Nigel Skinner Expert Guide
Many people bet based on headlines or hunches. I dig into research and market moves behind political odds & manager markets, so you can back decisions, not guesses.
- Greta Thunberg currently has a 5.9% chance with bookmakers following swipe over fashion industry's "huge" contribution to climate change
- The World Health Organization still 5/4 favourite on betting sites following their work during the Coronavirus pandemic
- Russian anti-corruption activist Alexei Navalny has been backed into second favourite with bookies, with a 32.3% chance of winning the prize
Greta Thunberg now somewhat of an outsider for the Nobel Peace Prize at 16/1
Vogue Scandinavia recently featured Greta Thunberg on the cover of their magazine, with their article inside including Thunberg accusing some companies of 'greenwash' ad campaigns which were there to make their clothes appear more sustainable, while not actually doing so.
Thunberg has been as low as 3/1 with some bookmakers for the Nobel Peace Prize, with the environmental activist tipped to win the award when the nominees were announced back in January.
| Nominee | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| World Health Organization | 5/4 | 44.4% |
| Alexei Navalny | 21/10 | 32.3% |
| Black Lives Matter | 5/1 | 16.7% |
| Jacinda Ardern | 10/1 | 9.1% |
| UNHCR | 12/1 | 7.7% |
| Greta Thunberg | 16/1 | 5.9% |
