promising stayer in France on soft ground, he struggled to adapt when first coming over. However, much more promise in the last couple of runs, including at this track when 3rd to the current favourite, followed by the Northumberland Plate when the only one to make some ground from behind. Longer trip and soft ground should be no problem here.
Zinc White
Daily Racing
75 WIN
@8.00
Lose
-75
I like both the Ian Williams horses here, but with the betting suggesting this is a stronger chance, I have to back it. Strong stayer who loves softer conditions, so has plenty in his favor. Returned from almost a two-year break with a promising 5th at this track, possibly a sighter with an eye on this. Wasn't suited to the 3-runner race on good ground at Beverley last time, but that should have put him spot on for this, and he has a nice weight pull on a few of these principals.
Subtotal-255
31 July 2025
17:30 5:30 Goodwood
King Casper
Daily Racing
200 WIN
@15.00
Lose
-200
Caught my eye when winning on seasonal return with the form of the race working out well. Hasn't really gone on from that but could be suited to conditions here as he just lacks a turn of foot. I'm hopeful he will run a big race.
Transparent
Daily Racing
100 EWR4Deductions based on standard industry rates given the odds of each withdrawn horse at time of first withdrawal following your betNR
@26.00
Void
0
Closely matched with King Casper on their run at the start of the season. Another who lacks that turn of foot, but if he can race on the pace then he gallops all the way to the line. Returns to turf, he is weighted to go close with King Casper and drawn to attack from stall 2.
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
Marhaba Ghaiyyath
Daily Racing
300 WINNB
@7.50
Lose
-300
Still think the favorite is a short price considering the size of the field, his low draw, and the potential to get stuck in behind, especially after racing yesterday where it appeared to favor those racing on the pace. Therefore, I have turned to Marhaba Ghaiyyath. Is the 2nd favorite but in great form, has a good draw, and is likely to be prominent. Has gone up the weights but did run an unexposed Godolphin horse close last time. Trainer often targets this meeting plus gets Buick in the saddle.
Serenity Blue
Daily Racing
150 EW
@13.00
Lose
-300
Lightly raced, who may lack the experience for this. But, the form of his first win has worked out and suggests he could be well in off 88, especially if accounting for improvement. Ground is a question mark, but on breeding, his brothers and sisters had no issue with softer ground. Considering more than half his siblings have black type, then it's not unreasonable to think he can improve further.
Subtotal-800
30 July 2025
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Billyjoh
Daily Racing
250 EWNB
@10.00
Lose
-500
Let me down at the weekend, though watching replays, he got a bad bump just when trying to make a move and then challenged possibly on the slower ground away from where the finishers came from. Proven at the course and should get plenty of cover, which he will enjoy. His draw should help in getting a run, and though his win record is less impressive, he should be thereabouts.
Mr Chaplin
Daily Racing
250 WIN
@11.00
Lose
-250
Whilst I like Leadman on the form of his last win, and Stanage as an eyecatcher as a fast finisher, both will need a great deal of luck from stalls 3 and 1 respectively. Therefore, I have looked wider and like the chance of Mr Chaplin, who won at the meet last year, staying on late and fast from a double-figure stall. Tried in graded company the next twice last season with no luck. First run this year they targeted a c/d handicap only to get stall 1, which unsurprisingly meant getting no run whatsoever. Drawn on the wrong side in the Britannia, never getting involved, but it does mean he is 2lb lower here. Suggest this has been a target and so expect him to go close, all being well.
15:45 3:45 Goodwood
Wisper
Daily Racing
200 EW
@7.50
Lose
-400
Even though a 7-year-old, his form of beating Westridge at Windsor two runs ago (who won yesterday in good style) suggests a 5lb rise may not be enough to stop him. He flopped last time, but a lot went wrong at Southwell on the all-weather there, while he is also 0/10 on the all-weather and approximately 6lb worse according to RPRs. Now, stall 5 for a hold-up horse at Goodwood is a concern, but it is not the strongest of races, and I am prepared to chance it.
13:55 1:55 Goodwood
Betty Clover
Daily Racing
175 EW
@21.00
Lose
-350
Got to forgive pulling up last time at Royal Ascot when losing her action. I am judging more on her 2nd to Crimson Advocate at this course. Bright Thunder who finished 3rd has a better pull at the weights now but as a 3yo I am hopeful she has more improvement in her. Strongly run 7f should be up her street even though it is rare for me to back a horse at this trip who has yet to win at it. Was sprinting most of last season then mostly at a mile this season. Finally back to 7f which should prove her best trip.
