Analytik
My goal is to maintain a +20% ROI and +80% SR over a 6-month spread. Thumbs up for any useful tips.
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this month
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20th June 2025
13:06 Filippo Ganna vs The Field
The Field
Matchups
50 WIN
Ganna might be the time trial king, but in a dynamic race with wind, tactical traps, or a surprise breakaway, someone from the field could get away while Ganna's team calculates too much. Collective firepower beats individual class when the race becomes chaotic.
20:00 British & Irish Lions v Argentina
Argentina
To Win
50 WIN
Argentina will win because of their exceptional recent form, defeating top teams like New Zealand and South Africa in 2024. With a cohesive squad led by Julián Montoya and Pablo Matera, their physicality and attacking flair, especially through Santiago Carreras, can exploit the Lions’ lack of match practice and missing key players, securing a historic upset in Dublin.
Argentina 16.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Argentina should win with a +16 handicap, leveraging their 2024 victories over top teams, cohesive squad, and physicality. Montoya and Matera will exploit the Lions’ rustiness, ensuring a close match or upset.
Under 56.50
Total Points
50 WIN
The British & Irish Lions vs. Argentina match should stay under 56 points. Argentina’s physicality and the Lions’ rustiness suggest a tight, low-scoring game. Historical Lions-Argentina matches (e.g., 25-25 in 2005) support a defensive battle, likely around 48 points.
20:00 St Helens v Leeds
Leeds
To Win
50 WIN
Leeds come into this clash unbeaten in their last seven Super League games and recently defeated St Helens 17-4 in a key matchup. St Helens are missing some key players through injury and have been less convincing, even though they managed a big win over Salford last time out. Leeds’ current form gives them the advantage.
St Helens 2.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
Leeds’ recent form and defensive control mean St Helens would require a margin of about +3 points to stay level or edge the game. It should be tight, but Leeds’ momentum is likely to prevail.
Under 36.50
Total Points
50 WIN
Both teams are known for structured defense. Their last meeting produced only 21 total points. St Helens have kept teams quiet recently, and Leeds have shown tactical discipline. A lower-scoring battle is expected here.
20:00 Wakefield v Wigan
Wigan
To Win
50 WIN
Wigan are currently one of the most dominant sides in the Super League. They have won nine matches in a row and come into this game sitting second on the table. Wakefield, although showing some attacking promise in recent games, remain inconsistent and were narrowly beaten 24-20 by Leigh recently. Wigan’s depth and momentum give them a strong edge.
Wakefield 14.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
With Wigan’s current dominance and sharper attack, Wakefield would likely need at least a +10 point cushion to have a realistic shot at causing an upset in this encounter. 14.5 is more than enough
Over 40.50
Total Points
50 WIN
Wigan's recent games have been high-scoring, including big wins like 48-0 against Salford and 36-28 over Leigh. Wakefield themselves posted 72 and 40 points in earlier games. Given both teams’ current scoring rhythm, this contest should surpass the 45-point mark.
20:05 Toulouse v Bayonne
Toulouse
To Win
50 WIN
Toulouse are heavy favorites for this matchup and rightly so. They’ve been dominant at home this season, with their international stars back and in form. Bayonne have had a poor away record and struggle against top-tier sides. Toulouse’s offload game and ability to create width will stretch Bayonne’s defense, especially in the second half when fatigue sets in.
Bayonne 14.50
Handicap
50 WIN
This is a semi-final and as such, Bayonne should employ all the strategy they know to win the match or keep the game close, as opposed to what happened the last time they were hosted by Toulouse. I think this 14.5 is enough cushion for them to leverage on.
21st June 2025
06:00 New Zealand Warriors v Penrith Panthers
New Zealand Warriors
To Win
50 WIN
The Warriors sit 3rd in the NRL with 10 wins and 3 losses, demonstrating strong form especially at home. They defeated Penrith 22??"20 in their last meeting and have won four of their five home games this season. Penrith, missing key Origin players, showed mixed form.
Penrith Panthers 13.50
Handicap (2-way)
50 WIN
Given marginal results and home advantage for the Warriors, Penrith would need at least a +6 point cushion to counter the expected result and close the gap. Having over twice as much give them a good chance
Under 44.50
Total Points
50 WIN
Seven of the Warriors’ recent nine wins, and five of Penrith’s last six games, have seen totals under 45 points. Their head-to-head games often finish tight and cagey, making a low-scoring affair likely.
08:05 Crusaders v Chiefs
Crusaders
To Win
50 WIN
This is a toss-up on paper, but backing the Crusaders makes sense based on experience and history. They’ve been building momentum late in the season, and their set-piece remains one of the most reliable in Super Rugby. The Chiefs have flair and speed but can get rattled under pressure, especially if they’re forced to defend for long stretches.
Crusaders -1.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Crusaders average around 26 points, Chiefs about 25. For the Chiefs to win, they’ll need at least 27, which is just a 2-point bump. However, given Crusaders’ playoff experience and home advantage, that 2-point margin may feel like a mountain. Chiefs will need sharper breakdown work and composure in the final 10 minutes to steal it.
