Kazeka1886

Atletico Tucuman opened the new season with 2 draws in the first 2 home games, while Estudiantes Rio Cuarto has 2 losses in their first 2 road games after promotion. Atletico won 4 of the prior 5 home games before those 2 draws, while Estudiantes is winless in their last 5 road games, so got to expect the home ground to be a key advantage here, and see Atletico edge out an important win.

Leandro Diaz scored 2 goals in the first 4 Atletico Tucuman games in which they scored just 3 goals, and he also assisted the third one. He takes penalties for them, and after netting 6 goals last season, he entered this season playing well, which could easily open the scoring here.

JEF Utd Chiba went over this total in 3 of their last 5 games in all comps, while Kawasaki Frontale went over this total in 9 of their last 12 games in all comps. Their last HtH league meeting saw 5 total goals, and they both scored in each of their last 4 HtH meetings, so got to expect an open game with goals that should bring in the over.

Kawasaki Frontale was 8th last season after a disappointing end to the campaign, while JEF Utd Chiba got promoted after finishing 3rd in J2 League. Kawasaki opened the new season with a nice home win in which they scored 5 goals, while JEF Utd Chiba opened with a two-goal home loss in which they failed to score. Kawasaki is undefeated in the last 3 H2H league meetings between them, with 2 wins and 1 draw. With the visitors having much more talent in their side, especially offensively, simply got to expect Kawasaki to win this one.

Erison Souza scored 12 goals for Kawasaki last season. He opened this season with a marvelous first game, scoring a hat-trick in the first 25 minutes, including the first goal of the match. He is in great shape and also takes penalties for the visitors, which makes him a great choice to open the scoring in this one.

Kawasaki Frontale opened the season with a 5-3 victory at home, in which they displayed their offensive power but also showed that their defence again isn't that good. On the other side, newly promoted JEF Utd Chiba started with a 0-2 home loss, in which they created a lot of solid opportunities but couldn't capitalize on them. They both scored in the last 4 head-to-head meetings, and given how offensively Kawasaki plays, this game should see plenty of goals. Kawasaki excels in those kinds of games, so got to like them as the much better side to win it. Having scored 5 more goals in the first round, they should edge out and win comfortably in a high-scoring affair, and then score like 2-4 provides excellent value to try with.

Kashiwa Reysol had 8 total goals in their opening game of the season, while Tokyo Verdy had a total of 4 goals in theirs. Neither kept a clean sheet, and both scored 3 goals in offense. They went over this total in 4 of their last 5 H2H meetings, so there's good value in going with the over in this one.

France opened with a fantastic display, beating Ireland by 22 points at home, while Wales got thrashed by England at Twickenham by 41 points as these sides are clearly trending in completely opposite directions. This France side looks like the strongest contender to defend their title from last year, and this Welsh side looks bound for a third wooden spoon in a row. France have a massive edge in talent, and no doubt they should run away with this one as it's only a question of Wales' discipline and how big the margin gets. Wales struggled with discipline against England, even playing some periods of the game with 13 men. France beat Wales 43-0 in Paris last year, and France covered the handicap line in 4 of the last 5 visits to Cardiff and the Principality, which isn't even sold out for this game which says a lot about the state of mind in Welsh fans. Given how huge the gap on the bench is, simply got to expect Les Bleus to widen the margin toward the end and win this one by a big number.

Henley sits 6th in the OWGR after a phenomenal 2025, which saw him rack up 10 top-10 finishes highlighted by a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational. He finished inside the top 10 in the last two majors and was also very good, T5 here at Pebble Beach last year after firing 7 birdies on the final 8 holes to finish on a heater. Russell opened this year with T19 in Hawaii, where only a bad Friday round of 73 ruined his chances of competing for top spots. He followed that with a solid T8 at The American Express, where he had 3 rounds of 67 or better, so his game is in good shape and this price makes him a decent pick to roll with.

Hisatsune has been playing some great stuff over the last few weeks, notching a T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open where he shot 4 rounds of 69 or better. He followed that up well last week at the Phoenix Open, where he led heading into the weekend and was just a shot off the lead teeing off on Sunday before finishing T10 after some early struggles, which he seemed to wash away with nice stretch at the end highlighted with a nice birdie on the final hole. The Farmers Insurance Open uses the same Poa annua putting greens as Pebble Beach, which should come in handy for his red-hot putter, and that makes him a very worthy pick at this price for another strong showing this weekend.

Lowry has been playing very well for a while now. He opened this year on the DP World Tour, notching a T3 finish at the Dubai Invitational, where he had the title in his grasp but found water on the final hole and made a double bogey to blow it. He was runner-up here last year behind McIlroy, as both of the courses at Pebble Beach suit him just fine. That should see him have another solid outing and quite possibly contend for the victory come Sunday afternoon.

Si Woo Kim has been playing some excellent golf for quite a while. He finished last season with results of T4 at the RSM Classic and 3rd at the Australian Open before opening this season with T11, T6, T2, and T3 last week in Scottsdale. Here at Pebble Beach he notched finishes of T14 and 12th in the last two years, playing very well but just missing a bit to compete for the title. This time around he is playing some of his best golf to date as he has shot under par in 15 of 16 rounds this season, playing tremendous golf with a red-hot putter, so got to feel like a big win is right around the corner for the Korean, and it could easily come this week.

Pierceson Coody has been starting really well on Thursdays week after week. He led the field after the first round at The American Express with a magical round of 62. He was T3 after the first round last week at the Phoenix Open with a round of 66, which featured 3 bogeys. He was also a solid 2 under par in Hawaii in the season-opening tournament, and he was 4 under par after the first round at the Farmers Insurance Open, which also featured 3 bogeys. So he got off to strong starts in all 4 tournaments he played this season, and if he can avoid bogeys, there is a nice value backing him for another quick start this week at Pebble Beach.