5:45 Southwell Tips

The M Herrington team look to have a strong hand here and of those the market leader, DOWN TO THE KID, makes plenty of appeal at 7/4. The gelding by Pride Of Dubai has an exemplary ¾ record (A/E 2.97) over C&D (41% SR, A/E 2.23 over all trips at Southwell), with all three of those coming on his last four starts. He finished 1l 3rd of 9 when carrying a 4lb penalty on his penultimate start, but that was still a solid display at this level so looks worth a chance now upped back in class. There’s a deluge of positive favourite stats to boost claims further; most notable being Herrington’s 64% SR (A/E 1.78) at Southwell in March, J Hart’s 49% SR (A/E 1.33) on Fridays and POD’s 77% SR (A/E 2.13) at Midlands’ courses.

A former course-and-distance winner who should welcome the drop in trip and ease in grade after racing over a mile in a Class 2 at Lingfield two weeks ago when third of 10. Remains on the same mark.

Although surprisingly the outsider of the field, this one has been running to a very consistent level off this present mark, making the frame in all of its last five outings. So don't be put off by the odds. I think it has every chance this afternoon.

He was doing all his best work late over an inadequate 6f last time, recording an excellent closing sectional. Stepping back up to 7f off a slipping handicap mark makes him extremely dangerous. With only two places on offer, the win market is where the discrepancy lies against a beatable favourite.