15:30 Kerry v Cavan
Kerry
FT Result
81 WIN
Kerry’s dominance in recent provincial and All-Ireland games confirms their form and consistency. They have a high average score rate, controlling midfield and punishing turnovers effectively. Against lesser-ranked sides, their defense typically concedes little, while their attack overwhelms with accuracy. Their blend of athleticism and game management gives them a solid edge over Cavan.
Cavan 11.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Cavan will need at least a +8 handicap to match Kerry’s tempo. They must maximize efficiency in their few scoring chances while reducing turnovers. Even if they slow the pace, Kerry's scoring bursts mean Cavan must stay within 2??"3 goals to be competitive.
17:00 Curtis Blaydes v Rizvan Kuniev
Curtis Blaydes
Win Fight
50 WIN
Blaydes is a wrestling juggernaut with fight-ending ground-and-pound. Kuniev is skilled but not battle-tested at this level. If Blaydes plays to his strength and avoids standing too long, he’ll dominate with takedowns and punishment from the top.
17:00 Ismail Naurdiev v Jun Yong Park
Jun Yong Park
Win Fight
50 WIN
Jun Yong Park is a pressure monster with cardio for days and underrated grappling. Naurdiev is flashy but has shown stamina and defensive flaws. Park’s consistency and work rate should overwhelm Naurdiev, especially in the later rounds.
17:00 Melissa Mullins v Daria Zhelezniakova
Melissa Mullins
Win Fight
50 WIN
Mullins has cleaner striking and sharper movement. Zhelezniakova is game but one-dimensional. Mullins’ ability to control distance and volume-punch should see her cruise to a decision.
18:15 Dublin v Cork
Dublin
FT Result
50 WIN
Dublin continue to show why they’re top-tier, especially in high-stakes fixtures. They’ve built winning momentum, averaging over 20 points per game, and rarely let teams get easy scores. Cork lack the defensive organization and firepower to challenge Dublin’s systematic approach. Dublin’s squad depth and bench quality often extend their lead late in games.
Cork 7.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Cork would need a +7 cushion to stay within reach, especially given Dublin’s scoring bursts in the final quarter. If Cork can keep the tempo low and frustrate Dublin’s rhythm, they could hang in??"but the margin for error is extremely slim.
20:05 Bordeaux v Toulon
Bordeaux
To Win
50 WIN
Bordeaux are the more structured and disciplined side, especially at home. They’ve been excellent in retaining possession and finishing red-zone visits with points. Toulon has firepower but tends to fade in the final quarter, which Bordeaux exploits ruthlessly. Expect the home team to dictate pace and come away with the win.
22nd June 2025
11:35 Tour of Belgium 2025
Filippo Ganna
Win Outright
50 WIN
13:45 Down v Galway
Galway
FT Result
50 WIN
Galway remain consistent across league and championship matches. Their midfield pairing regularly wins primary possession, feeding a forward line capable of scoring from range and play. They’ve developed tactical maturity, knowing when to press and when to absorb. Down, although improving, haven’t shown enough to suggest they can cope with Galway’s versatility.
14:00 Limerick v Wicklow
Limerick
FT Result
50 WIN
Limerick have displayed strong form in the Tailteann Cup and maintained winning habits. Their structured play and accurate long-range scoring give them the edge. Their defense has tightened in recent games, limiting opposition to under 14 points regularly. Against Wicklow, who tend to struggle in high-pressure finishes, Limerick’s edge should be telling.
Limerick -2.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Wicklow will need at least a +7 buffer to compete effectively. If they can convert frees and stay disciplined, they can keep pace. But given Limerick’s control-oriented style, Wicklow must also deny turnovers to remain competitive within the handicap line.
16:00 Donegal v Louth
Donegal
FT Result
50 WIN
Donegal’s recent performances against top-tier opposition show they’re peaking at the right time. Their tactical setup is both flexible and efficient, with strong link play between midfield and attack. Louth, while spirited, are unlikely to handle Donegal’s sustained pressure across both halves. Home advantage and momentum also weigh heavily in Donegal’s favour.
Louth 8.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Louth need a +9 cushion to realistically challenge. They’ll have to minimize Donegal’s scoring runs and make full use of counter-attacks. Any lapse in concentration could open up a gap that Donegal will exploit, so the handicap offers only a narrow route to cover.
16:00 Kildare v Fermanagh
Kildare
FT Result
50 WIN
Kildare are in great scoring form and have topped their group with confidence. Their ability to control games early and force opponents to chase is a major asset. They’ve shown improved discipline and accuracy, which helps them stay ahead in tight battles. Fermanagh will likely struggle to impose their game on such a clinical side.
Kildare -3.50
Handicap
50 WIN
Fermanagh must have at least a +9 head start to remain viable. Even then, they’ll need to force turnovers and take high-percentage shots. Kildare’s physicality and speed in transition often break teams down, so Fermanagh have little margin for mistakes.
30th June 2025
00:00 James Bond
Aaron Taylor-Johnson
Win Contest
50 WIN
Cillian Murphy
Win Contest
50 WIN
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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.
Please note that this information is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as an indicator of a tipsters real life performance. The OLBG Tipster Competition is a simulation game and some of the rules and prices used by the tipsters may not always be available in the real world which can lead to misleading informaiton.
