Kazeka1886

Carcassonne is last 16th with 22 points on 4-1-15 record sitting 9 points below safety while Nevers is 10th with 39 points on 8-1-11 record. Carcassonne won 18 of their 22 points at home where they won 2 of last 3 games while Nevers lost all 9 of their road games and those 9 losses came by an average of 27.3 points difference. Carcassonne hosted Nevers on 6 previous occasions and won all 6 of those games so got to expect hosts to be higher motivated here and win this one.

Colomiers is 3rd with 68 points on 15 wins and 5 losses, while Beziers is 13th with 34 points on 8 wins and 12 losses. Colomiers won 8 of their 10 home games, with 6 of those 8 wins coming by at least a 25-point margin. Beziers lost all 9 of their road games, with those 9 losses coming by an average of 20.1 points. Colomiers won their first match of the season on the road by 21 points, so got to expect them to similarly dominate this one as well. Sitting only 1 point behind 2nd place and direct placement into the semifinal, simply got to expect Colomiers to look to win by 3 or more tries to claim the maximum available points, which should result in another big home win.

Colomiers stayed under this total in 15 of their last 18 games, including 8 of their last 9 home games. Beziers stayed below this margin in 13 of their last 17 games, including 5 of their last 7 road games. They stayed below this margin in 9 of their last 12 head-to-head meetings hosted by Colomiers, so got to expect another lower-scoring game which should result in another under.

Cambuur Leeuwarden is 2nd with 52 points, while RKC is 9th with 37 points. Cambuur is undefeated at home with 9 wins and 2 draws. RKC lost their last 2 games and also dropped 3 of their last 5 road games. Cambuur is undefeated in their last 6 H2H meetings played in Leeuwarden, with 4 wins, so got to give a decisive advantage to the hosts here and back Cambuur to win.

Dordrecht is 7th with 40 points, while Ajax Reserves are last, 20th, with only 19 points. Dordrecht is red-hot, having won their last 5 games, while Ajax Reserves are awful on the road, as they lost 9 of 12 away games. Dordrecht won their last two H2H meetings at home by convincing margins of 3 and 4 goals, so got to like the hosts to win this one as well.

Dordrecht has 6 overs in their last 8 games, while Ajax Reserves have 7 overs in their last 8 games. They produced overs in the last 8 HTH meetings hosted by Dordrecht, so got to expect another higher-scoring contest here and take the over.

Sassuolo is 10th with 32 points, while Verona is last 20th with only 15 points, sitting 9 points below safety. Sassuolo won 3 of their last 4 games, only losing to league leaders Inter in that stretch while Verona is winless in their last 10 games, with 7 losses. Sassuolo beat Verona on the road in the first head-to-head match of the season, and they also beat them in 3 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings played in Reggio Emilia, including the last 2, so got to give the decisive advantage to the hosts here and back Sassuolo to win.

Athletic Club is 9th with 31 points, while Elche is 16th with 25 points, sitting just 1 point above the danger zone. Athletic Club won their last two games, while Elche is winless in their last seven games with four losses. On the road they are winless this season with four draws and seven losses in 11 away trips. Athletic Club won two of their last three head-to-head meetings played in Bilbao, so give the decisive edge to the hosts and back them to win this one.

Shamrock Rovers finished last season as champions and 14 points above St Patrick's. Shamrock is 6-2-1 in their last nine H2H meetings which they hosted, so got to like Rovers to win this one at home.

Estudiantes LP is undefeated in the first 5 games of the season with 2 wins and 3 draws, while Sarmiento has 2 wins and 3 losses. Estudiantes LP won both of their home games, while Sarmiento lost all 3 of their road games. Estudiantes is undefeated in their previous 4 head-to-head meetings with 3 wins, so got to expect the hosts to have the upper hand in this one and win.

Estudiantes LP has 9 points from 2 wins and 3 draws, while Sarmiento has 6 points from 2 wins and 3 losses. Estudiantes LP has 2 wins in 2 home games, while Sarmiento has all 3 losses in 3 away games, so got to like the hosts to win this one. Estudiantes LP won both of their home games by 1-goal margins and kept clean sheets in their last 3 games. Sarmiento lost all 3 of their away games by narrow 1-goal margins while scoring only a single goal. Estudiantes is undefeated in the last 4 head-to-head meetings with Sarmiento at home, with 3 wins, all by narrow 1-goal margins, so got to like backing the hosts to win by a narrow 1 goal in a low-scoring match making a 1-0 scoreline a solid option to go with.

Hill arrives in Nairobi in blistering form as he finished as runner-up in each of his last two outings at the Bahrain Championship and the Qatar Masters. The last two times this Karen CC hosted the Kenya Open and Kenya Savannah Classic, back in 2021, Hill was brilliant, finishing 8th and 3rd, so he has excellent history here and arrives in superb form that could easily carry him to the win.

Manassero won five times previously on the DP World Tour. His fantastic 2024 allowed him to go to the PGA, where he didn't find much success. His last win came at the Johnson Workwear Open, which is played at altitude, just like this week in Kenya. That should come in handy. He was in the top 20 at the Bahrain Championship on his last outing ahead of Sunday before he finished a bit weaker, but he is in good shape. This level could easily bring out the best of him and see him win again.

Lawrence didn't have that good of a time on the PGA Tour last year, but returning to the DP World Tour he quickly notched another win, taking the title at the Omega European Masters, which was also played at altitude in Switzerland similarly to this week in Kenya. He was T7 playing this course back in 2019 on the Sunshine Tour, and he was also a runner-up on neighboring Muthaiga in 2022, so he has good history here. After opening this season with a solid T10 at the Dubai Invitational, simply got to see nice value backing him to win this week.