CalFergie Horse Racing Tips

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Potentially my only play on Friday comes in the form of ALPINE TRAIL. Aurel has to be taken seriously given his winning debut at Kempton last year, however this is a marked step up in class and trip plus we have no idea if he’ll be fully fit on reappearance. Ernst Blofeld took came forward from his debut LTO, winning at Kempton when stepped up to 10f, however that was a lowly C5 novice event and I wasn’t entirely convinced. Nebras will do well to overcome H Doyle’s 2% SR (A/E 0.4) on unfancied runners in 3yo races and R Moore’s uncharacteristic 3% SR (A/E 0.42) on outsiders at HQ puts a line through Harvey. AT looks a favourite who should win by default as well as on merit and 5/4 can be taken. The son of Dubawi overcame plenty of greenness to win at Wolvo on debut before showing a much more polished display at Yarmouth last month. You’d expect a further step forward here given the breeding + connections, he’s got a top + blue FlatStats rating and Dubawi’s 65% SR (A/E 1.51) with French-born favourites adds further confidence. C Appleby has also won 4/9 renewals.