Kazeka1886

Ilves leads this series comfortably 2-0 after a dominant display in the second game following a tight win in the first game. They split 6 head-to-head meetings in the regular season, and Tappara finished 10 points above Ilves to earn the #1 seed, so got to expect this to be a bounce-back spot for Tappara, as they can't afford to go down 0-3 in the series, so got to expect their best game, which should be too much for Ilves to handle, and see Tappara cut into their city rivals' series lead.

These two teams combined for 5 and 4 total goals in the first two games of this relegation series. Both have been solid defensively as Dukla produced unders in their last 3 games prior to this series, and Litvinov produced unders in their last 4 league games prior to this series. Their H2H meetings are usually low scoring, as 9 of the last 10 games between them stayed under this total, so got to expect another low-scoring affair, which should result in another under.

These two teams combined for totals of only 4 and 3 goals in the first two games of this finals series, with one goal in each of those games scored on an empty net. Both are solid defensively, especially Blue Fox, so got to expect another low-scoring battle here, which should result in another under.

Aranas leads this series 2-1 after two home wins following Helsingborg's game 1 home win, so this should be another tight match. Helsingborg is excellent at home, with a 10-1-2 record in their last 13 matches in front of their fans, with both of those losses coming by narrow one-goal margins. Conversely, Aranas is winless in their last 13 road games, with 12 losses, so got to feel like the hosts should have the upper hand in this one and find a way to extend the series in the end.

Kobenhavn went over this total in 9 of their last 13 road games, while Team Esbjerg has been very efficient at home, averaging 36.3 goals per game in front of their fans. They went over this total in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings hosted by Team Esbjerg, including the first one of this season which saw a total of 67 goals, so got to expect another higher-scoring game, which should result in an over.

Coventry lead the league with 86 points, having secured promotion and needing 2 more points to secure the title. Portsmouth is 18th with 51 points, sitting 7 points above the relegation zone and also needing 2 more points to secure their safety. Coventry have drawn their last 3 games, including a home one against already relegated Sheffield Wednesday, while Portsmouth have been rock solid of late, remaining undefeated in their last 5 games with 3 wins and 2 draws. They drew 2 of the last 5 H2H meetings hosted by Coventry, so with both playing well recently, got to expect a tight game where a draw in the end could satisfy both sides.

Leicester is next to last with 41 points, sitting 8 points below safety with just 3 games to play, so tonight is a do-or-die game for them. On the other side, Hull is 6th with 69 points, holding onto the final playoff spot, with 2 and 3 points above the two teams chasing them. Leicester is winless in their last 6 games, and they lost 6 of their last 8 home games. Hull is winless in their last 4 games, but they have won 6 of their last 10 road games. Hull won their first head-to-head match of the season, and they also won in their last visit to the King Power Stadium in Leicester, so in a game where the hosts must go for the win, even if the result is tied late there is excellent value backing Hull to steal it and earn 3 huge points in the fight for the playoff while relegating the Foxes.

Luton is 8th with 65 points, sitting 3 points below the final spot that leads to the playoff for promotion, while Rotherham is 21st with only 40 points and has been relegated. Luton is undefeated in the last 8 games with 5 wins, while Rotherham lost 6 of their last 9 games. Luton won the last 2 visits to Rotherham and should be winning this one as well.

West Brom is 20th with 49 points, sitting 5 points above the relegation zone, while Watford is 14th with 57 points. West Brom is undefeated in their last 8 games, while Watford is winless in their last 5 games and have lost their last 3 road games. West Brom is undefeated in their last 5 H2H meetings played at the Hawthorns, having won the last one, so got to expect higher-motivated hosts, who should win this one in the end.

Brighton is 7th with 47 points, sitting just 1 point below 6th-placed Chelsea, so this should be a close game. Brighton is in fine form, being 5-1-1 in their last 7 games, with the lone loss coming to league-leading Arsenal. Chelsea is really struggling of late, having lost 5 of their last 6 games, including the last 4. Brighton won the last 3 H2H meetings against the Blues, including the last 2 played at the Amex, so got to feel like the Seagulls have the momentum and should win this one in front of their fans.

Caicedo earned 9 yellow cards and 1 red card this season in the PL. He is a former Brighton player, and as a Chelsea member he got booked in each of his 3 visits to the Amex and his former team, so got to expect him to be feisty again against his former side that could easily see him booked again.