Kazeka1886

Crawley Town is 21st with 38 points, sitting only 2 points above the relegation zone, while Accrington Stanley is 16th with 52 points and has nothing to play for. Crawley Town picked up points in 8 of their last 12 games and have won 2 of their last 5. Accrington Stanley is in rather bad form, with only 1 win in their last 13 games and 9 losses in that period. Crawley Town won in their last 2 visits to the Wham Stadium in Accrington, so got to give the edge to the much higher-motivated visitors and back them to win this one.

Barnet is 9th with 70 points, sitting 4 points below the final spot that leads to the playoff for promotion, while Gillingham is 18th with 50 points, having secured their safety and with nothing to play for. Barnet is in great form, being undefeated in the last 7 games, with 5 wins in the last 6 matches, in which they scored 16 goals. On the other side, Gillingham has only 1 win in the last 11 games, and they lost 7 of those matches and scored just 9 goals. Barnet is unbeaten in their last 2 head-to-head meetings, with 1 win and 1 draw, so got to expect much higher-motivated hosts who should be winning this one.

Bristol Rovers are 15th with 58 points, while Cheltenham is 17th with 6 fewer points. Bristol Rovers are in phenomenal form, having won 9 of their last 10 matches, only losing to league-leading Bromley in that span. On the other side, Cheltenham has been poor on the road with a 2-4-5 record in their last 11 away trips. Bristol Rovers are strong, 6-1-1 in the last 8 H2H meetings with Cheltenham, including being undefeated in the last 4 games played at the Memorial Stadium in Bristol with 3 wins, so got to give the edge to the hosts and back Rovers to win this one in front of their supporters.

Bristol Rovers are 15th with 58 points while Cheltenham is 17th with 52 points. Rovers won 9 of their last 10 games, including the last 7, while Cheltenham lost 2 of their last 3 road games, so got to expect Rovers to win this one. Rovers conceded in 6 of their last 10 wins, including in the last 3, while Cheltenham scored in 22 of their last 26 games. Rovers have 3 wins and 1 draw in their last 4 H2H meetings played in Bristol, and Cheltenham scored in the last 3 of those games, so got to like the hosts to win and the visitors to score as well.

Chesterfield is 8th with 73 points, sitting 1 point below the final spot that leads to the playoff for promotion. Crewe is 2 spots behind them with 66 points and has nothing to play for. Chesterfield is in very good form, undefeated in the last 6 games with 4 wins, while Crewe lost 3 of their last 4 games. Chesterfield should be much more motivated chasing a playoff spot, while Crewe has nothing on the line which should see the hosts have the upper hand in this one and see them win.

Luton is 7th with 68 points, sitting 3 points below spots leading to the playoffs, while Barnsley is 13th with 56 points, being safe in the middle without anything to play for. Luton is in excellent form, unbeaten in the last 9 games with 6 wins in last 8 of those matches, while Barnsley has only 1 win in their last 10 games. Luton won 3 of their last 5 H2H meetings, including the last one at Kenilworth Road, so got to expect much higher-motivated hosts who should find a way to win this one.

Newport County is 22nd with 37 points, sitting just 1 point above the relegation zone with two teams chasing them, while Oldham is 11th with 65 points and has nothing to play for. Newport County won 5 of their last 11 home games, while Oldham lost their last 3 games, including a defeat at 23rd-placed Barrow. Newport County won their last head-to-head match, which they hosted in South Wales, so got to expect the higher-motivated hosts, playing for survival, to have the upper hand and win 3 hugely important points in the fight for safety.

Harrogate Town is last, 24th, with 36 points but sits only 1 point below safety, while Walsall is 12th with 65 points, being safe in the middle and has nothing to play for. Harrogate Town won 3 of their last 6 road games, including a win at 5th-placed Grimsby, while Walsall has only 1 win in their last 11 home games with 6 losses. Harrogate Town has a strong 2-1-1 record in their last 4 visits to Bescot Stadium in Walsall, so there's good value backing the higher-motivated visitors to win 3 big points in the fight for survival.

Harrogate Town is last with 36 points but sits only 1 point below safety, while Walsall is 12th with 65 points and has nothing to play for. Harrogate Town won 3 of their last 6 road games, while Walsall has only 1 win in their last 11 home games, so there is nice value backing the visitors to win this one. Harrogate Town is poor defensively, having kept only 2 clean sheets in their last 10 games, while Walsall scored in 5 of their last 6 games. They both scored in 3 of the last 4 H2H meetings played in Walsall, and Harrogate Town won 2 of those, so got to see great value backing the visitors to win while conceding.

West Ham is 17th with 33 points, sitting just 2 points above the relegation zone, while Everton is 11th with 47 points. West Ham is very good, 5-4-3 in their last 12 games, while Everton is 1-1-2 in their last 4 games and will miss their top goalscorer Beto in this one. West Ham is 3-1-1 in the last 5 H2H meetings with Everton played in London, so got to expect much higher-motivated hosts who should find a way to secure a massive 3 points in the fight for survival in the PL.

