hamgrat

Big fan of most sports, particularly cricket, rugby, F1, and football. Author of three cricket books and one on hockey and was briefly a professional soccer tipster. I write regularly about football and some other sports and am currently using xG analysis and AI LLMs to forecast football results and correct scores with a few random horse racing/greyhound tips thrown in.

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hamgrat's Tips

15th September 2024

13:00 AIK v Malmo FF

Malmo FF #2-1

50 WIN

9.00

Process Result

Malmo are top and on a roll with three wins from their last four and with two of them via a one-goal margin I see them prevailing over an AIK side that is a threat given they've won five in a row.

13:00 Djurgarden v Mjallby AIF

Djurgarden #1-0

50 WIN

7.00

Process Result

Djrugarden are two points ahead of Mjallby and have won two of their last five, both by a one-goal margin and they'll find Mjallby tough to break down so I see a win by 1-0 as possible.

13:00 Sirius v Brommapojkarna

Draw

50 WIN

3.80

Process Result

13:30 Odd BK v Tromso

Tromso #1-0

50 WIN

9.00

Process Result

Odd have lost their last three so are ripe for the taking by a Tromso side unbeaten in three. With both of those wins coming via a 1-0 margin, I'm going for a repeat.

15:30 Halmstad v Elfsborg

Elfsborg #2-0

50 WIN

8.00

Process Result

Elfsborg are unbeaten in four games (WDWD) and come up against Halmstad who seem to have forgotten what it's like to even draw. Should be an away banker and as they've scored twice in both of those wins, 2-0 is my pick.

15:30 Kalmar FF v IFK Varnamo

IFK Varnamo #1-0

50 WIN

9.00

Process Result

Could go either way here between two sides battling at the bottom but Varnamo are given the verdict with marginally higher xG (1.3 v 1.1).

16:00 Haugesund v Stromsgodset

Draw

50 WIN

3.75

Process Result

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

7.50

Process Result

xG has them matched on 1.2 each so a 1-1 draw seems the obvious choice particulalry given Haugesund have drawn two of their last three games - albeit both were 2-2 - while Stromsgodset have lost their last two but are ahead of them in the table.

16:00 Sandefjord v SK Brann

Draw

50 WIN

4.00

Process Result

16:00 Sarpsborg v Kristiansund BK

Sarpsborg #2-1

50 WIN

8.50

Process Result

Sarpsborg won 3-1 away from home last time out so are primed to pull further clear of Kristiansund who have only won one of their last five.

18:15 Lillestrom v Rosenborg

Rosenborg #1-0

50 WIN

12.00

Process Result

Rosenborg have a narrow xG advantage (1.6 v 1.2) pre-match and after winning three of their last four, two of them by a one-goal margin, can prevail here in a close game.

20:00 Bragantino v Gremio

Draw

50 WIN

3.60

Process Result

Draw #1-1

50 WIN

6.50

Process Result

Hard to give either side the edge here as Bragantino won 1-0 last time out to end a run of four defeats while Gremio lost at home following a 1-0 away from home. xG suggests 1.4 v 1.0 so a 1-1 draw will do for me.

20:00 Juventude v Fluminense

Draw

50 WIN

3.40

Process Result

Draw #0-0

50 WIN

7.50

Process Result

Juventude haven't won in three games, drawing their last fixture 0-0 while Fluminense, two points worse off, have won their last two while keeping a clean sheet. I'm hoping they cancel each other out.

22:30 Bahia v Atletico Mineiro

Draw

50 WIN

3.50

Process Result

22:30 Cruzeiro v Sao Paulo

Cruzeiro #2-0

50 WIN

8.00

Process Result

Both sides are locked on 41 points but Cruzeiro have only lost one of their last five matches whereas Sao Paulo have lost two of their last three. That gives the hosts an edge and with them winning their last game by two goals and SP losing two of their last three while conceding twice, 2-0 seems a good bet.

22:30 Flamengo v Vasco da Gama

Draw

50 WIN

3.90

Process Result

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Tips history contains the last 35 days tips.

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