1:27 Newcastle Tips

It was a strange race. The favourite here finished runner-up last time in a five-runner race, six lengths behind the winner and ten lengths clear of the third. This is deeper. Mr Nugget is respected, but King Chaos is weighted to reverse that form with him when Fgry were first and third. I thought Kaiye Fraser gave him too much to do on that occasion. I'm hoping he can lay him up closer to the pace.

On its most recent efforts, it looks like it could be a very good chance today for the horse to finally get its head in front.

Placed in two attempts over course and distance, both last month. Eased a pound in the handicap after finishing third here 11 days ago. He is likely to be there or thereabouts again today.

Jim Goldie, horse shaped up with plenty of promise to be over C&D and should be a major factor in this contest. Has won on the surface.

Trainer has his only two entries in this race. They are swapping the hood and cheekpieces for blinkers, with a good jockey booking/change. This one is the only course and distance winner in this race. A good-value each-way bet.

This is a race where I can see one of the outsiders possibly winning. Bunker Bay has pretty solid form off around this mark, and at 22/1 is a decent price. This probably reflects his trainer's poor strike rate, but in a race with no real standout, 22/1 looks decent value.

Well-handicapped on previous all-weather form. Hasn't raced in nearly seven months, but he appears to have a good record after similar layoffs. This might be the time to catch him. The last time he ran off 68 over course and distance he finished second in a C5 in March 2024. Small each-way investment.

Racing on a quick backup of 8 days suggests a 'strike while hot' strategy. Fitness is assured, and this profile often outperforms market expectations in this grade.