Jabaara
Daily Racing
400 WIN
@6.50
Lose
-400
Jabaara is joint top on RPR for the race and actually won the race last year, only to get demoted for interference. So an element of redemption is on offer. Disappointed a little last time, though came from a wide draw and has yet to prove she handles the a/w as well as turf. Whilst it looks an all-round stronger race this year, there is still no standout opponent. Tabiti is favourite but is another to come from the Sandringham at Ascot, whose form is disappointing massively.
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
Sing Us A Song
Daily Racing
500 WINNAP
@4.00
Lose
-500
Hopefully will take a lot of beating. Looked a promising talent and went off 10/3 2nd fav at Royal Ascot only to blow the start. Still finished in strong style so if able to break on terms then must have a fantastic chance in a much weaker race. Course winner, yard in form, there is lots to like on his chances.
Subtotal-2400
29 July 2025
17:30 5:30 Goodwood
Arabian Leopard
Daily Racing
75 EWNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@11.00
Win
75
A horse I have been following with marginal success. Had performed well over 7f but took the drop to 6f in her stride last time when a close 2nd. Hopefully, a bigger field will see a stronger pace whilst Spencer is particularly good with hold-up types. All going well, then she should be finishing fast and late, just hopefully not too late!
Dubai Treasure
Daily Racing
250 WINNOTENon runners at 10.0 or more so no R4 deduction
@3.20
Win
550
Type of horse that invariably lets me down. However, caught the eye last time over 7f when traveling really well from a wide draw at York, only to not seemingly get home. Drop back, therefore, should suit while she appears to have a significant class edge over her rivals considering the weights. In good heart, it would be disappointing if she didn't go very close.
16:55 4:55 Goodwood
Protest
Daily Racing
383 WINNAP
@7.00
Win
2298
My nap of the day. I could go into a lot of detail, but to sum it up, the form of her two runs this year has worked out very well, enough to suggest she could be thrown in here off a mark of 92. That is compared to Zgharta and Dash Of Alure, who ran well in the Sandringham, a race that is working out pretty poorly. You then have Mahra's Star, who is on a hat trick, up in class and will have competition for the lead. Didn't seem to stay last time. The drop back in trip will suit, whilst I have no problem with a wide draw at Goodwood, where it can help get a run and give a good opportunity to build up the speed and momentum down the outside.
14:30 2:30 Goodwood
Audience
Daily Racing
200 WIN
@5.50
Lose
-200
Absolutely romped home in the race last year enjoying the drop back to 7f. Never went on from there, even trying sprinting a couple of times with no success. Was backed for UK return but faded out of things disappointingly. Been given time, skipping Ascot, whilst cheekpieces have been applied. Good support for him this morning so if bouncing back then has a massive chance.
1 member found this comment useful
Witness Stand
Daily Racing
125 EWNBNOTETip made at odds of 21.00 on 29/07 at 11:540.10 deduction for Ten Bob Tony@8.50 withdrawn at 12:590.20 deduction for Kinross @4.333 withdrawn at 14:33R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 20.00 x (1-0.3) = 15.00Best Odds Guaranteed SP 26.00 used instead of 15.00 BOG
@26.00
Win
3750
These races are not always straightforward, so it may be worth chancing a potential improver at a price. I like Witness Stand, who is stepping up in class but is a smooth traveler who won a handicap easily over C/D at this meeting last year off 97. Followed it up with a close 2nd, giving Qiraat 13lb, with the winner now rated 10lb higher over C/D again. Followed that with a win in listed company by 3 lengths over English Oak before his season tailed off with a poor run at Newmarket in a Group 2. First two runs this year have not gone to plan but did return with promise in a listed race at Chester last time with a close 2nd to an in-form rival. That should have put him spot on for this, and if able to return to his form of last year, then he could surprise.
