Kazeka1886

Estudiantes was 4th in the regular season with a 20-12 record, while Alicante was 15-17 in 9th place, barely making the playoffs. Estudiantes were strong at home with 13-3 record, while Alicante was just 6-10 on the road. Estudiantes won 10 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings played in Madrid, including the first encounter of this season, so got to like Estudiantes to open this series with a home win in front of their fans.

Maritimo is 1st with 66 points, having won the title and secured their promotion back to the top tier of Portuguese football. On the other side, Chaves is 11th with 42 points and has nothing to play for. Maritimo is strong, 9-4-3 at home in Funchal, while Chaves lost 5 of their last 7 games and also lost 7 of their last 8 road games. Marítimo won their first H2H match of the season and, at home, should conclude a successful season with another win.

Castellon is 6th, holding the final spot that leads to a playoff for promotion, while also being just 6 points off the automatic promotion zone. On the other side, Cadiz is 26 points lower in 18th place, sitting just 3 points above the relegation zone. Castellan is fantastic 11-1-2 in their last 14 home games, while Cadiz has been disastrous of late, with only 1 win since early January as they lost 15 of their last 18 games. Castellon won 6 of their last 7 H2H meetings that they hosted, so got to give the decisive edge to the much stronger hosts, who should be winning this one.

Polonia Warsaw is 6th with 50 points, holding the final spot that leads to a playoff for promotion in a tight race. On the other side, Wisla Krakow is 1st and has already secured and celebrated their title, with nothing to play for here. Polonia won 3 of their last 4 games, while Wisla has only 1 win in their last 9 road trips. Polonia beat Wisla in Krakow earlier this season, inflicting them their only home loss of the season. Polonia also beat Wisla here last season, so got to expect much higher-motivated hosts that should find a way to win this one.

Saints went over this total in 3 of their last 4 home league games, while Bears went over this total in their last 2 games. Saints are averaging 41.4 points scored per game at home this season, while Bears are averaging 28.6 points scored per game on the road this season. They went over this total in 5 of their last 8 H2H meetings, which averaged 68.4 total points per game, so got to expect a high-scoring contest here that should bring in the over.

Biarritz is 14th with 49 points, needing a win here to secure their safety, while Carcassonne is dead last 16th with 35 points and already relegated. Biarritz won 5 of their last 7 home games, with those 5 wins coming by an average of 18.8 points difference. Conversely, Carcassonne lost their last 11 road games, with 7 of their last 8 away losses coming by at least 26 points. Biarritz won all 8 of their previous H2H meetings at home and should once again win this one, putting any doubt about dropping down to a lower division away with a big win.

Brive won last 9 home games with 6 of those wins coming by at least 37 points while Nevers lost all but one road games this season so got to like Brive to win this one by big margin.

Brive went over this total in their last 3 home games, while Nevers went over this total in 7 of their last 10 games. Brive scored 43 points or more in 6 of their last 7 home games. Nevers scored 31 points or more in 3 of their last 5 road games while also giving up 36 points or more in their last 6 road games. They combined for 64 total points in the first head-to-head match of the season, and this one should be even more high scoring and result in an over.

Mont de Marsan went over this total in 5 of their last 7 games, including in the last 3 home games, while Agen went over this total in 4 of their last 7 games. They went over this total in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings, including in 2 of the last 3 hosted by Mont de Marsan, so got to expect a lot of points here and take the over.

Oyonnax is 5th with 82 points, while Aurillac is 11th with 53 points. Oyonnax won their last 5 home games, with those wins coming by an average margin of 35.6 points difference. On the other side, Aurillac lost their last 6 games, with their last 2 road losses by 66 and 37 points. Oyonnax won all 7 of their previous head-to-head meetings that they hosted, with 3 of the last 5 of those wins coming by 29 points or more, so got to expect Oyonnax to stomp Aurillac once again.

Oyonnax is averaging 40.1 points scored per game at home this season, while Aurillac's last 3 games all had 74 points or more, and they allowed at least 35 points in their last 5 games. Oyonnax had 73 points in their last game, so got to expect plenty of tries here, which should result in an over.

Soyaux Angouleme had at least 59 points in 3 of their last 5 games, while Beziers went over this total in 4 of their last 5 games. Soyaux Angouleme scored 81 points in their last 2 home games, while Beziers scored 24 points or more in 3 of their last 4 road games and allowed 41 points or more in 3 of those 4 games as well. With nothing on the line for either side here, got to expect both to go for the touch and tries, which should result in a higher-scoring game and an over.

Valence Romans went over this total in 6 of their last 7 games, while Provence went over this total in their last 5 games. Valence Romans scored at least 32 points in their last 4 games, while Provence scored at least 31 points in their last 4 games. They went over this total in the last 3 H2H meetings, so expect a fiery, high-scoring contest here as well that should bring in the over.

Vannes is 1st with 111 points while Dax is 9th with 55 points. Vannes won all 14 home games, outscoring opponents by an average of a massive 30.5-point difference, with the last 3 wins coming by 45, 71, and 37 points. On the other side, Dax lost 12 of 14 road games, with the last 2 of those losses coming by 36 and 45 points. Vannes beat Dax by 25 and 32 points the last two times they hosted them, so this even stronger Vannes side should win this one even more convincingly.

Vannes went over this total in their last two home games, where they scored 71 and 61 points. Dax went over this total in three of their last four road games. In three of those road games they allowed 48 points or more, and they scored 21 points or more in three of the four as well, so got to expect a higher-scoring game here that should bring in the over.

McIlroy won his 6th Major at Augusta a month ago after a brilliant display and the confidence he showed during the whole 4 days. He said he will focus on Majors in the future, and a solid T19 at the Truist Championship last week was good to shake off any potential rust. He last played here at Aronimink in 2018 and finished 5th at the BMW Championship, and he spent some time here recently getting more familiar with the small changes the course went through, so got to expect Rory to go well, compete for the title again, and finish as the top European.

Alex Fitzpatrick has been in superb form of late as he was 6th at the Joburg Open before winning the Hero Indian Open and flying across the globe to win a title next to his brother at the Zurich Classic of New Orleans. He followed that up with two more strong showings in his next two outings, finishing T9 at the Cadillac Championship and 4th last week at the Truist Championship, where only a bad final round of 73 cost him another win. His only previous showing in a Major saw him take a solid T17 at Royal Liverpool, highlighted by a superb round of 65 on Saturday, so combined with how well he is playing at the moment, this price is worth backing as a decent long shot.

JJ Spaun had a breakthrough 2025 when he finished as runner-up at The Players Championship and then won the U.S. Open at Oakmont. He has been playing really well of late, winning the Valero Texas Open., and in his last two outings he was T14 at the Cadillac Championship and T5 last week at the Truist Championship, where he ranked 5th for Total Driving and was solid with the putter. This week at Aronimink, which is a slightly shorter course, should suit him better and his elite approach play, and if the putter warms up even more, it could easily see JJ contend for the win.

McIlroy won his 6th major at Augusta, defending his title from last year and winning back-to-back green jackets. Since then Rory took a month break and returned with a solid T19 at the Truist Championship last week. He has said on multiple occasions that going forward he will focus heavily on majors, and him supposedly making his way to Aronimink recently to get some good practice doesn't surprise. His last visit here came in 2018 when he took a solid 5th at the BMW Championship, and ranking 1st for Driving Distance last week alongside 3rd for Greens In Regulation showed no sign of rust, which makes Rory a strong pick for another major title.