Tottenham is 18th with 31 points, sitting 2 points below safety, while Wolverhampton is dead last, 20th, with only 17 points, having confirmed their relegation in the last round. Tottenham played the best game since De Zerbi took over and were unlucky to concede late in injury time, dropping 2 points against in-form Brighton. On the other side, Wolverhampton lost their last two games by 0-4 and 0-3, as they are seemingly being let go off the rope. All in all, this is a must-win match for Tottenham, who should be highly motivated, while Wolves have nothing to play for, making Spurs a solid pick to win this one.

Lyon went over this total in 4 of their last 7 games, while Castres went over this total in 4 of their last 5 games. Their last 3 H2H meetings averaged 63.7 total points per game. With both naming strong squads and producing tries at a high clip of late, got to expect another higher-scoring game, which should result in an over.

Perpignan went over this total in 7 of their last 8 games, while La Rochelle went over this total in 9 of their last 11 games. Both are producing very well of late, and both are also leaking points defensively which should result in another higher-scoring game and bring in the over.

Arsenal slipped into 2nd place after the loss at Man City but only on goal difference, so they need to bounce back in a big way here. On the other side, Newcastle is 14th with 28 fewer points having 42 points as they are struggling mightily of late, losing 7 of their last 10 games, including the last 3, which all saw them concede at least 2 goals. Arsenal won their last 3 H2H meetings and once again should have the edge at home and find a way to the important 3 points in the fight for the title.

Chacarra has been playing really well of late, notching finishes of T9 and runner-up in his last two outings. He has also been very good early in tournaments, as he led once in his last 10 starts after a first round of 63 at the Alfred Dunhill Championship, with one more second-place position after the first round that came at the Hero Indian Open with round of 67. He was 4th and 4th in two previous visits here, and in 2024 he opened with a strong round of 65, so there's nice value backing him to get off to another flying start.

Schott has been off to great starts this season, having led twice in his last 5 events. He led at the Bahrain Championship with a superb round of 65 that even featured a double bogey and a bogey. He also led at the Hero Indian Open with a strong round of 66 that featured 2 bogeys. He played this event once previously, finishing T11 in 2024, when he kicked off with a bogey-free round of 67, so got to see excellent value in backing him for another strong start this time around.

Wenyi Ding has a strong record at this tournament, with four previous visits resulting in finishes of 2, 3, 7, and 8th. He was getting off to very fast starts, with one first-round lead and one third-place in those four starts. He was inside the top 10 in 4 of his last 9 starts after the first round, so coming back to his home tournament, where he normally plays very well, makes him a solid pick for another fast start.

Otaegui has been playing very well of late as his last 4 outings saw finishes of T6 at both the SA Open Championship and the Joburg Open, before an even better T3 finish at the Hainan Classic, where he finished with a superb final round of 64. He has a great history here at Volvo China Open, having won this tournament in 2024 after finishing as runner-up on his most recent visit. He followed that up with T26 when defending last year at this course in Shanghai, when he arrived in much worse form, so there is nice value backing him for another strong weekend this time around.

Levy has a superb record at this tournament, being 6 for 8 with 2 wins and one 3rd-place finish. He was T29 on his season debut in Kenya, with 4 rounds in the 60s, so coming back to a tournament where he usually steps it up makes the Frenchman a value pick at this price.

Smith is playing very well this season with four top-25 finishes in his last 7 starts, while Li had a very good showing at Augusta before his fallout on Sunday. Both are excellent in ball striking and should produce a ton of birdie looks, so on this birdie-fest type of course with different rules, that should result in plenty of birdies and quite possibly see them contend for the win.

Ramey has a very good record at this tournament. He was close to winning it two years ago when he lost in a playoff paired with Trainer, before this pairing with Lower resulted in T8 finish last year, when they combined for a marvelous Saturday round of 62. They clearly like this format with different rules, which should see them go well again and quite possibly contend for the victory.

Both of these guys can light it up on birdie-fest types of courses as Smotherman notched his best finishes of the season at The American Express and the Cognizant Classic, with results of T8 and T2 and scores of 21 and 15 under par. On the other side, Putnam notched his best finishes of the season at The American Express and the Houston Open, with results of T2 and T5 and scores of 23 and 15 under par. Both are excellent around the greens, which should see them score with ease and possibly threaten to win on Sunday.

Both of these two guys have been playing decently this season. Gerard is very good 12th on SG on Approach and he finished T12 here alongside Walker, who was very good putting. Yellamaraju is similarly red-hot with his putting this season, and finishes of T5 at The Players Championship and T6 at the Houston Open show that. Their games seem well suited to this format, which could easily see them competing for the win come Sunday afternoon.