1 member found this comment useful
13:20 1:20 Goodwood
Castle Cove
Daily Racing
200 WIN
@5.00
Lose
-200
Gets in off a low weight and, though drawn wide, history has suggested it is no bad thing as you can avoid the trouble and come down the outside. Just the one run this year, winning at Chester with the form working out well. The runner-up won over the same c/d by 4 lengths on next start, and the pair were over 3 lengths ahead of the third. Up 8lb is fair, though you hope as a Haggas improving handicapper that there could still be more to come.
Take Heart
Daily Racing
100 EW
@17.00
Lose
-200
Worth an each way considering won the race off the same mark last year. Switched yards but it was a standout performance last season so clearly enjoys conditions here and I suspect the horse has been targeted at this race again having stayed with the same owners. Won from the widest stall of all last year so another wide draw is no concern. If returning here creates the spark needed then he should go very well.
Subtotal6073
13 July 2025
16:05 4:05 Southwell
Transparent
Daily Racing
100 EWNB
@8.50
Win
50
Hoping it is a solid each way bet. Caught the eye on form when runner-up on seasonal return. He is just 1lb higher from that run despite the form working out well elsewhere. Not been suited to the way the race has been run the last couple of times, though Southwell, a track which can often help prominent runners and where he has already previously won, is a welcome return. It is an open race, but I feel the horse is well handicapped. He just needs the races to fall right.
15:29 3:29 Towcester
Not So Steady
Daily Races
200 WIN
@2.38
Win
276
Already been well backed. He stepped up massively on the clock, and if able to repeat, then he can take a lot of beating. He is still a maiden after 5 runs but has the early speed to get the break and make all.
Subtotal326
12 July 2025
18:42 6:42 Hove
Kelvins Hat
Daily Races
200 WIN
@2.75
Lose
-200
Can take advantage of a plum rails draw and make all, getting clear of the favorite, Fabulous Sonique, who may have trouble getting a clear run from trap 4.
17:30 5:30 Chester
Marvelman
Daily Racing
150 WIN
@3.25
Lose
-150
Fancied him for the Group 3 Jersey Stakes only to disappoint me at Royal Ascot. Can bounce back here, though, in a much easier race from a good draw.
17:20 5:20 Ascot
Riot
Daily Racing
75 EW
@4.50
Lose
-150
This horse is costing me a fortune as he has looked a winner in waiting all season but things just haven't fallen right for him. Only ran two days ago when 2nd, he now sees the return of a good claiming jockey taking 5lb off. That may be the difference he needs to get his head in front.
16:35 4:35 Newmarket
Believing
Daily Racing
75 EWNOTETip made at odds of 9.00 on 12/07 at 12:010.10 deduction for Inisherin@10.00 withdrawn at 16:37R4 Adjusted Odds = 1 + 8.00 x (1-0.10) = 8.20Best Odds Guaranteed SP 10.00 used instead of 8.20 BOG
@10.00
Win
60
Open race when you consider the favorite has never run at a trip short of a mile in its life, not even as a 2-year-old. This could come as a culture shock on first try in a sprint, so worth taking on. I will chance Believing, who was done by the draw at Royal Ascot. The first four home were in stalls 14, 15, 16, and 17, whereas Believing came from stall 1 with no cover or pace at all. As the winner of the Al Quoz Sprint, a valuable Group 1 race over 6f, the step back up in trip should help here. Drawn amongst the action, I expect him to go close, and hopefully winning if things drop right.
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16:10 4:10 Ascot
Night Breeze
Daily Racing
250 WINNAP
@2.50
Lose
-250
Nap of the day. Did well to finish as close when chasing a strong pace the last couple of times. Should be much easier here in a smaller field. Only 6lb higher for an impressive c/d win, his main rival looks to be Mount Atlas but he has to concede a lot of weight and would prefer a bigger field and cover.
15:10 3:10 York
See That Storm
Daily Racing
75 EW
@7.50
Win
22
Another race where we have a favorite who is stepping up in trip for the first time. May well suit, but we never know, and he did seem pretty comfortable at a mile last time. Always wary of horses under a penalty, whilst I am not a big fan of the jockey either. I would rather take the safer option of Sea That Storm, who has been running well, including a close 2nd here last time to an unexposed Gosden runner. Due to go up 2lb but gets to race off the same mark, so everything to suggest he should be contesting once more.
