Kazeka1886

Bristol City produced overs in each of their last 3 games, while Stoke produced overs in 8 of their last 13 games. Bristol City has been playing much more openly since Hodgson took over, and they conceded 2 goals or more in 5 of their last 7 home games, while Stoke conceded 2 goals or more in their last 5 away games. Their H2H matches are usually high scoring as 6 of the last 7 games between them went over this total, and 4 of the last 5 of those matches saw at least 4 total goals, so with both teams leaking goals defensively, got to expect goals to flow in this one and result in another over.

Derby is 8th with 69 points, sitting 1 point below Hull and Wrexham, needing a win here and some results to go their way if they are to make the playoffs for promotion. On the other side, Sheffield United is 15th with 57 points and has nothing to play for. Derby has been fantastic of late at home, winning their last 6 matches in front of their fans while also keeping 4 clean sheets. On the other side, Sheffield United is just 2-3-5 in their last 10 games, having lost the last 2 and conceded at least 3 goals in each of those matches. Derby won their first head-to-head match of the season by 3-1 on the road, and they also beat the Blades in 2 of the last 3 head-to-head meetings played at Pride Park, so got to expect a much more motivated Rams side here, which should be winning in the end.

Derby produced overs in 4 of their last 6 games, while Sheff Utd produced 5 overs in their last 7 games. Derby scored in each of their last 8 games, while conceding in 4 of the last 6. On the other side, Sheff Utd scored at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 4 games, kept only 1 clean sheet in their last 10 games, and conceded 3 goals in each of their last 2 games. They combined for 4 goals in the first head-to-head match of this season. Derby needs to go for the win here, while Sheff Utd is playing freely and openly which should lead to another entertaining game with a lot of great scoring chances, which should bring in the over in the end.

Hull produced overs in 7 of their last 10 games, while Norwich produced overs in 6 of their last 10 road games. Hull needs a win here and potentially needs to chase goal difference, and they conceded 2 goals or more in 4 of their last 7 home games, while Norwich scored 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 10 road games. They produced overs in 6 of the last 8 H2H meetings, so got to expect another open game with plenty of goals, which should lead to an over.

Ipswich is 2nd with 81 points, needing a win here to secure promotion back to the PL. QPR are way down in 14th with 58 points and have nothing to play for. Ipswich is rock solid 7-6-1 in their last 14 games and just missed out on promotion in midweek at Southampton in a fantastic game that ended in a 2-2 draw, which in the end didn't help them much. Conversely, QPR seem checked out as they lost their last 3 games, conceding at least 2 goals in each of those losses, and are just looking for the offseason to start. Ipswich are undefeated in the last 3 H2H meetings with Rangers, including a 3-goal win at Loftus Road earlier this season. McKenna's Ipswich teams have shown in recent years that they will be up and ready for massive games like this one, so with the visitors having nothing to play for, got to expect much higher-motivated hosts who should end up victorious and celebrate a return to the top tier of English football.

Ipswich produced overs in 3 of their last 4 games, while QPR produced overs in 9 of their last 14 games. Ipswich scored 2 goals or more in 7 of their last 10 games, while they also conceded at least 2 goals in 3 of their last 5 games. On the other side, QPR conceded 2, 3, and 2 goals in their last 3 games, while they have been decent offensively, scoring 15 goals in their last 8 games. They combined for 5 total goals in the first head-to-head match of the season, so got to expect another high-scoring contest here, which should result in an over.

Millwall is 3rd with 80 points, sitting 1 point behind Ipswich in the fight for 2nd place and automatic promotion. Oxford Utd is 22nd with 47 points, having been relegated and with nothing to play for in this one. Millwall won 9 of their last 15 games, including 2 of their last 3. Oxford Utd lost 2 of their last 3 games and is only 1-3-4 in their last 8 road trips. Millwall is the better side and they have everything to play for, compared to relegated visitors who could ease up with nothing on the line, so got to expect highly motivated hosts who should be winning this one.

Millwall produced overs in 9 of their last 13 home games, while Oxford Utd produced overs in 6 of their last 10 away games. They produced overs in 4 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings, so combined with Millwall needing to go for the win, got to expect an open style of game that should produce some goals and result in an over.

