Kazeka1886

Hurricanes scored 52 in their first home game of the season, and they are coming off putting 59 points on the Waratahs in their last outing. On the other side, Western Force scored 31 points or more in their last 3 games, while they have been really poor defensively, allowing 39 points per game. Hurricanes won all previous 6 H2H matches against Western Force played in New Zealand, with the last 3 of those seeing them score 41 points or more, so got to expect a big output from the hosts here, and with Western Force also producing well offensively, expect a high-scoring game which should produce an over.

Mercedes dominated the first and only practice of this race, with Russell finishing 1st, slightly over a tenth faster than his teammate, and no one else coming closer than half a second. Mercedes looks like the best at the moment and by quite some margin, while Russell is slightly more experienced and steadier than his teammate Antonelli, so got to expect their domination to continue in qualifying and Russell to take pole for the sprint.

These two city rivals opened the season in different ways as the Roosters lost comfortably in Auckland to the Warriors by 24 points, while the Rabbitohs beat the Dolphins in Brisbane by 10 points. However, the Roosters made a lot of handling errors and conceded a bunch of penalties which are correctable in a week, and they have more quality in their side than their rivals. Rabbitohs did allow 30 points to the Dolphins, and going on the road in a tough atmosphere against their big rival, who will be eager to respond after a poor first game, could see the visitors' defence have a long 80 minutes. Roosters will also have a very important piece in Toia returning, which should help solidify their defence. They won 6 of their last 7 head-to-head meetings against their fiercest rival from the southern part of the city, with the last 5 of those wins coming by more than a converted try, so got to like the Roosters to win this one by at least a try as well.

These two teams battled very physical and defensive series so far, with all 3 games needing overtime to decide the winner after very low-scoring battles. The first game saw 2 goals in regulation, the second saw 4, and the last was another very low-scoring game with only 2 goals in regulation before each of those games had game-winners scored in overtime. This is potentially an elimination game for Sparta Praha, who ia 1-2 down in the series, so got to expect another similarly tight, low-scoring affair, especially with both sides having excellent goalies, which should result in another low-scoring game that should stay under the total.

Griffin had a bit of a slower start to 2026 but still produced some solid results, as he sits 13th in the OWGR. He notched 3 wins in his last 24 outings while also finishing twice as runner-up in that stretch, which is a superb return at this level. He was T35 here on debut in 2023 before a couple of missed cuts followed, which kept his price high this week, but given his quality and ability to win when in contention, he represents huge value worth going with this weekend.

Young has been playing very well the last few weeks as he finished T7 at the Genesis Invitational, where he fired excellent weekend rounds of 66-66. He followed that up with an even better showing last week at Bay Hill, taking T3 with another set of strong weekend rounds of 67-69 that featured just a single bogey. He was only T61 here last year but got off to a fine start, sitting 4 under par before he fell apart over the weekend. This time around he looks much better, and he has been playing some fantastic golf in crucial rounds, so if he avoids a bad round with the form he is on, simply got to feel like Cameron could easily be in the mix, fighting for the win.

Morikawa is in outstanding form as he won at Pebble Beach and then followed that up with two more very good outings, taking T7 at The Genesis Invitational and then finishing 5th last week at Arnie's place. He was T3 heading into the weekend here in 2023 en route to finishing T13, and he was T10 last year after another blistering start that saw him sit at T4 heading into the weekend rounds. Colin is playing some great stuff at the moment, and he has been improving in recent starts here at TPC Sawgrass, so got to fancy him to be right in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

Aberg has had a slightly weaker start to 2026 as he suffered from some illnesses early in the year, but he has looked better of late. He notched T20 at The Genesis Invitational on his penultimate start, where he finished with a nice round of 66, before a T3 finish last week at Bay Hill, where he got off to an excellent start with round of 66 and closed out with another fine round of 67. Since his move to the U.S., he resides in Ponte Vedra and uses TPC Sawgrass as the course on which he practices most of the time. His debut here resulted in an 8th-place finish with three rounds of 67 as only a weaker Friday round stopped him from contending for the win in his first attempt. Gaining momentum in recent weeks and ranking 1st for Total Driving last week makes Ludvig a solid pick to contend for the win.