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Both teams are averaging above this margin. Bayer Leverkusen is at a 3.5 goals-per-game average, while Werder Bremen is at 3.2 goals per game average. Bayer has 11 overs and 6 unders, and Werder also has 11 overs and 6 unders. Bayer produced overs in 3 of their last 4 home games while Werder produced 6 overs in 9 road games. Combiend with 5 of their last 6 head-to-head meetings going over this total, including the first match of this season, which ended in a thrilling 3-3 draw, so got to expect another open game with plenty of scoring chances, which should bring in another over.

Bayern Munich leads the league with 50 points, sitting 11 points in front of everyone with an undefeated record of 16 wins and 2 draws. Augsburg is way down in 15th place with 16 points, so Bayern should be winning this one with ease. Bayern is outscoring opponents by a 3.2 goals difference in their wins, and they conceded in 7 of their last 9 games. Augsburg scored in 9 of their last 11 head-to-head meetings, so go to fancy them to score in this one as well, but Bayern should win by a big margin and a huge 6-1 win provides solid value to try with.

Both of these teams are averaging well above this margin as Eintracht Frankfurt is on a 4.3 goals-per-game average, while Hoffenheim is on a 3.3 goals-per-game average. Eintracht has 12 overs and 6 unders, while Hoffenheim has 11 overs and 6 unders. Eintracht had 6, 5, and 6 total goals in their last 3 games, while Hoffenheim produced 7 overs in their last 11 games. They produced overs in their last 12 H2H meetings, of which the last 10 all saw at least 4 goals, so got to expect another open game with goals, which should bring in another over.

Both of these teams are averaging above this margin. Heidenheim is on a 3.4 goals-per-game average, while RB Leipzig is on a 3.1 goals-per-game average. Heidenheim has 13 overs and 5 unders, while RB Leipzig has 10 overs and 7 unders. Heidenheim produced 7 overs in 9 home games, while RB Leipzig produced 4 overs in the last 5 games, including 3 in the last 4 games. They produced overs in 4 of the last 6 H2H meetings, so got to expect goals here and back the over.

Birmingham is 13th with 38 points while Stoke is 9th with 41 points. Birmingham is undefeated in the last 3 games with 2 wins, and they are a phenomenal 7-5-1 at home at St Andrew's including a win over the league leaders last time out in front of their fans. On the other side, Stoke is winless in the last 2 games with a draw and a loss, and they also lost 4 of their last 6 road games. Birmingham is a solid 3-4-2 in the last 9 H2H meetings with Stoke, so got to feel like home-ground advantage will be the key here and Birmingham should find a way to win this one.

Burnley produced 3 overs in their last 4 home games, while Tottenham produced 8 overs in 11 road games. Both teams are scoring at a solid level, but both are also leaking goals defensively, especially Burnley. They went over this total in the last 3 HTH league meetings, of which the most recent one at Turf Moor saw 7 total goals. With Burnley needing a win and important points in fight for safety, expect them to play a bit more openly than usual. That should lead to a more open game with goals as Tottenham also is in a need of positive result, which makes the over a solid pick at this price.

Cambridge Utd is 6th with 44 points, while Tranmere is way down in 17th with 32 points. Cambridge Utd is red-hot of late, being undefeated in their last 11 games with 6 wins in the last 9 of those matches. On the other side, Tranmere is struggling, as they lost 5 of their last 7 games. Cambridge Utd has the best defence in the league, conceding just 20 goals in 25 games, while Tranmere ranks among the bottom 5 teams defensively, allowing 1.6 goals per game, so it feels like Cambridge Utd's more solid defence will limit Tranmere's chances, and Tranmere's leaky defence will allow the hosts to find a way to victory in this one.

Grimsby is 11th with 37 points, while Cheltenham is 18th with 30 points. Grimsby is undefeated in the last 4 games coming into this one, with 3 wins in a row while Cheltenham lost 3 of their last 4 games. Grimsby is undefeated in the last 7 head-to-head meetings against Cheltenham, with 4 wins, and they are rock solid on the road this season with just 3 losses, while Cheltenham has only 1 draw at home this season which makes the visitors a decent pick to win this one.