1 member found this comment useful
14:50 2:50 Newmarket
Billyjoh
Daily Racing
75 EWNB
@29.00
Win
345
Putting this up as my next best, which I invariably do with my best each way chance of the day. Just a shame we have a horse like More Thunder in the race who has been crying out for 7f and looks the proverbial handicap good thing. However, anything can happen, whilst I still fancy Billyjoh for a place at least. Consistent type who had no chance from a poor draw at Ascot. Has a 4lb swing with Akkadian Thunder for their run at Doncaster, beaten 1 1/2 lengths despite not getting the best of runs and having to be switched out wide. If he handles the track, then he can outrun his odds.
1 member found this comment useful
More Thunder
Daily Racing
150 WINNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.20 used instead of 2.10 takenBOG
@2.20
Win
180
It's short but hard to ignore. Looking at a handicap, it's a good thing at the weights with the step up in trip surely going to suit. May get a bit of a drift if we are lucky, but all being well, he should win.
14:22 2:22 Ascot
Haatem
Daily Racing
200 WIN
@2.88
Lose
-200
Would much rather take the listed form of Haatem over the handicap form of Never So Brave, who seemed to be flattered by the way the race was run at Ascot and his dream passage up the rail. Quddwah would have had a chance, but his form suggests he wants easier ground.
1 member found this comment useful
14:12 2:12 Newmarket
Miss Nightfall
Daily Racing
200 WIN
@2.62
Lose
-200
Caught the eye when a well backed favourite at Ascot only to finish 6th but doing best of those to be held up, where she was ridden patiently to get the trip. Whilst the drop in trip isn't so much a worry, the smaller field is, though she did have the speed to win over 6f on good to firm as a 2yo. Not normally an issue with getting a run on the July course so as long as she is in contention then she will take some stopping.
1 member found this comment useful
14:00 2:00 York
Old Cock
Daily Racing
75 EW
@7.00
Lose
-150
Been a bit negative in the betting but not sure why. Should confirm form with Sisyphean having beaten it last time, whilst the favourite is stepping up to a mile for the first time. Old Cock is a C/D winner who appreciated the faster ground last time, with his record on good or faster reading 11911. The 9th was when odds-on fav but had seemingly picked up an injury when fading badly. Smallish field, so it may pay to be up with the pace, which he should be, whilst a 4lb rise isn't harsh for his win. He should be thereabouts at the finish again.
Subtotal-693
11 July 2025
16:45 4:45 Newmarket
Hickory
Daily Racing
100 EWNB
@SP
Lose
-200
I am confident Hickory will pop up soon. I suspect it may be at Ascot in a couple of weeks in the Moet & Chandon. However, at his price then, I have to cover bet him for this race. Not really put in the race last time here when racing away from the main crowd, he has been dropped a further 1 lb whilst he is coming to form, I suspect.
Subtotal-200
29 June 2025
16:42 4:42 Sheffield
Carrick Fergie
Daily Races
400 WIN
@2.25
Lose
-400
Winner last week in the best time of all the heats. Drawn well to attack again with the potential of getting out and making all once more. 2/2 at the course, he can maintain that unbeaten record.
13:50 1:50 Curragh
Serialise
Daily Racing
100 EW
@SP
Lose
-200
The first race showed there is a bias towards those racing prominently, as though there was a decent pace. Nothing from behind got into it. Therefore, Serialise, who should be the uncontested front runner from a good draw, should have things their own way up front. This trip does stretch him a touch, but if able to set his own fractions, then he should be thereabouts. Two second-place finishes in two handicaps here suggest the course suits him well.
Subtotal-600
27 June 2025
16:38 4:08 Yarmouth
Blue Rc
Daily Racing
500 WINNAPNOTEBest Odds Guaranteed SP 2.20 used instead of 1.80 takenBOG
@2.20
Win
600
Not going to get rich quick backing at these prices, but he is the proverbial handicap blot as he is due to go up 10lb for his win last week but only has to carry a 6lb penalty. Went in my notebook as he was extremely impressive in victory, with there looking plenty more to come. Personally, I hate horses under a penalty as many trainers like to get them beat so the handicapper doesn't treat them too harshly. However, he is progressive, and if they have some bigger targets in mind, then they need him to go up the ratings to get in. The yard is 6/14 with last time out winners turned out again within 14 days, giving us more hope of a win.
1 member found this comment useful
Subtotal600
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
