Kazeka1886

2

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Kazeka1886's Tips

6th March 2026
18:30 Agen v Carcassonne

Agen -19.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Agen is 7th with 52 points on 11 wins and 11 losses, while Carcassonne is last, 16th, with only 30 points on a 6-1-5 record. Agen won 9 of 11 home games, outscoring opponents by an average of 23 points in those 9 wins. On the other side, Carcassonne lost 10 of their 11 road games, getting outscored by an average of 24.4 points in those 10 losses. Agen won all previous 5 head-to-head meetings between them which they hosted, with those 5 wins coming by an average of 16.6 points, so got to expect Agen to dominate here and win convincingly.
18:30 Aurillac v Nevers

Aurillac -14.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Aurillac is 8th with 47 points, with 10 wins and 12 losses, while Nevers is 11th with 40 points on an 8-1-13 record. Aurillac won 8 of 11 home games, outscoring opponents by an average of 13 points. On the other side, Nevers has been a disaster on the road, losing all 10 away games by an average of 25.7 points. Aurillac won their last 5 H2H meetings which they hosted, of which the last one was by a 32-point margin, so got to expect the hosts to dominate and win this one by a big margin.

Over 54.50

Total Points

50 WIN

Aurillac is averaging 28.7 points scored per game this season at home but also gives up 19.9 points per game in front of their fans. On the other side, Nevers went over this total in 11 of their last 16 games, and on the road they are allowing 39.7 points per game. They combined for 90 points in the first H2H match of the season, and Aurillac scored 42 on Nevers last time they met here, so got to expect a lot of points here as well, which should bring in the over.
18:30 Mont de Marsan v Beziers

Mont de Marsan -6.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Mont de Marsan is 15th with 33 points on a 7-1-14 record, while Beziers is 12th with 38 points on a 9 wins and 13 losses. Mont de Marsan won 7 of their 11 home games, while Beziers lost all 10 of their road games, with all 10 of those losses coming by at least a 8-point margin. Mont de Marsan won their last 12 H2H meetings that they hosted, with the last 7 of those wins all coming by at least a 14-point margin, so got to expect Mont de Marsan to have the upper hand in this one and to collect important points with a comfortable win in the end.
19:00 FC Eindhoven v Ajax Reserves

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Eindhoven has 17 overs and 12 unders, while Ajax Reserves have 19 overs and 10 unders. Eindhoven has 8 overs in their last 11 games, while Ajax Reserves have 10 overs in their last 14 games. They went over this total in 9 of the previous 10 H2H meetings played in Eindhoven, so got to expect another high-scoring game here, which should produce the over.
19:00 Roda JC v PSV Reserves

Over 2.50

Total Goals

50 WIN

Roda has 20 overs and 9 unders while PSV Reserves have a league-high 23 overs and only 6 unders. Roda has 10 overs in their last 11 games, while PSV Reserves have 12 overs in 14 road games. They went over this total in 5 of the last 6 H2H meetings played in Kerkrade, so got to expect goals in this one and take the over.
20:00 Valence Romans v Vannes

Over 52.50

Total Points

50 WIN

Valence Romans averages 30.4 points scored per game at home this season, while Vannes averages 27.4 points scored per game on the road. They went over this total in 3 of the last 4 H2H matches, so got to expect another higher-scoring game which should result in an over.
20:10 Ireland v Wales

Ireland -26.50

Handicap

50 WIN

Ireland responded very well after an opening loss to France in Paris as they handled Italy at home before impressively demolishing England at Twickenham by 21 points. On the other side, Wales have been by far the worst team in the competition, getting destroyed by England and France before a spirited effort at home against Scotland in which they crumbled late and lost narrowly for their 14th straight defeat. Ireland won the last 4 H2H meetings against Wales and also the last 3 played in Dublin, all by 20+ points, so got to expect Ireland to keep their momentum and win this one convincingly enough to get the bonus point and cover in the end.
8th March 2026
14:45 Joburg Open

Daniel van Tonder

25 EW

Daniel van Tonder is a 12-time winner on the Sunshine Tour. He plays some of his best golf around these parts. He is coming off T6 last week at the SA Open Championship, where he finished with a strong weekend of 64-68. Daniel also has a strong record here, finishing 3rd in 2022 and 5th a year ago, so he is coming off a fine result and arrives at a place where he played very well previously, which makes him a solid pick to contend for the win come Sunday afternoon.

Jacob Skov Olesen

25 EW

Skov Olesen had a really good 2025, which saw him rack up 6 top-10 finishes and book his place at the DP World Tour Championship to finish the season, where he was again very good with a T11 finish. He has also been playing very well this year, notching finishes of T3 at the Qatar Masters and T5 at the Magical Kenya Open. Last week he was just T63 after a bad 75 round to open, but bounced back nicely with a 66 and 3 straight birdies to close out and make the cut. He was T7 here on debut a year ago, with another poor round of 72 on Friday, so if he manages to avoid that one weaker round, simply got to fancy the Dane to contend for the win.

Patrick Reed

50 WIN

Reed has been playing some amazing stuff to start this year en route to booking his place back over the pond on the PGA Tour. He won two titles, dominating the Dubai Desert Classic and the Qatar Masters, and also finished 3rd at the Bahrain Championship. Getting those two wins should relax him even further, so after a bit weaker showing at the SA Open Championship and a T29 finish last week, simply got to expect Patrick to bounce right back, and get back in contention here in Johannesburg, and then another win could be on the horizon.
22:45 Arnold Palmer Invitational

Rory McIlroy

50 WIN

McIlroy opened the year well, notching T3 at the Dubai Invitational, and since he came to the States he notched T14 at Pebble Beach and T2 at the Genesis Invitational, playing some really good golf. Rory has a stellar record here at Bay Hill, with 11 of his prior visits all being top-27 finishes, including 6 top-10 finishes highlighted by a win in 2018. He ranked 4th and 3rd for Approach in the first two tournaments he played on the PGA Tour this year, while also ranking 3rd and 1st for Tee to Green, which mixed with his usual excellent putting on these tough TifEagle Bermuda grass greens, makes Rory a strong pick to win his second Arnold Palmer Invitational title.

Shane Lowry

25 EW

Lowry is having an interesting start to the year. He has been playing very well but managed to pretty much choke two clear wins on the final holes. He ended up finishing T3 at the Dubai Invitational, where he led on the last hole. Then he was solid in his first showing in the States with a T8 finish at Pebble Beach, and last week he agonizingly finished T2 at The Genesis Invitational after choking a three-shot lead with just three holes to go, with some terrible first shots. However, he is playing great, and visits to Florida always bring out the best in him. He finished 3rd and 7th here in the last two years, so got to expect Shane to continue playing great, and that dam has to break at some point and a win should come.

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