Kazeka1886

Assat produced unders in their last 3 games, while Pelicans produced unders in 8 of their last 10 games. Assat has 2 unders in the last 3 home games, while Pelicans produced unders in 14 of their last 17 road games. Their 3 head-to-head meetings this season saw totals of only 2, 3, and 3 goals. They also produced unders in the last 9 head-to-head meetings played in Pori, which averaged a very low 3.6 total goals per game, so got to expect another gritty, defensive battle, which should result in another under in the end.

HIFK is 9th with 63 points on 21 wins and 25 losses, while Karpat is next to last, 15th, with 54 points on 18 wins and 28 losses. HIFK has been much better of late, winning 8 of their last 12 games and 4 of their last 5. Karpat lost 9 of their last 14 games, including 7 of their last 10 games on the road. HIFK won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings, including the last 2 played in Helsinki, so got to like in-form HIFK to win this one.

Lukko is 4th with 81 points on 28 wins and 18 losses, while TPS is 12th with 58 points on 19 wins and 28 losses. Lukko has been fantastic at home, having won 18 of 22 games, while TPS lost 17 of 26 road games, including the last 5. Lukko won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings, including the last 2 at home in Rauma, so got to give the edge to the home side here and back Lukko to win.

Lukko is 4th with 81 points, sitting 23 points above 12th-placed TPS. Lukko has been dominant at home with 18 wins and only 4 losses, and 12 of those 18 wins came by at least a 2-goal margin. On the other side, TPS lost 10 of their last 13 games, and they lost 11 of their last 13 road games, with 8 of those 11 road losses coming by at least a 2-goal margin. Lukko won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings, with the last 3 of those wins coming by at least a 2-goal margin, including the last 2 games in which they hosted TPS, so Lukko is in much better form which should see them dominate this one in front of their fans and win convincingly in the end.

Lukko went over this total in 7 of their last 9 games, while TPS went over this total in 5 of their last 7 games. Lukko produced overs in 9 of their last 11 home games, averaging 4.4 goals scored per game in that stretch. On the other side, TPS produced 7 overs in their last 10 road games, allowing 4.2 goals per game in that span. They went over this total in the last 3 HTH meetings played in Rauma, so got to expect goals in this one and see a nice price going with the over here.

AGF Aarhus leads the league with 40 points, while Odense BK is a decent 6th with 26 points. AGF Aarhus won 6 of their last 7 home games, while Odense BK is weaker with a 3-3-3 record on the road. They are both very good offensively, but AGF Aarhus is way better defensively, as they have the league's best defence, having allowed only 18 goals in 18 games while Odense BK has the 2nd-worst defence, having allowed 37 goals in 18 games. AGF Aarhus won their first head-to-head match of the season by 4 goals on the road, and they knocked out Odense BK from the cup, beating them by 2 goals at home after losing by 1 goal in the first leg. AGF Aarhus has a 7-3-1 home head-to-head record against Odense BK in their last 11 H2H matches, so got to give the edge to the hosts and back them to win this one.

These two teams sit next to each other as Dunkerque is 6th with 33 points, while Guingamp is right behind them in 7th with one fewer point. Dunkerque won 2 of their 3 three home games, while Guingamp lost 2 of their last 3 road games. They are about equal in offensive production, but Dunkerque is better defensively, having conceded 10 fewer goals than Guingamp. Dunkerque has a strong head-to-head record against Guingamp at home, with 6 wins in 8 games, including wins in the last two Guingamp visits, so got to give a slight edge to the hosts and back them to win.

Red Star is 4th with 37 points, sitting just 4 points off the leaders, while Pau is 10th with 31 points. Red Star has only 1 loss in their last 9 games, which came at the leaders by a minimal score while Pau has only 2 wins in their last 12 games. Red Star beat Pau by 3 goals on the road in their first head-to-head match of the season, so got to give the edge to the hosts here and back them to win.

Reims is 2nd with 38 points while Bastia is dead last, 18th, with 15 points. Reims is fantastic 7-1-2 at home, while Bastia is 1-3-6 on the road, so the hosts should be winning this one. Reims kept clean sheets in 4 of their last 5 wins, while Bastia is the lowest-scoring team in the league with only 11 goals in 21 games, including failing to score in 9 of their 12 losses. Reims is better and should be winning this one at home, so combined with how poor Bastia has been offensively, simply got to like pairing a hosts' win alongside a clean sheet.

Both of these teams have been struggling of late, mostly because of defensive woes and leaking defenses, while both have been solid offensively. Union Berlin scored and conceded in 8 of their last 10 games, while Eintracht Frankfurt also scored and conceded in 8 of their last 10 games. They both scored in the last 3 head-to-head meetings of which the first one of this season saw Union edge out a very entertaining game by a score of 4-3 in Frankfurt, so got to expect goals in this one as well, which should include both teams scoring.

