11:40 Lingfield Tips

Dandy Khan has won four out of her last five races at Lingfield, including one just last week, so she knows this track inside out and should have the edge to get the win.

Francesi is at the top of his game at the moment. He won a 0-75 Class 4 handicap at Newcastle. The handicapper has raised him a couple of pounds for his short-head defeat of Flying Fletcher. Last time out, winners filled third and fourth places, giving the form some substance. This is two classes lower than Newcastle, and he has a course-and-distance win in the form book. Tony Carroll's other runner, Three On Thursday, is only a three-year-old and might benefit from the drop back in trip.

Winner at Southwell in November. Hasn't hit that level since, but ran quite well in a Class 5 last time and is nudging back down the weights. Possibilities for her back in Class 6 this morning.

Super Hit looks a solid, reliable contender here, with recent all??'weather form suggesting he can be very competitive again despite the wide draw. He arrives off a good third at Wolverhampton over 7f, beaten 2 lengths off this same mark of 63, which shows he is holding his form well in this grade. He has been running consistently on the AW through the winter, often hitting the frame in 7 to 9 furlong handicaps when getting a decent pace to aim at.

I'll take a shot at Tony Carroll's venerable 12yo Lope de Vega gelding who never seems to tire of the game. Last seen in decent form on the turf at Brighton and Carlisle. He's no slouch on the AW (he has 3 wins and 2 places from 13 runs here at Lingfield). His pilot today is a useful 7-pound claimer who's won on him before over this trip.

The math suggests Reddeef offers significant mathematical value. Rated 64 with latest figure 51. The gap between 18/1 and 3/1 (assessed probability) indicates this runner commands respect at these odds.