3:25 Newmarket Tips

Unexposed three year old who ran well when just held in a strong looking listed race in France last time. Looks progressive and likely to improve. Goes well on yielding ground.

Top rated and the trainer has a good record here. Fourth latest and should be involved now trying a lesser grade. Was third in a similar race but is now two pounds better.

My only play today, and first of November, comes in the form of BOLSTER at 15/2 each way. Gethin carries a top + blue FlatStats rating but Ghaiyyath’s 15% SR (A/E 0.38) with favourites coming up in class makes his son short enough in the betting, meanwhile Liberty Lane will do well to overcome a 3lb penalty. Bolster hasn’t got his head in front this season but has ran well on all five starts; the most notable being a 3.5l defeat in the Gr2 Huxley stakes on reappearance and 2.25l loss in a Gr3 at ParisLongchamp. He took this race last year on deeper ground but the son of Invincible Spirit is versatile as far as the going’s concerned, K Burke brings a 39% SR (A/E 1.33) with fancied Sheikh Mohammed Obaid Al Maktoum runners and the owner a 44% SR (A/E 1.78) with fancied Invincible Spirit progeny.

Race 6 at Newmarket today is the Listed Event Race over 2,012 m on the Flat for 3 y.o. and upwards on the Turf with the going reported to be Good. The suggested wager is for the each way on the 7yo gelding Erzindjan from the TJ Kent yard and will be ridden by Luke Morris. This son of Lope De Vega is a two-time winner. However, it may pay to note that he has competed in no less than 16 Group races over the last three seasons and has done well in a few of them too. His recent runs in handicaps have shown he still has zest for racing and could easily win here.

Beaten a nose in this race last year by the re-opposing Bolster but is double the price. Wears first-time cheekpieces, will welcome any rain, and with the first-time cheekpieces offering potential improvement, looks each-way appeal.

This race has been dominated by the 3 and 4-year-olds in recent years (they've won the last 7), and we're all race-fit. So, there are only 2 such qualifiers that raced within a month, namely this one and the rank outsider Mirabeau. Stingray is only the German trainer's third-ever runner over here, and he's already had one placed at Ascot. There is a line through Mr. Hollywood, which would put this horse around 105, which basically means that he doesn't have a lot to find on official ratings and should be shorter than 16/1, given the fact that he's only a 4-year-old and will be more progressive than many of these.