Kazeka1886

Kings produced unders in 6 of their last 9 games, while the 76ers produced unders in 7 of their last 10 games. They produced unders in 5 of the last 6 head-to-head meetings, so got to expect another slightly lower-scoring contest, which should result in an under in the end.

Roosters produced 44 points in their first 2 games, and after a bad defensive display in the first game that saw them allow 42 points, they improved and allowed 18 points in the second game. On the other side, Panthers scored exactly 26 points in each of their 2 games and allowed only 1 try for 6 total points in those 2 games with their fantastic defence. They stayed below this total in 10 of the last 13 H2H meetings played in Sydney, so with the Panthers' firm defence and the Roosters' improving defence, got to expect a tighter, lower-scoring contest that should stay under this total.

Storm opened the season strong, 2-0, beating the Eels by 48 points and the Dragons by 26 points. The reigning champions, Broncos, started 0-2, losing to the Panthers by 26 points without scoring and dropping to the Eels while allowing 40 points. Storm lost the Grand Final to the Broncos last year and will look for revenge here, and at the moment they look far better, especially fitness-wise, as they showed by scoring 8 tries in the final 20 minutes of their two games. Contrary, the Broncos were outscored by combined 0-36 in the last 10 minutes of each half of their two games. Storm have won their last 9 H2H meetings played at AAMI Park, outscoring the Broncos by an average of 14.9 points, so got to expect Storm to get their revenge here and win convincingly by a double-digit margin.

Cambuur Leeuwarden is 2nd with 70 points, sitting a huge 18 points in front of the 3rd-placed team, and with the top 2 getting promoted and just 7 rounds to go, this is a big match, as they can secure promotion back to the top tier of Dutch football with a win in front of their fans. On the other side, AZ Reserves are way down in next-to-last, 19th place, with only 31 points. Cambuur is in excellent form, being undefeated in the last 8 games with 6 wins, and they own the best home record in the league with an undefeated record of 12 wins and 4 draws. Conversely, AZ Reserves are winless in their last 5 games with 3 losses, including defeats in their last 2 road games. Cambuur won their first H2H match of the season, and they have won 4 of the last 6 against AZ Reserves at home in Leeuwarden, so got to give the decisive edge to the hosts here and back Cambuur to win.

Roda is 8th with 47 points, holding the final place that leads to the playoff for promotion, while Helmond Sport is way down in 17th with 33 points. Roda has been in middling form of late, going 3-2-3 in their last 8 games, while Helmond Sport is really struggling, being winless in their last 5 games with 4 losses. Roda won their last 2 H2H meetings, including the first encounter of this season, and Helmond Sport owns the worst road record in the league, having lost 11 of their last 14 away matches, so got to give the decisive advantage to the hosts here and back Roda to win.

Smotherman has been playing really well this year. He opened with T8 at The American Express, where he shot four rounds of 68 or better. He was then fantastic T2 at the Cognizant Classic, where he opened with a 9-under-par round of 62, and he comes here after a very good showing at Arnie's place, where he finished T13. He was solid in 2 previous showings here at Copperhead, with results of 25th and 36th in 2022 and 2023. Years later he returns as a much better player who is playing excellent golf at the moment, leading the Tour in Strokes Gained on Approach and sitting 8th in Greens in Regulation, so married with his always-strong long off-the-tee game, simply got to see nice value backing him to be right in the mix come Sunday afternoon.

Hisatsune is playing some amazing golf this year as the Japanese youngster sits 61st in the OWGR, very close to the top 50 and an invitation to the Masters. He was T2 at the Farmers Insurance Open at the start of the year and notched 3 more top-15s since, finishing T10 at the Phoenix Open, T8 at Pebble Beach, and T13 last week at The Players Championship. He was T33 here on debut in 2024 and even better T4 a year ago, so he likes Copperhead, and this time around arrives as a much-improved player who is playing great at the moment, which could easily see the Japanese youngster contend for the win.

Moore opened this season playing very well and making the cut in all events he played in, highlighted by T2 at the Cognizant Classic where he shot all 4 rounds of 68 or better. He is a former winner here, having won the title in 2023 before finishing T12 a year later when defending. He ranks in the top 8 on the Tour for Scrambling and Par-3 scoring, which are both very relevant this week at Copperhead, so got to see very nice value backing former winner to contend here once again come Sunday afternoon.