Swansea is 11th with 64 points, while Charlton is 19th with 53 points. Swansea is 4-2-2 in their last 8 home games, while Charlton is just 1-3-4 in their last 8 games, but that lone win came in the last round and helped them secure their safety. Swansea is undefeated in their last 3 H2H league meetings, with 2 wins, and they have been the better team offensively, producing 11 more goals than Charlton who could easily ease up a bit after securing their safety, so got to expect Swansea to be more motivated in front of their fans, so the hosts should have the upper hand in this one and win in the end.

Swansea has 5 overs in the last 7 games, while Charlton produced 4 overs in their last 6 games. Swansea produced overs in each of their last 3 home games, while Charlton scored in each of their last 7 road games. Both have nothing but pride on the line, so both should play an open style to give the fans a treat which should lead to plenty of chances at both ends and eventually bring in the over.

Wrexham is 6th with 70 points, needing a win here to secure a playoff spot. Middlesbrough is 4th with 79 points, sitting 2 points below automatic promotion, but both sides in front of them have home games against weaker teams, so Middlesbrough isn't likely to leapfrog them even with a win. Wrexham won 2 of their last 3 games, only losing at crowned champions Coventry late. Middlesbrough has only 2 wins in their last 9 games, which both came at home. Wrexham simply must win here, while Middlesbrough could get the information at half-time or at some point that other results aren't going in their favor, which could easily see them let up a bit. Wrexham beat Middlesbrough the only previous time they hosted them, and earlier this season they drew at the Riverside, with Middlesbrough getting an equalizer late after Wrexham was ahead for almost the whole game, so got to give the edge to the hosts here and back Wrexham to win.

Wrexham produced 4 overs in the last 6 home games, while Middlesbrough produced 8 overs in the last 9 road games. They are both in situations where they must win, so both should play very openly and go for it. They produced an over in the only previous H2H match between them played in South Wales, while they both scored in the first H2H match of the season at the Riverside, which was a 1-1 draw. With the specific situation and both needing to go for the win and potentially goal difference even if they are ahead, simply got to expect plenty of great scoring chances at both ends, which should result in an over in the end.

Bromley is 2nd with 84 points, having secured promotion and playing for the title as they sit 1 point off the leaders, while Walsall is 12th with 65 points and has nothing to play for in this one. Bromley is undefeated at home this whole season with 13 wins and draws, while Walsall lost 3 of their last 4 games, getting outscored 1-8 in those 3 losses. Bromley is the better side and will be looking to conclude the season undefeated at home while trying to get the title, and Walsall has nothing on the line, which should give the hosts the upper hand in this one and see them win.

Leyton Orient is 20th with 51 points, sitting 2 points above relegation, with a goal difference 4 worse than Exeter, who is chasing them, so they need a win to secure their safety. On the other side, Burton Albion are 18th with just 2 more points, as they just secured their stay in the last 2 rounds. Leyton Orient won 30 of their 51 points at home, while Burton Albion have only 1 win in their last 12 away games, with 6 losses. Leyton Orient won their first H2H match of the season by 4 goals on the road, and they should be the more motivated side here, playing for their safety, which should give them the upper hand and see them win.

Chacarra has been playing very well of late, notching a runner-up finish at the Hero Indian Open when defending his title from last year. He was T9 in Mexico at the Tulum Championship on the Korn Ferry Tour before flying across the globe to China, where he was a solid T33 given the circumstances. He is in fine form, and the more stern test this week near Antalya should serve him well, so he could easily fight for top spots on Sunday afternoon.

Kimsey has been playing some really good golf this year, with 5 top-12 finishes in events he played in, highlighted by T5 at the Magical Kenya Open and T6 last week at the Volvo China Open, where he fired all 4 rounds in the 60s with only 5 bogeys in those 4 rounds. He led the field last week for Driving accuracy and sits th overall for the whole season on the DP World Tour in that same category, so if the putter warms up slightly more, Kimsey could easily be around the top of the leaderboard fighting for the win this week in Turkey.

Kitayama is in very good form of late, with results of T2 at The Genesis Invitational, T18 at the Arnold Palmer Invitational, and T8 on his last outing at the RBC Heritage among the last 6 events he played in. Kurt won the 3M Open last year, which has similarities to this week's Blue Monster with many water hazards in play. He plays some of his best golf in these smaller-field signature events, so got to see nice value backing him to be right in the mix come Sunday afternoon.