Colchester is 9th with 39 points, while Fleetwood Town is 15th with 34 points. Colchester is undefeated in their last 5 games, with 3 wins while Fleetwood Town is winless in their last 5 games, with 4 losses. Colchester is a solid 6-4-3 at home, while Fleetwood Town is struggling 3-3-6 on the road. Combined with Colchester being undefeated in their 3 previous head-to-head meetings at home, with 2 wins including a convincing 3-0 last season, makes the hosts a solid pick to win this one as well.

Doncaster is 22nd with 26 points, sitting 3 points below the safety zone, while Wigan is 18th with just 4 more points. Doncaster is undefeated in the last 2 games and are coming off an important win at Wimbledon while Wigan is just 1-1-4 in their last 6 games, including losses in 2 of their last 3 road games. Doncaster has a strong 6-1-3 H2H record over Wigan in 10 previous meetings they hosted, so it feels like Doncaster is trending in a positive direction, and at home they should be able to edge out Wigan and secure an important 3 points.

Fulham produced 5 overs in last 7 home games while Brighton produced overs in 2 of last 3 road games. Fulham also produced an over in a home game in FA Cup while Brighton also produced an over on a road game in FA Cup. They produced overs in 3 of last 4 hth meetings and they produced overs in 6 of last 7 hth league meetings played on Craven Cottage, so got to see nice price worth going with the over in this one.

Hull is flying high, sitting in 4th place with 47 points, while Swansea is 16th with 36 points. Hull is 6-1-1 in their last 8 games as they are playing some excellent football under Jankovic, while Swansea have been really struggling on the road, having lost 6 of their last 7 away games. Hull is significantly more efficient offensively with 14 more goals scored having played a game fewer, and they are 6-2-1 against Swansea in the last 9 meetings which they hosted, so got to like red-hot Hull to win this one in front of their fiery fans.

Exeter is 13th with 33 points, while Port Vale is dead last, 24th, with only 18 points, sitting a massive 11 points adrift of the safety zone. Exeter is undefeated in the last 4 games with 3 wins, while Port Vale lost 4 of their last 5 games. Exeter won 2 of the last 3 visits to Port Vale, so it feels like the visitors are the better team and are in better form, which makes this price very valuable to try with the visiting team winning this one.

Wimbledon is 17th with 31 points, sitting 2 points above the relegation zone, while Rotherham find themselves in next to last 23rd, with 24 points and 5 points below the safety zone. Wimbledon has the 7th-best away record in the league, while Rotherham have lost their last 7 games, being outscored 4-18 in that stretch. Wimbledon won their first hth match of the season and seem to be the slightly better side, so there is fine value backing the visitors to win here.

Ryggs Johnston finished T33 last week at the Dubai Invitational with major highlight of firing in an ace on par three 8th hole. He was the second-best American, finishing three shots behind Patrick Reed, but that came after a disaster on the 18th and final hole on Sunday where he posted a 9 after finding water and making a real mess of the hole that gave him fits through the whole weekend, as he played it 3 over par in the first three days. He missed the cut on his debut here a year ago but still found 7 birdies in those first two rounds, 6 of which came on the easier back 9, so no doubt he will know his way around better now, and he showed he can avoid mistakes for the most part if we remove that final-hole debacle. In a slightly smaller field of just 7 players across the pond, there is huge value backing him to finish as the best American.

Frittelli opened the year with a very good showing and a T10 finish at the Dubai Invitational last week. He is 3 for 3 here previously, with two of those being top-10 finishes, including last year when he finished T10 after ending on a bad note being 2 over par on the last 5 holes. Dylan finished last year well, notching results of T14 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship and T36 at the Mauritius Open before carrying some of that momentum into this year, so he is playing decent enough that this price is definitely worth giving a look to South African.

