Hogsback

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Hogsback's Tips

25th January 2026
20:00 AFC Championship 2025/26

NE Patriots

Win Conference

50 WIN

+375

Back it

If the New England Patriots don't become the number one seed in the AFC, they can become number one on Denver Broncos' elimination. If both continue to win in the playoffs, the AFC Championship game will be the Denver Broncos at home against the New England Patriots. The Patriots have a good setup in a much-improved season.
20:00 AFC East

NE Patriots

Win Division

250 WIN

-588

Back it

The New England Patriots are one game ahead of the Buffalo Bills. The Patriots will win their division with two interdivisional opponents.
20:00 AFC North

PIT Steelers

Win Division

200 WIN

-1428

Back it

I don't think that the Pittsburgh Steelers will blow their divisional lead now. They would have to lose the two remaining games, and the Baltimore Ravens would have to win both of theirs, even though they play each other in the last game.
20:00 AFC South

HOU Texans

Win Division

50 WIN

+650

Back it

Several things could go wrong with this, not least a Jacksonville Jaguars win over the division whipping boys, the Tennessee Titans. That said, the Titans still want to win to stop being defeated in every divisional game. The Houston Texans have one of the best defenses in the league and can be optimistic about the win. The odds suggest the Houston Texans won't win the division, but they still can.
20:00 NFC Championship 2025/26

SEA Seahawks

Win Conference

50 WIN

+175

Back it

Seattle Seahawks, with the prospect of playing at home for the entirety of the playoffs, is hard to oppose. The biggest threat comes from their own division in the LA Rams. Seattle Seahawks will be more rested due to the first-round bye.
20:00 NFC North

GB Packers

Win Division

150 WIN

+600

Back it

Green Bay Packers drew a game earlier in the season. They need to win both games: home vs. Ravens and away vs. Vikings. Two Chicago Bears defeats in the meantime, in even more difficult matches, would see the Packers take the division.
20:00 NFC South

TB Buccaneers

Win Division

50 WIN

+320

Back it

First of all, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers must beat the Carolina Panthers on Saturday. They then need a New Orleans win at the Atlanta Falcons. The Panthers have the tiebreaker if the Falcons win. The tiebreaker goes to the Buccaneers with a Saints win. The New Orleans Saints are on a run of four wins, although they are at the bottom of their division.
8th February 2026
22:00 Super Bowl LX

NE Patriots

Outright Win

50 WIN

+1000

Back it

The New England Patriots are in better form than many entering the playoffs. It is a bounce-back season for them. Quarterback Jake Maye is at the top of his game. The only three defeats for the New England Patriots were at home. That should bode well for any visit to the Denver Broncos that could be possible.

SEA Seahawks

Outright Win

25 EW

+375

Back it

The Seattle Seahawks have a claim on making the Super Bowl. Home-field advantage and, dare I say, a slightly weaker NFC compared to the AFC.

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