3:00 Lingfield Tips

Accrual looks the one to beat here and has every chance of continuing his hot streak and landing this one. A claimer negates any weight rise from last time out, and he's equally adept at this trip.

Baldomero overcame a poor start to defeat Clearpoint in dominant fashion in a Class 3 over course and distance last month. That runner-up has twice beaten The Thames Boatman, who is returning from a layoff today. A small two-pound rise in the weights does not look like it will make a difference, especially with the advantage of the inside draw.

I’ve got to be taking on Accural here given D Loughnane’s 14% SR (A/E 0.45) with favourites in January plus Profitable’s 1/10 record (A/E 0.25) with favs who were returning within a week. Baldomero carries a top + blue FlatStats rating but Shalaa’s 10% SR (A/E 0.45) with LTO winners tempers enthusiasm, meanwhile Twilight Jet and Star Chorus are on the opposite end of the FS ratings spectrum with plenty of negatives to boot. THE THAMES BOATMAN has got the step back up to C3 company to contend with, but he’s running off an unchanged mark after a 1l 2nd of 7 over C&D in November and can be chanced at 9/2. The son of Havana Grey has had a wind op during his absence so there is potential for him to flop today but he loves it here at Lingfield, particularly over the minimum trip where he’s won twice and finished runner-up on a further three occasions from six runs. HG’s 29% SR (A/E 1.6) over C&D bolsters his record.

Not always the case, but this Jim Best horse has an eight-pound pull with Baldomero on recent running. If a bit better at the start, he might well cause an upset with Sean Levey back on board.