McIlroy opened the new season with a decent showing and a T3 finish at the Dubai Invitational, finishing 2 shots off the winner. He admitted he needed to shake off some rust and used that tournament as practice for this week and the much bigger prize pool for a tournament at which he has an exceptional record. He made the cut in his last 12 attempts here and never finished below 10th place in those 12 showings, with 4 wins and a further 4 top-5 finishes. He ranked 2nd for Strokes Gained: Putting last week, which is a great sign for this week, so got to expect Rory to clean up some other areas of his game, which should result in another strong showing and, quite possibly, a 5th title in the Dubai Desert Classic.

Hovland is 2 for 3 here previously, highlighted by winning the title back in 2022. Viktor had a really good 2025, highlighted by winning the Valspar Championship and finishing 3rd at the U.S. Open. He also finished the year strong with five top-25 finishes in the last 5 events he featured in, with 3 of those being top-7 finishes while he also played in the Ryder Cup in between those. He sits 14th in the OWGR and has shown he can play his best here in the desert, so got to see nice value backing Viktor to be right in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

McIlroy has a tremendous record at this tournament, being 12 for his last 12, with all of those 12 finishes inside the top 10, highlighted by 4 wins and 4 further top-5 finishes. He started with T3 last week in the opening tournament of the year last week and shook off any rust that might have crept into his game, so got to expect Rory to be at his best this weekend and to finish as the best from GB and Ireland.

Griffin had a superb 2025, which he finished in an excellent way by being runner-up at the Procore Championship and then winning the WWT Championship in Mexico to end the year. He started this year with a solid T19 in Hawaii last week, where he began with a round of 63. This week at The American Express should see a lot of low scores, and Griffin excels on easier, scorable courses. His most recent win in Mexico came at 29 under par, so got expect another good showing from Ben that could easily see him contend come Sunday afternoon.

Hall finished last season with 3 top-20 finishes in his last 5 starts. He opened this year with an excellent showing in Hawaii last week, taking T6 in the end. He was T21 here 12 months ago after a fine 66-68 start, following T8 and T10 finishes at The Sentry and Sony Open. With the type of form he is in at the moment and his propensity to start the season strong, simply got to fancy Harry for another strong finish this week at PGA West.

Dunlap closed out last year with solid showings, taking T8 at the WWT Championship in Mexico and T22 at the Dunlop Phoenix in Japan. He started this year with T61 in Hawaii last week after excellent 65-68 opening rounds, as he struggled on Saturday in gusty winds, posting a 77 which ruined his chances of a good result. He fired a round of 61 for 11 under par in the WWT Championship near the end of last year as he can play really well on shorter, scorable courses like this week's one in PGA West. He won here on debut as an amateur back in 2024 and was a decent T34 when defending last year, so this really is the type of course that suits him. That should see another good showing and potentially see him contend come Sunday afternoon.

Si Woo Kim finished last year strong, notching top-25 finishes in his last 7 starts, highlighted by three top-5 finishes which came at the BMW PGA Championship, RSM Classic, and Australian Open. He then opened this year with a solid showing in Hawaii last week where he was T11, with four very solid rounds, and only starting 4 over par on the first 8 holes on Thursday hampered him from truly contending on Sunday. He has a strong record here at PGA West, being 5 for his last 5 with four of those being top-25 finishes, highlighted by a win in 2021, which is one of his 4 wins on Bermuda-grass greens. The Korean usually performs his best on shorter courses, where his excellent approach play can get him many great scoring chances, and if the putter follows suit with his hot form, simply got to feel like he could be right in the mix and fighting for the victory.

Rams have an excellent team all around, which is playing at a really high level this season. Their QB, Stafford, led them to the title in 2022, and he is playing some of the best football of his career this year under McVay's helm. They have a superb young defense this year, filled with talent all over it, and they are one of the least penalized teams in the league. Being that young on defense allowed them to add Adams to their receiving core alongside one of the best receivers in the league, Nacua. Rams also have a really good running game with Kyren Williams and a whole stable of solid tight ends. So, with an experienced, Super Bowl-winning QB like Stafford, who usually plays his best in the biggest games, you simply have to like the Rams to go all the way and win another ring in Santa Clara this season.