Kazeka1886

Rangers played 8 home games this season which averaged only 5.3 total runs per game, while the Pirates stayed below this margin in 3 of their last 5 road games. Both will start solid pitchers as the Pirates will go with Chandler, who is 1-1 with a 3.15 ERA, while the Rangers will go with deGrom, who is 2-0 with a 2.29 ERA. Both also have very good bullpens as the Rangers' bullpen has a 3.09 ERA, while the Pirates' bullpen has a 3.65 ERA. Combined with 4 of their last 5 head-to-head meetings in Arlington staying below this margin, simply got to expect another lower-scoring contest and take the under.

Chacarra has been playing really well of late, notching finishes of T9 and runner-up in his last two outings. He has also been very good early in tournaments, as he led once in his last 10 starts after a first round of 63 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship, with one more second-place position after the first round that came at the Hero Indian Open with round of 67. He was 4th and 4th in two previous visits here, and in 2024 he opened with a strong round of 65, so there's nice value backing him to get off to another flying start.

Schott has been off to great starts this season, having led twice in his last 5 events. He led at the Bahrain Championship with a superb round of 65 that even featured a double bogey and a bogey. He also led at the Hero Indian Open with a strong round of 66 that featured 2 bogeys. He played this event once previously, finishing T11 in 2024, when he kicked off with a bogey-free round of 67, so got to see excellent value in backing him for another strong start this time around.

Wenyi Ding has a strong record at this tournament, with four previous visits resulting in finishes of 2, 3, 7, and 8th. He was getting off to very fast starts, with one first-round lead and one third-place in those four starts. He was inside the top 10 in 4 of his last 9 starts after the first round, so coming back to his home tournament, where he normally plays very well, makes him a solid pick for another fast start.

Otaegui has been playing very well of late as his last 4 outings saw finishes of T6 at both the SA Open Championship and the Joburg Open, before an even better T3 finish at the Hainan Classic, where he finished with a superb final round of 64. He has a great history here at Volvo China Open, having won this tournament in 2024 after finishing as runner-up on his most recent visit. He followed that up with T26 when defending last year at this course in Shanghai, when he arrived in much worse form, so there is nice value backing him for another strong weekend this time around.

Levy has a superb record at this tournament, being 6 for 8 with 2 wins and one 3rd-place finish. He was T29 on his season debut in Kenya, with 4 rounds in the 60s, so coming back to a tournament where he usually steps it up makes the Frenchman a value pick at this price.

Smith is playing very well this season with four top-25 finishes in his last 7 starts, while Li had a very good showing at Augusta before his fallout on Sunday. Both are excellent in ball striking and should produce a ton of birdie looks, so on this birdie-fest type of course with different rules, that should result in plenty of birdies and quite possibly see them contend for the win.

Ramey has a very good record at this tournament. He was close to winning it two years ago when he lost in a playoff paired with Trainer, before this pairing with Lower resulted in T8 finish last year, when they combined for a marvelous Saturday round of 62. They clearly like this format with different rules, which should see them go well again and quite possibly contend for the victory.

Both of these guys can light it up on birdie-fest types of courses as Smotherman notched his best finishes of the season at The American Express and the Cognizant Classic, with results of T8 and T2 and scores of 21 and 15 under par. On the other side, Putnam notched his best finishes of the season at The American Express and the Houston Open, with results of T2 and T5 and scores of 23 and 15 under par. Both are excellent around the greens, which should see them score with ease and possibly threaten to win on Sunday.

Both of these two guys have been playing decently this season. Gerard is very good 12th on SG on Approach and he finished T12 here alongside Walker, who was very good putting. Yellamaraju is similarly red-hot with his putting this season, and finishes of T5 at The Players Championship and T6 at the Houston Open show that. Their games seem well suited to this format, which could easily see them competing for the win come Sunday afternoon.