Forrest has been playing well this year, with finishes of T20 at the Dubai Invitational, followed by T41 at the Dubai Desert Classic, before T7 last week in Bahrain where he had a double bogey on the last hole where a birdie would have put him into the playoff for victory. He led the field in par-3 scoring last week, and the par-3s here in Doha might be the toughest segment of the course, so his strong mid-iron game will surely come in handy. He is also finding greens with regularity, as he ranked 2nd for GIR last week, so his game is in fine shape and he could easily fight for victory come Sunday afternoon.

Campillo has a fantastic record here in Qatar, making the weekend in each of his last 10 visits. That run is highlighted by 4 top-5 finishes, including a victory in 2020 when the event did move to Education City for 2 years, but here in Doha he has 2 runner-up finishes, clearly showing his liking for these parts. He opened this year in very solid form with finishes of T19 at the Dubai Desert Classic and T16 last week at the Bahrain Championship, where only final rounds of 75 and 72 cost him even better finishes in both events. However, his overall game is in good shape, and a return to a place where he has some amazing history should help him put together 4 full solid rounds, which could easily see him contend for the win once again.

Rafa Cabrero Bello closed out last year with a solid T23 at the Australian Open, before he opened this year very well, notching finishes of T19 at the Dubai Desert Classic and T16 at the Bahrain Championship last week. He finished both of those tournaments with strong closing rounds of 5-under-par 67s. Spaniard has a solid record here in Doha, being 8 for his last 10, with 4 of those being top-6 finishes and 3 of them being top-3 finishes, so with improving form in which he arrives to the place where he has a lot of good history, simply got to see a nice price worth going with RCB to contend for the victory.

Wenyi Ding finished last year very strong, notching finishes of 3rd at the Macao Open, T6 at the Hong Kong Open, and a runner-up finish at the Australian PGA Championship. He opened this year with a solid T19 at the Dubai Desert Classic before missing the cut in Bahrain last week, but he shot 1 under par, so he wasn't as bad. He was T35 on debut here a year ago after getting off to a flying start with rounds of 69-67, before back-to-back 75s on the weekend destroyed his chance of a much better finish. He is a much better player a year on, and there is decent value backing him to be right in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

Rams have an excellent team all around, which is playing at a really high level this season. Their QB, Stafford, led them to the title in 2022, and he is playing some of the best football of his career this year under McVay's helm. They have a superb young defense this year, filled with talent all over it, and they are one of the least penalized teams in the league. Being that young on defense allowed them to add Adams to their receiving core alongside one of the best receivers in the league, Nacua. Rams also have a really good running game with Kyren Williams and a whole stable of solid tight ends. So, with an experienced, Super Bowl-winning QB like Stafford, who usually plays his best in the biggest games, you simply have to like the Rams to go all the way and win another ring in Santa Clara this season.

Straka sits in 12th in the OWGR after an excellent 2025, which was highlighted by two wins at The American Express and the Truist Championship, alongside a couple of other near misses, including 3rd place at the Hero World Challenge to close out the year. He was really solid, 15th here a year ago, so after shaking the rust off last week, so got to expect him to play well and quite possibly contend for the win.

Berger has a very good record here at TPC Scottsdale, being 7 for 10 with 5 top-11 finishes, highlighted by a runner-up finish a year ago when he had 4 rock-solid rounds. He opened this year with a solid T6 at the Sony Open in Hawaii, where he opened with a round of 66 and closed with a round of 64. With this price on offer for a player who plays some of his best golf here year after year, there is a lot of value worth trying with Berger to again be right in the mix on Sunday afternoon.

Matsuyama finished last year in style, taking T7 and T5 at the Genesis Championship and Dunlop Phoenix before winning the Hero World Challenge. He also started this year in a very positive way, finishing T13 at the Sony Open in Hawaii before improving to T11 last week at the Farmers Insurance Open. Hideki has an excellent history here at TPC Scottsdale, with 9 top-25 finishes in 12 previous visits, highlighted by back-to-back wins in 2016 and 2017, along with 2 more top-4 finishes. He is playing well at the moment, and TPC Scottsdale always brings out his best, so got to expect another strong showing from the Japanese player.

Nick Taylor has a strong record here in Phoenix. He won the title in 2024 after finishing as runner-up to Scheffler a year prior, and then he was a solid T25 when defending last year. He plays some of his best golf early in the season as 3 of his 5 PGA Tour wins came on the West Coast swing, and he also has 3 wins on Bermuda grass greens like TPC Scottsdale has. He led heading into the weekend at the Sony Open in Hawaii to start this season, before strong winds blew away his chance of another top result, en route to finishing T13. He followed that with a decent T27 at The American Express, where he started off strong with 65-65 rounds. All in all, he is playing well and returns to a place where he has played some of his best golf to date, so there is nice value in taking a chance on another strong showing by the Canadian.