It’s +250 Tom Brady goes to the NE Patriots - Specials Betting

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It’s +250 Tom Brady goes to the NE Patriots - Specials Betting

Jeffrey Beall, CC BY 4.0 <>, via Wikimedia Commons

Michael Calabrese US Content Manager

Experienced sports journalist, College sports expert and broadcaster, hailing from Pennsylvania

  • Sportsbooks believe a New England reunion is the most likely outcome this offseason with odds of +250 to join the Pats
  • Tom Brady wanted to be drafted by San Francisco back in 2001 and could complete a childhood dream by joining the 49ers.
  • Brady has never experienced a professional season as loser - It could have arrived.

Tom Brady and the Buccaneers are in the thick of what can only be called a down year. Brady is in danger of finishing a season with a losing record for the first time in his illustrious career. At the same time, some of his statistical accomplishments remain in the top ten across the NFL, like his passing yardage and interception rate, and his QBR checks in at 23rd. That puts him behind players like Trevor Lawrence, Daniel Jones, Marcus Mariota, Andy Dalton and Ryan Tannehill. 

Rumours are swirling that a change of scenery is likely for Brady this offseason, which begs the question, “where is Tom Brady headed next?”

Sportsbooks are on top of this question, with official odds on his next landing spot already available in the market. 

Tom Brady's Destination In '23-'24 Odds Probability
New England Patriots +250 28.57%
San Francisco 49ers +350 22.22%
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +500 16.67%
Retirement +750 11.76%
Las Vegas Raiders +1200 7.69%
Miami Dolphins +2000 4.76%
The Field +1250 7.41%

The New England Patriots are in the playoff bubble this season. The primary issue with Bill Belichick’s team has been quarterback play. Mac Jones has regressed and is now 28th in QBR in the NFL. His backup, Bailey Zappe, has played significant snaps in four games. In three of those appearances, his QBR has been sub-29. Even at his advanced age, Brady would be a significant upgrade for a team with a bona fide top-ten defense and the fourth-most projected cap room for 2023. His history with Belichick and owner Robert Kraft makes New England the most likely landing spot as of today. 

The San Francisco 49ers are another team that appears to be a quarterback away. They have the NFL’s top defense. Christian McCaffrey and Deebo Samuel are two of the best offensive weapons in the NFL. And it doesn’t hurt that this was Tom Brady’s dream team when he was growing up in California in the late 80s and early 90s. The 49ers will have to get creative financially to make it work, but their cap situation isn’t a deal-breaker. 

NFL Honors Betting Odds 2022 - Odds and Predictions

NFL Honors Betting Odds 2022 - Odds and Predictions

Staying in Tampa Bay isn’t out of the realm of possibility. It will largely depend on how this season shakes out. Brady's up-and-down season may be viewed differently if Tampa Bay wins the NFC South and a game or two in the playoffs. But if they fail to qualify for the playoffs while Brady logs his first losing season as a professional, well, that could spell the end of Tampa Tom.

Could he retire? Given that he did just that last year. But Brady has proven stubborn and wants to do things on his terms. Having the league push him out after a losing season could be a difficult pill to swallow. I wouldn’t count Brady out for next season unless he suffers a significant injury. 

Las Vegas and Miami currently have quality quarterbacks under contract, but contracts, like hearts, are made to be broken. Derek Carr carries a significant cap hit with him, but it’s possible they could move him to another team or cut him. Tua Tagovailoa has been great at times this season but one more head injury could prematurely end his career. Both are long shots and have been appropriately listed by the sportsbook at +1200 and +2000. 

This story was originally published on OLBG US

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